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Folder Title: The Initial Feasibility Study Report on Comprehensive Developing Projects of Agriculture in Shandong Province, China - The Planning Committee of Shandong Province - January 1988

Folder ID: F28491

Dates: 1/1/1988

Fonds: Records of the East Asia and Pacific Regional Vice Presidency

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© International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / International Development Association or The World Bank 1818 H Street NW Washington DC 20433 Telephone: 202-473-1000 Internet: www.worldbank.org

Th~ Comprehensive Dcvclupingl ' Project of Agriculture in 1·

Shandong Province, China ; /

Tllf-: INITIAi. 1:1·:/\SIBll. f'l Y ~Tl ) DY REPORT ON

COMP RElll:NSIVE Dl-:'.' ::I.OPIN<..i PROJECTS

OF AGRICULTURI: IN Sl!1\ .'' :'lONG PROVINCE. CIIINA

Cf! ,v11

THF. PLANNING COM 1\IITTf-:E OF S!-1,\NOONG PRO\'INCE

.. ,, . -. ·:. - .. ~ . ' Project Name: The Comprehensive Deve­ loping Projects of Agri­ culture in Shandong Pro­ vince

The Unit in The Planning Committee -- Charge of the of Shandong Province Projects.

The Person in Wang Yu- yan Charge of the Projects:

The Person in Pan Yong- ke Charge of the Technical Com­ munication:

The Project The Water Products Bureau Unit: of Shandong Province

The Agriculture Burea u of Shandong Province

The Water Convany Bureau of Shandong Province

• l • ... ,

The Forestry Bureau of Shan­

dong Province

The Initial Fea­

r; i li ty Study Re- port Prepared by: The World Bank Loan Projec t Office of the Planning Com­

mittee of Shandong Province

• 2 • w .,

The Initial Feasibi lity Study Report On The Comprehensive De veloping Projects Of Agriculture In Shandong Pro­ vince , Chi na

Contents page I . Background of the Project

1.Preface

2 . A Survey of Shandong Province • • • • • • 3

3 . The Present Status of Agriculture 7

4 . Service in Support and Help ••.....•• 10

5 . Forming of the Pro ject .• •. .• . .• • ... • 17

II . The Information of the Project Area •• 22

1 • Lo ca ti on • • • . . • • . . • . . . . • . • • • • . • • . • • • 2 2

2 . C1 i mate • • . . . • ...... • . • . . . . • • • • 22

3 . Topography ••...... ••. . ..•..... 22

4.Population , Land and Village ..•..•.. 27

. 3 • ; ...

5 . Resources and the Present Condi ti0 n .. . 27

6.Basic Installation ••• ...... ••. 38

7 .The Situation of Science and Technology39

8.water, electricity and Traffic .....•• 39

III. The Plan of Project •.••.••.•••••••.• 42

1.Project Description •.••••• •••• . ..••• 42

2 . Projec t Contents .•••••••.•....••••• 45

3 .Installation of Project • • •••••• ••••• 48

4 . The Conditions of Engineering Design. 61

5 . Estimation of the Engineering Volume

and Cost ...... 62

6 . Purchasing of the Goods and Materials •. 63

7.The Environmental Influence • • •...••• 68

IV. The Organs and Management · · · · · · · · · 69

1 • The Organs · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · · 6 9

2 . The Duties of Organs in Different

Levels ...... 70

• 4 • )

3 . Servoce in Support and Help ...... 77

4 .Management and Maintenance 83

v. The Estimated Aim of Project 85

1.The Reformation of Lo w-yield Lands in

the Tuha i River Valley 85

2 . The Development of Animal Husba ndry 87

3.The Farming of Prawns and Va l uable

Marine Products ...... 88

VI. Marketing Prospect ...... 90

1. The Market within Shandong Province ••• 90

2 . The Domestic Market 93

3 . The I n ternational Market 93

4.Plan f or Product Sales ...... 98

VII . Progress Schedule of the Project , .... 98

1.Construction Schedule 98

• 5 • 2.Annual I nvestment Scheme · ··············100

VIII. The Raising and Paying-back of the

Capita l •...... • • • • • • .• ••• .•• • • • • • • 102

1.The Method of Raising • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 102

2.Suggestions for the Usage of the Loa n

from the World Back • • • t •••• • •••••••• • 104

3.The Me thod of Inves tment and the Plan

for Raising Ca pital in Each Year • •. .. 109

4 . Loan and Paymen t •••••• •••••••••• • • • • • ·1 09

5 . Accountants and Auditors ••••••••.•.•. 109

IX. Financial Ana lysis and Business

Evaluation • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • l 1 1

1. Financial Analysis of the Project • •• •• 111

2 . Business Analysis of the Project ······1 33

3 . Financial Contribution of the Project .. J 34

4 . Ana lysis about the Risk in the Project.J 35

. 6 • ,

X. Conclusion ••••••••••••••••• •• ••••••• 138

1 .Technical Feasibility ••. ••• •••• •• •••••• 138

2.0rganization Feasibility ...... 138

3.Financial Feasibility •••• , . •. • . • ••••••• 139

4. Economical Feasili ty ••• • • • . •...... •.• 139

5. Social Feasibility ••.••.••.••.•.....• 1 40

6.Proposals ••••••••••••••••••••••••••• 1 4 1

• 7 • ,

The Comprehensive Developing ProJect of Agri­ culture in Shandong Province, China I. Background of the Project 1.Preface 1.01 This project will be the first comprehensive developing project of agrtculture in a oig scale supported by the World Bank and will provide typi­ cal experience for comprehensive and total develop­ ment of agriculture in Shandong Province and even for that of the whole country, which will push for­ ward the comprehensive development of agriculture. 1.02 The national econom~ of Shandong Province has developed rapidly in recent years. In 1986 the total output value of the provincial national economy reached 32 .7 billon U. S . dollar, which increased

by 11 .4 ~ th~n that of the year before ; the national income was 13.3 billion U. S. dollars, which increa ­ sed by 7. 6~ than that of the year oefore; the total social ou tput value in the countryside reached 18.5 billion U. S . dollars, which increased by 19 . 4% -.nan that of the year before. lhwever , the potentiality of the a~ricultural developmen t is still quick big.

-1-- •

1.03 The focal point of the developing strategy of

agriculture in Shandong Province, in the future , is

to do a good job on the agricultural development of

the big three stretches of land. The first stretch

is the existing 4. 7 million hactares of middlea and lbw yield land which needs a good job totranform. The second s tretch is the 2 .7 million hactare of ·

wast land centered in the Yi meng mountain area whiah

needs development. Th. rough the developmw.. of live -

stock, forestry and fruit , the production will be

opened up widely and deeply and the products of li­

vestock and forestry will be increased in a big sca­ le. The third stretch is the t wo million hactare of

S hallow S da and seabeach and t he 240, 000 hactares

of in land water which need development to increase

aquatic products in a large way.

1.04 T~is proje ct includes three sub- projects. 7 h ey

are the breeding of power and valuable sea products

; the transformation of middle and low yield land

along the Tu hai River Va lley , and the development of

livestock. ~ hese three sub-projects were made out

based on t he a g ricultural development strategy in

-2- Shandong Province and they are located separately. at the three stretches of land that have the largeat potentiality for development. They are the most imp \ ortant parts in the three stretches of land for de­ velopment. •1.05 This project shall have comprehensive develo­ pment and contruction in aquatic products, livestock , forestry, planting and water conservancy in twen­ ty- four countries. When the project is put into full production, the agricultural output value will be increased by over two hundred and seventy million 7 ~ U.S. dollars in a normal year. This will make bene - fits to a population of 14,390,000 in the project areas. 2. A SPrvey of Shandong Province 1.06 Shandong P-avince is located on the eastc of China and the lower reaches of the Yel low River, at 114° 50 ' - 122° 50 ' E and 34° 30 '-38° 15' N. It con­ sists of a peninsula and the inland.Th e peninsisula i s extended out between the Yellow Sea and the Bohai S~a, facing the Liaodong P~ninsula across the Bohai Sea,Its i nland borders on Hebei, Henan , Anhui

-3- and Jiangsu Provinces. 1he Yellow Ri ver flows

through provinces. with six hundred and seventeen ki­ lometers and six hundred and thirty kilometers of the Jinghang Great Canal. The whole province is more than seven hundred kilometers from the east to the west aad over four hundred kilomters from the south to the north. The coastline is more than three thousand ki­ lometers making up the one sixth of the national coa­ stline. The sea beach area is about 2,000,000 hactr tres. Its total land area is 156 , 700 square kilo­ meters occupying 1.6% of the country. Among them, the \ plain is 55%, the mountain region is 20%~ tJie hilly l area is 1.1 %. By the end of 1986, the population of the province is 77 , 760,000, ranking the third place in the country. The agricultural population is 67,970, 000 87. 4% ~f the provincial population. 1. 07 A~ministrative Division ~handong Province has ten prefectural level cities

which are governed directly by the provincial go­

vernment,and 5 prefectures, 135 counties, cities ans districts.

-4- 1.08 Natural Climate

Shandong Province is at the zone of ~arm mon­ soon climate. It has an annual average temperature of 11 uc - 14°c, increasing from the peninsula to the inland. The hottest month is July inwhich the

4 0 average temperature is 24.5 C - 27.5 C. The coldest month is January inwhich the average temperature is -1cO - -4 0 C. The annual frost-free peroik is between

180 and 220 days The annual rainfall is 550 - 950 mm and the variable rate is between 12% and 25%, 60 - 70% of the rainfall concentrates in Summer. The an­ nual average water flow on the surface of· the earth is 26,400,000,000 m3, and the water that can be used is 6,450,000,000 m3. The annual average flow of the Yellow River is about 47.000,000,000 m3 and the an­ nual average flow is 6,500,000,000 m3. The water re­ source under the earth is about 16,300,000,000 m3 and the qauntity that can .be opened up is 13,500,0 00,000 m3. Due to the proper temperature, enough sunshine, rich hot energy, good water resource and the rain-warm period, the condition is good for many plants.

1.09 Communications -5- . ,

B11 ,1lc Conditions of !';hnndong l'rovince

Ta~l~_ 1-=--1 .. Description Qty Description Qty l)escrlptlon Qty

Total area 15, 670, 000 hP.ctares To tal cotton output 940 , 700 tons Sh1llow sna beach area 1,933 ,100 hectares

Cultivated are1 6 , 964 , 400 hr.ctares Total oil crop out- put 207, 600 tons Length of cvast line 3 , 000 km

Population rn , 763 , 600 Total moot output 1 , 41 7 , 800 t ons Grain Unit output 3 ,8110 k~/hect Are

Among them : Total poultry~ eggs 696 , 6110 tons Cotton unit output 930 kg/hect1-1re . Agricultural -- population G7 , 971 , ?00 Total milk output 170, 050 tons Fa rm Labour,.!'. ?3 , 53G , 300 Cott on, ~ool output 10, ?24 tons No • of villagE a To t al output of & towns ? , 119? aquatic pr oducts 9111 , 1\10 tons No - of ad.mini- strative villE ges 89 , 188 Total output of frui sl , 9-i1 , 3!>0 tons Total value of a;sriculturE USi9 , 7D9 ,000, 000 Irrigated area 4, 5116 ,800 hcctnres Among i t: Among it:

Crop-grow USS6 ,879, 000, 0'Xl by surfnce watcr 2, 6111 , ?00 ru etnrcs

Forest USS 34 1 , 001) , 000 by under0 rounl wntur 1,93?, 600 huctnres AnlmaL Husbandry UsS>1 , 6h9, 010,010 No - of r,W'lpe-1 walls 6?? , 610

Fishery l)!;SI 435 ,000 ,000 Area suiLnble for '} , 7 .n , 300 h

I\Vt: u~~ 11.._: 1.o " V ...... V income ·ier f1rn hr us,; 1?'J. 77/y¥•r 3rass1 ·tr, I ·trea 3, 48'> , 9'l0 hN: t,1 res

Total ~r:lin out S, ?S') , l':l) t.ons • np t

!lot,1: t"irtt:i•1l·,n l :,r,~:• inc.lo it!!' ;r~S!il•tnd in f or,?!l t• -6- ,

The province is convenient is communication. By the end of 1986, it had had over 2040 Km of mileage of railway, excluding the main raiways such as Jinghu and Jiaoji, it also has Lanyan, Yanshi and so on. Highways radiate in all:;direc­ tmons and the mileage stretchs 3700 Km. The in­ land river line is 1840 Km. Along the coast there are Qingdao, Yantai, Longkou, Weihai and Shijiu, the cities and ports that opened to the foreign countries. Among them Qingdao and Yantai are im­ portant ports of foreign trade in our country

with annual handling capacity of 26,000,000 and 7,000 , 000 tons respectively.

3. The Present Status of Agriculture

1.10 Since the establishment of the People ' s Re ­ public of China,especially since the year 1978, the agricultureal economy of Shandong Province has developed greatly. Calculated on the price of 1986, the social gross output value of the coun­ tryside in the whole province was18.49 billion US dollars and increased by 19.4% than that of the year before; among it the gross agricultural ~V~n p or 7, b ·-7'- output Talue wa s 9. 71 billion US dollars and in-

c1reased by 7. 7 % than that of the y ear before.

I '1 • 1 1 Agriculture is one of the most i mportant enomic department of Sha ndong Province. The gross

• ,fl/fllltllllllt• africultural ouput value occupies 1/3 of the gross social output value of the whole province. After 1978 , the main a gricultural production and operatin form in Shandong Province is contracted operation in connection with the output by the farming house­

holds. In recent yea rs, a lot o f spe cial agricul­ t ural households and new economic associated units have been formed. I n 1986 the Province has 344600 of various kinds of speial houseijolds and 48000 of new economic associated units. During the recent years, the commercia l economy of agriculture in Shandong Province is developing very fast , the com mercial rate of agricultural products of the whmle

y ear in 1986 reached 57 . 3%. The deta ils of Sha ndon Province see Chart 1-1.

·-8- 1

I 1.12 Crop Growing

The crop growimg in the province is mainly food cr op growing. Of about 7000000b..ectares of J-rable land, the food cr op fields take 6? per cent. Food crop mainly refers to wheat, maize and sweet potato, their outputs are listed be­ low:

Unit: 10,000 ton&

Time 1949 1978 1986 Varity wheat 2. 21 8 .03 1 , . 62 rnaiz,e 0.88 6.1 2 10.16 sweet 1,1ota to 1. 31 6.61 4

Th,e production of cash crop and others in the province 5 ets a ra.1,,id devel0.1,Jlllent . The plant­ ing area. and the output of cotton, 1,eanut and fruit i1n Shandong both take the first place in the cou1ntry. '£heir outvut can be seen in the table b1elow:

·-9- Unit·. thousand tons l Time varity 1949 1978 1986 Cotton 81 154 941 y' Peanut 541 939 2047 ------· Fruit 250 1530 2000 1

1.1 3 Forestry

The area of afforestation has expanded r a­ pidly in recent years. For example, the afforest­ ed area of 223000 hectares was made in 1986. So i t totally gets to 1823000 hectares. ~he rat e o! forest covering arrives at 13.2 per cent in 1986 from 9. 2 per cent of 197~. The stor age of wood goes to 43999 thousand cubic meters from 23199 thousand cubic meters. The gross forestry out­ ~ut is 3400 million dollars, taking 3. 5 ~er cent of the gross agricultural out~ut value. But there is still much land suitable for affor est­ ation waited to be utilized. Wood supplies can' t meet the need by far. 4. Service in Support and Help 1.1 4 Animal husbandry

The animal husbandry in the province for a long time is mainly household raising of domestic animal and poultry, such as ho5 s and so on. In last few year ~eople took note to raise sheep, rabbit , and so on, but this is only at beginning.

-1 0- There are 5rea t 1-1otentiali ties waited to b.ring 1 out. The gross aniwal husbandry output value in 1986 gets 1688?60 thousand dollars , the inform­ ation is listed helow:

Calculated at end of the year. Unit: thousand Time varity 1949 1986 198b to 1949 + % Draught aniI.Oal 3907 4801 22.9 Shee1-1 1403 9853 602.3 Rabbit 1403 17758 Hog 2700 1 b689 518. 1

1.15 Fishery

~he output of aquatic product in 1986 is 914 thousand tons , increasing 23.? per cent over <' that of 1978, and gets the third place in the country, of which aea fishing takes 65 . 6 per cent, f sea cultivation, 22.6 per cent and fresh water fishery , 11 . 8 1-1er cent. The gross fishery out1-1ut value is 43470 thousand dollars in 1986 , increas­ ing 47.5 ~er cent over that of 1978 , taking 4.5 per cent of the gross agricultural out~ut value in the 1-1rovince.

1.16 water Conservancy

. - 1 1 - By 1986 in the yrovince, there ~re 5489 reservoirs with the total ca~acity of more than 151000 million cubic metres, about 62 thousand tube wells with total pumping amount of 82.5 billion cubic meters. And along the Yellow River, there are 41 culvert s luices, 26 sites •of siphon, and 33 pumping stations with annual average amount of 70 billion cubic meters. The irrigated area in the province expands to more than 4500 thousand hectares in 1986 taking 65 per cent of total cultivated area in the pro­ vince, of which 2614 thousand hectares is water­ ed by surface water and 1933 thousand hectares, by groundwater.

1.17 Farm Machinery

RJ 1986, the total ~ower of farm machinery. reaches more than 25000 thousand kilowatts, increas­ ing 72 per cent over 1978. There are 136 thousand tractors of large-size and medium-sized, and 321 thousand small tractors, 40 thousand trucks for farm use, and 1137 thousand ~ower manchines.

1.18 Auxiliary Service

Education of agricu1tural technology and science There is an agriculture academy in the province in charge of key research. The de~artments of such as agriculture, forestry,

-12- water conservancy and aquatic product, all have their own special units of science research, which preside over and harmonize science reseach. The scienti.fic and technical personnel in the field of agriculture increases every year. The rank of technique spreading has b,een enlarged continuously in the province. Service in vari.ous ways and at different levels, such as experiments, demonstration, technical training and consultation, is undertaken. But there is much room to improve in technical service. Remarkably, it is short of hands, lack of apvara­ tus and backward method of s.1:,>reading the service. Education makes steady progress in the reform­ ation. In 1986, there are universities, colleges, polytechnic schools of 276, and graduates of 52 r t housand. These colleges----- and school- sup1,1ly much .t1ersonn.el in S.1Jecial field to agriculture every year. Besides, there are 2500 colleges, poly­ technic schools, skill training school and middle school for ~easants, which training 330 thousand ~easants with special skilL every year.

1. 19 Production of im1-roved vari ty of seedling and breeding

There are about 140 farms for fine breed in the ~rovince , which can annually su1>.1:,>ly ?924 tons of im.1:,>roved seed. There are 30 state studs

-1 3-- which can annually supi,,ly 16 thousand breeding stocks, and 6 poultry farms for fine var ity, which can annually sui,,ply improved ~oultry of 2127 thousand. There are 1,3 grounds for nur ser y of young !Jlants , which can annually supply sa pling of 50000 thousand. And ther e are sapings of · 1 5000 milliom b.y individuals. And there a re kept areas of 95 thousand cubic meters for faising of prawn fries and some other things which can annually turn out fries of 20 billion. The production of breeding and varity improving needs enlarging with development of production.

1.20 Production of feed

In the ~rovince, the materials from which the 1,ilant feed is made are maive , bran and so on, the total amount of its resource can he ~600 thousand tons. The bait materials needed in br eed­ ing are mainly mussel and low-valued fish shrim!J and shellfish. There is a ra,l)id i,,rogress in the product~on of mixed and appostioned feed. The output of the mixed feed is 1,30 thousand tons in 1986 ..

1. 21 Pirevention and care of seasonal Febrile D:Lsease

ThE~re are S}'ecial unit of i,,revention and

-J 4 - . cure in agricult ura l branches at all levels for reducing the harm Ula.de by ~lant disease and in­ sect peists. 'vie took 1,1ains to S!'read saft and quick-a.cting farm chemicals, and got a good re­ sults. But the demant of such kind chemicals exceeds the su1'1'1Y in the country, and quite a , lot of thew are de.Pendent an im1,1ort.

1.22 su~plying of Goods and Materials

The goods and Ula t erials needed in a~ricul­ ture are in planned su1,1yly linked with the ad­ justment of market nowadays.

-1 5- evince go vernment increases 22.4 per cent over that of 1985. The funds allocated as supparting I a griculture funds and operating experses, in ! .1 I 1986 , increases 17 . 5 per cent over 1985. The ag­ ricultural loan supplied by banks of all levels a nd credit cooperation is big increased, two. 5. Forming of the project

1.25 The development of the middle and low yi­ eld land in the basin of Tu Hai River is a follo w up item to The I tem of Agriculture in H~a bei plain. And the follow-up item is set up in 1983, and the i tern of developing a nin::11 a nd breeding of sea cucumbe r are set up 1985 a nd 1986 respec­ tively .

1. 26 Twenty- four counties (cities, regions) , where the project Will be carried, are chosen. Of which 12 counties f citiesl a re involued in the item of transformation of low-yield land in 'Pu Hai Hiver basin, 8 counties (cities) a r e in­ valued in the item of developing animal husban­ dry , and 6 counties and regions (of which t wo counties, Wudi and Zhouhua are also concerned i n the item of Tu Hai ~iverl .

- 1 7- Why the 24 counties are chosen? The reason is: (1) The low-yield land in Tu Hai River basin takes about 20 per cent of the middle and low yield land in the province. The area there is alluvial plain by the Yellow River with rich wa­ ·ter and land, and there are some bas.ic installa­ tcion.s there. Besides the experience of "The I tem of Agriculture in ffoabei Plain" has been obtain­ ed. Production will be raised by transformation. (2) Yi meng mountain region is one of the eight­ e en poor regions in the country . I n recent years, the central government and the province go vernme­ nt go ve it the priority to support . The area, ta­ king more than 30 per cent of the total unculti­ vated land in the province, is rich in feed res­ ources. ~f'he people there have the experience of raisi ng livestock. ,· he loan of t he World Bank used to develop animal husbandry will be sure t o speed up the pace in helping people there obtain a well-off life from the poor. (3) Laizhou bay and the delta of be Yellow R~­ ve r take more than 70 per cent of the coastal

-1 8- shallous in the province. The area, where the Hu­ ang sea and the Bohai sea join, is very favoura­ ble for breed high-valued aquatics and has great potentiabilities. The local government and people there consider the development of coastal shall- ~ws as a way to make economy thrive. So the deve­ lopment of breeding p~awn and high- valued aquati­ cs in the six counties Will give a pash to the development at all the shallows. 1. 27 The ~r e j ect is planned and prepared by us with the people.in the counties cou aerned. It is ~ under the guidence of the Programme Commettee of China, the Ministry of Finance, the Mi nistry of A&riculture Animal Husbandry and Fishery and un­ der the direct leadship of the province government, organized by the Programme Committee of Shandong Province, participated by the Finance Department, the Agriculture Department the Water conservancy Deprsment the Fo restry Depastment , the Aguatic Produi t Bureau , and the Animal Husbandry Bureau. P. very county co ncerned has made the plan With data· means of engineering and charts.

- 1 9- 1.28 Some people engaged are organized to do the work of dividing agricultural area and terri­ tory progr amme from 1979 on the basis of that in ~h e pr ovince. The long-term and middle- term plans of agricultur al development, such as "programme ab0ut the transformation of middle and low- yield land of 40000 thousand mu along the Yellow River", "Programme about the Development of Animal husba­ ndry in Shandong Province", " Programm e about De­

11 velopment of Forestry in Shandong Pro'lince , "Pr­ ogramme about Development of Coastal Region of Bohai sea" , "Programme about the Development of the Del ta of the Yellow River", "Overall plan of the Development of Island" , "Plan of five years about the sea Breeding".are formed successively. The Project of Agricultural Comprehensive De velopme­ nts is founded on the basis of the programmes a nd plans mentioned above , and is accepted in the de­ veloping plan of national economy. The project was discussed with the representive of the World Bank and the person in charge of the pro ject held the first. talk on De cemb e r 1st to .3nd

-2 0- ~· '~" ·~,

Dintribution of Agricul turHl r.omproh1w:1i ve ·i,?velopment

i'rojocts :li:itricts in Sha,,1on..: :>ro·, incc , r.111nn

Table 2-1 Location in ltem ~ity Loca tlon in Cou11 ty & District

Total in tho Provine, 9 ;>4 Yn11tai city I'englai County , Ch11nu<1ao r.011nty

Pruwn ~ Sea foo1s Jaif'ani: city Han ting l)i.!' tri .;t Url"e.!in5 Donjying city Hokou District Huirnin~ '.>istrict 7.hiwh ,a r:o,1n t:,, /uli County

lluiming Development ,)f ,JLs trict llinzhou '!i ty, lluimlnt:• v,rn xin t: , ~hnnhua nnrl Wuli r.oun ties Mi cl Hc t Low output I 1)1),\hOU fie 11 in ttl•' Tuhni :Hstrict Jlyan County , Sh'\n~11<) '!o•m ty Hi ,·Pr r~ ~ion r.1,1ochP.11.J ')i:itrict Chiping, r.·1ot,1n~, ')onu,!r, v"ln~d'I un I Xinxl'ln Counties , ~RO/..hUftntl ,\nim·tl Hu sh·111'1r:, Ci ty Tcn~xi'ln 1·011nt:1

lnv~ lo ;imcn t i'11i An city I.aiwu City

Lin3yi 'H!ltrict Yishui , y in·rn, v1yu·111 , M'ln;;:1in , i'lnyi •1n•I 1·'Pi xian Coun tics

-2 , _ 1987, in Beijing. The people from the Programme Committee of China, the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Agriculture, Animal husbandry a­ nd Forestry were present. The representive of the World Bank confirmed the project and at the same ·time put forward some valuable proposals. The project has been revised and complemented accord­ ing to the proposals. Some of the minor items in­ cluded in the project have been read1~sted.

]:. The lnformation of the areas where the project is to be carried out 1. Location 2.0 1 The project revolves 24 counties (cities r egions) , see Table 2-1. 2.Climate

2 . 02 The areas concerned with the project, all belong to the monsoon climate of temperate zone. The detailed information of precipitation, and s ome other things ca n be found in Table 2-2.

3. Topography a nd Soil

2.03 The twelve counties in t he basin of the Tu

-22- Hcd River are all si tnn ted on the alluvial plain with an elevation of 0-45 meters. The height reduce successinely from south-west to north-east up to the Bohai Sea. The average slope fall is 1/10000 ( basic level of the Huang Sea, the same below), it marked at 3 meters of land elevation. The to­ pography of hillock alternating with depression has been formed because of influence of the Ye­ llow River, which had many times busted the banks and changed its course. According to the statis­ tice, highland covers 25. 9 percent of the total, hillside field, 54. 5 percent, depression, 14.9 percent and seabeach, 4. 7 percent. The soil in the basin is mostly saline-alkali. Observed from the surface soil, loam takes 69 . 4 percent of the total, clay, 18.2 percent, and sandy soil, J2.4 percent. I n the cul ti va ted soil la.yer, nitrogen is less than 60 ppm, quilk-acting phosphorus is less than 5 ppm , organil matter is usually less than 1 per cent, quick-acting potassium is be­ tween 50-1 50 ppm . Of the total area of kilometers, containing cultivated land of 750 thousand hec-

·-2 3- tares i n the counties concerned, there is 213 thousand hectare which is subject to harm of sa­ linization at di fferent degr ees a nd 105 thousand hectaresis often hit by flood . Besides, ther e is discarted land of 130 thousand hectar es. The im­ formation can be found in Table 2- 3. 2. 04 The eight counties concerned with develop­ me nt of animal husbandry are in Yim.e ng mou ntain region, with an elevation above 500 meters. The region concerned, with various landforms, can be devided into mountain area, hillside , slope, and small pieces of plain. The total area of the pro­ ject in the eight counties is 139 . 52 thousand hectares of which there is cultivated land 480 thousand hectares, and grass land of 450 thousand hectares. There are great potentiabilities of the development of animal husbandry. The imformation see Table 2- 4. 2.05 The four counties, concerned by the item of breeding prawn, are situated in the d3lta of the Yellow River and the coastal area of Laizhou BAy , with an elevation of 0- 8 . 4 meters. The ter- . 1 l , J .., •

MeteorologicAl DAtA of VArious l'rojnct llistricts ,,.,,, .... . ,.,. 11\nnual Pro~t lt>S Table 2-? I 1? lr\ver11ge pcrioti 1, 8 9 10 11 I 5 6 1 I }- - . , ? 3 4 ( . c .z..)·.)" I 11/-. .:i i -/. C 1~.J .:i )- 'l. 2,U Jo.> ,. i; JJ .t _,)J,t ~ -J.4 - 0-7 f s't , -c. e ;~-/.I Average temperAtur e 1'C ) J.J,.:, ~r.t :t.r; I i. c-J ! tit, J -3.'f- /1) ,6+ (}._) The Tuhai River Project -d 1-.r 11.1 . / .~ - C, J I J. .?J I .:14-, 2. 2,l .c 2, )'', 11 :i.•.? ; I District -l•J - ,.2- ,.3 /J.'f /? t V) - ... • - n ... -.-:1 ,, ,,-... o Y'J-,:-",.,,- ~,:- 3\r ! t-; rA l I j I , ,- I i11. 0 . rJ.J >;,, )) I / 14-• , /.I I ;>J-} I .30.J 7;./ /JI. t 11]7'3 I . ~5- 7,7 / <>./ {22." i 3,;,.S n. .:.i ,171 i-1-4 ??) : n.5 'l· ') 1 ''t-· j I :r-8 ?./ I o. I Jl.'/ J) 2 ~·5· t : .:l ~q ·/ l l ·t 41-7 ,'•o.J ;i,1/.5 ,rs I s1. -t I 9./ /.:l.) I P,1 I•.'j j I I I I i I ,; )..'\ J '· j 2. q- 2.<'rt,.J ;Jl /.:, IL,)·'t l-3';./ ,11 j ,Pt.6 ~ 7Y,} ,n.7 rrt;.1, i I n It 6J• 'r 1,Jz,S I 1-4},7 '2J7 .t I tJ·o. 41 /1, ;)•7 ;l/,J I "'J./ sJ.~ 'l'r) 1f? Y ;z.}7 ~ ,.).4 1t0 I ~. f.7 H} rJ.Y ,7.s) ! ! 1 l, 0 2•2·Y ' 17,.; I .4- .r3.7 'J.J·J I J /. / 2-17,) i.Sl·" I . . i I ,s;.~ , 11 ~;,., ~,;/ ,, ;.I ,,;.J I 1<:d ,.,..; j,1/•.J i :, 2 ?.It 7 ,J:d ·· -'~.1 ,1-~·1' ).?/. I • 1t 2}f.1 .J ?.) · J I .> 4c.1 ! I ,),) 1 /) /,/ / 1/ ) l.J)4-. \ 24 o. J 17• I . I . I ; f) J, ).. !~'1·3 i 19?.'S • / ./ •)',,} :,~).j .<·l.J • .~/.J ./i .,,U j ,., .' I /j,.;, ) 1.,>l,7t,,? _, /.) 1 0 ( I • • .,. 25- ~I / .\ ~ • \ I lb, Y" ~,!./ n., trlc t Avo,..r, -ro lo' t • ~ ,,. .... -- .

hasic t;und i t1on~ o f l'rojec t Counties for he f orming Midrlle & Low uu tput Farmland in the Tuhui lti ver ttegi on

Table 2-3 IJ r,i t: u - (/) Q) .. I ., : , ; - Cl> C C +' ~ ::, I I I ::, I l\() h ·, C 8 .... ,.. as ...... UI .., •I\Oh• 0 +' al ., II, h ..-< h Ill ...... , ...... , 0.. ~ ~. 'O De scrip- Q) 0 I.> ..... ::, al ., m cl "" 'O .c ti)+> .... r,o..-< > .• :,, ol ., g::,., .., Q) ~+' ::, 0 C 1-, 0. tion +' I.> ... > a, ., +' 0 0::, 0::, ha. h ::, fl)~ ... +' .... +' ., ,8 Cl) UJ ..... > ., 0 E Ill .... cl 1-, h+' ..... h .... co (/) .... <\l "'> Q) h Ill Ill a, Ill .... ., ... +> ,o ... >,~ > ... h +' u ...... , Q) Cl! E o, > Ill a, +' 0 t.? '1) ,.:.~> ... ::, ::, t>D+' "° ::, .... ::, 0 ...... , +' ., ...... , 00 ... 0. I\() I ::, (/) > ., h > a, E o, rl ::, lllrlh V) ;.. o e Q) ::, "°CE ::, 4l C : .... Q) oJ a. .... 0. .., .... 0 h +i ...... "° h ... o .., .... +' C 0. 0. ., E 'd o e +' +' ... 0 +' ..00 a, a, +' 0 h ,... en ~. cl 0 0. Oh..0 • tl())< e > +' 0 S.., +' +> a, +' " a. E-< Ill 0 al 0 0::,::, 0 0 +> h +' .., ::, 0::, 00 0~ h 4l C a, ::, ... E-< 0 E al al ~ c~a,::, Q) C: Ct1 0::, (!) p. cl ;.-!; ,-t +> !;'!~~ I,-< 0 0 fl h ::, 0::, 00 e-<0 t.) :,, E-< +' Z·rt ~ t.) .... r...... a, t.) 0 ... a. ..0 a. ;:...... '-'-. &-'O ~'~ E-< 10000 hOOOO 10000 10000 10000 ~OOmil 100mi l 100mil100mil . Yuan110000 10000 1000D h00001000010000Yuan Unit hec . hec . hec. uan Yuon IYu a n Yuan year tons tons tons ton tonj hec . hec. yea/' 1 I Total 144. 46 74.11 .r.i.o3 5'ff. 37 ,.to. ?J '°'-l~ ;i;;iJ- ra.-is-- ~J.88 ~1-1 a 0 ·il 3.1,7 2eo.36 ::z::i .32 ,.ol 1047 9-1 011.2.1 z4. ~ I, t .3 0.07 ().42 43S.82 :37-os 2,11 0.$8 ()/!9 o.J!, t.J Xinxian County 1!3. 88 8.67 7, 00 li,S-6 74-17 2t. 67 28 113 7 4.S? 3.7.r ,21 ~ ,,{, 0.0 9 o.H· 3f.i-3! .n.1° .?.16 /. •4 0. 67 o-7i' °.? , Yanggu County Io. .t/8 6.85 £1.J 64. /{} {,oJO 19. I (} 2/ 8rc .JJ7 ~- 0--' I .f,fc 1.11 0.12 O.Z8 3 '!6.'2 20.37 1.48 0.43 119 o.52 (). 71 0.71 Denger County 1.14 4 . fS 3.65' .)7.71 34.?6 /~.Jo 14 2 .Z2

o. ,s 0.50 20.41 2.78 o.U 174 0 0. 09 0.73 Gaotang County r.'fs 6f{ 5.fh 41. 63 3f: 73 14. 71 If 746 3. 76 /) . 99 4?7. 51, 56

0,60 o.J6 , .02 2.88 0.17 ()_lj" 3g£.1!> 23.2S 1.14 IJ t.4Y Jiyang County /0, ?{, 6-~r 3.64 47, /6 4"1. 73 I'/. '19 2o 94/ 3. f4

2. iS 2. 4l I>. 06 l> .28 3'Jt}o 3/.46 2.IS o.76 21 o.H J. le 2.}'f Shanghe County I/. fJ 7-16 4,74 S3. 16 S-<>.4-1 21. 71 22 H8 ,. 2/ 3.59 3_28 o. Io o. 34- 413.94 .?J.1j c.4G o.6~ 16 <>_61> 1-42 Huimin County 13.t{, 7. 4'f ,4,l6 57_ ,7 j).91 23.2f i? I 12S2 ; 20 / .lf 14,Jh 13 817 ,.a, I. 40 o. o; 0. 25 2'/?. IPi l'/.78 0. 9i! 0.43 o.?1 o.ar Yangxin County S. 11 4_6G 2.30 3'/.12 )7.47

2 .31 ,.p o.o3 0. 17 46f.8? 17. 7( /. 6<> o.2 / 34. o.t'I 0./2 l.5i B1nzhou City 9.6f 4.32 ). 40 4j. 33 33.7° / 3. 41 (6 857

7 , . 82 ,8 I .Sf; /./b 0. o4 a27 370. fo I J. 67 o.s o.42 ~/ 2.ob b. () . Wuli County 17.n $.46 2.rr 3?,24 37.26 ,,.gs s8r

O.b5 f. ) j I . 0 . 02 o.2z 281_ 10 JI. 54 o. 89 o.3o 0.3! 3,.43 I I. 16 IS- H 3 2.fl 'if I1r Zhanhuo County 17, 63 5. 37 2. 72 3S.52 - . -' ' - ~~ ' , .1 rain there slopes gently , and somewhere hollowl , the fall of slope is 1/7000-1/10000. The soil th­ ere is mostly saline. The seaheach of the type o f sand and silt there is the largest tract in the province , are especially favou rabl e i n breeding pro• wn, fish and shellfish in beach. Changdao coun- ty and Penglai County face each other across s~a. Ther e is a very large sea area near the two coun­ ties which is favourable in breeding high- valued aquatics. Please see Ta ble 2-5 , if for more imfor­ mation.

4. Population, Land and Villages

2 . 06 In the regions concerned, there are 464 small towns, 1880 administrative villages and the population of 13600 thousand, of which agricultu­ ral population of 12600 thousand takes 92. 5 per cent of the total . There is cultivated land of 1330 thousand hectares, 9ne person averages 0.11 hectare of land, and one household, 0 . 49 hectare.

5. Resources and the Present Condition

2 . 0 7 The Area concerned by the Item of Hu Hai

-27- ..

l!Bs!c Con:H Uo:1,i of Various i'rojoct " ounti•is for !'rnwn ~ S•lafood Br<'et!ini<

Teble 2- 5

Total Cultivated Totttl ·. ·non~ it: Farm No . or No . of Totnl ,,;ricultural villages /lclmini:itrA- ngriculturn nrea nr" ~ population ~opulntion labourer & towns tivo village output , ~lu ~ 10 000 1 100 Unit • 0 , 00:> 10 000 10 000 10 000 million 9-) hectnres h

-? "- .. . ~

I I Am ong it: Ne t a verAge Aq uAt ic Le ngth of Area o f llench Userl are11 f ishe ry income per pr oducts out put coast line ShRllow s ea Ar eR of hcach value f a rm e r ou tput

19 million yunn/y11A r 1 ,ooo tons km 10 , 000 10, 000 10,000 yuan hect a res hectares hectares 1,82 1?2,1 2 775,93 48 , 96 ~ 33, 6? 7, 47 ' 0 , 18 390 . 90 19 , 80 102 10 8 , 06 1, 20 Cf 0 , 24 289 , 90 21 . 50 170 , 5 6 17, 14 1. 00 0 ,1 6 550- 70 4 , 26 20 ? , 5 1 ,87 1. 00 0 , 03 365 -50 0 , 76 254, 37 ? , 13 6, '1'> ? -67 0, 88 1636- 14 4'> ,49 142.8 24 0 , 02 0 , 67 0 . 33 496, 88 30, 31 86 , ?6 2. 33 O, Ofl 0 . 93

-2 9- ·------~------~--. 7 I,, .. - . .,., ...... "- .,.,,... 0.., Grassland Ar aA 10,000 ~ ..... ~ '6 .,_ hectar es ~ - ~ - <\:. ..,; .,; ""<, <"': :..; <.~ ,,,:..- C) Are11 su.1 table for forest ,._ .... "- <>--"' "' "'Q ~ ... 10 , 000 hectares -..; .;.. ~ " "'-..;- ~ ~- <::- ~., ·..:.- "' "' ,._ TotAl ~ \1001 '<> ..... cotton output (tonl ~ ..,, -l- ~ .. ~ - 'C- ~ .... N "" - .·-. --- ,._ S), ... -. .,._ Tot!ll milk ... ",...... output 1,000 tons - .,; ~ "' "' ·- ~ ~ .,; ~ ..:. - .. - "..... ~- Tot11l poultry & eggs output '-<> -. ..,, ... Q ':2, ~ ...... ;. "~ "' "' "" .,., 1,000 tons ,..._ ...;, ...."· ...; "'.,..., <, .., - ' -. C TotRl meat output , ...... "' .... .,. ·- .., a, 10 000 tons ... :: .,. ~ .::; E ~ ..;- -: == Q...... :. ..:. ~ ..; ..,.;"' 0 'l§"- ,...... ,- .... TotAl grain output ...... !! "' a, 10 , 000 ....; ' .,:"' -=>. ,; "".,.; ...;_ > tons ~ - ... '> " .. ~ ,.. a, "' :?." ~ ... C: "' "' AverAge income per farmer ~- ~ ~ .: .; ~ ~ .... ~ >, ~ <>,; ..; "' ...... , 'j -:,:.Q ..... ( yuan/yeAr ) ... r--.. ~ "'-'<> ... "'~ .... ~ .... <, 'O '"' ... " C - ..... <..,"' .... ,..._...... ,.., .... -<> Among it : anim11l hush11 ndry ...., '>" <>- "' s:,. <>- -+ .c"'.., outout value ( 10 million vu11n l r..:.. .-. .; """c,; cs C) ..:." ..:. :s :,: Total agricultural output value .,_...... ,.," .,._ .... -... ~ ';.' " ...... ( 100 million yu11n} ...:. .-.; ... ,.:. <>:- -"'.,; .;: ,".,. - ~ ..,. :s ~.;. - ;;: ~ ~ ':'.;' .,_ 0 populat ion 10, 0 00 v.; ....;- ,,.:. ...; "' t: -~ .,_ ...... ~ ~ .....,.. : / ...,; " .., ...... , ,.. , .... V\ "'"' - <> trotal population 10, 000 ..;, "", "' ... "'O ' .;.. ,...:. rn .. :s .... - .I ._, ...... '5 V, lrot11l area .::; 0-, ....0 10, 000 hect11res '.2 ...... "' ...... ~ ~ .,;. · ,...., ·' ~-- <:) a: ..... -'"::'. .. ;-;,.." ' -~ i . . :--. ,:-,, . f > .... 0 rn C ...,0...... C 'O 0 C ..... 0 ... <..> ....Q. <> ... I ...,... <> ., a, cQ c:,"'

..,>, CY ~~ >, :,...... C >, .... C ,.... I ::, C :s j .... ('\j :s 0 C ,.. .., 0 j 0 <..> c; :s .., C c; Cl> ... <..> 0 ... ::,., C C C <..> <: 0 ....p <> Cl> .,... Q) C•.' a, .., .... :s >, . .,.., C .., ~ .. ... :s al ..c t:O >< >, :> ~ e--"' 0 :s ...... rn ~ C C C 1-, 0 C 0 ...... p., ::, ·--< .... CJ e-- >- i >- i C. ,-1 f-- ~ 1 Water resource is rich in the area, but only the cultivated land of 520 thousand hectares from the total of 750 thousand hectares can be irrigated. Of the watered field, 370 thousand hectares is ir­ rigated by surface water.

· The precipitation there is 611 mm, most of wh­ ich flows into the Bo hai Sea. The irrigation is mainly depent on the water drawn from the Yellow River. Mea ns of the Yellow River can be found in

Apprendix 1. fresh basin of Tu Hai River, the area of sha­ llow groundwater of 500 thousand hectares, takes ~ 34. 9 per cent of region's area. The l evel of gr- oundwater is usually at 2-6 meter. The changing range in the spared season is between 1-4 meters. The total amount of groundwater there is 32000 millon cubic meters, of which 17000 million cubic meters is available. The degree of mineralization is 2 g/1 . There are 48 thousand motor- pumped we ­ lls, which can irrigate fields of 150 thousand hectares. That is to say, 20 per cent of the cul­ tivated land there is watered by the motor- pumped wells.

-31- From 1965 to 1974, people harnessed the mains­ tream and major tributaries of the Tu Hai R~ver, according to ·the expectation of f.lood every 20 year, and of flood drainage every 5 year. No w the Tu Hai River has drainage capacity of 11 50 cubic meter/sec~nd. Many drainage ditches in the fields are made. A p~eliminary drainage system appears. But because the project don't form a complete set, ditches and rivers are seriously silted up, c~d the standard Qf the project is low, the capa­

~~ -Y of drainage is weakened, arod 105 thousand hectares of cultivated land is subjected to flood. · ··.In 12 counties in the basin of the Tu Hai River, there is area favourable for forest of more than 110 thousand hectares. There are some produ~ts renowned at home and abroad, for example, littie date of Leling, big date of Chaping, pear of Yang~ : xin. But now there is forest of only less than 60 thousand hectares. One person average only 15 ki­ logramme of fresh and dried fruit , far below the level of the province. It is so, much the worse with storage, processing and tran-

-3 2- sport of fruit. There are about 160 thousand hectares of saline­ alkali waste land in the region cG n cerned. There is a very large tract of natural me ado w, rich in grass of feed. There,. i5 fine varity of livestoc­ le in the region, such as Luxi ox, Buhai black cattle and Dezhou black Do nkey. At the momen t, the output of animal husbandry is lo w, the amount of livestock raised in 1986 is only less than 650 thousand vattle units, there is a potenliality of 400 thousand cattle units there.

2. 08 The Region concerned with De v elopment of Animal Husbandry

The area are rich in feed resouraes. The feed resources is estimated more than 2123, thousand tons in the 8 counties in 1986 , of which 1684 thousand tons was actually consumed by the livestock, a po ­ tentiality of 478 thousand tons is left. There is natural meadow of 223 thousand hectares, subsidiary mesdow of 236 thousand hectares. The amount of fresh grass resource is 3840 thousand tons which can hold 810 thousand cattle units. In

-33- 1985, 404 thousand cattle units kept in the eight counties, there is still a potentiality of 407 th­ ousand cattle units.

2.09 Th e Areas where prawn and high- valued aq­ uatics were breeded In the counties concerned with the prawn breed­ i ng there is coast line totally 547 kilometers, the shallow sea of more than 220 thousand hectares, shoal of tide belt and tide-free belt, more than 335 thousand hectares, of which 110 thousand hec­ tares is favourable for prawn. The sea water near

Hekou , the nitrate is 31 mg/1 nitrogen, 9 mg/1. The plant life of 54 10000 piece/cubic meter, and swimming arimal life of 250- 500 mg/1 are found th­ ere. The temperature of sea water annually changes between 0 -27 °c , and the annual surface temperature is 12 °c a veragely. The temperature is between 15- 250c during the growing period of prawn. Dissolved oxygen is about 6 mg/1 , and trahsparency is 0.5-1 .5 m. The area with fine water quality and without po-

-34- llution is favourable for prawn. In 1986, the area of prawn- breeding is less than 3400 hectar es i n the four counties and districts concerned, area of more than 95% which is favourable waits to be used, so there is a great potentiality. Nitrate i n the sea water there is 20. 83 mg/1 , the ammonia and nitrogen contained is 27. 84 mg/1 and planleton is 168X10000 piece/cubic meter. The annual. average temperature. is 11.8°c , and in sea water 10- 12°c. The transparency is 3-8m meters, dissolved oxygen, 5 . 5- 6. 8 mg/1 . The area, with fine water quality and without pollution , was famous for high- valued products in the history. This is a promising fature because of the culti- vated area so little.

-35- -1£. -

Grass Resources & AnimAl /\mount of Project Distr1ct3

- .... - - .., Amount o Ar.iount Description , resh ~nimal Ab e raised Raising Qty Grass to be in 1985 potentia Remark ~ounty (10 , 000k~IS ). r' a"Aatlised) ( hP.ad ) ( head )

Tota l of B :?~~-384160 J l o~q/ 4o.3 7t,7 4ct~ l8 Yis hue ~7,11~ g'.; 166 4~Ml 33')68 I I YiyuAn 4Jj12_ ... 7~12.§_ 4Ii/60 35~18 I_ _ __ _ ~lengyin 332fl ~li•3 3•S 00 21103 I , Lai wu 3•'fl1 81214 21!8.5 5l4•1 1rota.L 0 1 1, ~ -· ... , - '.... I I ies Along the ,nsb ,w:&_i 'l1 I/..:/, 31115 I ! a. u a1c.il. ' ""'- '¥• I 'l;nYian !fr4i4 11l.,S'71 51,S

~ YAnggu 41i35 d'lb'IZ 8~87~ 6/796 I l ' I Jiyan UJ4 / /.Sl,t3 J4Joo 14"-13 I ' Shanghe .iJ4i5 3JoU, 6?800 .z.J~ .

~700 Huiming ~~•7.s1 1 654),/, 17~--~= YAngxing ip_~~_J i~7~-I . .i/8~ ~ ~ .. _ ·- i:linzhou -·'J!i ~ ~~15/, , _!,l,oo~. @ }6 '. . . I 'lluli ·F0J-.__ ti]~~ .J _£7•:_•. _.1-6 74-=·.. I ~hanhua •: .'i : <"' /<:;S68 3£4.;c 4S'1)[ I - - . . I -·• ·•r '' o · -1 ..-;•)l:£ • , . , ·,q7, y::,.·-. .d.o4:-: ~1.:. "•-· · I ~ - ----+- '~-~d ·- _;_"711 ~ 3±2!± -254<34 1------+- t 601i J 1c,,l.5 :.. ~.;w l ~E'l ! ~ ~{ O,f_J 1 c E, ;:..:.;c I 3, i.1, --5 ' \.-____...._ _ • . - - ~"' ·--11 J ' • • • - ·- .., -- I _J I

Cl.) O> I Tahle ?. -7

lfaturAl AttAched TotAl GrR!'lS Gr~ss-

FRrm l~ncl (hectare) (h0ctare) (hectar e) Yishui 27221 26872 54093 Yinyan 40718 40?.40 80958 Yinan 40270 19071 59341 Mengyin 274 16 18284 45700 Pinyi 36660 21593 58?53 Fei xian 20998 35749 56747 Teng Xian 3321 6377 9698 Laiwu ?.6407 67367 93774

Total ?23011 ?.35553 458564

-3 7- 6 . :3·· r:~.c I:.stallations 2 . 10 There are totally twenty-one gates for drawing water from the Yellow Ri ver, twenty irri gated dis­ tricts, and three hundred and sixteen i r r igation cha­ nnels of 1660 kilometers in the counties concerned by the item of Tu H~i Ri ver. Besides , ther e a r e nursery gardens which can supply saplings of sixty- six million, while its capacity of thi rty- three million ; there are five farms for breeding stock which can supply stud stock of t wo thousand~seed-breeding stations . 2 . 11 I n the region concerned with the development of a nimal in the project, there a r e ten processing fac­ tories with annual capacity 97 , 500 T. ; ~ fur pr o c ,•iJsi n r f:1ct.ori~i, witr1 ; :j,) , OUU ? ruaucts annua lly ; j f eeds pliJ.r.t ~ w.i.Ln .~·, );~ T . aonual.l J ; ,., s -.ua sto_;,~ f;;.rms v.. iL:l c..:. Y·. r . 2 . 12 I n the area of pra wn and high- valued aquatics , there are prawn nursery water bodies of 7800 cubic meters , with t he capacity 1700 t ons . Ti,e processi ng capacity of feed is twenty- t wo thousand tons. Th e re is a nursery water body o f 14720 cubic me ters f or hi gh-va lued aquati cs, which has the capacity o f 16700 mill i on, tw e nty processing freezers , wi th t he

-3 8- capacity 7030 tons. 7. The Situation of Science and Trchnology According to the project of agricultural compre­ hensive development in ::5ha ndong Province. Ther e will be agricul tural technique stations for population of forestry technique, returinary stations for popu­ lation of fishery technique in every county. TGchni­ cians will get to more than 250. A~d the station for improving saline-alkali soil and the station for re­ search of prawn and high-valued aquatic also will be set up . he counties with institutes and colleges. 8. Water, Elec tricity and T~affic 2 . 14 Water

1~ the basin of the T•· H i. Ri ver , the flow of surf ace water is seven hundred a nd ninety million cubic meters, averaged from years. 7wo hundred mi­ llion cubic meters of water can r etai ned by the riv~r course. 'P:ie ground water available i s 1690 million within Shandong Province c ubic me t ers. ~~e flow of the Y~llow Ri ver~is 47,000 million cubic meters averagely. The water needed in the project wi l l be out of question. he -amount of ground wate r i n the eight counties concerned with

-3 9- the development of animal husbandry is 6 129 million cubic meters usually at o.9-19 meter from the earth surface , of which 2353 million cubic mete rs is avai­ lable. Water nee d for irrigation in the counties concerned. is 1890 · 11ion cubic mete rs, therefore supply exceeds demands The areas of prawn breeding are rich in surface water, among which H~nting Dis­ trict is also rich in ground water, the water supply is out of question. The fresh water needed by the project is not much. The fresh water in the areas concerned to meet the need. 2 . 15 Slectricity Sufficient electricity is supplied. The electric energy production is 299955 million ~w . :,ew gene­ rating sets ace being under construction. All the twenty- four couties concerned are supplied by ~han,­ don6 Province. Additional sixty thousand KW ~sex­ pected after the accomplishment of the project, and the province government will give the areas priori ­ ty. ~he electricity network and electricity supply in all the items areas is fully thought over.

-40- 2.16 Traffic ~he traffic is easy in the areas concerned. As the railway is mentioned, Beijing-$hanghai line goes thr­ ough the regions concerned with the item of the Tu H~i River ; Jinan- Qindao line through the area con- cerned with the development of animal husbandry,where the Yiaanzhou-Shijiu line goes straightly to the open past ~hijin Karhoub. In the areas of prawn-breeding are near the item counties. 7hangdong line and Yiyang line reach the coatal developing districts. The areas concerned with breeding of high-valued aquaties have less than sev­ enty kilometer s to go from the Lancun-Yantai line. Besides, roads radiate t he counties. 1-iost of the i tern counties have a conveninent sea transportation.

2 . 17 The suppiy of oil a nd coal ne eded in the project is ensured, because famous Jhili oilfi eld and coal­ field in Yanzha n,

-4 1- III Plan of the Item

1. Description

3.01 This item will be the first project of ag­ ricultural comprehensive developme~t on a large scale in Shandong. It will play an exemplary role to the other agricultural comprehensive develop­ ments in the future. The important points of th­ is project read asfollows: The transformation of the low-yield land i n Tu Hai Riverualley. The water Co nsevancy: The main task is the de­ velopment of irrigation, form the set of orriga­ tion and drainage , bring the control to drought wa­ terlogging a nd alkali. Five leading-Yellow irri­ gation regions would be built at Ta o Cheng Pu, Guo - ko , Buo-Qi- Li, Ha n Du n, Xing Jia Du . Th e lead­ ing water channels would be built or prolonged.

The key effort is on treating mud and sand and setting up water distribution construction work. Field distribution would be done by masses them­ selves.

-42- The Forestry: The main task is the development o f famous , special a nd high- grade fruits . The fast­ growing high- yield forests would be planted pro­ perly . The fruit processing factory would be built. According to the project the i ntercrop forests da- te' sahd grains, taking Le Ling little date and Chi Ping big date as main tree seeds, would be plant­ ed at 11 counties Wu Di county , Zhan Hua county, YA ng Xin county, Hui Min county , Shang He county , Goo TA ng county, Ch i Ping county , Do ng E county , Yang Gu county , Chen county, drawing on the ex­ perience in planting fast- growth high- yield for­ est at Chen county and ~uan county by U.N. We wo­ uld plant fast-erowth high- yield forest in the old course of s a ndy river through Chi Ping and G2- o T2- ng counties, set up fruit processing fac­ tries at Chi Ping county, Chen county, Shang He county , Wu Di county and Hui Mi n county.

Planting ~rade: It is important raise the fer­

tility of soiland set up seeds base . i e plan to import c hemical fe rtilizer 44 th~~~ana tons, y

-4 3-· increase the fertilizer applied to the lo~-yield land in these districts of the items. At the mean time, 12 counties concern,ed with the items would enlarge seeds bases in order to popularize good seeds rapidly. Livestock Husbandry: Making full use of past­ ures sources and the supeiriori ty of good breed of livestocks of item districts. We would remake pastures of 28.7 thousand ha, set up . 5 husbandry bases. 3.03 De velopment for husbandry Taking breeding as prerequiste, taking original processing enterprises as basement, we carry out serialized development of breed, processing, tr­ ansportation and sale. We plan to use the good conditions rich in fudder grass organize a lot of local people to develop the breeding of lives­ tocks and fowls, in which meat rabbits,lean-meat pig and chicken are prenci.pal. We would mainly set up livestock farms, feed factories, meat-rabbit processing factories and feathe r processing fac-

-4 4- tories as necessary accessories. 3.04 The Br eeding of prawns and marine produ­ cts Putting the cultivation first , cultivation, pro­ cessing, sale would form a complete set and would be managed unifiedly . We will develop the beach sources of Han Ting, Wu D1 , Zhan Hua , He Ko . We ' ll centralize the construction of high- yield bases to cultivate prawm.s, develop the shallow- sea sour­ ces of Chang Da o and Peng Lai, centralize the cultivation of sea proclucts will fan shell as main product. 2 . Co ntents of the Project 3 . 0_p The Development of the lo w- yield land i n Tu Hai River Valley Water Conservancy:

(1) To make 36 main channels of more than 500 km, and 249 principal branches of 700 kilometers; (2) To dredge some of river courses for drainage in order to raise the capacity of drainage . (3) To build ~rit chambers of rearly 6000 kilo­ metres. (/~) To build 3 large pumping stations with ins-

-45- talled capacity of 5000 horsepowers , and pumping capacity of 42. 2 cm/s. (5) To build a project of inversed siphon thr­ ough the Tu"i. Hai :River a nd 8 project of water-keep­ ing, with annual capacity of 7000 m3, of which are '3 reservoirs. Forestry (6) To plant intercrop forests of date and grain of 100 thousand ha, fast- growing forests 3667 ha; ( 7) 5 fruit processing a factories will be built. Planting (8) To buy 44 thousand tond of high-efficacious chemical fertilizer. (9) To enlarge 12 seeds bases. Husbandry ( 10) To remake pastures of 2870 thousand ha, to feed oxes of double- uses ~50 thousand, sheep of double- uses 400 thousand, meat chicken lOC thou­ sand. ( 11) To set up a system of breeding good strains, of epidemic prevention, of feed processing, of pr­ oducts- processing, products-storage-transportati- on.

(12) To set up a system of breeding good strains, of epidemic prevention, of feed processing, of prlducts- processing , products- storage- transpor­ tationo ·-4 6- 3.06 Development of Husbandry

( 1) To set up a chicken f3rm which supplies stud ch icken of 24 thousand chicken and chichs of 2800 thousand annually, a marketable chicken moldel

farm which produces 100 thousand annually . (2) To set up a pig farm which has one hundred ·sows of 100, provides 650 stud pigs. (3) To set up six good breed of meat rabbit farms and provide nearly 400 thousand good breed of ra­ bb,i ts. (4) To set up a goose farm which provides 25 thou­ sand geese annually. (5) To set up eight hybrid feed processing fac­ tories which process 66 thousand tons of mixed and proportional feed annually.

(6) To set up 8 processing factory of meat with capacity of 22.6 tho~sand tons annually. (7) To s e t up 3 processing factories of r abbit fur and made - up acticles,and 3 eitherdown factories . (8) To set up 8 service centres of technology.

-4 7- 3.07 Aguatic prodcet breeding

( 1 ) To set up prawn pools 0 f 6667 hectares. ( 2) To set up .38 cansls.

( .3) To built 4150 bridges, culverts, floodgates a nd relevant installations of pumping and damp- proof.

(4) To build 4 cultivating prawn chambers of 15 thousand cubic metres. (5) To set up a feed processing factory which pro­ cesses .30 thousand tons of feed annually. (6) To build a freezer of 5000 tons/time. (7) To develop 533 ha. for fan shell, 67 ha. for abalone 1333 ha. for sea cucumber. (8) To erect high voltage line of 100 thousand metres length, to build distribution room. ( 9) To dig 10 deep motor-pumped wells, and to build leading- water pipeline about 30 thousand me­ tres. (10) To build simply-built highway of 100 Km. ( 11) To set up 6 service centres of technology . Besides some goods, machine and apparatus are needed in every item .

3 . I~stallation of the Project 3 . 08 r,emake the 1ow-yie1.d 1'ie1.a in _·u ,,ai .. iver

-4 8-· Valley Water Consevancy:

Tao- Cheng- Pu Irrigating Area lies Yang Gu County and Chen County, which are in the Liao­ cheng Region. It was irrigated by the water from \ Jin Ti River in He Nan Province. The systematiz- ed irrigating area is about 36 thousand ha. Ac ­ cording to the project, water from the Yellow River is drawn. The first gate of the leading­ Yellow canal has been finished on July, 1987, with capacity of 50 m3/s: . 3 grit chambers, 1 general canal , 2 branch canals need to be built. They would be connected with original irrigating area. 41 .4 thousand ha. land would get irrigated.

Guo-Kou Irrigating Area situates at Dong~ county in Liaocheng region. In 1983 , leading­ Yellow gate , which has capacity of ?2 . 7 cubic metres per second has b~en built . But no grit chambers are made , t l1e cansl system is very bad , and is difficult make the benefit . We plnn to build a grit chamber , tc• perfect the system of branch canals , l a teral canals and the lining of

-49-· was built in 1959, re-built in 1968. It has ca­ pacity of 60 cubic metres per second. Irrigated area is expected to get to 73 . 3 thousand ha . Be­ cause the canal is not systemRtized , irrig~ted area is only 33 thousand ha . in fact specially, the northern ~ ey transporting-water engineering passing through Tu Hai River ha~ not been built , a lot of land in 7.han Hua cRn't he irrigated. We plan to build grit chamber pools, to enlarge main canals general main canals , to dredge the waterways, to built a engineering passing through Tu Hai River and a water-storRge engineering. By doing so, we can enlaree irrigated area 30 . 3 thousand ha, improve the irrigated areR 20 thousRnd ha, remake akali lAnrt 20 thousand ha , and open up waste land of 500 hectares .

Xin Jia Du Irri1at8d area lies between Ji Yang County and Shang in Dezhou Region . He Coun­ ty . In 1973 , a leading- Yellow gHte wAs built , which has a leading capacity of 50 cubic metres per second. It controls irri~ated area 99 thou­ sand hn . But the main :-rn·i b1·nnc h cHnals a~ea

-5 o- n ot systematized , there is al~o an unsolved prob­ lem of de9ositing sand , it is difficult to make the benefit. We plan to build a grit chamber and systematize main canals and bran9h canals. • Meanwhile, we would dredge the waterways of the region. It will enlarge irrigated area of 26

thousand ha, improve the area of ?.2 thousand ha , remake akali land of 45 thous~nd ha . Details a­ bout the five irrieated regions can be found in Chart A, B, C, D.

Forestry

Among the 12 counties of Tu Hai River Valley , the original intercroping f orests of dates and grains is 47 thousan1 ha, output of date product is low. We plan to 1evelop 100 thousand hectares , of which Le Line Golden Silk small date is 53- thousand hectares , r,hi Ping Yuan Ling big iate, 55.3 thousand hectar~s . The planting standa rd

of small Da t es is 22? trees per hectare , spacing in t he row~ of 3 . 15m. The plantinJ method of the small 1ate s and the big dates is to get land cave­ like 111m , get lan belt-lik~ wi

de pth, or18metre c:; o, we c;:rn f ul ly u ~ ~ the l'1nri ·,r.i

-5 1 -

I I the space, to get the double harvests of dqtes and grains .

The area of Yellow River's old course, from

He Nan province to Shandong Province , is almost 100 thousand hect ares . It is waste. We plan to plant concentratedly rapid- growth forests 3667 hectares , tree seed is choserl to he white popular, paulownia , Europe- American popular, locust and Balizhuang popular. Planting standard for fast­ gr0wing high-yield forests is 285 , 249 , 435 , 840, 500 grains per ha .

AmonG Chi Ping County , Chen Cowity, Sheng He Cowity, Wu Di County, Hui Min :":ounty, after the yield of intereroping forests dates and grains reaches the output of npmal years , the output of fresh anrt dri~d f ruit is 21 , 9 tons , arl

Plantine Industry:

-5 2- 44 thousand tons of chemical f ertilicer will be bought to r a ise the soil fertility we plan to enlarge 12 bases of improved varity on the original basis; stressing on the addition of seeds- chosen and transporting- storaging equipments, in order to raise the ability of supplying fine varieties.

Husbandry

Pasture of ?.8 . 7 thousand hGctares will be transformed and enlarged, cattle of 25 thousand and sheep 700 t housand will be raised, and ins­ tallations for breeding , eoidemic processing husbandry products storage- transportqtion wi ll be also built.

3 . 09 The Development of Husbandry

1. Stud stock f qrm

The proportion of the bre Gdin6 rRhhi ts, mal e and fema le is 1 : 10, each femAl e rAhhi t su99lies qualified bree

-53- rabbits 40• It is only needed to supply ablut

thousand rabbits for feeding 18680 thousand rab­

bit5• In order to manage eadily and concentrate the supply of new rahhits we plan to set up 6

. breeding rabbit farms in which 20 thousand breed­ ing rabbits are feeded . The rahbit shed is the type of " rtouble-row open-type"; Drinking water is automatically supplied , feeding materials is given by people , people clean t he excrement. The breed­ ing is artificial fertilization .

The proportion of the stud pigs , male and

female is 1 : 15. Rach female pig c~n supply 6- 7 sows in second generation of the varity. The sows of the seconrt generation of 100 t housand

can give the birth of 10 piglets each sow . A

farm of 100 bre~1ing sow is to be built .

The Stud Chicken ~Hrm: It is huilt in Ping Yi County. There would be stud chicken for gencra­

tions3 o f about 900 , for gener ations 2 of about

240 thousand . lt would proiuce 2800 thousand chicks.

The Stud Geese Farm : to set up a stud

Geese f:.'l.rm of 850 female geese , it would provicte

-54- stud geese of 25 thousand annually.

2. Feed Factory

For growth of fine stu

Mea t: A processing factory for each of the six counties is to be built, their total capacity is . rabbit butchering of 18 million and rabbit meat of 18 thousand tons . In Lai Wu city we plan to set up a processing factory which process­ es pigs of about 100 thousand , produces the ment of 18900 thousand tons annually. In Ping Yi Coun­ t y , we would set up a processing factory which processes chickens of ?4')0 thousand annually . In Yi Nan , we up lann to set up a processing fac­ tory which processes gGese me~t of ahout 3'520 tons .

Fur : We plan to set up 3 rahhit h~ir spinner-

-5 5~ ies in Yi Shui County , Meng Yin County, Fei County,

each one has a producing ability of 400 tons of

rabbit spin, of 280 tons of rabhit yarn, of 400 thousands of rabbit hair sweaters annually. In Teng County and Yi Yuan County, we plan to set up 2 processing factories of rahbits fur of 14000

thousand , 60 thousands of fur coats , the products of rabbit fur about 340 thousand. We plan to set up a feather processing factory which produces geese fine hair of about 45 tons, fur ahout 180

tons, products of eiderdown of about 160 thousand .-

3.10 The Cultivation of Prawns

(1) Dam against flood : In four cultivating­ prawn area counties , the highest level of the tide is 4.6m.(1938), the biggest tide drop is 3 .1 m. Three dam are built fo~ prawn breeding. The dam top height should be with an elevation of 6m , the top, 6m , inner slope 1 :3, outer slope 1 : 2 , the dam ' s side against wRter should be huilt ·

with hricks of 3. 5 metres hig h from the bottom.

-56- They are totally 35 km .

(2) Cultivating- prawns pools: The standard of per pool is: the area of 3.3 ha , depth of more than 2. 5m , water :lepth of more than 1 . 5m , and pool should be 450m (length) 75m ( wideness).

The proportion of length to wideness is 6 to 1 or 8 to 1 . There should be cirde ditch or central ditch. We plan to build prawns pools 2000 , the water area is 6667 ha. ~ach region is 667 ha.

(3) The Canals of Intaking water and drainage : Such kind of canal of main canals and 30 branch canals are to be built . They are totally 21 km .

(4 ) P1unpinB Station: At the place chosen to be as a prawn pool , the tide is half-day tide •

The time of pumping water can last within ?.O hours in every day . 4 pumping stations are to be built with the total capacity of 300 m3/s.

(5) Bridges anri Floodgates : Sv0r1 prawn pool need a floodgate . It needs to build some simple bridges 11n·i controling eate.

57- The total of bridges and gates is ahout 5000.

(6) Cultivating- prawns Chamber

150- 200 thousand prawn s can be feeded in 1 cubic metre. In a prawn pool of one hect~re ,

300 thousand prawns can be feeded. 4 such kind of chambers are to be built with 15 t housand m3 of water.

(7) Feed Processing Factories: The feed co­ efficient for prawns is 4, in which there is ?.S - 50% of fresh feed. 1 . 5 ton of prawns can be feeded in one hectare , an1 four such factor ies are to be built with capacity of 3?. thousand tons.

(8) Freezer: According to the yield , each 667 hectares need a cold storage of fast- freezing 30 ton a day, cold- storaging 500 tons/every time .

We need to build a freezer of 5000 tons/every time.

(9) ·The Facilities mf transimitting and trans­ forming dectricity. The power line of 100 km a~d dist~ibution facilities of 25 thousand kw are set up . In Wu Di r.ounty, 7.han Hua C:ounty , He Ko r.oun­ ty, we plan to build about 30 thousand metres long

-58- pipeline to lead water on earth• In Han Ting we plan to dig 10 deep wells.

2 . The Cultivation of the sea Treasures

(1) Fan Shells: Fan shells are cultivated artificially by rafts. In those sea regions which have ability fan shells and kelps should be cultivated hybridly in rows.

(2) Abalone : Abalone is cultivated artificial­ ly by rafits. The total is cultivated together with kelp , in order to use the kelp for abalone. Us area should be chosen in those with rapid cur­ rent and low temperature. The ,breeding area is 66 . 7 hectares .

Sea region should be chosen in rocks, ender the area of cultivating kelp in order to make n good envienment for sea slugs to live. About 10 thousand sea young slugs c~m be cul ti va te

This project will purchased some advanced agricultural machines, instruments and equipments at home and abroad, including: Equipments for plant protection, equipments for fruit processing, and 600 aquatics , equipernts for animal and fowls processing machines for construction. Tools for vehides and ships; instruments for test soil properties of physical chemitry, and the other machines, instruments and equipments.

3. 12 Technical Service:

For this project, each county has the technical service organization, but which is seriously back­ ward . If we put the project into effect , every county' s organization get the needed inst ruments and improve the instrument that are in hand, much better service will surely be offered.

This project wi ll gi ve priorit y to counties

-60- ..

and towns . Every year, they will hold training group by step. The time and the forms for training

is in various ways . The contents of training in­ clude seedling breeding determining of soil and water character, plant protecting prevention and treatment of disease , operating and repairing the machines , processing technique , management and administration, etc. The technical staffs will done from the province take part in the workin~ of training, and some experts of collage and aca­ demies are invited to give lecture about the de­ sign of the project.

4. The Conditions of Engineering Design 3. 13 On the basic of the peperaing project, in which we have collected a plP.nty of data and have prospected and investigated on the spot . Some of technical staffs , have been organized in a s pecial group for the projGct design. mainly by a unit of a county. Up to now, the initial design of 5 irrigated districts by water from Huang He Ri­ ver, forestry plant , animal husbanrtry and aquatic _products industry have been finished . And the

-6 1- area dispersed chart, production flow diAgram and technological process diagram for the projActs

. ' have been drawn. Thedesign of other brAnch item will be finished before 19s9.

a . Estimate the volume of the project an

3. 14 This project is system project hoad in scale.

Estimate the volume of whole projects : Build every kind of intallations, use~ cubic metre of earth m3 man/days , the volume of project

on 3- 2 di~gram, see No . 1 annex. ·' .

3. 15 The total costs of this project will be 271000 thousand US dollar , in which foreign ex- change dollar, for %, becuase of the local workers will take the project work such as diging cubic meter of earth mHny of contruction mnteri als and equipments are made in local area and at home . So the foreign exchange will occupy be 100 million dollars , taking 36 . 9~ . See Table 3- 2

3 . 16 Above- mentioned prices , according to the

-6 2- price in December 1987. The cost of the three fiel d : include rising price possible, taking 2•4% of the total cost.

b· Purchase good and materiqls: 3.17 The materials and goods needed in the project of plan of purchase, see Table 3- 3:

3 . 18 Goods of steel, wood, chemical fertilizer, low persure polythene , and others will be partly resolved in our country, but it can not be satisfi­ ed the needs of the project and the inadequate part will have to buy from abroad .

Cement , feed, oil crops, coal and other material will be in our province~

Water conservancy machinery, aquatic product machinery and agricultural machinery are ~ade by home factories , and bought at home by the unit contracted.

Some of the vehided will be purchased from abroad . The ships will be macte by the unit contract­ ed• The instruments will mainly be purchased from international market .

-6 3-· 7. About environmental inf. uence

3.19 In the preparing design­ ing , this project were environ- prevention We will put the s ess on reform low- yie d land and improving irri ation, comprehens· / ely develop forest , field , animals. only reduce saline the harm droueht and excess­ environment of crops, but

of area , afforest and b<:antify That will be raised farm­ land and an~ increased the power of s o· 1 by deve opment of ani rrial. In a word , the projec/ can not ma a unfavourable influence for envir nment . The "thee wastes" from process- ing The breeding of hieh-valuP.d distroy the of ecology. .. .,,

Cost or Some I t ems ChArt } - 2 Unit: 10 thousAnd S The reforming Livestock : rawn And other projec t or the Total low-y ield lAnrl i~ neve lop11en t 'I 1uat1c pro- RemArk ~t TUhAi RivP.r VAl lt?y lucts breeding The Total Cost 27100 9140 4166 .7 13793.30 ' Earthwork 5754 . 2 3276 5478. 2 Construction project 6292 .9 1747 11c;9 . 9 3386 ~\ ~nstallation project 499.7 36 ,3 11 1.2 352 . 2 Goods Mechanical 3quipment 4925 .9 2464 . 5 1396 •7 1064 .5 Study, spreAd , t r ainning 82, 4 16 -1 40 ,8 25 .5 Other projects 1252 .a 698 .9 553 .9

Circulat ing fund 4?06 , 9 145 ,8 747,7 3313. 4 Cost of three items 656,9 326 ,9 156 ,5 17} •5 Others 428 ,5 428. 5

-6 4- r:quipment ~ Bnd Goods Purchas1nt5 Progrnm -- Chart }- } RemBrlc lQunnti t ~ USP(10 thou Name I Unit snnd)

Among the totAl dollars of s240.26 Total 52, 402,600 (unit: 10 thousand) , 25}09 816•4} Steel Meterial ton 110,638 , 700 ls used for the livestock m} 28959 311 · 37 Wood developing progrnm of tho province 25067'} 809 · 16 Cement ton which is not specifically filled out. 1092. 74 J Chemical Fertilizer ton 4}000 16 21. 11 Boiler unit 154 68.85 ~ Pump 1 0 .01 \ Electric DiBlyzator 10 13 . 20 Genera ting Set 31 22 . 39 Transformer Refrigerator Cnr, Car, Truck, Forklift. 134 . 41 Truck 1001 12 3 . 64 Cooling Tower 1 I Small ~Ailboat , sampan- boat 2?20 86•42 Sampan 2 . 14 Microcomputor 3 10 Q.}8 Heavy fcuba

Rcf r i 0e r ~tor, Bi o- 4 0 .30: l 0Ric•1l Br eeding Bo x ! 4 161. 291 Di t:;~e r -65- ?4 3?. ?. E Bull lozer

Soi l Nu tri ment ,h;.,i, .. 31 , c, ., Test i ne r.nr 1 I 1 · ..

~quipruents nn1 Goons P u~r~c~h~a~s~i~n~g;_:P~r~0~8~r~A~m~~~~~~~~~-

Chnrt 3-3 (r.ontinuo_l Unit jcluanti tyl USO Name

53 .76 Concrete Paver unit 2, 69 High-pressure ,Sprnyer 10

Breeding Stock 13.44 Purchnsing HeFl

~ Pruit Process ing 73. 49 Equipment set 5

Cold s torage 8 40 . 95 Equipment Forage Pr ocessing ,40. 32 ~quipment 11 Slaughtering Equip- , 27 . 53 ment 5

1 Meat Rabbit Proces!l- 6 ing Equipment ,1 Goose Processing ·. 1 Equipment Meat Chicken Proces ~­ ing l',q uipment

I Rabbit Skin Process .. I 3 ing F.quipment I -66- Rabbit Fur Process­ i 3 ing E'1 uipmer.t Fe•1th·'r Proconsln,: •,q ui µmcnt .. .r

•.. 1, ,,.. .>I! r:,,ulpments ond Goods i'urcha:iln,1 J'r,10rarn , w Cha rt '}-3 (C ontinue)_

·,luan tl ty USP Nnme Unit

Monitoring end ChernicB 8 Examination Instruruent s et Instrument F.quipment ,o for Breeding Soil Physical and chemical Analysing 12 2.69 I Instrument 13.44 Seed Checking Ins trume~ t Equipment for Forest 15. 05 rg; and Fruit Trees 105 15 -72 Aquatic F.quipment . ' Other Mechanical 60 51 .99 Equipment

i -6 7- 7. About environmental influence

3.1 9 In the preparing stage and programme design­ ing , this project were considc~ red about environ­ mental prevention and ecology. We will put the stress on reform low- yield land and improving irrigation, comprehensively develop forest , field , domestic animals . We won ' t only reduce saline proportion, slow sown the harm drouGht and excess­ ive r ain , improvement envi ronment of crops , but also through afforestation can prevent sandy waste , improvement the wenther of area , afforest and b ~antify environment. That will be raised farm­ land and orgAnic f e rtilizer an~ increased the power of s oil by development of anirrial. In a word, the project can no t make a unfavourable influP. nce for environment. The "three wastes" from process­ ing will be utilize~ comprehensively. Thebreeding of prawn of hiGh-valued aquatics won ' t distroy the balance of ecology.

68- IV. ORGANS AND MANAGEMENT

1. Organs

4.01 The organs to execute the programme are t wo closely related systems . On e of them is the Pro­ gramme Committes of the People' s Goverments at di­

fferent levels from provincial to county, which is responsible to the higher l evel at different l e­ vels. In order to ensure the implement of programme successfully, the Agriculture Department , the Fores­

try Department and the Aquatic product Bureau of

t he Province set up a special unit to help the pro­ g r amme committee in the administrative management .

The other one is a system of business bodies from

the Rural Economic Development Investing Company of Shandong Province, which belongs to Programme

Committee of Province to the counties concerned

including the County Rural uevelopment Company,

-69- Industrial and Commercial Company of Forestry,

Industrial and Commercial Company of Husbandr y ,

Aqutic Pr oduct and Breeding Company. , which is in char ge of item car rying, management and dis­ t ributing and retrieving of funds . They exerci- se their function of business guiding in accor­ dence with thei r . own levels. The Fi nance Depart­ ment of the Province and Rural Bank of Shandong

Br anch will take par t in t he implement and mana­ g ement as wel l . Th e other concerned units wil l try their best to support the progr amme ' s implen­ t i ng. The programme ' s chart of organs of the net ­ work and the Cha rt of concerned organs of the Peo­

ple' s Goverment of Shandong Pr ovince as indica-

ted in the chart 4-1 and 4- 2.

2. The Duty of Or gans i n Diffent Levels

4 . 02 The Pr ogramme Commi t t ee of Shandong Pr ovince

·-70- (PCSP). The PCSP represents the Provincial Peo- ple' s Government as the unit in g eneral charge.

As the executive leading organ of the total programme , PCSP is in charge of planning and arranging in general to bring the project into line with the plan of Shandong economic develop~ ment; to harmonize the works among departments a and other units concerned , to provide the en­ surement of foreign exchanges for the programme, and finally , to be responsible forthe National

Programme Committee.

The Programme Committee of Cities and Pre­ fectures

They r epre sent the people ' s governmentt or prefedture' s committee to lead and d esign the

Project programme. As a connecting organ, it is not only responsibl e to the Provincial Programme

Committee but also for guidance of County pro- gramme comittees . ·- 7 1- County and District Programme Commitees

They represent county peopl 's Government as a organ in charge of plan ion, and harmoni- zing works and other organs concerned •

• 03 The Rural elopment Investing

Province.

U der the leadership of the PCSP , as a le­ gal rep esentative of/ / he programme, it is in general c ange of th project's irnpementing and

business's uiding '/ Including:. account of the

projects , ~ig ing !oreign contract~ in Union, I checking plan's i fu plementing and annual budget I of , compiling the applications , I of paying money to the World Bank and annual

budget , and distribu ing funds to the item

counties. Besides it s also in charge of fi-

nancial accl unting of e programme , managing

the use retrieving the -~ The Network r.hart for the Organization of the "nart 4- 1 Comprehensive Developing Project of Agriculture in Shandong Province, r.hina

The State PlanninG Commission

The Prov ..,cial Government

'!'he Proviaciol -lannin6 Comrnissio~.~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~--~

The Provincial A~~icultural Bconomic Develop~ent Invcstmen~ "o. City or ?r... fecture Governm,mt

City or ?rcfoctu~e .· Planning ~ommission

County , ;1 "~ District ~overnmPn· "ounty ~cono~ic ,r. ~ II ..,I ~ ~. -i n~~ ..")-~ .., ::T 0 ::, ::T 0 ::, ::T 0 ~ =_::, .:>.(I) .:>.Q .3 s: fl s: , :0 > ~ :., '9 Q :.0 ::"' ~ '1 <"""t1 .., .. ~ .., rt ...... ~ .., .., .., .., , n .., < :., ., ...... , .. ., '< ... -~ '< Q...,: ., 6i ~ 0 0 t .., ·1 g (') } ; "' 1 ,...c; ;,,. ,,- . •; ·1 .- "" Q ~-::-c. ... (') _.._ ~ 0 (0 c:, s: s: rt C C. .. C: ,-,::, .., C: ., • .., ...... , '< s '1 n (1) i; (1) C: '< ., ... I,, <1>'-. $; ... ..·' Cl) .., '< Cl) Q C C- s: 0

- <11-- I ChiDA ABriculttlrAl BAnk , Sh11ndong Br;inch

I_ '-'·l'1nghe WAte~ C:onservancy Comrni t tee , Shandong Bureau

....."C --- '!'he Provincial Foreign 'l'r-'lrle ilureau .s:: c..: ix: The Provincial Meteorology Hurequ 0:.... C C, E C.. -T'le Provincial Blectricttl Power Industry Bureau Cl) > 0 C r' ,t 7he Provincial Auditing Bureau s ..... > The ?rovincial Finance Dopa~tment ..0 0..

C "°0 s ~--- The ProvinciAl AquAtic Prorlacts Uureau ,~..i:: C: ' .s:: .., The ProvinciAl 'Jlater C:onservancy Dept, ~ 0 ...... C .. Cl) E .2 C The Provincial Forestry Dept , i u I.. Cl) C > 0 0 ..... :., ,."' ..... Provincial Livestock BureAu ...... a: C 0 al .....C The Provincial Agriculturnl Dept . "°I.. > 0 ..0 .cC: "· f... ·rhe Provincial Science Anrl Technolo.gy r.ornmi ttee

The Provincial Foreign P:conomic RelA tions and Trade ":om:~it tee

The ProvinciAl Planning Commission

The Provincial Government AdministrAtive Office County and District Programme Commitees

They represent county people's Government as a organ in charge of plan in union, and harmoni­ zing works of bureau , comittee and other organs concerned.

4.03 Th e Rural Economic Development Investing

Company of the Province . {

Under the l eadership of the PCSP , as a le­ gal representative of the progr amme , it is in general change of the proj ect ' s impementing and business's auiding, Including: account of the projects , ~igning foreign contract~ in Union, checking plan ' s implementing and annual budget of the item county, compiling the applications of paying mon ey to the World Bank and annual budge t , and distributing funds to the item counties. Besides i t is also in c harge of fi­ nancial accounting of the pr ogr am~ e , ma naging

t he use of the pr o ject' s fund , re t rieving the

-7 4- credits and interests. On the basis of stipulations

of the World Bank, it is in charge of b,ying goods, machines and instruments, compiling the semi-an­ • I nual report of programme's process and the report on the programme's completing.

The Economic Entities of the Counties Con­ cerned

The entities qf 300 in the countities con­ cerned are in charge of implement of items in their own counties, including the compiling of design budget of the items, the organizing con­ structions of items arranging of engineering's schedule, and compiling of annual buget, finan­ cial, accounting of item. It would report the progressive status to the Provincial Rural E­ conomic Development Company regularly. They are in charge of purchase work of goods and materials, machinery, instruments and equip­ ments. They woul retrive loans with principal and interest on time, make accomplishing re­ port of items.

-75- 4.05 Provincial Agriculture Bureau and the Other Bureaus

Agricul tural Departments in the Government of the Province

Provincial Foresty Bureau , Provincial Water Conserva ncy Bureau a nd Provincial Aquaculture Bureau, Projects Office or cor responding orga ni­ zations are responsible for the project together with Provincial Rual Economy Developing and i n­ vesting Company . It includes: harmonizing imple­ ment of projects in their own trade, checking te­ chnical design, construction, management and maintemance; directing the counties to write ex­ ecuting plan and annual budget ; to assist the checking of the projects; monitoring the quali­ ty of the projects; providing technic and busin ess direction; urging recovor and return of loans.

Provincial Finance Department: It provides financial guarantee of required funds for the projects, takes charge of handling everything associated with state Ministry of Finance , hold

-7 6- responsible for raising part of domestic funds.

Provincial Audit Department . It is in charge

of examing finance accounts in all- round way. Bank is charge of raising a part of domestic con- ' ! • . ) structing and circulating funds , on the basis of ' stipulations concerned.

4. 06 By carrying out t wo sets of organization structures in double- track system, it is not only to make the Project , get great support on adminis­ tration from departments concerned , but also to strengthen business dir ection and internal mana­ gement of the projects. In this way, a good re­ sults of business can be maa e with the economic entities as the backbone, and hundreds of thou­ sands people can be organized to get well off life. In one word, it is favourable to combine agricultural development with ru~al r e formation , creation and development, and to strengthen fur­ agricultural development.

3. Service in support and help

4.07 Agricultucal servi ces can help t he r egi on

·-7 7- concerned and make peasa nts, ecomic entities a nd . state get the benefit.

4;oa Agricutural resear ch is paid great attention to. There are the instectes at the level of pro­ vince municipality a nd county , supportted by Na­ tional Agriculture Research Institutes. In re­ moulding mi ddle and low yield land , the research organizations of Provincial Academy of Agr icul­ ture Sciences and Agriculture Bureau, Provincial Water Conservancy Bureau as well as other units have worked for many years in the item regions. They provide many achievements of scientific re­ search and reasonable proposals. The test sta- tion for improving salire- alkali soil was set up in the Dezhou District , the Water Conservany A­ cademy of Science and the Water Conservany of Committee of the Yellow River have made geolo­ gical prospecting of the Tuhai River. The test spot of rapidly- growing forest is set up in Guan I\ County and Shen County by the U. N• Organization of Grain and Agriculture. The experience of "The Item of Agriculture in Huabei Plan" and improvement of salire- land in Yucheng, Lingxian supported by the World Bank can be drawn.

-7 8- ..

The science research of animal is paid more and more attention to . The Veterinary Science Institute of Shandong Province, together with the research units in the regions concerned have studied mainly on the raising of domestic ani­ mal and poultry , prevention of seasonal bebrile

disease , and the proportion in making feed. Many of the achieve ents are popularized. The experts and students from the Science Acsdemy of China. Animal Bureau of the Ministry of Agriculture~ Animal- Fishery , Shandong Universities, Laiyong Agronomy Academy have got much fruit inthe field of animal research. The people in Yimen Mountain area have raised domestic animal and poultry for a long time , and mastered the technology from stud breeding to processing, accumulated a ripe experience.

--79- The Marine Cultivating Institute is

Brish in human

4.08 Study work has been carried out by

the Marine Cultivating Instute. Sea Aquaculture

Research Institute Aquaculture School, have studied for many years subject item regions, six

aquaculture research are set up. Besides, v~st amount of research and experiment work has been

done on the key problems in seawater breed

productions by several national research organiza­

tions in our province, such as the Huanghai Sea

Aquatis Breed Institute, Marine Research ins­

titute of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, Fishery Engineering Institute, Marine College and Sea

Treasures Breed Station. Scientific and technical

strength in the marine aquatic research of

Shandong province which include national scie ntific

research instruction in our province, occupy

first place in China and a great many achievements

in scienfitic research have been made .

4 . 09 A number of stations for technical popu­ I larity have b een set up i r1 the item regions. -80- The five-grade technical popularity networks

have been formed including general station, substation or site and group for technical popularity under the supervision of province, city under subprovincial region or county, town and village ·respectively. There are studests· graduated from university, college and poly­ technical scho~l in the technical popularity stations mentioned above. Sometimes , some qualified farmer technician are engaged in popularity. Farmer technicians are in charge of this work is at level of village. These organi7,a~ tions need to be provided much, especially the station of counties, towns and villages which are short of necessary experiment and training equipme~t. These problems will be resolved step by step with the rtems put into effect.

4.10 Breeding Seedling

Seedling breed supply system has been set up all over the item regions . These departments include: agriculture seeds company which is

in charge of breed, storage and supply of crops fine variety; breeding stock and fowls farm -81- which is managed by county animal husbandry, industry and commerce company; fruit nursery farm which is ran by the forestry department . At present, the supply capacity of seedling breed is not sufficient, it will be resolved during the performenance of the items.

4.11 Feed

In the items regions concerned with livestock and fis hery, there are number of feed process ing factories (or workshop) in most counties, where it is necessary to build and expand the factories because they can not meet the needs in the items. The feed proce­ ssing will adopt advanced technology. Most of raw material needed can be purchased in the item regions and the inadequate part will be replenished by adjustment in our province .

4.12 Refrigeration, process, transportation

and sales

County economic entities engaged are in char g e of purchese refigaration, proc e ss a nd -82- trans portati on and sales . This ki nd of purc hase method will conne cted with seedling, feed suppl ies as well as technical services , signi ng contracts in advance and flxing prices reasonably. Since busi ness households and other producers, can g et many benefit from technical service and supply of s eedling and feed, therefore, they are will ingty to sell their products to the above companies so tha t b o th sides can benifit from each other.

4. Management and Maintenance

4.13 Principly , the item engineering is managed and maintained by th~ county economic entities which performs the ~terns. Those decentralized in vanrious villages will be managed and maintaised by the v illages under the ins­ truction of county economic entities. For those implement contract and management inside, they will be run and maintained by the contractors. County economic entities and villages will check up on them regularly. Irrigation works administrative departments and county water -83- conserv ancy bureau are res ponsible for

i r rigotion facilities such as the Yellow : River diversion floodgate, grit chamber, water

storage project, c hief diversion ditchs ,

ditchs a nd subditchs. Except special time

the necessary fund will be raised by

managerial personnels.

-8 4- v. The estimated a im of the Projec t

1. The transformation of low-yield lands in the tuhaihe River valley.

5 . 01 Water Conservancy

Af ter five irrigating districs diverted wa­ ter from the Yellow River are set up, the am­ ount of water supply will increase 338 million/ m3 . The irrigating area will enlarge 143800 ha. including drought- relief irrigated area of 43800 ha .• The sandy-saline-aldali land of 40000 ha. will transformed . In this way, the low- yiel~ land of 233000 ha. will be changed into land wi­ th high, stable yields. Meanwhile, 300000 peo­ ple in the seaside area could nave fresh water.

5 . 02 Forestry

After the project is accomplished, the area will have forest of 100000 ha. with dates and

·-85- grains in terc ro1 ·ping in and fas t-~rc,wing woods

of 3667 ha .• 30 years is th8 productive cycle

of the for est with dates and gr~ins in. ~e

begin to calculate the output value from the

5th yeat. From the 10th year comes into har­

vest . The output of dry fruit is 1. 15 ton per

ha .. The dry f r uit will increase 115000 ton

each year. 15 years is the productive cycle of

fast- growing woods . The log is 192 m3. Frewood

is 7 . 5 ton. Wood will increase 700000 rn3 and

firewood will increase 27000 ton . That will re­ lax the tension of fuel and wood in the area and make more straw of crops back to the land.

In the same time , enough processing materials

will have and more incomes wil l increased in

the countryside of the region.

5 . 03 An imal Husbandry

After the gr ass land of 28700 ha . is im­ proved, 25000 oxen , 300000 sheep and 1000000

-8 6 - chicr.ens can be fed per year. l"lu t t on of 10800

'\ ton, c;;.ltlehide and sheepskin of 676000 pie- ces and sheep' s wool of 500 ton ( cleaned I wool ) wi ll be got.

5 . 04 Farming

After the i tem is carried out, the middle

and low yield land of 233000 ha. will be trans­

formed into land with stable, high yields, 44-

000 ton. Chemical fertilizer will spread in the

farm land of 320000 ha •• The crops will have

fiqe improved varities. The output of grain in

('. r th~ region will increase f r om 2900000 ton to

3060000 ton. It will increas e by 5%. The out-

put of cotton will incr ease f rom 220 , 000 to 230 , 000

tons with an increase by 4.5%.

2 . The Development Of Animal Husbandry

5 .05After the item of developing animal hus-

87- bandry in Yimeng mauntain a:eas comP.s to be true ,

56 , 000 families will become specialjzed poultryraisers.

Over 70,000 peasar;t familiers wi ll become con-

current poultry r aisers. We shall have 18680000

rabbits, 2400000 chickens , 1800000 geese, 100000

pigs and 23000 ton meat each year .

In this way , r abbit ' s wool will increase 230

ton . 680 ton r a bbit wool yarns, 400000 rabbits­

weaters, 18200000 rabbit's skins and 340000 pro­

ducts made of rabbit's skins will be processed.

45 ton goose down , 180 ton wool top and 160000

products of down wi ll be processed. The output

value of animal husbandry in the propotion of

total output value of farming in the region will

rise from 25.4% to over 35%. The a rrangements of

80000 idle farmers will be made . Over 50000 fa­

milies will become wealthy families of poor ones.

3. The breeding of prawn s and precious marine

products . -88- 5 . 0 6 Th~ r:1·inar::e•::er.ts of intensive, meticulous

8.!'id hi,::h- yield breedirg wi ll be t·1ken in fr9.wn breeding . The per unit area yield of breeding will be hi gher than present. The brePding cy­ cle of prawns is one year. After it is put in- to pr oduction , per ha . will r ise by 15000 ton .

The t otal output wi ll rise by 10000 ton in the

6667 ha. prawn-breeding pond .

Advanced technology will be taken in sca­ l l ops brePding. Its breeding cycle is 14 mon ­ ths . The! arvest season i s four times in six years . 5 .5 ton scallops will be got each time per ha . that is 35 ton eac h year. 20000 ton scallops will be got f r om 533 ha. each y ear.

Abalone and kelp can be inter c r opped. The breeding cycle is t wo years . 15 ton a balone will be got eac h t ime per ha ., that is 7. 5 ton each

-89- : r. . .

The breed in;~ c:;c Le o:' ~·: ·1 .... · ·.:::!. !' '·· • '1 1···"· :1~ -

::.ach year we could n·.tV·"' i !''q·.. . ·:s ·u:'l rreci c us

ver 10000 i dle farmers c o~:i be ~&Je i~ the r e- / g i on .

VI . Marketing ~r osfect

1. The markets with provi~ce

6 . 01 In recer.t years, wi th the deei development

of reform and o~en policy , the l iving standa1d

of chinese people h~s bee:; 1 ..1ise ri c .;r.siderably ,

and domestic consumption h3s be e~ recreased r a ­

pi dly. The agricultural ar.d sideljre ~roducts

are not only t he rec.pliremer.: of people ' s daily

life , but also the 1·:-rn 'i'lt- 1· i·1.ls rf ir:dustrial

-9 0- production . So they ahve a big m~rket. '

6 . ')2 Pure hase

With the average annual 6 growth r~te of 12.

,./_ 8 d) ' the t otal product income of state-operated commerce ard marketing cooperative of our pro- vince in1 9H6 , ( excluding foreign trade) in- creased 1 33 4 compared with that of 1 978. A.mong those , the purchase from agricultural and side- line products increased by 14 . 7 % each year. The t ot·d purchased products of the main agriculture and sideline of the society are: 7882 thousand ton gr ain , 823. 5 thousand ton cotton, 419 thou­ sand ton vegetable oil , 11660000 pigs , 20000 ton aquatic products .

6 . 03 Retail

The total volume of retail sales of soci al commerce of our province in 1986 increased 195 .1 %

-9 1- ;fl'C""' 0 W t,~ '..-. I l '' l. ._•.., 0... .. 1· "• •, 1 •A t • C:,/ ~ •

180000 ton A.qua tic pruri ·~c ~s .

6 . 04 As described ~bove , jud~ed by ~hR ins~ec- t i on of prov inc i ·1 l ;1n :::· v. e t , t :1 R !- e o l :. e ' s pur- chasing power i s risi~g r ~pi1ly , ancl their de- mands for agricul tural 8.nd sideline J..-roduc ts are becoming lar~eb and lar¥er . ;ccor1i~g t o the projection , whe n the pr ogram completely we nt into oper~ti)n, the net increased popu- lat ion of our province will be 6 400 t housand by the year of 1994 . Because of higher d ema nd for goods , the farm and sideline market will be lar- ger. Fir st of all , the products of the programme will take the n eed of new adJed people into con­ sider ation. For detai ls , seP Table 6 - 1 . The es-

-9 2- 2 . ,Jor:H: '.3tic mnrket

(, . r)r, Ch in;1 has the l:ffgest national popul :1 t i on

qnd is~ big agr icultural c ou ntry. Comp~red wi ­

th the developed c ountr ies , the level of agr i ­

c u:tur9l ~nd siir line pr oduc ts ow ni ng by a per ­

son is still ver y l ow. Bas ed on s ome relative

e~ti ~a tion , the demand for agr i cul t ur al and s i ­

deline pr oducts i s qui te pot ential in domest ic

market , and i ncrea ses year after year.

Fo r d eta i l s , see Table 6- 2 .

I 3. Inter national Market

6 . 06 I n international ma rket the demand for agr i ­

cul tural and s i rt eline products , especially those

famous , s pecial , high quality pr oduc ts , also sh­

ow a tendency of increasing. Take aquatic pr o­

duc ts a s an example, in the past uear s , the ave­

r age volume of trade for prawn remained a t the

-9 3- level o f 500 tnou~cind ton per year, bu t now which has increased to 670 thousand ton . The total consumption of prawn for onl y Jap~nes e m~rke t is 200 thousand ton every year. Theo- riental pr awn in our country is not only in short supply in China, but also is merchanta- ble in the international market. Ho wever, be- cause of the shortage of supply at present , the export of prawn onl y takes 20 thousand ton per year . According to t he chemical examination , the content of murcury of scallop produced in our province , is lower by 90% than the intern, tion­ al ' s level. Because they are good and cheap , merchants try to order. Clothes and products ma­ d e of rabbir fur are we lcome in the internation- al market , especially i:n European market where they become one of the tight commodities. The trade of the meat of rabbit and date etc. have sold well in the international markets.

-9 4-. ..

T·.t,J P •,-1

•-•· <>!Jtlm·,t:.;n of dPr:i-u,•llr.1; for Sh·111,toni; ' s ·,1

lot>tl out~·ut: tf'r1 tnouu,n·i tor

·1ver atte ownir·R fln,l cvr.sumir.,t of :-t • ·"r !-.C.. ~~: ,:~·

} 1'/tl'i 1 ';'JU ,! 0,1 c..9 t~ ~·d ·iV~!"1./'P •wer

peanut 262.1 34 . 1 10 . 2 322 . 5 39 . 8 14. 3 375 42 . 6 17 .8

fruit 2 12 27 . 6 400 49 . 4 750 e;. 2

aquatic l roduct 8 1.4 10 . 5 125 15 .4 250 28 . 4

among wh ch pr a wn 2. 0 0 . 2E 0 . 03 10 1.23 0 . 25 20 2. 27 0 . 57

total output of meat 128. 5 16. 7 9.1 166 20. 5 12 . 0 295 . 5 44.9 30

meat. o f pig beef and mutto n 11 9 . 5 15 . 5 8 . 2 139 17 . 2 11 300 34 . 1 24 I chicken r abbit 9 1. 7 0 .9 27 3. 3 1 95 . 5 10 .8 6

egg 72 . 5 9 . 4 4. 9 100 12 . 3 8 . 0 160 16.2 14

milk 16 . 5 2 . 1 0 . 8 56 7 . 2 2 . 5 160 18 . 2 y

- 95-· ·. .,

Table · - :>

The estimated Olltput of al}ricul tural products in our c ountry t<,tal ou tput: t~r. thousand t on

:n·"'r'lge owning and consuming of a person : ~

1984 1 - 1990 2000 total output average own i ng total outpu· a ve r age owni, 0 total ou~pu• ·iver age owing g rai~ 40730 395 . 5 42500 386 . 4 51600 430 ~ cotton 625. 85 6. 1 600 5. 45 'i50 6 . 25 oil 1190. 5 11.6 1825 16 . 59 2300 19 . 17

sugar 4780 11 . 57 6825 62. 05 7500 62 . 5

meat 2275 20. 68

among which: prok,beef I m:.ittor> 1540. 6 15 2000 1!3 . 18 3270 27.2J meat of rabbit 20 I 0.18 l a quatic product 619 6 900 ! 8 .18 1200 10 egg 431 .6 4.16 875 7,95 1800 15 I milk i-- 259. 6 2. 52 625 5. 68 2400 20

fruit 984 . 5 9 . 6 2000 18 .18 3000 25

-96- .. •. .

'l'able 6-3

Average person output of mair. farm and side-line products in t.hP world in 1';184

unit: Kt,/per son

product grain converting Oil meat aqua tic egg fruit crops into oil product country J total amount 429.7 6. 5 30 .2 16 . 5 6 . 2 62 . 9 ~ Japan 146.4 0 . 5 27.9 94. 5 17 . 6 47.0 \ Ga!"!a.da 1782,9 56 .0 97 .2 53 , 5 13.0 28. 5

U.S . A 1564.9 32 .5 108.3 17.5 17 . 1 96. 1 16 .3 251 .8 France 1088.3 11.5 101. 7 14.5 I

Hungary 1472.4 14.5 164.3 4.0 17 . 8 239. 7 I

10 .4 145.3t Yugoslavia 824.1 4.5 70. 9 I 3. 5

u .s.s.R. 679.o 6.5 61.2 36.0 15.3 66.9

Australia 1873. 4 6. 5 148.5 11.0 12 . 7 136.7

Remark: 1. Seven kinds of oil crops can be converted into oil, such as peanuts , rape seeds, s esames, sunflower seeds and cotton seeds.

2 . Aquatic products men tioned here is the output of 1983 .

_;

-97- For details , see Table 6-3 The main agri­ cultural and sidel ine products owning by a per-

son in some countries.

4 Plan for Product Sales

6 . 08 According t o the d escription above, the pro­ ducts of the program have a huge market both in­ side and outside of the province and both at ho­ me and abroad . After the program has been taken out, the products, first of all, will be used in promating the living standard of the mass in pro­ gramme area, and then in supplying for the needs of the provincial and national markets . It also will export a small amount of the products on the requirement of the international market.

VII . Progress schedule of the program

1. Constructive schedule

7.01 The condtruction of the prograrne will start in 1989, and finish by the end of 1993. It will

-98- t ~ke five-year period. Every cou~ty h~~ dra wn l up its annual construc:tion schedul e. Because of the va ri ous content of the program , the progres~

of the construction can not be expected to be

the same. It will take five years for the trans­

f orm program in Tuhaihe River valley with middle­

and-low-yield land. It will take t hree year to

fir. ish the basic construction for the develop­

ment of animal husbandry, breeding of prawns

and precious marine products.

See Table 7-1 for the progress rate of the program. I 7 . 02 There are a treme.ndous amount of work in

the first year when the program start. As there

are three priorities, one is planting seebed,

forage processing plant in the subsidiary pro-

grams , the secon one is the large amount of

earthwork, the third one is bridge and culverts

and water gate which close related with earth-

-9 9- ~ork . O:her structure shall be arranged a­ ccording to the need of the whole project. a­ fter the signing of the program, every year , { on 31 , August , our province will have the next year' s project scheme examined by World Bank .

2. Annual investment scheme

-100- .. •. ~

7 . 03 According to the arrangement of the project's progress , annual investment schame of this program

see Table 7-1.

Table 7-1 Annual investment scheme of program unit ten thousand US dollars

transform the low- development of animal breeding of prawns and total yield land of Tu- husbandry acqua tics products 0 ~ - ~1 haihe River valley total 27100 9140 4167 13793

1989 11601 1827 2676 7088

2742 1270 5079 1990 9091 I 1991 4534 2742 176 1616 l

1992 1417 1372 45 -

1993 457 457 - - I

-101- VIII . Th e Raising and Paying- back of the Ca pital

1. The Me thod of Raising

8.01 In the total of 271 million dollars of the items, 100 million dollars aski ng f or the loans of World Bank occupies 36. %. The internal serial funds is 171 mi llion dollars which is a bout 63.1 %, (se Table 8-1 ) . ( 1) The items funds for culti vating the Prawns a nd Marine Treasures . It is 137933 thousand do­ llars, in which the loans of application for World Bank is thousand dollars, occupying 36.2%; the internal seria l funds 87933 thousand dollars, occupying 63 . 8%. (2) It is 9 1408 thousand dollars for remaking ~he middle-yi eld and low-yi eld fields in the Tal ­ ley of Tuhai River, in which the loans for World Bank is 32000 thousand dollars, occupying 35%; the interna l serial funds 23656 thousand doll ars, occupying 56.8%. -~ 8 . 02 The internal serial funds o! 171000 thoue v sand dollars is shar ed by pr ovince, municipality, county a nd village. The plan of raising internal seri a l funds is on the Table 8- 2 .

-102- ·. .. _.,.

Hate of the Credi t from t he .~or lcl bank and the <.:oenpleted :s ets a t !lome

Chu rt 8- 1 t!n it: u:.;s 10 , 000

Money provided by Total ~redi t from the World !lank I ~ ney of t he compl eted s ets at h na

Item I I Amount of money I ,el,. I :.mount of mone ~· I &

·:· ·~: • ' ! I ?.7 100 I 1:;OOO I I 171(\/~ I r,~ . j Prawn and aquatic products project 13793, 3 5000 36 . 2 8793. 3 63 .8

The r eforming project I I I I I of low-yield land in Tuhai Hiver valley 9140. 8 ~200 35. 0 5940 .8 65 . 0

Livestock developing pr oject 4165 . 6 1800 43. 2 2365 . 6 56. 8 t

- 103'- 2 . Suggestions for the usage of the loans from the World !:lank .

8 , 03 The credit from the World Bank will be used as follow ing:

Suggestions for t he Us age of the Loans from the World Bank Chart 8- 3 Unit: USS 10 ,000 'The rerorming 1 of the low-yield To tal Prawn and other l'lnd int the .,i vestock e •ruhai River de- aquatic products velopment I~ valley breeding Total 10000 32000 1800 5000

Construction project 5309 ,1 1333. 3 510 . 8 3465. 0

Installation proj ect ~ 70 215 . 9

Goods equipment 3364 . 7 1792. 7 1155 . 9 416. 1 ( including f e rtilizer)

Others 3. 3 3. 3

Circulating fund 903. 0 903. 0

Cost of inspecting

Cost of study , spread and trainning 18 . 0 18 . 0

Cost of administation price rising and un- prdiction 116.0 74 . 0 42 . 0 .. . '

~lon ey kaising Chart

Chart 8- 2 Unit : U~i 10 ,000 'Ao rlrl Total Credit f r om Bank ~·unds of the completed sets nt home Projec t investment mount of 7, Amount l> f % l c ent t·al ~overnt.TProvincer EH tie~coun tie s money pe rcent money per-, - - I cent A.mount o:r ., Amount of ~ mount (j f , mon ey pe1·centl money percen ti mon ey perce nt

Total 27 1QO 1000 36 . 9 17100 f 63. 1 3285 19 . 2 2855 16 . 7 ~0960 64. 1

1. The r eforming pr ogr a of the low-yield l a nd in Tuhai River valley 9141 3200 35 . 0 5941 65 .0 891 15 . 0 891 15 . 0 4159 70. 0

2 . Lives t ock develop­ 1075 645 27 . 2 646 27 . 3 men t 4166 1800 43. 2 2366 56 .8 45 . l 3 . Prawn and other aquatic products breeding 13793 5000 36 . 2 8793 63 .8 131 9 15 . 0 131 9 15 . 0 6155 70. 0

-105- ..

J·1un 1:h·,rt of :1·,ising 1•lo ney l~v»ry y,,i,;r <.:h·,rt e -1\ Unit : USS 10 ,000

1s t year I 2nd year 3rd y P'lr Co nstruction Tot,;l 'l'o tr1 l <.: r edi t fro,, Comp leted Tot'il 'redi t fr- ComplE'tf't:l 'l'otal Cr ,,•lil. f r Complf,te•l 01n '1.orld rro,iect in\'estment World Bank ·it 1,ome )1~ .,orl'1 'l t r o•,P ·,· . , t ' IO''le ~ank

Total cost of all i terns 27100 11 601 503U . 4 6562 . 6 9091 31 69.1 5921 , 9 ~543 1176 . e 2757 . 2 <.:o nstruction project 15047 . 1 6920 2443. 3 4476 . 7 5422 . 6 1910 3512.6 2704 .5 855. 8 1748. 7 Jnst3llation pro. 499 .7 299 .8 131 . 5 98. 3 180.1 103 77. 1 89. 8 5 1. 4 38. 1\ uoods mechanical I I equipment 4925 . 7 2865 . 3 1957 . 3 908 117 5. 1 802 . 7 372 . 4 885 . 3 604 . 7 280 . 6 Study , spread and trai:1ning 82. 4 29. 2 6 . 4 22 . 8 22 . 9 5. 0 17 . 9 11.4 2. 5 8 . 9 Other project 1252. 8 443.8 2.0 441 . 8 347 . 8 1.3 346. 5 173. 5 173 . 5 Circulating fund l 4206. 9 1785. 6 451 . 5 1334.1 1041 31 2 .3 728. 7 519 . 2 139 . 2 380 .0 Cost of three item 656 . 9 232. 7 46.4 186 . 3 182 . 4 34 .8 147.6 91.0 23 . 2 67 .8 Others 428 . 5 151.8 151.8 11 8 . 9 118 . 9 I 59.3 59.3

· 100- . .,.

4t h year 5th yeor ·~otal Credt for~ ~ompletei Total Credit fror.- complet,,·1 \ ,:orld Ban,. 11. t home ',.,.; ,·ld llank ,1 t hom e

- 1417 15 . 7 1401 . 3 457 457 t0

16 . 9 4.1 14 . 6

267 . 7 267. 7 661. 1 661 .1 457 457 150.6 11.6 139. 2 96. 5 96.5

- 107 - fltt ...

l

Money Heturn • nrl JntPrest pMyment llRn of ~gr i cul t ur al Co mprehensive Developing Items

Ch1.1 rt 8- 5 Un it: USS 10 , 000

Ye ar

Items 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Hemark ------1. The borrowed money at th beginning of the ye·n 11949 20971 24263 23022 20723 15092 8624 140 1 1. The caculat ion i s a-

2 . Usage of the money bor- ccording t o compound rowed thi s year 11 601 9091 4534 1417 457 0 int eres t and the yea r 3. Interes t .paylReR4; of the °F year 348 631 765 770 704 622 453 259 42 interest r 3te i s 3% . 4. Interest paymen t of the 2 . The i nterest is calcu- y ear 631 770 704 765 622 453 259 42 lat ed f or the money bor- 5. Capital payment of t he rowed in t he same year. year t 69 1242 2658 2756 5631 6468 7233 1401 3. From the beginning of the 6 . The total money borrowed at the end of the ear 11 j ect,80% and the interest among it 348 0 of the depreciation in the 7 . Total of source to re- turn capital and pay first f ive year is used interest 1032 2007 3428 3460 6253 6921 7482 7268 to pay money and then pay

1) profit 875 1708 2929 296 1 594 1 6609 7170 6956 at 50% until clear off. 2 ) Deprec£ation t hat can used to return capita 157 299 499 499 312 312 312 312

- 1nP- 3. The method of inves t ment and the plan of - raising funds year after year.

8 . 04 According t o the progeessi ve status of the ------.. _ - - items, the plan of rai sing funds ye~r after year is seen on Table 8-4.

4. Paying- back of the Loa n 8 .05 At the 6th year o f the item's loans, we would pay the capital and interest of World Bank's loans year by year in the period of 15 years. The pro­ f i t o f items units would be firstly used to pay the loans, the depreciations and other benefits can also be used as paying funds. The plan of paying l oans year after year is seen on the Ta­ ble 8-5.

i. Accountant& and Auditors

8. 06 There are qual ified accounts in Provincial Rural Development Investment Company and the economic bodies in charge of executing the i­ tems of each county. The accounts of the eco­ nomic bodies of the counties should be in char­

ge of the expenditure on the constructions by

-109-· selves and other expenditure, openning ac­ counts independerthy, recording detailedly.

The Rural Economical Development & Investment Company ' Of Shandong; . according to the class of ac- count, would compile a half-yeat report. After the audith of the Provincial Auditing Bureau and the end of financial year, the ac­ counts auditted would be sent to the World Bank within 6 months.

\.

-110- IX. Financial analysis and business evaluation

9.01 The analysis about this project lays particular emphasis financial affairs. On principle we clarify some main points about business analysis, but no elaborate quantitative analysis -about it here.

1. Financial analysis of the project 9.02 The determination of the financial price of specific products bases on the first- time sale price or producer price. Grain and cotton price. Grain and cotton is one of the main products in Tuhai River project. Ac cording to the Chinese present price systems of purchasing grain and cotton and exchanging in the market, grain price, by equilibrium, is about 215 do~lard per ton, grinned cottoi, 2150 dollars per ton.

Livestock price is calculated roughly basing on the actual price which has happened most frequently in recent years.

Aquatic price has commonly adopted the selling price of breeding links. It is consi dered that part of the aquatic speeific items belongs to preserving and. manufacturing investment. So the

·-111- final price is determined by 110 percent of the first- time selling price. Now the first- t i me selling prices of prawn, sca llop (fresh with shell),abalone(with shell) and sea cucumber are given in order; 4032 dollars, 1075 dollars , 11828 dollars and 76200 dollars per ton. And their final price are 4435 dolla rs, 1183 dollars ,

13011 dolla rs and 73925 dollars per ton in order.

The prices of chip date big in size a nd

Luoling golden sliver date small in size are 538 dollars and 430 dollars per ton. Its determinating principle of price is j ust the same as that of the livestock products.

The ~eterminating principle of other products ' prices (including the price of manufacturing products) is also the same as that of the livestock products.

Labour day price. It generally counts on the principle of 3 yuan for each labour day. 9.03 The output of the specific products. The production ability and quality of the manufactoring items are both estimated on the standard of the same kind of enter prises present in our country. Both the increase of livestock breeding and technical parametres are --112- estimated on the practical investgations and technical data concerned given by the science and rese&rch dep­ artments of livestock husbandry . The beneficial results of water cGnservancy show briefly on the expansion or improvement of the irri­ ga~ion areas, on the improvement of saline- alkali so­ il and on providing conditions for reclaim of the ~a­ ste and alkaline land. The refore the products base mainly on the raised outputs of the farm products r e­ sulted from the expansion of irrigation and something like this. According "The Project of H~bei Plain. Chi­ na" and investigated materials from 150 peasant house­ holds in QiHe , Yu Town and Ling County project distr­ ict of our province and combining that with the cir­ cumstanc~ of their distr1ct , we have determined six beneficial parametres of water conserrancy. They are: 1). expanding irrigation area by which the output of grain increases 1,350 kilogrammes per hect@ re and the output of grinned cotton increases 250 kilogrammes every year; 2) . harnessing saline- alkali soil ( above middle degree) by which the output of grain increases 1,100 kilogrammes per hectare and the output of grin­ ned cotton increases 170 kilogrammes every year; 3) .

-113- reclaiming waste and ilkaline land by which the out­ put of grain increases 1,880 kilogrammes per hectare and the output of grinned cotton increases 188 kilo­ grammesevery year; 4 ) . the profits of improving, dr­ ought-resisting and irrigating areas occupy one third ad the profits by expanding irrigation areas; 5) . the profits from harnessing saline-alkali soil should be calculated on 50 percent of the general profits.in the first year and the general profits must be realiz­ ed in the second year; 6). the first year's profits from reclaimi~g waste and alkaline land are calcu­ lated on 50 percent of the general ones and the sec­ ond year8s on 75 percent, the nomal profits will be realized from the third year. The nomal output of date-grain production in the I tenth year is as following: 990 kilogrammes per hec­ tare for the date ( dry) big in size and 1350 kilo­ grammes per hectare for the date ( dry) small in size. The profits of intercrop are calculated from the sixth year. And the prosperous period will begin from the tenth year. The order of the 9utput ( dry date) from the six­ th to the ninth year is: 198, 396 , 594 and 792 kilo­ grammes per hectare for big date; 270, 540 , 810 and

-114- 1,080 kilogrammes per hecta re for small date. The prosperous period begins from the tenth year. The output of the big date of Yuanling is 999 kilo­ grammes per hectare , and the golden small date, 1350 kilogrammes. The output of prawn breeding is calculated on 1 , 125 kilogrammes per hectare in the first year, 1,275 kilogrammes per hectare in the second year and J , 500 kilogrammes per hectare from the third year. If scallops can be produced four times every six years, 52 .5 tons per hectari;. :)i' fresh scallops with shell will be gathered every time, that is, 35 tons per unit area yield of the year. I f abalones are fished for every two years,fifteen tons fresh aba­ lones per hectare can be gathered every time, amount to 7.5 tons per unit area yield of the year. If sea I cucumbers are caught every three years, 337.5 kilo­ grammes dry sea cucumbers will be gathered every ti­ me, equal to 112.5 kilogrammes per unit area yield of the y ear. The plan of outputs in other specific products are consulted about that of the outputs in the same

-115- kind of products as well as the technical para­ metres given by the technical departments. 9.04 Project profits. Project profits are received from the unit price of the specific products which multiplies the numbers of its outputs. Because of erences of accounting methods between various enterprises in this project, some manufacturing enterprises only record the increasing value income of manufacture, but others record not only that but the value of manufacturing objects. So condering the factors of recalulating the profits, we think that it is most valuble to investigate the profits or net cash flow. 9.05 cost of the profit. The project cost in this \'Report' is divided into financial cost and business cost. The former which includes interest and depre­ ciation charge is the whole material consumption of the project. While the latter includes neither in­ terest nor depreciation charge. Here is the illus­ tration for the estimation of business cost. The business cost of manufacturing enterprises is determined basing on the practical consumption of the same kind of enterprises present in our country.

-116- The business cost of breeding industry depends on the practical consumption of the mo st livestock ra­ isers and on the technical data given by the depart ­ ments concerned. The business cost of data- grain production serves as the charges for fostering management such as f er­ - tilizer, farm chemicals, labourers and so forth eve­ ry year. Big date of Yuan ling fostering charges are arranged like this: 12 dollars per hectare from 2 to 5 years, 40 dollars per hectare from 6 t o 9 years and 80 dollars over 10 years. The charges for gold­ en small date are arranged like this: 16 dollars per hectare from 2 to 5 years, 56 dollars per hec­ tare from 6 to 9 years and 11 2 dollars per hectare over 10 years. The bus iness cost of conservancy works in this project consists of the charges for mud-clean­ ing, charges for drpreciation of equipment, charges for transportation, charges for expanding irriga­ tion areas and the growth labour charges ( chiefly refer t o the harvest l ink ) dependi ng on the rais­ ing output of the products in the project of leading the Yellow River water for irrigation. The charges

-117- for mud-cleaning, maintenance and management of the project, renewal of equipment as well as transporta­

tion of the project are all calculated on ten percent

of the original value begining from the third year.

The charge for expanding irrigation is one hundred

yuan per hectare a year. The charge for increasing

the numbers of labourers and for harnessing various

kinds of areas (still converting improvement, drou­

ght--resistant and irrigated ares into three parts) is calculated on 7.5 labour days per hectare, as it were, 6.05 US$ per hectare a year. The determinating principle of other business cost is similar with that of the manufacturing

enterprises and livestock breeding.

9.06 Business life-span of the project.

Business life-span of a project is determined by how long i~ can be used and how much it can affect its inside reward rate. In this project wate·r co­ nservancy works and date-grain production can be brought into play for a long time. Because its in­ side reward rate is higher, its business life-span

(life-span of hydraulic engineering) is determined

-118- as 30 years. Which it is able to reach in 31 years in the dynamic analysis. The available period of chief fixed assets of other projects is, on the wh­ ole, about 20 years~ So its business life-span can be. defined as 20 years ( i ncluding the 22 years for construe tion ) • 9.07 The datum profit rate. I t refers to the discount rate which reflects the cost of the investment in a project. That is deter­ mined in this <')as 8.4 percent, which is eq­ ual to the annual interest rate of the practising, loans of our country. 9 .08 The establishment of cash flow table of the project. The deficient value of fixe.d assets. Because the available limit of th1 fixed invest­ ment in this project is different, such kind of method dis utilized in this (), that is, if the lifetime of the assets is less than 20 years, the calculation for renewal cost during their av­ ailable period is omitted. Instead, if the lifetime of the assets is longer than 20 years, the reco­ very for the deficient value and the land price is

-119- omitt ed also. Current assets. Current ass ets form the business cost of a project. They are recovered by way of deducting the business cost from the project, so current assets are not listed in the cash-out in the . cash flow table. The time di ff erenc,e bet we en pro j ect profits and i ts business cost. The time difference between cost and profits is the premise and foundation of the dynamic a nalysis. The time difference exists not only between project profits and its construction cost, but also in its business cost. Report is based on the turnover rate of current ass ets of different projects. If current assets turn. over twice a year, their profits should happen half year l ater than that of the business cost from the an­ gle of time. If current assets turn ov.er four times a year, their profits shouid happen three months later. The rest is on the analogy of this. Fixed investment. In this project any investment, which is put in all at once and acts continously for many years, is considered as fixed investment.

-120- 1·l r ,:oursc , her,~ there! nre ::;o me special situ;i ti.o nH

tiuct1 ;is bree <.iinr, f1quipm

::il ,·:1n be USPd i·or thre~ ;1nd :, h,df ye;i r on an aver­

:1,:,· ';,nd p:ir-L of t h e inv (•t;tm1~ nt i.n impro v_i n~ grass­

l:1n1! ( i n ves lm e nl v.hi c h i s c;e nc rcd ly pul in perio­ di.c:: I ly Av ery fi v e ye;l rS ) • Tn th'i.s proiect t he me­ thoci of periodic r,• ne V1al o r invt=:r; Lment is adopted fo r ciec1lin~ with those sper.j ;:1l fixed inv1:-stm~ nt .

Ar. co rding to the Rbove-mentioned ;ipproach t he tota­ l cash flow table of this project is referring to Table 9-1.

-121- The Total Cash Flow Table of Agricultural Co apre­

hensive Development of the Pro jects

Unit: 10,000 yuan T~~ 9-/ Cash out Net cash Age Cash fixed in-Busine- Flow in Total vestment ss cos t T;:ix 1989 ·-- -- I 2814 48086 __ 36460 11620 5 ~45272 1990 ... 22707 45824 20 175 25241 108 i- 22817 199 1 47052 55632 6829 46973 1830 - 8580 1992 70318 57493 432 54821 2241 12825 1993 81178 68463 4579 - 59635 4249 127 15 1994 ,85439 . . --- -· .. 63335 48 58999 4288 221ou . 1995 r:- 88573. 6398.7. 0 59697 4290 ~4586 1996 91773 65 101 0 -·· . --- . - 6076 1 4340 26672 1997 95660 69783 4424 60984 4375 2587?. .. 1998 99585 65864. 0 . 61444 442.0 .. -. - .3372..l - · ;19.99. . 10.68.Q4 .. 66,320.. 48 6_1837 ~ - - l10L1BL1 - - ·- 2000 C. ") --./',... \ l. 11_9394 6_6Z29. L .• 0 . +~ 10. . _ 4358.5. _ .2001 62559 4534 37037 108554 ..7}5 _t7 · ~1:rl-4 - ... - - . - ·- ·-···-· - · O 1+2201 2002 108388 67187 I . : 62632 4'55... _ ... - .. ~o 1 62710 4555 42375 :2003 109640 67265 ! ! :2004 _1_1 ac; 1c; 67 172 . ~8 ~ - J-6~f>9_.-· - 4555 513ll - · 2005 109661 71 ~? 1 ... 4424.. , 6257~ \ 4549 ?~ 110 .:. , 2006 109661 67127 0 i 62572 4555 42534 . ·-- ~ i6?.J,if. 0 ' 62572 4555 42534 2007 109661 .. ... ·- - ·- : ~008 . _ 1-096.6.l .. 67J 27. _Q. __ : 52522 Li...'i5'- IJ.;;,5_34-_ 109061 64180 0 59631 4549 454"8"1 f-ZOQ.Q.. - . - - . r2010 109661 .35548 0 32539 3009 "741 13 j 0 20 1 1- 20 ~ ~ 3 l l 90 7498 02?7> 225 1?7>6Q2 .. I 1) o · ·225 / ·l,Q9ti5 a:> 19 31190 225 -·. -122-· 9.09 The chief financial analysis index for three branches of this project is 1ble 9- 2 referring to the followi n~ table. ( table ')- 2, 9- 3, 9-4, 9---~ ~ _9- 6, 9- 7, 9 -8 )

1 To tal Aquatj Among lli ves•1uhai c · - ~ tocfil River Among i tem tpra- seat Pro - 1.rea-i tern .1 t wn I · ec wa t er dategrainJ l ivestock fruit itmret " oro due tionma nuf ac- manu f 2- c -- conser- · ture vancy tu~e Static inve-After stment reco-tax 7.2 6 •.4 .6.6 6.1 7. 7 7. 8 ?.O very period ... 9. 1 6. 8 6. 7 ( "Jfear) Bf fore tax ' 6 ...7 6.1 6.1 7. 4

Dynamic in- ~fter •. I 8 7 7. 8 vestment re- tax : 8.3 7 •.0 9. 9 8. 8 7. 9 9. 5 ~o very peri-B-efor~~ 8. 3 8. 6 o d ( year) - tax • 7 7 7.3 8. 4 •' 7 ... 1 Ne t spot After tax : ' 135- value 2050395 1749-- 5251 650( 18264 026 38599 78080 6621.J. 16i:,c; r,o,ooo dol~~fore - J - are: tax 240106 33587 64612 7 ·- i:'i nancial After n 17. o(j 27 .8i c:::65 1 recovery tax 23 . 38 1.20 . 76 9. 74 24 . 34. 53 2 1. 74 l 'j • U 4 rate(%) 00 ·- Betore tax 25.92 23. 00 l25.4 1 29 .02 ·- - ·

-123- 9.1 0 The financial analysis of the households which breed aquaties, can be found in T8ble 9- 9, 9- 10 . 9- 10 The sensitive analysis of this project is referring to the following table. T'a bl e ( 9- 9 )

Change R~ nge Fina ncial Lower than the facto r s for change r ecovery expact financial rate - .. (%) :..'ecovery rate Financial recovery - 23 . 38 - rate (%)

Sale price do wn 10% 17.05 - 6. 33

Business ·~ cost up 10% 18. 82 - 4. 56

...... - Post po ne- ment for production a year 20.98 -2.40

-124- J

Th e Anal ysis Chart after TAx !orthe Total

Investment of the Aquatic Products Project

Cha r t 9-3 Unit: RMB V 10 ,000

he!erence orofi t rate 8 . 4"

Year lnves troen t Profit Net profit Present Present Net Present Internal value of value of value revard rate ___ .. + ---~ -- _,J ~ r . ... ,,.,. I I ?. ... -, ... ?. "i?O"I ~ r... 1 f. '4 ,:-. ·,!. .,. ... ._, .... ' ., t1 r.'"' . ,. I - I I I · I I - I ., ., 1..., ,., - --- I 2 I Z IHl % 8 I I - t :J M r,!> I I 4-.J2 ff "f I % H", t I 1t•f!, U . ( I f- ··--l ---- 1 -··----!-· -----,. - - - -, 1 ~- "" ··- 1 I I :, I t 4q?.7 I 1 .. ,.c. ... l ?.6::> I .1 ?. 7 8 3 1 ?.. 4 "'('J , ...... ·1 1 %% 1 l I ·· - I - - I I --- -- I I 4 I ')£,29 ?.lU7UI 1 22 1 9f 7S 6 e l 171761 t, ·, fi q . : , I 1---1- ·--+----·I··------+ -· 'If, I 6 ·t I 1 s I 14871 I 23 1 7 0 I H3fl ? I 1877 8 1 167061 ,,. ... ',. :-1 :>. :1-, . ·, I f-----t - ; ----4------·+ -- I & I 11647 1 ?."'t 4 ?.f, I 11779 1 77 A ZI 15651 1 "IH7 K :.. 7~;-:,, . hI I --- t ---i- ---1-- ·---1 - - --1------1-- - ! 7 I I 1 I 6 4 7 f % :ct 1 7. 6 I 1 1 7 7 9 I 7 I 7 q I 1 4 4 :-1.. f ., ~ ...., .,, .. .. ., I l··-·--1 -·----i-·· ·--·--!-·--- +-----~------·-l I I e I 11647 f 23 1 261 1 1 779 1 6 6 ?.?. I 1. 33?. H I r, ,, .., ., .,. , ... 4 . " I I --- ~ ... -·+· --·-. ·-I I 'J I 1&t17 1 I %3 4 ?.r. f "l3SS I 114 3 8 1 1?.?.1111 1 ' '"''• .., I 1---1 - -· ·I - -·. - ----1------,-·------+··· I I 1 e I 11 ,.4 7 I 7.:J 4 7. 6 t 1177!1 I 56 :-t,-,1 1 1 :t:tsl •, "t HH I • ., .... , ' • I t ~ --· I- -··- 1 ·I I t 1 1 t ,, 4 7 I ~- ·- -·· ·-· ?.3 .. ?.r. I 1 t 77 '> I "•, q419 I 1tt4'>7 ' •,;,.•,u I I 4 "I' fl ,. , I -+ -+--- - - 1· I -- I I I 1 z 1 t r,4 7 I z:t 4 zr, t 1 1 77•J I 4 7qr, f •> r--. 4 ·, I ...... , 1 %% "1 ... I I I --1- . ---·--· - --, - ··-··- I •.. t I 1 3 tf, M 7 t I 2 · 14 7.t, 73S!, I I 6 111 :-0 f tHl'"t•) f ,·, I I I·-- I .. -·I-- --l- - -1- - - - _, I I 1 .. 1 lf,4 "1 1 Z"t 4 7.6 I 1177') I 4MII Z I 117.1M I .., I ;,,ou ... I t I - I I I " I I S I 1 1.647 1 23 1 Z61 11.7791 376!.f 7573f "I UMII (', .. ... z I 1----t ---- - + - - ---+------+ ----- I --1- - -· I I 1 6 I 11 6 4 7 I 23 4 2& I 11779 f 3 4 7 .. I 6906 f i5t3 •,7•, .., I l-+----1--·----lf------, 1----;---- I I 1 7 I t6 t1 7t I 23 4 26 f 7355 I 41221 6 14 5 I %H 21 ~ ' >"( .., I I-- - I ---1 - - f1 ------i-- --- l-· -I I I JU I I 1 6 1 7 f 23 1 26 I 11779 I 2956 I 59 1 6 I Z !J~H I · 1 • • ., ·, I 1-- I --1- ·---; ·I-· I I ,., I 1, ,, .. 7 1 2 :1 4 2t, I 1177<:1 I 277.7 I 5 4 05 1 Z?SH I ·-t ~ r, ._. 'I 1-- I ·· - -i +--- --·I·-----i I I I 7. H 111', .. 7 1 z:t 4 ?.6 I 11779 1 2S t 6 I .... ,. .. , ;.: · ~., 4 I % .,., ., I I- ~ --+------1------l ·----·--1-- ·I I f % 1 ll "I HH I 147Z(, I 1 7::> 4 1 .. ,.,,n 1 %•> ">1 I ZII H .%1 I t-- -- ·--1 . - --·- ,_ - I - I I %% 1 R 4 ., 6 1 % ·,1:t.:r, I I ..... f 4 : 111,, f I t "l 1, I % J' I I I --1- ---··-I - -- - ···-I- - - - I I 11 t tit I f't ;: 111, I 1 '•" ' •) % I 1 "('lt1r.1 1 1 ?,~._, ., ... ,, I~..,,,.,,.... . tl I •, 1 '( 1 fl I I ·, .., .,

I Profit and cost r ate = 1. 334 Inve stment r ecovery peroid 7.8 years )? I LL)- Th~ Analysis Chart be!or Tax f o the Total Investment of the Aquatic Products Projects

Chart 9_-_4__ _ _Unit: RMB V 10 ,000

Ref erence profit r ate 8 . 4~ Present Present Internal Year Cost Profit Ne t prof! t f" prm,t value of value of value reward rate cost profit 23 % 1 1 ?. #i 1 61 ,__ ?..17 __ -5 ~ -.... ,., ~ ,;4h1 % 1 ..., •• ...... , ...... ' I -· - __ ------·- I I % 1,1• , I I It,, II, I ?. ?. HRZfl I 77SS 1 1 q?. "' '" 1 ., 1 '•" I I ------1 -I·· I 1 · , I 11q,:7 I 111",,., 1 I ..:r, · 1 I 1,: 7 M :J I • % .., •., •• . ~;.•., l '1 I I - I -- -l - -- • -- •· I- I 1 I " I ' If,.!') I ?. 111 ·,11 1 1 ?.7. 1') I ·rc;r-H I ... . "· ., , . ,,. ', r•, ;• I ·I - -1 ---· --1 I ' I ... I , ...... 1 ?.:J17H I 1 .. 1 .... 1 •t..,7% I 1 f, (' flt . . ,• I 1', •',1111 M I - -- 1 ·- -~- -- ·-··-·-1 I - I I 6 I 981A I ?.3 1 26 1 1 ::ts7 11 I h5H H I ' •• , ••• 1 'l"1 t :• I 1•1 :,,0 1 f, 1---··+-----t------t I I 7 I 9 tt18 I Z::'1 1 Z6 1 1357A I 6 ft 7 H I 111 ,•1 1 It at,•, I t 1 "" <1 I- ·---f- ---+ ---+--- I I O I () 848 I Z::'1 1Z6 I 13578 I 5599 I 133>:H I ·r·tzH I %',•l % 1---1------+------+----t- ---t I I I 9 I 11Z7B I 231Z6 I 9 110 I 7109 I lZ?.IIH I ., "I' •• It I 1 '1 1 '> •• 1----t-·----! ·-· ---1- - ---1- I I 11'1 I ~n10 I Z3 1 Z6 I 1 357A I 1765 I 11 r-1-. I f, '•I'M I ·t I t I - --1 - ··--1----"4- ---1 -i I I 11 1 9A1B 1 Z3 1 Z6 1 13570 1 1 396 1 I R1 ~'l l ,; t'I ,. 'I 1 :•·· · · I -·I · -··1 --·---·1 -· ---1 ·---1 I I l Z I 9048 1 231 ?.6 I 13S78 I 11'1 55 I ,, ~ ·, 1 I 1 ' t % .... I I · ·-- - I ··-1- ·---1--· -----1 1 I I 1 3 I 11?.7a I ?.3 1 ?.6 I <> 110 1 5 1 2 1 I nn•, •, I ,.., ., .. ' 1,%H .. I 1--- · I ·· ·I ------+ ----- 1 I - I 1 11 I <>010 1 >:3 1 ?.6 I 1 ,s·, 11 I "l•P , 1 I II ? 1 H "' "'"' ·;- "'" I' I I •• I- - 1 • 1 I I I 1 5 I 9A18 I Z34Z6 I 1,3578 I 3 1A1 I 757 ·-1 1 "l'lH I h RO ., I 1---··i • - ---i------,-----+·--··---1·- I I 1 6 I ()ft1A I ?.3 1 ?.1, I 1 3 s -, o I ?.<> : 17 I <1t1"1re I '1'1'1 q I I · -·I · - ·· --· ·-1.. -·. ·· ···- -t --· ·---t I I I I 7 I 1 1 ?.78 1 ?.3 1 Zf> I ' l'l?.H I f,"1.., '• I ;" • , 1 t I ; • I' 1 1 I '> 1 "" 1 t -- -I. - ·-- -+ --- ·--- I I I I I 1u I 'JH4A I Z3 1 Z6 I 135711 1 ;,: 4q•> I '"lC., '1f, I 1 "1 'I f, I I ;~ ·, 1 I r----+- ---1- ·---1 I 1 19 I 9818 I ?.3 1 Z6 I 1 3570 I 23 H f, I 5 4H "• 'I ----+------1--·- -1 I 2 8 I 9A18 I 231z6 I 13578 1 Z1Z7 1 5 Rf,H I %'J"'l t I ~ 1 ,. ;, I r----t-- - --4------1 - --~1---- -1 - I I I Z 1 1 69ft 7 1 Z31Z6 1 1651 91 1376 I 41, 1,n I 3?.'l >: 'I % ' .., ., t 1----·I ·---··--i------1----· -l-···--- I·-. I 1 zz I 315 7 I Z3 1 Z6 I ?.8269 I 5 tlM I 1 3 A r, I ·1-r z , , t ?. 1 :1 •1 I ---1------< -- --- I I 4 6019Z I 2 12286' l t ... Z J72 .. 7 l ?. ., fi -l' tt1 . t1 1 h <1 (,1 ? 1 1 H II t I -~ I Profit and cost rate ~ 1.454 Investment recovery peroid 7 . 3 years t '1..lo-- Tb.e A.nal.J(ai.s Chari for the Investment of the Processing Portion of the Livestock Project

Chart 9- 5 Unit· RMB¥ 10 000

~~nee profit rate 8 . 4 % Year Investment Profit Net profit Present Present Net pre- Internal value of value of sent reward rate

~~ .,_ cost ---#i+ uol n • ,., .,% ., ... •1 I I 1 86111 6 1 - 0 5•41S I 06H 1 I 6 111 ll !"o1 H I 1--··--- - 1--- .. - ·- I I i 2 111 939 5916 - S B 23I 1 1n1•11 I t. 4 r. u 'I 1,. : 1 1 I tf, 1•. H I -1- - I I f 3 'I 237'H J ?. 8 9 ot6 - 1000 1 t C)390 I 1 7-,q1 I - I h H ., I I 1 ~' % , 'f I 1·- - 1·- ... - ·· I I 4 I 29S 4 7I 3 11'13S 14 AO f 2~ 1 qT f K 4 ~fiG I 1 1, ... ( ·t "'1 ( I 1---1----t------1- ·I - I· f S I 3384 3 I ~5q3 4 2 8 9 t f ?. 3'J :1 I I ?.C, K ?.•, I % H•J-, 1 %'( H · t I 1- · ------·1--- · - - ·I 6 3329 1 37289 3990 1 %2% 4 21 Z 4 'J1~ l ;.i: ,. ·, 1 I 4 •t H I I ·-1--- 1 7 33291 37418 1 11 1 9 I 2 8 5 1 9 ) 230 s ·, I z•,:1•, I t---+------t------t------+------1-- I I B I 3111231 3 81118 1 3 907 1 1 93 4 51 2 1 f",1 2 I K%f, ., I 1 H (,' I f. I 1-----1------1------+---- 1-- - - I I I 9 I 3 411 231 3 0 2 111 I 1 187 I 1 784 6 1 2 884 21 ~ , ,,,-., I C')<.% '> I t .. I I 111 3 411 23 I 3 8 2 111 I 4 1 87 1 16463 1 1 0 4 89 1 %H ?.r, I ltttlt 1 ~ - -~ 11 3411231 382 111 1 41871 1 s 187 I 178 561 t t-t r, •, I r,tt!;t . u 'I t------+------1------+------4------1- I I I 1 2 3 111231 382 111 1 1 187 I 11010 1 157 35 I 1724 I ---. u 1 . tt I I t· I 1 3 I 3 4112 3 1 3 8 2 111 1 41 A 7 1 1 29?.S J 1 4 S 1 5 I 1 fi q 1 I .. . , • ,, 'I 1-----l· ------+- I ·-- - - -1 - I l I 1 -4 I 3 11123 I 302 111 1 '4 \ R7 I \ 1•, 23 f ' :1:1•,.., I I 1 •• f I ... l f t ·t I 1---1· ----+------1 - -'- - I I I I I 15 I 3111 2 3 I 3 92 111 I 4 1 87 1 18999 1 123 53 1 I 3S4 I + I I 16 I 3 111231 392 11'1 1 4 1 A7 I 1014 7 1 1 1 3 I .,.., . 1--- -l - ----1--·-­ ·----1·- -·I- I I 1 7 I 3 111231 3 n 2 ~ t----4- '- '_' _7 I 9 3 r, , I , ., s , ·1 I ~···· .. f--- +­ =f- +------I - · 1 I 1 e I 3 411 ?.3 I 3oz 1 B I 4 t n 7 I or, :1s I ., ,,.,., ,. I I H t, I t-- - I I- ---+--··----I· -, --- ·- I I 1 9 I 3 411 23 ) 3AZ 11'1 I 4 107 1 7C)fi61 O ------+------t ,. l._-8-__ 11" _.. I _ _66____4848 .._ I _____7 '41 S l!l l ~------I 7666 l _j____I 3 BK84 2 . ·-2 ~I~· - I tl3 K f; , 1 , n %,, .,. "" I

Profit and cost ra t e = 1. 061 Investment r ecovery peroid = 9 . 9 years

Note : 1. The investment column is the sum of civil construction investment , operating, cost and tax.

2 . Profit is the income of sal es .

:} , Th e investment column excludes depreciation and interest . I -~ I " Anal ysis Char t for tne Cost Investment of Livestock Project

Unit: RMB Y 10, 000 . Ref erence pr ofit rate 8 .4" Internal 'ie'ir Investment Pr ofit Net profit Present Present Ne t pre- value of value of s ent Revard rate cost profit value 25.41:' ,---- ·------.... t1 ., .,, I I I H6,.1 I GI I - 8548 1 nf>t11 I ,. 1 ...... ' I -- + --+-· ---1- - ·-I I .. ') I') I !, ' I I f, - s e ?.3 1 I s 4ntt l ... 11 1 1 I 1 7. f ,,.,.'l, , ...... • " I - -·-I ·------1------1 ---··-+ I :1 ~ 1 : ...... ' x .., .. ,.,,, I - 4tl4 I l 112i,~ 17','') I I 11 % I % 1'• ., I I- -I -· --+ ----·I- - --1·- - -- ~ I I I "' Z7 U !,7 I · 1 1 ., :-t ~. I 3 1 ?r1 I 7. I 11 ·, H I % -t "'If,'-, I ~ 1 •1•. I I %U-t II 1-- -· I• ·- ···--+·------l - -- I·- -· ~ - -- I· • I , 1 % t ,1t t •.. p,•1 :-t .. I 1666 I %% ,,1~ I %h .., ?.:'• I · 1 · • ·r ., 'I 1 •• H •1 ;, I I - i • - -l --l- ----1· I I I r, I :-11s07 1 :.17Z0 9 1 570Z I ?. 1e:,0 1 2 4<11 3 1 ·-111,,1 '1 1 •1Ut, I I I ·-- I ----+- ----· -l--- 1 7 I :11 S 0 7 I , .,. .. ,.., I 5 983 I 1 <1 41 9 1 7.3 1'1 57 I :-ir, · 111 I 1 % 1 H .. J f- --1- - --i-----t---~--·----4 I u 1 .l Z 1 !)9 1 :J uff1B I s e1.1 I 1u3eo l Z 16121 ., ... .. , II I 1-----i ·------I ., ., 1 ') I :JZ 1 99 I ______:l t1 Zt 0 I 6811__ I, ____16889 --1t------· ?.8M42 I1 - ~.. 1 ~ :l I ... .. I 1---+- - --t- I I 1 10 I ::12 1•>? I 30 2 10 1 6811 I 1 !i s ee I 10409 I Z!) fl'J I b ?. 4 ( I 1--i . --t-- ---·I ~ 1 11 I :t2 1I · 111 2 ,., I -,r: J ' - ·I ·--1 - --+ -- I ·- - I l 'J 1 % 1 •> •) t : ,11 2 1., I 6 " 1 , I ·.- !'i, •• I 11 r, I 111 •I 'l .. '"'"'" I ' I I ·--- I- I -I I ~ .... 1 % I •••, I ' 1112 I .. I 6., 1 t I r, •J :.; ~ I H ~ •. :.:t I 1 x•111 I ...... I 1 -- I I --·--!- . - - t .. . .. --- -I I 1 % I t2 1 •1 •1 I ·1112 1t1 J 6 1'111 1 ,. '"', r, I t 1 ••tt I .. , II I - --1,-----1- ---1-- - I 27. I (, ..... I :,112 I 8 I 2211 l'I I ~·.>!t "I I ....,., ~ .. I '1 Hf, ... I '• , 1 II 'I I -·--! ··-I - ·----1· I () 11 h.,.,.,:,!.. I 7 415Ht l 1 1 1 s 4 n I 2 n ., ·r 1 ? . , I :1 1 11 ;, ,. , , 1 I :, .•. , fl ., . • .. ..

Pr ofit and cost rate=l . 118 Investment recovery peroid•5. 9 years

I Note : 1. Th e investment column is the sum of ci vil construction investment ~ I and operating cost. 2. Pr ofit is the income of sales . -l1.f>- .. Th~ A.naly,1s Chart f o the Total Investment of the Tuhai River Or ojeot

Chart <,-7 Unit: RMB Y 10,000 -- Ref erence prof! t rate 8 . 4 % Year Cost Prof! t Net pro!it Present Present Net pre- l r. t ernal value of vllue of sent rew&.rd r !!tP cost pro!i t value 27 .81 ~ I 1 1 ~tHX 1 I ;.,:·111 I ?."( •1 : , I 1 : JHZ J I % •t ft I ' :· ... , I I .,., .. ... I I·· ----1----· ---1-- --- i · ---- 1 I I I I % 137CiSI !HI 3(, I " -, 7..., I , ;,:,;9 n I .. ., .,,. I .. II, I I :.· ,111•, 1 I I- -l- ---t-----11-- - --!-· ----! 1 J I , 7"1, 1 I ll1B2 1 - 6<42'1 1 t G7. <4'.l 1 •1 ·1 •1 I '• '1 I' I I H ( 41 •, I ~----1 ---t-· I I " I 1 u : 1 1 7 I 1 7 1 " s I - •1 , 7. I t "311A I I \ f, t ,.., 1 ti t I- _ _,______r-----;------t- ---1-- I 1 s I 2 8 5 1 91 2Z 8 66I 1 S t7 1 l "un z I 1 !, ~., t t I , .., .,., .., ...... , f---t- -l ­ 1 6 I 10397 1 2 <4 721 1 6327 1 t ?.Z9 l l 1 G~ 1 'J I I '1 '• 1 I 1--t------t------1 ------, - I I -, I 198<49 z7737 I 8600 1 117<4t l 17'1 I z ,; s& o I 1 11 · 1 '( I I •, I t•1 I ' th 1----i ··----i ·+ I I I 2 t I 21 <4 571 <488 ?.SI 26568 I '1 7.75 I 9!t t ,tt I I • • :-1 ., I 1-----~-----+------t----- 1---- I I l 22 I 1 3SBf'ol <40PI ZSI 3 1<4 :t9 I ?. <4'1 ( I f.l H,":U I , • • IH I , .,.__, • •• 1 t---+------1------+-- ---1----- I - I I I 23 I ., .. ._el z 3£>q 7. I 17.7, I ',?.tt•• I "" .., 1 u I It i I J I I· --+ ------1 ----ii--• ------1------~- I ?.<4 I 7 <4 7. I 1 t 7 :1 I "1tl t•t I ' I Hh I .... '( ' f--. - I -·--·--! --· -- -i· I I I ;., •, I , .. -.;t-1 I ..-, 1 1 Cl M I z ·-1<,•t;>. I 1fllt1 ;.i: I ...... , 1 .., ... ' '•' 1-- ·-! I • -----+ I I 2 , , I 7 <4 9BI ;1119 8 1 23f;

Chart 9-8 Unit : RMB Y 10 ,000

it e! e i:,ence profit rate 8 . 4 Yea r Cost Profit Net profit Present Present Net "pr e- Internal val ue of value of sent va- reward r ate cost profit l ue 29 . 02 % I I , :t"' , r., • % '(1 1 1 ?. "( ' t It I · tH 1 h % .,, ft I I I ;-,· 111 I I I 'I II ( '/ ,. ' - ·-· .. - 1 I I % I 'I ' . tf . ~. 'I' ...., ..,, "1f, % 1 I 1 %•,,,., I II I fl, , , ,.. , . t 'I I f I ·',. ,••, ., ·- I I I I I -. 1 7 <4U S ( I l '111 % I l ,HH :1 ' ' I •, 1 •1•1 I ; .. l'' l-1 •t I I· I I I I 77f',,; I I '(1 H S I ' ... ·1,, 1 I 1 · t•J «1U I I 'i f,f, "1 f .• 11 t I t IH I I t·· -"- ·•l • - - ·- ·· I l 'IH6U f I " %% H 6F. f % l !l1t I 1 -t :.. t tl...J I l ~'Hl 1 1 ','I ;, f l • 1 ·1 I I­ - -··-···-i- - .. ··-! -·· .. I I & 17<, . I 2 .. ·,21 I 7"3z I ' 1 It % H I ,,,•, 1 •1 I 1-- - ··-- 1 •11,'llt I•, ;• -, t I ... ---1·-· · ··--·- 1· I 1 ti 3 1 ?. Z 7 7::, ·, 9 3 9 S 1 1 : 1 .. " I ·, I I I I , ·,.,.,,, I 0 •, 1' 'I 1 I•, "f ti •1 I r-· · -· ·- ·· I .. · ··-1-· - --- 1-·---- - ....~ I II I 1 H 7 1 1 3 7 1 1 6?. 3 1 tH, 1 " I I I ·.," :• I I I I "( % '1 ... I ~----1 - .... - -- ·!-··- · ·I - ·I r. •• 11 'f I ', I I •1 I I I ., I ' l O 9 3 7 f '.i 1tll 2 4 I l SH II 7 I ., :J : 1 : .. I l ·, II 1 I, I 1--·- 1··- I -----t-- ··---+·---- ·-.\ · - -- · ·- - I I tH I 1 9397 I :rt949 l ~1ss2 I •1::i u & t 111 ' -tf, ' I ,, ., r ·,· , .., •., , 1 1-·-t · ··--·---!-·-- ··--!-·--- - - ··I I I lt I 1 9H3 H I 1 s 1,,0 I zs :1 :-10, I % Hit. % I·-·-· I ·· ·-·· -·- I· ··--·I-· --- - 1 1 1 I H r I '• I', ,, I I 1 2 I 2 ft ?.:;-.?. I '1H7?.H I ! Z t-l S Hf.t I II ·1 % ·, I % HH(,h I·- I· ----·!-· --t- t 1 ·r I 'f I I , 1 · 1•1 41 I I - ... , I I 1 :l I ?. H S t1r, I 1 r,9 , a I ?.,:; 1 , ?. I ·r7'H1 I l ·-- 1 '(IJ% ' 1 1 Ht1 I I I 'Jf, 1 ti I - I I ·I 1 14 % H ',HS I -i ·,·,•;;,: I % ..r 1 ,, ·r ·t % l •1 I lf, ";• · 1-1 I I t •,•, ;.• I o'(,f, II I I I I I .,, I % "'• L :a, I :ai 1 , ?. ·r I <> t..11H I 1 !iS 1 q I r----1- ---·--+· --..·- """""-··-- · 1-I .... ___ ---- I lfll . , ., •• 'Ill ' I I 1& I -·· - ... I·. ·I ?. o, s·, ., , ~.,-..tt ·,-., I .... , .. :-tH'J I ,. , ·1• , I I··--+- ----1· lf,'H: ' t I t H ti ;.~' I I I, I •, I, I - - · I·. • I I I 1 7 I Z H !-..?.S I 1AH?." I %7SHH I !, ,, 41 ·r I I · 1 ~ 1 t I I I r ', 1 , t, I It, 1 °·1 I I I I j , 11 ~ ., ..,%s I 11lH?.S I %"/''S HH I ',%..,,J I I - I· I ;~ I I I• 1 1,•111..-, I ;• 11n 1 I ... -· · -l- I I I 1 9 ?. H S?.S I 1 llH?.S I z·r <'>HH I 11tHf, f 1-- . ··t -·--l· ...... 1 1 %4 ', _, I I I 2 0 I 2tl1SZS I I 1011~!". I .,.._.,s .,.., I 11 · 1 · 1 I 1-·-·-l .. 1 H f '(' I ','1·1H I 11,11 ;..,, I ---t·· ·----1--- ·---,-· - -I· I z 1 I z e szs I 1 aezs f :>.? s ,u, I I 1---t ------!--· • ·-- - ;-. I ...... •,•I,,., 1 t H -11 I I 22 I > :.t%f'l:>. f 10H?.S I 3 471 ~-t f % 1 .. I I u 11 %11 I •· , ,,,, 1 1 r: ·r r I I-·- · I ·-t ···----l---- - +--·· .·--- . I I ?. :i - ·-I ·,z·, ·, I · 11 l ')H f 2 :1•)1 "( I 1% ' 1 ' 1 I t- . ',% U • J I "'I...,• .f, I 1, tf 1 I -l- ··-! I I ' ?. .. 7?.7 ::-t I '.i Jl

Profit and cost rate 1 . 700 Jnvp~trno.... t .,... ,..,..,., • .,...... a ...... -t,.; - 0 > ..

Th e Analy~ Chil.t...Jl!.t.el:: TaL fllr_ IaJ:m.e.I:. Househ.old.'.s investment of the Livestock Project -, Chart 9-9 Unit: R~9 I 10 ,000 lteference pr ofit rate 8 .4% Internal Year· Investment Profit Net profit Present Present Present reward ratP value of value of ( net) 27 . 27'1, ""'-'°It:. n-"fi ~ ,ni - I l 1-,, ( l ~7.3-; z. ., ',. ., .,7 1 I ;.,,. ••• l ,.. , .., ~· r ... ' .. "' I I------+ - - -t------l I I I ?.--·-1 B"'I 1 ') I j 7M :..!Z · 1 ?. •1 ·, 7r. ? ., I , • ., ·r 11 I I 1 •H . I ttH t ,. I 1--·-- --·-+- -·------I I I I 3 I 81 7. 5 I 187 7 ') I :, !, 1 I . ,.., I I I UU7%I •• I ' t I ' (;.., ..., ' 1 --1 ---+- ---- + ·+· I I 1 1M1 ?.S 11'111 3 15!,A I I I I I 111 u"' I .., .. .,. .. I 1 %% • 'I 1-- --1 .. -----1 - - --1- -I- I I I ···•·· 5 18125 I l 1 9 U 3 I l 'ihll I I I ·, '• ,, .., I ,, , . ·, •, f ', ,. ., I • • ,. , ' I I f--1 · I -1- I G I 181251 1191131 l S"'> II I ,. .. ,.--. ' .. .,..., ,, I 1 H-1 I I ti,, H I- ---1-· · I - I 7 I , e 1 z 5 I , , 9 a 3 I 1 !, :-, t1 I c, 1 % :, I ., ::t t i,, ' ...... , ' % tt•J f---1-----t------; ------1-- I I 1 8 I I 8125 I 1198 3 I 1558 I 5 !J7.7 I f,H I l I ...... ~% "( I +- ---t---- ·-1-- - - - I-- -·--1- I 9 I 181251 1 1 9 03 1 1 ss n 1 S 1h11 I l,ZU t , I fl I f .' ( .. I 1-- --I ---1 ---+- +-· 1-- I ' I 1 1M I 1e12s 1 11'lt13 1 1 5 •,11 1 ::. M11 1 ., .,'tit t '*• •I I , .... '• I 1--- ·I -1 ·----+-- I I I I tt I 1842SI 11 •Jn::tl 1 :•~•••I """-'•1 1 -.. ·1.., '-• I f ,*t*, I • ... I ·I -- I -·i- I I l 2 I I 8 1 ?. S I 1 I ') ti 3 I I :;. ', It I -, % •) I I .., ·~ ... , ,,,;.,,, I 1,,. II I I· - I - --l - 1-· I I 1 :.. 1 f11 ?.S 1 1 1 •l ll :--t I I ., •• It I ' f"lf o H I .... :, ,.11 I - - I I · ., '1 \f112S I 1 I ' c..t n -. I 1 •t , ti l It."• I I ' ...... ' '• I I- I ···I· I I I 15 181 2S f 11983 1 1 SSA I 337M f 7tU71 ., .. " -- + - I I 1 f, I 1 8 1 2S I 1 I 98:"I I , ssu I :, , .., q I .,,._ ·, ... .., ..., I I . , I 1----1 ·-----, ---+-- 1-- --1 17 I I IM1?. S f 11903 1 1 !-. ~. 11 I ?.. u r.u I ··%· • ( ., :,,, •, :, .. 1---1 -·I ·-1- --- I I 10 1 t,4 2!; I - I I ' I 'Jll :, I t ' " 'i rt I ;~(••It. t . ,.., .., 1 ,...... , '• 1-- - -- I 1 - I I I 1 9 I 1M1 7.S I , , •, 0 3 I I 1 ...... , % "1 "1 I f ,,. 1----·-1 ----I --I· I I ····· I ?.A I \ A1 ?.S I 1 1 11 I %% •--. ,:. I I I ( 1 % I - - l ---i- I I ' I I ?. I 18125 1 11 9R31 1 55 11 I % H '(? I t 1..., I I I - - ... .. -I ------I · I· I I ~~ '•% 1 3 I 11<10:"I ,;7 ·, .. I '"H, tt I ... H I I - ----1------1--· I ,~ It' ?. tc.!.7n I 7. 1 '(7 1 :l I ·-t , t : , • .. I t .. , • .,,.., :, I 1 1 :-u,,.,, % ., .,.., I •I I ... '--~··-- ....

Profit and cost rate= 1, 094 Investment recovery peroid ~ 6, 3 years

Note: 1, The investment column is the sum of civil construction investment , operaiing cost and tax.

2. Pr ofit is the income of sales.

3. The investment column excludes depreciation and interest. - Tbe Analysis Chart befor Tax f or Farmer Household' s Investment of the Livestock Project

Chart 9 -10 Unit: RMB Y 10,000 Refer ence Pro!-1J; Rat.~ 8.4;. Internal Re- Present value Pr.It~ ....N.e_t pr,eaen 1 ward Rate Ye ar Investment Proti t Net prof! t of cost value of val11e 28.86" cost ' ~~ ~ ??"IC. -212,.~ -. An '7• .. . ?7 " 4Q71 -:>7"6 - -- -··. - ·- .. t tt % t..., 1 I - '( >I Z?. I I ?.?.•) I ·,c. , ~ I ,_ .. ., ,, ' I I 11 I I - -- • I I I "1 111 · t·tH I 1 ., ., 7 '* I ,. :i !l I HO H>I I • , 1 ·, ·-t I % M •. ~,. I I •••• I I --- 1 I I I , ... . ,.,H I .. , 1 •,u ·-t t If\ .. :• I 1t 1 111 I '>1Mtt I '•' ' '• ,, I ,- ·-- I -- - I I I 1 11 . t'"I H I I 1 •JU :'1 1 , ...... , I (1 lf'J 1 ,,,• •, ., I 1 ,., .., ' te • • ', I -I .•. I ---· - I I ,. I H : 1 -1 H I I, I ,,.,:1 If\ .. =• I ... ,., ...... , ,. I , .... -1 - I I· I· 7 I I .. :... .. I I I '} II :-1 I 1 t.1 : 1 I ,, ·17 :1 t ., ·1,t1, I tH 1 I I .... ., " I I I ·-1------! I I n I '., ., .. ., I • I•) fl 3 I t 6 1 :t I !• n .,.. '> I f.. II 1 . , I ., .,1 % 1 •• % I ·--- I 1- --,-----­ - - ·- ·-I I I 'l I \lt :l 1 .. I \ I ')O :t I t,; 1 3 I !", ... ?. .. I ~?. rt•, I n,.;,,; I ' ·, ., I -l .. ! I --1---- ~- ­ - --+ -I I I ,., I '.,., .. ., I 1 I ')03 j tf\1 :• 1 ,., •• I :,Hfl 3 f r.-,qu I ' ..... % I t 1 · ·- - 1-- -·- - 1- --·I • I I I 1 I \ I" H :J I 1613 1 1., 16 I S31 <) 1 ·, :l I I , ... ' . ... . --· I-- ··-- 1 I I I l X 1 H t•IM I I., .. ... I I f,1 :t I 1 zc;u I 1•, , •• I ft.,, I,. I I I ' I I , 1 •,11 :-t I I f; .. :-t I , t•J ?. 1t I ' ""~. '• ~ I ..... " I· I I I H I •1 H 1 , .... I I ... ',... "1 I II, ~ -1 I ·•, .,., •. t' t , I ---- ! - ; I '• t , . .. 3 I ·1,1 :t I · 1071 •, :,, ... ,. • I I 1 • • 1 I •J ti I If; .. , I tMll"1 ,.., ... . .,., ... :• 11 · I I I .( I f, 4 : 1 I ., .. ,.. I 111 1 t •• n ·, I 1 f\" : 1 I % f ,%1 -t--- ,..,., l 'I I f I I ( I I ' , ., 1 H i•tH I I 'lit t J ' ,, .., ., I %•1 % 1 I %0H ft t ti• o I I I I I I -·- 1 I 1 H l•tH 1 I 'JU..J I 161 :• I ~.,> t t I % '"tit t','• ... - - 1------I- - I %. • I I 9fl '.l I 1fi1 :J I -: · 11111 I 1% t I ft H I - 1 -----1- •• 1 ., .., ·I 1 1 "11 · 1 I r, n 1 :, I %Z >1 "ll :;., •, It I Total 214852 247713 32861 102561.8 113066. 2 10504.4 0 . 77 Pr ofit and cost rate=l,102 Investment r ecovery period•5,9 years No te: 1. The Investment Column includes includes civil construction inves t ment and operating cost. I ij 2. Pr ofit is t he i ncome of sales. I 3. The investmen t column excludes depreciation and int erest. 9.12 Financial analysis of livestock raisers. Whe­ ther the peasant households joining in the project can stand to gain is one of the major conditions which decide whether the project is practicable or not. The financial recovery rate of the households' invest­ m'ent is 27 .2 percent basing on the financial analysis of raisers in the livestock raising item. While in the TuHai River project the investment financial recovery rate mf the cattle and sheep raisers is 25 . 6 percent. 2. Business analysis of the project. 9.13 Co mparing With the financial analysis, several important factors are going to make the bu­ siness recovery rate of the project much higher than that of the financial recovery rate. 9.14 Labour price. The proportion of the labour investment in this - project:.is great, but the labour requirements almost concentrate on two slack seasons in farming, winter and s pring. But nearly 40 percent of the labourers in this district have nothing to do. Therefore the business price or occasional cost of the needed labo­ ur is 0.5 dollar or so. In this way the business co­ st of the project will go down greatly.

-133- 9.15 The price of grain and cotton used in the fi­ nancial anal ysis is a c tuatly lower than the business price . 9 .1 6 As part of the out-fl owing cash in the finan­ cial analysis, tax revenue, however, is placed in the cost i n the business analysis. And its effect on reward rate can be felt in the table. 9 .17 This project will push effect on the social economy of this district without either profitlessne­ ss or reaction. 3. Financial cmntribution of the project. 9 .1 8 I t shows clearly in the table that the financi­ al profit rate is 2.54 percent of the total invest­ ment in this project ( difference between financial recovery rate before tax and after tax ) •. That means that during the business life-span the project will directly provide the financiall incollle about .. 228730 thousand dollars. In another words, the project will supply by an average of 7624 thousand dollars a year. If it's indicated by using the discount va.lue of 8. 4 percent, the project will provide the financial in-

·-134- come about 94270 thousand dollars, that is, the pro­ ject will supply by an average of 3142 thousand doll­ ars a year.

• I 9 .19 After the implement of this project. the output of grain and cotton in TuHai River district will rai­ se on a large scale. The farmers of this area will sell more grain and cotton to the state. Thus the state can get some indirect financial income by ma­ king the lowerprice than market or business price. Besides, it is quite sure that the growth outpat of all products in the area concerned is the financial contribution of the project, whether serving for ex­ port or not. 9.20 The practical price of the financial expence in thiJ project is cheap~r, so the resistant effect is the same . 4. Analysis about the risk in the project. 9 •.21 Water conservancy works in TuHai Riv.er proj­ ect. !tis probable that there are some dangers be­ cause of the water shortage from the Yellow River. ~ But the problem is not so serious. For details, see the appendix material I •. But even if such a problem as the water shortage can also have influence on o­ ther areas outside the project district, resulting -135- in the reduction of occasional or comparative costs of the project, that is, even if such a risk really existed, a project would be better than nothing. 9 . 22 Risk of price fluctuation of the products in the project. The sale for the products produced in this project bases mainly on domestic markets. And the products are tending to a great demand for a long term. So it is impossible to have the risk of the price reduc tion. 9 . 23 Strong wind and tide mainly threaten the aqu­ atic breeding. I n the project district the highest tide level in histo ry wa s 4. 67 metres high recorded in 1937 . The greatest tide difference was 3.1 metres, but nomal one is about 2 metres. All such things are considered in the construction plan of the prawn project. Prawnfon.d built on the shoal over the tide i s usually about 1 metre above sea level. A tidal

barrage 'Nith the t op :r.eis:1 : 1 Y r. ~: :-.er than ~h~ :r.~x . > · l evel in h.istory is set up. For pr otec tion, it is so sturdy and durable that it can withstand the most t empestuous tide attack. Sea treasures are breeding in the shallow seawaters where the top tide level in histo ry was 5 . 2 me tres high and the tide differ-

-136- ence is l ess than 2 metr es, though the strongest tidal current is 4 kilometer/hour. The strongest wi nd is 34 metre/second in the hi story , but the loss o n a large scale is rarely made .

-137- X. Conclusion 10.01 The conclusions obtained from analysis above are as follows. 1. Technical Feasility 10.02 The technology problems of the item are researched and demonstrated carefully. In the te­ chnical scheme drawn the seed, freeding stock, feed, production, sale, transport and technical service are included. It meets the needs of the serial production of the synthetical development. Based on the reality of the item area, the technology adopted is advanced and applieable, the scale is reasonable and economical. The experience in developing and utilizing the natural resources of wasteland and coastal zone are gained. For examples, the Qi-he, Yu-cheng, Ling-xan have successful pracitce in utilizing loan provided by the World Bank to transform saline-alkali and the people of Yi-mong mountain area to develope the animal hustandry, the mariculture. therefore the item is feasible in technology. 2. Organization Feasilility 10.03 The item has been supported and comfirmed by the Programme committee, the Ministry of finace and the ministry of Farming-animal-Fishery -138- of our country. People's governments at all levels pay great attention to it, and one of leading cadres takes charge of this work. The item has been brought into the development plan of the national economy. The departments of programme, committee, finance, agriculture, water conservancy, aquatic pro­ duct and forestry at all levels act in close cooperation, therefore the reliable administrative guarantee for putting the item into ·effect will be sure. There is a complete and reasonable organ for the item, besides, many technicians and managers who are competent at this job are engaged. The organ of this item will contact and cooperate closety with administrative and research units. From this point tf view item will be going smoothly toward the prede erminrl target.

3. Financial Feadilility 10.04 The farmer .>: ·. .: ·. ·- in the item area would gain profit. Additional of 14380 thousand egri­ cultural output value is expected every year. 10.05 The financial benefit of the item is remard­ able. Whthin 30 years, the current cash of the item areas will be about S 3650 million, revenue, S 230 million. 4. Econamical Feadilility -139- 10.06 $ 3650 million will be coated in the econamie life of the projects, while the total benefit will get to 6150 million dollars, caculated by discount rate of 8.4% The rate of cost-benefit will be 1.38. The period of investment recovering will be 7.7 years. The item will not only made direct benefit, but also a lot of indirect benefit.

10.07 The item will play an improtant role in the strategic development of agriculture in the province, and will find a new way of agricultural comprehensive development on a large scale, which will be used for reference by other provinces. The model experience will be obtained, and popularized as a good example. 5. Social Peasilility 10.08 Our country is stable, and opening to the outside world and activating in the interior are basic policies of our oountry. In the premary stage of socialism, the centre task is to develop production. Especially the argriculture is stressed. For making agriculture onto another new stage, the more imvestment is needed. It is clear the project is in line with the strategy -140- ': of development in agriculture.

10 .09 The regions, concerned with the development of animal husbandry in the project, are backward areas. The preferential policy will kept on by the goverment.

10.10 In brief, the project is feasible in technology organization, finance, economy and society.

6. Proposal 10.11 It is our suggestion that the project should be remained under the guidance and supervision of the leaders concerned in the government. l It is our another sug estion that the World Bank should help the preparation, and certain should be appropriated in advance for preparation; That delegation of the World Bank should be sent for the investgation on-the-spot in March 1988, in order to estimate in July and start operation by the end of the year.

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