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Latest Trends in Enrolment June 2015

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Latest Trends in Enrolment June 2015 August 12, 2015 Agenda Detailed Nielsen analysis Observations from the field 1 Agenda Detailed Nielsen analysis Observations from the field 2 Enrolment for 5-9 year olds has increased by 1.1% School participation rate 5-9 year olds (%) 90.4% 89.3% 1.1% 88.2% 86.8% 86.1% 85.9% 84.8% Nov-11 Jun-12Nov-12 Jun-13 Nov-13 Nov-14 Jun-15 SOURCE: Nielsen Household Survey– November 2011 to June 2015 3 Enrolment ( Nov 2011 - Jun 2015) School participation rate – Urban Areas 5-9 year olds (%) 94.7% 92.9% 93.1% 93.1% 92.7% 92.6% 92.2% Nov-11 Jun-12 Nov-12 Jun-13 Nov-13 Nov-14 Jun-15 School participation rate – Rural Areas 5-9 year olds (%) 88.7% 87.8% 86.5% 84.4% 83.5% 83.2% 81.9% Nov-11 Jun-12 Nov-12 Jun-13 Nov-13 Nov-14 Jun-15 SOURCE: Nielsen Household Survey– November 2011 to June 2015 Margin of Error < 4% with a 95 % confidence interval 4 Enrolment has increased significantly over the last 4 years, with a proportionate increase observed for across all age groups Enrolment Percent Jun 2015 100% Nov 2011 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Age No. of years SOURCE: Nielsen Household Survey November 2011; June 2015 Margin of Error < 3.1% with a 95 % confidence interval 5 35 districts in Punjab show improvement since November 2011 District % Change since November 2011 Rahim Yar Khan 15.4% Lodhran 13.1% Bahawalnagar 13.0% Bahawalpur 12.1% Pakpattan 10.9% Sheikhupura 9.9% <3.1 % Layyah 9.7% >3.1% Sahiwal 9.2% Mianwali 9.1% Sargodha 9.0% 25 districts show a % Khushab 8.2% change in enrolment Bhakkar 7.7% Multan 7.5% since Nov 2011 which is Dera Ghazi Khan 6.5% greater than the margin Chiniot 6.5% of error of 3.1 % Vehari 5.7% Toba Tek Singh 5.7% Kasur 5.0% Rajanpur 4.8% Jhang 4.6% Okara 4.4% Muzaffargarh 4.3% Nankana Sahib 3.9% Mandi Bahauddin 3.7% Gujrat 3.2% Khanewal 2.8% Lahore 2.5% Attock 2.3% Narowal 2.2% Chakwal 2.1% Gujranwala 1.9% Rawalpindi 1.6% Faisalabad 1.5% Hafizabad 1.4% Sialkot 0.1% Jhelum SOURCE: Nielsen Household Survey November 2011; June 2015; Margin of Error < 3.1% with a 95 % confidence interval Enrolment by District – (Jun 2015) Participation rate of 5-9 year olds, % June 2015 95%< 90<95% 85-<90% <85% District Performance Chakwal 98.0 Gujrat 96.8 Narowal 96.8 Attock Attock 96.6 Rawalpindi Gujranwala 96.5 Jhelum 96.4 Chakwal Jhelum Rawalpindi 96.2 Sheikhupura 95.6 Mianwali Gujrat Toba Tek Singh 95.4 M.B. Din Sialkot 95.4 Sialkot Khushab Sargodha Khushab 95.3 Gujranwala Narowal Hafizabad Mandi Bahauddin 95.3 Lahore 94.9 Bhakkar Chiniot Shekhupura Sargodha 94.5 Nankana Kasur 93.8 Faisalabad Sahib Lahore Jhang Mianwali 93.2 Layyah Hafizabad 92.7 Kasur T T Singh Bahawalnagar 92.4 Pakpattan 91.3 Okara Muzaffargarh Sahiwal Jhang 91.3 D.G. Khan Khanewal Okara 91.3 Pakpattan Nankana Sahib 91.1 Vihari Faisalabad 90.9 Bahawalnagar Sahiwal 90.2 Multan Lodhran Bhakkar 90.0 Layyah 89.9 35 Multan 88.7 Chiniot 87.9 Rajanpur Bahawalpur Bahawalpur 87.6 Vehari 86.1 Rahimyar Khan Khanewal 85.0 Punjab Participation Lodhran 84.9 Rahim Yar Khan 82.1 Rate ( June 2015) Muzaffargarh 81.6 90.4 % Dera Ghazi Khan 78.8 Rajanpur 64.7 SOURCE: Nielsen Household Survey – June 2015 Margin of Error < 3.1% with a 95 % confidence interval 7 Enrolment by District – (Nov 2014) Participation rate of 5-9 year olds, % November 2014 95%< 90<95% 85-<90% <85% District Performance Chakwal 97.9 Jhelum 97.4 Attock 97.0 Attock Gujrat 96.6 Rawalpindi Narowal 96.3 Sialkot 96.0 Chakwal Jhelum Gujranwala 95.2 Rawalpindi 95.0 Mianmali Gujrat Mandi Bahauddin 94.9 M.B. Din Toba Tek Singh 93.8 Sialkot Khushab Sargodha Hafizabad 93.0 Gujranwala Narowal Hafizabad Nankana Sahib 93.0 Kasur 92.8 Bhakkar Chiniot Shekhupura Sheikhupura 92.7 Nankana Sargodha 92.4 Faisalabad Sahib Lahore Jhang Bhakkar 91.7 Layyah Lahore 91.7 Kasur T T Singh Okara 91.3 Sahiwal 90.8 Okara Muzaffargarh Sahiwal Mianwali 90.8 D.G. Khan Khanewal Jhang 90.6 Pakpattan Faisalabad 90.4 Vihari Khushab 90.4 Bahawalnagar Layyah 90.0 Multan Lodhran Pakpattan 87.6 Vehari 87.2 35 Chiniot 87.0 Bahawalnagar 85.4 Rajanpur Bahawalpur Khanewal 85.1 Multan 84.6 Rahimyar Khan Bahawalpur 84.2 Punjab Participation Dera Ghazi Khan 83.6 Lodhran 83.5 Rate ( Nov 2014) Muzaffargarh 80.6 89.3 % Rahim Yar Khan 77.9 Rajanpur 65.4 SOURCE: Nielsen Household Survey – November 2014 Margin of Error < 3.1% with a 95 % confidence interval 8 24 Districts across Punjab show improvement since November 2014 District Performance % Change since November 2014 98.0 Chakwal 0.1 96.8 Gujrat 0.2 96.8 Narowal 0.4 96.6 Attock -0.4 96.5 Gujranwala 1.3 96.4 Jhelum -1.0 Rawalpindi 96.2 1.2 Sheikhupura 95.6 2.9 95.4 Toba Tek Singh 1.6 Sialkot 95.4 -0.6 Khushab 95.3 5.0 Mandi Bahauddin 95.3 0.4 Lahore 94.9 3.2 Sargodha 94.5 2.2 Kasur 93.8 1.0 Mianwali 93.2 2.5 Hafizabad 92.7 -0.3 Bahawalnagar 92.4 7.0 Pakpattan 91.3 3.7 Jhang 91.3 0.6 Okara 91.3 0 Nankana Sahib 91.1 -1.9 Faisalabad 90.9 0.5 Sahiwal 90.2 -0.6 Bhakkar 90.0 -1.7 Layyah 89.9 -0.1 Multan 88.7 4.2 Chiniot 87.9 0.9 Bahawalpur 87.6 3.4 Vehari 86.1 -1.1 Khanewal 85.0 -0.1 Lodhran 84.9 1.4 Rahim Yar Khan 82.1 4.2 Muzaffargarh 81.6 1.0 Dera Ghazi Khan 78.8 -4.8 Rajanpur 64.7 -0.7 SOURCE: Nielsen Household Survey November 2014; June 2015; Margin of Error < 3.1% with a 95 % confidence interval 9 Male – Female Split ( Nov 2011 - Jun 2015) Male - Female split 5-9 year olds (%), Female Male 47.0% 46.2% 47.8% 46.9% 47.4% 48.0% 47.5% 53.0% 53.8% 52.2% 53.1% 52.6% 52.0% 52.5% Nov-11 Jun-12 Nov-12 Jun-13 Nov-13 Nov-14 Jun-15 SOURCE: Nielsen Household Survey– November 2011 to June 2015 Margin of Error < 3.1% with a 95 % confidence interval 10 Enrolment by Gender School participation rate 5-9 year olds (%), Male 91.8% 90.3% 89.4% 88.4% 86.9% 87.6% 87.1% Nov-11 Jun-12 Nov-12 Jun-13 Nov-13 Nov-14 Jun-15 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 School participation rate 5-9 year olds (%), Female 87.0% 88.3% 88.9% 84.4% 85.1% 84.6% 82.5% Nov-11 Jun-12 Nov-12 Jun-13 Nov-13 Nov-14 Jun-15 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 SOURCE: Nielsen Household Survey– November 2011 to June 2015 Margin of Error < 3.1% with a 95 % confidence interval 11 Enrolment by District – Male (Jun 2015) Participation rate of 5-9 year olds – Male , % June 2015 95%< 90<95% 85-<90% <85% District Performance Chakwal 98.3 Attock 97.9 Khushab 97.0 Attock Rawalpindi 97.0 Rawalpindi Narowal 97.0 Gujrat 96.9 Chakwal Jhelum Sialkot 96.4 Gujranwala 96.2 Mianwali Gujrat Jhelum 96.2 M.B. Din Toba Tek Singh 95.9 Sialkot Khushab Sargodha Sargodha 95.4 Gujranwala Narowal Hafizabad Sheikupura 95.3 Bhakkar Shekhupura Mianwali 95.1 Chiniot Hafizabad 94.8 Nankana Sahib Mandi Bahauddin 94.7 Faisalabad Lahore Jhang Lahore 94.7 Layyah Jhang 94.3 Kasur T T Bhakkar 93.9 Singh Kasur 93.2 Okara Muzaffargarh Sahiwal Faisalabad 93.2 D.G. Khan Khanewal Chiniot 92.7 Pakpattan Bahawalnagar 92.5 Vihari Nankana Sahib 92.3 Bahawalnagar Okara 92.1 Multan Lodhran Pakpattan 91.9 Bahawalpur 91.6 35 Layyah 90.8 Sahiwal 89.6 Rajanp Bahawalpur Multan 89.2 ur Vehari 88.1 Khanewal 87.8 Rahimyar Khan Punjab Male Lodhran 85.4 Rahim Yar Khan 85.2 Participation Rate Dera Ghazi Khan 84.1 (June 2015) is 91.8 % Muzaffargarh 83.0 Rajanpur 71.0 SOURCE: Nielsen Household Survey – June 2015 Margin of Error < 4% with a 95 % confidence interval 12 Only a few districts have shown improvements greater than the margin of error 95%< 90<95% 85-<90% <85% >0% <0% District Performance % Change since November 2014 Chakwal 98.3 0 Attock 97.9 2.9 Khushab 97.0 6.5 Rawalpindi 97.0 1.0 Narowal 97.0 0.9 Gujrat 96.9 0.1 Sialkot 96.4 -0.1 Gujranwala 96.2 2.1 Jhelum 96.2 -2.0 Toba Tek Singh 95.9 1.1 Sargodha 95.4 2.9 Sheikupura 95.3 2.2 Mianwali 95.1 3.1 Hafizabad 94.8 2.1 Mandi Bahauddin 94.7 -0.5 Lahore 94.7 2.4 Jhang 94.3 1.4 Bhakkar 93.9 0.5 Kasur 93.2 0 Faisalabad 93.2 3.3 Chiniot 92.7 3.2 Bahawalnagar 92.5 5.3 Nankana Sahib 92.3 -0.6 Okara 92.1 -1.4 Pakpattan 91.9 2.6 Bahawalpur 91.6 6.7 Layyah 90.8 -0.8 Sahiwal 89.6 -1.9 Multan 89.2 3.5 Vehari 88.1 0.1 Khanewal 87.8 0.6 Lodhran 85.4 -0.6 Rahim Yar Khan 85.2 3.0 Dera Ghazi Khan 84.1 -3.1 Muzaffargarh 83.0 1.9 Rajanpur 71.0 3.2 SOURCE: Nielsen Household Survey November 2014; June 2015; 4 Margin of Error 13 Enrolment by District – Female (Jun 2015) Participation rate of 5-9 year olds – Female , % June 2015 95%< 90<95% 85-<90% <85% District Performance Chakwal 97.7 Gujrat 96.7 Jhelum 96.7 Attock Gujranwala 96.7 Rawalpindi Narowal 96.5 Mandi Bahauddin 95.9 Chakwal Jhelum Sheikupura 95.9 Rawalpindi 95.3 Mianmali Gujrat Lahore 95.2 M.B.
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