COVID-19 Impact on EUROCONTROL Member States EUROCONTROL States Briefings 8 Haziran 2021 Salı
1 Mart 2020’den beri toplam uçuş kaybı: 0,7 milyon uçuş Şimdiki uçuş durumu: 2019 yılına kıyasla 1736 günlük uçuş veya %-47 (7 günlük ortalama)1 Trafik tahmini: 2019’a kıyasla 2021’de %52; 2022’de %702 GSYİH: (bir önceki yıla kıyasla) 2021’de %+5,1, 2022’de %+3,13 Aşılanma: her yüz kişi için 15.1 tam aşılanmış kişi sayısı4 En yoğun havalimanı: Günlük ortalama 658 uçuş ile İstanbul İGA1 (2019’a kıyasla %-46) Türkiye En yoğun havayolu şirketi: Günlük ortalama 865 uçuş ile Türk Hava Yolları 1 (2019’a kıyasla %-39)
2020/21 Trafik değişimi ve 2021/24 Görünümü
Turkey Traffic variation - March 2020-June 2021 4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
Average weekly flights weeklyAverage 1,000
500
0
July
May May
June June
April April
March March
August
January
October
February
December
November September 2020 2021 7-day average Reference 2019
Traffic forecast for Turkey (2021-2024) EUROCONTROL STATFOR forecast - 21st May 2021 1800 110% 100% 99% 1600 98% 1400 81% 85% 1200 78% 1000 59% 70% 67% 800 45% 52%
57% IFR Flights ('000) Flights IFR 600 44% 400
200
0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Scenario 1: Vaccine in 2021 Scenario 2: Vaccine in 2022 Scenario 3: Lingering Infection
COVID-19 Impact on EUROCONTROL Member States EUROCONTROL States Briefings 8 Haziran 2021 Salı
Trafiğin Oluşumu
Top 5 Airports (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021) Flight Category (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021)
Airport Average daily flights (Dep/Arr) % vs 2019 Flight Category Average daily flights % vs 2019
Iga Istanbul Airport 658 -46% Internal 751 -25% Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen 505 -24% International 982 -57% Antalya 282 -66% Round Robin Flights 2 -76% Ankara-Esenboga 163 -35% Aircraft Category (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021) Izmir-Adnan-Menderes 144 -38% Aircraft Category Average daily flights % vs 2019
Top 5 Aircraft Operators (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021) Narrow body 1,395 -48% Aircraft Operator Average daily flights % vs 2019 Wide body 162 -53% Very Large Aircraft 79 -33% Turkish Airlines 865 -39% Other 69 -26% Pegasus 368 -26% Regional Jet 30 -29% SunExpress 96 -43% Commuter (TurboP) 3 +13% Ukraine International 35 +63% Skyup Airlines 24 +479% Market Segment (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021)
Top 5 City Pairs (31-05-2021 - 06-06-2021) Market Segment Average daily flights % vs 2019 Traditional Scheduled 913 -45% Country pair Average daily flights % vs 2019 Lowcost 483 -52% from/to TURKEY 754 -25% Charter 151 -66% from/to GERMANY 139 -59% All-Cargo 99 +99% from/to UKRAINE 133 +33% Business Aviation 77 -18% from/to IRAQ 33 -42% Military 7 -72% from/to IRAN, ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF30 -34% Other Types 6 -76% Aşılamada İlerleme
Turkey National population vaccinated in 2021 25 0.25
20 0.2
15 0.15
10 0.1 Positivity rate Positivity
5 0.05 Vaccines per hundred people of per hundred Vaccines
0 0
May
April
March
02-Jun
January February 1st dose Fully vaccinated Positivity Rate Source: Our World in Data
Data Sources: SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 1 Period between 31-05 – 06-06/2021 (as compared to the same week in 2019, 03-06 – 09-06/2019). 2 EUROCONTROL STATFOR forecast (21 May 2021) Scenario No.2. 3 GDP growth assumptions used in STATFOR scenario No.2 forecast. Source: Oxford Economics, March 2021. 4 Number of people fully vaccinated on 2 June 2021. Source: Our World in Data.
Contacts: Aviation Intelligence Unit [email protected]