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July 2021 Release 1 National Political Update Verified Voter Omnibus Survey N=1,001 Registered Voters Fielded July 19 - July 23, 2021 X1 Biden Approval Unchanged In July, Dips On Covid Spread Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling…? Approval Change From JUNE His Job 55% 43% 2% EVEN As President The Spread of 59% 37% 4% -3 the Coronavirus The U.S. Economy 52% 45% 3% +1 Foreign Policy 46% 45% 9% -4 Crime and public 46% 45% 9% N/A safety in the U.S. Immigration 45% 50% 6% +3 Strongly / Somewhat Strongly / Somewhat Unsure Approve Disapprove Democrats Lead Ticks Up On July Generic Ballot Q. If the election for Congress were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? Definitely/Probably the Republican candidate Unsure Definitely/Probably the Democratic candidate 50% 48% 46% 46% 44% 45% 44% 42% 42% 42% 40% 41% 12% 13% 12% 12% 10% 11% February March April May June July 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 Democratic Advantage Slightly Smaller Among Likeliest Voters Q. If the election for Congress were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? Definitely the Republican candidate Probably the Republican candidate Probably the Democratic candidate Definitely the Democratic candidate Unsure NET All Registered 30% 11% 14% 34% 11% D+7 Voters Extremely/ Very Likely 35% 10% 10% 38% 7% D+5 To Vote In Midterms Biden at +8 Net Fav, Harris +1 Q. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the following individuals or groups which have been in the news lately? Favorable Change From JUNE Joe Biden 53% 2% 45% -1 The Democratic Party 49% 5% 46% +2 Ron DeSantis 28% 18% 29% 26% N/A Kamala Harris 48% 4%1% 47% -2 Mike Pence 41% 10% 2% 47% N/A The Republican Party 40% 7% 53% +2 Donald Trump 42% 2%1% 56% +2 Very / Somewhat No Never Very / Somewhat Favorable Opinion Heard Of Unfavorable “Right Direction” Ticks Down in July Q. Would you say things in the United States are headed in the right direction, or is the country of on the wrong track? Right Direction Wrong Track Unsure 70% 67% 66% 66% 61% 63% 62% 59% 59% 58% 54% 54% 52% 51% 49% 51% 45% 45% 46% 42% 44% 38% 40% 34% 34% 30% 28% 29% 30% 27% 27% 25% 22% 21% 22% 22% 17% 17% 14% 15% 14% 12% 11% 12% 11% 12% 12% 11% 9% 8% 8% 8% 9% 8% January May September January May June 2020 2020 2020 2021 2021 2021 2024 “Trump” Republicans Reach Post-Election High In July Q. Would you say you consider yourself to be primarily a supporter of Donald Trump, or a supporter of the Republican Party? [Asked of Republican+Lean Voters] Donald Trump The Republican Party I don't support either one Unsure 59% 56% 53% 50% 50% 48% 48% 46% 47% 45% 44% 45% 44% 44% 45% 43% 42% 43% 42% 39% 38% 38% 33% 30% 12% 10% 10% 8% 8% 9% 7% 6% 6% 4% 4% 5% 4% 5% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% August October December February April June July 2020 2020 2020 2021 2021 2021 2021 Trump Advantage In GOP Primary Continues To Grow Q. If the 2024 Republican presidential primaries were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? [Asked of Republican+Lean Voters] Donald Trump, A Diferent Republican Candidate, Unsure Definitely/Probably Definitely/Probably 67% 63% 60% 59% 59% 54% 48% 41% 35% 35% 32% 30% 31% 26% 14% 11% 11% 6% 6% 6% 7% January February March April May June July 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 DeSantis Makes Strong Gains In Non-Trump GOP Field Q. If Donald Trump does NOT seek the Republican nomination for President in 2024 and the Republican presidential primaries were being held today, for whom would you vote? [Asked of Republican+Lean Voters] CHANGE FROM JUNE The following Ron DeSantis +11% 32% candidates were tested but received Mike Pence +3% 17% 1% or LESS vote Donald Trump, Jr +3% 10% share: Ted Cruz +3% 9% Tucker Carlson Mike Pompeo Nikki Haley -2% 4% Tom Cotton Mitt Romney -1% 3% Tim Scott Josh Hawley Marco Rubio -1% 2% Greg Abbott Kristi Noem Someone else -1% 1% Liz Cheney Unsure -11% 13% Ben Sasse Rick Scott Chris Christie Larry Hogan DeSantis Leads Among Both Party- And Trump-First Republicans Q. If Donald Trump does NOT seek the Republican nomination for President in 2024 and the Republican presidential primaries were being held today, for whom would you vote? [Asked of Republican+Lean Voters] Trump-First Republicans Party-First Republicans The following Ron DeSantis 34% 30% candidates were Mike Pence 13% 21% tested but received Donald Trump, Jr 16% 4% 1% or LESS vote Ted Cruz 12% 8% share within both Nikki Haley 4% 5% breaks: Mitt Romney 1% 5% Marco Rubio 1% 3% Greg Abbott Josh Hawley Kristi Noem 0% 2% Liz Cheney Mike Pompeo 2% 0% Tucker Carlson Tim Scott 2% 1% Ben Sasse Tom Cotton 2% 0% Chris Christie Someone else 2% 0% Rick Scott Unsure 10% 15% Larry Hogan The 2020 Election And Voting Laws Almost Half Of Voters Believe There Was Significant Fraud In 2020 Q. Which comes closest to your view of the 2020 Presidential election? The amount of voter fraud or election irregularities was… Significant enough to be able to change Significant, but not enough to change the results of the election nationally the results of the election nationally Minimal or non-existent Unsure All 31% 17% 43% 10% GOP 59% 18% 15% 8% IND 23% 24% 38% 15% DEM 10% 13% 70% 8% Half Of Voters Want Federal Government To Set State Election Laws Q. Who should set voting laws for federal elections in each state, the federal government or the state government? The federal government The state government Unsure All 50% 33% 16% GOP 40% 45% 15% IND 44% 33% 23% DEM 63% 22% 15% More Want Return To Pre-Pandemic Voting Laws Q. To prevent the spread of the coronavirus at polling places, many states in 2020 adopted voting rules to encourage mail-in or early voting. Now that the pandemic has subsided, which approach would you prefer states take with their voting laws? They should make the changes adopted for the pandemic permanent They should return to the pre-pandemic rules Unsure All 41% 47% 12% GOP 21% 68% 11% IND 37% 49% 14% DEM 60% 28% 12% Voters Overwhelmingly Support Consistent Early Voting Hours, Voter ID Total Q. Would you support or oppose each of the following voting laws in your state? Support Having consistent early voting 61% 26% 3%2%8% hours for all counties in a state 87% Requiring photo ID to vote 64% 18% 8% 6% 4% 82% Requiring photo ID or the last 4 digits of a 58% 21% 6% 7% 7% Social Security number to vote by mail 79% Expanding the use of poll watchers 45% 26% 10% 7% 12% 71% Requiring video recording of vote-counting 44% 26% 8% 7% 13% 71% Banning ballot harvesting, where political parties or other groups can collect 45% 16% 10% 16% 14% 61% mail-in ballots from individual voters Banning the sending of unsolicited 43% 16% 9% 17% 14% vote-by-mail applications 60% Allowing no-excuse mail-in voting 33% 19% 12% 18% 17% 53% Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Unsure Nearly Half Of Democrats Strongly Support Voter ID Q. Would you support or oppose each of the following voting laws in your state? [% Answering Strongly Support] Having consistent early voting hours for all counties in a state 55% 61%66% Requiring photo ID to vote 47% 63% 85% Requiring photo ID or the last 4 digits of a Social Security number to vote by mail 40% 53% 83% Expanding the use of poll watchers 30% 39% 68% Requiring video recording of vote-counting 28% 46% 63% Banning ballot harvesting, where political parties or other groups can collect mail-in 31% 42% 63% ballots from individual voters Banning the sending of unsolicited vote-by-mail applications 22% 46% 67% Allowing no-excuse mail-in voting 23% 31% 44% DEM IND GOP Crime And Public Safety Strong Majorities Say Crime In U.S. Is Increasing Q. Would you say crime is increasing or decreasing in…? Strongly Increasing Somewhat Increasing Somewhat Decreasing Strongly Decreasing Unsure The United States 45% 37% 7% 1% 10% Your state 29% 42% 14% 2% 13% Your community 21% 35% 20% 5% 18% Voters Split On Biden, Approve Of Local Leaders Handling Of Crime Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the way [Joe Biden/your governor/your local leaders] is/are handling crime and public safety in [the United States/your state/your community]? Joe Biden/ 46% 45% 9% the U.S. Your governor/ 49% 41% 10% your state Your local leaders/ 53% 36% 11% your community Strongly / Somewhat Strongly / Somewhat Unsure Approve Disapprove Biden Underwater On Crime Among Suburban, Rural Voters Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling… NET NET His Job As President (Approve - Crime And Public Safety (Approve - Disapprove) Disapprove) Urban Voters 67% 31% 2% +36 57% 31% 12% +24 Suburban Voters 52% 46% 2% +6 43% 49% 8% -6 Rural Voters 46% 52% 2% -6 37% 55% 8% -18 Strongly / Somewhat Strongly / Somewhat Unsure Approve Disapprove Your questions answered by real voters Beyond our own public releases, the Verified Voter Omnibus is a resource companies and organizations can use to answer mission-critical questions through add-on questions to the monthly survey.
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