FLOODS RELATED INCIDENTS FROM MARCH - MAY2013 LONG RAINS.

HIGHLIGHTS • Depressed and poorly distributed rainfall is expected over most parts of the country during March-May 2013 “Long-Rains” Season. This is likely to be more pronounced in the Arid and Semi-Arid Lands (ASALs). • The western and central counties including as well as the Coastal strip are likely to experience enhanced rainfall. • Most of the rainfall in the country is expected during the peak month of April except over the Coastal strip Where the peak is expected during the month of May.

• During January and February 2013, slightly cooler than average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) were present over the eastern and central equatorial Pacific Ocean. Neutral conditions were observed over western Equatorial Indian Ocean while warmer than average SSTs prevailed over eastern Equatorial Indian Ocean

FORECAST FOR MARCH-APRIL-MAY (MAM) 2013 “LONG RAINS” SEASON March to May is a major rainfall season in most parts of the country. Depicts the Long Term Mean rainfall patterns for March-April-May seasonal rainfall. The figure shows that the highest rainfall amounts of over 300mm are recorded over Western, Central, Coastal strip and parts of northern (, ). The forecast for March to May 2013 is based on the prevailing and expected Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies (SSTAs) over the Pacific, Indian and Atlantic Oceans as well as other Synoptic, Mesoscale and local factors that affect the climate of Kenya. These factors were assessed using various tools including ocean-atmosphere models, statistical models, satellite derived information and expert interpretation. The prevailing slightly cool Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) in the western Equatorial Indian Ocean (adjacent to the East African Coast) coupled with very warmSSTs in the eastern Equatorial Indian Ocean (adjacent to Australia) were also considered. This constitutes a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) that is not favorable for good seasonal rainfall over most parts of the country and more so the eastern sector.The predicted Onsets, Cessation and distribution of rainfall were derived from statistical analysis of past years, which exhibited similar characteristics to the current year (i.e. analogue year). For the current season, the analogue years were found to be 2001 and 1973

The forecast indicates that most parts of Kenya are likely to experience near normal rainfall with a tendency towards below normal (i.e. depressed rainfall). However, the western and central highlands as well as the Coastal strip are likely to experience near normal rainfall with a tendency towards above normal (i.e. enhanced rainfall). The specific outlook for March to May 2013 “Long-Rains” Season (depicted in indicates that: i. Western Counties (Busia, , , and ); Nyanza Counties (, , Migori, , Kisii, and ); Counties in the Central and Southern Rift Valley (, , , Laikipia, and ); Counties in the Northern Rift Valley (Trans Nzoia, Uasin Gishu, Baringo and Elgeyo Marakwet); Central Counties (Nyandarua, , , Murang’a, and Kirinyaga); ; Some Counties in Eastern Region (Embu, Meru, and Tharaka Nithi) Coast Region (, eastern parts of , , and ) are likely to receive near normal rainfall with a tendency towards above normal ( i.e. enhanced rainfall). ii. Several Counties in Eastern Region (, , , Makueni, and Marsabit); Some Counties in Coast Region (Tana River, western parts of Kilifi and Taita Taveta); Most Counties in Northern Rift Valley (Turkana, West Pokot, and Samburu, ); and Counties in Northeastern (, , and ); are likely to receive near normal rainfall with a tendency towards below normal (i.e. depressed rainfall).

2. EXPECTED SEASONAL RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION The distribution, both in time and space, of March to May 2013 “Long-Rains” is likely to be generally poor, over most parts of the country and more so the Arid and Semi-Arid Lands (ASALs). • In Northwestern and Southeastern Kenya, the rainfall performance is likely to be generally depressed in April and May but slightly enhanced in March. • Generally enhanced rainfall is expected over the western highlands, Lake Basin, central Rift Valley and the central highlands including Nairobi in March and April. It is, however, expected to be generally depressed in May. • The northeastern parts are likely to experience generally depressed rainfall throughout the season. • The southeastern counties are expected to receive depressed rainfall throughout the period. • The rainfall performance along the Coastal Strip is expected to be near normal in March and April but enhanced in May especially along the north coast. (Source Kenya met. )

Several parts of the country especially the Coast and Western Kenya regions have been affected by flooding following an increased heavy downpour countrywide. In the Western Region, at least 330 Households (HH) with a population of 1650 people have been affected by heavy rains as revealed by a Kenya Red Cross Society’s (KRCS) detailed assessment with houses destroyed and livestock lost. Over the Easter period, River Auji and Nyamasaria in Kisumu broke their banks causing unprecedented damage. The affected HH were mainly in Nyaori, Kassagam and Manyatta B in Kisumu East, Gem Rae and Wangaya, Nyando, Nyakach and Rachuonyo Districts. Further, several learning institutions including Kassagam Primary and Secondary School, St. Alloys Primary School and St. Joseph Secondary School in Kisumu East District were also affected, thus disrupting learning. In Nyando District, Miruka Primary was hardest hit. Several businesses as well as transport flow along the main Nairobi-Kisumu Highway were also affected after a section of the Nyamasaria Bridge was swept away. River Nyando as well as Ayweyo, Nyamasaria and Ombeyi, which are seasonal rivers, are currently flowing at high speeds and in case of any more rains, the rivers are likely to break their banks and further disrupt human and animal livelihoods. The KRCS Western Region office has been conducting needs assessment in the affected areas and the immediate needs are alternative shelters and beddings, water and sanitation interventions as well as alert notices to the populations that are still deemed to be at risk of displacement. Meanwhile, the Coast Region has also been experiencing heavy rains from Wednesday 20th March 2013. Heavy rains were received in on 20th March; 2013 evening in areas of Sofia, Mabomani and Sikujua villages affecting 22 HH. Most of the affected HHs were integrated into the community. St. Kelvin Primary School was one of the hardest hit institutions with two classrooms being destroyed, hence affecting the learning process. There were also reports of loss of livestock. On Tuesday 19th March; 2013, Tsangatsini in experienced strong winds coupled with heavy downpour resulting to the falling of four electric poles in Ndatani Area; one house also fell in the same incident. On the same day, in Mulanjo, Madogo Area of Tana River, one village was also affected by flooding. In Taita Taveta County, an elderly woman drowned and her body was found at Mabomani village in the outskirts of Voi town on Wednesday evening. In Lower Eastern Region, flash floods were reported on Wednesday 20th March 2013 in Kiboko area along the Nairobi-Mombasa Highway after River Kiboko burst its banks. The KRCS team rescued five people who had been trapped by the floods. In Rongai, three people died after a matatu they were travelling in was washed away by floods. In another incident, a man was swept away by floods in after heavy rains experienced in during the night hours of 20th March 2013 and his body recovered early the following morning. Meanwhile in Ole Polos Ngong, floods swept away a vehicle trapping one person who sought refuge on the roof of his vehicle while another person swam to safety. The KRCS Emergency Operation Centre informed the Kenya police and the National Disaster Operations Centre (NDOC) who responded and rescued the trapped person. In Central Region, 10 HH were affected by floods in Kiambu and Riara areas. The KRCS Kiambu Sub – Branch carried out a rapid assessment. On 1st April 2013, a Church also collapsed in Ngurubani town in Kirinyagi, leaving two people injured. In the Rift Valley heavy rains in Kalokol Area, Turkana, rendered at least 33 HH homeless. Heavy rains have also hit the entire Region of Dadaab Refugee Camps since 20th March; 2013, damaging tents and flooding roads. At least 14,280 people were affected by the floods. The Dadaab KRCS worked wit other agencies to assist the affected people. The blocks that were mainly affected by the floods in the IFO2 Refugee camp include Blocks R, P, U, K, D, J, H, I and T. And in Garbatulla District, Gafarsa Location, Belgesh Sub location, 142HH were affected by floods and some 302 livestock reported lost, with 636 people being rendered homeless and are currently camping at the Belgesh Primary School. The immediate need for the affected population is food aid. There were also reports of heavy rainfall in Moyale and Marsabit.

7th& 8th April 2013 A projected 180 families in Kabuto and 200 families in Nyora have been displaced in Migori due to flash floods caused by the heavy rains across the county through R. Kuja. We will respond accordingly. I will post more information in today's sitrep. Attached kindly find some photos.

Sericho town is situated approximately 135 Kms from Garba Tulla town which is the District headquarters for Garba Tulla District. The town has a total of 820 households with an estimated population of approximately 5000 persons. Gubatu village is also situated about 500 metres away from Sericho town with an estimated 160 households. On the 4th of April 2013, there was a heavy rain from morning to evening with raging winds that led to many households being either submerged, destroyed or marooned by the floods. The Kenya Red Cross Society received distress messages from leaders and the community members affected, we carried our own assessment and found out that though there are no human life lost, some livestock was lost during the mayhem (chicken and goats) while close to 160 households were submerged and families displaced as shown here below

Summary Table.

Region Dead Injured Displaced HH Missing Persons displaced Rift valley region 10 35 210 West Kenya 2 1 1708 3405

Upper Eastern 5 962 3 6382

Lower Eastern /Nbi 8 11 63 1 378 Coast 5 1,221 7,478

Central 2 2 10 North Eastern Total 32 14 3, 999 6 18,633

MARCH-MAY (MAM) 2013 SEASONAL RAINFALL OUTLOOK

Coast

Voi

• Heavy rains were received in Voi between the evening of March 20, 2013 (1830HRS) to the morning of March 21, 2013 (0100HRS) the areas of Sofia, Mabomani, Sikujua, parts of Maweni and neighbouring Tanzanian villages. A total of 22 households were with a total of 59 people. All household belongings i.e. utensils, clothes, furniture, electronics and poultry were all washed away by the floods. Most of the residents of these areas were affected and have already been evacuated and living with their neighbours and relatives with some still stranded. • One of the affected was assisted by DR-Team Voi, K.W.S, Word Vision, TAVEVO, local administration, the police media and a health officer where they raised Kshs.2, 500. • A school; St. Kelvin Primary School was destroyed with 2 classrooms demolished by the floods. Learning process was temporarily stopped and as the school children helped out in draining water from the classrooms.

• Railway line disrupted at areas following disruption of the service.

• Bura NFI’s distribution ongoing on 9th April 2013

Tana River

• Three (3) 3 deaths were reported (an elderly woman, a man and a child) having been swept away by flood waters following heavy rains on the night March 20, 2013 in the areas around Mulanjo and Madogo in Tana River • Assessment on going in Tana River and Bura • 1 Infant died due to floods in Bura/ Tana River on 7th April 2013.

Lower Eastern (includes Nairobi)

• Flash floods reported in Kiboko area along the Nairobi-Mombasa Highway after River Kiboko burst its banks following heavy rains from on the morning of March 20th, 2013. Five (5) males who were trapped were rescued by the KRCS Kibwezi team. • Unconfirmed report that one person drowned in Mashuru following heavy downpour • Six people were rescued by Good Samaritan after the vehicle they were traveling with was trapped by floods in Rongai area on 1st April 2013. • Four deaths were reported in Rongai after the matatu they were traveling with was carried away by floods, recovery efforts being conducted by the KRCS Karen Langat branch and the Kenya police.

Central

• 10 HH have been affected by floods in Kiambu Riara area, KRCS Kiambu sub branch carrying out an assessment • Church collapses due to heavy rainfall in Ngurubani town in Kirinyaga and two people were injured • 1 Child reported died in Muranga, Kigumo area after floods being experienced on 7th April 2013.

Rift Valley

• Most areas of the Rift Valley have reported the onset of heavy rainfalls with no incidents to report • Flooding and displacement in Turkana – Kalokol area following heavy rainfall on 01/03/2013, KRCS team carrying out a rapid assessment approximately 35HH affected • A vehicle ferrying passengers was swept by raging floods in Ololunga (Narok) 10 bodies recovered. KRCS Narok & Sub Branch responded. Incident date 03/04/2013. Search and rescue ongoing. • An alert at Kayole Bridge which was seen about to fall down following heavy rain down pour in the area. EOC informed the PR officers to alert the motorists to use Mai Mahiu route instead. Later in the night the Nakuru / Nairobi road was reported cut off by the waters.

•

West Kenya

• Stormy Wind witnessed in (Nyatike), (Seme) and cases of lightning reported across many areas. • Counties likely to be affected most include Migori, Kisumu, Siaya and Busia as predicted by the meteorological data. • Both humid and cold weather in • Floods reported in most parts of Kisumu County in Nyaori, Kasagam, Otera and Nyamasaria area. • North Nyakach location, Gem Rae sub-location, over 75HH with375 people affected and advised to move to St. Alloyce primary school. In same area Miruka primary school is submerged with the foot bridge to the school being washed away. • An alert has been issued due to River Nyando, seasonal rives Ayweyo, Nyamasaria, and Ombeyi are currently flowing at high speeds and full above capacity. This might cause flash floods in case the rivers breaks its banks as on 1st April 2013 • In Nyangoma location, Wang‘aya sub location, approximately 15HH with approximately total population of 75 people being affected who have been advised to move to Nyadundo primary school which is on a higher ground • At 2PM (01/04/2013) a 12yr old boy was reported died in a water pan caused by floods in Homabay district. • A 12 year old boy’s body recovered by KRCS volunteers floating on R. Migori in the morning of 03/04/2013 near Kiringi sand zone. The area chief and police informed • Floods reported in most parts of the region - Nyakach, Rachuonyo and Nyando areas on 8th April 2013. Distribution of NFI’s on was done by KRCS Kisumu. • In The Larger Nyakach that is in Asao, Gem, Nam and N. Nyakach at least 639 HH affected by the floods following heavy rains in the region. In all the areas, the common situation include collapsed latrines, contamination of water sources, total collapse of houses, food stores destroyed, farms swept away, animals dead.

Upper Eastern

• Reports of heavy rainfall in Moyale and Marsabit roads are impassable. • A Land cruiser reported to have been swept away by floods in Kargi with 8 passengers at 2100Hrs 24Km from Marsabit heading to Loyangalani 5 bodies were recovered while other 3 are still missing.

Incidents Reported:

KRCS Date Flooded Area Dead Injuries Damages Intervention. Houses roofs blown off, Walls 158HH affected with West Kenya destroyed, Chandaria Health 38 families displaced carried out Centre and collapsed 1 School (1 assessment in Classroom roof blown off and 3 Hamisi staff quarters) (Gavundunyi & 19/03/2013 Game), Vihiga (Galona), WEST KENYA Nyatike (W. Kadem Sub Location) and Kisumu West (Kothany Sub Location). In Taita Taveta, during the night Affected at least heavy rain in Safia area within Voi 22HH. (Maboman, Sikujua, and Maweni) 1 School (St. Kelvin Observations indicated that some primary School) 19/03/2013 household goods were swept

away, a few houses are still COAST submerged, a few domestic animals died. No lives lost as those affected have moved to higher grounds.

During the night Tsangatsini in Kilifi County experienced strong wind coupled with heavy 19/03/2013 downpour which resulted to the

falling of 4 electric poles COAST in Ndatani area. One house also fell in the same incident, no fatalities or injuries reported C onfirmed Mulanjo, Madogo area of Tana death of 3 19/03/2013 River have been swept due people ( an to heavy rains at night. A village elderly 1 HH affected COAST residing in a low area feared to woman, a have been affected. Team on the man and a ground doing assessment. child) Heavy rains have hit the entire 14,280 members of Dadaab KRCS Region of Dadaab Refugee public were reported put plans in Camps damaging tents and as hardest hit by the place to refer flooding roads. The rains which floods the most began at around 2300hrs and nonstop of heavy downpour affected which was later followed by families to 20/03/2013 drizzles up until morning hours. agencies that will provide

NORTH EASTERN them with proper shelter. Some of the blocks that had been affected in the IFO2 Refugee

camp include Block R, P, U, K, D, J, H, I and T

Flash floods reported from Kiboko after R. Kiboko burst bank, 20/03/2013 5 male rescued by Kibwezi branch after they were trapped. LOWER EASTERN This was caused by heavy rains from Kajiado at 0800Hrs A lorry driver and a female 2 man passenger drowned in a flooded reported 20/03/2013 river in Kajiado county, the driver dead

had parked the lorry near R. LOWER EASTERN Mashuru to harvest sand. The female reported missing A man was reported to have been 1 man swept away by floods in Thika reported 20/03/2013 dead after heavy rains experienced in CENTRAL during the night hours and his body recovered early in the morning.

50 year old was swept by floods 21/03/2013 along Magadi road in Kiserian, 1 Kajiado County following a heavy LOWER EASTERN down pour. In Taita Taveta County, an elderly woman drowned and her body washed away by raging floods, 21/03/2013 the body of the woman was 1 found far from her house at COAST Mabomani village in the outskirts of Voi town on Wednesday evening. Kaloleni 200 villagers had The Kenya Red been affected. Cross Society 21/03/2013 has distributed utensils and

COAST blankets to the affected families. Nyando County has been windy An assessment all day. Some houses’ roofs were has been done 26/03/2013 blown off. An assessment has and a report

been done and a report will be will be shared. WEST KENYA shared.

Garbatulla District, Gafarsa 142HH affected & Isiolo Branch 26/03/2013 livestock lost 302, Location, Belgesh sub location with 636 are CENTAL/UPPER homeless and EASTERN camping at the

Belgesh Primary school. 2goats died, all chicken drowned, latrines destroyed and faecal matter mixed with flood water. No food Ole Polos Ngong The floods swept away a vehicle trapping one person who forced to seek refuge on the roof of his vehicle while another one person died 31/03/2013 while he tried to swim for safety. 1 LOWER EASTERN EOC informed the Kenya police and the National Disaster Operations Centre (NDOC) who responded and rescued the trapped person.

Six people were rescued by Good 01/04/2013 Samaritan after the vehicle they

were traveling with was trapped LOWER EASTERN by floods in Rongai area

Rongai Karen Langata branch led the 01/04/2013 A 14-seater matatu was swept recovery away by the raging floods at a 4 efforts. LOWER EASTERN river in Rongai area with 4 passengers on board. EOC

informed the KRCS Karen Langata branch and the Kenya police who sent teams to help with the recovery efforts

Floods have marooned over 200 200 Home and 1500 homes and over 1500 people people affected 01/04/2013 affected in Kisumu county in

WEST KENYA Nyaori, Kasagam, Otera and Nyamasaria area

Flooding and displacement in 35HH KRCS Turkana Turkana – Kalokol area following branch 01/04/2013 heavy rainfall, KRCS team carrying

NORTH RIFT out a rapid assessment approximately 35HH affected

01/04/2013 10 HH have been affected by 10HH KRCS Kiambu

floods in Kiambu Riara area sub branch CENTRAL North Nyakach location, Gem Rae 75 HH affected and sub-location, over 75HH with375 over 375 people people affected and advised to affected 01/04/2013 move to St. Alloyce primary

school. In same area Miruka WEST KENYA primary school is submerged with the foot bridge to the school being washed away

Church collapses due to heavy Church destroyed 01/04/2013 rainfall in ngurubani town in

CENTRAL/ Kirinyaga and two people were UPPER EASTERN injured 2 In Nyangoma location, Wang‘aya 15HH affected with sub location, approximately 75 people 15HH with approximately total 01/04/2013 population of 75 people being

affected who have been adviced WEST KENYA to move to Nyadundo primary school which is on a higher ground

A 12 year old boy at 1400Hrs was KRCS reported died in a water pan Homabay caused by floods in Homabay volunteers and District. A local life safer retrieved police verified 01/04/2013 the body. Red Cross volunteers 1 the response WEST KENYA and police verified the report. effort to retrieve the body by a local life saver

A 12 year old boy’s body KRCS Migori 03/04/2013 recovered by KRCS volunteers Branch 1 floating on R. Migori this morning WEST KENYA near Kiringi sand zone. The area

chief and police informed.

A vehicle ferrying passengers was 10 bodies Narok & 03/04/2013 recovered swept by raging floods in Naivasha Sub LOWER EASTERN Ololunga Narok. Branch

In Wawidhu Location, Nyando. Approx. 45 families KRCS Nyando The outspoken lady of Nyando – Displaced. carried out 03/04/2013 JAMANENI captured during Maize, cow peas assessment Goats, sheep and previous disasters has put up a Chicken lost WEST KENYA temporal shelter on the dykes with 15HH affected

In Magina, Nyando 20HH affected Approx. 60 families KRCS Nyando 03/04/2013 partly destroyed displaced carried out

WEST KENYA assessment In 40HH affected Approx. 120 families KRCS displaced with Maize, Muhoroni 03/04/2013 beans and Sugar cane reported most seedlings(Cuttings) foot paths are WEST KENYA swept away while most latrines impassable. submerged In West Nyakach, Nyong’ong’a Approx. 640 NFI’s were 320HH affected displaced and are distributed 03/04/2013 putting up with unaffected

WEST KENYA neighbours Maize, beans and millet Cattle, goats, sheep

and chicken. Livestock are highly affected because the grass is submerged in water. Roads cut off and most latrines submerged. Moyale / Marsabit road cut off at 06/04/2013 Walda, Bubisa and Turbi Areas.

Rumuruti / also in UPPER EASTERN accessible

A Land cruiser reported to have Marsabit been swept away by floods in 5 bodies Branch 06/04/2013 recovered Kargi with 8 passengers at carrying search while 3 still UPPER EASTERN 2100Hrs 24Km from Marsabit & rescue heading to Loyangalani missing

Collapsed wall in Deep sea slums KRCS 07/04/2013 around Parklands area due to the Parklands and

heavy rainfall experienced In the 11 people E Plus LOWER EASTERN region. confirmed injured 1 Child reported died in Muranga, Kigumo area after floods being 07/04/2013 experienced. 1 CENTRAL

07/04/2013 1 Infant died due to floods in NFI’s 1 COAST Bura/ Tana River. distribution

done.

Flash flood at Rachonyo after EOC informed River Sare burst its banks and the Kisumu flooded the neighbouring Red Cross 08/04/2013 homesteads. Coordinator to mitigate on

LOWER EASTERN the flood effects.

Three homesteads that were 3HH 08/04/2013 covered by waters at Kiserian

after a dam burst its banks after LOWER EASTERN heavy down pour of rains. Floods were reported to have hit Ayweyo location in Nyando 08/04/2013 district from midnight. Kisumu

/Katito area was reported WEST KENYA impassable by then, after River Awach Rae broken its banks. Flood alert in Homabay where his EOC informed house was soaked in water but he Homabay 08/04/2013 managed to escape safely with branch to work

his family. on it. WEST KENYA

A car which had a sole passenger EOC informed that was swept at South C in the NDOC and YMCA. a combined effort from the community 08/04/2013 and NDOC

WEST KENYA managed to locate and rescue the lady in that car unharmed.

Information received that 530 There is the IDPs in emergency need at Sagala need for Food 08/04/2013 village Gatudia Rumruti, Laikipia. and NFIs 270 IDPs settled last year were

UPPER EASTERN flooded today; other 260 more IDPs were brought by the Government without relief items. Nairobi River burst its banks One person Atleast 60HH feared Nairobi branch 08/04/2013 Flooding was reported at Kitui missing to be swept away. DRT carrying

village, blue estate. DRT teams and feared out LOWER EASTERN on site assisting community. to be swept assessment. away. In The Larger Nyakach that is in At least 639 HH 09/04/2013 Asao, Gem, Nam and N. Nyakach affected by the floods following heavy rains

WEST KENYA in the region. In all the areas, the

common situation include collapsed latrines, contamination of water sources, total collapse of houses, food stores destroyed, farms swept away, animals dead. At Kanyalwal RI school, 13 goats A total of 44 houses and 18 chickens dead, 27 collapsed, 10 families carcasses of cattle and sheep, 130 camping, 13 goats and 18 chickens houses affected that are about to dead, 27 carcasses of 09/04/2013 collapse, crops swept away while cattle and sheep, 130

others submerged. houses affected that WEST KENYA are about to collapse, crops swept away while others submerged.

Camping at Kagwela primary A total of 6 HH 09/04/2013 school, Miruka primary school, displaced, 8 goats’

Asao primary school and Urudi dead, 32 houses WEST KENYA collapsed. primary school Displaced people at Osodo 50 HH marooned, 09/04/2013 primary school, toilets submerged, crop fields washed

WEST KENYA away, grazing field submerged hence

communities grazing in school, one child feared dead, local transportation affected, attendance in schools low, impassable roads, Myakwere Markets partially affected affecting business.

09/04/2013 Also affected is Nyadinya primary 80 HH camping at the school school and its environs WEST KENYA Kayole Bridge which was seen EOC informed the PR about to fall down following officers to alert the motorists to use Mai 09/04/2013 heavy rain down pour in the area. Mahiu route instead.

Later in the night the SOUTH RIFT Nakuru / Nairobi road was reported cut off by the waters.

Narok Incident Rongai Incident

Assessments Non food Item distribution