REGIONAL DATA

WOOD BUFFALO REGIONAL MAP

TOTAL: 66,361 KM2

Regional Communities: Access: 1. Fort Fitzgerald International Airport 2. 3. Fort McKay 4. Fort McMurray Hwy 63 5. Draper 6. Saprae Creek Estates Hwy 881 7. 8. Anzac 9. Janvier 10. Conklin

CANADA

63

Edmonton 881 Fort McMurray FORTGeneralized Land DevelopmentMcMURRAY Concept CONTEXT MAP

88631

Parsons Creek

Timberlea West Growth

MacDonald Island Thickwood Snye Heights Eastlands Lower Townsite Forest Heights Abasand Heights

Beacon Waterways Hill Athabasca River North of Horse Clearwater River r Gregoire Saline Creek Draper Clearwater Horse Rive Between Horse Plateau & Hangingstone Indian Reserve Saprae Creek

Airport Area

88691

Southlands

Hangingstone River

88631

0124 8 N Kilometres

Established Neighbourhood Municipal Infrastructure Urban Service Area Boundary New Neighbourhood Major Recreation Road Employment Lands Open Space Potential Transportation New Employment Lands Rural Community Railway First Nation Reserve Potential Railway

59 Bylaw No. 11/027, October 2011 POPULATION

Urban Service Area 82,724; 66.16% 2005 2015

Rural Service Area 4,044; 3.23% Average Annual 5% Growth*1: 2015 Shadow Population 38,264; 30.60% 2016  2 Average Age 125,0321 33

Urban Service Area ~74,200 3; 71.42%

1 Rural Service Area Population of each community ~3,5803; 3.45% Fort Fitzgerald 9 Saprae Creek Estates 977 Fort Chipewyan 1,014 Gregoire Lake Estates 232 2016 Fort McKay 51 Anzac 763 Shadow Population Fort McMurray 82,724 Janvier 155 4 ~26,100 ; 25.13% Draper 215 Conklin 376

~103,880 3,4 Division of Sex1

Females – 44.6% Males – 55.4%

Urban Service Area ~84,7003; 68.59%

Rural Service Area ~3,9903; 3.23% 2021 Shadow Population ~34,8004; 28.18%

~123,490 3,4

*Calculated using the Compound 3 – Regional Municipality of Wood 4 - Conference Board of , Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) Buffalo and Oil Sands Community Moving Forward: The Economic 1 – Regional Municipality of Wood Alliance, Population Projections Impact of Rebuilding the Wood Buffalo Municipal Census 2015 developed by Nichols Applied Buffalo Region’s Economy, 2017 2 – , Census Profile 2016 Management Inc., 2017; POPULATION PROJECTION 2016-2030*

Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo’s Urban and Rural Population Projection 2016 – 20301

Urban Population Projection Year. High Growth (U) Low Growth(U) 2015 80428 80428 2016 74200 71800 80,428 80K 2017 75500 68700 2018 79200 75000 2019 79600 75000 60K 2020 83800 80300

n 2021 84700 81600 o i t

a 2022 85100 82000 l u

p 2023 81800 78600

o 40K P 2024 82700 79400 2025 82300 79000 Past Projection Hwy 881 2026 82900 79500 20K 2027 83800 80400 2028 83700 80300 0K 2015 2030 2029 84100 80600 2030 84200 80700 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029

Urban Population (Past) Urban (High Growth) Urban (Low Growth)

Year. High Growth (R) Low Growth (R) Rural Population Projection 2015 3792 3792 2016 3580 3580 2017 3420 3380 4K 3,792 2018 3720 3630 2019 3700 3620 2020 3940 3860 3K 2021 3990 3910 n o i 2022 4010 3920 t a l

u 2023 3830 3750 p

o 2K

P 2024 3870 3780 2025 3840 3760 Past Projection 2026 3860 3780 1K 2027 3900 3820 2028 3900 3810

0K 2015 2030 2029 3910 3830 2030 3910 3830 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031

Rural Population (Past) Rural (High Growth) Rural (Low Growth) Source: Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo (RMWB) and Oil Sands Community Alliance (OSCA) Population Projections developed by Nichols Applied Management Inc. *In May 2017, The Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo (RMWB) and the Oil Sands Community 2005Alliance (OSCA) presented the above 2015 population projection to Council. The projection was approved by Council to be used as a tool for municipal planning purposes. Please note that this population projection is based on the permanent population only. Project accommodation projections are still being developed and are not available at this time. Projected regional population growth 123,5002 3.5% average annual growth 2017 – 2021

1 – Regional Municipality of Wood 2 – Conference Board of Canada, Moving Buffalo (RMWB) and Oil Sands Forward: The Economic Impact of Community Alliance (OSCA) Population Rebuiling the Wood Buffalo Region’s Projections developed by Nichols Applied Economy, 2017 Management Inc. DEMOGRAPHICS

1 EXPENDITURES WOOD BUFFALO VS CANADA WOOD CANADA BUFFALO

Income tax 21.3% 15.3%

Clothing 4.0% 3.5%

Education 0.4% 1.3%

Total personal insurance premiums 3.6% 4.6% and retirement/pension contributions Average Total Food 5.7% 10.8% Expenditures Games of chance 0.8% 1.0% Wood Buffalo Health care 2.4% 3.7% $265,023 Household furnishings and equipment 3.4% 3.2% Household operation 3.1% 4.1%

Miscellaneous expenditures 2.0% 1.6%

Total money gifts, contributions and support payments 2.3% 2.1%

Personal care 1.1% 1.9%

Recreation 4.1% 4.2%

Reading materials and other printed matter 0.1% 0.3%

Shelter 16.0% 18.0%

Tobacco products and alcoholic beverages 1.8% 3.2%

Transportation 12.2% 12.5% Average Total Expenditures Improvements and alterations to owned principal residence 2.2% 2.6% Canada Improvements and alterations to vacation homes 0.2% 0.6%

$108,386 Net purchase price of owned residences 12.0% 4.4%

Net purchase price of owned secondary residences 0.8% 0.6%

Net purchase price of other owned properties 0.4% 0.4%

HOUSEHOLD INCOME AND EXPENDITURES1

TORONTO VANCOUVER WOOD CANADA 2016 BUFFALO Household Income (Median) $62,285 $62,938 $84,865 $196,285 $92,405 $72,938 Household Income (Average) $107,541 $95,583 $107,677 $230,077 $123,678 $96,065 Discretionary Income (Average) $52,760 $46,154 $57,569 $123,364 $66,988 $49,636 Cost of Living (Average) $52,174 $49,508 $50,634 $100,535 $56,778 $48,597 Total Expenditures (Average) $117,429 $109,393 $115,975 $265,023 $133,176 $108,386

Discretionary Income: The amount of Cost of Living: Total household costs and half are below. 1 –  Environics Analytics, 2017 household income remaining after the for Income Taxes, Food (not including Average: A figure obtained by summing following expenses are subtracted - Income restaurants), Shelter, and Transportation. the values and then dividing by the number Taxes, Food (not including restaurants), and Median: The middle point of a number set, in of values. Shelter. which half the numbers are above the median DEMOGRAPHICS

1

$588,810 AVERAGE SINGLE DUPLEX TOWN- APARTMENT FAMILY HOUSE CONDO- Average Single Family SALE PRICE DETACHED MINIUM JUNE 2016 $626,412 $473,625 $335,625 $251,067 Detached Home Sale Price in 2017 JUNE 2017 $588,810 $510,100 $294,571 $178,250

2

AVERAGE 1 2 3+ $1,454 BACHELOR BEDROOM BEDROOM BEDROOM RENTAL RATE

2 Bedroom Apartment OCTOBER 2015 $1,327 $1,512 $1,841 $2,209 Rental Rate in 2016 OCTOBER 2016 $1,070 $1,251 $1,454 $1,705

30,8823 11,300 5 Number of Dwellings Jobs created in the next 5 years

5 6 2017 Unemployment Rate4 Unemployment Rate $36.50 British Columbia 5.1% Manitoba 5.1% 8.8% to 4.1% 2016 2021 Average Hourly Ontario 6.2% Wage (Wood Buffalo/ Quebec 6.2% ColdLake) Saskatchewan 6.4% Canada 6.5% 5 Wood Buffalo/Cold Lake 7.7% 2.4X Alberta 7.9% Nova Scotia 8.2% Higher wages than New Brunswick 8.4% Canadian Average Prince Edward Island 9.4% in 2016 Newfoundland and Labrador 14.4%

1 – Fort McMurray Real Estate Board, Market 3 – Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo, 5 – Conference Board of Canada, Wood Statistics, June 2017 Municipal Census 2015 (Pre-Wildfire number) Buffalo Region: Ready to Rebuild, 2017 2 – Canadian Mortgage and Housing 4 – Statistics Canada, Labour force survey 6 – Statistics Canada, Wages by Corporation, Rental Market Report – estimates by provinces and economic Occupation, 2016 Alberta Highlights 2017 regions, accessed July 17, 2017 2016 HORSE RIVER WILDFIRE

ON MAY 1, 2016, AN OUT-OF-CONTROL WILDFIRE BEGAN SOUTHWEST OF FORT MCMURRAY. Between May 3 – June 1, 2016 a mandatory evacuation order was in place for Fort McMurray.

88,000 Hwy 881 people were evacuated1 5,890 km2 of land was burned–this is about the size of Prince Edward Island2 2,579 Dwellings Destroyed (Approximately 8% of all private dwellings in this area )3 2005 2015 $3.58 Billion4 Canada’s most expensive natural disaster

1– Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo, 3 – Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo, 4 - Insurance Bureau of Canada and Wildfire Recovery Plan, 2016 Recovery Task Force - Rebuild Pillar Conference Board of Canada, 2016 2 – Statistics Canada (Agriculture Division) Progress Update, Accessed Special tabulation, 2016 August 18, 2017 WILDFIRE RECOVERY & REBUILD CANADA AND LOCAL COMMUNITY ARE COMMITTED TO REBUILDING

946 At the current pace, As of August 2017, 946 all the rebuilding development permits have activity should take been approved1 threeHwy to 881four years to complete3 2021 By 2021, the economic impacts associated with the 2016 Horse River Wildfire are expected to have dissipated2

1/3 of all destroyed residential units have begun reconstruction3

THE REBUILD WILL BE A BOOST TO REGIONAL ECONOMY 4

Drive employment Creation of 11,300 GDP to increase Approximately up by 5.8% in 2017 jobs by 2021 5.5% between 2017 $5.4B will be (3,700 jobs) and 2021 invested

For Wildfire Recovery Progress updates visit: www.rmwb.ca/recoveryprogress

1 – Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo, 3 – Canadian Mortgage and Housing Recovery Task Force - Rebuild Pillar Corporation, Rebuilding Fort McMurray: Progress Update, Accessed August 18, one year later, 2017 2017 4 – Conference Board of Canada, Moving 2 – Conference Board of Canada, Wood Forward: The Economic Impact of Buffalo Region: Ready to Rebuild, 2017 Rebuilding the Wood Buffalo Region’s Economy, 2017 OIL SANDS INDUSTRY

GLOBAL ENERGY DEMAND IS PREDICTED TO INCREASE 31% BY 20401 ATHABASCA OIL “With conventional oil supply SANDS QUICK FACTS: declining, the need for Al bert unconventional resources, Hwy 881 a

Fo rt McMurra A 2 thab Pe y asca A ace rea like Oil Sands, is increasing.” Riv er A rea

Edmonton

Col d Lake Area Calgar y

96% Oil Reserves Saskatchew an Canada has the 3rd largest oil reserves in the world with 96% of these reserves Oil Sands Deposits located in the Oil Sands.3 15+ Companies 6,000+ 20+ Active Projects Did you know that over 6,000 everyday products are made from oil? 100+ billion barrels remaining

Active mining 2 904km footprint

Smart Petro/ Dentures Parachutes Tires Minable Phones Propane 2 4,800km area

1 –  International Energy Agency, 2016 World Energy Outlook 2 – Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, Canada’s Oil Sands, 2016 3 –  International Energy Agency, 2016 World Energy Outlook OIL SANDS PRODUCTION IT IS EXPECTED THAT OVER THE NEXT 20 YEARS, OIL SANDS COMPANIES ACROSS ALBERTA WILL SPEND APPROXIMATELY $1 TRILLION IN CAPITAL AND OPERATING COSTS.1

Hwy 881

OIL SANDS PRODUCTION Canadian Oil Sands Production (2016 – 2030)2 has increased dramatically over the YEAR BARRELS PER DAY (MILLIONS) past 10 years and is expected to 2006 1 M grow. Approximately 80% of this 2015 2.4 M production occurs within the 2030 3.7 M Regional Municipality of Wood Buffalo’s Athabasca Oil Sands.2 4 Trillon2 Oil Sands development is expected to contribute more than $4 Trillion to the Canadian economy over the next 20 years.

1 - CERI Canadian Oil Sands Supply Costs and Development Projects (2016-2036) 2 - Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, Canada’s Oil Sands, 2016 QUALITY OF LIFE

1 Indoor Water Park 4 Indoor Swimming Pools 7 Spray Parks 3runing tracks

5 Football/ 10 Basketball 19 Baseball Rugby Fields Courts Diamonds

15 Hockey 2 Volleyball 22 Soccer Rinks Courts Fields

6 Tennis 2 Golf Clubs Courts

+130km 3 of trails 4 Community Fitness Centres skate parks QUALITY OF LIFE

35 Schools

Public Transit 1 System Regional Hospital 3 Provincial Campgrounds

5 off leash parks