Purchasing Power Parity and Country Characteristics: Evidence from Panel Data Tests
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The Decline of Neoliberalism: a Play in Three Acts* O Declínio Do Neoliberalismo: Uma Peça Em Três Atos
Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, vol. 40, nº 4, pp. 587-603, October-December/2020 The decline of neoliberalism: a play in three acts* O declínio do neoliberalismo: uma peça em três atos FERNANDO RUGITSKY**,*** RESUMO: O objetivo deste artigo é examinar as consequências políticas e econômicas da pandemia causada pelo novo coronavírus, colocando-a no contexto de um interregno gram sciano. Primeiro, o desmonte da articulação triangular do mercado mundial que ca- racterizou a década anterior a 2008 é examinado. Segundo, a onda global de protestos e os deslocamentos eleitorais observados desde 2010 são interpretados como evidências de uma crise da hegemonia neoliberal. Juntas, as crises econômica e hegemônica representam o interregno. Por fim, argumenta-se que o combate à pandemia pode levar à superação do neoliberalismo. PALAVRAS-CHAVE: Crise econômica; hegemonia neoliberal; interregno; pandemia. ABSTRACT: This paper aims to examine the political and economic consequences of the pandemic caused by the new coronavirus, setting it in the context of a Gramscian interregnum. First, the dismantling of the triangular articulation of the world market that characterized the decade before 2008 is examined. Second, the global protest wave and the electoral shifts observed since 2010 are interpreted as evidence of a crisis of neoliberal hegemony. Together, the economic and hegemonic crises represent the interregnum. Last, it is argued that the fight against the pandemic may lead to the overcoming of neoliberalism. KEYWORDS: Economic crisis; neoliberal hegemony; interregnum; pandemic. JEL Classification: B51; E02; O57. * A previous version of this paper was published, in Portuguese, in the 1st edition (2nd series) of Revista Rosa. -
WT/GC/W/757 16 January 2019 (19-0259) Page
WT/GC/W/757 16 January 2019 (19-0259) Page: 1/45 General Council Original: English AN UNDIFFERENTIATED WTO: SELF-DECLARED DEVELOPMENT STATUS RISKS INSTITUTIONAL IRRELEVANCE COMMUNICATION FROM THE UNITED STATES The following communication, dated 15 January 2019, is being circulated at the request of the delegation of the United States. _______________ 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1. In the preamble to the Marrakesh Agreement Establishing the World Trade Organization, the Parties recognized that "their relations in the field of trade and economic endeavor should be conducted with a view to raising standards of living, ensuring full employment and a large and steadily growing volume of real income and effective demand, and expanding the production of and trade in goods and services, while allowing for the optimal use of the world's resources in accordance with the objective of sustainable development…." 1.2. Since the WTO's inception in 1995, Members have made significant strides in pursuing these aims. Global Gross National Income (GNI) per capita on a purchasing-power-parity (PPP) basis, adjusted for inflation, surged by nearly two-thirds, from $9,116 in 1995 to $15,072 in 2016.1 The United Nations Development Program's (UNDP) Human Development Index (HDI) for the world increased from 0.598 to 0.728 between 1990 and 2017.2 According to the World Bank, between 1993 and 2015 — the most recent year for which comprehensive data on global poverty is available — the percentage of people around the world who live in extreme poverty fell from 33.5 percent to 10 percent, the lowest poverty rate in recorded history.3 Despite the world population increasing by more than two billion people between 1990 and 2015, the number of people living in extreme poverty fell by more than 1.1 billion during the same period, to about 736 million.4 1.3. -
Burgernomics: a Big Mac Guide to Purchasing Power Parity
Burgernomics: A Big Mac™ Guide to Purchasing Power Parity Michael R. Pakko and Patricia S. Pollard ne of the foundations of international The attractive feature of the Big Mac as an indi- economics is the theory of purchasing cator of PPP is its uniform composition. With few power parity (PPP), which states that price exceptions, the component ingredients of the Big O Mac are the same everywhere around the globe. levels in any two countries should be identical after converting prices into a common currency. As a (See the boxed insert, “Two All Chicken Patties?”) theoretical proposition, PPP has long served as the For that reason, the Big Mac serves as a convenient basis for theories of international price determina- market basket of goods through which the purchas- tion and the conditions under which international ing power of different currencies can be compared. markets adjust to attain long-term equilibrium. As As with broader measures, however, the Big Mac an empirical matter, however, PPP has been a more standard often fails to meet the demanding tests of elusive concept. PPP. In this article, we review the fundamental theory Applications and empirical tests of PPP often of PPP and describe some of the reasons why it refer to a broad “market basket” of goods that is might not be expected to hold as a practical matter. intended to be representative of consumer spending Throughout, we use the Big Mac data as an illustra- patterns. For example, a data set known as the Penn tive example. In the process, we also demonstrate World Tables (PWT) constructs measures of PPP for the value of the Big Mac sandwich as a palatable countries around the world using benchmark sur- measure of PPP. -
Purchasing Power Parity Refers To
Purchasing Power Parity Refers To Isogamy and airworthy Englebert douching wrongly and unhusks his enchanter howsoever and uninterruptedly. Thaxter remains introvert after Werner giddies discreditably or miscues any mela. Evan comminates regretfully. We aim of real exchange rates do not be traced to eliminate the indicated reference country to purchasing power, the problem of the advantage of property cannot reject unit labor Big Mac appears to tack a poor predictor of acurrency crisis. This journal presents economic performance of a wide is essential concept of baskets composition most goodsare not at parity refers to. According to which an ability to the inclusion of the example of currencies in different populations living of ppp much of living, to affect both tests. PPP exchange rate even though within average person simply be consuming a surgery different bench of joy and services. Existence of factor of both the effective inputs of a weighted averages, resulting in value of exchange by a high general purchasing power parity refers to purchasing power comes from household expenditure in northern italy. The purchasing power parity to purchasing power parity refers to the differences between purchasing power parity. As such, these indices are weighted averages ofthe individual prices. He finds no evidence of PPP for all price indices studied. According to PPP theory the British pound would have depreciated an article in the pound off of the dollar became the Japanese yen should have appreci- ated. Want and thank TFD for its existence? Spain and reference period to purchased form or income. There to purchasing power parity refers to some of exports for measurement and institutions, while purchasing power between competitive prices are. -
STATISTICS BRIEF Purchasing Power Parities – Measurement and Uses
STATISTICS Purchasing power BRIEF parities – measurement 2002 March No. 3 and uses by Paul Schreyer and Francette Koechlin How does one compare economic data between countries that is expressed in units of national currency? And in particular, how should measures of production and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) be converted into a common unit? One answer to this ques- tion is to use market exchange rates. While straightforward, this turns out to be an unsatisfactory solution for many purposes – primarily because exchange rates reflect so many more influences than the direct price comparisons that are required to make In this issue volume comparisons. Purchasing Power Parities (PPPs) provide such a price compari- son and this is the rationale for the work of the OECD and other international organisa- 1 What are PPPs? tions in this field (see chart 1). The OECD publishes new sets of benchmark PPPs every three years, drawing on detailed international price comparisons. Every time a new set of 2 Who uses them? benchmark PPPs is released, this also gives rise to a new set of international compari- 3 How to measure sons of levels of GDP and economic welfare. economic welfare, ... 3 ... the size of economies, ... What are PPPs? 4 ... productivity ? In their simplest form, PPPs are price relatives, which show the ratio of the prices in 5 Comparing price levels national currencies of the same good or service in different countries. A well-known 5 Inter-temporal compari- example of a one-product comparison is The Economist’s BigMacCurrency index, sons: using current presented by the journal as ”burgernomics”, whereby the BigMac PPP is the conversion or constant PPPs rate that would mean hamburgers cost the same in America as abroad. -
Presentation
Main messages • Trade and the WTO have contributed to the development successes of the past decade and a half. • But there are still big development challenges ahead and both trade and the WTO have big contributions to make. Four key trends • Rise of developing countries • Increased developing country participation in global value chains • Higher commodity prices • Increased synchronization of macroeconomic shocks Rise of developing countries Broad-based convergence • In the last decades, Figure B.8: Average annual growth in per capita GDP at purchasing-power-parity by level of development, 1990-2011 faster GDP growth (annual percentage change) in developing 7.0 countries has 6.6 6.0 allowed 5.4 5.0 4.7 convergence with 3.9 4.0 3.8 3.7 developed 2.9 3.0 2.4 countries. 1.8 1.9 2.0 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.9 1.0 • Growth has been 0.0 broadly spread: -1.0 -0.7 - G-20 developing -1.3 -2.0 countries have shown World Developed Developing G-20 Other Least LDC oil LDC economies economies developing developing developed exporters agricultural double-digit growth economies economies countries products - Natural resource (LDCs) exporters exporters have 1990-2000 2000-2011 benefited from higher commodity prices. Role of trade • GDP growth has moved hand in hand with integration in the world economy. • Although this relationship does not show causation, we know trade increases growth through various channels. Poverty • There has been a dramatic reduction in poverty. • Many countries have surpassed their MDG goals. Figure B.12: Share of population living in households below extreme poverty line, selected countries, 2000-11 • But the share of (per-cent) population in 70 extreme poverty has increased in a 60 few countries. -
World Trade Report Trade and Development: 2014 Recent Trends and the Role of the WTO
World Trade Report Trade and development: 2014 recent trends and the role of the WTO How do 4 recent major economic trends change how developing countries can use trade to facilitate their development? • the rise of the developing world • the higher prices of commodities • the expansion of global value chains • the increasingly global nature of macroeconomic shocks And what role does the WTO play? WTR_2014_promo_flyer_A4_7509_14_E.indd 1 13.10.14 13:03 II – TRADE AND DEVELOPMENT: RECENT TRENDS AND THE ROLE OF THE WTO II B. T DEVELOP OF THE HE GLO I NCREAS B AL ECONOMY AL I NG COUN NG I NG I MPOR T R T I ANCE Key facts and fi ndings ES I N The increasing importance of developing countries in the global economy • Since 2000, GDP per capita of developing countries has • GDP growth has moved hand in hand with integration in grown by 4.7 per cent, while developed countries only the world economy. The share of developing economies grew by 0.9 per cent. This has narrowed differences in in world output increased from 23 per cent to 40 per cent GDP per capita between countries. However, developing between 2000 and 2012 in purchasing power parity economies are still much poorer than developed countries, terms. The share of developing countries in world trade and millions remain in poverty even in the most dynamic also rose from 33 per cent to 48 per cent. developing countries. Figure B.9: Shares of selected economies in world GDP at purchasing power parity, 2000–12 Shares(percentage) of selected economies in world GDP at purchasing power parity, 2000–12 (percentage) 2000 2012 Other Other developing, 13% developing, 15% South Africa, 1% LDCs, 1% South Africa, 1% LDCs, 2% Argentina, 1% Argentina, 1% Saudi Arabia, Kingdom of, 1% Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, 1% Kingdom of, 1% United European Turkey, 1% Turkey, 1% States, Other Union (27), Other Korea, Rep. -
II Long-Run Movements in Real Exchange Rates
II Long-Run Movements in Real Exchange Rates Peter Isard and Steven Symansky Economists have shown little ability to explain which observed changes in currency values are exchange rate movements from day to day, likely to persist. Accordingly, economists are contin- month to month, or even year to year. As revealed by uing to address a number of unresolved issues about several extensive studies undertaken in the early the nature of the long-run relationships between ex- 1980s, which focused on the currencies of major in- change rates and national price or cost levels. This dustrial countries, the most widely used structural section reviews these issues and summarizes exist- models of exchange rates could not outperform a ing attempts to shed light on them empirically. It naive random-walk model over horizons of twelve also examines empirical evidence from the APEC re- months or less, even in predicting the realized be- gion,4 which presents a wide range of economic ex- havior of exchange rates using the realized values of periences, including a number of economies in the "exogenous" explanatory variables (Meese and which real output has expanded rapidly, thus provid- Rogoff, 1983a and 1983b). Moreover, subsequent ing an attractive focus for a study of the long-run be- efforts to improve the structural models have havior of exchange rates. achieved very limited success in outperforming the random-walk model over short-term horizons.1 Much greater success has been achieved, how- Historical Perspectives ever, in explaining the behavior of exchange rates for the APEC Region over relatively long time intervals. -
The Purchasing Power Parity Debate
Journal of Economic Perspectives—Volume 18, Number 4—Fall 2004—Pages 135–158 The Purchasing Power Parity Debate Alan M. Taylor and Mark P. Taylor Our willingness to pay a certain price for foreign money must ultimately and essentially be due to the fact that this money possesses a purchasing power as against commodities and services in that country. On the other hand, when we offer so and so much of our own money, we are actually offering a purchasing power as against commodities and services in our own country. Our valuation of a foreign currency in terms of our own, therefore, mainly depends on the relative purchasing power of the two currencies in their respective countries. Gustav Cassel, economist (1922, pp. 138–39) The fundamental things apply As time goes by. Herman Hupfeld, songwriter (1931; from the film Casablanca, 1942) urchasing power parity (PPP) is a disarmingly simple theory that holds that the nominal exchange rate between two currencies should be equal to the P ratio of aggregate price levels between the two countries, so that a unit of currency of one country will have the same purchasing power in a foreign country. The PPP theory has a long history in economics, dating back several centuries, but the specific terminology of purchasing power parity was introduced in the years after World War I during the international policy debate concerning the appro- priate level for nominal exchange rates among the major industrialized countries after the large-scale inflations during and after the war (Cassel, 1918). Since then, the idea of PPP has become embedded in how many international economists think about the world. -
Purchasing Power Parities and Real Expenditures a Summary Report
Purchasing Power Parities and Real Expenditures A Summary Report This report presents the summary results of purchasing power parties (PPP) in the 2011 International Comparison Program in Asia and the Pacific and background information on the concepts that underpin the results. The PPPs are disaggregated by major economic aggregates and enable cross-country comparison on total gross domestic expenditure, which reflects size of economies; per capita real gross domestic expenditure which identifies economies that are rich; real per capita actual final consumption which measures economic well-being; gross fixed capital formation which reflects investment levels; and price level indexes which indicate relative cost of living by economy. About the Asian Development Bank ADB’s vision is an Asia and Pacific region free of poverty. Its mission is to help its developing member countries reduce poverty and improve the quality of life of their people. Despite the region’s many successes, it remains home to two-thirds of the world’s poor: 1.7 billion people who live on less than $2 a day, with 828 million struggling on less than $1.25 a day. ADB is committed to reducing poverty through inclusive economic growth, environmentally sustainable growth, and regional integration. Based in Manila, ADB is owned by 67 members, including 48 from the region. Its main instruments for helping its developing member countries are policy dialogue, loans, equity investments, guarantees, grants, and technical assistance. 2011 INTERNATIONAL COMPARISON PROGRAM IN ASIA AND THE PACIFIC PURCHASING POWER PARITIES AND REAL EXPENDITURES A SUMMARY REPORT ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK 6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City 2011 1550 Metro Manila, Philippines 9789292 544805 ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK www.adb.org ASIA AND THE PACIFIC PPP-Cover-Blue-ADB-Branding.indd 1 28/03/2014 9:28:08 AM 2011 INTERNATIONAL COMPARISON PROGRAM IN ASIA AND THE PACIFIC PURCHASING POWER PARITIES AND REAL EXPENDITURES A SUMMARY REPORT 2011 ASIA AND THE PACIFIC © 2014 Asian Development Bank All rights reserved. -
Purpose of the Eurostat-OECD PPP Programme
From: Eurostat-OECD Methodological Manual on Purchasing Power Parities Access the complete publication at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264189232-en Purpose of the Eurostat-OECD PPP Programme Please cite this chapter as: OECD/Eurostat (2012), “Purpose of the Eurostat-OECD PPP Programme”, in Eurostat-OECD Methodological Manual on Purchasing Power Parities, OECD Publishing. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264189232-4-en This work is published on the responsibility of the Secretary-General of the OECD. The opinions expressed and arguments employed herein do not necessarily reflect the official views of the Organisation or of the governments of its member countries. This document and any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area. Calculation and aggregation of PPPs 12 Chapter 1: Purpose of the Eurostat-OECD PPP Programme Purpose of the Eurostat-OECD PPP Programme Eurostat-OECD Methodological Manual on Purchasing Power Parities 23 Purpose of the Eurostat-OECD PPP programme1 1.1 Introduction 1.1 The Eurostat-OECD PPP Programme was established in the early 1980s to compare on a regular and timely basis the GDPs of the Member States of the European Union and the Member Countries of the OECD. This remains the purpose of the Programme, although its coverage has been broadened to include countries that are not members of either the European Union or the OECD. These are either countries that have applied to join the European Union or the OECD or countries with which Eurostat and the OECD have programmes of technical cooperation in statistics. -
Purchasing Power Parity Based Weights for the World Economic Outlook
VI Purchasing Power Parity Based Weights for the World Economic Outlook Anne Marie Guide and Marianne Schulze-Ghattas1 lobal economic analyses generally involve the This study provides background information on Gaggregation of economic indicators across the new set of weights introduced in the May 1993 countries. In many instances, aggregates are World Economic Outlook. It reviews GDP weights defined as weighted averages of indicators for indi- based on market (or official) exchange rates and vidual countries, with the weights reflecting the rel- weights based on available estimates of PPPs and ative size of countries.2 A widely employed examines their impact on indicators of aggregate approach is to define countries' weights as their real GDP growth. The first section, which deals shares in total GDP of the group considered.3 To with exchange rate based GDP weights, provides a ensure that GDP weights reflect each country's brief summary of the empirical evidence on the share in real output, differences in price levels relationship between exchange rates and PPPs and across countries need to be taken into account. The discusses the implications of aggregating growth conversion factors used to convert data expressed in rates of real GDP with different sets of exchange national currencies into a common numeraire cur- rate based GDP weights. The study then examines rency should thus reflect each currency's purchasing an alternative weighting scheme derived from PPP- power relative to the numeraire currency.4 based GDP data generated by the International 5 For practical reasons, GDP data expressed in Comparison Program (ICP). It briefly summarizes problems of PPP index construction and the main national currencies are usually converted at market 6 exchange rates.