FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE September 15, 2010
INTERVIEWS: DEAN DEBNAM 888-621-6988 / 919-880-4888 (serious media inquiries only please, other questions can be directed to Tom Jensen)
QUESTIONS ABOUT THE POLL: TOM JENSEN 919-744-6312
Ayotte Maintains Small Lead Over Hodes in NH
Raleigh, N.C. – Despite moving to a likely-voter model, PPP shows last night’s GOP designee for U.S. Senate, Kelly Ayotte, holding onto only a 47-43 lead over Democrat Paul Hodes in New Hampshire. PPP’s last poll of registered voters showed Ayotte was on top, 45-42.
Ayotte had previously held a party-unity advantage over Hodes, but Hodes has now reversed that, getting 85% of likely Democratic voters to Ayotte’s 83% of the GOP. Ayotte leads overall because of the seven- to nine-point pro-Republican enthusiasm gap and because the state has a large proportion of independents (30% of the electorate), who are leaning toward the Republican, 51-37, up from 46-37 in July. President Obama won the state by more than nine points in 2008, but this year’s electorate would have resulted in a tie between him and John McCain.
Unlike in Delaware, there was no clear difference between the GOP candidates in terms of electability. Jim Bender and Ovide Lamontagne, who mounted a huge surge late in the primary campaign, would also have started out with small leads over Hodes. Ayotte had looked like the surest bet until recently. In an April survey, Ayotte topped Hodes by seven, with all but one of the other Republicans behind the Democrat.
But while Ayotte had cast herself as a nonpartisan moderate, looking toward the general election, Lamontagne’s strong challenge from the right forced her to tout Sarah Palin’s endorsement in the primary, and her favorability rating has precipitously declined from 34-24 in April to 36-39 in July to 35-47 now. Though Ayotte has slightly strengthened her standing in the horse race with her own party’s voters and with unaffiliateds, 47% of Granite State voters think the Republican Party is too conservative, and by a 52-18 margin, they say they are less likely, rather than more likely, to vote for a Palin endorsee.
“Kelly Ayotte’s negatives have doubled over the last five months,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “She still starts out favored in the general election but this has the potential to be a very close race.”
PPP surveyed 1,959 likely New Hampshire voters on September 11th and 12th. The margin of error is +/-2.2%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.
Public Policy Polling Phone: 888 621-6988 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Raleigh, NC 27604 Email: [email protected] New Hampshire Survey Results
Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Q7 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Barack Obama's job performance? of Jim Bender? Approve ...... 44% Favorable ...... 26% Not sure ...... 41% Disapprove...... 52% Unfavorable...... 33% Not sure ...... 4% Q8 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ovide Lamontagne? Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Judd Gregg’s job performance? Favorable...... 36% Approve ...... 45% Unfavorable ...... 33% Disapprove...... 41% Not sure ...... 31% Not sure ...... 14% Q9 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were Democrat Paul Hodes and Republican Kelly Q3 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Ayotte, who would you vote for? Jeanne Shaheen’s job performance? Paul Hodes ...... 43% Approve ...... 44% Kelly Ayotte...... 47% Disapprove...... 49% Undecided...... 9% Not sure ...... 7% Q10 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Democrat Paul Hodes and Republican Bill of Paul Hodes? Binnie, who would you vote for? Favorable...... 35% Paul Hodes ...... 43% Unfavorable ...... 46% Bill Binnie...... 42% Not sure ...... 19% Undecided...... 15% Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Q11 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were of Kelly Ayotte? Democrat Paul Hodes and Republican Jim Favorable...... 35% Bender, who would you vote for? Unfavorable ...... 47% Paul Hodes ...... 43% Not sure ...... 18% Jim Bender...... 45% Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Undecided...... 13% of Bill Binnie? Favorable...... 21% Unfavorable ...... 58% Not sure ...... 21%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q12 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were Q17 Would you describe yourself as a liberal, Democrat Paul Hodes and Republican Ovide moderate, or conservative? Lamontagne, who would you vote for? Liberal...... 21% Paul Hodes ...... 44% Moderate...... 41% Ovide Lamontagne...... 47% Conservative...... 39% Undecided...... 10% Q18 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2. Q13 Would you be more or less likely to vote for a 53% candidate who was endorsed by Sarah Palin, Woman ...... or would it not make a difference? Man...... 47% More likely...... 18% Q19 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify Less likely ...... 52% with another party, press 3. 30% Makes no difference ...... Democrat ...... 35% Q14 Do you consider yourself to be a member of 36% the Tea Party? Republican...... Independent/Other...... 30% Yes...... 18% Q20 If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2. No ...... 69% White ...... 94% Not sure ...... 13% 6% Q15 Do you think the Republican Party is too liberal, Other...... too conservative, or about right? Q21 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to 45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are Too liberal ...... 18% older than 65, press 4. 47% Too conservative...... 18 to 29...... 6% 29% About right ...... 30 to 45...... 20% 6% Not sure ...... 46 to 65...... 50% Q16 Who did you vote for President in 2008? Older than 65 ...... 24% John McCain...... 47% Barack Obama...... 47% Someone else/Don't remember ...... 6%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Bar ack Someone else/Don't John Bar ack Someone else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a remember Bas e McCain Obam a remember Obama Approval Gregg Approval Approve 44% 5% 85% 19% Approve 45% 70% 20% 55% Dis appr ove 52% 92% 9% 69% Dis appr ove 41% 18% 66% 23% Not s ur e 4% 2% 5% 12% Not s ur e 14% 12% 14% 21%
2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Bar ack Someone else/Don't John Bar ack Someone else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a remember Bas e McCain Obam a remember Shaheen Approval Hodes Favorability Approve 44% 8% 83% 24% Favorable 35% 7% 66% 18% Dis appr ove 49% 86% 11% 59% Unfavorable 46% 77% 13% 57% Not s ur e 7% 6% 6% 17% Not s ur e 19% 16% 21% 25%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Bar ack Someone else/Don't John Bar ack Someone else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a remember Bas e McCain Obam a remember Ayotte Favorability Binnie Favorability Favorable 35% 58% 12% 31% Favorable 21% 26% 16% 27% Unfavorable 47% 25% 70% 37% Unfavorable 58% 58% 59% 43% Not s ur e 18% 17% 18% 32% Not s ur e 21% 16% 25% 30%
2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Bar ack Someone else/Don't John Bar ack Someone else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a remember Bas e McCain Obam a remember Bender Favorability Lamontagne
Favorability Favorable 26% 43% 9% 34% Favorable 36% 59% 12% 41% Unfavorable 33% 20% 48% 19% Unfavorable 33% 16% 53% 17% Not s ur e 41% 37% 43% 47% Not s ur e 31% 26% 35% 42%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Bar ack Someone else/Don't John Bar ack Someone else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a remember Bas e McCain Obam a remember Hodes/Ayotte Hodes/Binnie Paul Hodes 43% 8% 82% 19% Paul Hodes 43% 8% 80% 19% Kelly Ayotte 47% 83% 10% 56% Bill Binnie 42% 72% 10% 51% Unde cide d 9% 9% 8% 26% Unde cide d 15% 20% 10% 31%
2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Bar ack Someone else/Don't John Bar ack Someone else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a remember Bas e McCain Obam a remember Hodes/Bender Hodes/Lamontagne Paul Hodes 43% 6% 82% 15% Paul Hodes 44% 6% 83% 22% Jim Bender 45% 80% 8% 60% Ovide Lamontagne 47% 83% 8% 66% Unde cide d 13% 14% 10% 25% Unde cide d 10% 11% 9% 12%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
2008 Vote 2008 Vote John Bar ack Someone else/Don't John Bar ack Someone else/Don't Bas e McCain Obam a remember Bas e McCain Obam a remember Palin Endorsement Tea Party ID
Impact Yes 18% 33% 2% 28% More likely 18% 34% 3% 16% No 69% 49% 91% 49% Less likely 52% 17% 88% 35% Not s ur e 13% 18% 7% 23% Makes no difference 30% 49% 9% 49%
2008 Vote Ideology
John Bar ack Someone else/Don't Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e McCain Obam a remember Obama Approval GOP Ideology Approve 44% 91% 55% 6% Too liberal 18% 30% 5% 30% Disapprove 52% 6% 37% 92% Too conservative 47% 15% 82% 28% 3% 8% 2% About right 29% 50% 8% 32% Not s ur e 4% Not s ur e 6% 6% 6% 9%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Gregg Approval Shaheen Approval Approve 45% 16% 41% 67% Approve 44% 87% 57% 8% Disapprove 41% 70% 46% 20% Disapprove 49% 8% 35% 87% Not s ur e 14% 14% 14% 13% Not s ur e 7% 5% 8% 5%
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Hodes Favorability Ayotte Favorability Favorable 35% 73% 42% 7% Favorable 35% 9% 28% 55% Unfavor able 46% 10% 34% 77% Unfavor able 47% 76% 52% 27% Not s ur e 19% 17% 24% 15% Not s ur e 18% 15% 20% 18%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Binnie Favorability Bender Favorability Favorable 21% 12% 24% 24% Favorable 26% 5% 22% 42% Unfavor able 58% 65% 52% 60% Unfavor able 33% 56% 33% 21% Not s ur e 21% 23% 24% 17% Not s ur e 41% 39% 45% 37%
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Lamontagne Hodes/Ayotte
Favorability Paul Hodes 43% 89% 53% 9% Favorable 36% 7% 26% 61% Ke lly Ayotte 47% 5% 35% 82% Unfavor able 33% 59% 38% 14% Undecided 9% 6% 12% 9% Not s ur e 31% 34% 36% 25%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Hodes/Binnie Hodes/Bender Paul Hodes 43% 90% 52% 8% Paul Hodes 43% 92% 53% 6% Bill Binnie 42% 5% 33% 70% Jim Bender 45% 3% 33% 79% Undecided 15% 5% 14% 22% Undecided 13% 5% 14% 15%
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Hodes/Lamontagne Palin Endorsement
Impact Paul Hodes 44% 91% 56% 6% More likely 18% 4% 8% 36% Ovide Lamontagne 47% 4% 31% 85% Less likely 52% 91% 65% 17% Undecided 10% 5% 13% 9% Makes no difference 30% 5% 27% 47%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ideology Ideology
Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Bas e Liberal Moderate Conservative Tea Party ID GOP Ide ology Yes 18% 3% 8% 37% Too liberal 18% 5% 7% 36% No 69% 92% 83% 41% Too conservative 47% 88% 64% 8% Not s ur e 13% 6% 8% 22% About right 29% 5% 21% 50% Not s ur e 6% 3% 7% 6%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Obama Approval Gregg Approval Approve 44% 49% 37% Approve 45% 41% 51% Dis appr ove 52% 46% 59% Dis appr ove 41% 41% 41% Not s ur e 4% 5% 4% Not s ur e 14% 18% 9%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Shaheen Approval Hodes Favorability Approve 44% 49% 39% Favorable 35% 38% 32% Dis appr ove 49% 43% 57% Unfavorable 46% 40% 53% Not s ur e 7% 9% 4% Not s ur e 19% 23% 15%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Ayotte Favorability Binnie Favorability Favorable 35% 29% 41% Favorable 21% 21% 21% Unfavorable 47% 51% 43% Unfavorable 58% 57% 59% Not s ur e 18% 20% 16% Not s ur e 21% 22% 20%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Bender Favorability Lamontagne
Favorability Favorable 26% 25% 28% Favorable 36% 34% 38% Unfavorable 33% 33% 33% Unfavorable 33% 32% 34% Not s ur e 41% 42% 39% Not s ur e 31% 34% 28%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Hodes/Ayotte Hode s /Binnie Paul Hodes 43% 47% 39% Paul Hodes 43% 46% 39% Kelly Ayotte 47% 40% 55% Bill Binnie 42% 36% 48% Unde cide d 9% 13% 6% Unde cide d 15% 18% 13%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Hode s /Be nde r Hodes/Lamontagne Paul Hodes 43% 48% 37% Paul Hodes 44% 49% 38% Jim Bender 45% 38% 51% Ovide Lamontagne 47% 40% 53% Unde cide d 13% 14% 11% Unde cide d 10% 11% 9%
Ge nder Ge nder
Bas e Wom an Man Bas e Wom an Man Palin Endorsement Tea Party ID
Impact Yes 18% 15% 21% More likely 18% 16% 20% No 69% 72% 66% Less likely 52% 58% 46% Not s ur e 13% 13% 13% Makes no difference 30% 26% 34%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Ge nder Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Wom an Man Obama Approval GOP Ideology Approve 44% 88% 6% 37% Too liberal 18% 13% 23% Dis appr ove 52% 9% 91% 56% Too conservative 47% 52% 43% Not s ur e 4% 3% 3% 7% About right 29% 28% 30% Not s ur e 6% 7% 5%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Gregg Approval Shaheen Approval Approve 45% 18% 69% 49% Approve 44% 86% 9% 37% Dis appr ove 41% 66% 19% 38% Dis appr ove 49% 9% 86% 53% Not s ur e 14% 16% 12% 13% Not s ur e 7% 5% 6% 9%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Hodes Favorability Ayotte Favorability Favor able 35% 69% 7% 29% Favor able 35% 11% 58% 34% Unfavorable 46% 12% 75% 51% Unfavorable 47% 71% 26% 44% Not s ur e 19% 20% 18% 20% Not s ur e 18% 18% 16% 21%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Binnie Favorability Bender Favorability Favor able 21% 11% 24% 29% Favor able 26% 8% 41% 31% Unfavorable 58% 64% 59% 48% Unfavorable 33% 49% 24% 25% Not s ur e 21% 25% 17% 23% Not s ur e 41% 43% 35% 44%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Lamontagne Hodes/Ayotte
Favorability Paul Hodes 43% 85% 8% 37% Favor able 36% 11% 58% 38% Kelly Ayotte 47% 8% 83% 51% Unfavorable 33% 53% 16% 29% Undecided 9% 7% 10% 12% Not s ur e 31% 36% 26% 33%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Hodes/Binnie Hodes/Bender Paul Hodes 43% 87% 7% 35% Paul Hodes 43% 87% 5% 36% Bill Binnie 42% 6% 72% 46% Jim Bender 45% 6% 79% 48% Undecided 15% 7% 21% 19% Undecided 13% 7% 15% 16%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Hodes/Lamontagne Palin Endorsement
Impact Paul Hodes 44% 88% 6% 37% More likely 18% 3% 34% 17% Ovide Lamontagne 47% 6% 83% 50% Less likely 52% 86% 19% 50% Undecided 10% 6% 11% 13% Makes no difference 30% 10% 47% 33%
Party Party
Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Bas e Democrat Republican Independent/Other Tea Party ID GOP Ide ology Yes 18% 2% 33% 19% Too liberal 18% 6% 29% 19% No 69% 92% 49% 65% Too conservative 47% 82% 15% 45% Not s ur e 13% 5% 19% 15% About right 29% 7% 52% 27% Not s ur e 6% 5% 4% 9%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Race Race
Bas e White Other Bas e White Other Obama Approval Gregg Approval Approve 44% 43% 51% Approve 45% 46% 39% Dis appr ove 52% 53% 41% Dis appr ove 41% 40% 50% Not s ur e 4% 4% 8% Not s ur e 14% 14% 12%
Race Race
Bas e White Other Bas e White Other Shaheen Approval Hodes Favorability Approve 44% 44% 45% Favorable 35% 35% 37% Dis appr ove 49% 50% 42% Unfavorable 46% 46% 42% Not s ur e 7% 6% 12% Not s ur e 19% 19% 21%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Race Race
Bas e White Other Bas e White Other Ayotte Favorability Binnie Favorability Favorable 35% 35% 27% Favorable 21% 21% 25% Unfavorable 47% 47% 51% Unfavorable 58% 58% 50% Not s ur e 18% 18% 22% Not s ur e 21% 21% 26%
Race Race
Bas e White Other Bas e White Other Bender Favorability Lamontagne
Favorability Favorable 26% 26% 25% Favorable 36% 36% 29% Unfavorable 33% 33% 35% Unfavorable 33% 33% 36% Not s ur e 41% 41% 40% Not s ur e 31% 31% 36%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Race Race
Bas e White Other Bas e White Other Hodes/Ayotte Hode s /Binnie Paul Hodes 43% 43% 45% Paul Hodes 43% 42% 47% Kelly Ayotte 47% 48% 42% Bill Binnie 42% 42% 34% Unde cide d 9% 9% 13% Unde cide d 15% 15% 19%
Race Race
Bas e White Other Bas e White Other Hode s /Be nde r Hodes/Lamontagne Paul Hodes 43% 42% 52% Paul Hodes 44% 43% 52% Jim Bender 45% 45% 35% Ovide Lamontagne 47% 47% 42% Unde cide d 13% 13% 13% Unde cide d 10% 10% 7%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Race Race
Bas e White Other Bas e White Other Palin Endorsement Tea Party ID
Impact Yes 18% 18% 15% More likely 18% 18% 14% No 69% 69% 63% Less likely 52% 52% 57% Not s ur e 13% 12% 22% Makes no difference 30% 30% 29%
Race Age
Bas e White Other 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 GOP Ideology Obama Approval Too liberal 18% 18% 20% Approve 44% 54% 37% 48% 39% Too conservative 47% 47% 48% Dis appr ove 52% 41% 59% 48% 56% About right 29% 29% 26% Not s ur e 4% 5% 4% 4% 5% Not s ur e 6% 6% 7%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Gregg Approval Shaheen Approval Approve 45% 43% 43% 44% 52% Approve 44% 54% 37% 48% 40% Dis appr ove 41% 39% 41% 44% 35% Dis appr ove 49% 39% 56% 47% 52% Not s ur e 14% 18% 16% 13% 13% Not s ur e 7% 7% 8% 5% 8%
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Hodes Favorability Ayotte Favorability Favorable 35% 41% 28% 40% 29% Favorable 35% 34% 34% 34% 37% Unfavorable 46% 31% 50% 43% 51% Unfavorable 47% 44% 42% 52% 42% Not s ur e 19% 28% 22% 16% 20% Not s ur e 18% 21% 23% 14% 20%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Binnie Favorability Bender Favorability Favorable 21% 26% 20% 23% 18% Favorable 26% 30% 31% 24% 28% Unfavorable 58% 56% 55% 58% 59% Unfavorable 33% 33% 29% 36% 29% Not s ur e 21% 18% 25% 19% 23% Not s ur e 41% 37% 40% 40% 43%
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Lamontagne Hodes/Ayotte
Favorability Paul Hodes 43% 45% 37% 48% 37% Favorable 36% 34% 37% 34% 39% Kelly Ayotte 47% 43% 56% 42% 52% Unfavorable 33% 39% 29% 38% 26% Unde cide d 9% 12% 7% 10% 11% Not s ur e 31% 27% 34% 29% 35%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Hode s /Binnie Hode s /Be nde r Paul Hodes 43% 49% 36% 47% 37% Paul Hodes 43% 53% 34% 48% 36% Bill Binnie 42% 37% 51% 39% 41% Jim Bender 45% 38% 56% 41% 46% Unde cide d 15% 14% 13% 14% 22% Unde cide d 13% 9% 11% 11% 18%
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Hodes/Lamontagne Palin Endorsement
Impact Paul Hodes 44% 57% 35% 48% 37% More likely 18% 17% 20% 16% 22% Ovide Lamontagne 47% 37% 56% 42% 50% Less likely 52% 52% 46% 57% 47% Unde cide d 10% 6% 8% 10% 13% Makes no difference 30% 31% 34% 28% 31%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Crosstabs
Age Age 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r 18 to 30 to 46 to Olde r Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Bas e 29 45 65 than 65 Tea Party ID GOP Ideology Yes 18% 21% 20% 16% 20% Too liberal 18% 23% 25% 17% 14% No 69% 67% 66% 73% 64% Too conservative 47% 46% 43% 53% 40% Not s ur e 13% 13% 14% 11% 16% About right 29% 27% 25% 26% 40% Not s ur e 6% 4% 8% 5% 7%
September 11-12, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. survey of 1,959 likely voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988