Regional Weather Inference and Forecast Meteorological Analysis

ादेशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम वान वभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur

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Regional Weather Inference And Forecast Monday, 21 August 2017 Morning Issue Time : 11.30 Hrs. IST

Meteorological Analysis (Based on 0830 Hrs IST Observations)

Weather Watch :- Heavy rainfall occured at isolated places over Vidarbha and West Madhya Pradesh. Thunderstorm observed at isoloated places over Chhattisgarh and East Madhya Pradesh. Very light to moderate rainfall occurred at many places over Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh and West Madhya Pradesh. Very light to light rainfall occured at few places over East Madhya Pradesh.

Monsoon Watch :- Nil.

Inference:- The low pressure area over north Madhya Maharashtra & adjoining Vidarbha now lies over southwest Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood. The associated upper air cyclonic circulation extends upto 7.6 km above mean sea level and tilting southwestwards with height persists. The axis of monsoon trough at mean sea level now passes through Barmer, centre of low pressure area over southwest Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood, Akola, Bramhapuri, Kalingapatnam and thence east¬southeastwards to eastcentral Bay of Bengal.

Datia recorded the highest maximum temparature of 36.1 degree celsius. Washim recorded the Lowest minimum temperature of 20.0 degree celsius.

Chief amount of rainfall in cms are :-

Madhya Pradesh:- SARDARPUR -- 9; GANDHWANI -- 6; THANDLA -- 5; MANAWAR KASARWAD JHABUA-AWS NALCHHA KUKSHI -- 4each; JABOT NEPANAGAR SHEGAON BHABHRA SENDHWA(MED) KHANDWA-AWS PETLAWAD ALIRAJPUR-AWS -- 3each; DEPALPUR PANDHANA KHAKNAR KHACHROD DHAR-AWS BURHANPUR MHOW MAHESHWAR SAILANA KHARGONE-AWS BAGLI TONKHURD THIKRI -- 2each; BADNAWAR VIDISHA-AWS BADWANI-AWS HARSUD-ARG BADNAGAR MULTAI GAUTAMPURA ATNER DINDORI-AWS AMARWARA AMARKANTAK KATANGI -- 1each;

Chhattisgarh :- Bemetara---3 Rajnanadgaon Basna---2 Mainpat Pathalgaon Bhanupratappur Shivnarayan Bilaspur---1

Vidarbha :- Lonar---9 Deulgaonraja---5 Mohadi Jalgaonjamod Motala Nandura Sindkhedraja--- 4 Risod Malkapur Buldhana---3 Umerkhed Mahagaon Shegaon Chikhali AnjangaonSurgi Akot Desaiganj Kalmeshwar Parseoni --2 Katole Sakoli Mauda Ramtek Saoner Wardha Asthi Sangrampur Amraoti Warud Balapur Gondia Kurkheda ---1

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157 ादेशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम वान वभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur

Weather Forecast for next 5 days * valid upto 0830 Hrs IST of 26 August 2017 Meteorological Sub-division wise detailed 5 days rainfall forecast is given in Table 1.

No significant change in maximum and minimum temparatures over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha & Chhattisgarh during next 2 days.

Outlook for subsequent two days from 26 August 2017 to 28 August 2017 RA/TSH Very likely to occur at many places over Vidarbha, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh.

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Weather Warnings for next 5 days * valid upto 0830 Hrs IST of 26 August 2017

21-Aug-2017 Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Southwest Madhya Pradesh. (Day 1)

22-Aug-2017 No Warning. (Day 2)

23-Aug-2017 No Warning. (Day 3) 24-Aug-2017 Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over South Chhattisgarh. (Day 4) 25-Aug-2017 Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over South Chhattisgarh. (Day 5)

* The Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day Legend : Warning Probability of WARNING (TAKE ACTION) UnlikelyOccurence <(%) 25 ALERT (BE PREPARED) Likely 25 - 50 WATCH (BE UPDATED) Very Likely 50 - 75 NO WARNING (NO Most Likely > 75 ACTION)

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Table 1

5 Day Rainfall Forecast

Outlook for next 21-Aug 22-Aug 23-Aug 24-Aug 25-Aug two days valid Met Sub- from 0830 hrs IST division Today Tue Wed Thu Fri of 26-Aug to 0830 hrs IST of 28-Aug

West Madhya FWS FWS WS WS WS FWS Pradesh

East Madhya SCT SCT FWS FWS FWS FWS Pradesh

Vidarbha SCT SCT FWS WS WS FWS

Chattisgarh SCT SCT FWS FWS FWS FWS

Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of n ext day Legend : % Station Reporting Rainfall 76 - 100 WS Widespread / Most Places 51-75 FWS Fairly Widespread / Many Places 26-50 SCT Scattered / A Few Places 1-25 ISOL Isolated No Rain DRY Dry

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157