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Avon Navigation Scheme (Alveston Weir to Warwick) Socioeconomic Study

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Avon Navigation Scheme (Alveston Weir to Warwick) Socioeconomic Study Item 8 Avon Navigation Scheme (Alveston Weir to Warwick) Socioeconomic Study On behalf of Project Ref: 43086 | Rev: V1 | Date: January 2018 Office Address: 2nd Floor, 160 West George Street, Glasgow G2 2HG T: +44 (0)141 352 2360 E: glasgow @peterbrett.com Page 1 Socioeconomic Study Avon Navigation Scheme (Alveston Weir to Warwick) Document Control Sheet Project Name: Avon Navigation Scheme (Alveston Weir to Warwick) Project Ref: 43086 Report Title: Socioeconomic Study Doc Ref: V2 Date: January 2019 Name Position Signature Date Kyle Barrie Senior Economist KB Prepared by: 27/09/18 Emma Brown Economist EB Reviewed by: Nick Skelton Director NS 27/09/18 27/09/18 Approved by: Nick Skelton Director NS For and on behalf of Peter Brett Associates LLP Name Position Signature Date Nick Skelton Director KB Revisions 11/01/19 Kyle Barrie Senior Economist EB For and on behalf of Peter Brett Associates LLP This report has been prepared by Peter Brett Associates LLP (‘PBA’) on behalf of its client to whom this report is addressed (‘Client’) in connection with the project described in this report and takes into account the Client's particular instructions and requirements. This report was prepared in accordance with the professional services appointment under which PBA was appointed by its Client. This report is not intended for and should not be relied on by any third party (i.e. parties other than the Client). PBA accepts no duty or responsibility (including in negligence) to any party other than the Client and disclaims all liability of any nature whatsoever to any such party in respect of this report. © Peter Brett Associates LLP 2018 ii Page 2 Socioeconomic Study Avon Navigation Scheme (Alveston Weir to Warwick) Contents Executive Summary ..................................................................................................................viii 1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................1 1.1 Project Background ............................................................................................... 1 1.2 Methodology ......................................................................................................... 1 2 Project Description .............................................................................................................2 2.1 Avon Navigation Scheme (ANS) ............................................................................ 2 2.2 Reaches............................................................................................................... 2 2.3 Project Parameters ............................................................................................... 4 3 Baseline..............................................................................................................................6 3.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................... 6 3.2 Tourism ................................................................................................................ 7 3.3 Water-based Activity ............................................................................................. 7 3.4 Geography ........................................................................................................... 7 3.5 Demographics ...................................................................................................... 8 3.6 Economic & Labour Market.................................................................................... 8 3.7 Social ................................................................................................................... 9 3.8 Housing................................................................................................................ 9 3.9 Health & Wellbeing................................................................................................ 9 3.10 Implications from baseline for ANS design & delivery .............................................. 9 4 Policy Context .................................................................................................................. 12 4.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................ 12 4.2 Policy ................................................................................................................. 12 4.3 Planned Development ......................................................................................... 13 4.4 Implications from policy development for ANS design & delivery ............................ 14 5 Consultations ................................................................................................................... 15 5.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................ 15 5.2 Areas of Support ................................................................................................. 15 5.3 Concerns............................................................................................................ 16 5.4 Possible Mitigation .............................................................................................. 17 5.5 Implications from Consultations for ANS Design & Delivery.................................... 19 6 ANS High Level Environmental Review ............................................................................ 20 6.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................ 20 6.2 Implications from Environmental Review for ANS Design & Delivery....................... 22 7 Economic Impact - Avon Navigation Scheme ................................................................... 23 7.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................ 23 7.2 Logic Model ........................................................................................................ 23 7.3 Co sts ................................................................................................................. 24 7.4 Quantitative Impacts ........................................................................................... 24 7.5 Qualitative Impacts.............................................................................................. 28 Page 3 iii Socioeconomic Study Avon Navigation Scheme (Alveston Weir to Warwick) 7.6 Total Economic Impact ........................................................................................ 28 8 Economic Impact – Complementary Investment .............................................................. 30 8.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................ 30 8.2 ANS plus Logic Model ......................................................................................... 31 8.3 Total Costs ......................................................................................................... 32 8.4 Quantitative Impacts ........................................................................................... 33 8.5 Qualitative Impacts.............................................................................................. 36 8.6 Total Economic Impact ........................................................................................ 37 9 Conclusions and Next Steps ............................................................................................ 39 9.1 Conclusions........................................................................................................ 39 9.2 Next Steps.......................................................................................................... 39 Policy Support ................................................................................................................ 44 Figures Figure 7-1: ANS Logic Model ....................................................................................................... 23 Figure 8-1: ANS plus Logic Model ................................................................................................ 31 Industry Turnover, Employees and Support for 1 year of Employment (West Midlands) ................... 69 Tables Table 2-1: Project Parameters ....................................................................................................... 4 Table 3-1: Studies Reporting Premiums Associated with Waterway Development ........................... 10 Table 6-1: Watercourse and Catchment Area of the River Avon ..................................................... 21 Table 6-2: Water Abstraction Calculations .................................................................................... 21 Table 7-1: Total Cost – ANS ........................................................................................................ 24 Table 7-2: Construction Impact – River Only ................................................................................. 25 Table 7-3: Construction Impact – River with Canal at Barford Loop ................................................ 25 Table 7-4: River Activity Data....................................................................................................... 26 Table 7-5: Navigation Assumptions .............................................................................................. 26 Table 7-6: Impact from
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