The Ways in Which Control and Stereotyping Biases Affect Internal Attributions
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Motivated Reasoning in a Causal Explore-Exploit Task by Zachary A. Caddick B.A. in Psychology, California State University
Motivated Reasoning in a Causal Explore-Exploit Task by Zachary A. Caddick B.A. in Psychology, California State University, San Bernardino, 2013 M.A. in Experimental and Research Psychology, San José State University, 2016 Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of the Kenneth P. Dietrich School of Arts and Sciences in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science University of Pittsburgh 2020 UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH DIETRICH SCHOOL OF ARTS AND SCIENCES This thesis was presented by Zachary A. Caddick It was defended on March 17, 2020 and approved by Timothy J. Nokes-Malach, Ph.D., Associate Professor, Department of Psychology Kevin R. Binning, Ph.D., Assistant Professor, Department of Psychology Thesis Advisor: Benjamin M. Rottman, Ph.D., Associate Professor, Department of Psychology ii Copyright © by Zachary A. Caddick 2020 iii Motivated Reasoning in a Causal Explore-Exploit Task Zachary A. Caddick, M.S. University of Pittsburgh, 2020 The current research investigates how prior preferences affect causal learning. Participants were tasked with repeatedly choosing policies (e.g., increase vs. decrease border security funding) in order to maximize the economic output of an imaginary country, and inferred the influence of the policies on the economy. The task was challenging and ambiguous, allowing participants to interpret the relations between the policies and the economy in multiple ways. In three studies, we found evidence of motivated reasoning despite financial incentives for accuracy. For example, participants who believed that border security funding should be increased were more likely to conclude that increasing border security funding actually caused a better economy in the task. -
The Perceived Validity of Stereotype Threat As an Explanation for Underperformance
University of Connecticut OpenCommons@UConn Master's Theses University of Connecticut Graduate School 11-18-2016 The eP rceived Validity of Stereotype Threat as an Explanation for Underperformance Gabriel Camacho University of Connecticut - Storrs, [email protected] Recommended Citation Camacho, Gabriel, "The eP rceived Validity of Stereotype Threat as an Explanation for Underperformance" (2016). Master's Theses. 1034. https://opencommons.uconn.edu/gs_theses/1034 This work is brought to you for free and open access by the University of Connecticut Graduate School at OpenCommons@UConn. It has been accepted for inclusion in Master's Theses by an authorized administrator of OpenCommons@UConn. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Running head: THE PERCEIVED VALIDITY OF STEREOTYPE THREAT The Perceived Validity of Stereotype Threat as an Explanation for Underperformance Gabriel Camacho B.A., University of Virginia, 2012 A Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science at the University of Connecticut 2016 THE PERCEIVED VALIDITY OF STEREOTYPE THREAT ii APPROVAL PAGE Master of Science Thesis The Perceived Validity of Stereotype Threat as an Explanation for Underperformance Presented by Gabriel Camacho, B.A. Major Advisor________________________________________________________________ Diane M. Quinn Associate Advisor_____________________________________________________________ Felicia Pratto Associate Advisor_____________________________________________________________ -
Polarization and Media Usage: Disentangling Causality
Polarization and Media Usage: Disentangling Causality Abstract: This chapter examines the literature concerning media choice and partisan polarization. The past few decades have seen enormous growth in the number of television and internet news sources, giving consumers dramatically increased choices. Previous research has suggested two distinct links between media choice and partisan polarization: partisan media as a reflection of polarization, as partisans self-select into media that conforms with their preexisting views, or as a cause of polarization, when outlets present one-sided stories that persuade people to adopt more extreme views. This chapter discusses how the literature in these two research traditions has diverged, as well as more recent research attempting to bridge this divide. Using novel methods, these studies have drawn together both self-selection and causal research designs to provide a more complete picture of media choice effects, and expanded the literature to more recent mediums, including the internet and social media. Justin de Benedictis-Kessner, Harvard University and Northeastern University ([email protected]) Matthew A. Baum, Harvard University ([email protected])* Adam J. Berinsky, Massachusetts Institute of Technology ([email protected]) Keywords: media choice, polarization, self-selection, persuasion, causality *corresponding author In recent years, pundits, politicians, and ordinary citizens have expressed growing concern over political polarization in the United States. A great deal of this outcry has focused on the rise of partisan news media, and how its growth has allowed people to choose the media that they consume. The typical U.S. household now receives about 190 television channels, more than a tenfold increase since 1980 and up by nearly half since 2008.i The options for different news sources on the internet are even more numerous. -
Why So Confident? the Influence of Outcome Desirability on Selective Exposure and Likelihood Judgment
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by The University of North Carolina at Greensboro Archived version from NCDOCKS Institutional Repository http://libres.uncg.edu/ir/asu/ Why so confident? The influence of outcome desirability on selective exposure and likelihood judgment Authors Paul D. Windschitl , Aaron M. Scherer a, Andrew R. Smith , Jason P. Rose Abstract Previous studies that have directly manipulated outcome desirability have often found little effect on likelihood judgments (i.e., no desirability bias or wishful thinking). The present studies tested whether selections of new information about outcomes would be impacted by outcome desirability, thereby biasing likelihood judgments. In Study 1, participants made predictions about novel outcomes and then selected additional information to read from a buffet. They favored information supporting their prediction, and this fueled an increase in confidence. Studies 2 and 3 directly manipulated outcome desirability through monetary means. If a target outcome (randomly preselected) was made especially desirable, then participants tended to select information that supported the outcome. If made undesirable, less supporting information was selected. Selection bias was again linked to subsequent likelihood judgments. These results constitute novel evidence for the role of selective exposure in cases of overconfidence and desirability bias in likelihood judgments. Paul D. Windschitl , Aaron M. Scherer a, Andrew R. Smith , Jason P. Rose (2013) "Why so confident? The influence of outcome desirability on selective exposure and likelihood judgment" Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 120 (2013) 73–86 (ISSN: 0749-5978) Version of Record available @ DOI: (http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.obhdp.2012.10.002) Why so confident? The influence of outcome desirability on selective exposure and likelihood judgment q a,⇑ a c b Paul D. -
Can Self-Persuasion Reduce Hostile Attribution Bias in Young Children?
Journal of Abnormal Child Psychology https://doi.org/10.1007/s10802-018-0499-2 Can Self-Persuasion Reduce Hostile Attribution Bias in Young Children? Anouk van Dijk1 & Sander Thomaes1 & Astrid M. G. Poorthuis1 & Bram Orobio de Castro1 # The Author(s) 2018 Abstract Two experiments tested an intervention approach to reduce young children’s hostile attribution bias and aggression: self-persua- sion. Children with high levels of hostile attribution bias recorded a video-message advocating to peers why story characters who caused a negative outcome may have had nonhostile intentions (self-persuasion condition), or they simply described the stories (control condition). Before and after the manipulation, hostile attribution bias was assessed using vignettes of ambiguous provocations. Study 1 (n =83,age4–8) showed that self-persuasion reduced children’s hostile attribution bias. Study 2 (n = 121, age 6–9) replicated this finding, and further showed that self-persuasion was equally effective at reducing hostile attribution bias as was persuasion by others (i.e., listening to an experimenter advocating for nonhostile intentions). Effects on aggressive behavior, however, were small and only significant for one out of four effects tested. This research provides the first evidence that self-persuasion may be an effective approach to reduce hostile attribution bias in young children. Keywords Hostile attribution bias . Self-persuasion . Aggression . Intervention . Experiments Children’s daily social interactions abound with provocations by Dodge 1994). The present research tests an intervention approach peers, such as when they are physically hurt, laughed at, or ex- to reduce hostile attribution bias in young children. cluded from play. The exact reasons behind these provocations, Most interventions that effectively reduce children’s hostile and especially the issue of whether hostile intent was involved, attribution bias rely on attribution retraining techniques (e.g., are often unclear. -
Communication Science to the Public
David M. Berube North Carolina State University ▪ HOW WE COMMUNICATE. In The Age of American Unreason, Jacoby posited that it trickled down from the top, fueled by faux-populist politicians striving to make themselves sound approachable rather than smart. (Jacoby, 2008). EX: The average length of a sound bite by a presidential candidate in 1968 was 42.3 seconds. Two decades later, it was 9.8 seconds. Today, it’s just a touch over seven seconds and well on its way to being supplanted by 140/280- character Twitter bursts. ▪ DATA FRAMING. ▪ When asked if they truly believe what scientists tell them, NEW ANTI- only 36 percent of respondents said yes. Just 12 percent expressed strong confidence in the press to accurately INTELLECTUALISM: report scientific findings. ▪ ROLE OF THE PUBLIC. A study by two Princeton University researchers, Martin TRENDS Gilens and Benjamin Page, released Fall 2014, tracked 1,800 U.S. policy changes between 1981 and 2002, and compared the outcome with the expressed preferences of median- income Americans, the affluent, business interests and powerful lobbies. They concluded that average citizens “have little or no independent influence” on policy in the U.S., while the rich and their hired mouthpieces routinely get their way. “The majority does not rule,” they wrote. ▪ Anti-intellectualism and suspicion (trends). ▪ Trump world – outsiders/insiders. ▪ Erasing/re-writing history – damnatio memoriae. ▪ False news. ▪ Infoxication (CC) and infobesity. ▪ Aggregators and managed reality. ▪ Affirmation and confirmation bias. ▪ Negotiating reality. ▪ New tribalism is mostly ideational not political. ▪ Unspoken – guns, birth control, sexual harassment, race… “The amount of technical information is doubling every two years. -
Judgements of Attributional Responsibility, Social Dominance Orientation, and the Insanity Defense
JUDGEMENTS OF ATTRIBUTIONAL RESPONSISBILITY, SOCIAL DOMINANCE ORIENTATION, AND THE INSANITY DEFENSE. By Stephanie Sean Souter A Thesis Presented to The Faculty of Humboldt State University In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree Master of Arts in Psychology: Academic Research Committee Membership Dr. Gregg J. Gold, Committee Chair Dr. Amanda Hahn, Committee Member Lori Cortez-Regan M.A. Committee Member Dr. Christopher Aberson, Program Graduate Coordinator July 2020 Abstract JUDGEMENTS OF ATTRIBUTIONAL RESPONSIBILITY, SOCIAL DOMINANCE ORIENTATION, AND THE INSANITY DEFENSE Stephanie Sean Souter Issues of race, law, and mental health meet at a cross-section when it comes to cases involving the not guilty by reason of insanity (NGRI) plea in which the defendant is a member of a marginalized group. Although the duty of a juror is to reach a fair and unbiased verdict, the reality is that there are many ways that a person’s thoughts can be biased without them being aware of this (Bargh, 2001). This mock juror experiment (the first of its kind), investigated the role that Social Dominance Orientation (SDO) and attributional responsibility has in the success of NGRI pleas among African American and white defendants diagnosed with schizophrenia. Participants read a police report, a trial summary, and saw a photo where only skin color varied between condition, with either a white or African American defendant. Measures of SDO, attitudes about NGRI, attitudes about mental illness, and perceptions of attributional responsibility were taken. Results from (N = 320) participants suggest negative attitudes about the insanity plea reduces the likelihood of a juror assigning NGRI, R2 = .09, F(1,318) = 31.75, b = -.49, p < .001. -
UC Riverside UC Riverside Electronic Theses and Dissertations
UC Riverside UC Riverside Electronic Theses and Dissertations Title Cultural Differences in the Prevalence of Stereotype Activation and Explanations of Crime: Does Race Color Perception? Permalink https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7km372cn Author Briones, Lilia Rebeca Publication Date 2010 Peer reviewed|Thesis/dissertation eScholarship.org Powered by the California Digital Library University of California UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA RIVERSIDE Cultural Differences in the Prevalence of Stereotype Activation and Explanations of Crime: Does Race Color Perception? A Dissertation submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Psychology by Lilia Rebeca Briones March 2011 Dissertation Committee: Dr. Carolyn B. Murray, Chairperson Dr. Daniel Ozer Dr. Kate Sweeny The dissertation of Lilia R. Briones is approved: ________________________ ______________ Dr. Carolyn Murray (Chair) Date ________________________ ______________ Dr. Daniel Ozer Date ________________________ ______________ Dr. Kate Sweeny Date University of California, Riverside Acknowledgements There are so many people I would like to thank for their love and support throughout this journey. First, I want to thank God for all of the blessings that have allowed me to make it to this point. The love and support of my family has been the most abundant of those blessings and my appreciation cannot be put into words but I will try to express it here. Papi, thank you for reminding me to expect the curveballs, for your unwavering support, and your unconditional love. Mom, your love and prayers have sustained me and I am forever grateful for your encouragement. Thank you both for reminding me how to eat an elephant. Alita, you are my biggest cheerleader and you always have my back! Thanks for letting me vent with you when times got tough, I would not have made it without you. -
Infographic I.10
The Digital Health Revolution: Leaving No One Behind The global AI in healthcare market is growing fast, with an expected increase from $4.9 billion in 2020 to $45.2 billion by 2026. There are new solutions introduced every day that address all areas: from clinical care and diagnosis, to remote patient monitoring to EHR support, and beyond. But, AI is still relatively new to the industry, and it can be difficult to determine which solutions can actually make a difference in care delivery and business operations. 59 Jan 2021 % of Americans believe returning Jan-June 2019 to pre-coronavirus life poses a risk to health and well being. 11 41 % % ...expect it will take at least 6 The pandemic has greatly increased the 65 months before things get number of US adults reporting depression % back to normal (updated April and/or anxiety.5 2021).4 Up to of consumers now interested in telehealth going forward. $250B 76 57% of providers view telehealth more of current US healthcare spend % favorably than they did before COVID-19.7 could potentially be virtualized.6 The dramatic increase in of Medicare primary care visits the conducted through 90% $3.5T telehealth has shown longevity, with rates in annual U.S. health expenditures are for people with chronic and mental health conditions. since April 2020 0.1 43.5 leveling off % % Most of these can be prevented by simple around 30%.8 lifestyle changes and regular health screenings9 Feb. 2020 Apr. 2020 OCCAM’S RAZOR • CONJUNCTION FALLACY • DELMORE EFFECT • LAW OF TRIVIALITY • COGNITIVE FLUENCY • BELIEF BIAS • INFORMATION BIAS Digital health ecosystems are transforming• AMBIGUITY BIAS • STATUS medicineQUO BIAS • SOCIAL COMPARISONfrom BIASa rea• DECOYctive EFFECT • REACTANCEdiscipline, • REVERSE PSYCHOLOGY • SYSTEM JUSTIFICATION • BACKFIRE EFFECT • ENDOWMENT EFFECT • PROCESSING DIFFICULTY EFFECT • PSEUDOCERTAINTY EFFECT • DISPOSITION becoming precise, preventive,EFFECT • ZERO-RISK personalized, BIAS • UNIT BIAS • IKEA EFFECT and • LOSS AVERSION participatory. -
Rethinking the Link Between Cognitive Sophistication and Politically Motivated Reasoning
RETHINKING SOPHISTICATION AND MOTIVATED REASONING 1 Rethinking the link between cognitive sophistication and politically motivated reasoning Ben M. Tappin 1, Gordon Pennycook 2, David G. Rand 1,3 1 Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology 2 Hill/Levene School of Business, University of Regina 3 Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Forthcoming in the Journal of Experimental Psychology: General. Author note This article contains supplementary information accessible at https://osf.io/yt3kd/. We are grateful to Antonio Arechar for assistance with data collection, and to Dan Kahan and Philip Hanser for comments on and discussion regarding an earlier draft. We acknowledge funding from the Economic and Social Research Council, the Ethics and Governance of Artificial Intelligence Initiative of the Miami Foundation, the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, the John Templeton Foundation, the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada, and the Cogito Foundation. Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to Ben Tappin, Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142, United States of America. Email: [email protected] RETHINKING SOPHISTICATION AND MOTIVATED REASONING 2 Abstract Partisan disagreement over policy-relevant facts is a salient feature of contemporary American politics. Perhaps surprisingly, such disagreements are often the greatest among opposing partisans who are the most cognitively sophisticated. -
John Collins, President, Forensic Foundations Group
On Bias in Forensic Science National Commission on Forensic Science – May 12, 2014 56-year-old Vatsala Thakkar was a doctor in India but took a job as a convenience store cashier to help pay family expenses. She was stabbed to death outside her store trying to thwart a theft in November 2008. Bloody Footwear Impression Bloody Tire Impression What was the threat? 1. We failed to ask ourselves if this was a footwear impression. 2. The appearance of the impression combined with the investigator’s interpretation created prejudice. The accuracy of our analysis became threatened by our prejudice. Types of Cognitive Bias Available at: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cognitive_biases | Accessed on April 14, 2014 Anchoring or focalism Hindsight bias Pseudocertainty effect Illusory superiority Levels-of-processing effect Attentional bias Hostile media effect Reactance Ingroup bias List-length effect Availability heuristic Hot-hand fallacy Reactive devaluation Just-world phenomenon Misinformation effect Availability cascade Hyperbolic discounting Recency illusion Moral luck Modality effect Backfire effect Identifiable victim effect Restraint bias Naive cynicism Mood-congruent memory bias Bandwagon effect Illusion of control Rhyme as reason effect Naïve realism Next-in-line effect Base rate fallacy or base rate neglect Illusion of validity Risk compensation / Peltzman effect Outgroup homogeneity bias Part-list cueing effect Belief bias Illusory correlation Selective perception Projection bias Peak-end rule Bias blind spot Impact bias Semmelweis -
Motivated Reasoning Without Partisanship? Fake News in the 2018 Brazilian Elections
Motivated Reasoning Without Partisanship? Fake News in the 2018 Brazilian Elections Frederico Batista Pereira1, Natália S. Bueno2, Felipe Nunes3, and Nara Pavão4 1Assistant Professor, University of North Carolina at Charlotte 2Assistant Professor, Emory University 3Assistant Professor, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais 4Assistant Professor, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco Abstract Studies suggest that rumor acceptance is driven by motivated reasoning and that people’s desire to conclude what is suggested by their partisanship undermines the effectiveness of corrective information. This paper explores this process in a context where party attachments are weaker and less stable than elsewhere. We conducted a survey experiment during the 2018 elections in Brazil to examine the extent of rumor acceptance and the effectiveness of fact-checking corrections to fake news stories disseminated about the country’s most important political group. We find that about a third of our respondents believe the rumors used in the study and that, just like what is found in developed nations, belief in misinformation in Brazil is correlated with (anti)partisan attitudes. However, fact-checking corrections are particularly weak in Brazil compared to the developed world. While weak parti- sanship reduces the rates of rumor acceptance in Brazil, ineffective corrections are unlikely to prevent the circulation of fake news in the country. Please do not quote or cite without permission Fake news, understood as false information whose purpose is to generate and reinforce misperceptions of reality, is a growing concern in politics, due to its potential to distort public debate and disrupt elections (Lazer et al. 2018). The vast majority of the knowl- edge we currently have about political misperceptions comes from research conducted in the developed world, particularly in the United States (Walter and Murphy 2018; Nieminen and Rapeli 2019).