Regional Weather Inference and Forecast Monday, 10 July 2017 Issue Time : 11.30 Hrs. IST Meteorological Analysis (Based on 0830

ादेशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम वान वभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur

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Regional Weather Inference And Forecast Monday, 10 July 2017 Morning Issue Time : 11.30 Hrs. IST Meteorological Analysis (Based on 0830 Hrs IST Observations) Weather Watch :- Heavy to very heavy rainfall occured at isolated places over Chhattisgarh. Thunderstorm observad at isolated places over Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. Very light to moderate rainfall occurred at most places over Chhattisgarh and East Madhya Pradesh and at isolated places over West Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha. Monsoon Watch :- The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Lat. 26.0 °N / Long. 70.0°E, Barmer, Sikar, Sonipat, Shimla, Una, Jammu and Lat.32.5°N / Long. 74.5°E. Favourable conditions are likely to develop for further advance of southwest monsoon into remaining parts of Jammu division and Himachal Pradesh; some more parts of Haryana and some parts of Punjab during next 2¬3 days. Inference:- The upper air cyclonic circulation over western parts of Bihar & neighbourhood persists and now extends upto 3.6 km above mean sea level. The trough at mean sea level from north Punjab to northwest Bay of Bengal across north Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand and Gangetic West Bengal persists. The Western Disturbance as an upper air cyclonic circulation over north Pakistan and adjoining Jammu & Kashmir is moving away east¬northeastwards. The east¬west shear zone now runs roughly along north of Latitude 13.0°N at 5.8 km above mean sea level. The upper air cyclonic circulation over southwest Rajasthan & neighbourhood between 2.1 km and 3.6 km above mean sea level persists. An upper air cyclonic circulation lies over south Pakistan & adjoining Kutch and extends upto 1.5 km above mean sea level. An offshore trough at mean sea level runs off Karnataka¬Kerala coast.

Gwalior recorded the highest maximum temparature of 39.1 degree celsius. Nowgong recorded the Lowest minimum temperature of 19.4 degree celsius. Chief amount of rainfall in cms are :- Madhya Pradesh:- BHIND-AWS -- 5; GOTEGAON NARSINGHPUR-AWS TIKAMGARH-AWS HANUMANA KARELI -- 4each; SARANGPUR UDAIPURA BUDHNI BICHHIA DINDORI-AWS SIDHI-AWS -- 3each; DATIA-AWS HOSHANGBAD-AWS BARELI ORCHHA UMARIA-AWS TENDUKHEDA SAGAR-AWS -- 2each; SALWANI%SILVANI GWALIOR BHAINDER GHANSORE SEONI-AWS CHINDWARA-AWS LANJI GARHAKOTA GADARWARA GUDH SOHAGPUR-AWS REHLI MALANJKHAND REWA-AWS DEORI -- 1each;

Chhattisgarh :- Kharsiya--- 12 Lundra--- 11 Premnagar -- 10; Sitapur Sakti Kawardha -- 9each; Pamgarh Kartala Gariaband -- 8each; Gharghoda -- 7; Kusumi Ambikapur Raigarh Champa Janjgir -- 6each; Surajpur Mungeli Pandaria -- 5each; Wadrafnagar Rajpur Ramanujganj Mainpat Korba Bilaspur -- 4each; Pakhanjur Keshkal Bharatpur Pratappur Pali Bemetara Basna Mahasamund -- 3each; Sukma Pathalgaon BALRAMPUR Shivarinarayan Katghora Dhamtari Simga -- 2each; Antagarh Kanker Kondagaon Kunkuri Bhaiyathan Udaipur Jaijaipur Khairagarh Gandai Durg Nagari Rajim Balodabazar -- 1each;

Vidarbha :- Sironcha---3 Deoli Hinganghat---2 Gondia----1

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157 ादेशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम वान वभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur

Weather Forecast for next 5 days * valid upto 0830 Hrs IST of 15 July 2017 Meteorological Sub-division wise detailed 5 days rainfall forecast is given in Table 1.

No significant change in maximum and minimum temparatures over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha & Chhattisgarh during next 2 days.

Outlook for subsequent two days from 15 July 2017 to 17 July 2017 RA/TSH Very likely to occur at many places over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh.

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Weather Warnings for next 5 days * valid upto 0830 Hrs IST of 15 July 2017

10-Jul-2017 Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over East Madhya Pradesh & North (Day 1) Chhattisgarh. 11-Jul-2017 Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over North Chhattisgarh. (Day 2) 12-Jul-2017 No Warning (Day 3) 13-Jul-2017 Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Madhya Pradesh.. (Day 4) 14-Jul-2017 Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Madhya Pradesh and (Day 5) Chhattisgarh.

* The Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day Legend : Warning Probability of WARNING (TAKE ACTION) UnlikelyOccurence <(%) 25 ALERT (BE PREPARED) Likely 25 - 50 WATCH (BE UPDATED) Very Likely 50 - 75 NO WARNING (NO Most Likely > 75 ACTION)

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Table 1

5 Day Rainfall Forecast

Outlook for next two days valid 10-Jul 11-Jul 12-Jul 13-Jul 14-Jul Met Sub- from 0830 hrs division IST of 15-Jul to Today Tue Wed Thu Fri 0830 hrs IST of 17-Jul

West Madhya SCT SCT FWS WS WS FWS Pradesh

East Madhya FWS FWS FWS WS WS FWS Pradesh

Vidarbha SCT SCT SCT FWS WS FWS

Chattisgarh WS FWS FWS FWS WS FWS

Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day Legend : % Station Reporting Rainfall 76 - 100 WS Widespread / Most Places 51-75 FWS Fairly Widespread / Many Places 26-50 SCT Scattered / A Few Places 1-25 ISOL Isolated No Rain DRY Dry

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157