The High Close Doji Trigger
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Predicting SARS-Cov-2 Infection Trend Using Technical Analysis Indicators
medRxiv preprint doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.13.20100784; this version posted May 20, 2020. The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not certified by peer review) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. Predicting SARS-CoV-2 infection trend using technical analysis indicators Marino Paroli and Maria Isabella Sirinian Department of Clinical, Anesthesiologic and Cardiovascular Sciences, Sapienza University of Rome, Italy ABSTRACT COVID-19 pandemic is a global emergency caused by SARS-CoV-2 infection. Without efficacious drugs or vaccines, mass quarantine has been the main strategy adopted by governments to contain the virus spread. This has led to a significant reduction in the number of infected people and deaths and to a diminished pressure over the health care system. However, an economic depression is following due to the forced absence of worker from their job and to the closure of many productive activities. For these reasons, governments are lessening progressively the mass quarantine measures to avoid an economic catastrophe. Nevertheless, the reopening of firms and commercial activities might lead to a resurgence of infection. In the worst-case scenario, this might impose the return to strict lockdown measures. Epidemiological models are therefore necessary to forecast possible new infection outbreaks and to inform government to promptly adopt new containment measures. In this context, we tested here if technical analysis methods commonly used in the financial market might provide early signal of change in the direction of SARS-Cov-2 infection trend in Italy, a country which has been strongly hit by the pandemic. -
A Test of Macd Trading Strategy
A TEST OF MACD TRADING STRATEGY Bill Huang Master of Business Administration, University of Leicester, 2005 Yong Soo Kim Bachelor of Business Administration, Yonsei University, 200 1 PROJECT SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION In the Faculty of Business Administration Global Asset and Wealth Management MBA O Bill HuangIYong Soo Kim 2006 SIMON FRASER UNIVERSITY Fall 2006 All rights reserved. This work may not be reproduced in whole or in part, by photocopy or other means, without permission of the author. APPROVAL Name: Bill Huang 1 Yong Soo Kim Degree: Master of Business Administration Title of Project: A Test of MACD Trading Strategy Supervisory Committee: Dr. Peter Klein Senior Supervisor Professor, Faculty of Business Administration Dr. Daniel Smith Second Reader Assistant Professor, Faculty of Business Administration Date Approved: SIMON FRASER . UNI~ER~IW~Ibra ry DECLARATION OF PARTIAL COPYRIGHT LICENCE The author, whose copyright is declared on the title page of this work, has granted to Simon Fraser University the right to lend this thesis, project or extended essay to users of the Simon Fraser University Library, and to make partial or single copies only for such users or in response to a request from the library of any other university, or other educational institution, on its own behalf or for one of its users. The author has further granted permission to Simon Fraser University to keep or make a digital copy for use in its circulating collection (currently available to the public at the "lnstitutional Repository" link of the SFU Library website <www.lib.sfu.ca> at: ~http:llir.lib.sfu.calhandlell8921112~)and, without changing the content, to translate the thesislproject or extended essays, if .technically possible, to any medium or format for the purpose of preservation of the digital work. -
Finance Feature
finance feature by Douglas Carlsen, DDS Face it: dentists are competitive and compulsive. We have to be to perform the miracles of our daily work. When I tell the average person that tooth “preparation” is performed with a drill running at 400,000rpm on a moving target within 1/16 inch or less of the nerve 90 percent of the time, I often hear, “No wonder you guys scare me to death!” With that compulsive drive comes the idea that we can invest smarter than the average Joe. Yet, according to noted author Larry Swedroe: “…the purchase by investors of individ- ual stocks… would seem to be the ultimate in controlling your own portfolio. However, in pursuing this course, you create two problems. First, you likely cannot achieve the extensive diversification that the use of mutual funds accomplishes. Second, the evidence tells us that individual investors who select their own stocks underperform appropriate benchmarks by significant margins.”1 Financial planners who utilize academic-based strategy agree that individuals cause little damage by actively trading a small portion of the portfolio (five to 10 percent) as long as the great bulk of one’s investments are in passive index funds. Nevertheless, many doctors choose to actively trade a significant portion of their funds. Since many of you will or already have taken the trading plunge, let’s examine the basics, then hear comments from a dentist who has done well since 2001 with active trading. Active traders normally use fundamental analysis or technical analysis, and often both. 1. Larry Swedroe, Investment Mistakes Even Smart Investors Make, McGraw Hill, 2012, p.24. -
Stock Market Explained
Stock Market Explained A Beginner's Guide to Investing and Trading in the Modern Stock Market © Ardi Aaziznia www.PeakCapitalTrading.com Copyrighted Material © Peak Capital Trading CHAPTER 1 Copyrighted Material © Peak Capital Trading Figure 1.1: “covid-19” and “stock market” keyword Google search trends between April 2019 and April 2020. As you can see, there is a clear correlation. As the stock market drop hit the news cycles, people started searching more and more about the stock market in Google! Copyrighted Material © Peak Capital Trading COVID-19 Bear Market 2019 Bull Market 2020 recession due to pandemic v Figure 1.2: Comparison between the bull market of 2019 and the bear market of 2020, as shown by the change in share value of 500 of the largest American companies. These companies are tracked by the S&P 500 and are traded in an exchange-traded fund known as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (ticker: SPY). For your information, S&P refers to Standard & Poor’s, one of the indices which used to track this information. Copyrighted Material © Peak Capital Trading Figure 1.3: How this book is organized. Chapters 1-4 and 7-11 are written by me. Chapters 5 and 6 on day trading are written by Andrew Aziz. Copyrighted Material © Peak Capital Trading CHAPTER 2 Copyrighted Material © Peak Capital Trading Figure 2.1: The return on investing $100 in an exchange-traded fund known as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (ticker: SPY) (which tracks the share value of 500 of the largest American companies (as rated by the S&P 500)) vs. -
The Best Candlestick Patterns
Candlestick Patterns to Profit in FX-Markets Seite 1 RISK DISCLAIMER This document has been prepared by Bernstein Bank GmbH, exclusively for the purposes of an informational presentation by Bernstein Bank GmbH. The presentation must not be modified or disclosed to third parties without the explicit permission of Bernstein Bank GmbH. Any persons who may come into possession of this information and these documents must inform themselves of the relevant legal provisions applicable to the receipt and disclosure of such information, and must comply with such provisions. This presentation may not be distributed in or into any jurisdiction where such distribution would be restricted by law. This presentation is provided for general information purposes only. It does not constitute an offer to enter into a contract on the provision of advisory services or an offer to buy or sell financial instruments. As far as this presentation contains information not provided by Bernstein Bank GmbH nor established on its behalf, this information has merely been compiled from reliable sources without specific verification. Therefore, Bernstein Bank GmbH does not give any warranty, and makes no representation as to the completeness or correctness of any information or opinion contained herein. Bernstein Bank GmbH accepts no responsibility or liability whatsoever for any expense, loss or damages arising out of, or in any way connected with, the use of all or any part of this presentation. This presentation may contain forward- looking statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements or trend information that are based on current plans, views and/or assumptions and subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties, most of them being difficult to predict and generally beyond Bernstein Bank GmbH´s control. -
Trading System Development
Trading System Development An Interactive Qualifying Project Submitted to the Faculty of WORCESTER POLYTECHNIC INSTITUTE In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Bachelor of Science By Brian O’Day Dylan Stimson Branden Diniz Submitted to: Prof. Michael Radzicki (advisor) Prof. Hossein Hakim (co-advisor) May 9, 2015 Abstract The purpose of this project was to construct a system of trading systems that would demonstrate a successful long term return on investment across different market conditions. The team was given $300,000 to distribute amongst three scientifically developed systems on the TradeStation platform provided by our advisors. The strategies were designed to incorporate both technical and fundamental data as well as trade diverse markets. The resulting cultivation of systems involved the use of two automated trading strategies and one manual trading strategy that showed substantial profits in the long term. 1 Acknowledgments We would like to thank Professor Radzicki and Professor Hakim for their guidance and support throughout the course of the project. We would also like to thank TradeStation for providing us with a platform for trading that made this project possible. 2 Authorship Page Introduction - Brian Problem Statement - Brian Overview of Systems - All Foundations of Trading and Investing Trading vs Investing - Branden Types of Exchanges - Branden, Dylan Investment Funds - Dylan Types of Orders - Dylan Market Conditions - Dylan Trading different Time Frames - Brian, Branden Costs of Trading/Investing -
Technical Analysis, Liquidity, and Price Discovery∗
Technical Analysis, Liquidity, and Price Discovery∗ Felix Fritzy Christof Weinhardtz Karlsruhe Institute of Technology Karlsruhe Institute of Technology This version: 27.08.2016 Abstract Academic literature suggests that Technical Analysis (TA) plays a role in the decision making process of some investors. If TA traders act as uninformed noise traders and generate a relevant amount of trading volume, market quality could be affected. We analyze moving average (MA) trading signals as well as support and resistance levels with respect to market quality and price efficiency. For German large-cap stocks we find excess liquidity demand around MA signals and high limit order supply on support and resistance levels. Depending on signal type, spreads increase or remain unaffected which contra- dicts the mitigating effect of uninformed TA trading on adverse selection risks. The analysis of transitory and permanent price components demonstrates increasing pricing errors around TA signals, while for MA permanent price changes tend to increase of a larger magnitude. This suggests that liquidity demand in direction of the signal leads to persistent price deviations. JEL Classification: G12, G14 Keywords: Technical Analysis, Market Microstructure, Noise Trading, Liquidity ∗Financial support from Boerse Stuttgart is gratefully acknowledged. The Stuttgart Stock Exchange (Boerse Stuttgart) kindly provided us with databases. The views expressed here are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the Boerse Stuttgart Group. yE-mail: [email protected]; Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Research Group Financial Market Innovation, Englerstrasse 14, 76131 Karlsruhe, Germany. zE-mail: [email protected]; Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Institute of Information System & Marketing, Englerstrasse 14, 76131 Karlsruhe, Germany. -
Candlestick Patterns
INTRODUCTION TO CANDLESTICK PATTERNS Learning to Read Basic Candlestick Patterns www.thinkmarkets.com CANDLESTICKS TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Contents Risk Warning ..................................................................................................................................... 2 What are Candlesticks? ...................................................................................................................... 3 Why do Candlesticks Work? ............................................................................................................. 5 What are Candlesticks? ...................................................................................................................... 6 Doji .................................................................................................................................................... 6 Hammer.............................................................................................................................................. 7 Hanging Man ..................................................................................................................................... 8 Shooting Star ...................................................................................................................................... 8 Checkmate.......................................................................................................................................... 9 Evening Star .................................................................................................................................... -
Investing with Volume Analysis
Praise for Investing with Volume Analysis “Investing with Volume Analysis is a compelling read on the critical role that changing volume patterns play on predicting stock price movement. As buyers and sellers vie for dominance over price, volume analysis is a divining rod of profitable insight, helping to focus the serious investor on where profit can be realized and risk avoided.” —Walter A. Row, III, CFA, Vice President, Portfolio Manager, Eaton Vance Management “In Investing with Volume Analysis, Buff builds a strong case for giving more attention to volume. This book gives a broad overview of volume diagnostic measures and includes several references to academic studies underpinning the importance of volume analysis. Maybe most importantly, it gives insight into the Volume Price Confirmation Indicator (VPCI), an indicator Buff developed to more accurately gauge investor participation when moving averages reveal price trends. The reader will find out how to calculate the VPCI and how to use it to evaluate the health of existing trends.” —Dr. John Zietlow, D.B.A., CTP, Professor of Finance, Malone University (Canton, OH) “In Investing with Volume Analysis, the reader … should be prepared to discover a trove of new ground-breaking innovations and ideas for revolutionizing volume analysis. Whether it is his new Capital Weighted Volume, Trend Trust Indicator, or Anti-Volume Stop Loss method, Buff offers the reader new ideas and tools unavailable anywhere else.” —From the Foreword by Jerry E. Blythe, Market Analyst, President of Winthrop Associates, and Founder of Blythe Investment Counsel “Over the years, with all the advancements in computing power and analysis tools, one of the most important tools of analysis, volume, has been sadly neglected. -
© 2012, Bigtrends
1 © 2012, BigTrends Congratulations! You are now enhancing your quest to become a successful trader. The tools and tips you will find in this technical analysis primer will be useful to the novice and the pro alike. While there is a wealth of information about trading available, BigTrends.com has put together this concise, yet powerful, compilation of the most meaningful analytical tools. You’ll learn to create and interpret the same data that we use every day to make trading recommendations! This course is designed to be read in sequence, as each section builds upon knowledge you gained in the previous section. It’s also compact, with plenty of real life examples rather than a lot of theory. While some of these tools will be more useful than others, your goal is to find the ones that work best for you. Foreword Technical analysis. Those words have come to have much more meaning during the bear market of the early 2000’s. As investors have come to realize that strong fundamental data does not always equate to a strong stock performance, the role of alternative methods of investment selection has grown. Technical analysis is one of those methods. Once only a curiosity to most, technical analysis is now becoming the preferred method for many. But technical analysis tools are like fireworks – dangerous if used improperly. That’s why this book is such a valuable tool to those who read it and properly grasp the concepts. The following pages are an introduction to many of our favorite analytical tools, and we hope that you will learn the ‘why’ as well as the ‘what’ behind each of the indicators. -
Identifying Chart Patterns with Technical Analysis
746652745 A Fidelity Investments Webinar Series Identifying chart patterns with technical analysis BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BROKERAGE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Important Information Any screenshots, charts, or company trading symbols mentioned are provided for illustrative purposes only and should not be considered an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for the security. Investing involves risk, including risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results Stop loss orders do not guarantee the execution price you will receive and have additional risks that may be compounded in pe riods of market volatility. Stop loss orders could be triggered by price swings and could result in an execution well below your trigg er price. Trailing stop orders may have increased risks due to their reliance on trigger pricing, which may be compounded in periods of market volatility, as well as market data and other internal and external system factors. Trailing stop orders are held on a separat e, internal order file, place on a "not held" basis and only monitored between 9:30 AM and 4:00 PM Eastern. Technical analysis focuses on market action – specifically, volume and price. Technical analysis is only one approach to analyzing stocks. When considering which stocks to buy or sell, you should use the approach that you're most comfortable with. As with all your investments, you must make your own determination as to whether an investment in any particular security or securities is right for you based on your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. -
Technical-Analysis-Bloomberg.Pdf
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Handbook 2003 Bloomberg L.P. All rights reserved. 1 There are two principles of analysis used to forecast price movements in the financial markets -- fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis, depending on the market being analyzed, can deal with economic factors that focus mainly on supply and demand (commodities) or valuing a company based upon its financial strength (equities). Fundamental analysis helps to determine what to buy or sell. Technical analysis is solely the study of market, or price action through the use of graphs and charts. Technical analysis helps to determine when to buy and sell. Technical analysis has been used for thousands of years and can be applied to any market, an advantage over fundamental analysis. Most advocates of technical analysis, also called technicians, believe it is very likely for an investor to overlook some piece of fundamental information that could substantially affect the market. This fact, the technician believes, discourages the sole use of fundamental analysis. Technicians believe that the study of market action will tell all; that each and every fundamental aspect will be revealed through market action. Market action includes three principal sources of information available to the technician -- price, volume, and open interest. Technical analysis is based upon three main premises; 1) Market action discounts everything; 2) Prices move in trends; and 3) History repeats itself. This manual was designed to help introduce the technical indicators that are available on The Bloomberg Professional Service. Each technical indicator is presented using the suggested settings developed by the creator, but can be altered to reflect the users’ preference.