Kelsall and Willington Neighbourhood Plan Viability Study AECOM Kelsall and Willington NDP Viability C-1 Assessment
Total Page：16
File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb
Urban Design and Plan Submitted to Submitted by Kelsall Parish Council AECOM Making Aldgate Tower 2 Leman Street London, E1 8FA September 2016 Kelsall and Willington Neighbourhood Plan Viability Study AECOM Kelsall and Willington NDP Viability C-1 Assessment Table of Contents 1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................................................................ 3 1.1 Context ............................................................................................................................................................................ 3 1.2 Metric or imperial ............................................................................................................................................................. 4 2 Viability Testing ..................................................................................................................................................................... 5 2.2 The meaning of ‘competitive return’ ................................................................................................................................ 7 2.3 Land values ..................................................................................................................................................................... 8 2.4 Limitations of viability testing in the context of the NPPF ................................................................................................ 8 3 Market research ..................................................................................................................................................................... 9 3.2 New build prices paid ...................................................................................................................................................... 9 3.3 New build properties for sale ......................................................................................................................................... 11 3.4 Second hand market ..................................................................................................................................................... 12 3.5 Retirement home values and second hand market ....................................................................................................... 14 3.6 Price Assumptions for Financial Appraisals ................................................................................................................... 16 3.7 Housing types ................................................................................................................................................................ 17 4 Assumptions ........................................................................................................................................................................ 19 4.2 Construction costs ......................................................................................................................................................... 19 4.3 Fees .............................................................................................................................................................................. 19 4.4 Contingencies ................................................................................................................................................................ 19 4.5 S106 Contributions ........................................................................................................................................................ 19 4.6 VAT ............................................................................................................................................................................... 19 4.7 Interest rate ................................................................................................................................................................... 19 4.8 Voids ............................................................................................................................................................................. 20 4.9 Phasing and timetable ................................................................................................................................................... 20 4.10 Site holding costs and receipts ...................................................................................................................................... 20 4.11 Acquisition costs ............................................................................................................................................................ 20 4.12 Sales and marketing costs ............................................................................................................................................ 20 4.13 Developer’s profit .......................................................................................................................................................... 21 4.14 Land Values .................................................................................................................................................................. 22 4.15 Modelled site ................................................................................................................................................................. 24 4.16 Assumptions summary .................................................................................................................................................. 26 5 Appraisal Results ................................................................................................................................................................. 28 5.2 Appraisal results ............................................................................................................................................................ 28 Appendix 1 - Site location and plan ........................................................................................................................................ 29 Appendix 2 – Land Registry price paid data .......................................................................................................................... 31 Appendix 3 – New build for sale prices .................................................................................................................................. 34 Appendix 4 – Retirement property research .......................................................................................................................... 39 Appendix 5 - BCIS average build costs .................................................................................................................................. 41 Appendix 6 – Modelling results .............................................................................................................................................. 43 1 AECOM Kelsall and Willington NDP Viability C-2 Assessment Limitations AECOM Infrastructure & Environment UK Limited (“AECOM”) has prepared this Report for the sole use of Kelsall Parish Council (“Client”) in accordance with the Agreement under which our services were performed. No other warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to the professional advice included in this Report or any other services provided by AECOM. Where the conclusions and recommendations contained in this Report are based upon information provided by others it is upon the assumption that all relevant information has been provided by those parties from whom it has been requested and that such information is accurate. Information obtained by AECOM has not been independently verified by AECOM, unless otherwise stated in the Report. The methodology adopted and the sources of information used by AECOM in providing its services are outlined in this Report. The work described in this Report was undertaken in the period July 2015 to September 2016 and is based on the conditions encountered and the information available during the said period of time. The scope of this Report and the services are accordingly factually limited by these circumstances. Where assessments of works or costs identified in this Report are made, such assessments are based upon the information available at the time and where appropriate are subject to further investigations or information which may become available. AECOM disclaim any undertaking or obligation to advise any person of any change in any matter affecting the Report, which may come or be brought to AECOM’s attention after the date of the Report. Certain statements made in the Report that are not historical facts may constitute estimates, projections or other forward- looking statements and even though they are based on reasonable assumptions as of the date of the Report, such forward-looking statements by their nature involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from the results predicted. AECOM specifically does not guarantee or warrant any estimate or projections contained in this Report. Where field investigations are carried out, these have been restricted to a level of detail required to meet the stated objectives of the services. The results of any measurements taken may vary spatially or with time and further confirmatory measurements should be made after any significant delay in issuing this Report. Professional judgements are made for