KRAMATORSK FOOD SECURITY CLUSTER Meeting – 27th April 2016
Contact: info.Ukraine@fscluster.org AGENDA
• Follow up on previous meeting • Technical updates: • assessment WG, • food basket and • cash TF • FSC partners updates, March 2016 and plans • AOB PREVIOUS MEETING • Assessment WG • CCPM UPDATES Market Update 9 WFP Ukraine
February – March 2016 Economic situation in Donetsk and Luhansk oblast (GCA)
Industrial production dynamic during
0 -5.42014-2016,-6.4 year to year % 2012 2013 2014 2015 In February 2016, industrial production in -7.5 -8.9 Donetsk oblast increased by 26.9% and in -20 -31.5 Luhansk oblast by 149% compare to February -34.6 2015. -40 -42 -60 -66 -80 Donetska Luhanska
The highest unemployment rates in Ukraine can be observed in the Donetsk and Luhansk GCA Unemployment rates, % oblasts at the levels 13.6% and 15.4% respectively. 20
15
10
5
0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Luhanska Donetska Utilities
Utility prices in NGCA
Name of service Luhansk NGCA, RUB Donetsk NGCA, RUB Electricity, KWh 0.73 0.62
Natural gas, cubic meter 2.83 2.36
Heating, square meter 12.5 13.9
Cold water, cubic meter 17 11
Prices in NGCA are lower compared to those in National Ukrainian for all the services. For example, the cheapest tariff for electricity in GCA is around twice the price and for gas 3 to 5 times higher.
This data suggests that subsidized utility tariffs in NGCA allow households to spend more on food. Food basket trends
Graph 4: Ukraine (National) value of food basket, UAH
750
700
650 666.4 600
550
500 427.8 450
400
The central reason for food deflation can be explained by supply factors, which led to lower prices for raw food items. This was mainly caused by reduced export opportunities for domestic producers. Price monitoring points Food availability in NGCA
Calendar for Luhansk NGCA Market Calendar for Donetsk NGCA Market Commodity 2015 2016 2015 2016 Trends Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Staples are widely Rice Wheat bread available for almost all the Rye bread year. Wheat flour Pasta Buckwheat Beef is sparsely available Potato Beef during all periods. There Pork is limited availability of Poultry pork and pork fat on the Boil. sausages market. Eggs Butter Sunflower oil Pork fat No significant differences Milk in the food availability in Sour cream Donetsk and Luhansk Curd Cabbage NGCA were identified. Carrot Beetroot Onion Sugar Widely Available (available in 90 - 100% of all monitoring shops) Availabilit Not Widely Available (available in 50 - 89% of all monitoring shops) y Key Sparsely Available (available in 11 - 49% of all monitoring shops) Not available (0-10%) Comparison of food basket trends in GCA and NGCA
Graph 6: Cost of Food Basket (full) by Oblast and Area of Control
1100.0 Donetska (GCA) 1000.0 Donetska 900.0 (NGCA) 800.0 Luhanska (GCA) 700.0 Luhanska 600.0 (NGCA) 500.0 Ukraine
400.0 (National)
Jul-15
Jan-16
Jun-15
Oct-15
Apr-15
Feb-16
Sep-15
Dec-15
Aug-15
Nov-15
Mar-15 Mar-16 May-15 Price differences in GCA and NGCA (UAH)
Commodity GCA NGCA Comparison (NGCA compared to GCA) Rice 17 22 134% Wheat bread 10 8 78% Rye bread 10 9 89% Wheat flour 8 7 82% Pasta 10 10 100% Buckwheat grits 30 27 91% Potato 6 7 118% Beef 80 133 165% Pork 65 106 164% Poultry 37 47 127% Boiled sausages 55 59 107% Eggs 12 20 168% Pork fat 43 83 194% Butter 105 101 96% Sunflower oil 30 32 107% Milk 12 17 135% Sour cream 32 51 161% Curd 72 81 112% Cabbage 10 8 84% Carrot 11 9 83% Beetroot 9 8 90% Onion 8 8 97% Sugar 15 20 133% Food Basket (full) 666 821 123% World Food Programme
February-March Technical updates
• Assessment WG • Cash TF: • Food Basket – Food baskets compiled – Proposal in process Quantity KG per parcel Vostok SOS / Commodity DORCAS DRC FDU PIN WFP DORCAS Buckwheat 1.8 1 1 2 Pasta, Macaroni 1.5 3 0.9 0.5 0.98 6 Canned beans 0.4 0.5 2 Canned meat 0.525 0.53 1.05 Oil ,Vegetable 1.9 2 1 1 0.9 0.5 Sugar 1 1 1 1 1 1 Salt 1 1 0.2 Sardines, canned in oil, drained 0.46 0.48 1.61 Rise 2 0.9 1 1 Flour 4 2.8 2 1 Friut puree 0.85 Tea 0.05 0.05 0.18 Milk jam 0.74 Cookies 0.6 1.6 0.5 1.36 Diary-free porridge 1 0.54 Powdered baby milk 0.35 Canned vegetables 4.23 0.8 Breakfast cereal 0.65 Jam 0.7 Pate 0.48 Wheat groats 2 1 Condensed milk 0.32 Barley 3 1.8 Flakes 2.4 1 Semolina 1 Canned sprat 0.69 0.46 Peas, dry 0.5 Tomato paste 0.5 Total Kg. 12.58 25.165 10.3 12.5 10.88 14.36
March 2016 activities’ updates
MARCH 2016 ACTIVITIES
HRP Humanitarians FS community
11
10
5 HRP
• Request 75 million USD • 9 organizations • 11 projects • Funded 2% (FAO proposal) March 2016 Access to Food interventions
HRP Humanitarians FS community TOTAL 107,369 124,229 497,602 Donetska 77,318 82,343 450,039 GCA (Don. Obl.) 32,357 37,382 44,736 NGCA (Don. obl.) 44,961 44,961 405,303 Luhanska 30,051 33,193 38,870 GCA (Luh. Obl.) 30,051 33,193 38,870 Dnipropetrovska 57 57 Khersonska 498 498 Kyiv 423 423 Kyivska 1,766 1,766 Odeska 396 396 Zaporizska 5,553 5,553 Organizations that reported March 2016 ACF, East SOS, PIN, RAF, Save Ukraine, FAO, TdH, WFP GCA NGCA Total Amvrosiivskyi 3,366 3,366 Avdiivka 2,291 2,291 Bakhmut (Artemivsk) 3,232 3,232 Bakhmutskyi (Artemivskyi) 4,292 1,083 5,375 Debaltseve 606 606 Dobropillia 289 289 Dobropilskyi 152 152 Dokuchaievsk 4,776 4,776 Donetsk 161,147 161,147 Druzhkivka 1,244 1,244 Dymytrov 1,230 1,230 Horlivka 42,523 42,523 Khartsyzk 20,342 20,342 Kirovske 7,978 7,978 Kostiantynivka 1,594 1,594 Kostiantynivskyi 140 140 Kramatorsk 2,135 2,135 Krasnoarmiisk 1,996 1,996 Krasnoarmiiskyi 703 703 Lyman (Krasnyi Lyman) 31 31 Makiivka 73,760 73,760 Marinskyi 5,884 5,884 GCA NGCA Total Mariupol 5,745 5,745 Novoazovskyi 664 664 Pershotravnevyi 273 273 Selydove 900 900 Shakhtarsk 13,019 13,019 Shakhtarskyi 1,005 1,005 Slovyansk 2,052 2,052 Slovyanskyi 661 661 Snizhne 13,634 13,634 Starobeshivskyi 13,429 13,429 Telmanivskyi 2,150 2,150 Toretsk (Dzerzhynsk) 6,396 6,396 Torez 14,186 14,186 Velykonovosilkivskyi 94 94 Volnovaskyi 2,175 2,175 Vuhledar 525 525 Yasynuvata 60 7,336 7,396 Yasynuvatskyi 640 640 Yenakiieve 24,299 24,299 Grand Total 44,734 405,303 450,037 Luhansk
GCA NGCA Total Bilokurakynskyi 355 355 Bilovodskyi 186 186 Kreminskyi 401 401 Luhansk 429 429 Luhanska 5 38867 38872 Lysychansk 2056 2056 Markivskyi 502 502 Milovskyi 64 64 Novoaidarskyi 3921 3921 Novopskovskyi 450 450 Pervomaisk 5 118 123 Popasnianskyi 7256 7256 Rubizhne 15 15 Sievierodonetsk 8447 8447 Slovyanoserbskyi 3 3 Stanychno-Luhanskyi 8276 8276 Starobilskyi 3108 3108 Svativskyi 2718 2718 Troitskyi 562 562 Grand Total 5 38,867 38,872
Livelihoods interventions up to march 2016 Households
Raion Fodder_distrib Cash_distrib Toretsk (Dzerzhynsk) 155 104 Bakhmutskyi (Artemivskyi) 350 0 Volnovaskyi 228 0 Luhansk 7 0 Popasnianskyi 100 0 Slovyanoserbskyi 951 0 Stanychno-Luhanskyi 18 0
FORECAST APRIL – MAY - JUNE Key factors
• Bilateral meetings with partners • Coordination on identification of beneficiaries by criteria to avoid duplication start to take place • Increasing involvement of organizations
STEPS FORWARD • Targets definition • Lessons learned from previous winter season • Provide technical guidance • Ensure effective coordination among main actors • Ensure early recovery in Programming AOB
- Kiev meeting with donors and heads of agencies - IMO in process to be recruited - Lessons learned from winterization to be requested to partners - Monthly updates on: gaps, challenges