State of the Estuary 2008 Ta B E L LAND USE
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S TATE OF THE E STUARY 2008 A Greener Shade of Blue? STATE OF THE SAN FRANCISCO BAY-DELTA ESTUARY 2008 A Greener S hade of B lue? San Francisco Estuary Project & CALFED October 2007 State of the Estuary Conference Proceedings San Francisco Estuary Project 1515 Clay Street #1400 Oakland, California 94612 A Greener Shade of Blue? ta B le OPENING REMARKS ................................................................................................................................................3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ................................................................................................................................................5 of VITAL STATISTICS ........................................................................................................................................................18 contents IMPORTANT CHANGES IN THE STATE OF THE ESTUARY Tom Mumley The State of the Estuary and the 2007 CCMP ...................40 Matt Kondolf Watersheds and Land Use .............................................................40 Michael Carlin Climate Adaptation Strategies .......................................................41 Richard Looker Pollution Prevention and Reduction...........................................42 Josh Collins Wetlands: Links Between Watersheds and the Bay ..........43 Steve Goldbeck From Spoils to Beneficial Reuse ...................................................44 Ted Sommer The Collapse of Pelagic Fishes .......................................................45 Bruce Herbold The Collapse of Pelagic Fishes .......................................................45 Susan Ellis Aquatic Invasive Species ....................................................................46 Kathy Hieb Response of the Estuary’s Aquatic Biota to Changing Conditions ...........................................................................47 Cordylanthus maritimus subspecies palus- Joelle Buffa Response of Two Mammals to tris. Extirpated in South Bay, remaining Natural Events and Management ................................................48 mostly in San Rafael Bay and Richard- son Bay. Its stronghold is west Marin’s John Takekawa Challenges in Conserving Migratory Birds ............................49 marine tidal marshes. It can become very abundant locally. Photo and cap- THE DELTA tion courtesy of Peter Baye. Ellen Hanak The Changing Delta.............................................................................52 Michael Healey Old Uses for a New Delta ..............................................................53 Dan Cayan Assessing Scenarios of Change .....................................................54 Les Harder The Fragility of Levees .......................................................................55 Steve Chappell Suisun Marsh: The Forgotten Link ................................................56 Roger Fujii Subsidence Reversal ............................................................................57 Phil Williams How Delta Decisions Affect San Francisco Bay ..................58 INTEGRATING ECOLOGICAL RESTORATION INTO WATERSHED MANAGEMENT Mark Stacey The Connection Between Estuary and Perimeter Habitats ...............................................................................60 Wendy Eliot Wetlands Restoration in the North Bay .................................61 Letitia Grenier Biota Without Borders.......................................................................62 Peter Baye Native Plant Diversity .........................................................................62 Arthur Feinstein Putting it Back Together .....................................................................63 Richard Thomasser A Living River Case Study ................................................................64 Bruce Wolfe Controlling Pollution ..........................................................................65 Steve Ritchie Integrating Wastewater, Stormwater, Floodwaters, and Restoration......................................................................................65 Maura Moody Salmon and Steelhead Recovery .................................................66 Eric Cartwright The Bottleneck in the Alameda Creek Flood Control Channel......................................................................67 Andy Gunther Restoring Steelhead .............................................................................68 Jeff Miller When Will Steelhead Return to Alameda Creek? .............69 State Of The Estuary 2008 ta B le LAND USE of Kamyar Guivetchi California Water Plan Update 2009 ...........................................72 Steve Raney Efficient Cities..........................................................................................72 contents Kristina Ortez Cost-effective Strategies to Ensure Water Supply .............73 Richard Harris New Conservation Trends ..............................................................74 Michelle Pla The Importance of Recycled Water ..........................................75 Jeff Loux Better Land Use Planning .................................................................75 Elizabeth Patterson Linking the Ahwahnee Principles .................................................76 Linda Fiack The Convergence of Urban and Rural Land Uses ............77 Dave Burch Air and Water Quality; Land Use and Transportation .....78 Beavers in Alhambra Creek, downtown POLLUTANTS Martinez. Photo courtesy of Cheryl Reynolds (www.martinezbeavers.org). Denise Greig San Francisco Bay Harbor Seals....................................................80 Collin Eagles-Smith Mercury Risk to Birds .........................................................................82 Kevin Kelley Environmental Endocrine Disruption ........................................83 Tracy Collier Protecting Estuaries from Contaminants .................................84 Steve Weisberg Statewide Assessment of Embayment Sediment ................85 David Lewis Targeting Trash ........................................................................................86 Steve Moore Sources, Amounts, and Patterns of Trash in Bay Area Streams.............................................................................87 Lesley Estes Oakland’s Programs to Reduce Trash ........................................88 Mark Cuneo Structural Trash Removal ..................................................................89 Lester McKee Sources of Pollutant Loads ..............................................................90 Gayle Tupper Success and Opportunities in Pollution Prevention ..........91 Jim Scanlin Stormwater Drainage System Maintenance Practices .....92 Mike Stenstrom Structural Control Solutions ...........................................................93 RESTORATION Jeremy Lowe Managing Wetland Habitats as Sea Level Rises....................96 Naomie Feger Dredged Sediments and Wetland Restoration ....................97 Tom Parker Effects of Inundation and Salinity..................................................98 Peggy Olofson Invasive Spartina Control .................................................................99 Stuart Siegel Determinism, Chaos, and Randomness ................................. 100 Robin Grossinger Planning Ecosystems Based on Historical Landscapes .. 101 Clyde Morris Restoration in South San Francisco Bay ............................... 102 Christy Smith Tidal Restoration in San Pablo Bay .......................................... 103 Howard Shellhammer Small Mammals and Salt Marsh Restoration ...................... 104 Nadav Nur Avian Demographic Parameters and Marsh Restoration ............................................................................. 105 Nancy Schaefer San Francisco Bay Area Upland Habitat Goals ................. 106 Carl Wilcox Where Do We Go with the Baylands Ecosystem Habitat Goals? ............................................................. 106 Korie Schaeffer The Subtidal Habitat Goals Project ......................................... 107 Eric Tattersall Turning Conflict into Cooperation .......................................... 108 BIBLIOGRAPHY ........................................................................................................110 *Individual abstracts listed by first author only. Some titles have been shortened in the Table of Contents; please cite as shown on the abstract page. A Greener Shade of Blue? executiveopening OPENING REMARKS How green—or ecologically sustainable—is the Estuary and its watershed? remarks How much progress has been made since the CCMP, the Comprehensive summary Conservation and Management Plan for the Bay-Delta Estuary, was first signed in 1993? This was the question posed in many guises—with many different answers—at the October 2007 State of the Estuary conference on the 15 an- niversary of the CCMP. The vital statistics and abstracts in this report present data, opinions, and the latest science about pressing issues and “to do” lists for the Estuary. And below, several Estuary thinkers share their thoughts on how well Snowy plover by Bob Lewis we are doing at accomplishing the CCMP goals of restoring wetlands, improving conditions for wildlife and aquatic organisms, achieving sustainable water and land use, preventing and cleaning up pollution, dealing with dredging, and educating the public about issues affecting the Estuary. Marc Holmes, The Bay Institute I think the question mark in “A Greener Shade?” is merited. Right now, almost every assumption