The Power of Replicates

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

The Power of Replicates Technical Note: Gene Expression Profiling The Power of Replicates Introduction Figure 1: Differentially Expressed Genes As A Function Of Replicates Carefully designing and controlling experiments is as important as the execution of the experiment itself. One approach that ensures greater experimental success in gene expression studies using microarrays is 7000 the incorporation of replicates. Replication of conditions lends statisti- cal power that increases the confidence of the conclusions drawn 6000 from these experiments. This text discusses the many ways in which s researchers can benefit from using replicates in their studies. 5000 ssed Gene In a typical gene expression study, researchers are interested in genes re 4000 expressed above background levels, and genes that are differentially expressed between conditions of interest. The variation present in mi- 3000 entially Exp croarray data poses the challenge of determining whether differences er ff between expression measurements are caused by biological differ- Di 2000 ences, or by statistical chance. The best way to address this challenge is to use replicates for each condition studied. There are two primary 1000 types of replicates: technical and biological. Technical replicates 12 3 4 56 involve taking one sample from the same source tube, and analyzing it Number of samples in Each Group across multiple conditions, e.g., analyzing one sample six times across multiple arrays. Biological replicates are different samples measured Increasing the number of biological replicates in each group enhances the across multiple conditions, e.g., six different human samples across power to detect differentially expressed genes. six arrays. Using replicates offers three major advantages: significant differential expression. If the data distribution is unclear, • Replicates can be used to measure variation in the experiment non-parametric tests such as the Mann-Whitney test can be applied. so that statistical tests can be applied to evaluate differences. Several publications make specific recommendations on the number • Averaging across replicates increases the precision of gene of replicates required to detect various fold changes3,4. expression measurements and allows smaller changes to be detected. B. Increase Precision • Replicates can be compared to locate outlier results Averaging across replicates enhances the precision of measurements. that may occur due to aberrations within the array, If the standard deviation of an expression measurement is s, then the sample, or the experimental procedure. the standard deviation of the average across n replicates is. As the number of replicates increases, both the detectable difference from background and the detectable fold change decrease. The high cost of microarrays has typically constrained or eliminated the number of replicates in most studies. However, the cost must be C. Detect Outliers evaluated against the quality of the data, which includes ease of use, The presence of outlier samples can have a severe impact on the initial financial outlay, cost of arrays and reagents, and experimental interpretation of data. Most array platforms have internal controls that design (e.g., replicates assayed). A more informative experiment may detect various problems in an experiment. However, internal con- be achieved by assaying a smaller set of test conditions while includ- trols may not identify all issues. A more powerful approach is also to ing more replicates rather than assaying a larger set of test conditions consider the correlation between replicates. Subtle problems with the with fewer replicates. array, the sample, or the experimental procedure often become obvi- ous in a pair-wise plot of replicate measurements. BENEFITS A. Measure Variation Data Replicates improve the measurement of variation. Normally, if only one To illustrate the points above, a data set of 12 samples were analyzed array exists per condition, then fold change is used to determine dif- on the Illumina Human Whole-Genome Expression BeadChips. The ferential expression. However, the variation of the expression level for samples included six biological replicates from normal tissue and each gene is different and unknown. Multiple studies have shown that six biological replicates from diseased tissue. Figure 1 illustrates the fold change on its own is an unreliable indicator1,2. If multiple measure- number of differentially expressed genes as a function of the number ments (i.e., replicates) exist for each gene within each condition, the of samples in each group. When the number of samples was two or measurement of variation can be estimated. If the data follow more, a standard t-test was applied with a false positive rate of 0.05. an approximately normal distribution, the t-test or its variants reveal For one sample in each group, fold change was used to determine dif- Technical Note: Gene Expression Profiling Figure 2: Identification Of Outliers 6 2 4 r = 0.97 ) 4 0 2 mal Sample 2 ( x1 Nor 0 -2 -1 012 3 45 Normal Sample 1 ( x104 ) 6 4 r 2 = 0.97 ) 4 0 2 Outlier Sample 1 ( x1 0 -2 -1 012 3 45 Normal Sample 1 ( x104 ) By plotting correlation plots between replicates, outlier samples may be identified (top) that are not apparent without a replicate comparison (bottom). Technical Note: Gene Expression Profiling Table 1: Differently Expressed Genes Identified Using the t-test, we can estimate the noise in the data, so that less Under Various Conditions differential expression was detected between conditions, but the false positive rate remained the same. Figure 2 shows that correlation plots Between Between Normal between replicates would have revealed the outlier sample. Normal Samples And Disease Fold change, 554 1,906 Conclusion no outlier With the increased density of current microarrays, gene expression t-test: 3 replicates, no 559 3,377 researchers must be able to discern between true differences across outlier experimental and controlled samples, and those caused by random Fold change 1,898 3,259 variation. As the above data demonstrate, an experimental design with outlier that employs replicates allows researchers to detect variation within t-test: 3 replicates with 503 2,640 the assay, increases the precision of measurement when comparing outlier data points, and provides the ability to detect misleading and irrelevant outliers. ferential expression. The fold change required for significance was set References to achieve the same false positive rate as that used in the t-test. 1. Chen Y, Dougherty ER, Bittner ML (1997) Ratio-based decisions and the quantitative analysis of cDNA microarray images. J Biomed Optics 2: 364- The effect and treatment of outliers on a data set can be illustrated as 367. follows. Normal samples were divided into two groups of three. Three 2. Newton MA, Kendziorski CM, Richmond CS, Blattner FR, Tsui KW (2001) disease samples were selected. Random noise was added to one On differential variability of expression ratios: improving statistical inference of the normal samples to simulate an outlier, and differential expres- about gene expression changes from microarray data. Journal of Compara- sion was assessed between the two groups of normal samples and tive Biol 8: 37-52. between the normal and disease samples. Differential expression was 3. Pan W, Lin J, Le CT (2002) How many replicates of arrays are required to determined via fold change and then by t-test employing replicates. detect gene expression changes in microarray experiments? A mixture Table 1 shows the number of differentially expressed genes identified model approach. Genome Biol 3 (5) Epublication. under the various conditions. 4. Tibshirani R, A simple method for assessing sample sizes in microarray experiments. www-stat.stanford.edu/~tibs/ftp/samplesize.pdf. Genes differentially expressed between normal samples were false positives. In the fold-change analysis with no replicates, the false posi- tive rate increases dramatically if the sample analyzed was an outlier. Illumina, Inc. • 9885 Towne Centre Drive, San Diego, CA 92121 USA • 1.800.809.4566 toll-free • 1.858.202.4566 tel • [email protected] • illumina.com FOR RESEARCH USE ONLY © 2010 Illumina, Inc. All rights reserved. Illumina, illuminaDx, Solexa, Making Sense Out of Life, Oligator, Sentrix, GoldenGate, GoldenGate Indexing, DASL, BeadArray, Array of Arrays, Infinium, BeadXpress, VeraCode, IntelliHyb, iSelect, CSPro, GenomeStudio, Genetic Energy, HiSeq, and HiScan are registered trademarks or trademarks of Illumina, Inc. All other brands and names contained herein are the property of their respective owners. Pub. No. 470-2006-006 Current as of 13 Sep 2007.
Recommended publications
  • Understanding Replication of Experiments in Software Engineering: a Classification Omar S
    Understanding replication of experiments in software engineering: A classification Omar S. Gómez a, , Natalia Juristo b,c, Sira Vegas b a Facultad de Matemáticas, Universidad Autónoma de Yucatán, 97119 Mérida, Yucatán, Mexico Facultad de Informática, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, 28660 Boadilla del Monte, Madrid, Spain c Department of Information Processing Science, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland abstract Context: Replication plays an important role in experimental disciplines. There are still many uncertain-ties about how to proceed with replications of SE experiments. Should replicators reuse the baseline experiment materials? How much liaison should there be among the original and replicating experiment-ers, if any? What elements of the experimental configuration can be changed for the experiment to be considered a replication rather than a new experiment? Objective: To improve our understanding of SE experiment replication, in this work we propose a classi-fication which is intend to provide experimenters with guidance about what types of replication they can perform. Method: The research approach followed is structured according to the following activities: (1) a litera-ture review of experiment replication in SE and in other disciplines, (2) identification of typical elements that compose an experimental configuration, (3) identification of different replications purposes and (4) development of a classification of experiment replications for SE. Results: We propose a classification of replications which provides experimenters in SE with guidance about what changes can they make in a replication and, based on these, what verification purposes such a replication can serve. The proposed classification helped to accommodate opposing views within a broader framework, it is capable of accounting for less similar replications to more similar ones regarding the baseline experiment.
    [Show full text]
  • Comparison of Response Surface Designs in a Spherical Region
    World Academy of Science, Engineering and Technology International Journal of Mathematical and Computational Sciences Vol:6, No:5, 2012 Comparison of Response Surface Designs in a Spherical Region Boonorm Chomtee, John J. Borkowski Abstract—The objective of the research is to study and compare Where X is the design matrix, p is the number of model response surface designs: Central composite designs (CCD), Box- parameters, N is the design size, σ 2 is the maximum of Behnken designs (BBD), Small composite designs (SCD), Hybrid max designs, and Uniform shell designs (USD) over sets of reduced models f′′(x)( X X )−1 f (x) approximated over the set of candidate when the design is in a spherical region for 3 and 4 design variables. points. The values of the two criteria were calculated using The two optimality criteria ( D and G ) are considered which larger Matlab software [1]. values imply a better design. The comparison of design optimality criteria of the response surface designs across the full second order B. Reduced Models model and sets of reduced models for 3 and 4 factors based on the The set of reduced models is consistent with the definition two criteria are presented. of weak heredity given in Chipman [2]. That is, (i) a quadratic 2 Keywords—design optimality criteria, reduced models, response xi term is in the model only if the xi term is also in the model surface design, spherical design region and (ii) an interaction xi x j term is in the model only if the xi or x or both terms are also in the model.
    [Show full text]
  • Relationships Between Sleep Duration and Adolescent Depression: a Conceptual Replication
    HHS Public Access Author manuscript Author ManuscriptAuthor Manuscript Author Sleep Health Manuscript Author . Author manuscript; Manuscript Author available in PMC 2020 February 25. Published in final edited form as: Sleep Health. 2019 April ; 5(2): 175–179. doi:10.1016/j.sleh.2018.12.003. Relationships between sleep duration and adolescent depression: a conceptual replication AT Berger1, KL Wahlstrom2, R Widome1 1Division of Epidemiology and Community Health, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, 1300 South 2nd St, Suite #300, Minneapolis, MN 55454 2Department of Organizational Leadership, Policy and Development, 210D Burton Hall, College of Education and Human Development, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455 Abstract Objective—Given the growing concern about research reproducibility, we conceptually replicated a previous analysis of the relationships between adolescent sleep and mental well-being, using a new dataset. Methods—We conceptually reproduced an earlier analysis (Sleep Health, June 2017) using baseline data from the START Study. START is a longitudinal research study designed to evaluate a natural experiment in delaying high school start times, examining the impact of sleep duration on weight change in adolescents. In both START and the previous study, school day bedtime, wake up time, and answers to a six-item depression subscale were self-reported using a survey administered during the school day. Logistic regression models were used to compute the association and 95% confidence intervals (CI) between the sleep variables (sleep duration, wake- up time and bed time) and a range of outcomes. Results—In both analyses, greater sleep duration was associated with lower odds (P < 0.0001) of all six indicators of depressive mood.
    [Show full text]
  • Topics in Experimental Design
    Ronald Christensen Professor of Statistics Department of Mathematics and Statistics University of New Mexico Copyright c 2016 Topics in Experimental Design Springer Preface This (non)book assumes that the reader is familiar with the basic ideas of experi- mental design and with linear models. I think most of the applied material should be accessible to people with MS courses in regression and ANOVA but I had no hesi- tation in using linear model theory, if I needed it, to discuss more technical aspects. Over the last several years I’ve been working on revisions to my books Analysis of Variance, Design, and Regression (ANREG); Plane Answers to Complex Ques- tions: The Theory of Linear Models (PA); and Advanced Linear Modeling (ALM). In each of these books there was material that no longer seemed sufficiently relevant to the themes of the book for me to retain. Most of that material related to Exper- imental Design. Additionally, due to Kempthorne’s (1952) book, many years ago I figured out p f designs and wrote a chapter explaining them for the very first edition of ALM, but it was never included in any of my books. I like all of this material and think it is worthwhile, so I have accumulated it here. (I’m not actually all that wild about the recovery of interblock information in BIBs.) A few years ago my friend Chris Nachtsheim came to Albuquerque and gave a wonderful talk on Definitive Screening Designs. Chapter 5 was inspired by that talk along with my longstanding desire to figure out what was going on with Placett- Burman designs.
    [Show full text]
  • Lecture 19: Causal Association (Kanchanaraksa)
    This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike License. Your use of this material constitutes acceptance of that license and the conditions of use of materials on this site. Copyright 2008, The Johns Hopkins University and Sukon Kanchanaraksa. All rights reserved. Use of these materials permitted only in accordance with license rights granted. Materials provided “AS IS”; no representations or warranties provided. User assumes all responsibility for use, and all liability related thereto, and must independently review all materials for accuracy and efficacy. May contain materials owned by others. User is responsible for obtaining permissions for use from third parties as needed. Causal Association Sukon Kanchanaraksa, PhD Johns Hopkins University From Association to Causation The following conditions have been met: − The study has an adequate sample size − The study is free of bias Adjustment for possible confounders has been done − There is an association between exposure of interest and the disease outcome Is the association causal? 3 Henle-Koch's Postulates (1884 and 1890) To establish a causal relationship between a parasite and a disease, all four must be fulfilled: 1. The organism must be found in all animals suffering from the disease—but not in healthy animals 2. The organism must be isolated from a diseased animal and grown in pure culture 3. The cultured organism should cause disease when introduced into a healthy animals 4. The organism must be re-isolated from the experimentally infected animal — Wikipedia Picture is from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Koch 4 1964 Surgeon General’s Report 5 What Is a Cause? “The characterization of the assessment called for a specific term.
    [Show full text]
  • Blinding Analyses in Experimental Psychology
    Flexible Yet Fair: Blinding Analyses in Experimental Psychology Gilles Dutilh1, Alexandra Sarafoglou2, and Eric–Jan Wagenmakers2 1 University of Basel Hospital 2 University of Amsterdam Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to: Eric-Jan Wagenmakers University of Amsterdam Department of Psychology, Psychological Methods Group Nieuwe Achtergracht 129B 1018XE Amsterdam, The Netherlands E–mail may be sent to [email protected]. Abstract The replicability of findings in experimental psychology can be im- proved by distinguishing sharply between hypothesis-generating research and hypothesis-testing research. This distinction can be achieved by preregistra- tion, a method that has recently attracted widespread attention. Although preregistration is fair in the sense that it inoculates researchers against hind- sight bias and confirmation bias, preregistration does not allow researchers to analyze the data flexibly without the analysis being demoted to exploratory. To alleviate this concern we discuss how researchers may conduct blinded analyses (MacCoun & Perlmutter, 2015). As with preregistration, blinded analyses break the feedback loop between the analysis plan and analysis out- come, thereby preventing cherry-picking and significance seeking. However, blinded analyses retain the flexibility to account for unexpected peculiarities in the data. We discuss different methods of blinding, offer recommenda- tions for blinding of popular experimental designs, and introduce the design for an online blinding protocol. This research was supported by a talent grant from the Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO) to AS (406-17-568). BLINDING IN EXPERIMENTAL PSYCHOLOGY 2 When extensive series of observations have to be made, as in astronomical, meteorological, or magnetical observatories, trigonometrical surveys, and extensive chemical or physical researches, it is an advantage that the numerical work should be executed by assistants who are not interested in, and are perhaps unaware of, the expected results.
    [Show full text]
  • Section 4.3 Good and Poor Ways to Experiment
    Chapter 4 Gathering Data Section 4.3 Good and Poor Ways to Experiment Copyright © 2013, 2009, and 2007, Pearson Education, Inc. Elements of an Experiment Experimental units: The subjects of an experiment; the entities that we measure in an experiment. Treatment: A specific experimental condition imposed on the subjects of the study; the treatments correspond to assigned values of the explanatory variable. Explanatory variable: Defines the groups to be compared with respect to values on the response variable. Response variable: The outcome measured on the subjects to reveal the effect of the treatment(s). 3 Copyright © 2013, 2009, and 2007, Pearson Education, Inc. Experiments ▪ An experiment deliberately imposes treatments on the experimental units in order to observe their responses. ▪ The goal of an experiment is to compare the effect of the treatment on the response. ▪ Experiments that are randomized occur when the subjects are randomly assigned to the treatments; randomization helps to eliminate the effects of lurking variables. 4 Copyright © 2013, 2009, and 2007, Pearson Education, Inc. 3 Components of a Good Experiment 1. Control/Comparison Group: allows the researcher to analyze the effectiveness of the primary treatment. 2. Randomization: eliminates possible researcher bias, balances the comparison groups on known as well as on lurking variables. 3. Replication: allows us to attribute observed effects to the treatments rather than ordinary variability. 5 Copyright © 2013, 2009, and 2007, Pearson Education, Inc. Component 1: Control or Comparison Group ▪ A placebo is a dummy treatment, i.e. sugar pill. Many subjects respond favorably to any treatment, even a placebo. ▪ A control group typically receives a placebo.
    [Show full text]
  • Partial Confounding Balanced and Unbalanced Partially Confounded Design Example 1
    Chapter 10 Partial Confounding The objective of confounding is to mix the less important treatment combinations with the block effect differences so that higher accuracy can be provided to the other important treatment comparisons. When such mixing of treatment contrasts and block differences is done in all the replicates, then it is termed as total confounding. On the other hand, when the treatment contrast is not confounded in all the replicates but only in some of the replicates, then it is said to be partially confounded with the blocks. It is also possible that one treatment combination is confounded in some of the replicates and another treatment combination is confounded in other replicates which are different from the earlier replicates. So the treatment combinations confounded in some of the replicates and unconfounded in other replicates. So the treatment combinations are said to be partially confounded. The partially confounded contrasts are estimated only from those replicates where it is not confounded. Since the variance of the contrast estimator is inversely proportional to the number of replicates in which they are estimable, so some factors on which information is available from all the replicates are more accurately determined. Balanced and unbalanced partially confounded design If all the effects of a certain order are confounded with incomplete block differences in equal number of replicates in a design, then the design is said to be balanced partially confounded design. If all the effects of a certain order are confounded an unequal number of times in a design, then the design is said to be unbalanced partially confounded design.
    [Show full text]
  • Types of Confounding
    Confounding What is confounding? Why we need it? Advantage and Disadvantage. How to reduce block size? Types of Confounding. Examples. ANOVA TABLE Concept of Confounding. In a factorial experiment we have n factors each are at s levels. If the factors and level of the factors are increased, then total no. of treatment combinations will also increase which we call the effect of heterogeneity that is the variability among the treatment combination will increase and consequently the errors variance will increase. Because of this result the estimate will be least precise estimate. So one is interested to remove the variability among the treatment combination. which is only possible if the size of the block will reduce to make homogeneity in the block. This concept of reducing the block size is call confounding. Who has developed confounding theory? • R.A. Fisher • Yates Definition Confounding of factorial experiment is defined as reduction of block size in such a way that one block is divided into two or more blocks such that treatment comparison of that main or interaction effect is mixed up with block effect. Main or Interaction effect which is mixed up with block effect are called Confounded effect and this experiment is called Confounding experiment. Block Block-1 Block-2 n0p0 n1p0 n0p0 n1p0 n1p1 n0p1 n0p1 n1p1+n1p0 n0p1+n0p0 n1p1 • Block Effect :- (n1p1+n1p0 ) – (n0p1+n0p0 ) • Treatment Effect.:- =Main effect N = (n1-n0) (p1+p0) =n1p1 +n1p0-n0p1-n0p0 =(n1p1+n1p0 ) – (n0p1+n0p0 ) Thus, Treatment comparison – Block effect =0 Here, We can say that main effect N is mixed up with block effect .
    [Show full text]
  • Experimental Design
    A few remarks on Experimental Design Simon Anders • How many replicates do I need? • What is a suitable replicate? • What effects can I hope to see? A preliminary: the word “sample” Statistician: “Our sample comprises 20 male adult subjects chosen at random from the patient population.” Biologist: “For our experiment, we used blood samples from 20 patients chosen at random.” An observed effect is called statistically significant. What does this mean? p < 0.05 ?? If the experiment were repeated with new, independently obtained samples, the effect would likely be observed again. If the experiment were repeated with new, independently obtained samples, the effect would likely be observed again. When can we claim such a thing? Only if we tried more than once! Replication How many replicates? What is the average height of a man in Germany? each dot: height of one subject each dot: height of one subject What is the average height of a man in Germany? each dot: average of n subjects standard deviation of observations standard error of mean = sample size Purposes of replication: 1. More replicates allow for more precise estimates of effect sizes. each dot: height of one subject What is the average height of a man in Germany? each dot: average of n subjects each dot: standard deviation, estimated from n subjects standard deviation of observations standard error of mean = sample size Purposes of replication: 1. More replicates allow for more precise estimates of effect sizes. 2. Replicates allow to estimate how precise our effect-size estimates are. Two Martian scientists, Dr Nullor and Dr Alton, ask: Is body height correlated with hair colour in human males within a city’s population? Dr Nullor’s UFO observes Helsinki: µ(dark) = µ(blond) = 180 cm.
    [Show full text]
  • Agricultural Statistics, Why Replication and Randomization Are Important Authors: Robert Mullen
    4/26/2016 C.O.R.N. Newsletter 2005­40 | Agronomic Crops Network Agricultural Statistics, Why Replication and Randomization are Important Authors: Robert Mullen In CORN Newsletter 2005­39 (http://corn.osu.edu/story.php?issueID=117&layout=1&storyID=657), we had a lengthy discussion as to why replication and randomization are necessary for statistical analysis. From a theoretical perspective the article was important, but from an applied perspective why do we care? Today we will discuss the potential influence of factors other than those we are trying to evaluate on experimental outcomes, and how proper statistical design can ensure the conclusions reached are correct. Replication Assume you want to evaluate a fungicide treatment on your farm, so you split a field in two and apply the treatment to one half and leave the other half untreated. At the end of the year you harvest each of the two halves and observe a 3 bushel per acre increase in yield on the treated side. This 3 bushel per acre difference seems like a good deal, so you decide that next year all of your acres will be treated with this new fungicide. Are you sure that the additional 3 bushels per acre was due to the application of the fungicide? Closer inspection of the field reveals that the half of the field that showed the yield response was dominated by a lighter texture soil that drained better than the other half of the field. Due to excessive moisture (this is not necessarily this past year) the half of the field with better drainage might be expected to perform better.
    [Show full text]
  • Aspects of Design for Repeated Measurements R
    17 ASPECTS OF DESIGN FOR REPEATED MEASUREMENTS R. MEAD The design of trials and investigations is extremely important and includes the choices of experimental or observational units, the form and timing of measurements, the choice of applied or environmental treat­ ments and the interrelationship of these three components. It became obvious later during the workshop that many difficulties of analysis could be attributed to design deficiencies (in a broad sense). The general principles of design2 applicable to all investigations are: (a) efficient use of resources (b) asking many questions (c) reducing a 2 • The consequent statistical principles are: (i) Using appropriate amounts and forms of replication. (ii) Using random allocation of treatments to units within stated de­ sign restriction to provide a valid basis for inferences and for esti­ mating a 2 • (iii) Using small "blocks" to control random variation. (iv) Using factorial structure with the implied priority ordering of ef­ fe,cts. (v) Using the minimum necessary number of levels of quantitative factors. The aspects discussed in this paper are (i), (iii) and (v). 1. REPLICATION AND RESOURCES Replication for comparative mean values must provide adequate power; for random variance a 2 and a difference that should be detected, 18 d, this implies a replication, n, where Note that n may include implicit, as well as explicit, replication, derived from treatment structure or regression. For a given replication level there will be a total amount of re­ sources, represented by the total degrees of freedom (N -1) in an anal­ ysis of variance. These resources are used in three ways: (i) Asking treatment questions (ii) Estimating 0'2 (iii) Controlling variation.
    [Show full text]