Sixth Assembly Elections in Goa Pendent Candidates Were Elected to the New Assembly
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SPECIAL STATISTICS: 2012 STATE ELECTIONS failed to open its account. Five inde- Sixth Assembly Elections in Goa pendent candidates were elected to the new assembly. The combined vote share garnered by the 72 independent candi- dates who contested the election was single day poll for 40 assembly over the Congress-NCP alliance by a nearly 17% (Table 1B). seats in Goa was held on decisive margin. The BJP-MGP alliance The electoral wave in favour of the A 3 March 2012. At nearly 83%, fi nished on top with 24 seats, and a vote BJP-MGP alliance was strongest in North the voters’ turnout in this sixth general share of 41%. Twenty-one seats were Goa where the alliance won 16 of the election since Goa became a state was won by the BJP alone. While the BJP in- 23 seats and secured nearly 50% of the highest ever and 12 points higher creased its seat tally by seven seats com- the vote, 15 percentage points ahead than the previous assembly election in pared to the previous election, its vote of the Congress-NCP alliance. In South 2007. Women outnumbered men on vot- share went up by 4 percentage points. Goa too, where most Goan Catholics are ing day by a wide margin of 6 percent- The MGP on the other hand gained one concentrated and where the Congress age points. The number of contestants seat but lost 2% votes compared to 2007. has traditionally done well, the BJP rose to 215, an increase of 6% over the The Congress slumped to its worst-ever increased not just its vote share but also last assembly election (Table 1A). defeat in Goa managing to win only nine ended up winning more seats than The main contest in this election was seats, a loss of seven seats since 2007. Its the Congress. The performance of inde- between the incumbent Indian National alliance partner NCP, which had three pendent candidates in South Goa was Congress-Nationalist Congress Party members in the last assembly, drew a also impressive with three emerging (Congress-NCP) alliance and the Bharatiya blank. While the Congress secured 31% winners (Table 2). Janata Party-Maharashtrawadi Gomantak of the vote, the NCP ended up garnering CSDS did not carry out any post-poll Party (BJP-MGP) alliance which was 4%. GVP won two seats while the UGDP survey for Goa. formed on the eve of the elections. Table 1B: Summary Results: Seats Contested, Won and Votes Secured by Major Parties and Alliances, Another pre-poll formation in the fray Compared to the Assembly Election (2007) was the alliance between the Goa Vikas Seats Seats Gain/Loss of Vote Share Vote % Vote Swing Party (GVP), a new entrant, and the United Contested Won Seats (%) Per Seat since 2007 since 2007 Contested (% Points) Goans Democratic Party (UGDP). Indian National Congress+ (INC+) 40 9 -10 34.86 34.86 -2.41 The fi nal outcome of the election saw Indian National Congress (INC) 33 9 -7 30.78 36.98 -1.47 BJP MGP the - alliance emerge victorious Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) 7 0 -3 4.08 24.35 -0.94 Table 1A: Summary Electoral Participation: Bharatiya Janata Party+ (BJP+) 35 24 +8 41.40 47.02 +2.43 Electorate, Turnout and Number of Candidates Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) 28 21 +7 34.68 49.59 +4.36 Compared to the Assembly Election (2007) Maharashtrawadi Gomantak Assembly Change Party (MGP) 7 3 +1 6.72 37.10 -1.93 Election 2012 from 2007 (%) Goa Vikas Party + (GVP+) 16 2 +1 4.67 11.03 -0.37 Total electorate 10,26,306 +1.6 Goa Vikas Party (GVP) 9 2 +2 3.50 14.68 +3.50 Male electorate 5,11,111 +1.0 United Goans Democratic Party (UGDP) 7 0 -1 1.17 6.32 -3.87 Female electorate 5,15,195 +2.0 All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) 20 0 0 1.81 3.56 +1.81 Total voters 8,48,861 +19.1 Others 32 0 -2 0.59 - -8.93 Total turnout 82.7% +12.2 Independents 72 5 +3 16.67 - +7.47 Male turnout 79.7% +10.0 Total 215 40 0 100 - 0 Female turnout 86.0% +15.8 (1) “Others” in 2012 include Communist Party of India, Communist Party of India (Marxist), Janata Dal (United), Shiv Sena, Number of candidates 215 +6.4 Republican Party of India (A) and other parties. “Others” in 2007 included Communist Party of India, Communist Party of For electorate, voters and candidates the change is India (Marxist), Janata Dal (Secular), Shiv Sena, Save Goa Front, Republican Party of India (A), and other parties. in %, with 2007 as the base. Change in turnout is (2) BJP and MGP contested separately and not as an alliance in 2007 but for purposes of comparison with 2012, their vote computed in percentage points, compared to turnout share and seats have been added up. in 2007. (3) GVP is a new party and did not contest in 2007. Source: Figures available from the official website of (4) GVP and UGDP contested separately and not as an alliance in 2007 but for purposes of comparison with 2012, their vote the chief electoral officer, Goa, http://ceogoa.nic.in/, share and seats have been added up. and Election Commission of India website http://eci. (5) AITC did not contest in 2007. nic.in; accessed on 9 March 2012; Data aggregated and Source: Detailed constituency level results downloaded from Election Commission of India website http://eciresults.ap.nic.in/; recomputed by CSDS data unit. accessed on 9 March2012. Data aggregated and recomputed by CSDS data unit. Table 2: Region-wise Analysis: Turnout and Performance of Major Parties in the Assembly Election (2012) Region Total Seats Turnout Congress BJP NCP MGP UGDP GVP Independents Others (%) Won Vote (%) Won Vote (%) Won Vote (%) Won Vote (%) Won Vote (%) Won Vote (%) Won Vote (%) Won Vote (%) North Goa 23 84.9 5 30.9 13 40.2 0 4.2 3 9.3 0 0.1 0 0.0 2 12.8 0 2.5 South Goa 17 79.9 4 30.6 8 27.1 0 3.9 0 3.2 0 2.7 2 0.0 3 22.0 0 10.6 Total 40 82.7 9 30.8 21 34.7 0 4.1 3 6.7 0 1.2 2 3.5 5 16.7 0 2.4 “Others” in this table and in Table 2B include other smaller parties. Source: As in Table 1B. Economic & Political Weekly EPW april 7, 2012 vol xlviI no 14 87 SPECIAL STATISTICS: 2012 STATE ELECTIONS EPW Research Foundation (A UNIT OF SAMEEKSHA TRUST) www.epwrf.in www.epwrfi ts.in India Time Series A few months ago EPWRF introduced an online database service christened as ‘India Time Series’, www.epwrfi ts.in. 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