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2018 U.S. State Elections Results the Significance of the 2018 Midterm Elections

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2018 U.S. State Elections Results The Significance of the 2018 Midterm Elections The 2018 midterm elections were significant due to the volume of statewide races across the country with potential policy and political impact. As anticipated, there were significant victories for the Democratic candidates for Governor. Democrats flipped seven governor seats from Republican control, bringing the total up to 23 Democrat and 26 Republican governors. This is a big win for Democrats, especially considering no single party has netted more than 6 governorships since 1994. At the Attorney General level, Senator Aaron Ford flipped the Nevada Attorney General office from Republican to Democrat. There also may be potential flips for the Democrats in Colorado and Michigan, but those races have not yet been called. Other notable results include Tish James, who will become the first African American elected statewide in New York, Keith Ellison, the first Muslim elected to Congress, who will also be the first African American elected to the position in Minnesota, and William Tong, who will be the first Asian American Attorney General in Connecticut. Once all the races are called, the Democrats are poised to take over the majority of the Attorney General seats across the country. McGuireWoods Consulting | 2 On the legislative level, Democrats made some inroads picking up new trifectas in Colorado, Illinois, Maine, New Mexico and New York. Trifectas, which are valuable heading into redistricting after the next Census, signify that one party has control of both legislative chambers and the Governor’s mansion. There are now 12 Democratic trifectas, up from seven, heading into next year. Despite these gains for Democrats, Republicans still control a majority of state legislative chambers. Republicans, who currently control 67 chambers, lost control of only 5 chambers in this election. In 2019, they will control 62 out of a possible 99 chambers. Gov. Jim Hodges Mona Mohib Michael Reynold President Senior Vice President Senior Vice President McGuireWoods Consulting McGuireWoods Consulting McGuireWoods Consulting +1 803 251 2301 +1 202 857 2912 +1 804 775 1917 Email Email Email McGuireWoods Consulting | 3 Table of Contents Click on any state in the following maps to jump to that state’s results. • Gubernatorial Race Results • Attorneys General Race Results • Notable State Legislative Activity The information in this presentation is based on the latest publicly available data and is subject to change. Last updated November 18, 2018. McGuireWoods Consulting | 4 Gubernatorial Race Results No election Democrat Republican MA RI CT Source: Public polling data McGuireWoods Consulting | 5 Attorneys General Race Results No election Democrat Republican No official call MA RI CT Source: Public polling data McGuireWoods Consulting | 6 Notable State Legislative Activity There was a slight shift in control of state legislative chambers after the Nov. 6 elections: • Republicans control 62 of 99 state legislatures as of the Nov. 6 elections, a small decrease from previous holdings. Republicans maintain a chamber advantage. • Democrats flipped the Colorado Senate, Maine Senate, Montana House, New Hampshire Senate and House, and the New York Senate. Democrats broke the tie in the Connecticut Senate and now have a majority. • Democrats also picked up trifectas in Illinois, Colorado, Maine, New York, and New Mexico as previously mentioned. • Republicans gained a true majority in the Alaska House. • In tight races only 10 seats away from Democratic majority, Republicans maintained control over the Arizona Senate and House, Florida Senate, Montana Senate (special election victory), Michigan Senate & House, Pennsylvania Senate, Virginia House (special election victory) and Wisconsin Senate. • Democrats broke the Republican trifecta in Michigan, and picked up super majorities in the Oregon House and Senate. McGuireWoods Consulting | 7 Governor Results State Governor Status Walt Maddox AL Incumbent Victory Kay Ivey ✓ Mark Begich AK Open Seat Mike Dunleavy ✓ David Garcia AZ Incumbent Victory Doug Ducey ✓ Jared Henderson AR Incumbent Victory Asa Hutchinson ✓ Gavin Newsom ✓ Open Seat CA John Cox Jared Polis ✓ Open Seat CO Walker Stapleton Ned Lamont ✓ Open Seat CT Bob Stefanowski DE Next election in 2020 Andrew Gillum FL Open Seat Ron DeSantis ✓ McGuireWoods Consulting | 8 Governor Results State Governor Status Stacey Abrams GA Open Seat Brian Kemp ✓ David Ige ✓ Incumbent Victory HI Andria Tupola Paulette Jordan ID Open Seat Brad Little ✓ J.B. Pritzker ✓ Flipped Seat IL Bruce Rauner IN Next election in 2020 Fred Hubbell IA Incumbent Victory Kim Reynolds ✓ Laura Kelly ✓ Flipped Seat KS Kris Kobach KY Next election in 2019 LA Next election in 2019 McGuireWoods Consulting | 9 Governor Results State Governor Status Janet Mills ✓ Flipped Seat ME Shawn Moody Ben Jealous MD Incumbent Victory Larry Hogan ✓ Jay Gonzalez MA Incumbent Victory Charles Baker ✓ Gretchen Whitmer ✓ Flipped Seat MI Bill Schuette Tim Walz ✓ Open Seat MN Jeff Johnson MS Next election in 2019 MO Next election in 2020 MT Next election in 2020 Bob Krist NE Incumbent Victory Pete Ricketts ✓ Steve Sisolak ✓ Flipped Seat NV Adam Laxalt Molly Kelly NH Incumbent Victory Chris Sununu ✓ McGuireWoods Consulting | 10 Governor Results State Governor Status NJ Next election in 2021 Michelle Lujan Grisham ✓ Flipped Seat NM Steve Pearce Andrew Cuomo ✓ Incumbent Victory NY Marc Molinaro NC Next election in 2020 ND Next election in 2020 Richard Cordray OH Open Seat Mike DeWine ✓ Drew Edmondson OK Open Seat Kevin Stitt ✓ Kate Brown ✓ Incumbent Victory OR Knute Buehler Tom Wolf ✓ Incumbent Victory PA Scott Wagner Gina Raimondo ✓ Incumbent Victory RI Allan Fung McGuireWoods Consulting | 11 Governor Results State Governor Status James Smith, Jr. SC Incumbent Victory Henry McMaster ✓ Billie Sutton SD Open Seat Kristi Noem ✓ Karl Dean TN Open Seat Bill Lee ✓ Lupe Valdez TX Incumbent Victory Greg Abbott ✓ UT Next election in 2020 Christine Hallquist VT Incumbent Victory Phillip Scott ✓ VA Next election in 2021 WA Next election in 2020 WV Next election in 2020 Tony Evers ✓ Flipped Seat WI Scott Walker Mary Throne WY Open Seat Mark Gordon ✓ McGuireWoods Consulting | 12 Attorney General Results State Attorney General Status Joseph Siegelman AL Incumbent Victory Steve Marshall ✓ AK Appointed by governor January Contreras AZ Incumbent Victory Mark Brnovich ✓ Mike Lee AR Incumbent Victory Leslie Rutledge ✓ Xavier Becerra ✓ Incumbent Victory CA Steve Bailey Phil Weiser ✓ Open Seat CO George Brauchler William Tong ✓ Open Seat CT Susan Hatfield Kathy Jennings ✓ Open Seat DE Bernard Pepukayi McGuireWoods Consulting | 13 Attorney General Results State Governor Status Sean Shaw FL Open Seat Ashley Moody ✓ Charlie Bailey GA Incumbent Victory Chris Carr ✓ HI Appointed by governor Bruce Bistline ID Incumbent Victory Lawrence Wasden ✓ Kwame Raoul ✓ Open Seat IL Erika Harold IN Next election in 2020 Tom Miller ✓ Incumbent Victory IA Marco Battaglia (L) Sarah Swain KS Incumbent Victory Derek Schmidt ✓ KY Next election in 2019 LA Next election in 2019 ME Appointed by legislature McGuireWoods Consulting | 14 Attorney General Results State Governor Status Brian Frosh ✓ Incumbent Victory MD Craig Wolf Maura Healey ✓ Incumbent Victory MA James McMahon Dana Nessel ✓ Open Seat MI Tom Leonard Keith Ellison ✓ Open Seat MN Doug Wardlow MS Next election in 2019 MO Next election in 2020 MT Next election in 2020 NE Uncontested in 2018 Aaron Ford ✓ Flipped Seat NV Wes Duncan McGuireWoods Consulting | 15 Attorney General Results State Governor Status NH Appointed by governor NJ Appointed by governor Hector Balderas ✓ Incumbent Victory NM Michael Hendricks Letitia James ✓ Open Seat NY Keith Wofford NC Next election in 2020 David Thompson ND Incumbent Victory Wayne Stenehjem ✓ Steve Dettelbach OH Open Seat Dave Yost ✓ Mark Myles OK Incumbent Victory Mike Hunter ✓ OR Next election in 2020 PA Next election in 2020 RI Uncontested in 2018 McGuireWoods Consulting | 16 Attorney General Results State Governor Status Constance Anastopoulo SC Incumbent Victory Alan Wilson ✓ Randy Seiler SD Open Seat Jason Ravnsborg ✓ TN Appointed by the state Supreme Court Justin Nelson TX Incumbent Victory Ken Paxton ✓ UT Next election in 2020 TJ Donovan ✓ Incumbent Victory VT H. Brooke Paige VA Next election in 2021 WA Next election in 2020 WV Next election in 2020 Josh Kaul No official call WI Brad Schimel WY Appointed by governor McGuireWoods Consulting | 17.
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