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I UNITED NATIONS INDUSTRIAI I »trtmtuct | IHMI HRUL NO I TAMII DKVFI.OFMh % r ORGANIZATION 4^4"- July 20, 197? K-1TJA 07 ; ILO! Rev. November 10, 1972 I < » Rev. March 29, 1973 ; t II ¿¿?s/ J isif} ¡I FS Ï. •r U PRELIMINARY STUDY ON THE INDUSTRIAL UTILIZATION OF BAGASSE IN THE PROVINCE OF TUCUMAN H ARGENTINA
II UNITED NATIONS INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION i VIENNA, AUSTRIA
\\ I!
• • sí * S STADLER HURTER LIMITED
Englnt«r* - Designar* - Consultane* il ei 1501 St. Catherin* Street Weat s * Montreal 107, P.Q. o î Canada 11 © !
R-193A/07/3101 !l •MI.COMUITANT'
I ' ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Stadler Hurt er Linited wishes to exprest appreciation
.' t\ to the following groupa and individuala whose participation
and contributions of time, knowledge and experience facilitated
performance of the work: I! - The Government of Argentina, Dr. Ernesto Juan Pare liada, v Ministro de Industria y Minería de la Nación. Operativo Tucumán, Ingeniero Roberto J. Alvarez, Coordi- -i nador General para la Transformación de la Provincia
de Tucumán.
- The Government of the Province of Tucumán i i Ingeniero Agrónomo Juan Luis Perez Albert , Secretarlo de Estado de Comercio, Industria y Minería de la
Provincia de Tucumán. '!! I I! Ingeniero Agrónomo José* Ploper, Secretario de Eatado de Agricultura y Genaderia de la Provincia de Tucuman.
;! - United Nations Development Program, Buenos Aires, Dr.
Miguel Albornos, Resident Representative of UNDP for
Argentina and Mr. Paul Oeinaki, Deputy Representative. l! There were of course many other associations, government
.'! agencies, and staff personnel, too numerous to mention, who also
rendered great aes 1st ance and to these also wa express our thanks. ÎI I Btméii amiti R-193A/07/3101 I Ü BMWHII . CONIMTAMTI V I ;j In parformane« of tha neceaaary investigations, particularly í in tha acquisition and avaluación of Information cf aaaantlally Argant ina natura, Stad lar Hurtar waa capably aaalated by tha
firs of COARA Conaultoraa Asociados, Buanos Airas. The knowledge
and experience of thia firm concerning national circumstances
and procedures contributed greatly In maintaining Argentine
perspective and in carrying out the study in accordance with
it conditions and requirements of particular significance to
Argentina. Tha validity of tha report an-, ita conclusions must
be attributed In large part to tha participation of this national
firm and the competence of its ataff members and specialist
aaaociates. 11
I I ;!
( i cu I UNITED NATIONS INDUSTRIAL mrcMactf «Ml • s MO. MO I V: DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION ¡Ì -Jidjfm. 1972.... : R-193A 0"» ¡3101 ti Rev. November IO, 1972 **<• 1 ">' vil > « i; ; i TABLE OF CONTENTS ij Page» A. INTRODUCTION A'l-A/f il il A.l Contract and Parties Involved A/1 A.2 Background Information A/l A. 3 Aim of the Study and Scope of the Work A/4 A.4 Evaluation of Study Resulta A/6 1 • s • li SUMMARY Of CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS B/i-B/3
B.l Conclusions 3/1 B.2 Recommandât ione a/3
ïï MARKET SURVEY AND ANALYSIS C/l-C/44
C.I General „ c/i ! C.2 Historical Data C/17 C.3 Market Projection C/21 C.4 Miscellaneous C/32 C.5 Discussion and Conclusions C/35 I C.6 Definition of Cost Models C/42 I AVAILABILITY Or BAGASSE D/l-D/.0
D. 1 General D/l I D.2 Bagasse D/5 OTHER RAW MATERIALS - AVAILABILITY AND COSTS E/l-E/6 I îl E.l Chemicals E/l « « E.2 ruel £/3 ! ïî E.3 Long ribre Pulp E/4 E.4 Vaste Papar .» E/5
I is SERVICES - AVAILABILITY AMD COSTS F/1-r/ö II r.l Water jr/1 r.2 Power y/1 Í • < Si P. 3 Transportation p/5 t il
• I Mimait Mwutmr ••rimaci IMO«! H>I>L UNIDO MO. I M> lì L ; I ¡Ì July 20, 1972 R-193A 07 3101 'il vii - TABLE OF CONTENTS- (Cont'd)
; i Pages f ilI G. LABOUR AND MANAGEMENT G/l-G/21
H G.1 Organisation G/l G.2 Personnel Requirements and Cost . G/l G.3 Personnel Availability C/5 G.4 Training G/8 G.5 Accommodation and Transportât ion G/li G.6 Management Contract G/l1
H. PAPER MILL LOCATION ALTERNATIVES H/l-H/10
-1 H.l General H/l H.2 Discussion . H/2
• I H. 3 Conclusions H/8
SELECTION OF PROCESS I/1-I/43
1.1 Introduci ion 1/1 1.2 Bagasse Deplthing, Handling, Transportation and St orage 1/8 I 1.3 Pulping Process 1/33 1.4 Préparât ion and Recovery of Chemicals 1/36 1.5 Pulping Yields 1/42 I 1.6 Chemical Requirements 1/42 1.7 Recoramendat ions 1/43
I PAPER MACHINES J/l-J/9 ; • • ; J.l General J/1 t J.2 Proposed Paper Machines J/3 J.3 Proposed Paper Furnishes J/4 J.4 Pulp Requirements , J/7 u J.5 Papermaking Che-nical Requirements J/9 St ;: BAGASSE REQUIREMENTS K/l-K/7 [ it •5 K. 1 IntroductIon K/l K.2 Deplthing Loase« K/l [ a < K.3 Pulping Loss K/5 Ü K.4 Summary of Loases and Bagasse Requirements for Pulp f H FroduccIon K/5 I MUélt MmrHr UNIDO M>IM«CI ; IP.MI I M*l»l. tNS*OTt. . CONSUMANTI MO MO. Í MO 0»T« - —f -- 4 4 - I ;r July 20, 1972 : R-193A 07 3101 it "•• lli°'vll i « I r, TABLE OF CONTENTS- (Cont'd) : i I is Pages L. COST OK BAGASSE .L/l-L/8 Í III« L.l General j#^ !! L.2 Discussion L/2
DESCRIPTION OF PROPOSED MILLS M/1 -M/19
M. 1 General M/^ M.2 Deplthing Installations at Sugar Mills M/2 ï! M. 3 Depithing Installations ar Paper Mill M/5 M. 4 Sequence of Opérât Ion M/8 Sí CAPITAL COSTS N/1-N/19 -1
N.l General Ny^
N.2 Cost Est lautet N/9 N.3 Foreign Exchange Requirement.' N/9 t N.4 Time Schedule N/ll Í 0. MANUFACTURING COSTS 0/1-0/10 0.1 General 0/1 É 0.2 Variable and Fixed Costs 0/1 I 0.3 Costs of Production 0/4 •S Í p. FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC ANALYSIS P/l-P/ l'V Es P.l Tables P/l 5? P.2 Methods and Assumptions p/i Í U P.3 Analysis # p/5 P.4 Balance of Payments Benefits • » P/6 Q. DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMS Q/l-Q/2
! •; R. IMPLEMENTATION OF PROJECTS R/l-R/2
R.l General si R/l R.2 Formation of Company R/2 a « R.3 Selection of Consultant« t R/3 R.4 Preparatiti of a Definitive Feasibility Study ...!..'.] R/6 H R.5 Financing the Project R/7
R.6 Method of Contracting " R/15 R.7 Conclusions R/24 I Btmélmx Mnrfr •triMMC* INOII «C*IAL .COMMUTANTI UNI no i% 4 July 20, 1972 R-193A 07 3101
»»•• v o» v i i
t » ¡; ; i - TABLES - 1! II NUMBER DESCRIPTION PAGE
I-C Historical Apparent Consumption C/20
2-C Historical Data - GNP and Population C/20
3-C Apparent Consumption Adjusted hy Promedios Móviles C/23
4-C Population Adjusted by Promedios Móviles C/24
5-C Annual Apparent per Capita Consumption C/24 H 6-C Coefficient of Elasticity - Corrugating Medium and Llnerboard C/26
7-C Demand Projections C/29
8-C Unsatisfied Demand C/31
1-D Moist Bagasse Used as Fuel in Tucuman D/6 ! 2-D Sugar Production in Argentina, Imports, Exports, Consumption, and Stocks D/7 h 3-D Sugar Production in the Province of Tucuman D/8
s;¡s 4-D Moist Bagasse Produced in the Province of »! Tucuman D/9
1-E Other Raw Materials Availability and Cost E/2 ïï .: is »! 1-F Cross Investment Return on Generated vs Purchased Power r/4
o« l| lì it ® I UNIDO iiriMNCi ! iMOti ¡ «m AL ITAMI MO. [ MO j NO.
I July 20, 1972 R-193A 07 , 3101 p*.f.f vi or vu
I • < - TABLES- (Cont'd) f ii NUMBER DESCRIPTION PAGE 1 -G Coat of Expatriate Assistance (Model I) G/13
III« 2 -G Coati of Expatriate Assistance (Modela II & III) G/14 u;r 3 -G Head Office Expenae G/15
4 -G Coat of Mill Adminiatrative Peraonnel G/16
H 5 -G Coat of Operating Peraonnel G/18
6 -G Cost of Repair and Maintenance Peraonnel G/19
7 -G Ü Suanary of Arger.Une Peraonnel and Annual Coats G/20
l-H Annual Tonnages Whole Meist (501) Bagasse t Produced H/3
I 1-1 Chemical Coats 1/5
2-1 Capital Costa of Complete Recovery Systems 1/40 ( l\ 3-1 Chemical Consumptions per O.D. Ton Pulp 1/43
I fi! : n 1-J Standard Weighta and Speeda for Production I of Corrugating Medium and Linerboard J/2 2-J Paper Machine Major Components J/5
I 3-J O.D. Paper Furnish Requirements per A.D. Ton lì Pulp J/7 il 4-J Annual 0.0. Preparation Requirements J/8 I 5-J Annual Papermaking Chemical Requirements J/9 il 1-K Annual Bagasse Requirements K/7 I «s Î I tlméJt Mmtfr IttriftlNCI INDI» • •»•• AL UNIDO NO . NO NO •MWMMU . COMMUANTS »Tl - j ---<-• I July 20, 1972 R-193A 07 3101 "•« vif" vii f > • • TABLES- (Cont'd) S J ; 1 I! NUMBER DESCRIPTION PAGE " i m i lì 1-L Estimated Costi of Hoist Depithed Bagasse «: for Various Mills L/8 •i. ;
îï l-N Model I - Summary of Direct Capital Costs N/12
î • 2-N Model II - Summary of Direct Capital Costs N/U • f• V. 3-N Model III - Summary of Direct Capital Costs N/16 i - 4-N Models I, II & III - Summary of Indirect Capital Requirements N/16
î s 1-0 Model I - Manufacturing Coats 0/5
î?• m 2-0 Model II - Manufacturing Costs 0/7 I î « S • S; 3-0 Model III - Manufacturing Costs 0/9
îï «. a ° 1-P Model I - Income Statement Projection P/9 I t\' • s; Model I - Resume of Financial Appraisal P/10 • « 2-P is r » I î : 3-P Model II - Incorni: Statement Projection P/ll ;s • a Model II - Resume of Financial Appraisal P/12 • ; 4-P I sí *S 5-P Model III - Income Statement Projection P/13 •! •; ¡5 6-P Model III - Flow of Funda Projection P/K M I!
S!i t ® I f MMUMT Mmrtmr ; • •MMIfCa INDU | MIIIAL MO HO MO I ii o»rt ' July 20, 1972 ¡î R-lTiA 07 L 3101 is Rev November 10, 1972 »« A/1 I í « PREtIMINARY ÌTUDY ON THE INDUSTRIAL UTILIZATION OF BAGASSE IN THE PROVINCE OF TUCUMAN - ARGENTINA I IS ii INTRODUCTION i i A 1 Contract and Partie» Involved Having received from the Government of Argentina a request -î s: for assistance In administration of a study, m the integral Si n Industrial utilisation of bagasse In Tucumán province, the î' » •• iî United Nations Industrial Development Organization issued an
international tender call for proposals for the preparation of
a study.
Subsequent evaluation of submissions received resulted in
award of the study to Stadler Hurter Limited, Montreal, Canada, il and a contract (UNIDO No 71'S3) for performance of the
I lì necessary investigations was accordingly effected between UNTDO
and Stadler Hurter Limited. By prearrangement, Stadler Hurter I ti !S • • retained the Argentine firm of COARA, Consultores Asociados, ¡S I Buenos Aires, to assist with tne work. *: I A. 2 Background Information M a) General î jl The province of Tucumán is located approximately due ?! Il North and 1200 km. from Buenos Aires and is among the group of "Northwest Provinces" whose development potential is II* • of current interest. The other provinces in the group are l g I it Mimait Murtmr H l4)A/0// f.Oi Pan« A/.' I il MMHII . CONIUITANTI I» Cat amare a, Salta, Jujuy, and Sam i»t • -Vi raster A Si I i¡ comprehensive program (NOA Program) twt ( it t >:<• region and thus improve it9 economic pout UJP reía' ive : ü -ti.ei II more advanced parts of Argentina. In the North-Sc/.th direct ion Tucumän lies completely
». between parallel 26* and parallel ¿8* So th whi.' render» r the climate suitable (though not ideal) for t tie cultivation Ú of sugar cane. Based on this agricultural resource a large
carte sugar industry has developed over the years to such an
extent that, despite the fact that it is the smallest of all t.e of the provinces of Argentina, Tucumán has in the past supplied
i up to 601, and at present contributes over 501 of sugar
produced in Argentina. Its sixteen operating sugar mills
I (or "Ingenios") In 1970 manufactured over 491,000 metru !! I tons of a national total of 908,000 tons of sugar. !S Due principally to the sub-tropical nature of the climate
the crushing season (zafra) in Tucumán is unfortunatsly
limited to less than four calender months. The general
economy of the province is in consequence adversely afíecte i
by th« problema arising from the relat ively short periods of jl saasonal productive activity and the corresponding lack of employment which exists between crushing seasons. i :i I ttméit MnwHr R 193A/07/3101 Page A/3 WMIIII . COMSUlTANTI I if J« b) jugar Cane Bagasse « - I i: When aunar cane ia crushed to extract the Juicea I containing the sugar a fibroua reeldue ia left which ia i! known aa augar cane bagaaae. Regarded essentially as waste, f thia material haa traditionally been utilized as the primary li fuel for generation of procesa heat requirements thus solving
the disposti problem in a manner which yields a benefit to in. !l the overall economy of sugar production. Since, on a dry haaia, the ratio of bagaaae to sugar in Tucuraan ie approximately U 51 1.5 : 1 It is evident that large quantities are produced and 1 Is burnt in th« Ingenlos of Tucumán. f ií In comparatively recent tImea a number of potentially i mora profitable waye in which augar cane bagasse can be
utilised hava baen developed and implemented in many augar I producing areaa. Bagaaae being essentially fibrous in nature • theaa developments generally have been oriented towards
I manufacture or substitution of exiating products which use !< I cellulose fibre aa the baaic raw material although other I applicationa have alao been found. Since th« bagasse which ia generated représenta a I s: convenient, reliable, economical and readily ava i labia fuel I II for the augar mill bollara, it ia obvioua that, if it is to ba diverted for other purposea, an acceptable eubatltute I f !l I is Muait Mwr*mg R-193A/07/J101 - Page A/4 I «Wmil» . COM!UlTAMTI fuel 01 at least equally desirable characteristics must Hi be provided. The availability of auch alternativa fuel í !i la the fundamental and major factor in determining the coat of the bagasse and, therefore, the practicability of
utilizing it for establ1 aliment of other industries.
The existence of an adequate supply of natural gas li and a conveniently located distribution aystem in Tucuman «I should eliminate any problem with regard to substitute
Í } it fuel. H i w A-3 Aim of the Study end Scope of the Work Pro« the terns of reference in the Contract and pertinent
I ¡ information in other documents r'.ie aim of the study, in broad
I definition, ties been interpreted to be to determine the manner in 1 Si which the bagasse from the ingenios of Tucuman cat. most effect ively Hi be utilised to improve the economy of Argentina in general and conditions In the province of Tucuman In particular.
?« The acope of the work hat eccordingly oeen related to this I concept and the study haa been developed to Indicate, technically, I financially end eoclally, the most advantageous course along which the industrialization of bagasse should be directed and, at the
I i! same time, the aspects which would merit exploration in finer l detail through apecific feasibility studies i t i m R-193A/07/3101 - Page A/5 iitCONMTAjrre
Th« batic aesumptlon ha« baan made that in order to have a
significant economic effect on a national and provincial scale
the project» to be considered must be of substantial magnitude
and must use the largest possible quantities of the bagasse
available. For this reason, attention has been concentrated
on the possibilities of manufacturing pulp, paper, and board
products. Other types of product can be made from a bagasse
base but markets are very limited and the consumption of the
bagasse Is accordingly relatively minor. Conversely, the scale
and rate of development of psper and board products manufacture
«ire in general limited only Ly the continuous and rapid growth
of market demand or by the availability of the bagasse itself.
Progress in this type of industry has, mor e ver, accelerated
rapidly in the past two decades and bagasse-based pulp, paper
and board mills are presently operating profitably in many
parts of the world using proven and well-known technology.
In accordane« with the specification in the Contract and
th« above assumptions, cost models have been developed for small,
medium and large pulp and psper mills, the selection of the
relative capacities and the products to be manufactured being
baa«d generally on the indications of the market study and,
for the largest mill, the most economical availability of bagasse. I Mimait Murtt R-193A/07/3101 - Page A/6 I lì «"»MIHI . CONIMTANTS That« cost modelt (referred to In the report as Modal I,
I Modal II and Modal III) ara prasantad in adäquat* datall to Í parait valid comparisons to ba aada In rafarance to technical, economic, financial and social aspects.
The approximate timing of the first project haa been
'\ determined ard tra direction which future development should
follow haa miao been explored. Lacking information concerning
when or how much capital will ba available we can only speculate
as to which alternative might be selected for initial
implementation. Consequently, the planning of the overall 'Il development program can only be praeented on a contingency basis.
I Based on the results of the complete investigation,
conclusions have been stated and recommendations made.
A.4 IvUatlon of Study Results
Argentina, in common with moat Latin American nations, i I! haa traditionally had a rsther volatil; economy although, ill In a relativ« sansa, it has been mora stable than moat. Within I i the last two years, however, this condition haa datarioratad seriously to the point where, during 1971, the Argentine rate
I of inflation was among the highest in the world and little
indication of substantial improvement appears likely for 1972. I !! > il As a consequence of this rapid inflationary trend auch factors i !l • I - ì° **éli «Tarter R-193A/O7'3101 - Page A/7 •Unum . COMMT ANT<
•il as aalary and wag« ratas, product prices, costs of fuel and
power, foreign exchanga ratlos, etc., have been In a state of
constant flux during the period of the subject study, varying
not only in value but also according to different rates of
exchange. Unpredictable adjustments have thus been occurring :i at frequent and irregular Intervals and In almost all of the factors relevant to financial analysis.
Under such c lrc utas t «rices It has been considered Impractical
le to attempt analysis incorporating current figures a* they evolve. if t i| As the only practical alternative, all auch factors have there- fore been referred to their values in the last quarter of 1971. I ! The rata of exchange to be used for converting $• into US $ and vice versa presents particular problems. Not only has
Argentina currency bean subject to continuous change in value I lì referred to the US S, but the US $ Itself has recently been I devalued. For these reasons, the coaaaerclel rate of 5 $* per US $ which preceded Introduction of the financial rate on !» I September 19, 1971, has been used throughout the report. Since financial appraisal will apply to conditiona aa they
were at the reference period, later Interpretation will require » l! an analytical approach, exercise of eound Judgment, and a thorough knowledge of the changas which have subsequently occurred. If all
factors have inflated in proportionate ratio, the conclusions
i ! • I iS R-19JA/07/3101 - Paga A/8 I M . COMMUANTS darived in the report will remain valid. If, on the other hand,
I on« or Bore of the laportint valuae hat varied disproportionately, I tri« results of tha financial analyaia will have to ba adjusted f accordingly.
! I I t i I I I v I :! I F i! Ü 11 II fi !l I ftasfiar Mmrimr •I R-193A/07/31O1 Page 3/i •NtMIHt . CONSULTANTI I if I« SUMMARY OF CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
I B. 1 Conclut lorn
Í (a) Por maximum effect on national and provincial economy,
0- only the largest possible projects should be considered is (b) Realistic estimât« of time required to implement a large project placea initiation of operation early 1977 and I! full product ion 1979
(c) Markst analysis and projections indicates substantial
it demand for printing and writing papers, tissue, sack, bag
and wrapper, llnerboard and corrugating medium.
Ml (d) Demand for llnerboard and corrugating medium is increasing
[ ! •ors rapidly than for other papers and manufacture
utilises maximum quantity of bagasse thus these are the l! products to be Investigated, I (•) Paper machinée trimming 3.2 matters and 5 matera will yield :• ì maximum flexibility and economy in conversion of products
t* to containerboard.
(f) Cost modela to be developed: í (1) 166 ADTD corrugating medium (11) 330 ADTD llnerboard
f ii (ill) 496 ADTD both products
<•) Bagasse produced in Tucuaín is more than adequate for two HI mills of the largest capacity. l i m I M Mêmélt Murfr K-193A/0./31O1 Page B/2 I il •NWMf HI . CONIUlTANTt I (h) Substitute fuel would be natural gas. (i) Chemlcala, water, power, and t ranaport at Ion facilities I are available In necessary quantities and at reasonable costs.
(J) Any project would employ mainly Argentine personnel but
some training in pulp and paper manufacture and temporary
assistane« frota foreign specialists will be required.
(k) Logical division of the province would be two tones - I«I1 If ont in th« North and the other In the South. Sufficient i bagasse will be available In either zone for supply of
th« largest siili considered. Indications art that coats I ii would be soaewtiat hlghtr in the Southern zone.
(1) The soda process would be the most suitable and economical 1 Si for manufacture of bagasse pulp. Handling transportation
and storage of bagasse would be in bulk futm, "!! I (•) Estimated total capital requirements (Direct, Indirect and Working capital) would be !»
! Model I - US $ 36,810,000 ($* 18A.050.OOO) I Model II - US $ 65,060,000 ($» 325,300,000) Model III - U« $ 91,800,000 ($* 459,000,000) r ! (n) Financial analysis Indicates Model II and Model III to be viable projects and about equally profitable. 1 ¡I Model I (corrugating medluaa only) is not viable under ui the conditions assuead for financial analysis. w I is ftaafi«xr JTwtor R-193A/O7/3101 Pag* B/j MMftMHI . CONIMTANTI
(o) Prograuaa tor futur« development would b« baaed on •I! Model II or Model III. Í (p/ There it no doubt that the bagaaae fron the augar tailla of Tucuain can ba utilised auch »or« profitably than at
praeant.
(q) A definitiva faaalblllty study auat ba atad« to parait I: a pac If le ealaction of tha projact to ba carrlad out. B.2 IllçaaajndAtlSDJ. !h (a) Thla raport ahowa daflnltaly poaltlva rasulta thua laaadlatc s* action ahould ba takan to lnltlata lapleaantatlon of Modal
i e. II or Modal III.
(b) In via« of tha rapidly changing condition of tha Argentina
aconoary during tha progress of tha atudy tha financial
ii analyaia should ba adjusted to präsent condition» to I verify that tha financial Indication» remain valid. (c) Tha regaining »taps to ba taken are outlined and explained
11: in Saction 1. ?»
;! i sl! 'J i il « I R-193A/0//J101 - Page C/l MWNIMI . COM.UtTANTI I i! C. MARKET SURVEY ANL ANALYSIS
I Cl SsMui i (a) Discussion of Product! that can be produced from Baiasse A wide range of pulp and paper producta can be made
entirely or largely from bagaaae and many are being produced
comaaerclally today. It must, however, alwaya be remembered
il that pulp produced from bagaaae la a ahort fibre pulp
rather almi lar in characterlatlea to hardwood kraft.
ir Conaequently it haa certain limitât Iona in ita applicationa
becauae of Ita )awar atrength properties. Short fibre pulps
ara wall aultad for the production of papera and boards i !i where high strength la not a prima requisite. Where high I strength Is required as In the case of wrapping, bag and sack papers, short fibre pulps cannot be used at all or
only In limited quantities if the highest grades of such I Ü»5 I papers are to be produced. ?» Countrlaa which have extensive resources of raw I Ü materials suitable for the production of short fibre pulp and limited availability of raw materials suitable for the
production of long fibre pulp tend to use substantially
! higher than normal proportions of short fibre pulp in their
papar products. While, from the end use point of view,
satisfactory paper products can be made in many cases, using
a major proportion of short fibre, the sale of most of these i il I BtméJi I I. COMMUTANTS R-193A/07/3101 - Page C/2
products is limited to the national market because, on a
quality basis, they could not compete abroad with equivalent i paper« utilizing a I igher proportion of long fibre pulp.
Therefore, in such nations, when considering the
manufacture of paper products utilizing largely bagasse
pulp, the papers and paperboards should be divided into two
categories - those which could possibly be exported, and i ¡u those which would be very difficult to sell anywhere but M 11 on the national market. In general, papers that are exported Internationally [ ! are standard grades produced In large quantities in
Integrated pulp and paper mills on large high speed paper 'il •achines at the lowest possible cost. Corrugating medium il! produced from bagasse Is fully equivalent In every respect to the best produced from wood and could certainly be
exported If markets can be found. Also, some of the lower •i grades of standard business bona] papers (mimeograph) and glassine can be produced in qualities equivalent to
international standards and might find a market abroad. i! The use of glassine in packaging is, however, declining as this paper is increasingly being replaced by plaatic
!! film.
• I 1 II •NMNMtl . COHIMTAMTI R-l9 3A./n7/-- ,)| Page C/t
Newsprint Is another possibility. The stutiy included
in Appendix I reproduces some conclusions Included In our
report of the "ESTUDIO DE INVERSION DE UNA PLANTA DE PAPEL
PRENSA (PAPEL PARA DIARIO)" prepared by our firm for the
Argentine Government in 1970. The production of newsprint I; fro» bagasse is still in a very early stage of development. i On the other hand, the national market for newsprint will i ¡! be completely covered with the projects for manufacture of Si it with poplar and willow from the Delta, which have
already started, according to the decision of the Argentine l i Government on the basis of the Investment Study for a a Newsprint Mill.
Mi However, if export of newsprint is to be considered,
the newsprint would have to be of a quality matching • i: International standards. To date any newsprint produced fron bagasse, while quite suitable as a substitute for 1 1 i standard wood pulp newsprint in protected markets, has I ¡I differed so obviiusly from standard newsprint in opacity, ink absorbency, printability and brightness that it could i: not be run mixed with newsprint from other sources without being very noticeable. Advertisers object rather strongly il! »• -• - • - ;i if their advertisements do not show up as well as those of m I ftarffer Mmrf, « CONIMIAMtl Ml K- iyjA/O/niOI - PflRe C/A I!) i other« In a newspaper Issue, This difficulty could of I ! course be overcome if publishers or markets could be found that would use only bagasse newsprint, but usually II publishers like to be free to purchase at the best price from several sources so that, in the end, the best way to li aaaure the possibility of export is to produce a product matching standard newsprint in appearance, printability
it and runabillty. i I All these reaaons make it impossible for us to recommend its «election for the bagasse plant. I ¡ In «ame instances where paper of internationally acceptable quality can be made using a high proportion of
«hort fibre pulp, other factors may limit the sile to local
or national market«. Sanitary ti««ue paper, for example, !! is bulky and chi« place« limitation on the distances over
which it can be shipped economically. Bond, book and
;! writing paper« are produced in a very large variety of
grade«, weight«, and finishes (it is not unusual for a
paper mill to produce 400 to 600 different grade«) and are
ordered by the customer in email lot« to precise
!! di % I
K-lyiA/07/jl01 Page C/'i 1 II. COMMUTANTI
1, spec li teat ion.'., wh >, h mak.es bales Mit tit nit beyond a
certain range. With minor exceptions s-th papers art- ili produced and sold in regional markets. Papers such as llnerboard, sack, bag and wrapping
paper, when made largely from bagasse are saleable only
on the national market. For these prud.uts high strengen
la required, and if these products are produced largely
from bagasse pulp the strength of papcis and boards
! produced is not great enough to make them acceptable on
1 the international market in competition with the same i products made from long fibre softwood pulps. i ¡i Bagasse pulp is not sold on the market in appreciable quantities. At present almost all bagasse pulp produced
«ii is used in integrated mills manufacturing paper as the
end product. However, as a market has developed for > i; hardwood pulps in recent years, it should be possible tu market bagasse pulp since its properties are similar to ( !i those of hardwood kraf t. i Only bleached bagasse market pulp can be considered. i The market for unbleached pulp of any kind is very small. The mills using unbleached pulp in large quantities are
those producing llnerboard, sack and'wrapping paper, for t m I if dit Mmrfg R-193A/07/3101 - Page C/6 •MMIIIt . CONtMTANTS I ;i which bagasse pulp is not wall suited, and in any case
such Bills almost invariably produce their own pulp in an
/ I Integrated operation. Corrugating medium can, of course,
il be produced fro« unbleached bagasse pulp, but it is always is produced in an integrated operation and consequently cannot be considered «• a market for unbleached pulp.
i; Bleached short fibred pulps are used extensively in .1 mills producing fine papers such aa bond, writing and white i» it printing papers, specialty papers, tissue paper and specialty
boards.
Bleached bagasse pulps are very similar in characteristics ( ii to bleached hardwood kraft pulps for which (in spite of the I generally depressed condition of the paper products industry),
there is an appreciable and Increasing demand on an inter-
I i! national basis. The marketing of hardwood pulps is, however,
well established and production facilities are in general
r1 being expanded with the increasing demand so that bleached i bagasse pulps would be placed in the position of breaking
Into an existing and highly competitive aituation. There
appears to be little doubt that such oagasse pulps could 1 li eventually capture a portion of the bleached short fibre l H pulp demand but sine« the product Is relatively new to 1 :i export markets the development of substantial sales potential
would be difficult. t !l w> I ?s MtméJmr Murfr R-193A/07/3101 - Page C/7 •NSWint . COMIUITANTI I M V Dissolving pulp, despite th« lnroadt made by plastics Ì h and other synthetic fibres and filme, le in continuing
E I demand for the production of rayon, tire co-d, celluloee il acetate, cellophene, CMC (Carboxy Methyl Celluloee) and nltrocelluloee. The market ie, however, currently depreeeed
and the rete of growth li email. Unlike peper pulp, fl^re
il length la of little or no importance In the ceee of dieeolvlng
pulp (In most epplicatione the pulp le actually chemically V le dleeolved), end it le the chemical and molecular properties that are of importance, hence dieeolvlng pulp may be produced
from abort or long fibred celluloeic raw materiale. s* I I The term "dieeolvlng pulp" le a generic name. There I ara many varletlae; each with properties to suit a particular
and product. Dieeolvlng pulp for the production of celluloee I acátate, for example, la quite different from that ueed for tha production of cellophane. And although dieeolvlng pulpe ! of eome typea can ba made economically from e perticular raw !»
;! material, it doaa not follow that all typea of dieeolvlng pulp can be made from the a erne raw material. Depending on
and uae, dieeolvlng pulpe vary in alpha celluloee content i; from 881 to 98.81 and In pentoaan content from 1 to a maximum of 51. There are aleo wide differencae in molecular
chain length and chain length uniformity, viecoalty, and
tolerance of impurities. i ii A I Î2 fteeffor Mmrti R-193A/07/3101 - Pâ«e C/8 I MMMMI . CONttHTANTS I No disiuviiK pulp it currently produced from baratte. I. There li, however, considerable publisned literatee on I laboratory ttudlet and tetti on the production of dissolving pulp fron bagasse by the kraft or toda proceea with acid,
•teas, or water prehydrolytts. The reaearch data available
la large i y of in exploratory nature and not all of tht pulp I! propart lea that are critical were evaluated Prom the data «I available It can be aeen that although it la readily potaible
I len to obtain a pulp with an alpha content well above the Minimum 1 requirements for the lowar gradea, the pentoaan content la I cloae to the «axlau« allowable for the loweat grade oi
I il dieeolving pulp. The pentotan content no doubt could be
decreased by more rigoroua prehydrolyalt at the expenae of ! yield, or by cold caustic extraction In the bleach plant,
I again at the axpanaa of yield, (plut a very high capital !! I I! coat). A lowar pentoaan content, however, in itself doea not necessarily «Man a satisfactory dissolving pulp. Mi Reactivity and chain length uniformity are critical factors Í i for aany applicai lona and, aa bagasse is a rather hetero- 1 ganous raw material, there are no doubt soma limitations i: Moreover, impurities In bagassa are high and whether thete I! can ba reduced to the tolerancaa required reaalns to be •rowan. m I fméli Mmrtf R Ì9 3A/0 7/31O1 - Pag« C/9 I •MWH . CONtUtTANTI I Baaed on the evaluation of the published data available, we believe it may be possible to produce the f lover grades of dissolving pulp suitable for the production of staple fibre viscose and perhaps cellophane. We believe il It would be impossible to produca acetate, polynoslc, super tira cord, and tire cord grade dissolving pulp from bagasse, I! and we greatly doubt that nitrating, CMC ur continuous fllaaant super viscose grades can be made from bagasse
Ivan In the caae of dissolving pulp for staple fibre viscose, SI considerably further research work Is required to definitely
prova the technical feasibility of the production of i H dissolving pulp from bagasse. We do not think that the production of dissolving pulp fron bagasse should be
Mi considered because of the high technical risk and the currently I II depressed market. i Particle board (aglomerado) and fibre-board can be produced from bagasse. Plants which have been built are, In
general, of relatively small capacity averaging about 50 tons/
day or 15,000 tons/year. For all intents and purposes, except
possibly In the wood-poor countries, the commercialisât ion i! of euch board has not yet made appreciable Inroads iato the potentiel particle and fibreboard applicai Iona. In the !! construction induatry, for Instance, which representa a
i ii • I is 9§méimr Inter R-193A/07/3101 - Page C/10 tHMHHI . COMUMTANTI I !! major source of demand for this type of material, wood
I baaed composition boards and plyvoods dominate the market. Í The products made from wood have superior strength, better dimensional stability, generally more rugged characteristics
and, in moat casts, lower overall coat.
Several Argentina construction firma stated that trey I! had made trials using bagasse particle board for formwork but had found it to be less economical than traditional Íl u wood-based materials. Bagassa particle boards and hardboards have In some
1 ! casas baen successfully used as filiar material for veneer I ¡I overlay in the manufacture of furniture, doors, decorative i ;i paneling, etc. This market, however, obviously has very limited scope. I n In their present form it is fait the* construction >* I board« from bagasse would ba limitad to national and even M regional markets because of cost and quality considerations t I and that before larger markets can ba captured they must break into the established trade in wood-based composition
boards and plywoods on the basis of superior quality and/or li lower prices. Continuous research and experimentation is in progress !! towards the development of more economical and better bonding
I !l • I Aarfter Murfr R-193A/07/3101 - Page C/ U •HI . CONIMIANTt I SI materials, mor« «fficltnt manufacturing processes and
I general overall Improvement in quality and cost. It is
forestan that bagasse construction board may eventually
be competitive at least with wood particle boards and
hardboards, and even with plywood, In national markets.
An interesting note is that during the period of this ii study negotiation was in progress towards the possibility of manufacturing some 10,000 tons/year of bagasse particle
it board at Ingenio Nuttorco in the province of Tucumán. The Ï i í I principal feature of the proposed product would be the use e. of a soya bean glue binder which has been developed through
government sponsored research and which shows promise of
Improved quality at reduced cost. The market for this
board is, however, expected to be confined to furniture
I 11 manufacture. Aside from paper and board, other potential uses for
i! bagasse have been, and are being, investigated. Among I 3 these the principal ones are furfural, activated carbon, yeast and animal fodder.
Recent studies by Stadler Harter reveal the following i: general information concerning these products: Furfural as, a chemical intermediate, Is used principally
for tetrahydrofuran which, to a large extent, is being replaced ' Il i i m I R-193A/07/31O1 - Page C/12 I I . COMtlMTANTf II by acetylene and fotmaldehyde. It la alio used to produce
I resins to be uaed as moulding powders, and In the production
of aaphaltlc battery cases, laminating varnlahea and
furfuryl alcohol. Until recently, it was used as raw material
for manufacture of adlponltrll« (for nylon 66). This .'I application has, however, almoat disappeared with the introduction of less costly ciclohexan« and butadeine.
The world demand is estimated at about 150,000 tons/year,
and production capacity at 180,000 tona/year. Approximately U 301 of the total demand Is supplied by the Quaker Oat a Co. i I Markets are principally in the U.S.A. and Europe and difficult I ¡ to enter. I Although no furfural is baing produced from bagaaae at prêtant it should be possible to make furfural from bagasse. I The process would consume approximately IS tons of O.D. ! I bagaaae par ton of furfural produced. The studies made on is the economica of producing furfural from bagaaae have shown
that it is at beat a marginal operation. ;! I Production of furfural from bagaaae pith, aa a by-product of paper manufacture, is questionable from a technical point I! of via« and alao not vary economical. Activatad carbon, or activated charcoal, is an amorphous
!! form of carbon which is traatad to praaent a very larga
aurfaea araa. It la porous in at rue ture and It la thia i ii m I m is tUält Iirtif B-193A/07/3101 - Pag* C/13 ««•Milli . CONIMTANTS
•3 character 1stU which provides Iti ability to absorb
gaset or vapours from gases or dispersed substances from
liquids.
1 « i! The major demand Is for use In sugar refining. Estimated quantity consulted by the Argentine susar industry
Is 2,000 tons/year maximum. It is quite Ilk«.y that this
consumption will decrease If recent technological developments
for reactivation are applied.
it Our atudlet have shown that )t Is unlikely that production I of activated carbon froa pith would be economical considering collection and transportation problems, the calorific value fc* Í ! of the pith, and the need for development of suitable technology. It la possible that production from whole
bagasse could be profitable provided that sufficient unsatisfied I il demand exists. Bagasse contains, together with other carbohydrates
I! which are reducible, 18-20% of pentosans, mainly xylose and ?» ;! di- and trl-sacharidea, which are readily fermentable to
yeaat. It would appear more practical, however, to utilice
•»lasses or molasses residues as a culture for yeaat l! production if the need for such manufacture is indicated i! Animal fodder has been, and la being, produced frost augar manufacture by-products, I.e. molasses and pith. i !i 0 I
• t. K-193A/07/3101 - Page C/ 1« SMSMIHt . COMMKTMm I ¡j The mo last«» ha* ex «lient nutritive value for cattle
but muet be mixed with pith to paraît the animal» to digest i ! It properly The pith exposai a large surface area and can abaorb up to thirty t lata a Ita weight A coswnon mixture Is
301 «tt separated pith and 101 of 80* Brlx molasse«, which
ia pallet liad for marketing
t.i: Tha aarket for auch fodder la usually of relatively
••all alia and such an enterprise would appear to be better ! u adaptad to exploitation by an individual Ingenio rather than
on a provincial basis.
The awntloned products and SOM atore minor ones such i lí as gardening auioh, chicken litter, etc. all present Halted 1 aarkets, Halted bagasse utilisation, and doubtful if not ii negative econoay.
I i¡ b) Froducts and Markets Studied
For reasons given in the discussion C.l.(a) aarket I Í ! pulp, dissolving pulp, furfural, actlvatad carbon, yeast, i ii anlaal fodder are not considered worth further study, and I the study has been 1 Laited to nine categories of paper, pulp and/or board products have been studied in detail in
! the aarket survey. Thesa are as follows : II - Frlnting and Writing (See also Appendix AX. 5 a) - Tissue and Su If it o (See also Appendix AX. S •)
- Fulp (See also Appendix AX.5 b) i ¡I ® I Itaeffar Mmrtmr R-19JA/07/3101 - Page C/1', I MWMIMI . CONIUITANM Sa.K, t)« » «tua wrapper (See also Appendix AX. > i) "» v S i I i! Llnerboard (See also Appendix AX.' e) I! - Corrugating medium (See also Appendix AJt. > e) - Particle board (See sl«o Appendix AX. S f)
- Hardboard (Flberboard) (See also Appendix AX.5 g)
- Newsprint (See also Appendix AX. bh)
î All nine of the products have been carefully Investigated !n. ì to determine historical apparent consumption and future growth i ï potential both on a national basis and for the LATTA Pact and Se s* other nations bordering on or near Argentina The results of i I» preliminary analysis Indicate that, in general, the LATTA I H natlone either have or will have sufficient productive I i' capacity to satisfy expanding market demand for most of the II products considered, or alternatively, that for products that I í¡ must be imported by these nations, Argentina would not be able to enter the markets on a competitive level with ! ¡I established suppliers. Considerations of export markets t lì have thus been eliminated. I The present internal situation la that, except for (' newsprint and long-fibre pulps, demand Is essentially í¡ satisfied by existing productive capacity. Preliminary projections indicate that Increase In demand for particle
!! board and flberboard will be relatively slow, and that, even
in 1979, unsatisfied demand will not be appreciable and will i li • I I I . COHfMTANTt R- 191A/07 /110I - Page C/Ih probably be supplied from existing sources. Consumption of
Í newsprint, of course, shows a continuously increasing trend r at a substantial growth rate. However, the technical inconvénients for ita production using bagasse as raw
material, and the fact that the Argentine Government is at
present taking positive action to start up newsprint plants li using willow and poplar from the Delta, to cover the total needs of the country, make us reject this type of paper aa
Ir a final product for the bagasse plant. s* [ ! Of the product* which have been inveatigated there remain only printing and writing papera, tissue, sack and 1 i beg papera, and llnerboerd and corrugating Medium. The indicated lncreaae In demand for these papers Is progressing
at a more or leaa rapid rate, particularly for the so-called
"industrial papers", i.e. sack, bag, wrapper, llnerboerd and !! corrugating medium.
The Information collected concerniag markets, and demand ¡I for all nine products, and pertinent economic and social statistics is presented in the Appendix for reference. The
remainder of this chapter, for the sake of brevity and li clarity, will analyze only those products which are of primary interest which are, as ment lone a* above: « IIk ;i - Printing and Writing papers
1 • Tissue MI m I R-193A/07/31O1 Page C/17 •MINIMI . COMtWTANTf I i Ì I Sack, Bag, and Wrapper Llnerboard and Corrugating Medium (*)
!! (*) Than ara considerad together because, being the component« of corrugated contalnerboarda, they are complementary to each other.
C.2 WUtortçal Dita
(a) itnuji I! The corteuaptlon of papar producta throughout the world J has maintained a continuously increasing trend throughout U •any dec ade a and, it appears, will continue to increase
in the foraaaeable future. The average overall Increase
in global demand for all papers haa been estimated at SX l li per year during the 1970'a. Being an average, this figure
i! varies over a wide range according to specific products and
different nations. Total demand for Latin America It Is
I ll expected will be higher than the average at 7.31 with Argentin« >* i Ü estimated at 71. Ctneral Indications are that world demand ?» for paper products of all kinds will have doubled within i the next 20 years. Im Argentina paper manufacture dates back to 1873,
making It one of the oldest established induatriea in the
nation. Development, however, has been generally limited to
satisfaction of internal demand and no appreciable export trade !! In paper haa developed. Mills are therefore of relatively
small capacity and specialised In the manufacture) of che noit I !l essential types of paper. The Industry as a whole haa a I IS Mimali Kmrtmr *5 R-193A/07/3101 - Page C/18 INWNIIII . COMMUTANTS I I I ! certain lack of flexibility to absorb major market fluctuations. Variation« either upward or downward can •;
have serious effect on the Industry as It presently
¡i exists. Q - \t The existing fibrous resources of the country, although
lacking the vast volume« of long fibre woods found in North
».i; America and the Scandinavian countries, have however been
exploited to only a minor extent up to the present.
I le (b) Apparent Consumption
In refsrence to statistics concerning historical
consumption of paper products in Argentina the interpretation i of recorded data and segregation according to individual j; products has been rendered most difficult due to differences
in the format used in classifying various types of paper
products anda tendency to include some products under !! irrelevant headings or «imply under "Other Papers". Each
!» official, snd presumably reliable, statistical «ource
;! appears to have it« own unique system of categorizing
paper products and quite often under similar headings data
from different source« «how grossly dissimilar figures.
For Instance, Ministry of Trade and Commerce table« include
"•ulfitos" under Kraft although sulfito, as the name implies
ha« little or nothing In common with kraft paper«. In l II w I te Mtméìf MwrHr R-193A/07/3101 - Page C/l9 •fe •MINIMI . CONIUITANTI i fi I recent years INDEC has been showing these two papers f separately but no indication is given as to how they were classified previously. Similarly the Ministry
records include Liner and Corrugating under Kraft
papers - a generally correct classification, but not
very useful when attempting to separate out data about
these specific papers.
As a consequence of this confusion in statistics Ir il from different sources It has been necessary to correlate [ the figures from relevant governmental agencies and Í industrial associations and to use judgement and reasoning in arriving at realistic estimates of consumption according I I to specific products. In some cases the figures which I li have been educed might, therefore, show appreciable .i differences when compared with those of other agencies
I or associations. Such differences are in most attributable !> I to lack of precise definition for the papers to be included in a given category with consequent inclusion of irrelevant l papera, and/or omission of types which properly fit into
the category.
l! The values for historical consumption shown in
!! Table 1-C (below) are considered to be reasonably accurate and realistic. i li li I 11 ftetffer Murfrr R-193A/07/3101 - Page C/20 i MWNIIII . CONSULTANTS Va
I TAB1.K ! »
HISTORICAL APPARENT CONSUMPTION (THOUSANDS OF TONS) ¡I Printing and Sack anc Linerboard and Year Writing Tissue Wrapper Corrugating Medium
1960 66.61 8.77 53.11 1961 95.03 14.44 78.86 1962 86.36 18.21 67.57 1963 78.13 13.78 65.62 1964 93.07 17.33 79.23 71.41 1965 110.90 23.07 106.04 55.52 1966 125.39 18.80 115.68 84.44 le 1967 98.96 22.19 100.67 107.48 1968 105.39 24.55 116.55 129.21 1969 104.24 31.32 130.63 141.60 1970 123.81 33.09 140.44 134.34 I II SOURCE: INDEC AND OTHER
(c) Popular. ion and Croat National Product
I Ü TABLE 2-C j I HISTORICAL DATA - GOT AND POPULATION
Population GNP Peaos Ley 1960 i ¡i Year (Thoua. of Inhab.) (000,000's, i 1960 20,669 10,063,4 1961 20,923 10,777,9 1962 21,180 10,596,8 1963 21,441 10,345,2 1964 21,705 11,422,0 1965 21,972 12,468,6 1966 22,242 12,559,2 Ml 1967 22,516 12,871,1 1968 22,793 13,464,9 1969 23,073 14,531,6 'I 1970 23,364 15,229,0 SOURCE: CIDIE on data from BCRA • I is ttmäJt MrnrH, R-193A/07/U01 Page C/2I I ISMS . COWSWtTANTI I T'lf t .ih l.i'• ! * iiuTi'5 f IT fulfil lat i on, which are obvie si» estimates, show a uniform Increase of «pprox
! L.2Ä per year. The accepted value for use In statistical
calculations has been taken as 1 5X, however, as used in
recent studies made by United Nations and Studies for
International Collaboration Bureau (Oficina de Estudios para i: X. la Colaboración Economica Internacional), and CEPAl., •I Analysis of GNP figures for the period 1960/70 shovs I it an avcragt increase In total GNP of 3.91 or 2,71 per capita,
referred to the value of the peso in 1960. I «. C.3 Market Projection
( (a) General
Many factors such as rate of Increase in literacy,
rate of Increase in Industrial development, rate of increase
II in disposable incóete, rate of increase in GNP, and rate of ;> El Increase in population can be entered into calculation ~>f
!' future demand or consumption. Of these, the two most
significant Indicators are rate of increase in GNP and rate
of increase In population and these are the values which
have been applied In projecting demand for the fevi
I i! categories of paper being studied here. [ i! Argentina has a high degree of literacy (921) so any Increase in this respect would be Insignificant. Rates ~>f ( ii i4M I II ttmëJf Inf«, R-193A/O7/3101 • Page 'J12 I i! •HI . CONIMI ANT« 1 1 Increati In industrial development and alta in disputable i incoi* are reflected In GNP, thus attempt» to apply these 1 other factors would needleaaly complicate projection
calculât lona.
Population Increate, for all practical purpoaet, la
considered to be l.5l/yr. and It not expected to change s I etgnifleant ly during the period ander atudy. ¡I The historical average rate of increase In GNP over the past tan yaara hat been 2.71 per capita (Appendix Page
AX/5). Tha future average rate of Increase in GNP hat been
estimated by COMADK (National Development Council) at
11 essentially 5.51 total or 4.01 par capita (CONADE Development
Plan 1970/74). The arithmetical average of the hlttorlcal
ii GMP per capita Increate of 2.71 and the Government agency »i estimate of 4.01 In future has thus been used as a reasonable • I! value for projection of future consumption, i.e. 3.351 GNP incraaae/yr Hi The way in which this figure it applied will be discussed subséquently in this chapter.
It should be noted that 1971 rste of increase in GNP
: vaa 2.41 but since last year was characterised by a very rapid inflationary trend this figure probably would have !! little significance over tha long term.
Fürth«r information ragardlng market information may be
found in Appendix Section AX. I, AX.2, AX. 3 and AX.4 I R-193A/O7/3101 - Page C/23 I i COMSIMTANTI (b) Promedio» Movi les I ti In order to reduce the effect of the normally large
fluctuât Ioni which Invariably are found in annual figures
the statistical device of "promedio« movile»" (literally
"moving average«") has been applied to historical dati
Successive five-year periodi have been averaged for historical i; apparent consumption and also, fr.r the purpose of maintaining uniformity, to population data. Since in the case of apparent r ir consumption many of the fluctuations are caused by inventory,
incomplete statistics or poor estimates, the figures derived
are essentially realistic and, because the averaging produces Í II a nor« uniform progression of consumption values, they are easier to work with for projection purposes.
Tables 3-C, and 4-C »how historical consumption and
i il population data adjusted by this method.
I TABLE 3-C 1 APPARENT CONSUMPTION ADJUSTED BY PROMEDIOS MÓVILES ¡1 (Thousands of Tons)
i ! Printing end Sack end Linerboatd and Years Writing Tissue I Wrapper Corrugating Medium i! 1960/64 83.84 14.51 68.88 1961/65 92.70 17.3* 79.46 1962/66 98.77 18.24 86.83 1963/67 101.29 19.03 93.44 1,964/68 106.74 21.19 103.42 89.61 1 1965/69 108.98 23.98 113.69 103.65 II 1966/70 111.55 25.99 120.57 119.41 í ii W SOURCE: Own Preparation I
is «tasti« Mmrfw R-193A/07/3101 - Pa ge C/2 4 I il aMSNNSMI . CONSMTAMT« I TABLE 4-C POPULATION ADJUSTED BY PROMEDIOS MÓVILES
{ (Thousands of Inhabitants)
1960/64 21.183,6 1961/65 21.444,2 Is 1962/66 21.708,0 1963/67 21.975,2 1964/68 22.245,6 1965/69 22.519,2 1966/70 22.743,6
! it (c) ?n CsDita Conjunction
Since GMP has been considered in (a) on a per capit a
!! basi Ls, Table 5-C (using promedios »oviles of historical
« commmption and population) shows average per capital i! comlumption for the four paper categories.
II TABLE 5-C ANMUAL APPARENT PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
Print ing and Sack and Linerboard and !» Years Writing Tissu« Wrapper Corrugating Medium
;! 1960/64 3.95 0.68 3.25 1961/65 4.32 0.80 3.71 1962/66 4.55 0.84 3.99 1963/67 4.61 0.87 4.26 1964/68 4.80 0.95 4.64 4.03 1965/69 4.86 1.06 5.06 4.60 i! 1966/70 4.90 1.14 5.30 5.25
:• SOURCE : Own Preparation t f il • I R-193A/07/3101 - Page C/25 IS • COMMUTANTS 1 II 1 (d) Elaaticlty of Demand Referred to C*P 5 The elasticity of demand referred to GNP la the rate [ ( of lncreaae In dastard for a glvan product par IX lncreaae
I In GMP. Thus, dividing the avaraga percent Increase In 1 li per capita consumption derived fron figurée In Table 5-C by the hlatorlcal average lncreaae In GNP par capita (2.71)
the following elasticity coefficients nay be calculated:
Printing and Writing 1.37
Tleaua 3.33 St 1 Sack & Wrapper 3.16 iI, Linar and Corrugating 5.22 l il Tha elasticity coefficient of 5.22 for corrugating I ¡i medium and llnerboard, whan derived in thla manner, appears excessively high. The I demand Increase per year using
I this elaaticlty would be almost 19% which yields very large !! I and aiaoat incredible future demand quantities especially in the last few years of projection. Thla distortion is
I ;! probably caused partially by the shorter series of historical
data and partially by the rapid adoption of a relatively new
product at a rata which is not likely to continue. 'Il! If, aa shown below, tha coefficient of elaaticlty In I' this cas« is calculated using the historical figures from Tables 1-C and 2-C a more rational value la derived: w I
lì Mtméit Mmrfr R-193A/07/3LO1 Page C/26 I MWNIMl . COMUITANTI ¡i
TABLE 6 C
11 COEFFICIEOT OF ELASTICITY - CORRUGATING MEDIUM AND I.INERBOARLi
App. Cons. Populat ion Com/Cap Chang« (000'• of t oni ) (000'a) (Kg) (X)
1964 71.41 21,705 3.28 1965 55.52 21,972 2.52 (23.2) 1966 84.44 22,242 3.80 50.5 1967 107.48 22,516 4.78 25.8 1968 129.21 22,793 5.66 18.4 1969 141.60 23,073 6.15 8.65 V 1970 134.34 23,364 5.76 (6.35) \t Total 73.80 l li Average 12.301 Coefficient of Elasticity - ILi . 3.46 I il 3.66 "°t?- It la eat Ima tec that the average increaae in GNP per ! capita for the period 1964-1970 wou Id be In the order of 3.46t rather than the 2.71 uaed for the period I960 -70.
I II Check calculations of elaatlcity for the other three »* papera, made in the same manner as those In Table 6-C and
covering only the period from 1964-70, give the following
results:
Printing and Writing 1.31
Tissue 3.30
Sack and Wrapper 2.83
These values correspond «fell to those shown on paga !! C/Ï5 thus indicating that the elasticity of 3.46 for liner 11! I is ftaefJu R-193A/07/3101 - Page C/27 I II , CONS WtTANU i« I and corrugating would be more icunatr than that derived by the promedio raovll method (viz. 5.22) ii It la considered, however, that for printing and writing papers, tissue, and sack and wrapper, where the
historical eerles covers a longer period the original
method of computation would be somewhat more accurate.
The elasticity values to be used for projection would i:x.
thus be as follows:
it Printing and Writing 1.37) ) Tissue 3.33) See Pig» C/23 ) Sack and Wrapper 3.16)
l i Linar and Corrugating 3.46
! As additional Indication concerning the relative
validity of the projections shown in Table 7-C (below),
I l! tha projected figure« for Argentina In 1970 and 1979 relaie I to recorded Canadian consumption for the year 1970 as ?» follows: I Kg/Capita 1 of 1970 Cdn. Canada Argentina Consumption 1970 1970 1979 Arg.1970 Arg. 1979 ! Printing * Writing 30 4.9 7.8 16 26
25 ! Tissue 11 l.U 2.8 10
Wrapper fc Packaging 75 5.30 11.3 7 15
Linar fc Corrugating M 5.25 15.8 15 45 'I A 1
I IS ' t, R-19ÌA/07/Ì101 - Page c/?8 I • CONUHTANTI
it,1 I \¡ il Í , It li the Consultant's opinion that the above comparison with Canada lendi credane* io the
projected demand valúas which have been calculated
, li for Argentina. It appears reasonable to predict is that over a period of nine years the consumption •i In Argentina for the papers considered will lncrcaae In the proportiona Indicated under the heading le " X of 1970 Canadian Consumption".
i i <•) Projected Kate of Demand Increase Ml Using the pertinent factors thus far derived i the projected rat« of future demand Increase In il percent per year can be computed according to the I í! formula: I Estimated future rate of demand increase. GNPX elasticity and annual 1 Increase in I!« j! population I Ml M f ii © I iriMNCI IMDtl ••«'«! '• ' !iO I LTANTI July 2i'i, I1)12 R-19JA O? , i 101 Re v . Novf n be r 10 , i 9 7 2 '*" C/29 TABLE 7-C
DEMAND PROJECTIONS it il (Thou •ands c »f Tons) (*) Printing ind Sack and Liner and Ytar Writing Tlisue Wra ppe r Corrugating _- 1975 166.39 47.14 213.24 ¿65.41
i?'; 187.27 59.82 267.87 349.39 it 1979 210.77 75.91 336.50 449.74
1980 223.61 85.51 377.15 506.32
Í 1985 300.51 155.13 667.03 894.29
Batla of Projec- tion 123.81 25.99 120.57 119.41
Ilaat. coeff. 1.37 3.33 3.16 variée
Per capita GNP 3.35 3.35 3.35 3.35
il X Increate In pop. 1,5 1.5 1.5 1.5
GNP x Ela*t. coeff. • annual X Ine rea a* In ti pop. 6.09 12.65 12.08 18.99 ¡r
i; (*) Applying elasticity coefficient to the laat historical consumption for printing and writing and to the last proandlo •ovil of conauaptlon for the remaining papers, and the rate of ine rea a« of GNP resulting froa the arithmetical average of per capita historical GNP and that projected by CONADE H 4 1 Qj ) 1 R-193A/O7/3101 - Pag« C/30 i! II • CONSMrftMTI i (f) Unaatlafled Demand Iü The tormages shown in Table 7-C Indicate estimated total ! future demand for each of the paper products. In order to
í! arrive at figure« Indicative of mill capacities which would
be Installed it is necessary to deduct the portion of this
il future requirement which can be aupplied by operating mills
the idle manufacturing capacity which could be reactivated,
and alao any expansions of existing facilities or new mills
f which are planned for manufacture of any of the producta we íI U* are conaiderlng. 11! Present manufacturing capacitlea are a matter of record li and may be determined quite accurately. Estimation of the proportion of idle capacity which it might be possible to Mi reactivate la a somewhat more complicated matter since it la difficult to know without complete detalla juat how much of
auch capacity could be economically put Into operation and, 11: of that which could be started up again, the proportion which 1 might be applied to each product. Similarly, plans for 'i axpanaion or for new facllitlea can only be evaluated approximately from the point of view of which are moat likely
to go ahead, which are doubtful, and which might never be
reallted or may only be implemented aubsequent to the period •!! under consideration. The manner in which futura manufacturing capacity was
e a tima ted la diacuaaed in the Appendix and e a tima te a are
in • conaldared to be realistic. (Sub»Sac. AX. 17) ; I s o I —- ' - r~ " • T> 00 0 _ O •o î • L :- ki C o o f o - "1 £ in "t " s a IN IN 0 ki • < i O I ' it > £ O m ci ci Cl c» • T) m Cl TJ «J 0 ! : '7 c « kl T t . * W Ou c * ci Cl A" CN rvj CM IN O ^ o> -A r B. Ä * O 3 00 II
• -o Cl 0 o- ki e S m 00 0 :| <» » ao 00 = a ""' 0 Cl r^ s 1 M 5 & t a. ki * S Cl * * » ¿i m ki oo ao oo 00 \ U ft. •o o>1 8 ON Oi »1 o "- -* •"•' -* U <•> «A jf in Cl l ao S o o f>> 0 r» 0 CI 0 l * ** Ä Q • T» 0 -a «»> «Í lA U Q w e in IN O o> in g ¿ e 0 O* m -i ! 1 Ci •-t M S A $ iH i 00 00 oo 1 S • TJ lA S U-l lA in M k> 0 O O O s •H 2 £ 3 H I & !! t-< » -o <» (M n H ao Oi Ml 3 r». » »ri «n m 5 -Í 4/1 r>" oo m r« Oi r» r-» •4 Jï O rv r» JI •H •«-i e CI (M i»» <« m C) «N i* £ O Í > «0 «M t 1• I at l-M «N Cl !! *| —i i kl in Ol O m o • r-. i o> 0^ Oi Ol _l 11 •» . *-' • "* Ûil • 91 M ¡i I I R-193A/07/3101 - Page C/ 32 I 'I MMMMI . COMMTANT1 i) Tabla 8-C (page C/31) ahowt estimated unsatisfied demand which may be expected to exlat at various times in the future.
The estimated 1979 tonnages of unsatisfied demand 'or
each product are those which have been used in determining
the alii capacities which could be installed for each of the •s four producta - assuming of course that no new facilities of which we have no knowledge at thla point would be brought ; i; ¡i into production. j i ¡i C.4 Ml seal lana pus 1 il (a) Papar Product Prices K In view of the ganarally public nature of market prices 1 II for paper producta in countries which have highly developed i papar Industrias it has been somewhat surprising to find chat, !! In Argentina, such Information Is not readily and freely 1 l! available. This situation, we believe, is temporary and has beer, cauaed by the rapid inflationary trend of the past few
11: years, but It has, nevertheless, introduced difficulty and !»1 'i complications Into the evaluation of projects proposed In this I I report. The costs of manufacturing In any country or for any » i! product are usually difficult to ascertain for legitimate business reasons but they can usually be approximated by !! Indirect methods. In this caae such Indirect methods had to be i applied to determine market prices. i il I MUdli Hmrfr R-193A/07/3101 - Page C/33 INWNIiat . CONSULTANTI i : The procedure used was Co determine the ratio of mark-up considered reasonable by paper suppliers and brokers
and to work backward from this to calculate the prices charged
by the manufacturers. The firms and individuals approached
proved most reluctant to reveal even "order of magnitude"
figures (presumably because such information might later be
detrimental to their own interests) and, it is suspected that
v in some cases information obtained was misleading. it It is felt however that analysis of information from a
number of sources combined with judgement as to the reliability
of each source has permitted reasonably accurate estimates
I il to be made. These are shown in Sub-Section AX.S of the ! Appendix and have been used in evaluating the financial
viability of proposed projects,
(b) Official Sources of Information and Statistical Data
Many agencies and associations have been quoted and
referred to in various parts of the report and the Appendix.
These arc listed below with abbreviations which have been I used. 1 Abbreviations
I- A.P.P.: Asociación de Pabricantes de Papel ALALC : Asociación Latlon-Ame ricana de Libre Comercio I ! BIRA - BND : Banco Industrial de la República Argentina - ;« Banco Nacional de Desarrollo B.C.R.A.: Banco Central de la República Argentina C.I.D.I.E.: Centro Internacional de Investigaciones Económi- cas
I !l • I
•Is t Mimélt Mmrfr R-L93A/07/3101 Page C/34 I wimnii. COMMUTANTI C. I.F.: Cost, Inaurane« and Freight r C.F.I.: Consejo Federal de Inversionea CONAOE: Conaejo Nacional de Desarrollo DENEI: Dirección Nacional de Eatadiatlca Industrial FOB: Free on Board INDEC - INEC: Instituto Nacional de Estadísticas y Censos N.U.: Naciones Unidas N.A.B. : Nomenclador Aduanero NABALALC: Nomenclador Aduanero de la Alale O.E.C.E.I.: Oflnclna Eatudtos para la Colaboración Economica Internacional P.B.I.: Producto Bruto Interno S.N.F.: Servicio Nacional Forestal
Sources of Information » Je s* Secretarla de Transportes, Ferrocarriles Argentinos il Asociación de Fabricantes de Papel I t.'i I lí Asociación La ti no-AJO« ri cans de Libre Comercio . ¡; Banco Nacional de Désarroila-Banco Industrial de la Rep. ¡i Argentina i il Banco Central de la República Argentina Centro Internacional de Investigaciones Económicas i Consejo Federal de Inversiones i ii Dirección Nacional de Estadísticas Industriales Instituto Nacional de Estadísticas y Censos ! i Ministerio de Comercio
Ministerio de Hacienda i i! !l Dirección Nacional de Aduanas i Centro Acucarero Argentino
Oficina de Estudios para la Colaboración Economica Internacio-
nal i !l írÜÍ. I IMUH JTwtar •.-193A/07/3101 - rage C/35 «•«Man* . cowwt urn I II I Servicio Nacional Porestal Ministerio de Agricultura y Ganadería da la Nación
I Gobiarno de Tueurnan
Centro Argentino Asucerero
Centro Argentino del Ceaento Portia id
.'I Federación de Obreroa y Eaplesdoj de la Industria del Papel,
lì Carton, Qulmlcoi y Afinei
Instituto Argentino de laclonallsaclon de Materia les ! it Agua y Energia Electrica, Kap re sa del Istado I ! Gas del Estado Centro de Eatudlo dal Traneporte
Asociación Mutual y Crealal de Transportadores da Carga de i ¡1 Tue untan I !l Federación Argentina de Entidades Eapretsrias del Autotranspor- te de Csrgaa I i! C.S Discussion and Conclusions (•) General
'i! •sfora additional discussion of the products vhich have i boon detailed above SOM consideration must first be given i il to the tlaa at which a project or projects basad cm this study could be put into operation. This is necessary in 'I! order to be able to Judge the magnitude of unsatl •fled deaand which will exist at that tlaa, and thus to know • LU capacity
limitations. t ;i • I R-193A/07/3101 - P.g* C/16 'i! i.comwmti ' ¡i Subsequent to accalcane* of the atudy report the principal i í addle lona 1 atapi to final laiplaMntatlon would be- - atudy of report data and formulation of deci alona
and policy concerning tha apaclfic project on which
tu concentrata future attention :i 1; - requeit for tandera for a definitive feaeiblitty 1 ¡ a tudy for the aalected project, aaeeeanent of i 'i aubalMlon and award of tha contract for tha i \i a feasibility «tudy i Î - performance of tha detallad atudy, evaluation of the 1 II conciliatone, dec la lona to proceed and determination of qualifying or Halting factors 1 i fonia ti on of a coapany 1 l! - arrangea«at of financing - engineering, construction and start-up of the mill 11¡ Tha period of tiae required to perfora «11 of theae V essential functions can be very Indefinite - dependant to a 'i'I great extent on the degree of urgency and priority accorded i by tha proaoters. Asaualng proapt attention and, to save time,
soas overlapping or "telescoping" of the various stages, it
Is eatlaated that tha earliest realistic date for coaaencemtnt
of operation for any project would be the beginning of 1977.
Dilatory action, indecleion, or general inattention could, i !l © I R-193A/O7/3101 - Page C/37 I • COMMUANT! III1
result in delays ««asurad in year« or aven completa lota U í of lntareat. However, on the aaaumptlon that all poaalble would be
dona to initiate the new Industry aa quickly as poaslble,
1977 has been assumed aa the first year of operation and, I! estimating two years to eliminate problema and achieve full anticipated efficiency, 1979 would be the flret year at
full rated production. le Unaatlafled demand and all other pertinent factors such as,
11 for instance, bagaaae availability, have therefore been pro- I ! jected to 1979 for the. initial project. It Is evident frasi above Table 8-C that profitable 1 li industries could possibly be Implemented based on the Manufacture of any of the products shown. In each case unsat- Ml isfied demand (1979) will be of appreciable magnitude and 11: calculated ratas of demand increase indicata fair-to-good l 3 futura potential. Thua, in order to select the.product or products which •
I will render optimum baneflta economically and socially, they
are discussed individually in the following paragraphs,
(b) Printing and Writing Papera
The estimated unsatisfied demand of 48,000 tons/yr is 1 I! well within the range for a potentially profitable enterprise. i ¡i m I «terffor attutar R-193A/O7/3101 - Page C/38 I WIMHII . CONIMTANTI
The firm of Ledenma S.A.A. I., for instance, has operated for I !! tome 7 years at a production rate of approx. 10,000 tons/yr.
and propoaea to more than double this production rate in the
next few yean.
The technology of manufacture for printing and
writing papers la, however, quite complex and the consumption
of bagasse (compared to the volumes available) would be
relatively small, It it 5< (c) Tissue 1 I The estimated unsatisfied a.. of 35,000 tons/yr. t. represents a large mill for manufacture of paper of thla type
I I and, quit« probably production of tissue on this scale could I I be a feasible and profitable business. It must be pointed out however that, even at a consumption of ?,5 kg/capita, such
a mill would supply the needs of over 1/2 of the population of i I! Argentina. As mentioned previsouly, because of Its bulky i li nature the shipment of tissue Is uneconomical beyond a i relatively short range thus it is usual to confine such r manufactura to relatively amali plants conveniently located near area« of population concentration. Tucuman unfortunately i i! Is some 1200 km from the largest population center (Buenos
Airas) and savings made possible by large scale production i !! i could conceivably be offset by marketing costs. a I is R- 193A/07/3101 page C / 39 I il I • COMMUANTS (d) Printing, Writing and Tissue - Combined I ! Combining production of these papers into one mill la another poaeihl Uty which might appear f'taible, I.e. production
of 83,000 T/yr. While thay are quite similar in the pulp
production procaaa and in the fact that they are bleached i: papara, the actual conversion Into papers of such diverse charactarletics requires quite different technology and r Ï équipaient. Printing and writing paper machines are limited it In apead to about 400 meters/min. but tissue Is produced at
spaada approaching 1000 m/rain. In practice It Is normal to i Ü use two different types of paper machine for optimum economy I Of production, for printing and writing a machine with a > ü awl tiple cylinder dryer section is required but for tissue a "Yankee" dryer is convtntional. Thau for printing and
writing at least one quite large machine would b* required and 11; for tissue one (and possibly two) separate machines would be i li ne ce s ear y for the projected tonnages. I The limitations mentioned In (b) and (c) would also I still apply. i i! (•) tack. Bat and Wrapper Sack, bag end wrapping papers together with corrugating
medium and liner board fall into the category usually known i as "industrial papers". Se I is R- 193A/07/3101 - Page C/40 I 3 MMIIII . CONMKTANTt In an area ./hete acme SO-70,000 tons of paper sacks «re
uacd for packaging sugar the manufacture of auch paper woulu
appear to be a natural and logical selection. Projected
unaatlafied demand at 138,000 tons/yr. la, moreover, 3 to 4
tínica that for fine paper*.
at Sack paper from bagaaae unfortunately, however, cannot « be produced without ualng a large proportion (up to 501) l| ! of long-fibre pulp to achieve satisfactory strength properties. Ì It n Thua utilization of bagaaae la greatly decreased and Manufacturing coat la proportionately Increased by the
requirement for expenalve long fibra pulp. Although the i Î manufacture of these typea of paper might be profitable, the r lower consumption of bagaaae and the increased requirement for I H long fibre pulp (which must be Imported) combine to make these •> producta less attractive than the other lnduatrial papers vhich I are dlacuaaed below, !» (f) Llnerboard and Corrugating Medium i ;i Theae papers (or paper boards) are the compenenta which
when processed and asaembled form the most coaamon type of
contaloerboard. The normal ration of llnerboard to corrugating
l! in contalnerboard la 2:1 approximately; thua, although they
have been tabulated under one heading In Table 8-C, the !! projected demand of 215,400 T/yr. In 1979 may be conalderad
aa 143,600 tona of linar and 71,800 of corrugating. I !l w I ti k- 1 9 JA/07 / il ni p-Re C. ".1 I il •Itmilll . COtttWt TANTI i : I At this point in the Argentin«- economy the growth of
demand appears vary rapid which it probably due in moat part
f !! te the fact that it hat only ralatlvaly recently come Into
general uae (recordt date back only to 1964). The figurai
for untatltfied demand (Table 8-C) indicate that for the •'I yféT 1979 llnerboard and corrugating medium potential market ».i: will be 4.7 timet that for printing and writing and tissue
and 1.6 timet that for tack and wrapper. it Corrugating medium requlrea no long-fibre pulp and
llnerboard only about 30* (25t In tome catet), to that the i ij requirement for coetly Imported kraft pulp la reduced to reaaonable proportions. Although the bagatae uaed in auch
manufacture la pulped at higher yield than pulpa for the i i other papera dlacuaaed, the consumption of bagaaae la maximum because of decreased content of other pulp and the size of
•ill which can be built to meet the unaatitfied demand. !• The technology of manufacture of corrugating medium it ;! uncomplicated and that for llnerboard la only elightly more
elaborate, and production tonna get per unit width of paper ¡i machine ara high. The optical qualities of both products, particularly corrugating, are relatively unimportant which
means the water quality requirements are not stringent and
chemical requirements are relatively low. i ;i • 1 I R-193A/O7/3101 - Page C/42 I I • COMMUA*« I AU theae aspect« ire Important and particularly advantageous In the province of Tucuman where baga a a« 1«
r!i plentiful, papermaklng akllls are rare, water muat be uaed
several tlmea over, and chemicala must be brought fron
other parta of the nation,
•i (g) Conclusioni
I! Considering than tha fundamental concept which has been
adopted, I.e. the largest possible industry using to the it •taximusi the quantities of bagasse available and also ij considering all other pertinent aspects and conditions, the decision has been made to concentrate investigation on the
sMinufacture of liner board and/or corrugating medium. I "¡i Tha remainder of this report therefore will discuss III utilisation of the bagassa from tha Ingenlos of Tueurnan only >' for production of on« or the other, or both of these II! products, C.» Definition of Coat Hádala
Tha contract for this study (UMIDO 71/53) requests development
of cost models for small, medium and large mills, leaving to the
Consultant the decision as to which,, capacities might apply to each
i: classification. The decision having bean made to concentrate on
linarboard and/or corrugatine medium, tha definition of the three !! mill capacities amargad rather eimply through the application of
practical considerations and tha mora or less coincidental in • I H-193A/07/3iOl - Page C/ 4 •p I.CONIMTAMTt relationship between the production characteristic! and conditions
of the two papers.
Conversion facilities for manufacture of contalnerboard and
fabrication Into boxea are already In existence In Argentina and
it has been sssumed that these plants would expand as the market for
'i their products lncreaaes. Since It Is normally more economical to
Increase the capacity of existing plants than It is to plan and
build new ones, it haa bean concluded that any paper mill proposed Üit would produce only the Materials to enable the existing converters 11 to keep up with growing demand. Thus any new paper mill would (Í manufacture and ship paper In rolla leaving converting to others. In order to reduce converting waste to a ainiaua it is ï i ii necessary to make roll wldtha as auch as possible in Multiples of 11! Che sites of the fluting machines which are used to transform the i* flat corrugating medium into corrugated paper. The liner board also I II I must confora to these sites. A survey of fluters in existing converting plants revealed the aost common widths to be 1.40, 1.70 I and 2.20 asters for paper 1.30, 1.60 and 2.10 aetera wide. I Computations using these latter figuras revealed that sheet widths of 3.2 asters and 5.0 meterá would suit the largest number of hi width combinations and produce the saallest losa, thua paper
machines of these widths ware selected. 1 Calculation of practical production rates for these paper machines using average aheet weights snd, from experience, average ill'I © I fS R-193A/07/3101 Pag« C/44 • t • COMtMlTANTI I ; ? I operating speeds, showed that on llnerboard trlnoilng 5.0 meters average production would be 330 tons/day, and on corrugating medium
•t 3.2 meter trim average production would be 166 tons/day. it I.e. almost precisely In the ratio of 2:1 required for container-
board. i: Additional calculations verified that production of both ». products In the same mill (496 T/D) would utilize the major portion
of bagasse economically available from the Ingenlos located In
u either the Northern or the Southern region of the Tucuman augar belt.
The moat practical Coat Models to be Investigated thua ware t. determined to be:
I i Coat Model I 166 T/D corrugating medium Mi Coat Modal II 330 T/D linerbosrd Coat Model III 496 T/D both products
.1 The capacitlea are realistic taking into account market i I demand, bagaaae availability, and practical mill sizes, and have !' also the advantage that a good comparison of relative financial
I ;! aapacta should be poaalble.
Reference a to Modal I, Modal II and Model III in aubaequent li parta of the report pertain to milla aa apeclfled above.
! in MW I R-mA/07/ìini Pag« D/l WHIIIII . COttttHTAMTS
•il AVAlLABIL:TY_Or BA^ASSt
1 D- l Gsjnartl (See alto Appendix Saction BX.l) I lii <•) »»!»" '"<* Sugar Production Une ton of whole moiet (bOl) bagasse obtained from
each 3.4 ton of can* proteased This represents approximately
291 of the can«. In some augar trills the amount of bagasse
obtainad la eomewhat higher than this provincial average.
(°) Baiasse uatd at fuel
l Üit Bagaste * • waste product used as fuel to generate S* steam, In order to fulfill steam and power in sugar mills
(See Table 1-D). Steam plant Installations In Tucuman il sugar «Ills ara generally old-fashioned. The ingenlos produce i! refined sugar (*) and SOM have alcohol distilleries <**).
Consequently, they have no surplus bagasse, and they
Il usually have to use additional fuels, to generate luftuient
stesa and power (***). Supplementary fuels consumi y used
ars natural gas, fuel-oil and wood. !»
;! In case bagaaae is diverted for other uses, the need
of alternative fuels must be taken into account, on the
basis of calorific values and boiler efficiencies. I!
(*) Lets than 10X of Tucuaan sugar production is coamercialUed !! at cruda. (**) Sugar ailla having distillation plants ara: Agallares, Nils Vitta, Concepción, La Corona, La Florida, La Trinidad, Leales, San Juan and San Pablo. (***)Tabls 1-D ah ova bagasse used at fuel in the varlout sugar íI «lili. I afáfteffor JTi !| R-193A/07/31O1 - Page D/2 I • I . COMMUTANTI I Ü During the visit to several tugar mills in Tucuman, their representatives expressed their concern about the
problem of fuel. The sugar mills should have a&*urance
that they will have the alternative fuel in the required
quantities and a somewhat higher price than the replace- ^1 ment fuel valu« should be paid In order to make it I! interesting to sell bagasse instead of using it as fuel. Other uses of bagasse are presently not significant
le in Tucuman, and they do not amount to 21 of the total ii production of bagasse.
Ml Bagasse la mainly used for paper production in Leales i ¡ and Celulosa Argentin« plants. Leales use 20-251 of their bagasse for a 25 T/day corrugating medium plant. Celulosi
Argentina produce about 16 ton/day of corrugating and
I wrapper, with small quantities of bagasse obtained from !! • ii the Concepción sugar mill. !» Nunorco sugar mill is studying a project for manufacture I;! of particle board using bagasse as raw material. Production I would reach 30 T/D, and the project was well received by
national and provincial authorities. 1 S! (c) Suaar Industry in Argentina Argentina sugar production amounts to leas than one I Í;i million tons in 1970, i.e., more than 11 of the world
i il • I «t-elfor JTwtor R-193A/07/3101 - Page D/3 MWMini. CONIIHTAMTI 1 lì production. All tugar produced is obtained from the
sugar cant. The area of production, 200 thousand Ha.,
is located between 22* and 28* Southern latitude (See
map Fig. I-D). Cane yields are somewhat low at about ii 47 tons per hectare. Installed production capacity of Argentina sugar mills is 2 million tons.
Since 1967 production has been regulated according
to export requirements and consumption estimates, avoiding
! accumulation of excessive stocks, according to a system
established by Law # 17163, Export requirements correspond
•: to Sugar Act (USA) and the International Sugar Agreement, i i and presently these amount to more than 70 and 50 thousand tons respectively (See Table 2-D). 'ii National production is divided into three zones: M! - Tucuman province - Northern region (Salta and Jujuy provinces) ! ¡I - Littoral region (Misiones, Chaco and Santa Fe provinces) I ;! Tucuman has 16 sugar mills in operation, which in í I 1970 produced 54X of total sugar production of the country. Cultivated area In 1970 is 140.6 thousand hectares (69.21
of the national total).
The situation of Argentine sugar production was completely !! modified In 1967 by Law # 17163. This law regulated production
by a system of share« to cane producers, after having determined i :i ® I R-193A/07/3101 Pag* D/4 »I I* . COIMWlTAMTt I II tonal and national totala. Quota* aasigncd In 1969, 1970
and 1971 war«, Tucuman 321, Northern ton* 42X and 61 to
th* Littoral.
(d) Tue uaian
(1) General Information
Situation: 22*6' / 28* South*• latitud« 64*30*/ 66* 11' longitud*
Arcai 22,524 km2
!! Population (1970): 765,962 Inhabitant* ir Population danalt«: 34 inhab./km2 i ¡I Climat«: Van* and humid. Rains per year vary from t: 500 mn in th« Southaaat to 1600 on in th* Southwest. Average annual rainfall for i ¡i San Migu«l d« Tucuman la 933 mm. Unemployment general rate: 10X (April and October)
«i; (il) Sutar Industry In Tucuman
Operating season for Tucuman sugar mills lasts I i! bettman 120 and 150 day*, and it usually begins during . !» the first week of June and ends on th* second week of I¡I October. Furthermore, Art. 20 of National Sugar Law I states that November 15th is the last date to finish
operations. About 551 of the cane is hand harvested, l! 42X is harvested semi-mechanically and only 31 entirely Ü mechanically.
I' !l! m I 1-193A/07/31O1 - Pag« D/5 I II . CCNMUMITI r : Tabla 3-D ahove lugar production by augar mill i i and tha avaraga for cha Laat 10 and 3 yeara, thla laat avaraga haa baar calculated In ordar to give
an ldaa of tha altuatlon aftar tha cloalng of ione
augar milla dua to 1965/66 ctlala.
•i D.2
li (a) iMHIf fl9fr«t9n ln TWtffW"
Tha quant It laa of bagaiaa obtained ara ralatad by ! ralatlvaly flxad coafflclanta to tha quant Itlaa of can*
procaaaad and, of couraa, to augar production. Thla
i mean a that variât lona in bag«aaa aupply ara parallel
to variation! in augar production. Saa Tabla 4-D. 'Ï
I I! I ;i l l! ¡i I il m I : ! - 1 5? 1 •• • • _ r~ - yI i • 1 i I »•» IU x : t — a 1 < ' — » Xì -î r, lA O r - cr _ <*> O ~> O X X •J- O O —• « CD O r. >N f» O '* r , lA (A X íN ao ! ' * i j «<."• < < f- '- t O .A i—i tr> -.* * <* —• C ; r- m X) O ao .f ni» ./•> r-« -Í X T f - I I x —« r- O —« j J- -H A X" '¿ J¿ 1" 1 m r- O tr o A J- f>» J OC r» r_4 r-- lA v^ LA "Í ^ CJv Xi 4 f— ao 'N •A Sí \ 1 - o ¡ 1 1 o* •A (N xi a> ao >t X" r«. a* rA •* O cr » r- m. - ri H »> » -Í C7- c> *A r^ r~ < m ,4 O -< (N u-i á¿ X) ao It j Z J O H M « Z •-) m xi ao| ao h. ° •* ^ ri O m O IX Xi IN x> Q O ^ a 1 ~J *•Z • < 4 H O N » -J -* ir» »j tri ao si x> O ~ ^ ^ IN x> es O ••» 00 ~J a* x< O m 00 ,, H X «í ^í X> c* r- O <""> n J <»> ao O ao mi El «Í 4 r« -< x> x> r- ^J CTi| m —i —* -t i C h I O
IA w fN ;! XI (J -* 1*1 oo o •tf —i ~> oo o >ñ ft (N vO >í ~í ri 00 o «Í .* *t r~ IN O â Xi r» ri <*i fNI o -« ~+ r-* —< ri -* ^ ** ao -•'
o (N < z < M (A a i-l | 3 ¡i te m g « s «¡S R fi o ^ Su O •"« fe 3 H o Ou S s m s 1 O O £ S § 1 (A i-i IN kl O N E ss < í Í « ri Z r- M 2 . < M « Ü Z 3 Z ri OC < i» O O* < < u < < i en o cj J t/> M J W 3 3 (A < z G Iri ri > o" 0 IN z >. 1 > 9 1 « [ ! a-) a! n I UN •Xi (•NI in O ao -o O CI
i -y —• O ao -e o ao —•
J. O c g (M ao o> JO ao NO oo in x> 00 O» C*N .-I CM O -* 0* 1/1
—« o* n Ö
O m CNI o 00 CM O OO CM a- u i/i 5Í 0* O* (M 1/1 CM *0 ci < oo m >» CM s* lT> r«. en CM ui NO O* ON O i/i 00 O
ON 00 ao s ao N© O E O ON NO O» Il ON CM CM 3 N© PI < M -I C»N x> ON •J ri in CI N© CM Ü x> o" ci ON ON O o m •M N© m CI CjN N© •X) in NO ON r» m !! ^» vO CM x> CM I N© in O* CM ao O S f-> o» CT« «M O m
r» CM ON o» ON oo ON ci 3 N© O ON m 00 C/> ci (M c-> r». O fM CM ao R oo 3 (A C S3 O g g S 8 «0 H H H
CM 1! r» &> —i S !! •i § s O I «S tE W fit, (A 3 * e H ¡IC H J w > •> M u < > á 8 CA S 01 o K o en «I 0« H C5 Hi CJs è s Cu M a fc ¡i _, ... ^-. z « 0 .e 00 00 ao in 30 ao 0 ao ao O »ni m I \i »A i/"l A in, : • rs sO vO E t r. =J s£) rs. -^ rs Cs) u-i >n -< ao m r- O O -.0 .£> lA ci n >n rsi ^i <""> rs) rsi rs) r»> •0 JC ö- ••- a •J. Î rs. 0 O <"> <*> O m ao fi rs rn in es) 0 00 O rs, in i >- -X) ^ ^ -"" ÍN (N sj (V) vO N J 4 M "^ -* rs) rs) ao 00 ...-. OS iG 0< il 0É «-> II) ID O -^ r*» r »/"i H st in in ^ m m » in rs so 0 O* «r» 0 ^ < ss in in 0 fs| r~ rs» es) os ^i so CM sj- rn in 0 C C >"• sO vO H ^ fg H m -4 m Psi r"i ^ 0 ^^ m r*. H -4 rg if) ao 0 2 II »4 0 —* st st •f ï U 4 0 ^ N f^ tC 00 r~ H ao rs O m 0 ^ st rs st so rs. rsi rsi a. C 0 a» rs fi >n 10 F4 r** csi csi ao _, — rs t~* ** *4 rsi »n -< f» rs) in es ~+ ^ rn (M pst os M -* m se O» O» st st S. H M It 4» S O- in rsi 00 -4 so vo rs « so ao 0> rs. -* vO rs) o> rs rs 0 ao in ^ rs J= c Id O ^ » n N g O* O sO m ) so •* rs. Q 0» r-i CI sO -4 rs| Csi 5 ••4 C H 5 « I e w i4 00 M 0 O se rs rn 4 to N sO l/S fO d n »4 CM _> m »î ^0 *4 "4 (M -4 ao rsi <* U 2 ¡'s ^4 in ri .t in -4 •* N H OO »4 -4 m m in rs « K4 «4 st st
IN THE PRO ss TABLE 3-D i=3 « 4.
SS 4J "O
• SM £ C) H ^ \0 ^4 .-t Csi m •* 0 © •^ O r* O» sO rsi rs) sO « ri in 0 SV O Os j> m ¡n 00 « ao rs in en O« «1 e x> î 3 I ä tv to * 4 4 >< m O rsi csi .* O <""> r» O —1 O rs 00 00 rsi rs. rs Os OS so r*> O« s* rs r-t H ri ao W ao' «4 0< -4 M <*> •st in >-i rt 91 H 4 m O CS) S* PS O o> t) rs »4 rs) rs) rn iA psi ao n n N o\ rsi csi rn ps in —1 l! >4 V) * s^ O ri CS S X O s¿ O !! 1— 3 Í 1 M 0 H C 41 1-4 ok rs > > 0 •< 8 c ¡i 0 CA 00 I ptf •* < » z a. ö H • SAM JUAN LA FLORIDA DPT. CRUZ ALTA
CRUZ ALTA « DPT.CHICLIGASTA
V) LA TRINIDAD SAN PABLO < lit LA FRONTERITA DPT. PAMAILLA BELLA VISTA
>' CONCEPCIÓN LA CORONA STA. BARBARA DPT. RIO CHICO MARAPA 5^ •j x «a S AGUILARES H 4« H 0« 1 I
?» to o &• —* O- «O «t o «ti«» O f- (N «y> P*> «O C P* f à f• Q -* 00 <7^ m a« «M n «j O c"i ao ri o fl n < «e i—• r« «e IA «t 00 ao r-> «««i Pî •—« rsi ^^r^ro ril (M -• < n .$ «A «A oo «Í O ff< <""> H H OO O «t M M » «T> «O «A fM r» O"» » ao Ifl ri IÍI (S >© > Y p~ r« CM il 00 P"> «O O 00 «t A m r- p«i rii r« O* O <•* (S «* «/> O r- «0 «Í in >t r» r~. «0 «o ,«, !_| ft ri ft fA f* (M ri S , r >nn«o«T ' i «A«î» «O t«. » N ^ O «Í « r«- rA c* •-! 5 «o N i «t O 1 _ «A m f/v P«. «n 4 «t o
O -< O
(A 38 O (N O "> f» «o o >-« p» o <*î(S'-I«O ri o » o p~ !! H H «O S «T> O «J«Í «* «Í (N rsi P» O «í o <*•> r» ao r« r« IN o ri n «M r- x cu x «»> O r» CO «J O ri r« 00 O «A oo •* •< «-< es <*• P» <•"> ao i/i r» 00 et «C -î «t «0 N O p. p» O fl N ¿ ««t O"« kTi lA U !! U 00 I «/) «O O <"1 O oo —' c~< iA «n O «Í «o o «A —< «O M O O fM lAl f. «D O «T> O O >**i o «o «C lA r» o ao en «M t/l «A lA r^ P«. 00 ao -* «e «e «a> r* m er< «s cío**«» ao -<-*-<>« f* r-i io r» r^ m oo o •* «e es a> ri 00 O » lA ro IN (T* «* <î «* >* ao «n «* •* «s ^ 1-4 ft ««t f* «N ao I
CA 3 l! d *<* s 3 en 3 !! U j o CM
1 I i ï* a PAO INA 0/13 I PAGE D/IO I EUH
! f
i I
IIi l I o o II < UJ I O f
REPÚBLICA ARGENTINA
ZONA AZUCARERA # PROVINCIA DC TUCUMAN I
R-193A/07/H01 Pag« E/l I HMit.COmWfAMTI E. OTHER RAW H AT EHI Ai à - AVAILABI. ',TY AND COSTS
E 1 ChemK aU
(•) QSMlâi
Of the chemicals which art Important for the bagaaee
conversion tnduatry, the following hav« been Investigated:
- Line (Calclua Oxida)
¡i Lime at one ! I1 1 Sodium carbonate 'l - Cauatlc soda
i g Aluminum tulphata
- Chlorine
Sulphuric acid
Starch
Ream aite
and the availability and coat have been investigated,
Hoat chemical« are available In Argentina, acme have > i: to be imported. 1 Limited quant Itiaa of eulphuric acid (HjSO.) will be ? required for feed wat er treatment and atock neutralisât Ion. Small amount a of starch, realn, alum which are alao
needed In the procesa would be purchased from local auppllers
: to Che pulp and papar induatry. Mi Table 1-E shows the varioua chamícela with their avail- ability and coat.
An electrolytic plant la not needed alnce the milla a • ccmeldered in the model* produce unbleached pulp. H
I •—---f j - -i- ! * » » '• • r ï S ! 1 » m • 1 - I ; • : r. * -< i & . • 1 3 I - 5 M i : °' ¡¡ 5 » -i• ! • O ¿ -> »• 1i «»t à ¡ 1 1 3 n . i s S lac g II 5 st 2 S g X
i 1 4 s - 1 •N s ì — • a M -.1 U a : u J o • H ri 1 1 I ï h 'i 3 -M j 1«; « Ü1 4 -1 • E • S à f 3 1 SS %\ î II k 3 »• • 3 8 1 j i 1 Î ¿M 1 lì • J u * 2?1 3»! • ì 1 I 1 1 II • jî 1 r> v a i k • 1 }il! i I î 1 • 1 I ! i ;! ! ! 1 il 2 1 . S f 1 i . 1 § Si 8 I! -J i ai à 3 35 i * s IS !! s ! ì jj il ti t 1 *El h ¡gI * r il a. i« (J Bi f " i< il t -1 t li I R-193A/07/3101 - Page E/1 I TANTI
E 2 Fuel
Bagasse , aa a aolid fuel, la a iub-product used In generating H; at »am, In order to fulfill steam and electric power needs fot the different proceeaee In the sugar mills. As mentioned in Section
D 1, any type of combustible may be uied to replace the bagaste,
.'I when availability and technical characteristics make substitut ion
possible.
As the result of preliminary atudy of documentation available, il and field Investigations in the province of Tucuman, wood has been 11 discarded. Due to the lack of adequate legislation on the subject, wood sources near the sugar mills have disappeared, and trans- i i portation from places where it is available has become very costly.
Same situation appears as regards coal.
Mi Prom remaining fuels, i.e., fuel-oil and natural gas, the
latter has to be considered for the sugar mills, due to its lower Mi cost per calorific unit, and reliability of supply. Furthermore, due to the agreement between Bolivia and 'i! Argentina governments on gas supply, Tucuman is crossed by a numbsr of natural gas nains, and some sugar mills have already
begun to us« this fuel. (Sa e Map Fig. I-I). S GAS DEL ESTADO furnishes the natural gas at specified pressures, which are nsver lass than 43 kg/cm on the main pips-
line, and not lass than 10 kg/car* on secondary branches. i i % I
R-193A/07/3101 Page E/a I tàMl i : Pressure reducing piente, ee well ee fecllltlee from them, muet be paid by the coneumer. Ratee (Dec. 1971) as below:
FROM TO cu.mt/mo. cu.mt/mo. $/cu.mt.
- 6,000 0,1740 il 6,001 15,000 0,1071 13,001 30,000 0,0901 30,001 150,000 0,0841 no,ooi 900,000 0,0800 900,001 3,000,000 0,0761 3,000,001 6,000,000 0,0742 6,«30,001 •• Or" «or« ° 0,0721
! re 0.003 $/cu.mt. on the first 6,000 cu.
•t. and 0.001 $/cu.mt. for monthly consumption exceeding thle
K figure. Calorific value of natural gae is 9,300 kg-eal/cu.mt., I il and boilers operate at 85-90X efficiency. 1.3 Lon« Fibre Pulo
Long fibre pulp le almost totally imported, and that from i ¡i countries outside the LARA agreement Is subject to duty ranging
from 5 to 201. ! mçt « s Crude kraft long fibre pulp, Clf Buenos Aires: (•) Ixtra-LATTA ione
Prices obtained were averaged, and the average of taxes
was added to this figure, thus resulting 171.00 US$/ADT.
(b) LATTA «one
Prices obtained were averaged, thue resulting 170.00 US$/ADT
Freight: By rail, carload lots, Buenos Aires-Tucuman: ~
I I-193A/07/3101 - Pag« 1/5 I TAUT» I batvaen 40 and 30 $*/t (8-10 U$S). Figuras uaed for cost calculations wart U$S 170.00
I 11 plus U$3 8.00 fralght. Í ¡I 1.4 Wjltf T§t1\ II Vaate papar In sufficient quantities Is reaálly avallabla In Argentina, stoatly froa tha populatad araas bacausa of tht
higher concentration of uaa.
Fricas for aecond class newsprint Including any freight
laudad in Tucuatam is takan at $• 310 par A.D. aatrlc ton 1 il I ¡i • i; M! I I! •i il ' !!
i !J H
• »«111 ll*l_hfa
[TINOGASTA
[MONTEROS]
INGENIO .APROVIDFNCIA NGfcNIO N_. ; \ •£— ' ^ \\ iNQ€ MOU CORONA#„.
• NOE MO SANTA RCi
INGENIO TRINIDAD
INGENIO HARÁ» « Vili« Alb» V
/
REFERENCIAS
...... LINEA DE TRANSMISIÓN 132 KV .«•GASODUCTO EXISTENTE —, » » EN EJECUCIÓN
i • M^^t«l-*-L ». Il >i>ii'ilil>' J, I r.A.li^J.JIiWntlfi« fc'i
MONTE l [FAMAíLLAJ INGENIO LA t-WONTER!TA INOENIÜ SAN RABL', Luies
«NIO UPBW'Pf NCIA NGtNIO ÑUÑORC0 ( Fa nl«r«*< • •••••••••••»•••«•••••••«•»•••«••••••••««••«•••••••••••••••••i
NGENIO SANTA »OSA
í; • *#-B*n* visu /•/
\ IOAD ^' -"!
*+' v '*>t '< INGENIO LEALES ^ y
/ /.
/ y •v'\ ÈLRUZ AU
/ [LEALES]
ZC PF
ES
t^ffiiJElLii i
—J ZONA DE INGENIOS AZUCAREROS PROVINCIA OE TUCUMAN ENERGIA Y COMBUSTIBLES!
ESCALA „. 1 2 50 000
apa* S It 3
L_ I R-193A/07/3101 - Page F/l • •COMMUTANTI
1 SERVICES AVAILABILITY AND COSTS
F.l Water
The availability of water hai been incorporated into
Subsection H.2 (b) in the dlacuaaion of alternative mill locations,
and little supplementary information need be added here.
Specific information hat been difficult (in fact impossible)
to obtain but in interviews with Government officials and ingenio
managements we have been assured that water in the quantities
required for any of the three mill alternatives, i.e. up to i 60,000 cubic meters/day for the largest mill, can be supplied on a year-round basis.
The cost of any special arrangements which might have to be
made to supply water to the paper mill would not be excessive
particularly if it la located adjacent to one of the larger
ingenios. !! i: P.2 L230I (a) Cenerai I» ¡I There are two electrical power systems in Tucuman - on« national and one provincial. The systems are, however,
interconnected so that for most areas of the sugar belt,
high tension transmission lines are within convenient range
and, in general, the supply of power for any of the alternatives
•Î should present few problems (See map Figure It). i !l PIP rMD i I I
Mimato R-19JA/07/3101 - Pa3e F/2 I MWNIHI. COMMUTANT» Power thatavteristici are 50 cycle, three phase,
I Because of the interconnections with otber systems,
interruptions in supply would be expected to be relatlvel/
infrequent. Except for emergency lighting provisions,
therefore, the papet mill would not require to have stand-
by generating capacity. i; Power transmission is for the most part at 132 KV on the main lines thus, since voltages in the mill would be
3300 maximum ranging through the various standard voltages,
depending on application, down to 220 V, two transformation
stages might be required. Alternati »ely, ft might be
i ¡i possible to connect to an existing 33 KV substation, n
which case new transformers would be required enly at the
paper mill. In either case the cost would be chargeable I ii to the project and the transmission line would be provided 11¡ by Agua y Energia. The cost of a primary substation, should it be necessary, would be included in mill capital ili costs. Since, however, particularly in the North it is i considered quite probable that 33 KV power would be ! available, funds have been allowed fot the secondary sub- ! i: station only. •Î The costs of power have been based on the rates HI applicable to the last quarter of 1971, as follows: l ÍI • I roa« I R-193A/07/3101 - Page F/3 I MWMIIII . COMMUTANTS Per Kw contracted $a 16.46 per month
Per Kwh consumed $a 0.029
Certain minor taxe« may in some circumstances apply
to these rates, but these have been ignored.
(b) Cost of generated power
In the calculation of manufacturing costs, it has been
assumed that the power necessary for each of the paper mill
alternatives would be purchased at the rates specified for
the Tucuman area la "Regimen Tarifario No. 708/70".
At their respective consumption rates, power cost for
all thro« mills has thus been computed to be $* 0.0545 per
KWH or, at 5 $«/US $, 10.9 mils.
For comparison the following calculations show the
estimated cost« of power which would result if generating
equipment were to be installed in the different mill«.
Factors common to all case« are:
Kilowatt hour 860.4 Kg. Cal.
Calorific Valu« - Natural Ca» 9300 Kg. Cal./m3
Generating Efficiency 851
The gro«« return on investment for generating power
in each of the three models 1« shown In Table l-F.
I • o I r*
!ï I O
«o M o 3 « —I 1-1 c U «I a « I ï fi >< 4-1 oí M « W M 41 4J <* S! «I >s «i « > M « C o O M -* o M u O C c O H •ri T) O O CT. 41 CM IX u •o • 3 3 4J U ti (ft m s u • oo tri in 4> *J 0* « 3 oo wt p» h «• ! U O •H 0 o O o H *J u 00 m m i« u o r* 0 3 V O eC o? > » ë < Ou -H o •H 3 S as M 8 •O • § M a i V CA S N • v0 ri M 2 « D in .fi o u9 m U «V Wl 2 g 3 u BU m O I 5 « (N ü 4-1 V U C <* 41 > y 0 I Ì u) !! te 0 C « U 0
« 4 I S g I! 8-2 s! «M u a. «ri cr. 41 0 M iS 4 ö n 5 TI I-I Q. i «J « N X 4) •n se u Jtî 'S 3 « « 2 l!
I 1 O IN 0
> I i li H ! I R-193A/07/3101 - Page F/5 I > CONSMTANTI The figures developed above thus indicate that savings
of at least 50% In power cost would be possible by providing
for in-plant power generation. It should be noted also that
loan interest at 151 and repayment in 10 years have been
used intentionally to show a conservative estimate of the
savings. If money is available at lower interest and for a I! longer term, the savings would be proportionately greater. These are attractive figures and it is recommended that u in a complet« feasibility study for any of the three projects li the Inclusion of in-plant power generation should be fully Ml investigated. i il F. 3 Transportation I Within the province of Tucuman transportation facilities are
excellent Two paved national highways (#9 and #38) pass through
the area, there are many paved secondary roads to the larger I* i I! municipalities, and these are fed by a complex network of consoli- !• dated and dirt roads. All roads remain in good condition even during the perioda of heaviest precipitation. In the area of the
'? sugar belt tha terrain is almost uniformly lavai with a very slight I I • lope generally to the East and somewhat towards the South, I i! Conditions for road tranaport therefore leave little to be desired. Several relatively large trucking companies have headquarters
at San Miguel da Tucuman so that competitive bids on trucking
I contracts should be possible. This is particularly interesting SI Si I R-193A/07/3101 - Page F/6 . 'I MMHMI , COMttKTANTl
from the point of view of bagasse transportation.
All ingenios, of course, are accessible by means of quite
satisfactory roads since the major part of the cane la delivered
by tractor-trailer trains.
Similarly rail facilities are more than adequate. Two
railway systems operate in the province, Ferrocarril General Mitre I! (standard gauge) and Ferrocarril General Belgrano (narrow gauge). The combination of the two different gauges might cause minor
u problems in respect to some locations but service to and from most areas can usually be supplied without difficulty. Both
rail systems connect with moat of thelarger centers such aa
Buenos Aires, Rosario and Cordoba so that shipment of supplies
to the mill and finished products to the consumers should be
relatively simple to organize and arrange.
The map, Fig. II-F, gives a good general picture of road
and rail distribution, although on such small scale it is not
I !! possible to Indicate the many minor sideroads and spurs which !»
! ;! could be of interest. I Cost s of transportation are indicate! 1 for chemicals , kraft f pulp etc. In the relevant sections of the report and in I the i i! Appendix. I il The largest tonnages to be shipped out of the province ;i would, of course , be the finished paper. Coatii for such shipment ili I R-193A/O7/3101 - Page F/7 I ¡I •MINIMI . CONHHTANTI in box cars-carload lots of not lei» than 507. of rated car
i 5 loading would be:
CORDOBA ROSARIO BUENOS AIRES í » Distance Coat/Ton Distance Cost/Ton Distance Cost A"" i $• $• $•
F.C.G.M. 643 km 31.44 842 km 42.43 1143 48.87 'I F.C.G.M. 563 kto 34.24 926 km 40.09 1221 51.21 Transfer from one gauge to the other would have a surcharge
of $• 2.90/ton. u Standard gauge load limit 50 tons
Narrow gauge load limit 35 tons
II Ratas for road transportation ara mora difficult to specify i since truckers arc inclined to adjust their charges according to I circumstances prevailing at any given time. Also, because of
I ii rapid inflation, they are reluctant to quote on a contingency
basis. The rates which have been obtained, however, are more or
less competitive with the rail shipment costs shown above.
i ¡: It is felt that the major part of product shipment would I Ü probably be by rail but in sons cases road transport might have i I advantages. It is also considered quite likely that for the tonnages I! Involved discounted rates could be negotiated. A realistic rate would possibly be about $* 40 per ton. !
i il H \ 'INO GAST Al
MONT tfôs]
IM«N APCCN'Df KÙÀ N'*VO Ki
REFERENCIAS CAMINO PAVIMENTADO SECUNDARO CAMINOS NO PAVIMENTADOS FERROCARRIL LINEA PRINCIPAL) (RAMAL) • PUNTOS ACOTADOS DEL TERRENO
IHK- _?"^3fcW''WN^^fft». ^5
•« M"NT£çOS' TA MA! UÀ" •Mi VC A ' SON r F ¡T'A K *,F V'v 'JAN ^*H.
LU1«
J S <9TV ; '• ».." .A V* \p ^ NO»CQ ¿maiiié
rà '^BS-^A - S'A
ViSté
Í - !
INGENIO -EALES I
[LEALES,
mmmm*3*~" ni la » „1 ^
ZONA DE INGENIOS AZUCAREROS PROVINCIA DE TUCUMAN CAMI NOSJ FERROCARRILES
ESCALA. 2 5000 i iitrni. 3 R-193A/O7/310L Page G/1
LABOUR AND MANAGEMENT
G. I OmenUetlon
Th« Organisation Chart - Fig. 1-G illuetrates a typical
arrangement and assignment of functlona which would be lultablc
for aach of the thraa alata of mill undar consideration.
Administrative and auparvlaory poeltiona down to the levai of
the varloue mill auparIntendant a are shown and, below that level,
the reaponalbilltiea of aach auparlntendant are indicated in
broad acopa.
It may be seen that total personnel subdivides into four
eaeentlally distinct groups.
- Head Office
- Mill Admlniatration
- Mill Operations
- Mill Repair and Maintenance
The functlona of thaaa individual groups are different in
perspective and performance but all must cooperate and correlate
well to achieve a smooth running, efficient and, above all, a
profitable operation.
G.2 Personnel Requirementt end Cott
(a) Foreign
It la considered very improbable that any of the
propoaed milla could be completely ataffed right from the
outset by Argentlnea possessing all of the skills and I MâmëJf Mmttor K-193A/07/3101 - Page G/2 «•Ml. CONItaTANTI
! experience necessary for efficient start-up and operation.
For certain mill management positions in particular, willing-
ness to work and learn, and potential ability and enthusiasm
cannot substitute for eKperience in the complex equipment,
techniques, system» and procedures involved In paper manufacture.
For the purpose of achieving a well organized and profitable
operation as quickly as possible it has thus been deemed
advisable to provide for the temporary employment of foreign
ir experienced personnel to administer some of the key functions li I until Argentine Nationals can be fully trained to assume the responsibilities of these most important management posts. I ¡I Table 1-G has therefore been prepared to show the extent and coat of foreign assistance considered necessary
for the smallest mill, and Table 2-G shows similar Information I ! for the medium and largest capacity mills. i In the estimation of costs, it has been assumed that
I I • alary levels would conform to North American Standards and I ;! that usual concassions such as exemption from income tax, i ! and free housing, medical care and local transportation would be granted. The f^rst of these advantages would involve ! II no extra cost to the prjject(s), but the remainder have been ! < i allowed for In the column headed "Annual Allowance". Return transportation expense for the men themselves, their families
and a reasonable amount of household effects, has also been is A ine luded.
1.0 ' If ¿J II ill i o 8
125 14 16 I ¡i R 193A/07/JIOI - Page G/3 I • 1 . CONIMTANTI In referente to the Item "Recruiting Expense and Pee"
it hat been a i tumid that the recruiting of expatriates would f be arranged through Contultantt qualified to evaluate the ik.lllt of the applicants. This it a conventional method >f I, li finding and selecting the moat suitable candidates for the various potitions and carries with it the advantage that '\ provltlon may be, and utualiy is, included for handling all
administrative matters in referente to expatriate personnel.
Ir Under tuch an arrangement the Contultant would continue to si observe carefully the performance of the selected men in the
positions to which they have been assigned and, should it
prove necessary, would arrange to replace any who thow them-
I •elvet to be below the required ttandard. In addition, since
i i> expatriates are normally retained unde- two-year contracts,
the Consultane would renegotiate the contracts of those men !! scheduled to atay three yeart, or would arrange for replace-
ment of pertonnel who do not wish to remain after the original
li contract period. The »urn allowed for this item has been ettimated on the baalt that the Consultante reeponslbilitles
in thia respect would encompass the full scope which has been l! outlined. The possibility cannot be ignored that some of the !! positions suggested for expatriates could be filled by
Argentine, or at least Latin American, personnel at salaries li m I ftaeffer R-193A/07/3101 - Page G/4 I •ISSIISS» . COmUlTANTI and allowances aubstantia!Iv lover than those estimated In
Tablea 1-G ar.d 2-G. A very significant advantage In the
elimination of language difficulties would, nu doubt, result
from employment of such people If they ci.i be found. However,
since expatriate assistance Is normally considered to be an
indirect capital expense to be written off over a fairly I! lengthy period any variation from the totals shovn would have relatively Insignificant effect on the overall cost of
It product ion. 5< (b) Argentin«
For estimating purposes It has been assumed that: I I! - As indicated above certain mill executive, operating, and maintenance management functions would be performed ill initially by expatriates possessing krowledge, skills I l! and experience particular to the paper industry. f I! - Each position held by an expatriate would be understudied ?» by an Argentine of adequate skills and ability to permit f ;i him eventually to take over the full duties and responsi- I I bilities of the function for which he is being trained. - A suitable prestart-up training program would be implemented I i! to ensure that other men in various key positions will possess adequate skills to permit them to work efficiently
and to impart their knowledge to others being trained on
the Job.
• I BtméJi fwMr R-193A/07/UOI - Page G/5 I BN*«IIHI , COMMUANTS il All Head Office personnel and, wit!» the exception of the
position» lo be held Initially by expatriâtes, alL mill f personnel would be Argentine. Accordingly average wage rates have been estimated with reference to the provisions ü of national labour agreement s, and salary levels in 'A accordance with current standards in Argentina Based on these assumptions Tables 3-G, <4-G, 3-G and
6-G have been developed to show the approximate number of
people and annual costs for each Cost Model and each of the It principal sub-dlvlsions of personnel. For convenient reference
'. Table 7-C sunmarlies the four precading tables in terms of
the number and costs of personnel required for the three
alternative mills. il It will be noted that, although the productive capacities of the three "Models" are in the general ratio of 1:2:3, the !! additional personnel and costs do not even approach these
i; proportions thus illustrating one aspect of the advantage of I;! scale. I G.3 Personnel Avallability
(a) FOMIM
In most of the positions suggested for expatriates
experience in the manufacture of bagasse-based paper, though
! ¿•titrable, would not be a prerequisite. The principal require- m ment* would be sound basic knowledge of the duties and I Jtetffar «farlter R 193A/O7/3101 - Page G/6 i H •NMHMI . COMMUANT! • ¡I responsibilities of the positions vhich they have been
11 »fleeted to administer combined with willingness and
ability to impart their knowledge to the Argentine trainees.
The Paper Mill, Pulp Mill, and Control Saper intendent s, and li to some extent the General Superintendent, h ove ver, should alto have a record of proven competence in the processing
of bagasse Into papar.
There is no doubt that adequate incentive in addition
le to th*j challenge of contributing to the success of a new I 5 4 1 i enterprise would interest well qualified man from most of e. the industrially advanced nations of the world. It is thus 1 Sí considered that the principal difficulty in this respect Ï! 1 would occur In selecting the most suitable candidates. O (b) Argent ine i II Aa indicated in sub-section G. 2, for any of thr proposed 11: projects, that intention is to staff the Head Office and the I! complete mill from the available manpower resources of l? Argentina. Even In the cases where foreign petoonnel have i I been recommended to assist during the early years provision has been made for the employment of Argentines who would ! i! eventually take over the various positions. In common with many other large industries the preferred
location for the Head Office would probably be Buenos Aires
but, If desirable, It could also be In Tucuman province. At [¡i # I R-193A/07/3101 - page C//'
• i either location there should be ¡10 problem in attracting
I !( competent people to perform the various necessary admini-
I strative functions. f I Ì The Northern ingenios ere more closely grouped thus, I economically, this area would be a convenient site for the Initial mill. At least five sugar mills and also the city I of San Miguel de Tucuman would be within easy acceas. With such resource« to draw upon, little difficulty should be
I It1 encountered in finding suitable people to fill all admini- strative, operating and maintenance Jobs not requiring
specialised paper-making skills and knowledge. Similarly, 1 professionale such aa engineers, chemists and accountants, mature men with trades foreman qualities, machinists,
electricians, pipefitters and other tradesmen, secretaries,
typlats and clerks, and all necessary common labour should
also be available from the appreciable labour pool in the
i t area, or certainly from within the province.
Recruiting of the supervisory and operating personnel
i who would be actively involved in the pulp and paper production
processes la expected to present somewhat of a problem in l! finding the required number of suitably experienced men. •very effort, therefore, muet be aade to ensure that the !! maximum number of operating jobs will be handled by people
with some background in papar manufacture and preferably,
1 I R-193A/07/3101 - Page G/8 I II. COMMUTANT* »on» working knowledge of the functions they will be expected
I ; to perform. Assuming that an appreciable nucleus of trained
operstors will exist it Is considered quite practical, for
the remainder, to employ awn who indicate potential to learn
quickly.
Trainee» to understudy expatriate counterpart» constitute I! a select group and would have to be chosen from the best of the experienced Argentine applicants In accordance with most
Ir exacting standards and exercising the best possible judgment. ii It must be kept In mind that the expatriates only serve to I assist In getting the project under way in minimum time and ( II with optimum efficiency. The future and continued succès« of the total venture will eventually depend totally on the
11¡ abilities of the trainee candidates to put into practice Ml what they have learned and collectively, to form a stvong l I! management group. G.4 llUÛiM 1 ;! It is important for a smooth «tart-up and continued operation that, right from the beginning, the key positions on the operating
staff should be managed by man who are familiar with their I! respective jobs and who, ideally, have spent some time performing similar functions under similar conditions. Since it is improbable !! that an adequate supply of such fully experienced men would be
available for staffing the proposed mills, a well organised training I R-193A/Ü7/3101 - Page G/9 I «SMI . CONSMTANTI program would form an essential part of the project planning.
At this point in time the total scope of the training which
would be required is somewhat indeterminate because this is toa
great extent dependent on th« number of skilled, partially skilled,
and unskilled men which can be found and employed. Generally, 1 however, it is visualized that two different phases should be 1 implemented: - Periods of training in operating mills manufacturing products I1 U similar to those proposed,
- Pre-operational on-the-job training.
The first of these would apply principally to the key men
on the operating staff such as the management trainees and tht
men who have been nominated as foremen in the various procesa ¡I departments. If a disproportionately large number of totally i II inexperienced men must be employed some of these alto may have
to be included. ! I Í To ensure experience In modern methods and technology such !» ( ¡i training should, If possible, take place in only the most advanced I I bagasse-based paper manufacturing plants available. To avoid language problems preference would be given to mills located in
Latir. American countries but it is recommended also that the more
important personnel should spend a period of time in the best of !! North American mills engaged in this type of manufacture. It is II estimated that an average period of two months would be the i ¡i • I Ita«!!«* R-193A/07/3101 - Page C/10 I II. COMMUTANTI ninim^m tor hest results.
The finding of suitable mills which will accept trainees,
specification <>f the type and amount of training required, and
travel and accormiodat ion arrangements for the men involved will
req.ire an appreciable amount ot lead-time. Formulation of plans 'A and selection and assignment of personnel for the various operating fi.net ions should therefore be done as early as possible
during the construction phase. s The second aspect of training, as implied, would take place it i In the new mill itself and would include those who have spent periods in other mills together with all other members of the i i operating crews. These personnel would be assembled at the mill
I for varying periods of time before the initiation of production i ü Is attempted so that they can familiarize themselves with the
system and equipment and can participate in training sessions, 11: including dry runs, in all of the process departments. For the general run of operating personnel an average period of two r ;i months should be adequate for this phase of the training. The
I management trainees, however, should be engaged at the same time
as their expatriate counterparts so that over and above the time
•pent in other mills and in the mill pre-operational training
they would have additional time to become familiar with all ! aspects of the functions which they are understudying. m I I! R-19W0?/J101 - Page C/l I I M. COMMUANT* ti'iO • . i.'\i aliati ' '.iiiitpg coiiwfp t ca - i.ir.ih If . ost <• r>i»\>'
u •i ' '. i.-i -;» • im«* ' J fe, *• A ol the propesaci milis dud int l.^ded ir í ! Deve ! opine 1.1 tupen?*-. G, 'i A¿ : crarodat lori a-id Trar.spcrt at fen
[ An ptiSf-ntly propeseci, the location of the initiai project
Will be almost adjacent to Sar Migiel de TV.jman th.? it i > not
considered ne essary to p:evtde on-site housing or iirnur.it y ¡Í facilititi. Svitablt ac ccrrmodat lot fo- expatriate and local nanage- It mert personnel should be readily available in the city THe
remainder of the working force, being in major part recr.ited
from the Immediate area, wo. Id likewise not requite ary special
a.cotranodat Ion provision.
Similarly 11 at-sportat ion to and from work would not be • i expected to present any particular problem sine, if it doe - not I !! already exist, it should be a simple matter for existing public I transport facilities to arrange to provide adequate service at appropriate times
[ ¡I No allowance, therefore, either capital ot operational, I has been made for either of these items, G.6 Management Contrant
Since implementation of any of the çreposed projets vo,*ld
constitute the introduction of a relatively laige indi fiai
i\ venture into a country where a comprehensive background In pulp . *
'Iif t ÍI I R-l9U/07/110! - Page G/12 I II.COWSMTAMTt and papt: iram ' a :. • e A<-y not exist at ¡resin, it is ree .mmendea
that a man a a«? merit contract should ne negot i at * d to cover, in f !;
particular, recruiting of ccirpetent sjpervisorv , • «.uinel lb M (incl-.ding expatriate») and actual management of the mili ir its • ii ea-ly years These servUea tan be sipplted eithe' by a firm operating similar mills or by a consulting engineering firm wit* 'i! experience in managing pulp and paper mill« based on bagasse as i the p'ime ra« material s The contract should be for a minimum period of about fo-r i* 11 years - approximately one year pre-operational, and three year» after sta*t-' p. It sho_ld permit the management team to -.ecruit i i suitable operating personnel and to Institute all operating I procedure* and ptores« techniques deemed necessary for the ultimati achievement of an efficient and economic operation, To avoid
I II complications and promote coordination of effort, the best artange- ' I! ment is normally tc combine the management and engineering contracts. f S
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