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DAILY LOS ANGELES COVID-19 Data Summary

Response Day 305 Prepared by Monday 11, 2021 City of Los Angeles, Mayor Garcetti’s Innovation Team INDEX ● Data Snapshot ● United States Update ● Key Indicators ● COVID-19 Vaccinations ● Demographic Comparisons ● Comparative Updates (LA City/County/CA) ● City Response and Preparedness ● Economic Analysis

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Page 2 COVID-19 DATA SUMMARY Data Snapshot COVID-19 restrictions: Regional Stay Home Order (Southern California Order in Effect as of Dec 6, 2020, 11:59 PM)

The Regional Stay Home Order, announced 3, 2020, and a supplemental ICU Availabilities as of 1/11/21 Current Regional Stay Home Order Status order, signed , 2020, went into effect at 11:59 PM the day after a region has Region ICU Availability Order been announced to have less than 15% ICU availability. Northern California 35.0% Does not apply

• The supplemental order clarifies retail operations and goes into effect immediately; Bay Area 0.7% Threshold met • The orders prohibit private gatherings of any size, close sector operations except for critical infrastructure and retail; Greater Sacramento 9.7% Threshold met

• And require 100% masking and physical distancing in all other sectors. San Joaquin Valley 0.0% Threshold met

Once triggered, these orders will remain in effect for at least three weeks. After that Southern California 0.0% Threshold met period, they will be lifted when a region’s projected ICU capacity meets or exceeds 15%. This will be assessed on a weekly basis after the initial three-week period. Statewide Metrics as of 1/11/21

*Surge capacity beyond these numbers be possible Last Updated 1/10/2021 based on individual hospital’s bed and staff surge plans • 74.1 New COVID-19 Positive Cases Per Day Per

100k Residents

• 15.0% 7-Day Positivity Rate Legend • 0.0% ICU Availability Source: COVID19.CA.GOV

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Source: State of California Page 4 COVID-19 Los Angeles County | Ny State Cases Per 100k Residents LAST STATE REOPENING METRICS % DIFF VS REPORTING METRICS AsAs of of Jan , 2021, 26, 1 PM2020, 3:00 REPORTINGPM DATE RATE LAST METRICS DATE LAST METRICS

New COVID-19 positive New reopening metrics and tier 1/5/21 107.9 -18.7% 12/29 132.7 assignment were previously announced on cases per 100K Tuesdays. On 16, the State announced that they may start reporting Adjusted case rate for tier metrics more frequently and on days on 1/5/21 65.8 -0.9% 12/29 66.4 assignment than Tuesdays.

All metrics are evaluated on a 7-day lag +1.3% Positivity Rate 1/5/21 17.8% 12/29 16.5% Current data range: 12/13/20 - 12/19/20 (% Point Difference)

New COVID-19 positive cases per 100K Health Equity Metric +1.6% 7-Day average new positive cases per 1/5/21 25.0% 12/29 23.4% 100K residents (starting 10/6)* (% Point Difference)

Adjusted case rate for tier assignment An adjustment factor for counties that are testing above or below the state average. CURRENT LOS ANGELES COUNTY RISK This adjusted rate is used for “new case” LEVEL: WIDESPREAD metric rather than the raw case rate.

Positivity Rate 7-day average of positive lab- confirmed COVID-19 cases divided by total tests

Health Equity Metric The test positivity rate in the Lowest Healthy Places Index Quartile Census Tracts.

Source: California Department of Public Health

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Page 5 LOS ANGELES COUNTY COVID-19 Los Angeles County | Ny State CasesCURRENT Per 100k Residents CURRENT METRICS TODAY’S TREND VS LAST % CHANGE VS TREND VS % CHANGE VS KEY METRICS AsAs of ofJanuary , 26, 2021, 2020, 3 PM 3:00 PMAVERAGES WEEK LAST WEEK BASELINE BASELINE

Key Takeaways: 15,301 New Cases (7-day avg.) +11.3% +1,367.0% The following metrics have seen (7-day avg) undesirable movement over the past seven days for which data are available: New Cases, New Deaths, 7-Day COVID 220 New Deaths (7-day avg.) +18.3% +335.6% Positive Test Rate, Acute Care Bed (7-day avg) Capacity, ICU Bed Capacity (vs baseline), and LA City Unemployment Insurance Claims (vs baseline) COVID 7-Day Positive Test +9.1% 20.7% Rate (as of one week ago) +1.4% COVID+ Test Rate is The following metrics have seen desirable (overall) % Point Difference w/ baseline movement over the past seven days: ICU Bed Capacity (vs last week), LA City Crime, and Unemployment Insurance New Hospitalizations 632 Claims (vs last week) +2.1% +306% (7-day average)* (7-day avg)

*Unless otherwise noted, the baseline period is the week of 4/18/20-4/24/20, our highest week in the month of , first full month of reporting on record Acute Care Bed Capacity 240 -7.6% -78.5% LA County has not updated the new hospitalizations, and (7-day avg)** (7-day avg) bed Capacity (Acute and ICU) data since 1/5

**As of 1/9/21, data from an alternate source ICU Bed Capacity 31 Undesired Trend +7% -87.4% (7-day avg)** (7-day avg) Desired Trend Desired Change 390 daily crimes LA City Crime (7-day avg) Undesired Change (7-day avg) -14.8% -23.8% baseline = 2019 YTD No Change as of 12/31/2020

Source: Los Angeles County Department of LA City Unemployment Health, COVID Tracking Project 6,431 Ins. Claims (includes PUA) -11.1% +384% as of 12/26/2020 Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team baseline = equivalent 2019 week Page 6 COVID-19 DATA SUMMARY United States Update COVID-19 US Cases - Per Capita State Comparisons (TOTAL CASES) As of January 10, 2021, 4:00 PM • One-day lag

Cases are on the rise, particularly in the West Top five states, based on new cases over the last day include:

#1: 2,671.0K cases in California (+49.7K) - 6752 per 100K 29.7K deaths in California (+468) - 75.1 per 100K

#2: 1,954.4K cases in (+15.9K) - 6809 per 100K 29.9K deaths in Texas (+186) - 104.1 per 100K

#3: 1,450.6K cases in (+12.0K) - 6810 per 100K 23.3K deaths in Florida (+111) - 109.2 per 100K

#4: 1,126.4K cases in New York State (+15.4K) - 5764 per 100K 31.7K deaths in New York State (+153) - 162.1 per 100K

#5: 1,028.8K cases in Illinois (+4.7K) - 8074 per 100K 19.3K deaths in Illinois (+83) - 151.4 per 100K

Rounding out the top ten are: Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Georgia, North Carolina Legend for map New cases per day in the United States

California ranks ... #1 in Cases #29 in Cases per 100K

#3 in Deaths #39 in Deaths per 100K

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Source: COVID Tracking Project Page 8 COVID-19 US Cases - Per Capita State Comparisons (NEW CASES) As of January 10, 2021, 4:00 PM • One-day lag

Cases are on the rise, particularly in the West. Top five states, based on new cases over the last day include:

#1: 2,671.0K cases in California (+49.7K) - 6752 per 100K 29.7K deaths in California (+468) - 75.1 per 100K

#2: 1,954.4K cases in Texas (+15.9K) - 6809 per 100K 29.9K deaths in Texas (+186) - 104.1 per 100K

#3: 1,126.4K cases in New York State (+15.4K) - 5764 per 100K 31.7K deaths in New York State (+153) - 162.1 per 100K

#4: 1,450.6K cases in Florida (+12.0K) - 6810 per 100K 23.3K deaths in Florida (+111) - 109.2 per 100K

#5: 618.5K cases in Arizona (+11.2K) - 8624 per 100K 10.1K deaths in Arizona (+105) - 141.4 per 100K

Rounding out the top ten are: North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Georgia, Oklahoma Legend for map New cases per day in the United States

California ranks ...

#1 in Cases #32 in Cases per 100K

#3 in Deaths #39 in Deaths per 100K

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Source: COVID Tracking Project Page 9 COVID-19 US Cases - Per Capita County Comparison (Counties >=100K ppl) As of January 10, 2021, 4:00 PM • One-day lag

Top 5 per capita (per 100K) cases by County:

Yuma, Arizona: 14,626 cases per 100K (31,268 total cases)

Lubbock, Texas: 14,244 cases per 100K (44,238 total cases)

Minnehaha, South Dakota (Sioux Falls): 13,423 cases per 100K (25,924 total cases)

Potter, Texas (Amarillo): 13,322 cases per 100K (15,642 total cases)

Imperial, California: 13,259 cases per 100K (24,028 total cases)

Los Angeles, California: 9,167 cases per 100K (920,324 total cases) Los Angeles County ranks #59 out of 584 counties with 100K+

Source: Los Angeles County Department of Health, Johns Hopkins University

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team

Page 10 COVID-19 US Deaths - Per Capita County Comparison (Counties >=100K ppl) As of January 10, 2021, 4:00 PM • One-day lag

Top 5 per capita (per 100K) deaths by County:

Bronx, New York: 366.3 deaths per 100K (5,195 total deaths)

Queens, New York: 339.5 deaths per 100K (7,652 total deaths)

Navajo, Arizona: 335.4 deaths per 100K (372 total deaths)

Kings, New York: 308.4 deaths per 100K (7,895 total deaths)

Essex, New Jersey (NYC Metro Area): 304.0 deaths per 100K (2,429 total deaths)

Los Angeles, California: 122.0 deaths per 100K (12,252 total deaths) Los Angeles County ranks #190 out of 584 counties with 100K+

Source: Los Angeles County Department of Health, Johns Hopkins University

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team

Page 11 COVID-19 • LOS ANGELES Key Indicators Cases, Deaths, Testing, and Hospitalizations HOTLINE SERVICES

LA County New Cases and New Deaths, 7-Day Average All metrics last updated at 1 PM, , 2021

CASES DAILY UPDATE DEATHS DAILY UPDATE 0.97 12,617 932,697 1.3% 137 12,387 Infection Rate New Cases Total Cases Mortality Rate New Deaths Total Deaths Ideal < 1.0

7-DAY AVG OF CASES & DEATHS KEY TAKEAWAYS

The past seven days have seen an average daily increase of 15,301 new cases

The past seven days have seen an average daily increase of 220 new deaths

Legend:

Note: The reported cases on 12/14 were artificially low due to backlogs from certain labs

Source: Los Angeles County New Cases and New Deaths, 7-Day Average

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Page 13 LA County Case Updates All metrics last updated at 1 PM, January 11, 2021

LOS ANGELES CALIFORNIA UNITED STATES GLOBAL 0.97 12,617 932,697 39,839 2.71M 301,677 22.5M 734,808 90.7M Infection Rate New Cases Total Cases New Cases Total Cases New Cases Total Cases New Cases Total Cases Ideal < 1.0

LA COUNTY DAILY CASES KEY TAKEAWAYS

• LA County accounts for 34.4% of cases in CA with an average of 15,301 new cases reported from 1/4 to 1/11 (1.8% increase)

CUMULATIVE CASES

3/2 1/11

Source: Los Angeles County Department of Public Health, Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering GitHub repo, LA County Department of Public Health, COVIDTracking.com, and the LA Times.

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Page 14 HOTLINE SERVICES

LA County Mortality Updates All metrics last updated at 1 PM, January 11, 2021

LOS ANGELES CALIFORNIA UNITED STATES GLOBAL 1.3% 137 12,387 264 29,965 2,019 375.4K 9,510 1.9M

Mortality Rate New Deaths Total Deaths New Deaths Total Deaths New Deaths Total Deaths New Deaths Total Deaths

DAILY MORTALITY IN LA COUNTY KEY TAKEAWAYS

• LA County accounts for 41.3% of deaths in CA with an average of 220 new deaths reported from 1/4 to 1/11 (2.0% increase)

CUMULATIVE DEATHS

3/11 1/11

Source: Los Angeles County Department of Public Health, Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering GitHub repo, LA County Department of Public Health, COVIDTracking.com, and the LA Times.

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Page 15 LA City Testing Updates All metrics as of January 10, 2021

TESTS COMPLETED AVAILABILITY *Public test registration. 70.7K 3.56M 10 41K It does not include registration of critical city employees, first City Tests City Tests Total City Sites Avail. City Testing responders, and health care Since last report Since 3/20 Available Today Capacity Today providers.

DAILY TESTS TESTING IN LA CITY

Cumulative Positivity Rate - Tests

KEY TAKEAWAYS

• At least 3,562,181 tests have been performed at City of Los Angeles since 3/20

• On average, 37,790 tests were performed each day from 1/4 to 1/10

•374,364 of the 3,474,156 tests for which results were received were positive (10.9%)

Source: City of Los Angeles

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Page 16 LA Testing Updates • Positivity Rate City positive rate as of January 10/11, 2021 County metrics as of , 2021 TESTS COMPLETED AVAILABILITY POSITIVITY RATE

*Public test registration. 70.7K 3.56M 10 41K 10.9% 9.5% 17.6% 20.7% 21.85% It does not include registration of critical city employees, first City Tests City Tests Total City Sites Avail. City Testing Cumulative Cumulative Cumulative County's 7-day Rate City's 7-day Rate responders, and health care Since last report Since 3/20 Available Today Capacity Today City - Tests County - Tests County - People For Tests (1 week lag) For Tests (2 day lag) providers.

POSITIVITY RATE IN CITY OF LA (1-day lag for cumulative/2-day for 7-day rate ) KEY TAKEAWAYS

•LA County has tested a total of at least 5,018,807 people and a total of 11,636,717 specimens (tests)

COUNTY POSITIVITY RATE (7-day lag)

3/11 1/4

Legend:

Source: City of Los Angeles

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Page 17 LA Hospitalization Updates All metrics as of January 10, unless otherwise noted

LOS ANGELES EQUIPMENT AVAILABILITY SO-CAL REGIONAL ICU CAPACITY 676* 7,926 44.4K 382 347 35 906 New Current Total Total Beds Acute Care ICU Beds Ventilators 0.0% Hospitalizations Hospitalizations Hospitalizations Available Beds Available Available Available As of 1/11

NEW HOSPITALIZATIONS IN LA COUNTY KEY TAKEAWAYS

At least 44,430 people have been hospitalized since 3/18

CURRENTLY HOSPITALIZED: +0.2% change ICU HOSPITALIZED: +0.7% change

ICU

3/31 1/10

Legend (for graph on left)

Source: New Hospitalizations data from County HavBed Bed Tracking. County Hospitalization data from CA Open Data Portal *As of 1/5

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Page 18 COVID-19 • LOS ANGELES Demographic Comparisons Cases by Demographics All metrics last updated at 1 PM, , 2021

12% 24% 34% 19% 10% 0 to 17 yrs 18 to 29 yrs 30 to 49 yrs 50 to 64 yrs 65+

PERCENT OF TOTAL CASES COMPARED TO POPULATION KEY TAKEAWAYS

2,096,996 population

1,703,423 population • Data is incomplete with 29.4% of cases still under investigation

2,725,450 population

1,856,788 population MOST IMPACTED GROUPS

1,268,675 population

1,492,554 population • Hispanic/Latino Americans • Females 811,476 population • 30-59 year olds • 18-29 year olds 4,808,364 population

2,619,709 population Legend: 373,415 population

4,890,980 population

Source: Los Angeles Department of Public Health. 4,760,352 population

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Page 20 Deaths by Demographics All metrics last updated at 1 PM, January 2, 2021

0% 1% 6% 19% 74% 0 to 17 yrs 18 to 29 yrs 30 to 49 yrs 50 to 64 yrs 65+

PERCENT OF TOTAL DEATHS COMPARED TO POPULATION KEY TAKEAWAYS 2,096,996 population • Data is incomplete with 0.7% of Deaths 1,703,423 population still under investigation

2,725,450 population • As of , 2020,

1,856,788 population 8,192 out of 8,875 deaths (92.3%) had comorbidities (underlying conditions)

1,268,675 population MOST IMPACTED GROUPS 1,492,554 population

811,476 population • 65+ • Males 4,808,364 population • Hispanic/Latino Americans • Black Americans 2,619,709 population

373,415 population Legend

4,890,980 population

4,760,352 population Source: Los Angeles Department of Public Health.

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Page 21 COVID-19 DATA SUMMARY Testing Details TESTING Weekly City Positive Testing by Age 23 to • Three-day lag

Key Takeaways:

In this past week, positive testing rate decreased for all age groups

Current Positive Rates by Age Group

• 30% for ages 0-17 • 22% for ages 18-29 • 22% for ages 30-49 • 24.9% for ages 50-64 • 24.8% for ages 65+

Source: Healthvana

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Page 23 TESTING Weekly City Positive Testing by Symptoms to January 8• Three-day lag

Key Takeaways:

• Individuals experiencing symptoms are testing positive at a rate of 34.4%

• Individuals not experiencing symptoms are testing positive at a rate of 16.3%

• Last week’s overall positive rate for symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals is 23.6%*

Note: A portion of test results reported from 9/23 to 10/23 and in late November is missing symptom-type information

Source: Healthvana *Overall positive rate only (not cumulative) only includes data results with complete symptomatic/asymptomatic information

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team

Page 24 TESTING Weekly City Positive Testing by Race June 23 to January 8 • Three-day lag

Key Takeaways: Positive Testing Rates from 1/2 to 1/8*

• Hispanic/Latino—30.3% • American Indian/Alaska Native—24.8% • Black—13% • Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander—16.5% • White—10.6% • Asian—13% • Overall Positive Rate: 23.4%

Source: Healthvana *Only data with complete race/ethnicity information was included

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Page 25 TESTING Recent City Positive Testing by Race June 23 to January 8

Key Takeaways: Positive Testing Rates from 6/23 to 1/8

• Hispanic/Latino—19.6% • White—4.3% • Asian—5.2% • Black—7.4% • Other—11.8% • Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander—7.5% • American Indian/Alaska Native—13.9% • Multi-racial—4.9%

• Overall Positive Rate: 12.5%

Source: Healthvana *Only data with complete race/ethnicity information was included

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Page 26 COVID-19 DATA SUMMARY Comparative Updates DAILY TOTALS City + County + State Update (ROLLING AVERAGE) As of January 11, 2021, Updated 1:00 PM

Daily Confirmed Cases, 7-Day Average Daily Confirmed Deaths, 7-Day Average

Week of 1/4 to 1/11 CA LA County City of LA Week of 1/4to 1/11 CA LA County City of LA Average Daily Cases Reported 41,415 15,301 6,033 Average Daily Deaths Reported 476 220 92 (34.4% of cases in CA) (13.9% of cases in CA) (41.3% of death sin CA) (17% of deaths in CA) % Change from Last Week +1.6% +1.8% +1.8% % Change from Last Week +1.6% +2% +2.1%

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Source: Los Angeles County Department of Public Health, Johns Hopkins Center for Systems Science and Engineering GitHub repo, and the LA Times. Day of outbreak is identified as 11, with prior cases aggregated to day 1. LA City death count lags several days. Page 28 COVID-19 DATA SUMMARY City Response and Preparedness Hotline Services: 311 Calls All metrics last updated January 10, 2021

54 613 748.3K 47.3K 30,455 COVID Non-COVID All 311/Hotline Calls Total COVID Total Calls for Related Calls Related Calls Since 3/26 Calls - Since 3/26 Angeleno Card

KEY TAKEAWAYS

8% of the total 311 calls were COVID-related.

Wait time for each call was 2.1 mins

CALL THEMES

• Testing or results • Financial help • Vaccine availability

Legend:

Source: ITA - 311 Contact Center

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Page 30 COVID-19 • Los Angeles City Overview Economic Analysis ECONOMIC New Unemployment Insurance (UI) Claims for the City of Los Angeles ANALYSIS As of , 2020

Key Takeaways: • 6.4K new claims from 12/20-12/26, including Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA).

• Spiked on 3/28 with 112K new claims

• This represents an increase of over 4500% from the weekly average from 1/1 - 3/7

• November’s unemployment (seasonally-adjusted) is estimated at 11% for LA County. This is lower than ’s numbers (12%)

•1,364,177 total claims for Unemployment Insurance (UI) and Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA) in 2020

Note: A major PUA backlog was found and reported over the two-week period from 8/23-9/5

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Source: California EDD Page 32

32 ECONOMIC City of LA Sales Tax Revenue ANALYSIS As of October 2020

14.6% decrease compared to last year • Jan to 2019: $341,146,102 • Jan to July 2020: $291,253,631 +22.5%

+4.5% 0% -8.6%

-9.6%

-13.1% -17.4% -28.3%

-31.6%

-50.4%

Prepared by Mayor’s Innovation Team Source: California EDD Page 33

Source: California EDD End of Report January 11, 2021