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Special Report

Tennessee 2018 Primary Election Results

Tennessee Chamber of Commerce & Industry’s Morning after Report: 2018 Primary Election On Thursday, August 2, 2018, Tennessee voters went to the polls to elect primary nominees for state and federal offices. For Tennessee’s business community, 2018 is a significant election cycle that will usher in a new era of leadership in Tennessee to the Governor’s office, the Tennessee General Assembly and a number of new congressional members. The Tennessee Chamber has been working to ensure this transition is smooth for business, meeting with candidates and talking to them about important business issues. It is crucially important that our new leaders work to maintain and enhance Tennessee’s business climate with continued focus on workforce development and a strong business policy climate for economic growth. Let’s look at the primary winners and begin to assess the general election matchups.

Governor – After a total of eight years in office, term limited Governor ’s retirement spurred a vigorous multi-candidate primary race for both the Democratic and Republican nominations. Both primaries have been highly contested setting new records for campaign spending (over $51 million). Most attention has focused on high profile Republican candidates, who have spent the most and where the available polling data showed a tight race heading into Election Day. In the end political outsider Bill Lee decisively won the Republican nomination over former ECD Commissioner Randy Boyd, U.S. House member and TN House Speaker , respectively. In the Democratic primary former Nashville Mayor Karl Dean captured 75% of the vote and cruised to victory over State Representative . Now, both primary winners must quickly regroup as the general election is less than 100 days away.

U.S. Senate – As expected Congressman (R-Brentwood) and former-Gov. (D- Nashville) won their parties respective nominations to replace retiring Senator (R-Chattanooga). Both candidates have a broad swath of supporters statewide, and potentially this race has national implications for control of the U.S. Senate. Current public polling shows the Senate race to be tight; several national outlets are rating it a “toss up”. For the U.S. Senate race we expect a heated battle up until election day in November. We predict that by Labor Day voters will be unable to avoid these candidates as they make their case for the November general election.

U.S. Congress Three of the nine Congressional seats were vacated this year, providing a number of open seat opportunities. (TN-02), John Rose (TN-06) and Mark Green (TN-07) were victorious in the Republican primaries. Each of these Congressional seats are safe Republican with a voting index of R+20 or higher. Historical Note: In east TN Congressman Jimmy Duncan (TN-02, R-Knoxville) is retiring after 30 years in office. He was preceded in the office by his father, John Duncan, Sr. Many have noted next year will be the first year since 1964 that a Duncan has not represented the Knoxville area in Congress.

Tennessee Legislature: State Senate & State House Please see chart below for unofficial primary results. The State Legislature has an historic number of retirements this year, generating at least 24 races in the House and 3 in the Senate to fill these seats. If you add in the members who were appointed to fill previous vacancies in the past year and are running now, there will be more than 30 new legislators sworn into office in January 2019. There are also several hotly contested primaries for both Democrat and Republican incumbents across the state. Republicans will retain control of both Chambers in the Legislature in 2019, but this has been one the most interesting primary election seasons in recent memory. Incumbents Rep. , Rep. and Senator Reginald Tate were defeated in their reelection efforts.

Background: Previous Election Year Outcomes Similar to a number of Southern states, Tennessee state and federal election results have almost entirely trended Republican since 1994. Democrats are predicting better performance in 2018, touting an energized base, strong and unified campaign message and increased candidates fielded in a number of contests. Looking at recent primary turnout it is difficult to predict what impact this will have in Tennessee’s November election results. Below is a chart that shows political party performance in Tennessee.

Election U.S. Senate U.S. House Governor St. Senate St. House 1994 2 R 5 R / 4 D R Dem control Dem control 2002 2 R 4 R / 5 D D Dem control Dem control 2006 2 R 4 R / 5 D D Rep control Dem control 2010 2 R 7 R / 2 D R Rep control Rep control 1 R; likely open seat: maintain maintain 2018 open seat: tbd 7 R / 2 D tbd Rep control Rep control

Below we have made our best effort to capture all of the primary results from across the state. Please note that these are unofficial results complied from the best sources available. Tennessee does not have run-offs in state and federal elections. Winners of each primary will face off in the general election in November. ##

2018 TN Legislative & Congressional Races-FINAL Results-Aug 2 Primary

Winners of August Primary are highlighted in their media-assigned partisan colors. Bold text indicates incumbent member of current office checkmark also indicates primary winner  Independents in general election will be listed in a later document

GOVERNOR'S RACE 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS REPUBLICAN % Votes DEMOCRAT % Votes Diane Black 23.1% 181177 Karl Dean  75.0% 277516 Randy Boyd 24.4% 192085 Craig Fitzhugh 19.5% 72037 Beth Harwell 15.3% 120291 Mezianne Vale Payne 5.5% 20222 Bill Lee  36.6% 287959 Basil Marceaux 0.2% 1290 Kay White 0.4% 3167

TOTALS, GOP 100% 785969 TOTALS, DEM 100% 369775

US SENATE RACE 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS REPUBLICAN % Votes DEMOCRAT % Votes Marsha Blackburn  84.5% 606402 Phil Bredesen  91.5% 346305 Aaron L. Pettigrew 15.5% 111483 Gay Davis 5.3% 20066 John Wolfe 3.2% 12177

TOTALS, GOP 100% 717885 TOTALS, DEM 100% 378548

prepared by Chas TN Chamber 1 2018 TN Legislative & Congressional Races-FINAL Results-Aug 2 Primary

Winners of August Primary are highlighted in their media-assigned partisan colors. Bold text indicates incumbent member of current office checkmark also indicates primary winner  Independents in general election will be listed in a later document U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVE 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS

Status District REPUBLICAN % Votes DEMOCRAT % Votes Mickie Lou Banyas 4.4% 4250 Marty Olsen  unopposed James Brooks 5.2% 5053 Todd A. McKinley 16.7% 16173 01  73.7% 71529

re-elect

TOTALS, GOP 100% 97005 Tim Burchett  48.2% 47914 Renee Hoyos  72.4% 22203 Jason Emert 2.3% 2274 Joseph W. Schenkenfelder 4.5% 1382 Hank Hamblin 0.9% 855 Joshua Williams 23.1% 7076 36.1% 35845 02 Ashley Nickloes 11.0% 10955 Vito Sagliano 0.8% 844

Open SeatOpen David Stansberry 0.7% 656

TOTALS, GOP 100% 99343 TOTALS, DEM 100% 30661  79.4% 67778 Danielle Mitchell  unopposed Jeremy Massengale 12.0% 10212 Harold E. Shevlin 2.4% 2055 03 William E. Spurlock, Sr 6.3% 5352

re-elect

TOTALS, GOP 100% 85397 TOTALS, DEM unopposed Scott DesJarlais  70.0% 61979 Christopher J. Hale 34.7% 11305 Jack Maddux 30.0% 26571 Mariah Phillips  47.5% 15468 04 Steven Reynolds 17.8% 5786

re-elect TOTALS, GOP 100% 88550 TOTALS, DEM 65% 32559 Jody M. Ball  55.8% 20046  unopposed Glen Dean 44.2% 15899 05

re-elect TOTALS, GOP 100% 35945 Bob Corlew 31.2% 33088 Dawn Barlow  54.5% 16875 Judd Matheny 15.8% 16753 Christopher Martin Finley 15.1% 4662 Christopher B. Monday 2.8% 3021 Peter Hefferman 8.4% 2590 06 John Rose  41.2% 43788 Merrilee Wineinger 22.1% 6828 Lavern Vivio 9.0% 9506

Open SeatOpen

TOTALS, GOP 100% 106156 TOTALS, DEM 100% 30955 Mark Green  unopposed Justin Kanew  62.0% 20810 Matt Reel 38.0% 12741 07

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP unopposed TOTALS, DEM 100% 33551 George Flinn 39.7% 40893 John Boatner 49.6% 16845  56.0% 57733 Erika Stotts Pearson  50.4% 17129 08 Colleen Owens 4.3% 4456

re-elect TOTALS, GOP 100% 103082 TOTALS, DEM 100% 33974 Charlotte Bergmann  unopposed  91.0% 67418 Isaac Richmond 2.7% 1975 09 Kasandra L. Smith 6.4% 4728

re-elect TOTALS, DEM 100% 74121

prepared by Chas TN Chamber 2 2018 TN Legislative & Congressional Races-FINAL Results-Aug 2 Primary

Winners of August Primary are highlighted in their media-assigned partisan colors. Bold text indicates incumbent member of current office checkmark also indicates primary winner  Independents in general election will be listed in a later document 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS

Status District REPUBLICAN % Votes DEMOCRAT % Votes 01 Steve Southerland  unopposed no candidate filed Wesley P. Maples 15.5% 3791  56.5% 13823 no candidate filed 02 Scott P. Williams 27.9% 6831

special appointee TOTALS, GOP 100% 24445 03  unopposed no candidate filed 05 Randy McNally  unopposed Stuart Starr  unopposed 07  unopposed Jamie Ballinger  unopposed 09  unopposed Carl Lansden  unopposed 11  unopposed Randy Price  unopposed Ernest Burgess 41.8% 7633 Kelly Northcutt  unopposed 13  58.2% 10638

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP 100% 18271 15  unopposed Angela Hedgecough  unopposed 17  unopposed Mary Alice Carfi  unopposed  64.7% 14050 Howard Jones 24.6% 5331 no candidate filed 19 Sandra V. Moore 5.5% 1188 George Thomas 5.3% 1144

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, DEM 100% 21713 21 no candidate filed unopposed  unopposed 23 Jack Johnson  unopposed Kristen Grimm  unopposed 25  unopposed Wade Munday  unopposed Brandon Dodds, Newbern 29.2% 5951 Jackie Williams 42.3% 3637 Ed Jackson, Jackson  70.8% 14400 Savannah Williamson  43.0% 3692 27 John H. York, Jr. 14.7% 1259 TOTALS, GOP 100% 20351 TOTALS, DEM 100% 8588 Tom Stephens  unopposed  58.9% 11606 29 Justin Ford 41.1% 8083

Seat

Open Open TOTALS, DEM 100% 19689  unopposed Rodanial Ray Ransom 9.5% 1095 Gabby Salinas  46.4% 5358 31 David Weatherspoon 44.1% 5084 TOTALS, DEM 100% 11537 68.3% 10691 no candidate filed  33 Reginald Tate 31.7% 4963 TOTALS, DEM 100% 15654

prepared by Chas TN Chamber 3 2018 TN Legislative & Congressional Races-FINAL Results-Aug 2 Primary

Winners of August Primary are highlighted in their media-assigned partisan colors. Bold text indicates incumbent member of current office checkmark also indicates primary winner  Independents in general election will be listed in a later document TN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS

Status District REPUBLICAN % Votes DEMOCRAT % Votes 01 John Crawford  unopposed no candidate filed 02 , Kingsport  unopposed Arvil Love, Jr.  unopposed 03 Timothy Hill, Bluff City  unopposed no candidate filed John B. Holsclaw, Jr. 69.5% 7024  no candidate filed Tim Lingerfelt 30.5% 3087 04

TOTALS, GOP 100% 10111 05 David B. Hawk  unopposed  unopposed Steve Darden [suspended campaign] 30.3% 2116 no candidate filed Micah Van Huss 69.7% 4861 06 

TOTALS, GOP 100% 6977 07  unopposed Nathan Farnor  unopposed Rick Hillegas 24.4% 1982 Jay Clark  unopposed Jerome Moon 75.6% 6142 08 

TOTALS, GOP 100% 8124 Melville Bailey 33.3% 2954 Derek Winkle  unopposed Gary W. Hicks, Jr. 66.7% 5926 09 

TOTALS, GOP 100% 8880  62.8% 4435 Barbara Simmons  unopposed Tommy Pedigo 37.2% 2632 10

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP 100% 7067  72.1% 7531 Vincyl Fitzgerald, II  unopposed Greg Fodness 27.9% 2914 11

TOTALS, GOP 100% 10445 12  unopposed Robert G. Williams  unopposed 13 Eddie Smith  unopposed Gloria Johnson  unopposed Jason Zachary  unopposed Justin Davis  54.8% 1977 Alex Dunn, Jr. 45.2% 1632 14

TOTALS, DEM 100% 3609 15 no candidate filed  unopposed 16 Bill Dunn  unopposed Kate Trudell  unopposed 17 Andrew E. Farmer  unopposed Delynn McCash  unopposed Martin Daniel  unopposed Joshua Gregory 35.2% 1313 Greg Mackay 64.8% 2414 18 

TOTALS, GOP TOTALS, DEM 100% 3727 Dallas E. Sivley 24.1% 1755 Edward Nelson, Knoxville  unopposed Donald M. Wiser 13.2% 959 19  62.7% 4563

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP 100% 7277 20  unopposed Susan Sneed  unopposed Tony R. Aikens 36.6% 4504 Laura Miller  unopposed Doyle Arp 18.6% 2286 21 Lowell Russel  44.9% 5528

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP 100% 12318 22  unopposed no candidate filed  58.8% 6008 Brad W. Hartley  unopposed Donald (Trey) Winder 41.2% 4210 23

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP 100% 10218

prepared by Chas TN Chamber 4 2018 TN Legislative & Congressional Races-FINAL Results-Aug 2 Primary

Winners of August Primary are highlighted in their media-assigned partisan colors. Bold text indicates incumbent member of current office checkmark also indicates primary winner  Independents in general election will be listed in a later document TN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS

Status District REPUBLICAN % Votes DEMOCRAT % Votes Israel David Farless 12.2% 951 Mallory Pickert  unopposed  53.9% 4219 Alan Ledford 13.8% 1076 24 Garry D. Moore 20.1% 1576

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP 100% 7822 25  unopposed Anne F. Quillen  unopposed *  unopposed David Jones 45.8% 1668 Jean-Marie Lawrence 54.2% 1971 26 

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, DEM 100% 3639  unopposed Danielle Johnson #DIV/0! Brent S. Morris #DIV/0! 27

TOTALS, DEM #DIV/0! 0 Lemon C. Williams, Jr  unopposed Dennis Clark 12.0% 873 Yusuf A. Hakeem  37.9% 2766 Melody Shekari 22.4% 1637 28 Jackie Anderson Thomas 11.5% 839 Brandon D. Woodruff 16.3% 1187

Open SeatOpen

TOTALS, DEM 100% 7302 29  unopposed Tammy Magouirk  unopposed Ester Helton  51.0% 3507 Joda Thongnopnua  Jonathan Mason 49.0% 3367 30

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP 100% 6874 31  unopposed Dean M. Sparks  32  unopposed Mary Ellen Blencoe  John D. Ragan  unopposed Richard Dawson  78.1% 2394 Nathaniel Varner 21.9% 670 33

TOTALS, DEM 100% 3064 34  unopposed Jennifer Vannoy  unopposed James Acuff 24.0% 2439 Jerry Sexton  44.5% 4533 no candidate filed 35 Mike Williams 31.5% 3204

TOTALS, GOP 100% 10176 36 Dennis H. Powers  unopposed Cassandra Mitchell  unopposed unopposed unopposed

en 37 Charlie Baum Deanna D. Osborne

Se Op   38 Kelly T. Keisling  unopposed Carol Venea' Abney  unopposed R.C. Helton 23.8% 2042 Sharon "Layne" Adams  unopposed  40.3% 3462 39 Sloan Stewart 35.9% 3081

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP 100% 8585 72.5% 8689  no candidate filed Chad Z. Williams 27.5% 3289 40

TOTALS, GOP 100% 11978 41 Ed Butler  unopposed John Mark Windle  unopposed 42 Ryan Williams  unopposed Terry Scott  unopposed Jerry Lowery 35.4% 3311 Les Trotman  unopposed 64.6% 6039 43 

TOTALS, GOP 100% 9350 44  unopposed Rachel Mackey  unopposed

prepared by Chas TN Chamber 5 2018 TN Legislative & Congressional Races-FINAL Results-Aug 2 Primary

Winners of August Primary are highlighted in their media-assigned partisan colors. Bold text indicates incumbent member of current office checkmark also indicates primary winner  Independents in general election will be listed in a later document TN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS

Status District REPUBLICAN % Votes DEMOCRAT % Votes Avery Field [suspended campaign] 16.1% 1219 Hana Ali  unopposed Johnny C. Garrett 83.9% 6362 45 

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP 100% 7581  84.0% 9205 Mark Cagle  53.4% 1890 Menda McCall Holmes 16.0% 1757 Faye Northcutt-Knox 46.6% 1651 46

TOTALS, GOP 100% 10962 TOTALS, DEM 100% 3541  55.6% 5008 Mike Winton  unopposed Ronnie Holden 44.4% 3993 47

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP 100% 9001 48 unopposed Matt Ferry  unopposed Tim Morrell 49.0% 2335 Chris Mayor  68.7% 1823 51.0% 2430 Richard C. Petty 31.3% 830 49 

TOTALS, GOP 100% 4765 TOTALS, DEM 100% 2653 50 Judd Cowan  unopposed  unopposed Bill Beck 72.9% 5473 no candidate filed Trey Palmedo 27.1% 2036 51

0% 0 TOTALS, DEM 100% 7509 52 no candidate filed Michael Stewart  unopposed 53 Amberlee' Brooks  unopposed  unopposed Lola Denise Brown 17.5% 1671 Terry R. Clayton 29.7% 2833 no candidate filed Scott Davis 19.3% 1842 54 Vincent Dixie  33.6% 3207

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, DEM 100% 9553 55 no candidate filed  unopposed Brent Moody  56.0% 5303  unopposed Joseph Williams 44.0% 4175 56

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP 100% 9478 Susan M. Lynn  65.7% 8686 Jordan Cole  unopposed Aaron Shane 34.3% 4537 57

TOTALS, GOP 100% 13223 Leah Dupree [suspended campaign?] 24.8% 1484 no candidate filed Harold M. Love 75.2% 4498 58 

TOTALS, DEM 100% 5982 David R. Birdsong  unopposed Jason Potts  71.9% 3026 Kyle G. Southern 28.1% 1185 59

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, DEM 100% 4211 60 no candidate filed  unopposed Gino Bulso 24.3% 2685 Rebecca Purington  unopposed Rebecca Ann Burke 14.5% 1604 Jeff Ford 17.0% 1876 Robert Hullett 6.4% 709 61  35.5% 3913

Open SeatOpen Terrence A. Smith 2.3% 250

TOTALS, GOP 100% 11037 62  unopposed Marty Davis  unopposed 63  unopposed Bill Peach  unopposed

prepared by Chas TN Chamber 6 2018 TN Legislative & Congressional Races-FINAL Results-Aug 2 Primary

Winners of August Primary are highlighted in their media-assigned partisan colors. Bold text indicates incumbent member of current office checkmark also indicates primary winner  Independents in general election will be listed in a later document TN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS

Status District REPUBLICAN % Votes DEMOCRAT % Votes Scott E. Cepicky  53.3% 5785 A.J. Holmes  unopposed Michael A. Fulbright 46.7% 5077 64

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP 100% 10862 65  unopposed Toby Shaffer  unopposed 66 Sabi "Doc" Kumar  unopposed Larry Proffitt  unopposed Tommy J. Vallejos  unopposed  81.6% 2240 Houston Rye 18.4% 506 67

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, DEM 100% 2746 68 Curtis Johnson  unopposed Dennis Potvin  unopposed 69 Michael G. Curcio  unopposed Eddie Johnson  unopposed  51.7% 5277 Jessica B. Yokley  unopposed Barry Doss 48.3% 4924 70

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP 100% 10201 71 David "Coach" Byrd  unopposed Frankie G. Floied  unopposed  37.6% 4590 James T. Haynes  unopposed Dan Hughes 36.0% 4401 72 Gordon D. Wildridge 26.4% 3225

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP 100% 12216 Jay Bush 43.4% 4016 James A. Baxter  54.5% 1790 Joe Coury [suspended campaign] 1.6% 145 T. Robert Hill 45.5% 1496 73  55.1% 5098

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP 100% 9259 TOTALS, DEM 100% 3286 74 Jay D. Reedy  unopposed Billy Borchert  unopposed Bruce I. Griffey  58.4% 6380 Richard Carl  unopposed Tim Wirgau 41.6% 4547 75

TOTALS, GOP 100% 10927 Scott Fortner 20.5% 1685 Deane Arganbright  unopposed 79.5% 6539 76 

TOTALS, GOP 100% 8224  77 Bill Sanderson  unopposed no candidate filed 78  unopposed John E. Patrick  unopposed 79  unopposed Gregory Frye  unopposed  80 no candidate filed Johnny W. Shaw  unopposed  81  unopposed no candidate filed Andy Cole 43.3% 2575 Andrea Bond-Johnson  84.0% 3935 56.7% 3366 Robert A. Harris 16.0% 752 82 

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, GOP 100% 5941 TOTALS, DEM 100% 4687 Doyle Silliman 10.3% 893 Danielle Schonbaum  unopposed Mark White 89.7% 7767 83 

TOTALS, GOP 100% 8660 84 no candidate filed , Jr.  unopposed  35.7% 3216 Ricky Dixon 30.4% 2743 no candidate filed Brett N. Williams 4.8% 433 85 Lynnette P. Williams 29.1% 2620

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, DEM 100% 9012

prepared by Chas TN Chamber 7 2018 TN Legislative & Congressional Races-FINAL Results-Aug 2 Primary

Winners of August Primary are highlighted in their media-assigned partisan colors. Bold text indicates incumbent member of current office checkmark also indicates primary winner  Independents in general election will be listed in a later document TN HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES 2018 PRIMARY RESULTS

Status District REPUBLICAN % Votes DEMOCRAT % Votes Barbara Cooper  76.8% 5147 no candidate filed Amber Huett-Garcia 17.8% 1194 86 Jesse Kirk Jeff 5.4% 359

TOTALS, DEM 100% 6700 87 no candidate filed  unopposed 88 no candidate filed Larry J. Miller  unopposed 21.4% 1929 Keifel A. Agostini 16.8% 463 Tim Hutchison 25.7% 2322 Coleen Martinez  83.2% 2290  30.3% 2734 89 Jesse D. Nelson 11.3% 1019 Guy L. Smoak 11.4% 1029

Open SeatOpen

TOTALS, GOP 100% 9033 TOTALS, DEM 100% 2753 John J. Deberry, Jr. 4736 no candidate filed  3110 90

TOTALS, DEM 0% 7846 Doris DeBerry Bradshaw 2134 no candidate filed Juliette Eskridge 1681 91 London P. Lamar,  3391

Open SeatOpen TOTALS, DEM 0% 7206 Bill Spivey 42.8% 3583 C.S. "Scott" Coffey  unopposed 57.2% 4788 92 

TOTALS, GOP 100% 8371 TOTALS, DEM 0% 0 G.A. Hardaway, Sr. 83.4% 4816 no candidate filed  Eddie Neal 16.6% 959 93

TOTALS, DEM 100% 5775 94 Ron M. Gant  unopposed Terry S. Saine  unopposed 95  unopposed Sanjeev Memula  unopposed Scott McCormick  61.6% 3973  unopposed Patricia "Patti" Possel 38.4% 2472 96

TOTALS, GOP 100% 6445 97 , Bartlett  unopposed Allan Creasy  unopposed Johnnie Hatten 996 no candidate filed 4387 98 

TOTALS, DEM 0% 5383 99 Ron Lollar*  unopposed David Cambron, Cordova  unopposed

prepared by Chas TN Chamber 8