SOMERSET

SCHOOL POPULATION

FORECAST

2016

PART 2: FORECAST DATA

February 2017

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 1

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 2 C O N T E N T S

Page(s)

Explanatory Notes ...... 4

County Summary ...... 5

Area Forecasts Ansford ...... 6 Bridgwater ...... 9 Burnham-on-Sea ...... 19 Chard ...... 23 Cheddar/Blackford ...... 27 Crewkerne/Ilminster ...... 33 Frome ...... 38 Glastonbury ...... 45 Huish Episcopi ...... 48 North Mendip ...... 53 Shepton Mallet ...... 55 Stoke-sub-Hamdon ...... 59 Street ...... 63 Taunton ...... 66 Wellington...... 76 Wells ...... 80 West Somerset ...... 85 Wincanton ...... 91 Wiveliscombe ...... 95 Yeovil ...... 99

Special Educational Needs ...... 106

Index of Forecasts ...... 107

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 3 Notes of Explanation

1. The forecast data has been calculated by the Somerset County Council, Business Intelligence - Children’s team using the actual number on roll from the October 2016 School Census as the 2016 Baseline data. Data for the number of pre-school children, which is used in the calculation of the forecasts, are obtained from health authority records provided by Somerset Health Authority.

2. The School Census is completed by all schools in October each year which provides the base number on roll for 2016, with forecast data shown for at least 5 years for each school. The forecast data reflecting the anticipated roll at the start of subsequent years: thus the forecast data shown for 2017 relates to academic year 2017/18.

3. Pupils on the roll of nursery classes attached to primary schools are NOT included in the total roll for each school.

4. Due to rounding in the calculations the total roll shown for each school may not be the sum of the individual age groups.

5. Primary school forecasts are shown in areas consistent with the middle and secondary school planning areas that appear in the Schools Organisation Plan. A summary forecasts of all the primary school forecasts is shown at the start of each area to give an indication of overall trend in that area. In addition to showing forecasts for individual primary schools, where there are 'town areas' (areas in which there is an effective choice of primary or secondary schools) a summary table of the total roll for all primary/secondary schools within the town area is shown.

6. Where ‘all-through’ schools have been established (eg making provision from 4 to 16), these have been split to into separate forecasts for the primary and secondary age ranges to facilitate the calculation of the number for school places required in each phase.

7. Shown beneath the forecast data is the 2017 Admission Number published for each school as part of statutory admission process. It does not necessarily follow that the admission number for subsequent years will be the same as that set for 2017.

8. The School Control is also shown as it was returned by schools in the October 2016 School Census (it will not reflect any change in school control since that date). CA = Academy, CO = Community, FO = Foundation, VA = Voluntary Aided, VC = Voluntary Controlled.

Tony Verrier Information Officer Somerset County Council (tel 01823 355961) (fax 01823 355332) email: [email protected] team email: [email protected]

14 February 2017

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 4 COUNTY NUMBER ON ROLL FORECAST: Forecast Base Year: 2016

1. Mainstream School Roll Pre-School (by age at 31 August) Primary Aged School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL PUPILS Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 (Yrs R - 6) Baseline 2016 5100 5331 5579 5610 5913 6033 6003 5867 5874 5615 5604 40909 Forecast 2017 5147 5380 5630 5661 6000 6082 6050 5901 5879 5642 41215 Forecast 2018 5194 5429 5681 5744 6049 6130 6085 5906 5907 41502 Forecast 2019 5241 5478 5765 5790 6097 6165 6090 5934 41320 Forecast 2020 5288 5559 5812 5836 6132 6170 6120 40917 Forecast 2021 5478 5366 5604 5858 5870 6137 6200 40513 Forecast 2022 5410 5648 5892 5875 6166 Forecast 2023 5453 5681 5896 5903 Forecast 2024 5484 5685 5925 Forecast 2025 5489 5713

Secondary Aged School Pupils (by NCY) 6th Form Pupils TOTAL TOTAL MAIN- TOTAL TOTAL PUPILS STREAM PUPILS Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 6th Form (Years 7 - PUPILS (Yrs 7 -11) 13) (Years R-13) Baseline 2016 5130 5036 5083 4673 4868 24790 1024 880 1904 26694 67603 Forecast 2017 5272 5134 5034 5086 4639 25165 1046 768 1814 26979 68193 Forecast 2018 5308 5276 5132 5037 5048 25801 997 785 1781 27583 69085 Forecast 2019 5557 5312 5274 5135 5000 26278 1085 748 1833 28111 69431 Forecast 2020 5582 5561 5310 5277 5097 26828 1075 814 1888 28716 69634 Forecast 2021 5757 5587 5559 5313 5238 27454 1095 806 1901 29356 69869 Forecast 2022 5832 5762 5585 5562 5274 28015 1126 822 1947 29963 Forecast 2023 5801 5837 5760 5588 5522 28507 1133 844 1978 30485 Forecast 2024 5553 5805 5835 5763 5547 28503 1187 850 2037 30540 Forecast 2025 5574 5558 5803 5838 5720 28493 1192 890 2082 30575

The baseline roll is the actual roll returned by all schools in the October School Census. The forecast data is calculated at local authority level and is NOT the aggregate of individual school figures. The above figures exclude pupils in nursery classes attached to schools and pupils whose main registration is at a special school or PRU

PMIT_ACV/SPGLOBAL_2016.xls 10-Feb-17

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 5 Secondary School (11-16/11-18) Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: 576 4250 ANSFORD ACADEMY Net Pupils by NCY Total Pupils Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ (Yrs 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 121 93 125 126 119 0 0 584 584 Forecast 2017 137 120 93 124 124 0 0 598 -4 598 Forecast 2018 128 137 120 93 122 0 0 600 -2 600 Forecast 2019 128 128 137 120 91 0 0 604 -2 604 Forecast 2020 107 128 128 137 118 0 0 619 -2 619 Forecast 2021 114 106 128 127 135 0 0 611 -4 611 Forecast 2022 141 113 106 127 125 0 0 612 -4 612 Forecast 2023 136 140 113 105 125 0 0 619 -4 619 Forecast 2024 120 135 140 112 103 0 0 610 -4 610 Forecast 2025 123 119 135 139 110 0 0 625 -4 625 Forecast 2026 123 122 119 134 137 0 0 633 -4 633 Forecast 2027 110 122 122 118 132 0 0 603 -4 603

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Primary Migration: 101.0 Secondary Migration: 99.1

Average transfer from primary (%): 95.0

2017 Determined AN * 120

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 6 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: ANSFORD

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 102 116 114 112 132 141 115 112 136 136 144 916 Forecast 2017 105 118 116 113 135 144 119 114 135 135 895 10 Forecast 2018 107 120 117 115 138 148 121 113 135 887 10 Forecast 2019 109 121 119 118 142 150 120 113 883 10 Forecast 2020 110 123 122 122 144 149 120 890 10 Forecast 2021 118 111 125 126 124 142 148 894 6 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 102.2 Average V&I Adj 102.8% 3 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 84 2008 CASTLE CARY PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 26 27 28 27 41 31 30 32 29 36 32 231 Forecast 2017 27 28 29 28 42 32 31 33 30 36 232 5 Forecast 2018 28 29 30 29 43 33 32 34 30 231 5 Forecast 2019 29 30 31 30 44 34 33 34 236 5 Forecast 2020 30 31 32 31 45 35 33 237 5 Forecast 2021 31 30 32 33 32 45 35 238 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.0 Average V&I Adj 102.9% 1 per year 2017 Determined AN * 33 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 132 2020 DITCHEAT PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 10 12 12 12 17 16 13 10 7 14 12 89 Forecast 2017 10 12 13 12 17 16 14 11 7 14 91 2 Forecast 2018 10 13 13 12 17 17 15 11 7 92 2 Forecast 2019 11 13 13 12 18 18 15 11 100 2 Forecast 2020 11 13 13 13 19 18 15 102 2 Forecast 2021 13 11 13 14 14 19 18 102 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 124.3% 2 per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 148 3047 EVERCREECH PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 19 22 16 20 17 28 22 14 22 25 22 150 Forecast 2017 20 23 16 20 18 29 23 15 21 25 151 3 Forecast 2018 21 23 16 21 19 30 24 14 21 145 3 Forecast 2019 21 23 17 22 20 31 23 14 150 3 Forecast 2020 21 24 18 23 21 30 23 160 3 Forecast 2021 20 22 25 19 24 20 30 160 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 90.6% -2 per year 2017 Determined AN * 21 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 7 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 202 2038 KEINTON MANDEVILLE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 12 13 13 18 18 20 14 15 27 19 30 143 Forecast 2017 12 13 13 18 18 20 14 15 27 19 131 0 Forecast 2018 12 13 13 18 19 20 14 15 28 127 2 Forecast 2019 12 13 13 19 19 20 14 16 114 2 Forecast 2020 12 13 14 19 19 20 15 112 2 Forecast 2021 14 12 13 14 19 19 20 111 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 90.3% -2 per year 2017 Determined AN * 21 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 216 3076 LOVINGTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 5 6 7 6 7 5 6 8 5 6 8 45 Forecast 2017 5 6 7 6 7 5 6 8 5 5 42 -1 Forecast 2018 5 6 7 6 7 5 6 8 4 43 -1 Forecast 2019 5 6 7 6 7 5 6 7 44 -1 Forecast 2020 5 6 7 6 7 5 5 41 -1 Forecast 2021 6 5 6 7 6 7 4 41 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.9 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 200.0% 3 per year 2017 Determined AN * 8 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 244 3084 NORTH CADBURY PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 8 15 13 8 9 13 16 13 15 14 17 97 Forecast 2017 8 15 13 8 9 13 16 12 14 14 86 -2 Forecast 2018 8 15 13 8 9 13 15 11 14 83 -2 Forecast 2019 8 15 13 8 9 12 14 11 82 -2 Forecast 2020 8 15 13 8 8 11 14 77 -2 Forecast 2021 11 8 15 13 7 7 11 72 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 137.5% 3 per year 2017 Determined AN * 17 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 282 2059 QUEEN CAMEL, THE COUNTESS GYTHA PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 22 21 25 21 23 28 14 20 31 22 23 161 Forecast 2017 23 21 25 21 24 29 15 20 31 22 162 3 Forecast 2018 23 21 25 21 24 30 15 20 31 166 1 Forecast 2019 23 21 25 21 25 30 15 20 157 1 Forecast 2020 23 21 25 22 25 30 15 161 1 Forecast 2021 22 23 21 26 22 25 30 169 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 89.9% -3 per year 2017 Determined AN * 20 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 8 Secondary School (11-16/11-18) Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: BRIDGWATER SECONDARY SUMMARY Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 670 711 695 623 651 0 0 3350 3350 Forecast 2017 758 674 715 699 621 0 0 3467 10 3467 Forecast 2018 768 761 677 717 694 0 0 3617 3 3617 Forecast 2019 836 771 764 679 712 0 0 3761 3 3761 Forecast 2020 840 839 774 766 674 0 0 3892 3 3892 Forecast 2021 876 843 842 776 761 0 0 4097 3 4097 Forecast 2022 884 879 845 844 771 0 0 4223 2 4223 Forecast 2023 868 887 881 847 839 0 0 4321 2 4321 Forecast 2024 850 871 889 883 842 0 0 4334 2 4334 Forecast 2025 859 853 873 891 878 0 0 4354 2 4354 Forecast 2026 857 862 855 875 886 0 0 4334 2 4334 Forecast 2027 836 860 864 857 870 0 0 4286 2 4286

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Primary Migration: 103.0 Secondary Migration: 100.8

Average transfer from primary (%): 96.50

Notes: The above data represents the combined roll of the following schools: Robert Blake, Chilton Trinity, Haygrove and the secondary age groups of the Bridgwater Academy.

Secondary Forecast: 502 4300 ROBERT BLAKE, BRIDGWATER

Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7 -13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7 -11) Baseline 2016 165 155 156 134 139 0 0 749 749 Forecast 2017 170 165 157 156 134 0 0 782 2 782 Forecast 2018 177 170 166 157 154 0 0 824 -1 824 Forecast 2019 196 177 171 166 155 0 0 866 -1 866 Forecast 2020 197 196 178 171 164 0 0 907 -1 907 Forecast 2021 206 197 197 178 169 0 0 948 -1 948

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Forecast Average Town NOR %: 23.20 Secondary Migration: 99.9

2017 Determined AN * 166

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): FO Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 9 Secondary Forecast: 504 4308 CHILTON TRINITY, BRIDGWATER

Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7 -13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7 -11) Baseline 2016 174 200 200 158 193 0 0 925 925 Forecast 2017 208 176 200 202 158 0 0 944 4 944 Forecast 2018 211 209 177 201 201 0 0 1000 2 1000 Forecast 2019 238 212 210 178 200 0 0 1039 2 1039 Forecast 2020 239 239 213 211 177 0 0 1080 2 1080 Forecast 2021 245 240 240 214 210 0 0 1150 2 1150

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Forecast Average Town NOR %: 28.00 Secondary Migration: 100.6

2017 Determined AN * 200

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): FO Notes:

Secondary Forecast: 506 4309 HAYGROVE SCHOOL, BRIDGWATER

Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7 -13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7 -11) Baseline 2016 212 206 219 218 214 0 0 1069 1069 Forecast 2017 216 214 208 221 218 0 0 1077 6 1077 Forecast 2018 215 218 216 210 221 0 0 1080 6 1080 Forecast 2019 217 217 220 218 210 0 0 1082 6 1082 Forecast 2020 218 219 219 222 218 0 0 1097 6 1097 Forecast 2021 219 220 221 221 222 0 0 1104 6 1104

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Forecast Average Town NOR %: 26.70 Secondary Migration: 101.5

2017 Determined AN * 214

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

Secondary Forecast: 501S 4001 BRIDGWATER COLLEGE ACADEMY (Years 7-11)

Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7 -13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7 -11) Baseline 2016 119 150 120 113 105 0 0 607 607 Forecast 2017 163 119 150 120 111 0 0 663 -2 663 Forecast 2018 165 163 118 149 118 0 0 713 -4 713 Forecast 2019 184 165 162 117 147 0 0 775 -4 775 Forecast 2020 185 184 164 161 115 0 0 809 -4 809 Forecast 2021 206 185 183 163 159 0 0 895 -4 895

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Forecast Average Town NOR %: 22.10 Secondary Migration: 99.1

2017 Determined AN * 175

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes: This is an 'all through' school. The above data relates to the secondary age groups only. Data for the primary age groups appears in a separate table.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 10 Secondary School (11-18) Catchment Analysis Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: 598 4003 BRYMORE SCHOOL Total Net Pupils by NCY (Pupils Migration Total 11 to Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ aged 11-17) (11-15) 15 Baseline 2016 55 55 60 52 54 0 0 276 276 Forecast 2017 55 58 57 63 50 3 0 286 6 283 Forecast 2018 55 58 60 60 61 3 0 297 6 294 Forecast 2019 55 58 60 63 58 4 0 298 6 294 Forecast 2020 55 58 60 63 61 3 0 300 6 297 Forecast 2021 55 58 60 63 61 4 0 301 6 297 Forecast 2022 55 58 60 63 61 4 0 301 6 297 Forecast 2023 55 58 60 63 61 4 0 301 6 297 Forecast 2024 55 58 60 63 61 4 0 301 6 297 Forecast 2025 55 58 60 63 61 4 0 301 6 297 Forecast 2026 55 58 60 63 61 4 0 301 6 297 Forecast 2027 55 58 60 63 61 4 0 301 6 297

16+ Forecast 6.0% 17+ Forecast 0.0%

Primary Migration: n/a Secondary Migration: 101.5

Average transfer from primary (%): n/a

2017 Determined AN * 60 (30 boarding, 30 out boarders)

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 11 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: BRIDGWATER

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 830 855 863 858 873 894 885 852 852 786 785 5927 Forecast 2017 836 862 870 861 879 899 892 859 860 796 6046 43 Forecast 2018 841 868 873 863 884 901 900 864 866 6151 28 Forecast 2019 847 871 876 867 886 909 905 870 6184 28 Forecast 2020 849 873 879 869 892 913 908 6183 20 Forecast 2021 865 851 876 881 875 896 916 6160 20 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 104.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 106.2 Average V&I Adj 98.2% -16 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 81 3154 CANNINGTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 27 22 30 20 30 26 29 28 17 32 31 193 Forecast 2017 28 23 30 20 31 27 29 28 17 33 185 3 Forecast 2018 28 23 30 21 32 27 29 28 18 185 3 Forecast 2019 28 23 31 21 32 27 29 29 192 2 Forecast 2020 28 24 31 21 32 27 30 193 2 Forecast 2021 26 29 24 31 21 32 28 191 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 133.8% 6 per year 2017 Determined AN * 25 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 146 5203 ENMORE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 20 21 21 21 20 22 22 19 17 21 21 142 Forecast 2017 20 21 21 21 20 22 22 19 17 21 142 0 Forecast 2018 20 21 21 21 20 21 22 19 17 141 -1 Forecast 2019 20 21 21 21 19 21 22 19 144 -1 Forecast 2020 20 21 21 20 19 21 22 144 -1 Forecast 2021 21 20 21 20 20 19 21 142 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.9 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 592.9% 17 per year 2017 Determined AN * 21 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 210 2331 KINGSMOOR PRIMARY, BAWDRIP Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 24 25 24 25 25 25 25 25 22 23 20 165 Forecast 2017 24 25 24 25 25 25 25 25 22 23 170 0 Forecast 2018 24 25 24 25 25 25 25 25 22 171 0 Forecast 2019 24 25 24 25 25 25 25 25 174 0 Forecast 2020 24 25 24 25 25 25 25 173 0 Forecast 2021 25 24 25 24 25 25 25 173 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 245.0% 15 per year 2017 Determined AN * 21 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 12 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 243 3158 NETHER STOWEY PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 21 28 29 20 30 22 23 27 21 22 31 176 Forecast 2017 22 28 29 20 31 22 24 27 21 22 167 2 Forecast 2018 22 28 29 20 31 22 24 27 21 174 0 Forecast 2019 22 28 29 20 31 22 24 27 181 0 Forecast 2020 22 28 29 20 31 22 24 176 0 Forecast 2021 26 22 28 29 20 31 22 178 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 148.5% 8 per year 2017 Determined AN * 25 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 248 2175 NORTH NEWTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 10 9 7 12 11 16 15 17 10 12 12 93 Forecast 2017 10 9 7 12 11 16 15 17 10 12 93 0 Forecast 2018 10 9 7 12 11 16 15 17 10 88 0 Forecast 2019 10 9 7 12 11 16 15 17 87 0 Forecast 2020 10 9 7 12 11 16 15 80 0 Forecast 2021 10 10 9 7 12 11 16 75 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 237.5% 6 per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 251 2335 NORTH PETHERTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 60 60 60 60 60 59 60 61 55 54 54 403 Forecast 2017 60 60 60 60 60 59 60 61 55 54 409 0 Forecast 2018 60 60 60 60 60 59 60 61 55 415 0 Forecast 2019 60 60 60 60 60 59 60 61 420 0 Forecast 2020 60 60 60 60 60 59 60 419 0 Forecast 2021 60 60 60 60 60 60 59 419 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 148.1% 20 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 268 2178 OTTERHAMPTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 12 10 11 12 7 11 11 9 12 13 13 76 Forecast 2017 12 11 11 12 8 11 12 9 12 13 77 2 Forecast 2018 12 11 11 12 8 11 12 9 12 75 0 Forecast 2019 12 11 11 12 8 11 12 9 74 0 Forecast 2020 12 11 11 12 8 11 12 77 0 Forecast 2021 11 12 11 11 12 8 11 76 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 173.1% 5 per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 13 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 280 2180 PURITON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 18 22 26 22 25 30 30 24 30 26 27 192 Forecast 2017 19 23 26 23 25 31 30 25 30 27 191 3 Forecast 2018 20 23 27 23 26 31 31 25 31 194 3 Forecast 2019 20 24 27 24 26 32 31 26 190 3 Forecast 2020 20 24 27 24 26 32 31 184 0 Forecast 2021 23 20 24 27 24 26 32 176 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 139.7% 6 per year 2017 Determined AN * 25 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 309 3159 SPAXTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 8 9 6 12 12 9 10 13 16 15 8 83 Forecast 2017 8 9 7 12 13 9 11 13 16 15 89 2 Forecast 2018 8 9 7 12 13 9 11 13 16 81 0 Forecast 2019 8 9 7 12 13 9 11 13 74 0 Forecast 2020 8 9 7 12 13 9 11 69 0 Forecast 2021 9 8 9 7 12 13 9 67 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 134.6% 2 per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 316 3356 STOGURSEY PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 7 12 7 9 16 9 8 12 8 13 7 73 Forecast 2017 7 12 8 9 17 10 8 12 9 13 78 3 Forecast 2018 7 13 8 9 18 10 8 13 9 75 2 Forecast 2019 8 13 8 10 18 10 9 13 81 2 Forecast 2020 8 13 9 10 18 11 9 78 2 Forecast 2021 11 8 14 9 10 19 11 82 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 63.6% -5 per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 403 3289 WEMBDON ST GEORGE'S PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 53 54 54 60 60 59 60 62 50 52 52 395 Forecast 2017 53 55 55 60 60 57 58 62 50 53 400 -3 Forecast 2018 54 56 55 60 60 58 58 62 51 404 2 Forecast 2019 55 56 56 60 61 58 58 63 412 3 Forecast 2020 55 57 56 61 61 58 58 406 2 Forecast 2021 56 56 57 57 61 61 58 406 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.8 Average V&I Adj 87.4% -8 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 14 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 414 2185 WESTONZOYLAND PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 20 25 22 21 27 23 22 17 25 22 22 158 Forecast 2017 20 25 22 21 27 23 22 18 25 22 158 1 Forecast 2018 20 25 22 21 27 23 23 18 25 159 1 Forecast 2019 20 25 22 21 27 24 23 18 160 1 Forecast 2020 20 25 22 21 28 24 23 163 1 Forecast 2021 23 20 25 22 22 28 24 164 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 115.8% 3 per year 2017 Determined AN * 21 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 427 2013 WOOLAVINGTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 17 18 13 19 12 24 24 23 23 18 20 144 Forecast 2017 17 18 13 19 12 24 24 23 23 18 143 0 Forecast 2018 17 18 13 19 12 24 24 23 23 138 0 Forecast 2019 17 18 13 19 12 24 24 23 133 0 Forecast 2020 17 18 13 19 12 24 24 127 0 Forecast 2021 16 17 18 13 19 12 24 119 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 78.8% -5 per year 2017 Determined AN * 25 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

Town Area Summary: BRIDGWATER

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 533 540 553 545 538 559 546 515 546 463 467 3634 Forecast 2017 536 543 557 547 539 563 552 520 553 470 3744 30 Forecast 2018 539 547 559 548 541 565 558 524 556 3851 18 Forecast 2019 543 549 560 550 543 571 562 527 3862 18 Forecast 2020 545 549 562 552 548 574 564 3894 14 Forecast 2021 549 545 551 564 557 551 576 3893 14 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 103.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 103.5 Average V&I Adj 86.4% -85.8 Notes: The above data is a summary of the forecast for the following schools: Bridgwater Academy (years R-6), Eastover, Westover Green, Hamp Infant, Hamp Junior, Northgate, SS John & Francis, St Josephs, St Mary's, Somerset Bridge and Willowdown

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 45 2012 BRIDGWATER WILLOWDOWN PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 27 28 28 29 28 30 29 14 17 11 15 144 Forecast 2017 28 28 29 30 29 31 30 15 18 13 166 7 Forecast 2018 28 29 30 30 30 31 31 16 19 187 4 Forecast 2019 29 30 30 30 31 32 32 17 202 4 Forecast 2020 30 30 30 31 32 33 33 219 4 Forecast 2021 30 30 30 31 32 33 34 220 4 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.7 Average V&I Adj 92.6% -2 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 15 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 50 2152 BRIDGWATER EASTOVER PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 60 60 60 60 60 61 63 60 59 59 58 420 Forecast 2017 60 60 60 60 60 61 63 61 60 58 423 1 Forecast 2018 60 60 60 60 60 61 63 61 59 424 -1 Forecast 2019 60 60 60 60 60 61 63 60 424 -1 Forecast 2020 60 60 60 60 60 61 62 423 -1 Forecast 2021 60 60 60 60 60 60 60 420 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.9 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 72.7% -23 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 54 2325 BRIDGWATER WESTOVER GREEN PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 52 57 58 55 61 60 60 62 59 59 60 421 Forecast 2017 52 58 58 55 57 56 60 62 60 60 410 -6 Forecast 2018 53 58 58 57 57 56 60 62 60 410 2 Forecast 2019 53 58 60 59 57 56 60 62 412 4 Forecast 2020 53 60 62 59 57 57 60 408 5 Forecast 2021 57 55 62 62 59 58 57 410 5 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 61.0% -36 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 55 2157 BRIDGWATER HAMP INFANTS Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 70 82 73 85 86 82 94 262 Forecast 2017 70 82 74 85 88 82 255 2 Forecast 2018 70 83 74 87 88 249 2 Forecast 2019 71 83 76 87 246 2 Forecast 2020 71 85 76 232 2 Forecast 2021 79 73 85 237 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 70.0% -33 per year 2017 Determined AN * 90 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 56 2007 BRIDGWATER HAMP JUNIOR Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 78 89 55 59 281 Forecast 2017 91 79 90 56 316 3 Forecast 2018 79 91 79 91 340 1 Forecast 2019 85 79 91 80 335 1 Forecast 2020 84 85 79 92 340 1 Forecast 2021 73 84 85 80 322 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.5 Forecast transfer from infant rate (Net): 96.5 Average V&I Adj N/A 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 16 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 57 3997 BRIDGWATER NORTHGATE (to open 09.17) Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): n/a

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 2930 30 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Forecast 2017 29 30 30 20 10 8 5 0 0 0 43 23 Forecast 2018 29 30 30 22 12 11 7 0 0 82 9 Forecast 2019 29 30 31 23 14 13 7 0 118 6 Forecast 2020 30 30 32 25 16 13 7 153 5 Forecast 2021 30 30 31 34 27 16 13 181 5 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 4.3% 27 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes: The above forecast shows the roll for the new school scheduled to open in September 2017. Until such time as the admission arrangements and catchment area are finalised the above data should be regarded as indicative only, both for the new school AND in terms of the knock-on impact on other schools.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 58 2003 BRIDGWATER ST JOHN & ST FRANCIS CHURCH PRY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 58 57 60 59 57 60 59 60 59 58 54 407 Forecast 2017 58 57 60 59 55 58 59 60 58 59 408 -4 Forecast 2018 58 57 60 59 55 58 59 59 58 408 -1 Forecast 2019 58 57 60 59 55 58 58 59 406 -1 Forecast 2020 58 57 60 59 55 57 58 404 -1 Forecast 2021 58 58 57 60 59 54 57 403 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 9.3% 59 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 59 3401 BRIDGWATER ST JOSEPH'S PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 32 60 31 29 242 Forecast 2017 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 33 61 31 245 2 Forecast 2018 30 30 30 30 30 31 31 34 61 247 3 Forecast 2019 30 30 30 30 31 32 32 34 219 3 Forecast 2020 30 30 30 31 32 33 32 218 3 Forecast 2021 30 30 30 31 32 33 33 219 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 4.8% 30 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 62 3151 BRIDGWATER ST MARY'S PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 57 58 59 60 60 61 61 60 60 61 51 414 Forecast 2017 58 59 60 60 58 61 62 60 61 63 425 2 Forecast 2018 59 60 60 60 58 62 63 61 62 426 4 Forecast 2019 60 60 60 60 59 63 64 62 428 4 Forecast 2020 60 60 60 61 60 64 65 430 4 Forecast 2021 60 60 60 61 62 61 65 429 4 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.5 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.0 Average V&I Adj 164.8% 23 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 17 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 302 2182 SOMERSET BRIDGE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 57 57 58 59 73 80 59 59 60 58 60 449 Forecast 2017 58 58 59 60 73 82 61 60 62 59 457 8 Forecast 2018 59 59 60 60 73 82 62 62 63 462 4 Forecast 2019 60 60 60 60 73 83 64 63 463 4 Forecast 2020 60 60 60 60 73 83 64 460 0 Forecast 2021 60 60 60 60 60 73 83 456 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.5 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.0 Average V&I Adj 60.0% -39 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 501P 4001 BRIDGWATER COLLEGE ACADEMY (Years R-6) Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 93 81 97 88 83 95 91 90 83 71 81 594 Forecast 2017 93 81 97 88 79 94 91 90 83 71 596 -5 Forecast 2018 93 81 97 83 78 94 91 90 83 616 -6 Forecast 2019 93 81 93 82 78 94 91 90 609 -5 Forecast 2020 93 77 92 82 78 94 91 607 -5 Forecast 2021 86 89 76 92 82 78 94 597 -5 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 49.2% -93 per year 2017 Determined AN * 85 Notes: This is an all-through school: the above totals show the roll for years R-6 only, secondary year groups are shown in a separate table.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 18 Secondary School (11-16/11-18) Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: 514 4304 THE KING ALFRED SCHOOL, HIGHBRIDGE Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 232 236 253 190 249 50 65 1275 1160 Forecast 2017 227 233 238 252 189 67 43 1249 1 1139 Forecast 2018 246 228 235 237 251 51 57 1306 1 1197 Forecast 2019 248 247 230 234 236 68 43 1307 1 1196 Forecast 2020 247 249 249 229 233 64 58 1329 1 1208 Forecast 2021 261 248 251 248 228 63 54 1354 1 1237 Forecast 2022 262 262 250 250 247 62 53 1387 1 1272 Forecast 2023 267 263 264 249 249 67 52 1411 1 1292 Forecast 2024 252 268 265 263 248 67 57 1420 1 1296 Forecast 2025 258 253 270 264 262 67 57 1431 1 1307 Forecast 2026 238 259 255 269 263 71 57 1411 1 1284 Forecast 2027 249 239 261 254 268 71 60 1402 1 1271

16+ Forecast 27.0% 17+ Forecast 85.0%

Primary Migration: 100.7 Secondary Migration: 100.3

Average transfer from primary (%): 97.0

2017 Determined AN * 250

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 19 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: BURNHAM-ON-SEA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 234 227 248 244 264 261 261 253 258 250 234 1781 Forecast 2017 238 230 251 246 268 264 267 256 253 254 1808 15 Forecast 2018 241 233 253 250 270 269 270 251 256 1819 12 Forecast 2019 245 235 258 253 275 272 266 255 1814 16 Forecast 2020 247 240 260 258 278 267 269 1819 13 Forecast 2021 249 252 242 265 261 273 270 1812 13 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 102.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 103.3 Average V&I Adj 88.9% -29.75 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 31 3226 BERROW PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 24 25 26 25 31 31 32 28 34 30 21 207 Forecast 2017 24 26 26 26 31 32 32 29 34 31 215 3 Forecast 2018 25 26 27 26 32 32 33 29 35 214 3 Forecast 2019 25 27 27 27 32 33 33 30 209 3 Forecast 2020 26 27 27 27 33 33 33 206 1 Forecast 2021 27 26 27 27 28 33 33 201 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 102.0% 1per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 44 3227 BRENT KNOLL PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 18 17 18 24 19 23 17 24 19 15 16 133 Forecast 2017 18 17 19 24 19 23 18 24 16 15 139 -2 Forecast 2018 18 18 19 24 19 24 18 21 16 141 -2 Forecast 2019 19 18 19 24 20 24 16 21 142 -1 Forecast 2020 19 18 19 25 20 21 16 138 -2 Forecast 2021 19 19 18 20 25 17 21 139 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 285.2% 13 per year 2017 Determined AN * 17 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 144 2169 EAST HUNTSPILL PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 9 10 9 10 11 9 10 6 2 11 7 56 Forecast 2017 9 10 9 10 11 9 10 6 2 11 59 0 Forecast 2018 9 10 9 10 11 9 10 6 2 57 0 Forecast 2019 9 10 9 10 11 9 10 6 65 0 Forecast 2020 9 10 9 10 11 9 10 68 0 Forecast 2021 10 9 10 9 10 11 9 68 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 69.1% -4per year 2017 Determined AN * 8 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 20 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 180 2000 HIGHBRIDGE CHURCHFIELD PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 57 58 58 59 60 73 68 66 73 58 63 461 Forecast 2017 59 58 59 60 62 74 70 67 73 60 466 8 Forecast 2018 59 59 60 62 63 76 71 67 75 474 8 Forecast 2019 61 60 63 64 65 77 71 69 469 10 Forecast 2020 62 63 65 66 66 77 73 472 10 Forecast 2021 62 65 65 67 67 66 79 471 10 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.5 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.0 Average V&I Adj 63.7% -33 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 272 2179 PAWLETT PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 9 7 6 1111 6 7 4 8 10 6 52 Forecast 2017 10 7 6 11 11 7 8 4 8 11 60 3 Forecast 2018 10 7 6 1111 7 8 4 8 55 0 Forecast 2019 10 7 6 11 11 7 8 4 54 0 Forecast 2020 10 7 6 11 11 7 8 60 0 Forecast 2021 9 10 7 6 11 11 7 61 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 94.3% -1per year 2017 Determined AN * 11 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 410 2184 WEST HUNTSPILL PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 11 11 12 12 19 7 13 12 6 11 7 75 Forecast 2017 11 12 12 12 19 7 14 12 6 11 81 1 Forecast 2018 12 12 12 12 19 8 14 12 6 83 1 Forecast 2019 12 12 12 12 20 8 14 13 91 2 Forecast 2020 12 12 12 13 20 8 15 92 2 Forecast 2021 12 12 12 13 13 20 9 91 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 115.0% 2per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

Town Area Summary: BURNHAM-ON-SEA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 106 99 119 103 113 112 114 113 116 115 114 797 Forecast 2017 107 100 120 103 115 112 115 114 114 115 788 2 Forecast 2018 108 101 120 105 115 113 116 112 114 795 2 Forecast 2019 109 101 122 105 116 114 114 112 784 2 Forecast 2020 109 103 122 106 117 112 114 783 2 Forecast 2021 110 111 103 123 107 115 112 781 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.0 Average V&I Adj 94.3% -6.5 per year

Notes: The above data is a summary of the forecast for Burnham-on-Sea County Infant, St Andrew's Junior and St Josephs Primary Schools

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 21 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 74 2165 BURNHAM-ON-SEA INFANTS Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 72 65 85 69 79 78 82 239 Forecast 2017 73 66 86 69 81 79 229 3 Forecast 2018 74 67 86 71 82 239 3 Forecast 2019 75 67 88 72 227 3 Forecast 2020 75 69 89 233 3 Forecast 2021 76 77 70 223 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.0 Average V&I Adj 64.2% -41 per year 2017 Determined AN * 80 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 75 3152 BURNHAM-ON-SEA ST ANDREWS JUNIOR Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 80 82 82 82 326 Forecast 2017 83 81 81 82 327 0 Forecast 2018 80 84 80 81 325 0 Forecast 2019 83 81 83 80 327 0 Forecast 2020 73 84 80 83 320 0 Forecast 2021 90 74 83 80 327 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast transfer from infant rate (Net): 101.2 Average V&I Adj N/A 2017 Determined AN * 82 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 76 3402 BURNHAM-ON-SEA ST JOSEPH'S PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 34 34 34 34 34 34 32 33 34 33 32 232 Forecast 2017 34 34 34 34 34 33 32 33 33 33 232 -2 Forecast 2018 34 34 34 34 33 33 32 32 33 231 -2 Forecast 2019 34 34 34 33 33 33 31 32 230 -2 Forecast 2020 34 34 33 33 33 32 31 230 -2 Forecast 2021 34 34 33 33 33 32 32 231 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj N/A 34 per year 2017 Determined AN * 34 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school Average V&I Adj for this school based on the town area data.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 22 Secondary School (11-16/11-18) Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: 517 4274 HOLYROOD, CHARD Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 218 218 220 215 212 107 86 1276 1083 Forecast 2017 239 219 219 221 211 98 80 1286 -1 1109 Forecast 2018 225 240 220 220 217 97 73 1292 -1 1121 Forecast 2019 245 227 242 222 216 100 73 1323 2 1151 Forecast 2020 240 247 229 244 218 99 75 1351 2 1176 Forecast 2021 262 242 249 231 240 100 75 1398 2 1223 Forecast 2022 249 264 244 251 227 110 75 1420 2 1235 Forecast 2023 244 250 265 245 247 104 83 1437 -1 1250 Forecast 2024 251 245 251 266 241 113 78 1446 -1 1254 Forecast 2025 240 252 246 252 262 111 85 1448 -1 1252 Forecast 2026 228 241 253 247 248 121 83 1420 -1 1217 Forecast 2027 227 229 242 254 243 114 91 1399 -1 1194

16+ Forecast 46% 17+ Forecast 75%

Primary Migration: 101.0 Secondary Migration: 100.0

Average transfer from primary (%): 99.0

2017 Determined AN * 232

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 23 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: CHARD

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 216 219 231 244 236 240 254 236 244 225 241 1676 Forecast 2017 218 221 232 245 236 241 257 238 245 227 1689 9 Forecast 2018 220 222 233 245 237 244 259 239 247 1704 9 Forecast 2019 222 223 234 247 240 246 262 242 1694 14 Forecast 2020 223 224 236 250 242 249 265 1689 14 Forecast 2021 229 224 226 239 252 245 252 1667 14 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.7 Average V&I Adj 100.4% 1per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 16 2001 ASHILL PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): FO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 55670574846 34 Forecast 2017 5 5 6 7 0 5 8 4 8 4 36 1 Forecast 2018 5 5 6 7 0 6 8 4 8 39 1 Forecast 2019 5 5 6 7 1 6 8 4 37 1 Forecast 2020 5 5 6 8 1 6 8 39 1 Forecast 2021 5 5 5 7 8 1 6 37 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 135.3% 2per year 2017 Determined AN * 8 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 67 2110 BROADWAY NEROCHE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): FO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 28 29 28 30 30 30 30 28 25 25 30 198 Forecast 2017 28 30 28 30 30 30 31 29 25 26 201 3 Forecast 2018 29 30 28 30 30 31 32 29 26 206 3 Forecast 2019 29 30 28 30 31 32 32 30 213 3 Forecast 2020 29 30 28 31 32 32 33 215 3 Forecast 2021 29 29 30 29 32 32 33 214 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 191.7% 14 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 72 2015 BUCKLAND ST MARY PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 6 3 9 7 9 7 12 5 7 1112 63 Forecast 2017 6 3 9 7 9 7124 711 57 -1 Forecast 2018 6 3 9 7 9 7 11 4 7 54 -1 Forecast 2019 6 3 9 7 9 6 11 4 49 -1 Forecast 2020 6 3 9 7 8 6 11 50 -1 Forecast 2021 6 6 3 9 6 8 6 44 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.9 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 100.0% 0per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 24 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 110 3307 COMBE ST NICHOLAS PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 16 13 17 17 17 21 17 23 15 15 9 117 Forecast 2017 17 13 17 17 17 21 17 24 15 15 126 1 Forecast 2018 17 13 17 17 17 21 18 24 15 129 1 Forecast 2019 17 13 17 17 17 22 18 24 128 1 Forecast 2020 17 13 17 17 18 22 18 122 1 Forecast 2021 16 17 13 17 18 18 22 121 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 315.0% 11 per year 2017 Determined AN * 17 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 331 2070 TATWORTH PRMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 29 22 27 28 29 24 32 30 32 33 29 209 Forecast 2017 29 22 27 28 29 24 32 30 32 33 208 0 Forecast 2018 29 22 27 28 29 24 32 30 32 202 0 Forecast 2019 30 22 27 29 29 24 33 30 194 2 Forecast 2020 30 22 28 29 29 25 33 196 2 Forecast 2021 27 30 23 28 29 30 25 192 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 126.2% 6per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 420 2082 WINSHAM PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 86576367143 30 Forecast 2017 8 6 5 7 6 3 6 7 1 4 34 0 Forecast 2018 8 6 5 7 6 3 6 7 1 35 0 Forecast 2019 8 6 5 7 6 3 6 7 40 0 Forecast 2020 8 6 5 7 6 3 6 41 0 Forecast 2021 7 8 6 5 7 6 3 42 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 65.0% -4per year 2017 Determined AN * 8 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

Town Area Summary: CHARD

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 124 141 139 148 145 150 150 139 156 133 152 1025 Forecast 2017 125 142 140 149 145 151 151 140 157 134 1027 5 Forecast 2018 126 143 141 149 146 152 152 141 158 1039 5 Forecast 2019 127 144 142 150 147 153 154 143 1033 8 Forecast 2020 128 145 143 151 148 155 156 1026 8 Forecast 2021 140 129 146 144 152 150 157 1018 8 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.0 Average V&I Adj 83.6% -27 per year

Notes: The above data is a summary of the forecast for Avishayes, Manor Court and The Redstart Primary Schools

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 25 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 87 2102 CHARD AVISHAYES PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 30 28 30 34 30 30 30 27 40 24 33 214 Forecast 2017 30 28 30 34 30 30 31 28 40 24 217 2 Forecast 2018 30 28 30 34 30 31 32 28 40 225 2 Forecast 2019 30 28 30 34 31 31 32 28 214 1 Forecast 2020 30 28 30 34 31 31 32 216 0 Forecast 2021 30 30 28 30 34 31 31 214 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 63.9% -17 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes: The above totals do NOT included the Nursery Class at this school.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 88 2329 CHARD THE REDSTART PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 57 58 59 59 60 61 61 62 65 64 65 438 Forecast 2017 58 59 59 60 60 61 61 62 66 65 435 2 Forecast 2018 59 59 60 60 60 61 61 63 67 432 2 Forecast 2019 59 60 60 60 60 61 62 64 427 2 Forecast 2020 60 60 60 60 60 62 63 425 2 Forecast 2021 60 60 60 60 60 61 63 424 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 103.6% 2per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 91 2004 CHARD MANOR COURT PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 37 55 50 55 55 59 59 50 51 45 54 373 Forecast 2017 37 55 51 55 55 60 59 50 51 45 375 1 Forecast 2018 37 56 51 55 56 60 59 50 51 382 1 Forecast 2019 38 56 52 56 56 61 60 51 392 5 Forecast 2020 38 57 53 57 57 62 61 385 6 Forecast 2021 50 39 58 54 58 58 63 380 6 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.5 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 80.7% -12 per year 2017 Determined AN * 55 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 26 Upper School (13-18) Catchment Analysis Forecast Base Year: 2016

THE KINGS OF WESSEX, CHEDDAR

Secondary Forecast: 520 4583 Total Net Total Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Pupils Year 9 10 11 12 13+ 9-13) (Yrs 9-11) (Yrs 9-11) Baseline 2016 272 250 291 124 144 1081 813 Forecast 2017 236 272 248 175 99 1030 -2 756 Forecast 2018 276 236 270 149 140 1070 -2 782 Forecast 2019 249 276 234 162 119 1040 -2 759 Forecast 2020 250 249 274 140 130 1043 -2 773 Forecast 2021 267 250 247 164 112 1041 -2 764 Forecast 2022 268 267 248 148 132 1063 -2 783 Forecast 2023 262 268 265 149 119 1062 -2 794 Forecast 2024 278 262 266 159 119 1084 -2 806 Forecast 2025 253 278 260 159 127 1077 -2 791 Forecast 2026 256 253 276 156 128 1068 -2 785 Forecast 2027 255 256 251 166 125 1052 -2 762

16+ Forecast 60.0% 17+ Forecast 80.0%

Upper School Migration: 99.0

Average transfer from middle (%): 95.5

2017 Determined AN * 304

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 27 Middle School (9-12) Catchment Analysis Forecast Base Year: 2016

HUGH SEXEY MIDDLE, BLACKFORD

Middle Forecast: 481 4584 Pupils by NCY Total Pupils Net Year 5 6 7 8 (Yrs 5-8) Migration Baseline 2016 149 138 169 129 585 Forecast 2017 156 152 136 170 614 2 Forecast 2018 152 159 150 137 598 2 Forecast 2019 151 155 157 151 614 2 Forecast 2020 152 154 153 158 617 2 Forecast 2021 152 155 152 154 614 2 Forecast 2022 148 155 153 153 610 2 Forecast 2023 150 151 153 154 609 2 Forecast 2024 139 153 149 154 596 2 Forecast 2025 146 142 151 150 589 2 Forecast 2026 149 140 152 - Forecast 2027 147 141 -

Primary Migration: 103.0 Middle Migration: 100.7

Average transfer from primary (%): 110.0

2017 Determined AN * 150

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC Notes:

Middle School (9-12) Catchment Analysis Forecast Base Year: 2016

FAIRLANDS MIDDLE, CHEDDAR

Middle Forecast: 482 4410 Pupils by NCY Total Pupils Net Year 5 6 7 8 (Yrs 5-8) Migration Baseline 2016 108 123 118 118 467 Forecast 2017 119 110 123 119 471 3 Forecast 2018 123 121 110 124 478 3 Forecast 2019 118 125 121 111 475 3 Forecast 2020 134 120 125 122 501 3 Forecast 2021 108 136 120 126 490 3 Forecast 2022 115 110 136 121 482 3 Forecast 2023 112 117 110 137 475 3 Forecast 2024 98 114 117 111 440 3 Forecast 2025 110 100 114 118 442 3 Forecast 2026 112 100 115 - Forecast 2027 112 101 -

Primary Migration: 102.0 Middle Migration: 101.0

Average transfer from primary (%): 103

2017 Determined AN * 127

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 28 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: CHEDDAR

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 89 80 97 101 95 124 111 113 116 559 Forecast 2017 91 82 99 103 98 126 112 115 554 8 Forecast 2018 94 85 101 106 100 128 115 550 10 Forecast 2019 97 87 104 108 102 131 532 10 Forecast 2020 99 90 106 110 105 510 10 Forecast 2021 96 101 92 107 112 508 7 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 102.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 102.5 Average V&I Adj 115.0% 12per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 18 3225 AXBRIDGE FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 22 19 30 28 21 37 39 31 26 154 Forecast 2017 23 20 31 29 23 38 40 32 162 5 Forecast 2018 24 21 32 31 24 39 41 167 5 Forecast 2019 25 22 34 32 25 40 153 5 Forecast 2020 26 24 35 33 26 144 5 Forecast 2021 25 28 25 36 34 148 5 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.0 Average V&I Adj 157.1% 9per year 2017 Determined AN * 35 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 96 2255 CHEDDAR FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 46 40 46 55 49 60 51 61 61 282 Forecast 2017 47 40 47 56 49 61 51 62 279 2 Forecast 2018 48 42 48 57 50 62 53 270 5 Forecast 2019 50 43 49 58 51 64 265 5 Forecast 2020 51 44 50 59 53 257 5 Forecast 2021 49 51 45 50 60 255 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.9 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.2 Average V&I Adj 89.9% -5per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 137 3317 DRAYCOTT & RODNEY STOKE FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 12 13 13 8 14 16 15 9 18 72 Forecast 2017 12 14 13 8 15 16 15 10 64 2 Forecast 2018 13 14 13 9 15 16 16 69 2 Forecast 2019 13 14 14 9 15 17 69 2 Forecast 2020 13 15 14 9 16 67 2 Forecast 2021 13 14 15 14 10 66 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 124.3% 2per year 2017 Determined AN * 18 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 29 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 301 3238 SHIPHAM FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 9 8 8 10 11 11 6 12 11 51 Forecast 2017 9 8 8 10 11 11 6 11 49 -1 Forecast 2018 9 8 8 9 11 11 5 44 -2 Forecast 2019 9 8 7 9 11 10 45 -2 Forecast 2020 9 7 7 9 10 42 -2 Forecast 2021 9 8 7 7 8 39 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 318.2% 6per year 2017 Determined AN * 16 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 30 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: BLACKFORD

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 103 99 111 114 126 131 131 140 151 679 Forecast 2017 106 102 114 117 130 136 135 141 659 14 Forecast 2018 110 105 117 121 135 140 136 649 14 Forecast 2019 113 108 121 126 140 141 636 15 Forecast 2020 116 112 126 130 141 625 14 Forecast 2021 114 120 117 130 131 612 14 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 103.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 103.2 Average V&I Adj 216.8% 58 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 142 3232 EAST BRENT FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 10 11 18 15 15 14 14 16 17 76 Forecast 2017 10 12 18 15 15 15 14 17 76 2 Forecast 2018 11 12 18 15 16 15 15 79 2 Forecast 2019 11 12 18 16 16 16 78 2 Forecast 2020 11 12 19 16 17 75 2 Forecast 2021 13 11 13 19 17 73 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 128.6% 3 per year 2017 Determined AN * 18 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 220 3236 LYMPSHAM FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 17 14 18 18 19 21 23 24 32 119 Forecast 2017 18 14 19 18 20 22 24 24 108 3 Forecast 2018 18 15 19 19 21 23 24 106 3 Forecast 2019 19 15 20 20 22 23 100 3 Forecast 2020 19 16 21 21 22 99 3 Forecast 2021 18 20 17 22 21 98 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.7 Average V&I Adj 609.1% 14 per year 2017 Determined AN * 18 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 221 3237 MARK FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 23 21 22 20 22 36 21 26 27 132 Forecast 2017 23 21 22 21 23 37 21 26 128 2 Forecast 2018 24 21 23 22 24 37 21 127 2 Forecast 2019 24 22 24 23 25 37 131 3 Forecast 2020 25 23 25 23 25 121 2 Forecast 2021 23 26 24 25 23 121 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 430.0% 17 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 31 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 386 3240 WEARE FIRST SCHOOL Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 29 29 29 30 35 23 30 26 32 146 Forecast 2017 29 29 30 30 35 23 31 26 145 1 Forecast 2018 29 30 30 30 35 24 31 150 1 Forecast 2019 30 30 30 30 36 24 150 1 Forecast 2020 30 30 30 31 36 157 1 Forecast 2021 30 30 30 31 31 152 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 229.4% 17 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 388 2250 WEDMORE FIRST SCHOOL Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 24 24 24 31 35 37 43 48 43 206 Forecast 2017 26 26 25 33 37 39 45 48 202 6 Forecast 2018 28 27 27 35 39 41 45 187 6 Forecast 2019 29 29 29 37 41 41 177 6 Forecast 2020 31 31 31 39 41 173 6 Forecast 2021 31 33 33 33 39 169 6 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.5 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.5 Average V&I Adj 141.1% 8 per year 2017 Determined AN * 42 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 32 Upper School (13-18) Catchment Analysis Forecast Base Year: 2016

WADHAM SCHOOL, CREWKERNE

Secondary Forecast: 522 4508 Total Net Total Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Pupils Year 9 10 11 12 13+ 9-13) (Yrs 9-11) (Yrs 9-11) Baseline 2016 148 155 152 38 28 521 455 Forecast 2017 140 151 154 30 33 508 2 445 Forecast 2018 154 143 150 31 27 504 2 447 Forecast 2019 151 157 142 30 27 507 2 450 Forecast 2020 183 154 156 28 26 548 2 493 Forecast 2021 158 186 153 31 25 554 2 498 Forecast 2022 164 161 185 31 27 569 2 511 Forecast 2023 176 167 160 37 27 567 2 503 Forecast 2024 189 179 166 32 33 599 2 534 Forecast 2025 172 192 178 33 28 604 2 542 Forecast 2026 175 175 191 36 29 606 2 541 Forecast 2027 167 178 174 38 31 589 2 520

16+ Forecast 20.0% 17+ Forecast 88.0%

Upper School Migration: 101.0

Average transfer from middle (%): 95.0

2017 Determined AN * 230

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 33 Middle School (9-12) Catchment Analysis Forecast Base Year: 2016

MAIDEN BEECH MIDDLE, CREWKERNE

Middle Forecast: 484 4287 Pupils by NCY Total Pupils Net Year 5 6 7 8 (Yrs 5-8) Migration Baseline 2016 108 100 102 85 395 0 Forecast 2017 92 109 98 103 402 0 Forecast 2018 94 93 107 99 393 0 Forecast 2019 110 95 91 108 404 0 Forecast 2020 120 111 93 92 416 0 Forecast 2021 97 121 109 94 422 0 Forecast 2022 113 97 119 109 438 -2 Forecast 2023 118 113 95 119 445 -2 Forecast 2024 95 118 111 95 420 -2 Forecast 2025 96 95 116 111 419 -2 Forecast 2026 96 93 116 - - Forecast 2027 94 93 - -

Primary Migration: 100.7 Middle Migration: 99.7

Average transfer from primary (%): 93.5

2017 Determined AN * 123

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

Middle School (9-12) Catchment Analysis Forecast Base Year: 2016

SWANMEAD MIDDLE, ILMINSTER

Middle Forecast: 494 4288 Pupils by NCY Total Pupils Net Year 5 6 7 8 (Yrs 5-8) Migration Baseline 2016 90 65 60 62 277 Forecast 2017 80 90 61 59 290 -5 Forecast 2018 84 80 86 60 309 -5 Forecast 2019 81 84 76 85 325 -5 Forecast 2020 86 81 80 75 322 -5 Forecast 2021 92 85 77 79 333 -6 Forecast 2022 79 91 81 76 327 -6 Forecast 2023 67 78 87 80 312 -6 Forecast 2024 69 66 74 86 295 -6 Forecast 2025 73 68 62 73 276 -6 Forecast 2026 72 64 61 - - Forecast 2027 68 63 - -

Primary Migration: 100.0 Middle Migration: 98.1

Average transfer from primary (%): 95

2017 Determined AN * 87

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 34 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: CREWKERNE

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 96 94 120 119 102 127 118 102 98 547 Forecast 2017 96 95 121 119 103 128 118 101 569 1 Forecast 2018 97 97 122 120 105 128 118 593 3 Forecast 2019 99 98 124 122 105 128 577 4 Forecast 2020 100 100 125 122 104 551 2 Forecast 2021 106 101 101 125 121 554 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.2 Average V&I Adj 94.7% -6per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 173 3278 HASELBURY PLUCKNETT FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 1011 9 9 7 8 16 8 7 46 Forecast 2017 10 11 9 9 7 8 16 7 47 -1 Forecast 2018 10 11 9 9 7 8 15 48 -1 Forecast 2019 10 11 9 9 7 7 43 -1 Forecast 2020 10 11 9 9 6 45 -1 Forecast 2021 10 10 11 9 8 48 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 156.0% 4per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 184 3064 HINTON ST GEORGE FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 4 7 11 10 9 13 6 6 4 38 Forecast 2017 4 7 11 10 9 13 5 5 42 -2 Forecast 2018 4 7 11 10 9 12 4 46 -2 Forecast 2019 4 7 11 10 8 11 47 -2 Forecast 2020 4 7 11 9 7 38 -2 Forecast 2021 7 4 7 10 8 36 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 177.8% 4per year 2017 Determined AN * 16 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 228 2046 MERRIOTT FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 19 17 23 24 20 33 21 21 21 116 Forecast 2017 19 17 24 24 20 34 21 22 121 2 Forecast 2018 19 18 24 24 21 34 22 125 2 Forecast 2019 20 18 24 25 21 35 123 2 Forecast 2020 20 18 24 25 21 108 0 Forecast 2021 21 20 18 24 25 108 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 145.6% 7per year 2017 Determined AN * 24 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 35 School: 237 3080 MISTERTON FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 5 6 12 12 7 10 12 10 6 45 Forecast 2017 5 6 12 12 7 10 12 10 51 0 Forecast 2018 5 6 12 12 7 10 12 53 0 Forecast 2019 5 6 13 12 7 10 48 1 Forecast 2020 5 7 13 12 7 44 1 Forecast 2021 8 5 7 13 12 45 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 109.4% 1per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

Town Area Summary: CREWKERNE

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 58 53 65 64 59 63 63 57 60 302 Forecast 2017 58 54 65 64 60 63 64 57 308 2 Forecast 2018 59 55 66 65 61 64 65 321 4 Forecast 2019 60 56 67 66 62 65 316 4 Forecast 2020 61 57 68 67 63 316 4 Forecast 2021 60 62 58 69 68 317 4 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.7 Average V&I Adj 74.8% -20 per year

Notes: The above data is a summary of the forecast for St Bartholomew's and Ashlands First schools.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 120 3037 CREWKERNE ST BARTHOLOMEWS FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 35 35 36 36 36 40 37 33 45 191 Forecast 2017 35 36 36 36 36 40 38 33 183 1 Forecast 2018 36 36 36 36 36 41 38 187 1 Forecast 2019 36 36 36 36 37 41 186 1 Forecast 2020 36 36 36 37 37 182 1 Forecast 2021 36 36 36 37 37 182 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 79.8% -9per year 2017 Determined AN * 36 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 122 3035 CREWKERNE ASHLANDS FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 23 18 29 28 23 23 26 24 15 111 Forecast 2017 23 18 29 28 24 23 26 24 125 1 Forecast 2018 23 19 30 29 25 23 27 134 3 Forecast 2019 24 20 31 30 25 24 130 3 Forecast 2020 25 21 32 30 26 134 3 Forecast 2021 24 26 22 32 31 135 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 68.5% -11 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 36 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: ILMINSTER

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 74 70 67 81 95 90 85 88 84 2 1 445 Forecast 2017 75 70 68 81 96 91 85 88 2 2 445 2 Forecast 2018 75 71 68 82 97 91 85 4 2 429 2 Forecast 2019 76 71 69 83 97 91 2 4 417 2 Forecast 2020 76 72 70 83 97 5 2 405 2 Forecast 2021 77 77 73 70 83 3 5 388 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 98.5 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.7 Average V&I Adj 82.7% -15 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 23 3003 ST MARY & ST PETER PRIMARY, ILTON Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 5 7 6 6 7 8 5 9 5 1 0 35 Forecast 2017 5 7 6 6 7 8 5 9 1 1 37 -4 Forecast 2018 5 7 6 6 7 8 5 2 1 35 -7 Forecast 2019 5 7 6 6 7 8 1 2 37 -4 Forecast 2020 5 7 6 6 7 2 1 34 -6 Forecast 2021 6 5 7 6 6 1 2 33 -6 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 52.2% -6per year 2017 Determined AN * 8 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 196 3066 GREENFYLDE FIRST, ILMINSTER Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 61 53 53 68 77 69 74 71 74 365 Forecast 2017 62 53 54 68 78 70 74 71 361 2 Forecast 2018 62 54 54 69 79 70 74 346 2 Forecast 2019 63 54 55 70 79 70 328 2 Forecast 2020 63 55 56 70 79 323 2 Forecast 2021 62 64 56 56 70 308 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.7 Average V&I Adj 83.3% -12 per year 2017 Determined AN * 76 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 296 3098 SHEPTON BEAUCHAMP PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 8 10 8 7 1113 6 8 5 1 1 45 Forecast 2017 8 10 8 7 1113 6 8 1 1 47 -4 Forecast 2018 8 10 8 7 11 13 6 2 1 48 -6 Forecast 2019 8 10 8 7 11 13 1 2 52 -5 Forecast 2020 8 10 8 7 11 3 1 48 -10 Forecast 2021 9 8 10 8 7 2 3 47 -9 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 132.0% 2 per year 2017 Determined AN * 10 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 37 Secondary School (11-16/11-18) Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: FS01S 4002 STEINER ACADEMY FROME (Years 7-11) Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 24 24 2 0 0 0 0 50 50 Forecast 2017 26 24 24 2 0 0 0 76 0 76 Forecast 2018 26 26 24 24 2 0 0 102 0 102 Forecast 2019 26 26 26 24 24 0 0 126 0 126 Forecast 2020 29 26 26 26 24 0 0 131 0 131 Forecast 2021 26 29 26 26 26 0 0 133 0 133 Forecast 2022 52 26 29 26 26 0 0 159 0 159 Forecast 2023 53 52 26 29 26 0 0 186 0 186 Forecast 2024 50 53 52 26 29 0 0 210 0 210 Forecast 2025 50 50 53 52 26 0 0 231 0 231 Forecast 2026 52 50 50 53 52 0 0 257 0 257 Forecast 2027 51 52 50 50 53 0 0 256 0 256

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Secondary Migration: 100.0

Average transfer from primary (%): 100.0

2017 Determined AN * n/a

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes: This is an all-through school for children from 4 to 16 years of age. The above data refers to the secondary age range only. Data for the primary age ranges appears separately.

Upper School (13-18) Catchment Analysis Forecast Base Year: 2016

FROME COMMUNITY COLLEGE

Secondary Forecast: 527 4000 Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils Migration Total Pupils Year 9 10 11 12 13+ (Yrs 9-13) (Yrs 9-11) (Yrs 9-11) Baseline 2016 250 255 250 201 135 1091 755 Forecast 2017 280 248 251 185 132 1096 -6 779 Forecast 2018 265 278 244 185 121 1093 -6 787 Forecast 2019 265 263 274 180 121 1103 -6 801 Forecast 2020 289 263 259 203 118 1131 -6 810 Forecast 2021 309 287 259 191 133 1178 -6 855 Forecast 2022 292 307 283 191 125 1198 -6 882 Forecast 2023 279 290 303 209 125 1206 -6 872 Forecast 2024 286 277 286 224 137 1210 -6 849 Forecast 2025 267 284 273 211 146 1182 -6 824 Forecast 2026 257 265 280 202 138 1142 -6 802 Forecast 2027 254 255 261 207 132 1108 -6 770

16+ Forecast 73.8% 17+ Forecast 65.5%

Upper School Migration: 97.0

Average transfer from middle (%): 98.0

2017 Determined AN * 366

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 38 Middle School (9-12) Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

FROME MIDDLE SUMMARY

Middle Forecast: Total Pupils by NCY Pupils Net Year 5 6 7 8 (Yrs 5-8) Migration Baseline 2016 334 309 277 286 1206 Forecast 2017 354 334 277 270 1235 -39 Forecast 2018 337 354 302 270 1263 -39 Forecast 2019 324 337 322 295 1278 -39 Forecast 2020 331 324 305 315 1275 -39 Forecast 2021 312 331 292 298 1232 -39 Forecast 2022 301 312 299 285 1196 -39 Forecast 2023 298 301 280 292 1170 -39 Forecast 2024 309 298 269 273 1148 -39 Forecast 2025 289 309 266 262 1125 -39 Forecast 2026 289 277 259 - - Forecast 2027 257 270 - -

Primary Migration: 100.0 Middle Migration: 87.0

Average transfer from primary (%): 79.6

Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 39 Middle School (9-12) Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

OAKFIELD MIDDLE, FROME

Middle Forecast: 489 4257 Total Pupils by NCY Pupils Net Year 5 6 7 8 (Yrs 5-8) Migration Baseline 2016 174 173 128 127 602 Forecast 2017 181 174 156 125 636 -20 Forecast 2018 172 181 157 153 663 -20 Forecast 2019 165 172 164 154 655 -20 Forecast 2020 169 165 155 161 649 -20 Forecast 2021 159 169 148 152 628 -20

Middle Migration: 93.3

Average transfer from primary (%): 51.00

2017 Determined AN * 174

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

Middle School (9-12) Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

SELWOOD MIDDLE, FROME

Middle Forecast: 491 4552 Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils Migration Year 5 6 7 8 (Yrs 5-8) Baseline 2016 160 136 149 159 604 Forecast 2017 174 160 121 145 600 -19 Forecast 2018 165 174 145 117 601 -19 Forecast 2019 159 165 159 141 623 -19 Forecast 2020 162 159 150 155 625 -19 Forecast 2021 153 162 144 146 605 -19

Middle Migration: 93.7

Average transfer from primary (%): 49.00

2017 Determined AN * 189

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 40 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: FROME

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 379 404 391 402 415 441 401 416 432 58 58 2221 Forecast 2017 379 405 391 402 414 441 401 411 58 58 2185 -6 Forecast 2018 380 406 391 400 415 441 395 61 59 2162 -7 Forecast 2019 381 406 390 401 416 435 57 62 2167 -5 Forecast 2020 381 405 391 402 410 84 58 2131 -5 Forecast 2021 397 380 406 392 396 81 85 2137 -5 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.7 Average V&I Adj 96.0% -17 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 28 3008 BECKINGTON FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 13 18 18 17 17 19 17 18 17 88 Forecast 2017 13 18 18 17 16 19 16 18 86 -2 Forecast 2018 13 18 18 16 16 18 16 84 -2 Forecast 2019 13 18 18 16 16 18 86 0 Forecast 2020 13 18 18 16 16 81 0 Forecast 2021 16 13 18 18 16 81 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 173.7% 7 per year 2017 Determined AN * 17 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 30 3009 BERKLEY FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 19 20 20 19 19 21 19 20 23 102 Forecast 2017 19 20 20 19 19 21 20 20 99 1 Forecast 2018 19 20 20 19 19 22 20 100 1 Forecast 2019 19 20 20 19 20 22 101 1 Forecast 2020 19 20 20 20 20 99 1 Forecast 2021 19 19 20 21 20 99 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 371.4% 14 per year 2017 Determined AN * 19 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 213 2043 LEIGH UPON MENDIP FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 12 9 9 14 9 11 8 10 8 46 Forecast 2017 12 9 9 14 9 10 8 9 50 -2 Forecast 2018 12 9 9 14 8 10 7 48 -2 Forecast 2019 12 9 9 13 8 9 48 -2 Forecast 2020 12 9 8 13 7 49 -2 Forecast 2021 11 12 8 8 12 51 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 209.5% 6 per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 41 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 227 3078 MELLS FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 15 11 13 17 15 9 15 13 18 70 Forecast 2017 15 11 13 17 15 9 14 11 66 -3 Forecast 2018 15 11 13 17 15 8 12 65 -3 Forecast 2019 15 11 13 17 14 6 61 -3 Forecast 2020 15 11 13 16 12 67 -3 Forecast 2021 14 15 11 12 14 66 -3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 155.6% 5 per year 2017 Determined AN * 18 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 255 3342 NORTON ST PHILIP FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 4 10 5 12 9 12 2 9 7 39 Forecast 2017 4 10 5 12 9 12 2 9 44 0 Forecast 2018 4 10 5 11 9 12 1 38 -2 Forecast 2019 4 10 4 11 9 11 45 -2 Forecast 2020 4 9 4 11 8 36 -2 Forecast 2021 8 3 9 4 10 34 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 100.0% 0 per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 258 2021 NUNNEY FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 7 9 6 9 6 8 6 9 9 38 Forecast 2017 7 9 6 9 5 8 6 9 37 -1 Forecast 2018 7 9 6 8 5 8 6 33 -1 Forecast 2019 7 9 5 8 5 8 35 -1 Forecast 2020 7 8 5 8 5 33 -1 Forecast 2021 8 6 8 5 8 35 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 64.6% -4 per year 2017 Determined AN * 18 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 286 3287 RODE FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 14 20 16 18 18 25 20 23 21 107 Forecast 2017 14 20 16 18 18 25 20 23 104 0 Forecast 2018 14 20 16 18 18 25 20 97 0 Forecast 2019 14 20 16 18 18 25 97 0 Forecast 2020 14 20 16 18 18 86 0 Forecast 2021 17 14 20 16 18 85 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 170.0% 7 per year 2017 Determined AN * 18 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 42 Forecast Base Year: 2016

Town Area Summary: FROME

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 295 307 304 296 322 336 314 314 329 58 58 1731 Forecast 2017 295 308 304 296 323 337 315 312 58 58 1699 1 Forecast 2018 296 309 304 297 325 338 313 61 59 1697 2 Forecast 2019 297 309 305 299 326 336 57 62 1694 2 Forecast 2020 297 310 307 300 324 84 58 1680 2 Forecast 2021 305 298 312 308 298 81 85 1687 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.7 Average V&I Adj 85.4% -51 per year

Notes: The above data is a summary of the forecast for Trinity, Christchurch, Hayesdown, St Johns, & Vallis First Schools, St Louis Primary School and the primary age groups of the Steiner Academy.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 151 3058 FROME TRINITY FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 53 56 56 54 58 58 59 60 57 292 Forecast 2017 53 56 56 54 58 58 59 59 288 -1 Forecast 2018 53 56 56 53 58 58 58 283 -2 Forecast 2019 53 56 55 53 58 57 279 -2 Forecast 2020 53 55 55 53 57 273 -2 Forecast 2021 55 52 55 55 52 269 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 69.1% -25 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 152 3057 FROME CHRISTCHURCH FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 31 33 37 33 34 32 34 25 47 172 Forecast 2017 31 33 37 33 34 32 34 25 158 0 Forecast 2018 31 34 37 33 35 32 35 172 2 Forecast 2019 32 34 37 34 35 33 173 2 Forecast 2020 32 34 38 34 36 174 2 Forecast 2021 34 32 35 38 35 174 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 52.1% -31 per year 2017 Determined AN * 48 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 153 2011 FROME HAYESDOWN FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 54 51 47 50 54 56 53 54 52 269 Forecast 2017 54 51 47 50 54 55 53 53 265 -2 Forecast 2018 54 51 47 50 53 55 51 256 -3 Forecast 2019 54 51 47 49 53 53 253 -3 Forecast 2020 54 51 46 49 51 251 -3 Forecast 2021 52 54 50 46 47 249 -3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 33.6% -100 per year 2017 Determined AN * 54 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 43 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 157 3369 FROME ST JOHN'S FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 51 53 53 51 57 56 57 54 60 284 Forecast 2017 51 53 53 51 57 56 57 54 275 0 Forecast 2018 51 53 53 51 57 56 57 274 0 Forecast 2019 51 53 53 51 57 56 270 0 Forecast 2020 51 53 53 51 57 265 0 Forecast 2021 53 51 53 53 51 261 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 14.8% 52 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes: Average V&I Adj for this school based on the town area data.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 158 3371 FROME ST LOUIS PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 25 26 26 25 27 30 30 32 32 32 32 215 Forecast 2017 25 27 26 25 27 31 31 32 32 32 210 2 Forecast 2018 26 27 26 25 28 32 31 32 33 207 3 Forecast 2019 26 27 26 26 29 32 31 33 204 3 Forecast 2020 26 27 27 27 29 32 32 200 3 Forecast 2021 26 26 28 28 27 29 33 197 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 7.2% 26 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes: Average V&I Adj for this school based on the town area data.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 160 2028 FROME VALLIS FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 33 39 37 35 41 52 55 60 55 263 Forecast 2017 33 39 37 35 41 53 55 60 244 1 Forecast 2018 33 39 37 36 42 53 55 223 2 Forecast 2019 33 39 38 37 42 53 209 2 Forecast 2020 33 40 39 37 42 191 2 Forecast 2021 37 34 41 39 37 188 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 62.3% -22 per year 2017 Determined AN * 56 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: FS01P4002 STEINER ACADEMY FROME (Years R-6) Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 48 49 48 48 51 52 26 29 26 26 26 236 Forecast 2017 48 49 48 48 52 52 26 29 26 26 259 1 Forecast 2018 48 49 48 49 52 52 26 29 26 282 1 Forecast 2019 48 49 49 49 52 52 26 29 306 1 Forecast 2020 48 50 49 49 52 52 26 326 1 Forecast 2021 49 49 50 49 49 52 52 350 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 13.7% 48 per year 2017 Determined AN * 52 Notes: The above figures show the primary age groups at this school, data for the secondary age groups are shown in a separate table. Average V&I Adj for this school based on the town area data.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 44 Secondary School (11-16/11-18) Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: 533 4258 ST DUNSTAN'S SCHOOL, GLASTONBURY Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 52 58 88 63 67 0 0 328 328 Forecast 2017 58 52 58 88 63 0 0 319 0 319 Forecast 2018 58 58 52 58 88 0 0 313 0 313 Forecast 2019 65 58 58 52 58 0 0 291 0 291 Forecast 2020 65 65 58 58 52 0 0 298 0 298 Forecast 2021 66 65 65 58 58 0 0 312 0 312 Forecast 2022 61 66 65 65 58 0 0 315 0 315 Forecast 2023 61 61 66 65 65 0 0 318 0 318 Forecast 2024 51 61 61 66 65 0 0 304 0 304 Forecast 2025 53 51 61 61 66 0 0 292 0 292 Forecast 2026 57 53 51 61 61 0 0 282 0 282 Forecast 2027 59 57 53 51 61 0 0 281 0 281

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Primary Migration: 100.0 Secondary Migration: 100.0

Average transfer from primary (%): 58.9

2017 Determined AN * 132

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 45 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: GLASTONBURY

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 115 113 111 109 124 124 133 129 127 119 118 874 Forecast 2017 115 115 112 109 125 125 130 129 129 119 866 1 Forecast 2018 117 116 112 110 126 122 130 131 129 860 1 Forecast 2019 118 116 113 111 123 122 132 131 848 1 Forecast 2020 118 117 113 108 123 124 132 835 0 Forecast 2021 116 119 117 110 108 125 124 819 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.2 Average V&I Adj 90.0% -12.5 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 21 3001 BALTONSBOROUGH PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 8 12 12 8 12 19 11 9 13 12 14 90 Forecast 2017 8 13 12 8 12 19 12 9 14 12 86 2 Forecast 2018 9 13 12 8 12 20 12 10 14 88 2 Forecast 2019 9 13 12 8 13 20 13 10 89 2 Forecast 2020 9 13 12 9 13 21 13 90 2 Forecast 2021 11 9 13 13 9 14 21 90 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 117.6% 2per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 80 3017 BUTLEIGH PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 14 7 6 8 13 12 12 16 9 8 9 79 Forecast 2017 14 7 6 8 13 12 11 15 9 8 76 -2 Forecast 2018 14 7 6 8 13 11 10 15 9 72 -2 Forecast 2019 14 7 6 8 12 10 10 15 68 -2 Forecast 2020 14 7 6 7 11 10 10 65 -2 Forecast 2021 10 14 7 5 6 11 10 63 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 184.2% 4per year 2017 Determined AN * 16 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 166 3060 GLASTONBURY ST JOHN'S INFANTS Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 53 57 53 52 54 48 63 165 Forecast 2017 53 57 53 52 54 48 154 0 Forecast 2018 53 57 53 52 54 159 0 Forecast 2019 53 57 53 52 162 0 Forecast 2020 53 57 53 163 0 Forecast 2021 54 53 57 164 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 60.7% -35 per year 2017 Determined AN * 70 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 46 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 164 3322 GLASTONBURY ST BENEDICT'S JUNIOR Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 52 65 54 49 220 Forecast 2017 59 52 65 54 230 0 Forecast 2018 44 59 52 65 220 0 Forecast 2019 50 44 59 52 205 0 Forecast 2020 48 50 44 59 201 0 Forecast 2021 49 48 50 44 191 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast transfer from infant rate (Net): 92.6 Average V&I Adj N/A 2017 Determined AN * 67 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 226 2045 MEARE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 12 8 10 11 14 15 20 22 14 13 16 114 Forecast 2017 12 8 11 11 15 16 20 23 14 13 112 3 Forecast 2018 12 9 11 12 16 16 21 23 14 113 3 Forecast 2019 13 9 12 13 16 17 21 23 111 3 Forecast 2020 13 10 12 13 17 17 21 103 2 Forecast 2021 11 14 10 12 14 17 17 95 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 97.6% 0per year 2017 Determined AN * 17 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 413 3121 WEST PENNARD PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 28 29 30 30 31 30 27 30 26 32 30 206 Forecast 2017 28 30 30 30 31 30 28 30 27 32 208 2 Forecast 2018 29 30 30 30 31 31 28 31 27 208 2 Forecast 2019 29 30 30 30 32 31 29 31 213 2 Forecast 2020 29 30 30 31 32 32 29 213 2 Forecast 2021 30 29 30 31 31 33 32 216 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 238.8% 17per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 47 Secondary School (11-16/11-18) Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: 535 4259 HUISH EPISCOPI Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 273 285 258 226 252 133 85 1512 1294 Forecast 2017 282 270 282 258 226 120 115 1553 -6 1318 Forecast 2018 255 279 267 282 258 99 104 1545 -6 1341 Forecast 2019 267 252 276 267 282 114 86 1544 -6 1345 Forecast 2020 267 264 249 276 267 124 98 1546 -6 1323 Forecast 2021 282 264 261 249 276 117 107 1557 -6 1332 Forecast 2022 274 279 261 261 249 121 102 1548 -6 1325 Forecast 2023 253 271 276 261 261 110 105 1537 -6 1322 Forecast 2024 262 250 268 276 261 115 95 1527 -6 1317 Forecast 2025 253 259 247 268 276 115 100 1517 -6 1303 Forecast 2026 231 250 256 247 268 121 99 1473 -6 1252 Forecast 2027 230 228 247 256 247 118 105 1431 -6 1208

16+ Forecast 44.0% 17+ Forecast 86.6%

Primary Migration: 103.0 Secondary Migration: 98.5

Average transfer from primary (%): 131.9

2017 Determined AN * 268

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 48 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: HUISH EPISCOPI

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 145 149 167 177 170 195 204 195 194 190 217 1365 Forecast 2017 147 151 169 178 174 197 206 198 198 192 1343 17 Forecast 2018 150 154 171 182 177 200 210 202 201 1343 21 Forecast 2019 153 156 175 185 180 204 214 205 1319 21 Forecast 2020 155 159 178 188 183 208 217 1288 19 Forecast 2021 165 158 162 181 191 187 211 1255 19 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 103.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 102.5 Average V&I Adj 104.9% 7.5 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 94 3020 CHARLTON MACKRELL PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 7 10 9 12 7 11 8 12 10 16 13 77 Forecast 2017 7 10 9 12 7 11 8 13 10 16 77 1 Forecast 2018 7 10 9 12 7 11 9 13 10 71 1 Forecast 2019 7 10 9 12 7 12 9 13 72 1 Forecast 2020 7 10 9 12 8 12 9 67 1 Forecast 2021 9 7 10 9 13 8 12 68 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 105.6% 1per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 127 3039 CURRY MALLET PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 4 5 4 6 7 9 6 8 161011 67 Forecast 2017 5 5 4 6 7 9 7 81611 64 2 Forecast 2018 5 5 4 6 7107 817 59 2 Forecast 2019 5 5 4 6 8 10 7 9 49 2 Forecast 2020 5 5 4 7 8 10 8 47 2 Forecast 2021 5 5 5 5 7 8 11 46 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 475.0% 4per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 128 3040 CURRY RIVEL PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 20 17 22 23 22 25 24 22 21 15 24 153 Forecast 2017 20 18 22 23 23 25 24 23 22 15 155 3 Forecast 2018 21 18 22 24 23 25 25 24 22 165 3 Forecast 2019 21 18 23 24 23 26 26 24 164 3 Forecast 2020 21 19 23 24 23 27 26 163 2 Forecast 2021 21 22 19 23 24 24 27 160 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 82.8% -4per year 2017 Determined AN * 21 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 49 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 171 2029 HAMBRIDGE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 12 8 13 19 7 20 20 22 23 18 25 135 Forecast 2017 12 8 14 19 8 20 21 22 25 18 133 4 Forecast 2018 12 9 14 20 8 21 21 24 25 133 4 Forecast 2019 13 9 15 20 9 21 23 24 121 4 Forecast 2020 13 10 15 21 9 23 23 114 4 Forecast 2021 12 14 10 16 21 11 23 107 4 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 162.5% 5per year 2017 Determined AN * 20 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 183 3062 HIGH HAM PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 14 15 19 17 19 21 22 22 28 24 26 162 Forecast 2017 14 15 19 17 19 21 22 22 28 24 153 0 Forecast 2018 14 15 19 17 19 21 22 22 28 148 0 Forecast 2019 14 15 19 17 19 21 22 22 135 0 Forecast 2020 14 15 19 17 19 21 22 127 0 Forecast 2021 16 14 15 19 17 19 21 121 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 361.1% 12 per year 2017 Determined AN * 25 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 190 2034 HUISH EPISCOPI PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 17 24 26 24 18 25 28 23 19 21 21 155 Forecast 2017 18 24 27 25 18 26 28 24 19 22 162 3 Forecast 2018 18 25 28 25 19 26 29 24 20 171 3 Forecast 2019 19 26 28 26 19 27 29 25 180 3 Forecast 2020 20 26 29 26 20 27 30 178 3 Forecast 2021 24 20 27 29 27 20 28 175 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.7 Average V&I Adj 50.0% -23 per year 2017 Determined AN * 25 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 207 2041 KINGSBURY EPISCOPI PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 15 13 18 21 27 15 25 23 21 15 25 151 Forecast 2017 15 14 18 21 28 15 25 23 22 15 149 2 Forecast 2018 16 14 18 22 28 15 25 24 22 154 2 Forecast 2019 16 14 19 22 28 15 26 24 148 2 Forecast 2020 16 15 19 22 28 16 26 142 2 Forecast 2021 18 17 15 19 22 29 16 136 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 223.3% 9per year 2017 Determined AN * 21 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 50 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 215 3331 LONG SUTTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 6 7 7 8 13 8 11 12 18 15 18 95 Forecast 2017 6 7 7 8 13 9 11 12 18 15 86 1 Forecast 2018 6 7 7 8 14 9 11 12 18 79 1 Forecast 2019 6 7 7 9 14 9 11 12 69 1 Forecast 2020 6 7 8 9 14 9 11 64 1 Forecast 2021 8 6 8 8 9 14 9 62 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 186.7% 3per year 2017 Determined AN * 17 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 230 2172 MIDDLEZOY PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 567665731097 47 Forecast 2017 56 7 66573109 46 0 Forecast 2018 5 6 7 6 6 5 7 3 10 44 0 Forecast 2019 5 6 7 6 6 5 7 3 40 0 Forecast 2020 5 6 7 6 6 5 7 42 0 Forecast 2021 6 5 6 7 6 6 5 41 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 150.0% 2per year 2017 Determined AN * 15 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 267 2177 OTHERY PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 34257689285 45 Forecast 2017 3 4 2 5 8 6 8 9 2 8 46 1 Forecast 2018 3 4 2 6 8 6 8 9 2 41 1 Forecast 2019 3 4 3 6 8 6 8 9 44 1 Forecast 2020 3 4 3 6 8 6 8 38 0 Forecast 2021 4 3 4 3 6 8 6 34 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 77.8% -1per year 2017 Determined AN * 15 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 304 2064 SOMERTON, KING INA INFANTS Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 42 40 40 36 37 50 45 132 Forecast 2017 42 40 40 36 37 50 123 0 Forecast 2018 43 41 41 36 38 115 1 Forecast 2019 44 42 41 37 120 1 Forecast 2020 45 42 42 129 1 Forecast 2021 42 45 43 130 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.5 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 100.0% 0per year 2017 Determined AN * 45 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 51 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 305 3353 SOMERTON, KING INA JUNIOR Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 39 26 39 42 146 Forecast 2017 45 39 26 39 149 0 Forecast 2018 51 46 39 27 163 2 Forecast 2019 39 52 46 40 177 2 Forecast 2020 38 40 52 47 177 2 Forecast 2021 43 39 40 53 175 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.5 Forecast transfer from infant rate (Net): 101.9 Average V&I Adj N/A 2017 Determined AN * 45 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 52 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: NORTH MENDIP

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL

Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 63 78 53 84 73 87 84 78 65 97 67 551 Forecast 2017 64 79 55 84 74 88 86 80 67 99 578 10 Forecast 2018 66 81 55 85 76 90 88 82 69 545 11 Forecast 2019 68 81 56 87 78 92 90 84 568 11 Forecast 2020 68 82 58 89 80 94 92 563 11 Forecast 2021 73 69 83 60 91 82 96 554 10 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.5 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.7 Average V&I Adj 161.6% 26.5 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 107 3029 COLEFORD, BISHOP HENDERSON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 21 27 15 29 18 26 24 21 24 31 14 158 Forecast 2017 21 27 16 29 19 26 24 22 24 32 176 3 Forecast 2018 21 28 16 30 19 26 25 22 25 163 3 Forecast 2019 22 28 17 30 19 27 25 23 169 3 Forecast 2020 22 29 17 30 20 27 26 171 3 Forecast 2021 23 23 29 17 31 20 28 171 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 86.8% -4per year 2017 Determined AN * 21 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 176 2030 HEMINGTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 66344739685 42 Forecast 2017 6 6 3 4 4 7 3 9 6 8 41 0 Forecast 2018 7 6 3 4 5 7 3 9 6 37 1 Forecast 2019 7 6 3 5 5 7 3 9 38 1 Forecast 2020 7 6 4 5 5 7 3 37 1 Forecast 2021 5 7 6 4 5 5 7 39 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 105.6% 0per year 2017 Determined AN * 7 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 204 3329 KILMERSDON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 13 17 15 21 21 25 27 19 15 30 28 165 Forecast 2017 13 17 16 21 21 26 28 19 16 30 161 3 Forecast 2018 13 18 16 21 22 27 28 20 16 150 3 Forecast 2019 14 18 16 22 23 27 29 20 155 3 Forecast 2020 14 18 17 23 23 28 29 152 3 Forecast 2021 17 14 19 18 23 24 28 143 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 137.5% 5per year 2017 Determined AN * 24 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 53 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 325 3358 ST BENEDICTS PRIMARY, STRATTON ON THE FOSSE Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 23 28 20 30 30 29 30 29 20 28 20 186 Forecast 2017 24 29 20 30 30 29 31 30 21 29 200 4 Forecast 2018 25 29 20 30 30 30 32 31 22 195 4 Forecast 2019 25 29 20 30 31 31 33 32 206 4 Forecast 2020 25 29 20 31 32 32 34 203 4 Forecast 2021 27 25 29 21 32 33 33 200 4 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 58.7% -18 per year 2017 Determined AN * 27 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 54 Secondary School (11-16/11-18) Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: 544 4282 WHITSTONE SCHOOL, SHEPTON MALLET Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 100 89 93 92 81 0 0 455 455 Forecast 2017 119 100 87 93 90 0 0 489 -4 489 Forecast 2018 97 119 98 87 91 0 0 492 -4 492 Forecast 2019 113 97 117 98 85 0 0 511 -4 511 Forecast 2020 117 113 95 117 96 0 0 539 -4 539 Forecast 2021 110 117 111 95 115 0 0 549 -4 549 Forecast 2022 117 110 115 111 93 0 0 547 -4 547 Forecast 2023 128 117 108 115 109 0 0 578 -4 578 Forecast 2024 99 128 115 108 113 0 0 563 -4 563 Forecast 2025 104 99 126 115 106 0 0 550 -4 550 Forecast 2026 121 104 97 126 113 0 0 561 -4 561 Forecast 2027 105 121 102 97 124 0 0 549 -4 549

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Primary Migration: 100.6 Secondary Migration: 99.0

Average transfer from primary (%): 66.5

2017 Determined AN * 163

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 55 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: SHEPTON MALLET

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 153 176 153 148 193 181 169 176 171 147 180 1217 Forecast 2017 154 177 153 149 195 182 168 177 171 147 1189 3 Forecast 2018 155 177 154 151 196 181 169 177 171 1199 3 Forecast 2019 155 178 156 152 195 182 169 177 1209 3 Forecast 2020 156 180 157 151 196 182 169 1191 3 Forecast 2021 166 158 181 156 152 196 182 1191 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.5 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 84.7% -28.5 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 124 3311 CROSCOMBE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 7 12 9 9 12 12 8 12 10 8 14 76 Forecast 2017 7 12 9 9 12 12 8 12 10 8 71 0 Forecast 2018 7 12 9 9 12 12 8 12 10 72 0 Forecast 2019 7 12 9 9 12 12 8 12 74 0 Forecast 2020 7 12 9 9 12 12 8 69 0 Forecast 2021 10 7 12 9 9 12 12 71 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 231.3% 5per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 134 3041 DOULTING ST ALDHELM'S PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 26 30 27 28 29 29 30 40 31 21 31 211 Forecast 2017 26 30 27 28 29 28 30 40 30 20 205 -3 Forecast 2018 26 30 27 28 28 28 30 39 29 209 -3 Forecast 2019 26 30 27 27 28 28 29 38 207 -3 Forecast 2020 26 30 26 27 28 27 28 192 -3 Forecast 2021 28 26 29 26 27 27 26 189 -3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 504.5% 22per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 262 3085 OAKHILL PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 13 17 21 11 24 18 24 18 20 21 16 141 Forecast 2017 13 17 21 11 24 19 24 19 20 21 138 2 Forecast 2018 13 17 21 11 25 19 25 19 20 140 2 Forecast 2019 13 17 21 12 25 20 25 19 139 2 Forecast 2020 13 17 22 12 26 20 25 135 2 Forecast 2021 17 13 18 22 13 26 20 129 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 121.6% 3per year 2017 Determined AN * 17 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 56 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 319 2067 STOKE ST MICHAEL PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 767414577659 53 Forecast 2017 76741457665 47 -1 Forecast 2018 7 6 7 4 14 5 6 6 6 48 -1 Forecast 2019 7 6 7 4 14 4 6 6 47 -1 Forecast 2020 7 6 7 4 13 4 6 47 -1 Forecast 2021 7 7 6 7 3 13 4 47 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.9 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 64.9% -3per year 2017 Determined AN * 7 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 375 3129 UPTON NOBLE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 20 17 19 24 26 28 22 29 27 20 30 182 Forecast 2017 20 18 19 24 27 29 22 30 27 20 179 3 Forecast 2018 21 18 19 25 28 29 23 30 27 181 3 Forecast 2019 21 18 20 26 28 30 23 30 175 3 Forecast 2020 21 19 21 26 29 30 23 169 3 Forecast 2021 21 22 20 21 27 29 30 170 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 140.4% 6per year 2017 Determined AN * 25 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

Town Area Summary: SHEPTON MALLET

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 80 94 70 72 88 89 78 70 77 72 80 554 Forecast 2017 81 94 70 73 89 89 77 70 78 73 549 2 Forecast 2018 81 94 71 74 89 88 77 71 79 549 2 Forecast 2019 81 95 72 74 88 88 78 72 567 2 Forecast 2020 82 96 72 73 88 89 79 579 2 Forecast 2021 84 83 96 71 73 89 90 586 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 56.3% -61.25 per year

Notes: The above data is a summary of the forecast for Bowlish Inf, Shepton Mallet Inf and Shepton Mallet St Paul's

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 40 2106 BOWLISH INFANTS Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 40 40 30 38 39 39 38 116 Forecast 2017 40 40 30 38 39 39 116 0 Forecast 2018 40 40 30 38 39 107 0 Forecast 2019 40 40 30 38 108 0 Forecast 2020 40 40 30 110 0 Forecast 2021 38 40 40 118 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 164.4% 15per year 2017 Determined AN * 39 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 57 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 298 2062 SHEPTON MALLET INFANTS Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 40 54 40 34 49 50 40 139 Forecast 2017 41 54 40 35 50 50 135 1 Forecast 2018 41 54 41 36 50 127 1 Forecast 2019 41 55 42 36 133 1 Forecast 2020 42 56 42 140 1 Forecast 2021 46 43 56 145 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 35.7% -76 per year 2017 Determined AN * 47 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 299 3132 SHEPTON MALLET ST PAUL'S JUNIOR Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 70 77 72 80 299 Forecast 2017 77 70 78 73 298 2 Forecast 2018 88 77 71 79 315 2 Forecast 2019 88 88 78 72 326 2 Forecast 2020 73 88 89 79 329 2 Forecast 2021 71 73 89 90 323 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.7 Forecast transfer from infant rate (Net): 98.8 Average V&I Adj N/A 2017 Determined AN * 74 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 58 Secondary School (11-16/11-18) Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: 546 4450 STANCHESTER SCH, STOKE-SUB-HAMDON Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 115 101 113 99 105 0 0 533 533 Forecast 2017 103 114 100 113 98 0 0 528 -3 528 Forecast 2018 116 102 113 100 112 0 0 543 -3 543 Forecast 2019 122 115 101 113 99 0 0 551 -3 551 Forecast 2020 114 121 114 101 112 0 0 562 -3 562 Forecast 2021 114 113 120 114 100 0 0 562 -3 562 Forecast 2022 117 113 112 120 113 0 0 575 -3 575 Forecast 2023 112 116 112 112 119 0 0 571 -3 571 Forecast 2024 118 111 115 112 111 0 0 567 -3 567 Forecast 2025 109 117 110 115 111 0 0 562 -3 562 Forecast 2026 109 108 116 110 114 0 0 557 -3 557 Forecast 2027 101 108 107 116 109 0 0 541 -3 541

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Primary Migration: 99.0 Secondary Migration: 99.3

Average transfer from primary (%): 55.0

2017 Determined AN * 180

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 59 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: STOKE-SUB-HAMDON

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 185 202 206 224 215 218 209 207 221 211 188 1469 Forecast 2017 186 202 206 224 213 217 207 204 222 211 1498 -7 Forecast 2018 188 203 206 223 208 211 205 207 222 1482 -11 Forecast 2019 189 203 206 222 205 209 208 207 1460 -3 Forecast 2020 189 203 204 219 203 212 208 1438 -4 Forecast 2021 201 188 202 201 217 205 212 1426 -5 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.8 Average V&I Adj 94.1% -12.75 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 11 3276 ASH PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 21 21 21 21 26 22 22 18 26 21 12 147 Forecast 2017 21 21 21 21 26 22 22 17 26 21 155 -1 Forecast 2018 21 21 21 21 25 22 21 17 26 153 -2 Forecast 2019 21 21 21 21 25 21 21 17 147 -1 Forecast 2020 21 21 20 21 24 21 21 149 -2 Forecast 2021 21 21 21 20 20 24 21 148 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 466.7% 17 per year 2017 Determined AN * 21 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 194 2327 ILCHESTER PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 49 45 41 50 37 40 40 37 32 36 29 251 Forecast 2017 49 45 41 50 35 39 38 36 32 36 266 -6 Forecast 2018 49 45 41 48 34 37 37 36 32 265 -6 Forecast 2019 49 45 39 47 32 36 37 36 272 -6 Forecast 2020 49 43 38 45 31 36 37 279 -6 Forecast 2021 45 47 42 36 44 31 36 281 -6 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 92.0% -4 per year 2017 Determined AN * 47 Notes: Number on roll is subject to fluctuation as a result of movement of service families linked to RNAS Yeovilton.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 224 3486 MARTOCK PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 24 29 34 32 31 36 29 25 32 35 28 216 Forecast 2017 24 29 34 32 31 36 29 25 32 35 220 0 Forecast 2018 25 30 34 33 32 36 30 26 32 223 4 Forecast 2019 26 30 35 34 32 37 31 26 225 4 Forecast 2020 26 31 36 34 33 38 31 229 4 Forecast 2021 30 27 32 36 35 34 38 232 4 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.5 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 68.8% -14 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 60 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 241 3493 MONTACUTE ALL SAINTS PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 21 27 22 30 30 30 30 28 32 30 25 205 Forecast 2017 21 27 22 30 30 30 30 28 32 30 210 0 Forecast 2018 21 27 22 29 27 28 30 28 32 196 -6 Forecast 2019 21 27 22 29 27 28 30 28 191 0 Forecast 2020 21 27 22 29 27 28 30 184 0 Forecast 2021 23 21 27 22 29 27 28 177 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 59.9% -17 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes: See note at the end of the Yeovil section.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 256 3281 NORTON SUB HAMDON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 14 14 12 13 17 14 19 19 18 17 18 122 Forecast 2017 14 14 12 13 17 14 18 19 18 17 116 -1 Forecast 2018 14 14 12 13 17 13 18 19 18 110 -1 Forecast 2019 14 14 12 13 16 13 18 19 105 -1 Forecast 2020 14 14 12 12 16 13 18 99 -1 Forecast 2021 14 14 14 11 12 16 13 94 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.9 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 220.8% 7 per year 2017 Determined AN * 17 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 307 3484 SOUTH PETHERTON INFANTS Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 28 33 39 32 37 39 24 100 Forecast 2017 28 33 39 32 37 39 108 0 Forecast 2018 28 33 39 32 36 107 -1 Forecast 2019 28 33 39 31 103 -1 Forecast 2020 28 33 38 99 -1 Forecast 2021 33 28 32 93 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 96.4% -1 per year 2017 Determined AN * 35 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 308 2306 SOUTH PETHERTON JUNIOR Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 36 32 37 37 142 Forecast 2017 24 36 32 37 129 0 Forecast 2018 38 24 36 32 130 0 Forecast 2019 35 38 24 36 133 0 Forecast 2020 30 35 38 24 127 0 Forecast 2021 37 30 35 38 140 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast transfer from infant rate (Net): 97.6 Average V&I Adj N/A 2017 Determined AN * 37 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 61 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 320 2014 CASTLE PRIMARY, STOKE-SUB-HAMDON Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 14 18 18 25 17 16 24 19 25 12 20 133 Forecast 2017 14 18 18 25 17 16 24 19 25 12 138 0 Forecast 2018 15 18 18 26 17 16 24 20 25 146 2 Forecast 2019 15 18 19 26 17 16 25 20 141 2 Forecast 2020 15 19 19 26 17 17 25 138 2 Forecast 2021 18 15 19 19 26 17 17 131 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 79.8% -5 per year 2017 Determined AN * 25 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 364 3485 TINTINHULL, ST MARGARET'S PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 10 8 16 14 13 14 16 15 16 15 12 101 Forecast 2017 10 8 16 14 13 14 16 14 16 15 102 -1 Forecast 2018 10 8 16 14 13 13 15 14 16 101 -2 Forecast 2019 10 8 16 14 13 12 15 14 92 -1 Forecast 2020 10 8 16 14 12 12 15 87 -1 Forecast 2021 11 10 8 16 13 12 12 82 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 141.2% 4 per year 2017 Determined AN * 16 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 407 3284 WEST CHINNOCK PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 473777510887 52 Forecast 2017 573 77761098 54 2 Forecast 2018 5 7 3 7 7 8 6 11 9 51 2 Forecast 2019 5 7 3 7 8 8 7 11 51 2 Forecast 2020 5 7 3 8 8 9 7 47 2 Forecast 2021 6 5 7 4 8 9 9 48 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 105.0% 0 per year 2017 Determined AN * 8 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 62 Secondary School (11-16/11-18) Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: 548 4283 CRISPIN SCHOOL, STREET Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 232 210 195 203 176 0 0 1016 1016 Forecast 2017 194 232 209 195 202 0 0 1032 -2 1032 Forecast 2018 202 194 231 209 194 0 0 1030 -2 1030 Forecast 2019 219 202 193 231 208 0 0 1053 -2 1053 Forecast 2020 206 219 201 193 230 0 0 1049 -2 1049 Forecast 2021 226 205 218 201 192 0 0 1043 -3 1043 Forecast 2022 203 225 204 218 200 0 0 1051 -3 1051 Forecast 2023 223 202 224 204 217 0 0 1071 -3 1071 Forecast 2024 179 222 201 224 203 0 0 1029 -3 1029 Forecast 2025 205 178 221 201 223 0 0 1028 -3 1028 Forecast 2026 197 204 177 221 200 0 0 999 -3 999 Forecast 2027 150 196 203 177 220 0 0 946 -3 946

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Primary Migration: 102.0 Secondary Migration: 99.3

Average transfer from primary (%): 102.0

2017 Determined AN * 224

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 63 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: STREET

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 128 175 185 161 208 190 214 196 211 196 190 1405 Forecast 2017 129 177 187 163 210 192 216 198 213 198 1390 12 Forecast 2018 131 179 189 165 212 194 218 200 215 1393 12 Forecast 2019 133 181 191 167 214 196 220 202 1371 12 Forecast 2020 135 183 193 169 216 197 222 1315 11 Forecast 2021 170 137 185 195 171 217 199 1274 11 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.9 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.8 Average V&I Adj 98.0% -3.25 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 13 2150 ASHCOTT PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 11 17 14 14 19 18 12 18 14 19 17 117 Forecast 2017 11 17 14 14 19 18 12 18 14 20 115 1 Forecast 2018 11 17 14 14 19 18 12 18 15 110 1 Forecast 2019 11 17 14 14 19 18 12 19 113 1 Forecast 2020 11 17 14 14 19 18 13 106 1 Forecast 2021 15 11 17 14 14 19 19 109 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 151.4% 5 per year 2017 Determined AN * 17 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 86 2166 CATCOTT PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 12 15 14 16 21 15 19 27 26 27 25 160 Forecast 2017 12 16 14 16 21 15 19 28 26 27 152 1 Forecast 2018 13 16 14 16 21 15 20 28 26 140 1 Forecast 2019 13 16 14 16 21 16 20 28 131 1 Forecast 2020 13 16 14 16 22 16 20 117 1 Forecast 2021 16 13 16 14 17 22 16 114 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 81.4% -3per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 381 3110 WALTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 17 15 19 18 22 19 22 22 22 11 15 133 Forecast 2017 17 15 19 19 22 20 22 22 22 11 138 1 Forecast 2018 17 15 20 19 23 20 22 22 22 148 1 Forecast 2019 17 16 20 20 23 20 22 22 143 1 Forecast 2020 18 17 21 21 23 20 22 142 3 Forecast 2021 18 19 18 22 21 23 20 141 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 140.8% 5 per year 2017 Determined AN * 21 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 64 Forecast Base Year: 2016

Town Area Summary: STREET

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 88 128 138 113 146 138 161 129 149 139 133 995 Forecast 2017 89 129 140 114 148 139 163 130 151 140 985 9 Forecast 2018 90 131 141 116 149 141 164 132 152 995 9 Forecast 2019 92 132 143 117 151 142 166 133 984 9 Forecast 2020 93 133 144 118 152 143 167 950 6 Forecast 2021 122 94 134 145 119 153 144 911 6 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.5 Average V&I Adj 92.3% -9.75 per year

Notes: The above data is a summary of the forecast for Hindhayes Infant, Elmhurst Junior and Brookside Primary Schools

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 327 2113 STREET BROOKSIDE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 44 60 60 58 61 59 92 63 66 67 68 476 Forecast 2017 45 61 60 58 61 59 94 64 67 68 471 5 Forecast 2018 46 61 60 58 61 61 95 65 68 468 5 Forecast 2019 46 61 60 58 63 62 96 66 466 5 Forecast 2020 46 61 60 59 64 62 97 449 3 Forecast 2021 56 46 61 61 60 64 63 411 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 105.2% 3 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 329 2069 STREET HINDHAYES INFANTS Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 44 68 78 55 85 79 69 233 Forecast 2017 44 68 80 56 87 80 223 3 Forecast 2018 44 70 81 58 88 227 3 Forecast 2019 46 71 83 59 213 3 Forecast 2020 47 72 84 203 2 Forecast 2021 65 48 73 186 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.0 Average V&I Adj 83.1% -13 per year 2017 Determined AN * 76 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 328 2068 STREET ELMHURST JUNIOR Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 66 83 72 65 286 Forecast 2017 69 66 84 72 291 1 Forecast 2018 80 69 67 84 300 1 Forecast 2019 88 80 70 67 305 1 Forecast 2020 59 88 81 70 298 1 Forecast 2021 84 59 89 81 313 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast transfer from infant rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj N/A 2017 Determined AN * 83 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 65 Secondary School (11-16/11-18) Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: TAUNTON SECONDARY SUMMARY Net Total Pupils by NCY Total Pupils Migration Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ (Yrs 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 818 778 804 766 772 31 38 4007 3938 Forecast 2017 834 822 780 806 766 35 29 4073 8 4008 Forecast 2018 862 838 824 782 806 35 33 4181 8 4112 Forecast 2019 885 866 840 826 782 36 33 4268 8 4199 Forecast 2020 916 889 868 842 826 36 34 4411 8 4342 Forecast 2021 972 920 891 870 842 38 34 4567 8 4496 Forecast 2022 962 974 921 892 870 37 36 4693 4 4620 Forecast 2023 965 964 975 922 892 38 35 4792 4 4719 Forecast 2024 907 967 965 976 922 37 36 4811 4 4738 Forecast 2025 957 909 968 966 976 37 35 4849 4 4777 Forecast 2026 904 959 910 969 966 39 35 4782 4 4708 Forecast 2027 878 906 960 911 969 38 37 4699 4 4624

16+ Forecast see note 17+ Forecast below

Primary Migration: 103 Secondary Migration: 101

Average transfer from primary (%): 98.0

Notes: The above represents the combined forecasts of the following schools: The Castle, Heathfield, Bishop Fox's and the Taunton Academy . The 16+ forecast data above is the total forecast of the individual school 6th forms.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 66 Secondary Forecast: 579 4358 THE CASTLE SCHOOL, TAUNTON Net Total Pupils by NCY Total Pupils Migration Years 7- Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ (Yrs 7 -13) (Yrs 7-11) 11 Baseline 2016 241 239 238 237 240 0 0 1195 1195 Forecast 2017 242 241 236 238 236 0 0 1193 -4 1193 Forecast 2018 246 242 238 236 237 0 0 1199 -4 1199 Forecast 2019 243 246 239 238 235 0 0 1201 -4 1201 Forecast 2020 243 243 243 239 237 0 0 1205 -4 1205 Forecast 2021 243 243 240 243 238 0 0 1207 -4 1207

16+ Forecast 0.0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Forecast Average Town NOR %: 27.30 Secondary Migration: 99.0

2017 Determined AN * 240

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

Secondary Forecast: 585 4354 HEATHFIELD COMM SCHOOL, TAUNTON Net Total Pupils by NCY Total Pupils Migration Years 7- Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ (Yrs 7 -13) (Yrs 7-11) 11 Baseline 2016 246 236 238 234 234 31 38 1257 1188 Forecast 2017 242 248 239 238 233 35 29 1264 4 1200 Forecast 2018 246 244 251 239 237 35 33 1285 4 1217 Forecast 2019 243 248 247 251 238 36 33 1296 4 1227 Forecast 2020 243 245 251 247 250 36 34 1305 4 1236 Forecast 2021 258 245 248 251 246 38 34 1319 4 1247

16+ Forecast 15.0% 17+ Forecast 95.0%

Forecast Average Town NOR %: 27.60 Secondary Migration: 101.0

2017 Determined AN * 225

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO Notes:

Secondary Forecast: 590 4100 BISHOP FOX'S SCHOOL, TAUNTON Net Total Pupils by NCY Total Pupils Migration Years 7- Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ (Yrs 7 -13) (Yrs 7-11) 11 Baseline 2016 197 199 197 182 181 0 0 956 956 Forecast 2017 208 197 199 197 182 0 0 983 0 983 Forecast 2018 216 208 197 199 197 0 0 1017 0 1017 Forecast 2019 221 216 208 197 199 0 0 1041 0 1041 Forecast 2020 220 221 216 208 197 0 0 1062 0 1062 Forecast 2021 248 220 221 216 208 0 0 1113 0 1113

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Forecast Average Town NOR %: 24.90 Secondary Migration: 100.0

2017 Determined AN * 183

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

Secondary Forecast: 905 6905 THE TAUNTON ACADEMY Net Total Pupils by NCY Total Pupils Migration Years 7- Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ (Yrs 7 -13) (Yrs 7-11) 11 Baseline 2016 134 104 131 113 117 0 0 599 599 Forecast 2017 142 136 106 133 115 0 0 632 8 632 Forecast 2018 155 144 138 108 135 0 0 680 8 680 Forecast 2019 177 157 146 140 110 0 0 730 8 730 Forecast 2020 211 179 159 148 142 0 0 839 8 839 Forecast 2021 224 213 181 161 150 0 0 928 8 928

16+ Forecast 0.0% 17+ Forecast 0.0%

Forecast Average Town NOR %: 20.20 Secondary Migration: 102.0

2017 Determined AN * 220

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes: BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 67 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: TAUNTON

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 850 879 939 885 951 958 972 919 895 877 851 6423 Forecast 2017 856 884 945 890 961 964 978 927 900 880 6500 38 Forecast 2018 863 891 950 902 967 973 985 933 903 6613 43 Forecast 2019 869 896 961 908 977 978 991 935 6646 40 Forecast 2020 872 906 965 915 981 981 992 6612 29 Forecast 2021 904 881 910 968 919 982 982 6546 22 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 105.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 106.2 Average V&I Adj 96.2% -35.25 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 34 2200 BISHOPS HULL PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 30 24 33 29 33 33 40 34 33 29 34 236 Forecast 2017 30 24 33 29 33 33 40 34 34 29 232 1 Forecast 2018 30 24 33 29 33 33 40 35 34 237 1 Forecast 2019 30 24 34 30 34 33 41 35 231 4 Forecast 2020 30 25 35 31 34 34 41 230 4 Forecast 2021 29 31 26 36 31 35 34 222 4 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 92.1% -3 per year 2017 Determined AN * 33 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 97 2010 CHEDDON FITZPAINE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 20 21 21 20 20 23 21 22 20 18 20 144 Forecast 2017 20 21 21 20 20 22 21 22 19 18 142 -2 Forecast 2018 20 21 21 20 19 22 21 21 19 143 -2 Forecast 2019 20 21 21 19 19 22 20 21 143 -2 Forecast 2020 20 21 20 19 19 21 20 140 -2 Forecast 2021 20 20 20 20 19 18 21 138 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 410.0% 16 per year 2017 Determined AN * 21 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 105 2203 CHURCHSTANTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 8 5 4 12 5 6 13 9 11 12 15 71 Forecast 2017 8 5 4 12 6 6 13 9 12 12 70 2 Forecast 2018 9 5 4 13 6 7 13 10 12 65 3 Forecast 2019 9 5 5 13 7 7 14 10 61 3 Forecast 2020 9 6 5 13 7 7 14 61 1 Forecast 2021 7 10 6 5 13 7 7 55 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 170.6% 3 per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 68 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 117 3178 CREECH ST MICHAEL PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 30 35 31 30 34 33 40 34 36 35 44 256 Forecast 2017 31 36 32 31 35 34 41 35 37 36 249 6 Forecast 2018 32 37 33 32 36 35 42 36 38 252 6 Forecast 2019 33 38 34 33 37 36 43 37 258 6 Forecast 2020 33 38 34 33 38 36 44 256 2 Forecast 2021 34 33 38 34 34 38 37 248 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.0 Average V&I Adj 129.9% 7 per year 2017 Determined AN * 38 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 175 3179 HATCH BEAUCHAMP PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 4 8 4 5 7 6 6126114 52 Forecast 2017 4 8 4 5 7 6 612611 53 0 Forecast 2018 4 8 4 5 7 6 6 12 6 46 0 Forecast 2019 4 8 4 5 7 6 6 12 48 0 Forecast 2020 4 8 4 5 7 6 6 40 0 Forecast 2021 6 4 8 4 5 7 6 40 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 77.8% -2 per year 2017 Determined AN * 8 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 209 3180 KINGSTON ST MARY PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 14 17 15 17 17 18 17 16 19 16 14 117 Forecast 2017 14 17 15 17 18 18 17 16 18 15 119 -1 Forecast 2018 14 17 15 18 18 18 17 15 17 118 -1 Forecast 2019 14 17 16 18 18 18 16 14 117 -1 Forecast 2020 14 18 16 18 18 17 15 116 -1 Forecast 2021 16 15 18 16 18 17 16 116 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.9 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 286.4% 10 per year 2017 Determined AN * 17 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 246 3182 NORTH CURRY PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 14 17 15 19 17 25 25 19 26 20 24 156 Forecast 2017 14 17 16 19 18 25 26 19 27 20 154 3 Forecast 2018 14 18 16 20 18 26 26 20 27 153 3 Forecast 2019 15 18 17 20 19 26 27 20 147 3 Forecast 2020 15 19 17 20 19 26 27 143 1 Forecast 2021 17 16 19 17 20 19 26 134 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 114.0% 2 per year 2017 Determined AN * 21 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 69 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 252 3184 NORTON FITZWARREN PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 39 30 43 43 41 34 45 24 25 15 20 204 Forecast 2017 40 32 44 44 43 35 47 25 27 16 237 9 Forecast 2018 42 33 45 46 44 37 48 27 28 275 9 Forecast 2019 43 34 47 47 46 38 50 28 290 9 Forecast 2020 44 36 48 49 47 40 51 315 9 Forecast 2021 41 46 37 50 50 49 41 314 9 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.3 Average V&I Adj 63.5% -22 per year 2017 Determined AN * 45 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 289 3286 RUISHTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 25 25 21 24 24 28 26 26 23 24 27 178 Forecast 2017 26 25 22 24 25 29 27 27 24 25 181 6 Forecast 2018 26 26 22 25 26 29 27 28 25 182 4 Forecast 2019 27 26 23 26 26 29 28 29 187 4 Forecast 2020 27 27 24 26 26 30 29 189 4 Forecast 2021 25 28 28 24 26 27 31 189 4 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.7 Average V&I Adj 250.0% 14 per year 2017 Determined AN * 25 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 311 3189 STAPLEGROVE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 30 28 30 30 28 32 31 33 27 30 32 213 Forecast 2017 30 28 30 30 28 33 31 33 27 30 212 1 Forecast 2018 30 28 30 30 29 33 31 33 27 213 1 Forecast 2019 30 28 30 31 29 33 31 33 215 1 Forecast 2020 30 28 31 31 29 33 31 213 1 Forecast 2021 29 30 29 31 31 29 33 212 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 77.1% -9 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 318 3190 STOKE ST GREGORY PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 9 6 12 9 13 16 12 14 13 16 12 96 Forecast 2017 9 6 12 9 13 16 12 14 13 16 93 0 Forecast 2018 9 6 12 9 13 16 12 14 13 89 0 Forecast 2019 9 6 12 9 13 16 12 14 82 0 Forecast 2020 9 6 12 9 13 16 12 77 0 Forecast 2021 9 9 6 12 9 13 16 74 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 97.3% 0 per year 2017 Determined AN * 11 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 70 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 361 3436 THURLBEAR PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 30 29 29 30 30 30 30 28 30 32 30 210 Forecast 2017 30 29 29 30 30 30 30 28 30 32 210 0 Forecast 2018 30 29 29 30 30 31 30 29 30 209 2 Forecast 2019 30 29 29 30 31 31 31 29 210 2 Forecast 2020 30 29 29 31 31 32 31 213 2 Forecast 2021 30 30 29 29 31 31 32 212 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 421.4% 23 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 369 3437 TRULL PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 30 34 36 38 39 36 40 38 39 34 36 262 Forecast 2017 31 34 37 38 40 36 40 39 39 35 267 3 Forecast 2018 31 35 37 39 40 36 41 39 40 272 3 Forecast 2019 31 35 37 39 40 36 41 39 267 0 Forecast 2020 31 35 37 39 40 36 41 259 0 Forecast 2021 35 31 35 37 39 40 36 253 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 186.5% 16 per year 2017 Determined AN * 38 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 411 3195 WEST MONKTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 62 68 52 65 57 51 41 33 47 38 37 304 Forecast 2017 64 70 54 68 59 54 43 36 50 41 351 16 Forecast 2018 66 72 57 70 62 56 46 39 53 383 16 Forecast 2019 68 75 59 73 64 59 48 42 420 15 Forecast 2020 70 77 61 75 66 61 50 460 12 Forecast 2021 67 72 79 63 77 68 63 489 12 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 102.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 102.0 Average V&I Adj 114.9% 8 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes: A significant new housing development that is underconstruction in this school catchment has contributed to a large increase in pupil numbers at this school in 2016. Whilst this development continues is is possible that there will be further volatility in pupil numbers. The above data is the best forecast that can be calculated but the data contains a larger margin of error than is the case for most school forecasts. Forecast Base Year: 2016

Town Area Summary: TAUNTON

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 505 532 593 514 586 587 585 577 540 547 502 3924 Forecast 2017 505 532 592 514 586 587 584 578 537 544 3930 -6 Forecast 2018 506 532 592 516 586 588 585 575 534 3976 -2 Forecast 2019 506 532 593 515 587 588 583 572 3970 -4 Forecast 2020 506 533 592 516 587 586 580 3900 -4 Forecast 2021 538 506 532 590 516 584 583 3849 -9 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 84.4% -98.75 per year

Notes: The above data is a summary of the forecast for the following primary schools: Blackbrook, Bishop Henderson, Holway Park, Halcon, Lyngford Park, North Town, Parkfield, Priorswood, St Andrews, St Georges, St James, Holy Trinity, and Wellsprings.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 71 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 332 2330 TAUNTON BLACKBROOK PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 32 34 34 34 35 35 34 34 34 36 32 240 Forecast 2017 32 34 34 34 35 35 33 34 33 36 240 -2 Forecast 2018 32 34 34 34 35 34 33 33 33 236 -2 Forecast 2019 32 34 34 34 34 34 32 33 235 -2 Forecast 2020 32 34 34 33 34 33 32 232 -2 Forecast 2021 34 32 34 33 33 33 33 232 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 70.9% -14 per year 2017 Determined AN * 34 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 333 3439 TAUNTON BISHOP HENDERSON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 47 39 59 56 60 54 60 65 61 60 61 421 Forecast 2017 47 39 59 56 60 54 61 66 61 60 418 2 Forecast 2018 47 39 59 56 60 55 62 66 61 419 2 Forecast 2019 47 39 59 56 61 56 62 66 399 2 Forecast 2020 47 39 59 57 62 56 62 382 2 Forecast 2021 50 47 40 60 58 62 56 373 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 108.1% 4 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 337 2332 TAUNTON HOLWAY PARK PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 34 43 58 35 42 58 50 46 49 41 42 328 Forecast 2017 34 43 58 35 42 58 49 46 48 41 319 -2 Forecast 2018 35 44 58 36 43 59 50 46 48 340 4 Forecast 2019 36 44 59 37 44 60 50 46 340 4 Forecast 2020 36 45 60 38 45 60 50 334 4 Forecast 2021 42 36 45 59 38 44 60 324 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 55.6% -34 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 338 2024 TAUNTON MINERVA PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 16 23 20 17 21 22 29 20 21 24 9 146 Forecast 2017 16 23 19 17 21 22 29 20 19 23 151 -3 Forecast 2018 16 22 19 17 19 22 28 19 18 142 -5 Forecast 2019 15 22 19 15 19 21 27 18 141 -5 Forecast 2020 15 22 17 15 18 20 26 133 -5 Forecast 2021 19 15 20 16 15 17 19 121 -5 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 99.5 Average V&I Adj 23.8% -61 per year 2017 Determined AN * 25 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 72 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 339 2229 TAUNTON LYNGFORD PARK PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 28 47 53 34 42 36 41 46 36 36 33 270 Forecast 2017 28 47 53 34 42 35 40 45 34 35 265 -6 Forecast 2018 28 47 53 34 42 34 40 44 34 281 -2 Forecast 2019 28 47 53 34 42 34 40 44 294 0 Forecast 2020 28 47 53 34 42 34 40 278 0 Forecast 2021 40 28 47 53 34 42 34 278 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 70.1% -17 per year 2017 Determined AN * 39 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 343 2216 TAUNTON NORTH TOWN PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 55 64 61 61 64 64 64 64 64 63 64 447 Forecast 2017 55 64 61 61 64 64 64 65 64 63 445 1 Forecast 2018 55 64 61 62 64 64 65 65 64 445 2 Forecast 2019 55 64 61 62 64 64 65 65 445 0 Forecast 2020 55 64 61 62 64 64 65 435 0 Forecast 2021 61 55 64 61 62 64 64 431 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 123.6% 12 per year 2017 Determined AN * 64 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 346 2228 TAUNTON PARKFIELD PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 57 46 60 54 60 59 61 58 60 60 56 414 Forecast 2017 57 46 60 54 60 59 61 58 60 58 410 -2 Forecast 2018 57 46 60 54 60 59 61 58 58 410 -2 Forecast 2019 57 46 60 54 60 59 61 56 396 -2 Forecast 2020 57 46 60 54 60 59 59 395 -2 Forecast 2021 54 57 46 60 54 60 57 388 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 103.8% 2 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 347 2006 TAUNTON PRIORSWOOD PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 28 28 25 22 29 29 23 25 17 30 19 172 Forecast 2017 28 28 25 22 29 29 23 24 17 30 174 -1 Forecast 2018 28 28 25 22 28 29 22 24 17 167 -2 Forecast 2019 28 28 25 21 28 28 22 24 176 -2 Forecast 2020 28 28 24 21 27 28 22 178 -2 Forecast 2021 27 28 27 24 20 27 28 181 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 45.6% -31 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 73 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 349 2002 TAUNTON ST JAMES PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 54 55 55 54 60 58 56 46 45 43 30 338 Forecast 2017 54 55 55 54 60 58 55 45 44 42 358 -4 Forecast 2018 54 55 55 54 60 57 54 44 43 367 -4 Forecast 2019 54 55 55 54 59 56 53 43 375 -4 Forecast 2020 54 55 55 53 58 55 52 382 -4 Forecast 2021 55 54 55 54 52 57 54 381 -4 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 76.0% -17 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 350 3191 TAUNTON ST ANDREWS PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 32 34 34 34 34 34 34 33 34 30 35 234 Forecast 2017 32 34 34 34 33 34 34 32 34 30 231 -2 Forecast 2018 32 34 34 33 33 34 33 32 34 233 -2 Forecast 2019 32 34 33 33 33 33 33 32 231 -2 Forecast 2020 32 33 33 33 32 33 33 229 -2 Forecast 2021 33 31 33 33 32 32 33 227 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 92.4% -3 per year 2017 Determined AN * 34 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 351 3438 TAUNTON ST GEORGES PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 28 30 30 28 30 30 29 30 34 33 34 220 Forecast 2017 28 30 30 28 30 30 29 31 34 33 215 1 Forecast 2018 28 30 30 28 31 30 30 31 34 214 2 Forecast 2019 28 30 30 29 31 31 30 31 212 2 Forecast 2020 28 30 31 29 32 31 30 211 2 Forecast 2021 29 28 31 31 30 32 31 212 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 4.6% 29 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes: Average V&I Adj for this school calculated on town area data

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 355 3433 TAUNTON HOLY TRINITY PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 52 58 58 50 59 60 59 57 48 44 47 374 Forecast 2017 52 58 58 50 59 60 60 59 49 45 382 5 Forecast 2018 52 58 58 50 60 61 61 59 50 399 4 Forecast 2019 52 58 58 50 60 62 61 60 409 2 Forecast 2020 52 58 58 50 61 62 62 403 2 Forecast 2021 55 52 58 58 51 61 63 398 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 8.6% 55 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes: Average V&I Adj for this school calculated on town area data

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 74 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 357 2221 TAUNTON WELLSPRINGS PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 42 31 46 35 50 48 45 53 37 47 40 320 Forecast 2017 42 31 46 35 51 49 46 53 40 48 322 7 Forecast 2018 42 31 46 36 51 50 46 54 40 323 3 Forecast 2019 42 31 47 36 52 50 47 54 317 3 Forecast 2020 42 32 47 37 52 51 47 308 3 Forecast 2021 40 43 32 48 37 53 51 304 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.5 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 62.6% -23 per year 2017 Determined AN * 42 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 75 Secondary School (11-16/11-18) Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: 552 4004 COURT FIELDS SCHOOL, WELLINGTON Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 142 176 151 139 121 0 0 729 729 Forecast 2017 164 143 177 152 137 0 0 773 1 773 Forecast 2018 176 165 144 178 150 0 0 813 1 813 Forecast 2019 167 177 166 145 176 0 0 830 1 830 Forecast 2020 195 168 178 167 143 0 0 850 1 850 Forecast 2021 182 196 169 179 165 0 0 891 1 891 Forecast 2022 193 182 197 169 176 0 0 917 -2 917 Forecast 2023 213 193 183 197 166 0 0 953 -2 953 Forecast 2024 179 213 194 183 194 0 0 964 -2 964 Forecast 2025 167 179 214 194 180 0 0 934 -2 934 Forecast 2026 172 167 180 214 191 0 0 924 -2 924 Forecast 2027 158 172 168 180 211 0 0 888 -2 888

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Primary Migration: 101.0 Secondary Migration: 99.8

Average transfer from primary (%): 94.5

2017 Determined AN * 172

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 76 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: WELLINGTON

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 151 168 162 178 201 181 172 190 164 176 169 1253 Forecast 2017 154 172 166 181 205 184 176 194 167 181 1288 23 Forecast 2018 158 176 170 186 209 188 181 197 172 1303 26 Forecast 2019 162 179 175 189 213 192 184 201 1333 23 Forecast 2020 165 184 178 193 217 195 188 1320 23 Forecast 2021 177 170 187 182 197 219 199 1331 22 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 103.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 103.8 Average V&I Adj 89.8% -18.75 per year Note: see note at the end of the Wellington area forecasts

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 211 3181 LANGFORD BUDVILLE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 548 7 41067665 44 Forecast 2017 54 8 74106766 46 0 Forecast 2018 5 4 8 7 4 10 6 7 6 48 0 Forecast 2019 5 4 8 7 4 10 6 7 46 0 Forecast 2020 5 4 8 7 4 10 6 44 0 Forecast 2021 5 5 4 8 7 4 10 43 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 120.0% 1per year 2017 Determined AN * 8 Notes: see note at the end of the Wellington area forecasts

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 284 3186 ROCKWELL GREEN PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 22 20 27 25 28 23 27 31 25 30 32 196 Forecast 2017 22 21 27 25 28 23 28 31 25 31 191 2 Forecast 2018 23 21 28 26 29 24 29 31 26 193 5 Forecast 2019 23 21 29 26 30 24 29 31 190 2 Forecast 2020 23 22 29 27 30 24 29 184 2 Forecast 2021 24 24 22 30 27 30 24 181 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 63.1% -14 per year 2017 Determined AN * 23 Notes: see note at the end of the Wellington area forecasts

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 291 2211 SAMPFORD ARUNDEL PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 76559777453 42 Forecast 2017 7 6 5 5 9 7 7 7 5 5 45 1 Forecast 2018 7 6 5 5 9 7 7 8 5 46 1 Forecast 2019 7 6 5 5 9 7 8 8 48 1 Forecast 2020 7 6 5 5 9 8 8 48 1 Forecast 2021 6 7 6 5 5 9 8 46 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 766.7% 5per year 2017 Determined AN * 8 Notes: see note at the end of the Wellington area forecasts

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 77 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 405 2226 WEST BUCKLAND PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 11 10 9 14 13 11 13 22 10 10 15 94 Forecast 2017 11 10 10 14 14 11 13 23 10 10 95 2 Forecast 2018 11 11 10 15 14 11 14 23 10 97 2 Forecast 2019 12 11 11 15 14 12 14 23 100 2 Forecast 2020 12 12 11 15 15 12 14 91 2 Forecast 2021 12 13 12 11 16 15 12 91 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 118.9% 2per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes: see note at the end of the Wellington area forecasts

Forecast Base Year: 2016

Town Area Summary: WELLINGTON

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 106 128 113 127 147 130 119 123 119 125 114 877 Forecast 2017 109 131 116 130 150 133 122 126 121 129 911 18 Forecast 2018 112 134 119 133 153 136 125 128 125 919 18 Forecast 2019 115 137 122 136 156 139 127 132 949 18 Forecast 2020 118 140 125 139 159 141 131 953 18 Forecast 2021 129 121 143 128 142 161 145 969 18 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 102.9 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 103.0 Average V&I Adj 90.3% -12.75 per year

Notes: The above data is a summary of the forecast for Beech Grove, St Johns, and Wellesley Park Primary schools. See note at the end of the Wellington area forecasts

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 390 2224 WELLINGTON BEECH GROVE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 44 48 44 49 57 46 43 48 42 48 44 328 Forecast 2017 45 50 45 51 59 47 44 49 42 50 342 7 Forecast 2018 47 51 47 52 60 48 45 49 44 345 6 Forecast 2019 48 53 48 53 61 49 45 51 360 6 Forecast 2020 50 54 49 54 62 49 47 365 6 Forecast 2021 52 51 55 50 55 62 51 376 6 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.3 Average V&I Adj 78.7% -13 per year 2017 Determined AN * 42 Notes: see note at the end of the Wellington area forecasts

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 392 5201 WELLINGTON ST JOHN'S PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 21 22 21 24 26 26 25 27 23 24 19 170 Forecast 2017 22 23 22 25 27 27 26 28 24 25 182 6 Forecast 2018 23 24 23 26 28 28 27 29 25 186 6 Forecast 2019 24 25 24 27 29 29 28 30 192 6 Forecast 2020 25 26 25 28 30 30 29 193 6 Forecast 2021 25 26 27 26 29 31 31 195 6 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.0 Average V&I Adj 44.9% -27 per year 2017 Determined AN * 25 Notes: see note at the end of the Wellington area forecasts

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 78 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 393 2005 WELLINGTON WELLESLEY PARK PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 41 58 48 54 64 58 51 48 54 53 51 379 Forecast 2017 42 58 49 54 64 59 52 49 55 54 387 5 Forecast 2018 42 59 49 55 65 60 53 50 56 388 6 Forecast 2019 43 59 50 56 66 61 54 51 397 6 Forecast 2020 43 60 51 57 67 62 55 395 6 Forecast 2021 53 44 61 52 58 68 63 399 6 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.7 Average V&I Adj 213.8% 27 per year 2017 Determined AN * 56 Notes: see note at the end of the Wellington area forecasts

Wellington Area Note A new primary age free school is in the planning which would be located on the eastern side of Wellington. Until there is a reasonable degree of certainty when the school will open it is not possible to show it in the forecasts. There would be an expecation of some knock-on effect for other schools in the area since the new school would not substantially alter the number of pupils in the area for the duration of the forecasts.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 79 Secondary School (11-16/11-18) Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: 556 4504 THE BLUE SCHOOL, WELLS Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 269 275 265 264 240 180 151 1644 1313 Forecast 2017 278 273 279 269 264 161 150 1674 12 1363 Forecast 2018 256 282 277 283 269 177 134 1678 12 1367 Forecast 2019 277 260 286 281 283 180 148 1715 12 1387 Forecast 2020 281 281 264 290 281 190 150 1737 12 1397 Forecast 2021 274 283 283 266 290 188 158 1743 6 1397 Forecast 2022 258 276 285 285 266 194 157 1722 6 1371 Forecast 2023 268 260 278 287 285 178 162 1719 6 1379 Forecast 2024 250 270 262 280 287 191 149 1689 6 1349 Forecast 2025 256 252 272 264 280 192 160 1676 6 1324 Forecast 2026 244 258 254 274 264 188 160 1642 6 1293 Forecast 2027 243 246 260 256 274 177 157 1612 6 1278

16+ Forecast 67.0% 17+ Forecast 83.5%

Primary Migration: 102.0 Secondary Migration: 102.0

Average transfer from primary (%): 114.3

2017 Determined AN * 270

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 80 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: WELLS

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 172 173 186 183 198 193 215 234 235 208 243 1526 Forecast 2017 175 177 190 186 202 197 219 237 240 210 1491 22 Forecast 2018 179 181 193 190 206 202 222 242 243 1498 24 Forecast 2019 183 184 197 194 211 205 227 245 1463 24 Forecast 2020 186 188 201 198 214 210 229 1426 22 Forecast 2021 189 190 192 204 201 218 212 1406 20 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 103.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 103.8 Average V&I Adj 103.0% 5.25 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 99 3305 CHEWTON MENDIP PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 12 9 18 22 15 14 21 22 26 15 30 143 Forecast 2017 12 10 18 22 16 14 22 22 27 15 138 3 Forecast 2018 13 10 18 23 16 15 22 23 27 144 3 Forecast 2019 13 10 19 23 17 15 23 23 130 3 Forecast 2020 13 11 19 24 17 16 23 123 3 Forecast 2021 14 14 11 20 24 18 16 117 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 132.6% 4per year 2017 Determined AN * 20 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 102 3492 CHILCOMPTON, ST VIGOR & ST JOHN PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 27 28 24 29 28 32 29 30 32 32 32 215 Forecast 2017 27 28 25 29 28 33 30 30 33 32 215 3 Forecast 2018 27 29 25 29 29 34 30 31 33 211 3 Forecast 2019 28 29 25 30 30 34 31 31 210 3 Forecast 2020 28 29 26 31 30 35 31 210 3 Forecast 2021 28 28 30 26 31 30 35 208 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 117.4% 4per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 116 2019 COXLEY PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 454575786105 48 Forecast 2017 45457578610 48 0 Forecast 2018 4 5 4 5 7 5 7 8 6 42 0 Forecast 2019 4 5 4 5 7 5 7 8 41 0 Forecast 2020 4 5 4 5 7 5 7 37 0 Forecast 2021 5 4 5 4 5 7 5 35 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 41.9% -6per year 2017 Determined AN * 8 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 81 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 186 2032 HORRINGTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 15 14 17 10 15 17 17 22 15 15 23 124 Forecast 2017 15 14 17 10 15 17 17 22 15 15 111 0 Forecast 2018 15 14 17 10 15 17 17 22 15 113 0 Forecast 2019 15 14 17 10 15 17 17 22 112 0 Forecast 2020 15 14 17 10 15 17 17 105 0 Forecast 2021 14 15 14 17 10 15 17 102 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 186.7% 7per year 2017 Determined AN * 17 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 278 2057 PRIDDY PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 645741114562 33 Forecast 2017 64574111456 38 0 Forecast 2018 6 4 5 7 4 1 11 4 5 37 0 Forecast 2019 6 4 5 7 4 1 11 4 36 0 Forecast 2020 6 4 5 7 4 1 11 38 0 Forecast 2021 5 6 4 5 7 4 1 32 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 84.6% -1per year 2017 Determined AN * 8 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 406 3119 WESTBURY SUB MENDIP ST LAWRENCE'S PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 4 5 5 5 8 9 8 15 9 1311 73 Forecast 2017 4 5 5 5 8 9 815913 67 0 Forecast 2018 4 5 5 5 8 9 8 15 9 59 0 Forecast 2019 4 5 5 5 8 9 8 15 55 0 Forecast 2020 4 5 5 5 8 9 8 44 0 Forecast 2021 5 4 5 5 5 8 9 41 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 61.3% -3per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 423 2085 WOOKEY PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 10 7 11 8 13 7 13 16 16 13 3 81 Forecast 2017 10 7 11 8 13 7 12 16 16 12 84 -2 Forecast 2018 10 7 11 8 13 7 12 16 16 83 0 Forecast 2019 10 7 11 8 13 7 12 16 74 0 Forecast 2020 10 7 11 7 13 7 11 66 -2 Forecast 2021 9 10 7 10 7 13 6 62 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 76.6% -3per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 82 Forecast Base Year: 2016

Town Area Summary: WELLS

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 94 101 102 97 108 108 109 117 126 104 137 809 Forecast 2017 97 104 105 100 111 111 112 120 129 107 790 18 Forecast 2018 100 107 108 103 114 114 115 123 132 809 18 Forecast 2019 103 110 111 106 117 117 118 126 805 18 Forecast 2020 106 113 114 109 120 120 121 803 18 Forecast 2021 108 109 116 117 112 123 123 808 18 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 102.9 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 103.0 Average V&I Adj 104.2% 4per year

Notes: The above data is a summary of the forecast for the following schools: St Cuthberts Infants, St Cutberts Junior, St Joseph & St Teresa and Stoberry Park Primary

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 395 3115 WELLS ST CUTHBERT'S INFANTS Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 42 44 46 37 53 39 47 139 Forecast 2017 44 46 48 39 56 41 136 5 Forecast 2018 46 48 50 42 58 150 5 Forecast 2019 48 50 53 44 147 5 Forecast 2020 50 53 55 158 5 Forecast 2021 50 53 55 158 5 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 102.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 102.0 Average V&I Adj 73.8% -15 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 396 3114 WELLS ST CUTHBERT'S JUNIOR Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 45 68 33 64 210 Forecast 2017 48 47 70 34 199 5 Forecast 2018 42 50 49 71 212 5 Forecast 2019 59 44 52 50 205 5 Forecast 2020 45 61 46 53 205 5 Forecast 2021 56 47 63 47 213 5 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.7 Forecast transfer from infant rate (Net): 102.0 Average V&I Adj N/A 2017 Determined AN * 45 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 397 3361 WELLS ST JOSEPH & ST THERESA PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 21 21 22 22 24 23 23 24 19 24 24 161 Forecast 2017 21 22 22 22 24 23 24 24 19 25 161 2 Forecast 2018 22 22 22 22 24 24 24 24 20 160 2 Forecast 2019 22 22 22 22 25 24 24 25 164 2 Forecast 2020 22 22 22 23 25 24 25 163 2 Forecast 2021 22 22 22 23 23 25 25 162 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 22.8% 22per year 2017 Determined AN * 22 Notes: Average V&I Adj for this school based on the town area data.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 83 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 400 2333 WELLS STOBERRY PARK PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 31 36 34 38 31 46 39 48 39 47 49 299 Forecast 2017 32 36 35 39 31 47 40 49 40 48 294 5 Forecast 2018 32 37 36 39 32 48 41 50 41 287 5 Forecast 2019 33 38 36 40 33 49 42 51 289 5 Forecast 2020 34 38 37 41 34 50 43 277 5 Forecast 2021 36 34 39 38 42 35 51 275 5 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.7 Average V&I Adj 93.3% -3per year 2017 Determined AN * 44 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 84 Upper School (13-18) Catchment Analysis Forecast Base Year: 2016

THE WEST SOMERSET COLLEGE, MINEHEAD

Secondary Forecast: 539 4291 Total Net Total Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Pupils Year 9 10 11 12 13+ 9-13) (Yrs 9-11) (Yrs 9-11) Baseline 2016 214 199 226 68 77 784 639 Forecast 2017 186 214 195 92 45 732 -4 595 Forecast 2018 204 186 210 88 61 749 -4 600 Forecast 2019 219 204 182 95 59 758 -4 605 Forecast 2020 195 219 200 82 63 759 -4 614 Forecast 2021 208 195 215 90 55 762 -4 618 Forecast 2022 246 208 191 97 60 802 -4 645 Forecast 2023 229 246 204 86 64 829 -4 679 Forecast 2024 247 229 242 92 57 867 -4 718 Forecast 2025 249 247 225 109 61 891 -4 721 Forecast 2026 226 249 243 101 73 892 -4 719 Forecast 2027 261 226 245 109 67 910 -4 733

16+ Forecast 45.00% 17+ Forecast 66.67%

Upper School Migration: 98.0

Average transfer from middle (%): 95.8

2017 Determined AN * 356

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 85 Middle School (9-12) Catchment Analysis Forecast Base Year: 2016

MINEHEAD MIDDLE

Middle Forecast: 496 4290 (Yrs 5-8) Migration Pupils by NCY Year 5 6 7 8 Baseline 2016 129 140 145 132 546 Forecast 2017 142 129 142 146 559 3 Forecast 2018 171 142 131 143 587 3 Forecast 2019 164 171 144 132 610 3 Forecast 2020 167 164 173 145 648 3 Forecast 2021 159 167 166 174 665 3 Forecast 2022 158 159 169 167 653 3 Forecast 2023 186 158 161 170 676 3 Forecast 2024 142 186 160 162 651 3 Forecast 2025 155 142 188 161 647 3 Forecast 2026 155 144 189 Forecast 2027 157 145

Primary Migration: 101.0 Middle Migration: 101.0

Average transfer from primary (%): 103.5

2017 Determined AN * 169

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

Middle School (9-12) Catchment Analysis Forecast Base Year: 2016

DANESFIELD MIDDLE, WILLITON

Middle Forecast: 499 4553 (Yrs 5-8) Migration Pupils by NCY Year 5 6 7 8 Baseline 2016 74 87 70 64 295 Forecast 2017 75 73 86 69 303 -3 Forecast 2018 86 74 72 85 317 -3 Forecast 2019 75 85 73 71 303 -3 Forecast 2020 91 74 84 72 320 -3 Forecast 2021 100 90 73 83 346 -3 Forecast 2022 77 99 89 72 337 -3 Forecast 2023 86 76 98 88 348 -3 Forecast 2024 70 85 75 97 328 -3 Forecast 2025 69 69 84 74 296 -3 Forecast 2026 68 68 83 Forecast 2027 67 67

Primary Migration: 101.0 Middle Migration: 99.0

Average transfer from primary (%): 94.5

2017 Determined AN * 123

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 86 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: MINEHEAD

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 152 146 184 161 164 166 171 191 161 29 26 908 Forecast 2017 153 148 185 162 166 168 173 194 22 29 914 9 Forecast 2018 155 149 186 164 168 170 175 28 22 913 8 Forecast 2019 156 150 188 166 170 172 17 28 891 8 Forecast 2020 157 152 189 168 172 11 17 866 7 Forecast 2021 160 159 153 191 170 18 11 862 7 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.3 Average V&I Adj 105.6% 9 per year Note: The above totals for this area include the primary aged provision from the former Dulverton Middle school area. (Dulverton Middle school converted to become a junior school from the start of academic year 2016/17).

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 130 3314 CUTCOMBE FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 81010 6 9 6 8 5 4 32 Forecast 2017 8 10 10 6 9 6 8 5 34 0 Forecast 2018 8 10 10 6 9 6 8 39 0 Forecast 2019 8 10 10 6 9 6 41 0 Forecast 2020 8 10 10 6 9 43 0 Forecast 2021 9 8 10 10 6 43 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 200.0% 4 per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 139 3042 DULVERTON ALL SAINTS Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 12 18 12 17 18 11 17 46 Forecast 2017 12 18 12 17 18 11 46 0 Forecast 2018 12 18 12 17 18 47 0 Forecast 2019 12 18 12 17 47 0 Forecast 2020 12 18 12 42 0 Forecast 2021 13 12 18 43 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.9 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 96.7% -1 per year 2017 Determined AN * 24 Notes: Data excludes the nursery class provision

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 487 4277 DULVERTON JUNIOR Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 29 24 29 26 108 Forecast 2017 17 29 22 29 97 -2 Forecast 2018 11 17 28 22 78 -1 Forecast 2019 18 11 17 28 74 0 Forecast 2020 17 18 11 17 63 0 Forecast 2021 12 17 18 11 58 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.8 Forecast transfer from infant rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj N/A 2017 Determined AN * 41 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 87 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 140 2022 DUNSTER FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 21 24 29 25 26 30 30 28 30 144 Forecast 2017 22 25 29 26 27 31 31 29 144 4 Forecast 2018 23 25 30 27 28 32 31 148 3 Forecast 2019 23 26 31 28 29 32 146 3 Forecast 2020 24 27 31 29 29 140 2 Forecast 2021 27 25 27 32 29 140 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 210.6% 13 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 150 3048 EXFORD FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 3 4 5 3 6 3 5 7 8 29 Forecast 2017 3 5 5 3 6 4 5 8 26 2 Forecast 2018 4 5 5 3 7 4 6 25 2 Forecast 2019 4 5 5 4 7 5 26 2 Forecast 2020 4 5 6 4 8 27 2 Forecast 2021 5 4 6 6 5 26 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 93.8% 0 per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 276 3344 PORLOCK ST DUBRICIUS FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 9 9 13 9 14 16 20 14 18 82 Forecast 2017 9 9 13 9 14 16 19 14 72 -1 Forecast 2018 9 9 13 9 14 15 19 70 -1 Forecast 2019 9 9 13 9 13 15 59 -1 Forecast 2020 9 9 13 8 13 52 -1 Forecast 2021 10 9 9 12 8 48 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 137.9% 3 per year 2017 Determined AN * 18 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 363 3359 TIMBERSCOMBE FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 9 8 13 8 6 10 8 14 5 43 Forecast 2017 9 8 13 8 6 10 9 14 47 1 Forecast 2018 9 8 13 8 6 11 9 47 1 Forecast 2019 9 8 13 8 7 11 47 1 Forecast 2020 9 8 13 9 7 46 1 Forecast 2021 9 9 8 14 9 49 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 152.0% 3 per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 88 Forecast Base Year: 2016

Town Area Summary: MINEHEAD

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 90 73 102 93 85 90 83 94 72 424 Forecast 2017 90 73 103 93 86 90 84 95 448 3 Forecast 2018 90 74 103 94 86 91 85 459 3 Forecast 2019 91 74 104 94 87 92 451 3 Forecast 2020 91 75 104 95 88 453 3 Forecast 2021 87 92 75 105 96 455 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 86.5% -14 per year

Notes: The above data is a summary of the forecast for St Michaels and Minehead County First schools.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 235 2023 MINEHEAD ST MICHAEL'S FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 30 25 30 30 29 30 29 29 23 140 Forecast 2017 30 25 30 30 29 30 29 29 147 0 Forecast 2018 30 25 30 30 29 30 29 148 0 Forecast 2019 30 25 30 30 29 30 144 0 Forecast 2020 30 25 30 30 29 144 0 Forecast 2021 28 30 25 30 30 143 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 95.0% -2 per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 236 2048 MINEHEAD FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 60 48 72 63 56 60 54 65 49 284 Forecast 2017 60 48 73 63 57 60 55 66 301 3 Forecast 2018 60 49 73 64 57 61 56 311 3 Forecast 2019 61 49 74 64 58 62 307 3 Forecast 2020 61 50 74 65 59 309 3 Forecast 2021 59 62 50 75 66 312 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 82.9% -13 per year 2017 Determined AN * 63 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 89 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: WILLITON

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 65 66 85 77 102 92 76 90 79 439 Forecast 2017 66 68 86 78 103 94 78 91 444 6 Forecast 2018 67 69 87 79 104 95 79 444 4 Forecast 2019 68 70 88 80 105 96 439 4 Forecast 2020 69 71 89 81 106 416 4 Forecast 2021 77 70 72 90 82 391 4 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.2 Average V&I Adj 83.7% -14 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 265 3086 OLD CLEEVE FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 19 20 23 24 30 29 19 26 21 125 Forecast 2017 19 21 23 25 30 29 20 26 130 1 Forecast 2018 19 21 24 25 30 29 20 128 0 Forecast 2019 19 22 24 25 30 29 130 0 Forecast 2020 20 22 24 25 30 121 0 Forecast 2021 23 20 22 24 25 114 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 145.8% 7per year 2017 Determined AN * 25 Notes: The above totals exclude the nursery class at this school.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 382 3490 WATCHET KNIGHTS TEMPLAR FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 29 27 31 27 39 44 33 33 35 184 Forecast 2017 30 27 32 27 40 45 33 34 179 3 Forecast 2018 30 28 32 28 41 45 34 180 3 Forecast 2019 31 28 33 29 41 46 177 3 Forecast 2020 31 29 34 29 42 165 3 Forecast 2021 31 32 30 34 30 157 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.7 Average V&I Adj 84.4% -5per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 416 3123 WILLITON ST PETER'S FIRST Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 17 19 31 26 33 19 24 31 23 130 Forecast 2017 17 20 31 26 33 20 25 31 135 2 Forecast 2018 18 20 31 26 33 21 25 136 1 Forecast 2019 18 20 31 26 34 21 132 1 Forecast 2020 18 20 31 27 34 130 1 Forecast 2021 23 18 20 32 27 120 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 59.6% -16 per year 2017 Determined AN * 24 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 90 Secondary School (11-16/11-18) Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: 588 4273 KING ARTHUR'S COMM SCH, WINCANTON Total Net Total Pupils Pupils by NCY Pupils Migration (Yrs 7-11) Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ (Yrs 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 59 70 94 77 85 0 0 385 385 Forecast 2017 60 59 70 94 77 0 0 360 0 360 Forecast 2018 77 60 59 70 94 0 0 360 0 360 Forecast 2019 83 77 60 59 70 0 0 349 0 349 Forecast 2020 98 83 77 60 59 0 0 376 0 376 Forecast 2021 98 98 83 77 60 0 0 415 0 415 Forecast 2022 104 98 98 83 77 0 0 459 0 459 Forecast 2023 91 104 98 98 83 0 0 473 0 473 Forecast 2024 103 91 104 98 98 0 0 494 0 494 Forecast 2025 94 103 91 104 98 0 0 489 0 489 Forecast 2026 63 94 103 91 104 0 0 454 0 454 Forecast 2027 69 63 94 103 91 0 0 419 0 419

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Primary Migration: 101.0 Secondary Migration: 100.0

Average transfer from primary (%): 43.5

2017 Determined AN * 136

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO Notes:

Secondary Forecast: 593 5400 SEXEYS SCHOOL, BRUTON Total Net Total Pupils Pupils by NCY Pupils Migration (Yrs 7-11) Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ (Yrs 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 94 95 71 69 64 92 71 556 393 Forecast 2017 89 98 98 71 66 76 74 571 4 422 Forecast 2018 92 92 100 98 68 76 61 586 2 449 Forecast 2019 89 95 94 100 95 81 61 614 2 472 Forecast 2020 87 92 97 94 97 73 65 604 2 466 Forecast 2021 88 90 94 97 91 78 58 595 2 459 Forecast 2022 91 91 92 94 94 81 62 605 2 461 Forecast 2023 89 94 93 92 91 84 65 607 2 458 Forecast 2024 88 92 96 93 89 85 67 610 2 458 Forecast 2025 88 91 94 96 90 83 68 609 2 458 Forecast 2026 82 91 93 94 93 85 66 603 2 452 Forecast 2027 88 85 93 93 91 95 68 612 2 450

16+ Forecast 28.5% 17+ Forecast 80.0%

Primary Migration: 101.0 Secondary Migration: 100.5

Average transfer from primary (%): 45.7

2017 Determined AN * 81 (56 boarding, 25 day pupils)

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes: The above figures include boarding and day pupils

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 91 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: WINCANTON

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 151 139 183 191 179 196 194 191 180 179 152 1271 Forecast 2017 153 140 184 193 180 197 195 193 181 177 1316 4 Forecast 2018 155 142 186 195 181 199 197 195 179 1332 7 Forecast 2019 157 144 188 196 183 201 199 193 1304 7 Forecast 2020 159 146 189 198 185 203 197 1277 7 Forecast 2021 167 160 147 190 200 186 201 1251 4 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.7 Average V&I Adj 88.3% -22 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 70 5200 BRUTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census):FO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 19 19 26 28 23 39 34 32 32 42 30 232 Forecast 2017 19 20 26 29 24 39 34 33 32 42 233 2 Forecast 2018 20 20 27 30 24 39 35 33 32 220 2 Forecast 2019 20 21 28 30 24 40 35 33 211 2 Forecast 2020 21 22 28 30 25 40 35 201 2 Forecast 2021 23 22 22 28 31 25 40 191 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 82.1% -5per year 2017 Determined AN * 42 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 93 5202 CHARLTON HORETHORNE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census):VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 6 4 6 9 107 8107 9 9 60 Forecast 2017 6 4 6 9107 8107 9 60 0 Forecast 2018 6 4 6 9 10 7 8 10 7 57 0 Forecast 2019 6 4 6 9 10 7 8 10 54 0 Forecast 2020 6 4 6 9 10 7 8 50 0 Forecast 2021 6 6 4 6 9 10 7 48 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 250.0% 4per year 2017 Determined AN * 8 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 178 3061 HENSTRIDGE ST NICHOLAS PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census):VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 10 7 11 13 11 13 13 20 15 13 9 94 Forecast 2017 10 7 11 13 11 13 13 20 15 12 97 -1 Forecast 2018 10 7 11 13 11 13 13 20 14 95 -1 Forecast 2019 10 7 11 13 11 13 13 19 87 -1 Forecast 2020 10 7 11 13 11 13 12 77 -1 Forecast 2021 10 10 7 11 13 11 12 74 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.9 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 65.1% -6per year 2017 Determined AN * 17 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 92 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 188 3065 HORSINGTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census):CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 16 16 17 17 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 118 Forecast 2017 16 16 17 17 16 17 16 17 17 16 116 -2 Forecast 2018 16 16 17 17 16 16 16 17 16 115 -2 Forecast 2019 16 16 17 17 15 16 16 16 113 -2 Forecast 2020 16 16 17 16 15 16 15 111 -2 Forecast 2021 16 16 16 16 16 15 15 110 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 660.0% 14 per year 2017 Determined AN * 17 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 229 2047 MILBORNE PORT PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census):CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 20 22 25 31 23 24 26 25 25 18 20 161 Forecast 2017 21 22 25 31 23 24 27 25 26 18 174 2 Forecast 2018 21 22 25 31 23 25 27 26 26 183 2 Forecast 2019 21 22 25 31 24 25 28 26 181 2 Forecast 2020 21 22 25 32 24 26 28 178 2 Forecast 2021 24 21 22 26 32 25 26 176 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.2 Average V&I Adj 84.5% -5per year 2017 Determined AN * 25 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 359 3105 ABBAS & TEMPLECOMBE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census):VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 16 16 13 18 18 18 14 16 23 14 19 122 Forecast 2017 16 16 13 18 18 18 14 16 23 14 121 0 Forecast 2018 17 17 13 19 18 19 14 17 23 123 3 Forecast 2019 18 17 14 19 19 19 15 17 120 3 Forecast 2020 18 18 14 20 19 20 15 124 3 Forecast 2021 17 18 18 14 20 19 20 126 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 110.5% 2per year 2017 Determined AN * 17 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

Town Area Summary: WINCANTON

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 64 55 85 75 78 78 82 71 61 66 48 484 Forecast 2017 65 55 86 76 78 79 83 72 61 66 515 3 Forecast 2018 65 56 87 76 79 80 84 72 61 539 3 Forecast 2019 66 57 87 77 80 81 84 72 538 3 Forecast 2020 67 57 88 78 81 81 84 536 3 Forecast 2021 71 67 58 89 79 81 81 526 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.6 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.7 Average V&I Adj 72.7% -26.25 per year

Notes: The above data is a summary of the forecast for Wincanton County Primary and Our Lady's Primary schools.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 93 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 417 3488 WINCANTON OUR LADY'S PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census):VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 18 15 21 19 19 22 21 16 15 19 11 123 Forecast 2017 18 15 21 19 19 21 21 16 15 19 130 -1 Forecast 2018 18 15 21 19 18 21 21 16 15 131 -1 Forecast 2019 18 15 21 18 18 21 21 16 130 -1 Forecast 2020 18 15 20 18 18 21 21 131 -1 Forecast 2021 18 18 14 20 18 18 21 127 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.9 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 19.0% 18per year 2017 Determined AN * 20 Notes: Average V&I Adj for this school based on the town area data.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 418 2081 WINCANTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census):CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 46 40 64 56 59 56 61 55 46 47 37 361 Forecast 2017 47 40 65 57 59 58 62 56 46 47 385 4 Forecast 2018 47 41 66 57 61 59 63 56 46 408 4 Forecast 2019 48 42 66 59 62 60 63 56 408 4 Forecast 2020 49 42 68 60 63 60 63 405 4 Forecast 2021 53 49 44 69 61 63 60 399 4 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.7 Average V&I Adj 53.6% -45 per year 2017 Determined AN * 47 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 94 Secondary School (11-16/11-18) Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: 562 4355 KINGSMEAD SCHOOL, WIVELISCOMBE Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 175 178 181 155 150 0 0 839 839 Forecast 2017 210 176 179 181 155 0 0 901 2 901 Forecast 2018 196 211 177 179 181 0 0 944 2 944 Forecast 2019 192 197 212 177 179 0 0 957 2 957 Forecast 2020 187 193 198 212 177 0 0 967 2 967 Forecast 2021 193 188 194 198 212 0 0 985 2 985 Forecast 2022 183 194 189 194 198 0 0 959 2 959 Forecast 2023 195 184 195 189 194 0 0 958 2 958 Forecast 2024 175 196 185 195 189 0 0 941 2 941 Forecast 2025 177 176 197 185 195 0 0 932 2 932 Forecast 2026 155 178 177 197 185 0 0 894 2 894 Forecast 2027 147 156 179 177 197 0 0 858 2 858

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Primary Migration: 100.0 Secondary Migration: 100.5

Average transfer from primary (%): 97.5

2017 Determined AN * 160

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 95 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: WIVELISCOMBE

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 118 120 148 140 186 183 191 172 182 179 202 1295 Forecast 2017 119 122 149 142 191 185 194 174 182 180 1248 13 Forecast 2018 121 123 151 147 192 188 196 172 182 1228 9 Forecast 2019 122 125 155 148 193 189 194 171 1175 4 Forecast 2020 124 129 156 149 194 187 193 1132 4 Forecast 2021 130 128 130 157 150 192 186 1073 4 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.9 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.3 Average V&I Adj 106.3% 7.75 per year

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 35 2018 BISHOPS LYDEARD PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 21 19 23 26 29 27 27 27 28 25 27 190 Forecast 2017 21 20 23 26 30 27 28 27 28 25 191 2 Forecast 2018 22 20 23 27 30 28 28 27 28 191 2 Forecast 2019 22 20 24 27 30 28 28 27 184 1 Forecast 2020 22 21 24 27 30 28 28 180 1 Forecast 2021 22 23 21 24 27 30 28 175 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 70.6% -9per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 115 2334 COTFORD ST LUKE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 25 28 30 28 43 44 41 33 32 44 55 292 Forecast 2017 25 28 30 28 43 44 41 33 32 44 265 0 Forecast 2018 25 28 30 28 42 44 41 33 31 249 -2 Forecast 2019 25 28 30 27 42 44 41 32 244 -2 Forecast 2020 25 28 29 27 42 44 40 235 -2 Forecast 2021 26 25 27 29 27 42 43 219 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 92.5% -2per year 2017 Determined AN * 42 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 125 3313 CROWCOMBE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 66778989457 50 Forecast 2017 6 6 7 7 8 9 8 9 4 5 50 0 Forecast 2018 6 6 7 7 8 9 8 7 4 50 -2 Forecast 2019 6 6 7 7 8 9 6 7 50 -2 Forecast 2020 6 6 7 7 8 7 6 47 -2 Forecast 2021 6 6 6 7 7 6 7 45 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 325.0% 5per year 2017 Determined AN * 8 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 96 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 218 2205 LYDEARD ST LAWRENCE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 5 10 13 9 16 13 15 11 16 13 12 96 Forecast 2017 5 10 13 9 16 13 16 11 16 13 94 1 Forecast 2018 5 10 13 9 16 14 16 11 16 95 1 Forecast 2019 5 10 13 9 17 14 16 11 90 1 Forecast 2020 5 10 13 10 17 14 16 85 1 Forecast 2021 9 5 10 14 10 17 14 79 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 148.0% 3per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 233 2206 MILVERTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 18 17 21 20 26 28 30 22 33 31 29 199 Forecast 2017 18 17 22 20 27 29 30 23 33 31 193 3 Forecast 2018 18 18 22 21 28 29 31 23 33 187 3 Forecast 2019 19 18 23 22 28 30 31 23 175 3 Forecast 2020 19 19 24 22 29 30 31 174 3 Forecast 2021 20 20 20 24 23 29 30 166 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 181.0% 9per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 264 3290 OAKE, BRADFORD & NYNEHEAD PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 14 12 15 17 17 14 22 17 16 11 17 114 Forecast 2017 14 12 15 17 17 14 22 17 16 11 114 0 Forecast 2018 14 12 15 17 17 14 22 17 16 118 0 Forecast 2019 14 12 15 17 17 14 22 17 114 0 Forecast 2020 14 12 15 17 17 14 22 111 0 Forecast 2021 14 14 12 15 17 17 14 103 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 123.4% 3per year 2017 Determined AN * 17 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 313 2212 STAWLEY PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 5 4 8 6 11 7 6 10 11 8 11 64 Forecast 2017 5 4 8 6 12 7 6 1011 8 60 1 Forecast 2018 5 4 8 7 12 7 6 1011 61 1 Forecast 2019 5 4 9 7 12 7 6 10 55 1 Forecast 2020 5 5 9 7 12 7 6 51 1 Forecast 2021 5 6 5 9 7 12 7 51 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 176.9% 3per year 2017 Determined AN * 8 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 97 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 315 3101 STOGUMBER PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 52337879666 49 Forecast 2017 5 2 3 3 7 8 7 9 6 6 46 0 Forecast 2018 5 2 3 3 7 8 7 9 6 43 0 Forecast 2019 5 2 3 3 7 8 7 9 39 0 Forecast 2020 5 2 3 3 7 8 7 35 0 Forecast 2021 4 5 2 3 3 7 8 32 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 144.4% 1per year 2017 Determined AN * 7 Notes:

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 422 2227 WIVELISCOMBE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 19 22 28 24 29 33 35 34 36 36 38 241 Forecast 2017 20 23 28 26 31 34 36 35 36 37 235 6 Forecast 2018 21 23 30 28 32 35 37 35 37 234 6 Forecast 2019 21 25 31 29 32 35 37 35 224 2 Forecast 2020 23 26 32 29 32 35 37 214 2 Forecast 2021 24 24 27 32 29 32 35 203 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 88.6% -3per year 2017 Determined AN * 34 Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 98 Secondary School (11-18) Catchment Analysis Forecast Base Year: 2016

Secondary Forecast: YEOVIL SECONDARY SUMMARY Total Net Pupils by NCY Pupils (Yrs Migration Total Pupils Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ 7-13) (Yrs 7-11) (Yrs 7-11) Baseline 2016 540 508 531 455 551 0 0 2585 2585 Forecast 2017 564 542 508 531 453 0 0 2598 0 2598 Forecast 2018 550 566 542 508 529 0 0 2695 0 2695 Forecast 2019 611 552 566 542 506 0 0 2777 0 2777 Forecast 2020 581 613 552 566 540 0 0 2852 0 2852 Forecast 2021 626 583 613 552 564 0 0 2938 0 2938 Forecast 2022 613 626 583 613 550 0 0 2985 -2 2985 Forecast 2023 621 613 626 583 611 0 0 3055 -2 3055 Forecast 2024 656 621 613 626 581 0 0 3098 -2 3098 Forecast 2025 624 656 621 613 624 0 0 3139 -2 3139 Forecast 2026 648 624 656 621 611 0 0 3160 -2 3160 Forecast 2027 608 648 624 656 619 0 0 3155 -2 3155

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Primary Migration: 103.0 Secondary Migration: 99.7

Average transfer from primary (%): 98.0

Notes: The above data represents the combined roll of Buckler's Mead, Preston and Westfield secondary schools.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 99 Secondary Forecast: 567 4451 BUCKLERS MEAD, YEOVIL Total Total Net Pupils Pupils by NCY Pupils Migration (Yrs 7 - Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ (Yrs 7 -13) (Yrs 7-11) 11) Baseline 2016 178 168 165 144 201 0 0 856 856 Forecast 2017 186 180 168 165 143 0 0 842 1 842 Forecast 2018 190 188 180 168 164 0 0 890 1 890 Forecast 2019 201 192 188 180 167 0 0 928 1 928 Forecast 2020 195 203 192 188 179 0 0 957 1 957 Forecast 2021 219 197 203 192 187 0 0 998 1 998

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Forecast Average Town NOR %: 33.80 Secondary Migration: 100.3

2017 Determined AN * 204

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

Secondary Forecast: 570 4455 PRESTON SCHOOL, YEOVIL Total Total Net Pupils Pupils by NCY Pupils Migration (Yrs 7 - Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ (Yrs 7 -13) (Yrs 7-11) 11) Baseline 2016 188 202 199 195 201 0 0 985 985 Forecast 2017 209 188 202 199 194 0 0 992 -1 992 Forecast 2018 190 209 188 202 198 0 0 987 -1 987 Forecast 2019 217 190 209 188 201 0 0 1004 -1 1004 Forecast 2020 203 217 190 209 187 0 0 1006 -1 1006 Forecast 2021 207 203 217 190 208 0 0 1024 -1 1024

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Forecast Average Town NOR %: 35.00 Secondary Migration: 99.8

2017 Determined AN * 203

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

Secondary Forecast: 573 4201 WESTFIELD, YEOVIL Total Total Net Pupils Pupils by NCY Pupils Migration (Yrs 7 - Year 7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ (Yrs 7 -13) (Yrs 7-11) 11) Baseline 2016 174 138 167 116 149 0 0 744 744 Forecast 2017 169 174 138 167 116 0 0 764 0 764 Forecast 2018 170 169 174 138 167 0 0 819 0 819 Forecast 2019 192 170 169 174 138 0 0 844 0 844 Forecast 2020 183 192 170 169 174 0 0 889 0 889 Forecast 2021 200 183 192 170 169 0 0 916 0 916

16+ Forecast 0% 17+ Forecast 0%

Forecast Average Town NOR %: 31.20 Secondary Migration: 100.0

2017 Determined AN * 204

Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA Notes:

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 100 Primary School Number on Roll Forecast Forecast Base Year: 2016

Area: YEOVIL

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 572 613 602 640 611 620 638 587 618 558 576 4208 Forecast 2017 575 617 606 644 629 625 632 588 620 561 4299 23 Forecast 2018 579 621 610 662 634 620 634 590 623 4373 25 Forecast 2019 583 625 628 668 628 621 636 593 4399 24 Forecast 2020 587 643 634 662 629 623 639 4417 24 Forecast 2021 616 605 649 628 663 631 626 4418 24 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 104.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 103.8 Average V&I Adj 94.6% -34.75 per year

See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 24 2300 BARWICK & STOFORD PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 6 12 11 14 13 15 12 5 9 6 17 77 Forecast 2017 6 12 11 14 14 15 12 4 9 6 74 0 Forecast 2018 6 12 11 15 14 15 11 4 9 79 0 Forecast 2019 6 12 12 15 14 14 10 4 81 -1 Forecast 2020 6 13 12 15 13 13 10 82 -1 Forecast 2021 11 7 13 12 14 12 13 82 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.9 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 84.3% -2per year 2017 Determined AN * 11 Notes: See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 103 3277 CHILTHORNE DOMER PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 16 18 20 19 21 25 18 24 32 15 20 155 Forecast 2017 16 18 21 19 22 25 17 24 32 16 155 1 Forecast 2018 16 19 21 20 22 24 17 24 33 161 1 Forecast 2019 17 19 22 21 21 24 18 25 150 3 Forecast 2020 17 20 23 20 21 25 19 145 3 Forecast 2021 19 18 21 22 20 22 26 148 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 405.6% 14 per year 2017 Determined AN * 21 Notes: See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 143 2302 EAST COKER PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 28 26 29 35 34 39 39 42 38 37 37 266 Forecast 2017 28 26 30 35 36 39 39 42 38 37 266 2 Forecast 2018 28 27 30 37 36 38 38 42 38 259 0 Forecast 2019 29 27 32 37 36 38 38 42 250 2 Forecast 2020 29 29 32 37 36 38 38 239 2 Forecast 2021 30 31 29 32 37 36 38 233 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 142.2% 9per year 2017 Determined AN * 38 Notes: See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 101 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 408 3285 WEST COKER PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VC

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 11 12 11 8 8 16 12 14 15 15 13 93 Forecast 2017 11 12 11 8 10 16 12 14 15 15 90 2 Forecast 2018 11 12 11 10 10 16 12 14 15 88 2 Forecast 2019 11 12 13 10 10 16 12 14 87 2 Forecast 2020 11 14 13 10 10 16 12 86 2 Forecast 2021 10 13 14 13 10 10 16 86 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 107.7% 1per year 2017 Determined AN * 12 Notes: See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

Town Area Summary: YEOVIL

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0123R123456 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 511 545 531 564 535 525 557 502 524 485 489 3617 Forecast 2017 514 549 533 568 547 530 552 504 526 487 3714 18 Forecast 2018 518 551 537 580 552 527 556 506 528 3786 22 Forecast 2019 520 555 549 585 547 529 558 508 3831 18 Forecast 2020 524 567 554 580 549 531 560 3865 18 Forecast 2021 546 536 572 549 582 551 533 3869 18 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 103.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 102.8 Average V&I Adj 90.6% -56 per year

Notes: The above data is a summary of the forecast for the following primary schools: Birchfield, Holy Trinity, Huish, Kingfisher, Milford Inf, Milford Junior, Pen Mill, Reckleford, Oaklands, Primrose Lane, Preston, St Gildas and St Michaels. See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts. Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 432 2320 YEOVIL BIRCHFIELD PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 53 58 55 60 59 60 60 54 59 56 60 408 Forecast 2017 53 59 55 60 60 61 62 56 60 57 416 8 Forecast 2018 54 59 55 61 60 61 63 57 61 418 4 Forecast 2019 54 59 56 61 60 61 63 57 417 1 Forecast 2020 54 60 56 61 60 61 63 415 1 Forecast 2021 57 55 60 56 61 60 61 410 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.4 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.3 Average V&I Adj 56.9% -43 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes: See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 435 3489 YEOVIL HOLY TRINITY PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 54 60 58 60 60 61 61 63 62 54 58 419 Forecast 2017 54 60 58 60 60 61 62 63 63 54 423 2 Forecast 2018 54 60 58 60 60 61 61 64 63 427 0 Forecast 2019 54 60 58 60 61 61 61 64 425 1 Forecast 2020 54 60 58 61 61 62 61 417 2 Forecast 2021 58 54 60 59 61 62 62 416 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 209.0% 30 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes: See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 102 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 436 2309 YEOVIL HUISH PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 57 60 56 60 60 60 60 63 62 61 60 426 Forecast 2017 57 60 56 60 60 60 59 63 62 62 426 0 Forecast 2018 57 60 56 60 60 59 59 63 63 420 0 Forecast 2019 57 60 56 60 60 59 59 64 418 1 Forecast 2020 57 60 56 60 60 59 60 412 1 Forecast 2021 59 57 60 56 60 60 60 412 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 86.6% -9per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes: See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 438 2311 YEOVIL MILFORD INFANTS Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 94 97 98 99 98 99 101 298 Forecast 2017 95 98 99 99 100 100 299 3 Forecast 2018 96 99 99 101 101 301 3 Forecast 2019 97 99 101 102 302 3 Forecast 2020 97 101 102 300 3 Forecast 2021 98 99 102 299 3 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.0 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.0 Average V&I Adj 118.3% 15 per year 2017 Determined AN * 100 Notes: See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 439 2310 YEOVIL MILFORD JUNIOR Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 104 104 100 103 411 Forecast 2017 105 105 105 100 415 2 Forecast 2018 104 106 106 105 421 2 Forecast 2019 105 105 106 106 422 1 Forecast 2020 106 106 106 106 424 2 Forecast 2021 106 107 107 106 426 2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.6 Forecast transfer from infant rate (Net): 104.0 Average V&I Adj N/A 2017 Determined AN * 105 Notes: See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 440 3494 YEOVIL OAKLANDS PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 53 60 53 60 60 59 62 57 61 58 60 417 Forecast 2017 53 60 53 60 59 59 62 56 61 58 415 -2 Forecast 2018 53 60 53 60 59 59 61 56 61 409 -1 Forecast 2019 53 60 53 60 59 58 61 56 407 -1 Forecast 2020 53 60 53 60 58 58 61 403 -1 Forecast 2021 57 53 60 53 59 58 58 398 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 52.4% -51 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes: See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 103 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 442 2312 YEOVIL PEN MILL INFANTS Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 51 59 54 71 56 61 75 192 Forecast 2017 51 59 54 71 59 62 192 4 Forecast 2018 51 59 54 74 60 188 4 Forecast 2019 51 59 57 75 191 4 Forecast 2020 51 62 58 171 4 Forecast 2021 53 54 63 170 4 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.1 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 83.3% -12 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes: See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 445 2314 YEOVIL RECKLEFORD INFANTS Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CO

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 19 20 23 22 25 30 26 81 Forecast 2017 19 20 23 23 26 29 78 0 Forecast 2018 19 20 24 24 25 73 0 Forecast 2019 19 21 25 23 69 0 Forecast 2020 20 22 24 66 0 Forecast 2021 22 21 21 64 0 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.3 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 47.7% -23 per year 2017 Determined AN * 28 Notes: The above totals exclude the Early Years provision at this school. See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 434 2319 YEOVIL ST MICHAELS JUNIOR Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 70 79 66 58 273 Forecast 2017 88 70 79 66 303 0 Forecast 2018 77 88 70 79 314 0 Forecast 2019 71 77 88 69 305 -1 Forecast 2020 84 71 77 87 319 -1 Forecast 2021 68 84 71 76 299 -1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.8 Forecast transfer from infant rate (Net): 84.9 Average V&I Adj N/A 2017 Determined AN * 82 Notes: See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 443 3283 YEOVIL PRESTON PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 60 60 60 60 61 60 82 61 64 59 59 446 Forecast 2017 60 60 60 60 61 60 82 61 63 58 445 -2 Forecast 2018 60 60 60 60 60 60 82 60 62 444 -3 Forecast 2019 60 60 60 60 60 60 81 59 440 -2 Forecast 2020 60 60 60 60 60 59 80 439 -2 Forecast 2021 60 60 60 60 60 59 58 417 -2 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 99.7 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 63.0% -35 per year 2017 Determined AN * 60 Notes: See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 104 Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 446 2016 YEOVIL KINGFISHER PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 25 25 28 29 26 0 0 0 0 0 0 26 Forecast 2017 26 26 29 30 28 0 0 0 0 0 58 2 Forecast 2018 27 27 30 32 31 6 3 0 0 102 14 Forecast 2019 28 28 32 33 32 7 5 1 138 8 Forecast 2020 29 30 33 34 33 8 6 173 7 Forecast 2021 30 31 31 34 35 34 9 204 7 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 101.0 Average V&I Adj 4.5% 27per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes: Average V&I Adj for this school based on the town area data since no catchment area has been set.. See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 447 3487 YEOVIL ST GILDA'S PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): VA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 28 30 30 30 27 31 30 30 33 31 31 213 Forecast 2017 28 30 30 30 27 31 31 30 33 32 214 2 Forecast 2018 28 30 30 30 26 31 31 30 34 212 0 Forecast 2019 28 30 30 30 27 31 31 31 210 2 Forecast 2020 28 30 30 31 27 30 32 208 1 Forecast 2021 29 28 30 31 31 26 31 206 1 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 100.2 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.0 Average V&I Adj 5.0% 30per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes: Average V&I Adj for this school based on the town area data. See note at the end of the Yeovil primary forecasts.

Forecast Base Year: 2016

School: 448 2017 YEOVIL PRIMROSE LANE PRIMARY Control (at Oct 16 Sch Census): CA

Pre-School (by age) School Pupils (by NCY) TOTAL Year 0 1 2 3 R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Yrs R-6 Migration Baseline 2016 17 16 16 13 3 4 0 0 0 0 0 7 Forecast 2017 18 17 16 15 7 7 1 0 0 0 30 8 Forecast 2018 19 17 18 18 10 9 2 0 0 57 9 Forecast 2019 19 19 21 21 12 10 3 1 87 11 Forecast 2020 21 22 24 23 13 11 4 118 11 Forecast 2021 23 24 25 26 24 14 12 148 11 Forecast school age migration rate (Net): 101.8 Forecast pre-school migration rate (Net): 100.5 Average V&I Adj 2.6% 16per year 2017 Determined AN * 30 Notes: Average V&I Adj for this school based on the town area data since no catchment area has been set..

Yeovil Area Primary Forecasts: The forecasts for this area include the new schools (Kingfisher and Primrose Lane) which opened on temporary sites in Sept 2016. Until such time as the catchment areas of the schools are finalised the forecast data should be regarded as indicative only, both for the new schools and in terms of the knock-on impact on other local schools.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 105 SPECIAL EDUCATION PROVISION Forecast Base Year: 2016

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 (Baseline) (Forecast) Number of Pupils SPECIAL SCHOOLS 7000 The Mendip School 50 7003 Elmwood School 74 7006 Sky College 55 7007 Fairmead School 100 7013 Penrose School 38 7014 Selworthy School 95 7016 Fiveways Special School 78 7018 Avalon School 46 7019 Critchill School 51 SPECIAL SCHOOL TOTAL 587 597 605 612 618 625

PUPIL REFERRAL UNITS 1109 Mendip Partnership School 6 1112 South Somerset Partnership School 6 1114 Taunton Deane Partnership College 5 1115 The Bridge School: Sedgemoor 26 TOTAL 43 45 45 45 45 45

TOTAL SPECIAL SCHOOL & PRU PROVISION 630 642 650 657 663 670

Notes: 1 The Baseline roll shown above is the actual on roll total of puils returned by each establishment in the October School Census. The nature of PRU provision in particular is that numbers tend to fluctuate during the year. The forecast figures are intended to provide complete County Totals and hence no data is provided for individual establishments.

2 Pupils attending LA designated special needs resource bases, which are attached to a small number of schools, are included with the school roll and are NOT included in the above totals.

3 The Special School and PRU forecast totals are calculated as a percentage of the total school roll in Somerset each year. A change in the level of provision (eg the commisioning of additional in-county places) would be expected to bring a change in the number of pupils in that sector.

4 These figures exclude Somerset pupils placed in other LA or independent schools

5 To avoid double counting, dually registered pupils are counted at their main establishment only and are not shown in the totals above. For PRUs in particular, dual registered pupils represent a signficant part of the roll at any point in time. The above figures should not be regarded as the complete client group for these establishments.

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 106 INDEX OF FORECASTS

Primary Schools Page(s)

Abbas & Templecombe ...... 93 Ash ...... 60 Ashcott ...... 64 Ashill ...... 24 Axbridge ...... 29

Baltonsborough ...... 46 Barwick & Stoford ...... 101 Bawdrip, Kingsmoor ...... 12 Beckington ...... 41 Berkley ...... 41 Berrow...... 20 Bishops Hull ...... 68 Bishops Lydeard ...... 96 Bowlish...... 57 Brent Knoll ...... 20 Bridgwater College Academy (Years R-6)...... 18 Bridgwater Eastover ...... 16 Bridgwater Hamp Infants ...... 16 Bridgwater Hamp Junior ...... 16 Bridgwater Northgate ...... 17 Bridgwater St John & St Francis ...... 17 Bridgwater St Joseph's ...... 17 Bridgwater St Mary's ...... 17 Bridgwater Westover Green ...... 16 Bridgwater Willowdown ...... 15 Bridgwater - Primary Summary ...... 15 Broadway Neroche ...... 24 Bruton ...... 92 Buckland St Mary ...... 24 Burnham on Sea Infants ...... 22 Burnham on Sea St Andrew's ...... 22 Burnham on Sea St Joseph's ...... 22 Burnham on Sea - Primary Summary ...... 21 Butleigh ...... 46

Cannington ...... 12 Castle Cary ...... 7 Catcott...... 64 Chard Avishayes ...... 26 Chard Manor Court ...... 26 Chard The Redstart ...... 26 Chard - Primary Summary ...... 25 Charlton Horethorne ...... 92 Charlton Mackrell ...... 49 Cheddar ...... 29 Cheddon Fitzpaine ...... 68 Chewton Mendip ...... 81 Chilcompton, St Vigor and St John ...... 81 Chilthorne Domer ...... 101 Churchstanton ...... 68 Coleford, Bishop Henderson ...... 53 Combe St Nicholas ...... 25 Cotford St Luke ...... 96 Coxley ...... 81 Creech St Michael ...... 69

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 107 INDEX OF FORECASTS Primary Schools (cont'd) Page(s)

Crewkerne Ashlands ...... 36 Crewkerne St Bartholomew's ...... 36 Crewkerne - Primary Summary ...... 36 Croscombe...... 56 Crowcombe ...... 96 Curry Mallet...... 49 Curry Rivel ...... 49 Cutcombe...... 87

Ditcheat ...... 7 Doulting St Aldhelm's ...... 56 Draycott & Rodney Stoke ...... 29 Dulverton All Saint’s ...... 87 Dulverton Junior ...... 87 Dunster ...... 88

East Brent ...... 31 East Coker ...... 101 East Huntspill ...... 20 Enmore ...... 12 Evercreech ...... 7 Exford ...... 88

Frome Christchurch ...... 43 Frome Hayesdown ...... 43 Frome St John's ...... 44 Frome St Louis ...... 44 Frome Trinity ...... 43 Frome Steiner Academy (Years R-6) ...... 44 Frome Vallis ...... 44 Frome - Primary Summary ...... 43

Glastonbury St Benedict's ...... 47 Glastonbury St John's ...... 46

Hambridge ...... 50 Haselbury Plucknett ...... 35 Hatch Beauchamp ...... 69 Hemington...... 53 Henstridge St Nicholas ...... 92 Highbridge Churchfield ...... 21 High Ham ...... 50 Hinton St George ...... 35 Horrington ...... 82 Horsington...... 93 Huish Episcopi ...... 50

Ilchester ...... 60 Ilminster Greenfylde ...... 37 Ilton, St Peter’s and St Mary’s ...... 37

Keinton Mandeville ...... 8 Kilmersdon ...... 53 Kingsbury Episcopi ...... 50 Kingston St Mary ...... 69

Langford Budville ...... 77 Leigh-on-Mendip ...... 41 Long Sutton...... 51 Lovington ...... 8 Lydeard St Lawrence ...... 97 Lympsham ...... 31 BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 108

INDEX OF FORECASTS Primary Schools (cont'd) Page(s)

Mark ...... 31 Martock ...... 60 Meare ...... 47 Mells ...... 42 Merriott ...... 35 Middlezoy ...... 51 Milborne Port ...... 93 Milverton ...... 97 Minehead County First ...... 89 Minehead St Michael's ...... 89 Minehead - First Summary ...... 89 Misterton ...... 36 Montacute, All Saint's ...... 61

Nether Stowey ...... 13 North Cadbury ...... 8 North Curry ...... 69 North Newton ...... 13 North Petherton ...... 13 Norton Fitzwarren ...... 70 Norton St Philip ...... 42 Norton Sub Hamdon ...... 61 Nunney...... 42

Oake, Bradford & Nynehead ...... 97 Oakhill ...... 56 Old Cleeve ...... 90 Othery ...... 51 Otterhampton ...... 13

Pawlett ...... 21 Porlock St Dubricius ...... 88 Priddy ...... 82 Puriton...... 14

Queen Camel, The Countess Gytha ...... 8

Rockwell Green ...... 77 Rode ...... 42 Ruishton ...... 70

Sampford Arundel ...... 77 Shepton Beauchamp ...... 37 Shepton Mallet Infants ...... 58 Shepton Mallet St Paul's ...... 58 Shepton Mallet - Primary Summary ...... 57 Shipham ...... 30 Somerset Bridge ...... 18 Somerton King Ina Infants ...... 51 Somerton King Ina Junior ...... 52 South Petherton Infants ...... 61 South Petherton Junior ...... 61 Spaxton ...... 14 Staplegrove ...... 70 Stawley ...... 97 Stogumber ...... 98 Stogursey ...... 14 Stoke St Gregory ...... 70 Stoke St Michael ...... 57 Stoke Sub Hamdon, The Castle ...... 62

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 109

INDEX OF FORECASTS Primary Schools (cont'd) Page(s)

St Benedicts, Stratton on the Fosse ...... 54 Street Brookside ...... 65 Street Elmhurst ...... 65 Street Hindhayes ...... 65 Street - Primary Summary ...... 65

Tatworth ...... 25 Taunton Bishop Henderson ...... 72 Taunton Blackbrook ...... 72 Taunton Halcon ...... 72 Taunton Holway Park ...... 72 Taunton Holy Trinity ...... 74 Taunton Lyngford Park ...... 73 Taunton North Town ...... 73 Taunton Parkfield ...... 73 Taunton Priorswood ...... 73 Taunton St Andrew's...... 74 Taunton St George's ...... 74 Taunton St James ...... 74 Taunton Wellsprings ...... 75 Taunton - Primary Summary...... 71 Thurlbear...... 71 Timberscombe ...... 88 Tintinhull St Margaret’s ...... 62 Trull ...... 71

Upton Noble ...... 57

Walton ...... 64 Watchet, Knights Templar ...... 90 Weare ...... 32 Wedmore ...... 32 Wellington Beech Grove ...... 78 Wellington St John's ...... 78 Wellington Wellesley Park ...... 79 Wellington - Primary Summary ...... 78 Wells St Cuthbert's Infants ...... 83 Wells St Cuthbert's Junior ...... 83 Wells St Joseph and St Teresa ...... 83 Wells Stoberry Park ...... 84 Wells - Primary Summary ...... 83 Wembdon St George's...... 14 West Buckland ...... 78 Westbury sub Mendip St Lawrence ...... 82 West Chinnock ...... 62 West Coker ...... 102 West Huntspill ...... 21 West Monkton ...... 71 West Pennard ...... 47 Westonzoyland ...... 15 Williton St Peter's ...... 90 Wincanton County Primary ...... 94 Wincanton Our Lady's...... 94 Wincanton - Primary Summary ...... 93 Winsham ...... 25 Wiveliscombe ...... 98 Wookey ...... 82 Woolavington ...... 15

Yeovil Birchfield ...... 102 Yeovil Holy Trinity ...... 102

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 110

INDEX OF FORECASTS Primary Schools (cont'd) Page(s)

Yeovil Huish ...... 103 Yeovil Kingfisher ...... 105 Yeovil Milford Infants ...... 103 Yeovil Milford Junior ...... 103 Yeovil Oaklands ...... 103 Yeovil Pen Mill ...... 104 Yeovil Preston ...... 104 Yeovil Primrose Lane ...... 105 Yeovil Reckleford ...... 104 Yeovil St Gilda’s ...... 105 Yeovil St Michael’s ...... 104 Yeovil - Primary Summary ...... 102

Middle Schools Blackford, Hugh Sexey's ...... 28 Cheddar Fairlands ...... 28 Crewkerne Maiden Beech ...... 34 Frome Oakfield ...... 40 Frome Selwood ...... 40 Frome - Middle Summary ...... 39 Ilminster Swanmead ...... 34 Minehead ...... 86 Williton Danesfield ...... 86

Secondary Schools Ansford...... 6 Bridgwater College Academy (Years 7 -11) ...... 10 Bridgwater, Robert Blake ...... 9 Bridgwater, Chilton Trinity...... 10 Bridgwater, Haygrove ...... 10 Bridgwater - Secondary Summary ...... 9 Brymore ...... 11 Bruton, Sexey's ...... 91 Burnham on Sea, The King Alfred ...... 19 Chard, Holyrood ...... 23 Cheddar, The Kings of Wessex ...... 27 Crewkerne, Wadham ...... 33 Frome College ...... 38 Frome Steiner Academy (Years 7-11) ...... 38 Glastonbury, St Dunstan's ...... 45 Huish Episcopi ...... 48 Shepton Mallet, Whitstone ...... 55 Stoke sub Hamdon, Stanchester ...... 59 Street, Crispin ...... 63 Taunton Academy ...... 67 Taunton, Bishop Fox’s… ...... 67 Taunton, The Castle ...... 67 Taunton, Heathfield ...... 67 Taunton - Secondary Summary ...... 66 Wellington, Court Fields...... 76 Wells, The Blue ...... 80 West Somerset Community College ...... 85 Wincanton, King Arthur's ...... 91 Wiveliscombe, Kingsmead...... 95 Yeovil, Buckler's Mead ...... 100 Yeovil, Preston ...... 100 Yeovil, Westfield ...... 100 Yeovil - Secondary Summary ...... 99

BI Children's Team (Feb 2017) 111