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Chennai Retail Marketbeat Q1 2021

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Chennai Retail Marketbeat Q1 2021 MA R K E T B E AT CHENNAI Retail Q1 2021 Leasing activity remains sluggish; slow recovery along the main streets Chennai’s malls and main streets recorded a gross leasing of 0.1 msf in Q1 2021, a reduction of 19% y-o-y and 42% q-o-q. While leasing activity remained sluggish with increasing Covid cases posing a challenge for the retail sector, main streets have witnessed a gradual recovery. In the current quarter, prominent main streets recorded majority of the leasing activity in comparison to the sluggish business activity in malls. Velachery 100 ft Road, Ashok Nagar 8.32% MALL VACANCY (Q1 2021) 10th Avenue and North Usman Road were the key locations that witnessed robust space take-up. The jewellery sector dominated leasing activity with a share of 26% with brands like GRT Jewellery and Kalyan Jewellers taking up fresh space. Brands in the apparels and footwear segment accounted for 19% of the quarterly leasing followed by supermarkets accounting for a 15% share. Demand for quality mall space remained robust with domestic and UPCOMING MALL SUPPLY international brands such as Mango, Bata Red, Dell, Vaya taking up space in superior malls such as Express Avenue, Phoenix Market City and VR Mall 5.84 msf (2021 - 2023) where hygiene and safety concerns were addressed appropriately. Recovery of the overall retail mall segment has been relatively slow, especially given the subdued consumer sentiments. However, with footfalls rising to 60-65% of pre-Covid levels and vaccinations gaining momentum, shopping malls are likely to witness a faster recovery over the next few quarters. 26% SHARE OF JEWELLERY SECTOR IN GROSS LEASING (Q1 2021) Mall rentals remained stable across submarkets City-level mall rentals remained stable across all submarkets owing to the limited transactions concluded at ongoing rates during the quarter. Main street rentals remained stable on a q-o-q basis but registered a decline of 4.5% as compared to the same period last year. Mall rentals are likely to remain range- bound with transactions closing at prevailing rates and no major superior mall supply scheduled in the near term. The trend of revenue sharing models to support retailers is expected to continue till the end of the current fiscal year and further decisions may be taken depending on the market conditions. The wedding season during the early months of the current year contributed to an uptick in apparel and electronics sales. In order to drive sales, brands have ECONOMIC INDICATORS Q1 2021 devised specific strategies integrating online and offline business models with greater technology deployment and increasing their online presence. The trend of major retailers adopting an omnichannel approach and scaling up digital investments is expected to continue with changes in consumer buying 2022 2020 2021 behaviour. Cost optimization has also remained a key focus with retailers operating with minimal workforce and this may continue for some more time. Forecast Marginal increase in mall vacancy GDP Growth -7.7% 10.2% 7.0% Overall mall vacancy increased marginally to 8.3% due to the closure of outlets such as Chili's, Burberry, GAP among others, due to muted sales. Main streets such as T. Nagar, Anna Nagar, GST Road, OMR witnessed brands vacate 1,000 – 5,000 sf sized stores, thereby resulting in higher vacancy levels. CPI Growth 6.1% 5.0% 4.3% Domestic brands like Sri Krishna Sweets, Thambi Vilas and Witco too vacated a few of their outlets, downsized or relocated to a space with a lower rent. Retailers like Corium downsized and relocated to a lower rental space within the existing main street (Anna Nagar). This trend is expected to continue over Consumer the next two quarters till retail segment sees significant business recovery. Owing to construction delays, no new mall supply has been recorded since last -8.5% 6.3% 7.2% Spending year while the upcoming mall supply of 5.84 msf has been deferred by two to three quarters. Govt. Final MALL SUPPLY / VACANCY RATE CATEGORY-WISE STOCK / VACANCY Expenditure 5.7% 10.8% 9.7% Growth 4,000 20.00% Source: Oxford Economics, IMF, RBI 1,500 10.00% 3,000 15.00% 1,000 5.00% 500 2,000 10.00% - 0.00% 1,000 5.00% 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Q1 2021F 2021 - 0.00% MALL SUPPLY ('000 sf) VACANCY (%) Superior Malls Good Malls Average Malls MALL INVENTORY ('000 sf) VACANCY (%) MA R K E T B E AT CHENNAI Retail Q1 2021 MARKET STATISTICS Q-O-Q Y-O-Y PRIME RETAIL RENTS – MAIN INR SF/MTH EURO SF/YR US$ SF/YR STREETS CHANGE CHANGE Nungambakkam High Road 130 18 21 0.0% -3.7% Khadar Nawaz Khan Road 135 19 22 0.0% -6.9% Cathedral Road – R.K. Salai 115 16 19 0.0% -2.5% Usman Road - South 100 14 16 0.0% 0.0% Usman Road - North 110 15 18 0.0% 0.0% Adyar Main Road 135 19 22 0.0% -6.9% Anna Nagar 2nd Avenue 145 20 24 0.0% -9.4% Purasawalkam High Road 110 15 18 0.0% -4.3% Pondy Bazaar 150 21 25 0.0% 0.0% Velachery 100 14 16 5.3% -9.1% Ambattur (MTH Road) 95 13 16 0.0% -5.0% Q-O-Q Y-O-Y PRIME RETAIL RENTS – MALLS INR SF/MTH EURO SF/YR US$ SF/YR CHANGE CHANGE Chennai - CBD 215 29 35 0.0% -4.4% Chennai - Western 180 25 30 0.0% -5.3% Chennai - South 185 25 30 0.0% -2.6% Note: Asking rent (INR/sf/month) on carpet area of ground floor Vanilla stores is quoted US$ = 72.8 INR AND € = 87.5 INR Kapil Kanala SIGNIFICANT LEASING TRANSACTIONS Q1 2021 Senior Associate Director, Research Services +91 40 40405555 / [email protected] PROPERTY LOCATION TENANT SF Independent Building Velachery Kalyan Jewellers 12,000 Independent Building Ashok Nagar Grace Super Market 10,000 cushmanwakefield.com Independent Building T.Nagar Kalyan Jewellers 10,000 A CUSHMAN & WAKEFIELD RESEARCH PUBLICATION Cushman & Wakefield (NYSE: CWK) is a leading global real estate services SIGNIFICANT PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION firm that delivers exceptional value for real estate occupiers and ow ners. Cushman & Wakefield is among the largest real estate services firms w ith approximately 51,000 employees in 400 offices and 70 countries. In 2018, the PROPERTY LOCATION SF COMPLETION DATE firm had revenue of $8.2 billion across core services of property, facilities and project management, leasing, capital markets, valuation and other services. Chennai Airport MLCP Meenambakkam 238,101 Q2 2021 ©2021 Cushman & Wakefield. All rights reserved. The information contained within this report is gathered from multiple sources believed to be reliable. The information may Market of India Perambur 5,400,000 Q3 2022 contain errors or omissions and is presented without any warranty or representations as to its accuracy..
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