Short Selling: 10 Recommendations for Improving the SEC's Regulatory
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
Short Sellers and Financial Misconduct 6 7 ∗ 8 JONATHAN M
jofi˙1597 jofi2009v2.cls (1994/07/13 v1.2u Standard LaTeX document class) June 25, 2010 19:56 JOFI jofi˙1597 Dispatch: June 25, 2010 CE: AFL Journal MSP No. No. of pages: 35 PE: Beetna 1 THE JOURNAL OF FINANCE • VOL. LXV, NO. 5 • OCTOBER 2010 2 3 4 5 Short Sellers and Financial Misconduct 6 7 ∗ 8 JONATHAN M. KARPOFF and XIAOXIA LOU 9 10 ABSTRACT 11 12 We examine whether short sellers detect firms that misrepresent their financial state- ments, and whether their trading conveys external costs or benefits to other investors. 13 Abnormal short interest increases steadily in the 19 months before the misrepresen- 14 tation is publicly revealed, particularly when the misconduct is severe. Short selling 15 is associated with a faster time-to-discovery, and it dampens the share price inflation 16 that occurs when firms misstate their earnings. These results indicate that short sell- 17 ers anticipate the eventual discovery and severity of financial misconduct. They also convey external benefits, helping to uncover misconduct and keeping prices closer to 18 fundamental values. 19 20 21 22 SHORT SELLING IS A CONTROVERSIAL ACTIVITY. Detractors claim that short sell- 23 ers undermine investors’ confidence in financial markets and decrease market 24 liquidity. For example, a short seller can spread false rumors about a firm 25 in which he has a short position and profit from the resulting decline in the 1 26 stock price. Advocates, in contrast, argue that short selling facilitates market 27 efficiency and the price discovery process. Investors who identify overpriced 28 firms can sell short, thereby incorporating their unfavorable information into 29 market prices. -
A Sentiment Analysis Approach to the Prediction of Market Volatility
A Sentiment Analysis Approach to the Prediction of Market Volatility JUSTINA DEVEIKYTE, Dept. of Computer Science & Information Systems Birkbeck, University of London HELYETTE GEMAN, Dept. of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics Birkbeck, University of London CARLO PICCARI, Dept. of Economics, Mathematics & Statistics Birkbeck, University of London ALESSANDRO PROVETTI, Dept. of Computer Science & Information Systems Birkbeck, University of London Prediction and quantification of future volatility and returns play an important role in financial modelling, both in portfolio optimization and risk management. Natural language processing today allows to process news and social media comments to detect signals of investors’ confidence. We have explored the relationship between sentiment extracted from financial news and tweets and FTSE100 movements. We investigated the strength of the correlation between sentiment measures on a given day and market volatility and returns observed the next day. The findings suggest that there is evidence of correlation between sentiment and stock market movements: the sentiment captured from news headlines could be used as a signal to predict market returns; the same does not apply for volatility. Also, in a surprising finding, for the sentiment found in Twitter comments we obtained a correlation coefficient of -0.7, and p-value below 0.05, which indicates a strong negative correlation between positive sentiment captured from the tweets on a given day and the volatility observed the next day. We developed an accurate classifier for the prediction of market volatility in response to the arrival of new information by deploying topic modelling, based on Latent Dirichlet Allocation, to extract feature vectors from a collection of tweets and financial news. -
Analysis of Securitized Asset Liquidity June 2017 an He and Bruce Mizrach1
Analysis of Securitized Asset Liquidity June 2017 An He and Bruce Mizrach1 1. Introduction This research note extends our prior analysis2 of corporate bond liquidity to the structured products markets. We analyze data from the TRACE3 system, which began collecting secondary market trading activity on structured products in 2011. We explore two general categories of structured products: (1) real estate securities, including mortgage-backed securities in residential housing (MBS) and commercial building (CMBS), collateralized mortgage products (CMO) and to-be-announced forward mortgages (TBA); and (2) asset-backed securities (ABS) in credit cards, autos, student loans and other miscellaneous categories. Consistent with others,4 we find that the new issue market for securitized assets decreased sharply after the financial crisis and has not yet rebounded to pre-crisis levels. Issuance is below 2007 levels in CMBS, CMOs and ABS. MBS issuance had recovered by 2012 but has declined over the last four years. By contrast, 2016 issuance in the corporate bond market was at a record high for the fifth consecutive year, exceeding $1.5 trillion. Consistent with the new issue volume decline, the median age of securities being traded in non-agency CMO are more than ten years old. In student loans, the average security is over seven years old. Over the last four years, secondary market trading volumes in CMOs and TBA are down from 14 to 27%. Overall ABS volumes are down 16%. Student loan and other miscellaneous ABS declines balance increases in automobiles and credit cards. By contrast, daily trading volume in the most active corporate bonds is up nearly 28%. -
Asset Securitization
L-Sec Comptroller of the Currency Administrator of National Banks Asset Securitization Comptroller’s Handbook November 1997 L Liquidity and Funds Management Asset Securitization Table of Contents Introduction 1 Background 1 Definition 2 A Brief History 2 Market Evolution 3 Benefits of Securitization 4 Securitization Process 6 Basic Structures of Asset-Backed Securities 6 Parties to the Transaction 7 Structuring the Transaction 12 Segregating the Assets 13 Creating Securitization Vehicles 15 Providing Credit Enhancement 19 Issuing Interests in the Asset Pool 23 The Mechanics of Cash Flow 25 Cash Flow Allocations 25 Risk Management 30 Impact of Securitization on Bank Issuers 30 Process Management 30 Risks and Controls 33 Reputation Risk 34 Strategic Risk 35 Credit Risk 37 Transaction Risk 43 Liquidity Risk 47 Compliance Risk 49 Other Issues 49 Risk-Based Capital 56 Comptroller’s Handbook i Asset Securitization Examination Objectives 61 Examination Procedures 62 Overview 62 Management Oversight 64 Risk Management 68 Management Information Systems 71 Accounting and Risk-Based Capital 73 Functions 77 Originations 77 Servicing 80 Other Roles 83 Overall Conclusions 86 References 89 ii Asset Securitization Introduction Background Asset securitization is helping to shape the future of traditional commercial banking. By using the securities markets to fund portions of the loan portfolio, banks can allocate capital more efficiently, access diverse and cost- effective funding sources, and better manage business risks. But securitization markets offer challenges as well as opportunity. Indeed, the successes of nonbank securitizers are forcing banks to adopt some of their practices. Competition from commercial paper underwriters and captive finance companies has taken a toll on banks’ market share and profitability in the prime credit and consumer loan businesses. -
The Professional Obligations of Securities Brokers Under Federal Law: an Antidote for Bubbles?
Loyola University Chicago, School of Law LAW eCommons Faculty Publications & Other Works 2002 The rP ofessional Obligations of Securities Brokers Under Federal Law: An Antidote for Bubbles? Steven A. Ramirez Loyola University Chicago, School of Law, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: http://lawecommons.luc.edu/facpubs Part of the Securities Law Commons Recommended Citation Ramirez, Steven, The rP ofessional Obligations of Securities Brokers Under Federal Law: An Antidote for Bubbles? 70 U. Cin. L. Rev. 527 (2002) This Article is brought to you for free and open access by LAW eCommons. It has been accepted for inclusion in Faculty Publications & Other Works by an authorized administrator of LAW eCommons. For more information, please contact [email protected]. THE PROFESSIONAL OBLIGATIONS OF SECURITIES BROKERS UNDER FEDERAL LAW: AN ANTIDOTE FOR BUBBLES? Steven A. Ramirez* I. INTRODUCTION In the wake of the stock market crash of 1929 and the ensuing Great Depression, President Franklin D. Roosevelt proposed legislation specifically designed to extend greater protection to the investing public and to elevate business practices within the securities brokerage industry.' This legislative initiative ultimately gave birth to the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the '34 Act).' The '34 Act represented the first large scale regulation of the nation's public securities markets. Up until that time, the securities brokerage industry4 had been left to regulate itself (through various private stock exchanges). This system of * Professor of Law, Washburn University School of Law. Professor William Rich caused me to write this Article by arranging a Faculty Scholarship Forum at Washburn University in the'Spring of 2001 and asking me to participate. -
1 Investor Sentiment and the Market Reaction to Dividend News
Investor sentiment and the market reaction to dividend news: European evidence Abstract Purpose: This paper examines the effect of investor sentiment on the market reaction to dividend change announcements. Design/methodology/approach: We use the European Economic Sentiment Indicator data, from Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), as a proxy for investor sentiment and focus on the market reaction to dividend change announcements, using panel data methodology. Findings: Using data from three European markets, our results indicate that the investor sentiment has some influence on the market reaction to dividend change announcements, for two of the three analysed markets. Globally, we find no evidence of investor sentiment influencing the market reaction to dividend change announcements for the Portuguese market. However, we find evidence that the positive share price reaction to dividend increases enlarges with sentiment, in the case of the UK markets, whereas the negative share price reaction to dividend decreases reduces with sentiment, in the French market. Research limitations/implications: We have no access to dividend forecasts, so, our findings are based on naïve dividend changes and not unexpected change dividends. Originality/value: This paper offers some insights on the effect of investor sentiment on the market reaction to firms’ news, a strand of finance that is scarcely developed and contributes to the analysis of European markets that are in need of research. As the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to analyse the effect of investor sentiment on the market reaction to dividend news, in the context of European markets. Key Words: Investor Sentiment, Dividend News, Market Reaction, Behavioural Finance Classification: Research Paper 1 1. -
Speculation in the United States Government Securities Market
Authorized for public release by the FOMC Secretariat on 2/25/2020 Se t m e 1, 958 p e b r 1 1 To Members of the Federal Open Market Committee and Presidents of Federal Reserve Banks not presently serving on the Federal Open Market Committee From R. G. Rouse, Manager, System Open Market Account Attached for your information is a copy of a confidential memorandum we have prepared at this Bank on speculation in the United States Government securities market. Authorized for public release by the FOMC Secretariat on 2/25/2020 C O N F I D E N T I AL -- (F.R.) SPECULATION IN THE UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT SECURITIES MARKET 1957 - 1958* MARKET DEVELOPMENTS Starting late in 1957 and carrying through the middle of August 1958, the United States Government securities market was subjected to a vast amount of speculative buying and liquidation. This speculation was damaging to mar- ket confidence,to the Treasury's debt management operations, and to the Federal Reserve System's open market operations. The experience warrants close scrutiny by all interested parties with a view to developing means of preventing recurrences. The following history of market events is presented in some detail to show fully the significance and continuous effects of the situation as it unfolded. With the decline in business activity and the emergence of easier Federal Reserve credit and monetary policy in October and November 1957, most market elements expected lower interest rates and higher prices for United States Government securities. There was a rapid market adjustment to these expectations. -
The Structure of the Securities Market–Past and Future, 41 Fordham L
University of California, Hastings College of the Law UC Hastings Scholarship Repository Faculty Scholarship 1972 The trS ucture of the Securities Market–Past and Future William K.S. Wang UC Hastings College of the Law, [email protected] Thomas A. Russo Follow this and additional works at: http://repository.uchastings.edu/faculty_scholarship Part of the Securities Law Commons Recommended Citation William K.S. Wang and Thomas A. Russo, The Structure of the Securities Market–Past and Future, 41 Fordham L. Rev. 1 (1972). Available at: http://repository.uchastings.edu/faculty_scholarship/773 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by UC Hastings Scholarship Repository. It has been accepted for inclusion in Faculty Scholarship by an authorized administrator of UC Hastings Scholarship Repository. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Faculty Publications UC Hastings College of the Law Library Wang William Author: William K.S. Wang Source: Fordham Law Review Citation: 41 Fordham L. Rev. 1 (1972). Title: The Structure of the Securities Market — Past and Future Originally published in FORDHAM LAW REVIEW. This article is reprinted with permission from FORDHAM LAW REVIEW and Fordham University School of Law. THE STRUCTURE OF THE SECURITIES MARIET-PAST AND FUTURE THOMAS A. RUSSO AND WILLIAM K. S. WANG* I. INTRODUCTION ITHE securities industry today faces numerous changes that may dra- matically alter its methods of doing business. The traditional domi- nance of the New York Stock Exchange' has been challenged by new markets and new market systems, and to some extent by the determina- tion of Congress and the SEC to make the securities industry more effi- cient and more responsive to the needs of the general public. -
Options and the Bubble
Options and the Bubble ROBERT BATTALIO and PAUL SCHULTZ* ABSTRACT Many believe that a bubble existed in Internet stocks in the 1999 to 2000 period, and that short-sale restrictions prevented rational investors from driving Internet stock prices to reasonable levels. In the presence of such short-sale constraints, option and stock prices could decouple during a bubble. Using intraday options data from the peak of the Internet bubble, we find almost no evidence that synthetic stock prices diverged from actual stock prices. We also show that the general public could cheaply short synthetically using options. In summary, we find no evidence that short-sale restrictions affected Internet stock prices. *Both authors, Mendoza College of Business, University of Notre Dame. We thank Morgan Stanley & Co., Inc. for financial support. The views expressed herein are solely those of the authors and not those of any other person or entity including Morgan Stanley. We thank an anonymous firm for providing the option data used in our analysis. We gratefully acknowledge comments from seminar participants at the University of North Carolina, the University of Notre Dame, the 2005 American Finance Association meetings, the 2005 Morgan Stanley Equity Microstructure Conference, the 2005 Western Finance Association meetings, Marcus Brunnermeier, Shane Corwin, Tim Loughran, Stewart Mayhew, Allen Poteshman, Matthew Richardson, Robert Whitelaw, and an anonymous referee. Prices of Nasdaq-listed technology stocks rose dramatically in the late 1990s, peaked in March 2000, and then lost more than two-thirds of their value over the next two years. Many of the largest price run-ups and subsequent collapses were associated with Internet stocks. -
Do Sentiment Indicators Improve Dynamic Asset Allocation?
EDHEC RISK AND ASSET MANAGEMENT RESEARCH CENTRE 393-400 promenade des Anglais 06202 Nice Cedex 3 Tel.: +33 (0)4 93 18 32 53 E-mail: [email protected] Web: www.edhec-risk.com When to Pick the Losers: Do Sentiment Indicators Improve Dynamic Asset Allocation? October 2006 Devraj Basu EDHEC Business School Chi-Hsiou Hun Durham Business School, University of Durham Roel Oomen Warwick Business School, University of Warwick Alexander Stremme Warwick Business School, University of Warwick Abstract Recent finance research that draws on behavioral psychology suggests that investors systematically make errors in forming expectations about asset returns. These errors are likely to cause significant mis-pricing in the short run, and the subsequent reversion of prices to their fundamental level implies that measures of investor sentiment are likely to be correlated with stock returns. A number of empirical studies using both market and survey data as proxies for investor sentiment have found support for this hypothesis. In this paper we investigate whether investor sentiment (as measured by certain components of the University of Michigan survey) can help improve dynamic asset allocation over and above the improvement achieved based on commonly used business cycle indicators. We find that the addition of sentiment variables to business cycle indicators considerably improves the performance of dynamically managed portfolio strategies, both for a standard market-timer as well as for a momentum investor. For example, sentiment-based dynamic trading strategies, even out-of-sample, would not have incurred any significant losses during the October 1987 crash or the collapse of the dot.com bubble in late 2000. -
The Actual Problems of Assets Securitization in Commercial Organizations
ISSN 0798 1015 HOME Revista ESPACIOS ! ÍNDICES ! A LOS AUTORES ! Vol. 39 (Nº22) Year 2018. Page 28 The Actual Problems of Assets Securitization in Commercial Organizations Los problemas actuales de titulación de activos en organizaciones comerciales Tatiana M. KOVALEVA 1; Oleg A. KHVOSTENKO 2; Alla G. GLUKHOVA 3; Evgeny V. MOZHAROVSKY 4 Received: 03/02/2018 • Approved: 02/03/2018 Contents 1. Introduction 2. Methodology 3. Results 4. Conclusions Bibliographic references ABSTRACT: RESUMEN: The goal of the article is to develop theoretical El objetivo del artículo es desarrollar disposiciones provisions of assets securitization in the Russian teóricas de titulización de activos en la Federación de Federation, to analyze the problems and prospects of Rusia, para analizar los problemas y las perspectivas its development. The main result of the research is de su desarrollo. El principal resultado de la the development of suggestions for expansion of the investigación es el desarrollo de sugerencias para la objects of securitized assets through the mechanisms expansión de los objetos de los activos titulizados a of securitization of income from personal income tax. través de los mecanismos de titulización de los Keywords: securitization, financial risks, personal ingresos del impuesto a la renta personal. income tax, risk management Palabras clave: titulización, riesgos financieros, impuesto a la renta personal, gestión de riesgos 1. Introduction 1.1. Establishing a context During the last ten years the financial market of the Russian Federation has changed a lot as far as the formation of different financial instruments aimed at improving efficiency is concerned. Securitization of assets has occupied an important position among the instruments of financing. -
The Regulation of Short Sales and Its Reform
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Research Papers in Economics Forum THE REGULATION OF SHORT regime, which would eliminate the scope for aggres- sive speculation through uncovered positions. SALES AND ITS REFORM What’s the matter with short sales? EMILIOS AVGOULEAS* A broad definition of short sales would describe them as sales of securities which the seller does not Introduction own.1 Normally, the seller has borrowed the securi- ties concerned and engages in relevant transactions Short selling has long been regarded as an extreme against a commitment to buy the securities back later form of “casino capitalism” that destabilises financial at a lower price, returning also any borrowed shares markets, raising also concerns regarding their moral to the lender. foundations. Hostility against short selling gathered unstoppable momentum in September 2008 in the Short selling often appears as a risk free bet that middle of the market price collapse of financial sec- destabilises financial markets. Thus, it is viewed by tor stocks. Short sales were seen as the principal the public and the press as an extreme form of spec- cause of those precipitous falls. As a result, most ulation associated with the dark side of financial cap- developed market regulators declared a ban on short italism. The fact that hedge funds are among the sales in financial sector stocks. most aggressive short sellers only helps to reinforce this view, which was shared, at the height of the cri- However, a large number of empirical studies indi- sis, by regulators, policy makers, and senior bank cate that short sales are, in fact, a beneficial source of executives.