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Appendix 6 – 2007-2037 Positive (And Negative) Growth Areas

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Appendix 6 – 2007-2037 Positive (And Negative) Growth Areas BRITISH COLUMBIA’S CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS BY LOCAL HEALTH AREA Appendix 6 Health Authority - projected growth (percentages) for the 2007-2037 period. Appendix 6 - Table 1.1 Proportion of 2007 2007-2037 % Population Growth Fraser 35% 56% Coastal 25% 32% Island 17% 28% Interior 16% 24% Northern 7% 10% Totals = 100% The more populous the HA, the higher it’s projected growth rate. This demonstrated the continued urbanization of British Columbia during the first half of the 21st century. Proportion of the Provincial Population and Projected Growth per Health Authority 2007-2037 56% Proportion of 2007 Population 2007-2037 % Growth 35% 32% 28% 25% 24% 17% 16% 10% 7% Fraser Coastal Island Interior Northern P a g e 1 | 11 BRITISH COLUMBIA’S CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS BY LOCAL HEALTH AREA Health Authority - projected growth (in numbers) for the 2007-2037 period. Appendix 6 - Table 1.2 Population 2007 Growth 2007-2037 Fraser 1,528,884 863,070 Coastal 1,084,531 342,118 Island 732,118 207,105 Interior 705,164 168,377 Northern 282,682 27,913 Totals = 4,333,379 1,608,583 Size and Projected Growth of Health Authorities in BC 2007-2037 Population 2007 Growth 2007-2037 1,528,884 1,084,531 863,070 732,118 705,164 342,118 282,682 207,105 168,377 27,913 Fraser Coastal Island Interior Northern P a g e 2 | 11 BRITISH COLUMBIA’S CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS BY LOCAL HEALTH AREA Health Service Delivery Area - projected growth (percentages) for the 2007-2037 period. Appendix 6 - Table 2.1 Proportion of 2007-2037 % Health Service Delivery Area 2007 Population Growth Fraser South 16% 64% Fraser North 13% 55% Vancouver Aggregate 14% 30% Okanagan 8% 36% South Vancouver Island 8% 29% Fraser East 6% 41% Richmond 4% 48% Central Vancouver Island 6% 30% North Shore/Coast Garibaldi 6% 23% Thompson Cariboo Shuswap 5% 16% North Vancouver Island 3% 23% Northeast 2% 35% Northern Interior 3% 1% East Kootenay 2% 9% Kootenay Boundary 2% 4% Northwest 2% 5% Totals = 100% P a g e 3 | 11 BRITISH COLUMBIA’S CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS BY LOCAL HEALTH AREA Proportion of BC's 2007 Population and Projected Growth per HSDA 2007-2037 Northwest 2% 5% Kootenay Boundary 2%4% East Kootenay 2% 9% Northern Interior 1%3% Northeast 2% 35% North Vancouver Island 3% 23% Thompson Cariboo Shuswap 5% 16% North Shore/Coast Garibaldi 6% 23% Central Vancouver Island 6% 30% Richmond 4% 48% Fraser East 6% 41% South Vancouver Island 8% 29% Okanagan 8% 36% Vancouver Aggregate 14% 30% Fraser North 13% 55% Fraser South 16% 64% 2007-2037 % Growth Proportion of 2007 Population Health Service Delivery Area - projected growth (in numbers) for the 2007-2037 period. Appendix 6 - Table 2.2 Health Service Delivery Area Population 2007 Growth 2007-2037 Fraser South 675,747 431,700 Vancouver 626,010 188,981 Fraser North 579,731 318,936 South Vancouver Island 360,224 104,183 Okanagan 336,064 122,399 Fraser East 273,406 112,434 North Shore/Coast Garibaldi 271,111 63,299 Central Vancouver Island 254,732 75,925 Thompson Cariboo Shuswap 216,104 35,377 Richmond 187,410 89,838 Northern Interior 141,576 1,076 North Vancouver Island 117,162 26,997 Kootenay Boundary 76,912 3,452 East Kootenay 76,084 7,149 Northwest 74,892 3,693 Northeast 66,214 23,144 Totals = 4,333,379 1,608,583 P a g e 4 | 11 BRITISH COLUMBIA’S CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS BY LOCAL HEALTH AREA Size and Projected Growth of Health Service Delivery Areas 2007-2037 Northeast Northwest East Kootenay Kootenay Boundary North Vancouver Island Northern Interior Richmond Thompson Cariboo Shuswap Central Vancouver Island North Shore/Coast Garibaldi Fraser East Okanagan South Vancouver Island Fraser North Vancouver Fraser South 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 Growth 2007-2037 Population 2007 P a g e 5 | 11 BRITISH COLUMBIA’S CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS BY LOCAL HEALTH AREA Local Health Area - projected positive growth (percentages) for the 2007-2037 period. Appendix 6 - Table 3.1 Proportion of 2007-2037 % Local Health Area 2007 Population Growth Telegraph Creek 0.0% 2% Bella Coola Valley 0.1% 3% Vancouver Island North 0.3% 4% Lillooet 0.1% 4% Quesnel 0.5% 5% Enderby 0.2% 5% Lake Cowichan 0.1% 5% Saanich 1.5% 6% Alberni 0.7% 6% Golden 0.2% 6% Cariboo - Chilcotin 0.6% 7% Kimberley 0.2% 8% West Vancouver-Bowen Island 1.2% 9% Revelstoke 0.2% 9% Nisga'a 0.0% 9% Terrace 0.5% 10% Cranbrook 0.6% 11% Summerland 0.3% 12% Merritt 0.3% 12% Delta 2.3% 13% Peace River South 0.6% 14% Fernie 0.3% 15% Greater Victoria 5.0% 16% Nelson 0.6% 16% Fort Nelson 0.1% 18% Salmon Arm 0.8% 19% Powell River 0.4% 19% Keremeos 0.1% 19% Penticton 1.0% 20% Campbell River 0.9% 20% Smithers 0.4% 21% Nechako 0.4% 21% North Vancouver 3.1% 22% Kamloops 2.5% 25% Ladysmith 0.4% 25% Central Coast 0.0% 25% P a g e 6 | 11 BRITISH COLUMBIA’S CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS BY LOCAL HEALTH AREA Table 3.1 continued. Proportion of 2007-2037 % Local Health Area 2007 Population Growth Vernon 1.5% 26% Qualicum 1.0% 26% Sunshine Coast 0.7% 27% Gulf Islands 0.3% 27% Castlegar 0.3% 28% Armstrong - Spallumcheen 0.2% 28% Cowichan 1.3% 29% Vancouver Aggregate 14.4% 30% Courtenay 1.4% 30% Abbotsford 3.1% 32% Mission 1.0% 32% Agassiz - Harrison 0.2% 35% Nanaimo 2.3% 42% Burnaby 5.0% 47% Richmond 4.3% 48% Howe Sound 0.8% 52% Central Okanagan 4.0% 54% Peace River North 0.8% 55% Coquitlam 4.9% 58% Maple Ridge 2.1% 61% New Westminster 1.4% 62% Chilliwack 1.9% 67% Langley 2.9% 68% Surrey 8.5% 71% South Surrey/White Rock 1.9% 87% Sooke 1.5% 96% 94% P a g e 7 | 11 BRITISH COLUMBIA’S CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS BY LOCAL HEALTH AREA Local Health Area - projected positive growth (in numbers) for the 2007-2037 period. Appendix 6 - Table 3.2 Local Health Area Population 2007 Growth 2007-2037 Surrey 367,912 262,670 Vancouver Aggregate 626,010 188,981 Coquitlam 210,215 121,957 Burnaby 216,834 102,878 Central Okanagan 174,024 93,334 Richmond 187,410 89,838 Langley 125,937 85,228 South Surrey/White Rock 80,919 70,762 Sooke 63,387 61,051 Maple Ridge 90,360 55,384 Chilliwack 82,282 55,256 Abbotsford 133,120 42,089 Nanaimo 99,619 41,769 New Westminster 62,322 38,717 Greater Victoria 218,793 35,401 North Vancouver 135,601 29,646 Kamloops 107,662 27,377 Courtenay 61,957 18,409 Peace River North 33,421 18,246 Howe Sound 32,872 17,076 Vernon 63,521 16,777 Cowichan 55,683 16,074 Mission 41,244 13,050 Delta 100,979 13,040 Qualicum 44,045 11,465 Campbell River 40,678 8,159 Penticton 41,210 8,092 Sunshine Coast 28,399 7,789 Salmon Arm 33,218 6,170 West Vancouver-Bowen Island 50,468 4,744 Ladysmith 17,892 4,479 Gulf Islands 14,878 4,030 Peace River South 26,532 3,798 Nelson 24,255 3,785 Saanich 63,166 3,701 Castlegar 12,883 3,630 Powell River 19,426 3,595 Smithers 16,083 3,442 P a g e 8 | 11 BRITISH COLUMBIA’S CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS BY LOCAL HEALTH AREA Table 3.2 continued. Appendix 6 - Table 3.2 Local Health Area Population 2007 Growth 2007-2037 Nechako 15,296 3,168 Agassiz - Harrison 8,814 3,089 Cranbrook 24,905 2,848 Armstrong - Spallumcheen 9,432 2,629 Fernie 14,367 2,188 Terrace 19,967 2,004 Cariboo - Chilcotin 26,148 1,919 Alberni 31,375 1,805 Merritt 11,409 1,388 Summerland 11,618 1,380 Quesnel 23,062 1,197 Fort Nelson 6,261 1,100 Creston 12,219 1,077 Keremeos 5,019 977 Revelstoke 7,897 743 Kimberley 8,101 609 Vancouver Island North 12,240 521 Enderby 7,500 397 Golden 7,016 386 Central Coast 1,490 374 Lake Cowichan 6,118 333 Nisga'a 1,976 176 Lillooet 4,258 171 Bella Coola Valley 2,855 75 Windermere 9,476 41 Telegraph Creek 680 12 4,094,716 1,622,496 P a g e 9 | 11 BRITISH COLUMBIA’S CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS BY LOCAL HEALTH AREA Local Health Area - projected negative growth (percentages) for the 2007-2037 period. Appendix 6 - Table 4.1 Proportion of 2007 2007-2037 % Local Health Area Population Growth Kettle Valley 0.1% -27% Stikine 0.0% -25% Kootenay Lake 0.1% -19% Princeton 0.1% -18% Arrow Lakes 0.1% -16% Grand Forks 0.2% -15% Hope 0.2% -13% Upper Skeena 0.1% -13% 100 Mile House 0.3% -11% South Cariboo 0.2% -9% Kitimat 0.2% -5% Snow Country 0.0% -5% Queen Charlotte 0.1% -4% North Thompson 0.1% -4% Vancouver Island West 0.1% -4% Prince George 2.2% -3% Southern Okanagan 0.4% -2% Prince Rupert 0.3% -2% Trail 0.4% -1% Burns Lake 0.2% -1% Creston 0.3% 0% Windermere 0.2% 0% 6.0% P a g e 10 | 11 BRITISH COLUMBIA’S CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS BY LOCAL HEALTH AREA Local Health Area - projected negative growth (as numbers) for the 2007-2037 period.
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