The 2009 Elections in Israel
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Mediterranean Politics | Middle East The 2009 Elections in Israel Mario Sznajder decisions necessary for restoring peace. This vicious Department of Political Science, circle needs to be broken in both directions. As a Panorama Truman Institute for the Advancement of Peace result of the failed attempt in the 1990s to create a The Hebrew University of Jerusalem more majoritarian system by electing the Prime Min- ister directly, the tendency to personalise the political The fragmentation of the Israeli political system, tech- system has increased to the point where many vote nically based on a highly proportional representative for leaders – and not for parties – in a system in which 2010 parliamentarian structure with a threshold of only 2%, the parties control everything, including the election has produced another stalemate. The roots of the prob- of the leaders. This has created a kind of negative Med. lem lie in the institutional structure of the Israeli politi- populism whose main characteristic is that each cal system, as well as in the kind of challenges con- leader (or main candidate), as was the case with fronted by every coalition government of the country. Livni, Netanyahu and Barak in the last election, has Israel’s institutional structure with its strongly propor- to invest much more time and energy defending him- tional representative system was a product of the pre- self against attacks, rather than proposing action 182 state need to integrate various groups of immigrants plans to resolve the country’s major problems. into the nation-building and state-building process. Since Israel acquired independence, David Ben Gu- rion, the founding father of the state, and most of his the Political background followers, unsuccessfully tried to make the system more majoritarian, subdividing the country into voting dis- The long-term pattern shows that participation in the tricts, raising the thresholds and using various formu- Israeli elections has declined steadily from 80% two lae. The last and most important attempt in the 1990s, decades ago to percentages slightly above 60% in separating the election of the Prime Minister from the the first decade of the 21st century. election of parliament members, ended in utter failure: The corruption and personal scandals affecting cen- Israel returned to the old system with a slightly higher tral political personalities such as the Primer Minister threshold that helps to diminish the number of parties Ehud Olmert, have contributed to politicians losing in the Knesset (Israeli Parliament), and facilitates the prestige and a low voter turnout. government coalition building process. Ehud Olmert’s resignation led to primary elections The real dilemma of the Israeli political system is that within his party, Kadima, won by his Foreign Affairs its highly proportional representative structure, which Minister Tzipi Livni. Benajmin Netanyahu, the leader generates unstable multi-party coalitions, means it is of the Likud party, was seen as the most probable unable to take the decisions needed to forward the winner of the Israeli election. Ehud Barak, as Minister peace process, particularly regarding Palestine, in of Defence, was struggling to retain the leadership such matters as dismantling settlements in the West of the Labour Party, which in 2008 was losing elec- Bank, sharing Jerusalem as a two-state capital and toral appeal, according to the polls. The elections in the return of Palestinian refugees. And the tensions fact came as a result of Barak’s pressure on Olmert and instability generated by the intense Arab-Israeli to resign and his threat that if Olmert did not step conflict preclude the conditions needed to reform the down, the Labour Party would abandon the ruling political system, and create one capable of taking the coalition and call elections anyway. The international financial crisis, which had signifi- These were the factors that eventually led to Opera- cant repercussions in Israel during the months lead- tion Cast Lead, launched by Israel against Gaza at ing to the elections, was seen as one of the main the end of December 2008. It would be unfair to say political issues. The incumbent Finance Minister, that this military operation was decided instrumen- Kadima’s Roni Bar-On, was the target of much tally by the incumbent government, which included criticism, especially from the Netanyahu camp. His two of the main candidates to govern the country, reputation as a neo-liberal financial wizard was dam- Livni and Barak, to improve their chances at the elec- aged by his failure to take the measures necessary tions. Nevertheless, we could conclude that for these to prevent the crisis hitting Israel and by his late leaders and their political formations it was virtually reaction to the pension fund problem. impossible to face an election while Hamas was step- ping up its attacks against the civilian population in southern Israel. The Likud could easily claim that its The members of the coalition leader, Benjamin Netanyahu, was the only candidate government knew that none able to confront Hamas with a firm hand and put an Panorama could face the election without end to the crisis, while the government was present- ed as indecisive and weak. having seriously addressed the This leads to a very paradoxical conclusion: one of issue of the continuous rocket the main factors in the Israeli elections was, in fact, and mortar firing from Gaza Hamas. By increasing pressure on the incumbent Israeli government they were provoking an Israeli 2010 military reaction with all the electoral result changes Med. Relations between Israel and the ruling power in Gaza, that this might produce. Moreover, by strongly resist- Hamas, were never good, but rapidly worsened fol- ing the Israeli attack, or not, and exposing the Pales- lowing the end of the ceasefire between the two sides, tinian civilian population to the military invasion, with on 19 December 2008. Even before that date, armed all the terrible consequences these attitudes would groups from Hamas and other extremist Palestinian entail, Hamas and the other extremist groups in Gaza, organisations harassed the Israeli population of the were playing into the hands of the Israeli radical right, 183 Negev areas that border Gaza with the constant firing personified on this occasion by Avigdor Lieberman of small Kassam rockets and mortar shells. In 2008, and his political party, Yisrael Beiteinu (Israel our the Palestinians began firing longer range and more Home) founded by and traditionally representing im- destructive rockets, hitting the city of Ashkelon on migrants from the former Soviet Union, but now at- several occasions. Israel reacted to these attacks by tracting all those radicalised to the extreme right by targeting the launchers and attacking sites thought the security crisis. to be ammunition depots or military bases. The violence escalated to new heights in the midst of the electoral campaign. The members of the coa- the Electoral Campaign lition government knew that none could face the elec- tion without having seriously addressed the issue of The attitude to this process could be best described the continuous rocket and mortar firing from Gaza. as one of boredom and disinterest. The economic All attempts to solve this problem by way of the Gaza crisis would not allow for increased expenses on two blockade failed, thanks to hundreds of tunnels dug accounts. Firstly, in times of crisis and increasing un- by Palestinians under their border with Egypt, through employment it was almost impossible to privately raise which they received regular supplies, including weap- the necessary funds. Austerity became a natural part ons and explosives. Attempts to reach a new cease- of the campaign for all 33 parties participating in the fire agreement between Hamas and Israel, through elections. Secondly, the corruption scandals affecting Egyptian mediation, also failed. The Likud leader used Olmert and other politicians generated a demand for the Gaza border situation to attack the government a new style of transparent politics that centred not of Olmert, Livni and Barak, claiming they were incom- only on personal honesty, but also public modesty. petent and unable to solve the crisis. In Israel, the This point was very well understood and exploited by lessons of the Second Lebanon War in 2006 have Tzipi Livni, who has not yet served as Prime Minister been learnt; with Gaza the army was ready to act. and could publicly deliver a perfectly clean record and relatively modest lifestyle. She expressed these gan: “no citizenship without loyalty”, meaning loyalty attributes through her message: “the new style of to Israel as a Jewish State. He claimed that the Arab politics”, in some way following Obama’s line for his population of Israel – Israeli citizens of Palestinian presidential campaign. The electoral campaign was nationality – constituted a fifth column and should be interrupted for three weeks during the Israeli military disenfranchised if they did not declare and prove their onslaught in Gaza. loyalty to Israel. The second point stressed secular- The resumption of the campaign in mid-January 2009, ity and attacked the position of the Israeli ultra-Or- weeks before the elections, did nothing to reignite thodox parties, demanding an opening of the criteria the public’s interest. The balance seemed to swing that determines who is a Jew. This is a very attractive towards Ehud Barak and the Labour party, according point for immigrants – and also secular Israelis – who to the polls, although this was delusive. Barak, con- would like to have civil matters settled outside the sidered by the public to be the best possible Defence rabbinical courts and be allowed civil marriage. The Minister given the current circumstances, could not third point is a peace plan with the Palestinians based rid himself of the effects of his previous period as on a territorial-demographic exchange in which Is- Panorama Prime Minister, from 1999 to 2001, which badly dam- rael would keep the major concentrations of settle- aged his reputation as a political leader, but reas- ments in the West Bank while receiving in exchange serted his military know-how and capacity.