Global Views August 22, 2014 Weekly commentary on economic and financial market developments Economics Corporate Bond Research Emerging Markets Strategy Fixed Income Research Fixed Income Strategy Foreign Exchange Strategy Portfolio Strategy Contact Us Economics Another Step On The Path To The September FOMC 2-4 Forecasts & Data Key Data Preview A1-A2 Derek Holt Key Indicators A3-A5 ‘New Normal’, Or Simply The Same Old Mistake? 5-6 Global Auctions Calendar A6-A7 Derek Holt Events Calendar A8 Asia/Pacific Regional Outlook 7-8 Global Central Bank Watch A9 Pablo Bréard and Tuuli McCully Forecasts A10 Emerging Markets Strategy Latest Economic Statistics A11-A12 Cautious Chileans Support Fixed Income Rally 9-11 Latest Financial Statistics A13 Joe Kogan Fixed Income Strategy The Eurozone To Move Away From Fiscal Consolidation To Save Growth 12-14 This Week’s Featured Chart Frédéric Prêtet Spain - Risk Aversion Decreases As Economy Rebounds Foreign Exchange Strategy 4 % Latin America Week Ahead: For The Week Of August 25 - 29 15-18 3 Eduardo Suárez 10-Year Bond Spread vs. Germany 2 1 Real GDP, y/y change 0 -1 -2 13Q1 13Q2 13Q3 13Q4 14Q1 14Q2 14Q3f Source: Bloomberg, Scotiabank Economics. Global Views is available on scotiabank.com, Bloomberg at SCOT and Reuters at SM1C August 22, 2014 Economics Global Views THE WEEK AHEAD Derek Holt (416) 863-7707
[email protected] Another Step On The Path To The September FOMC Please see our full indicator, central bank, auction and event calendars on pp. A3-A9. US — Data Dependency In The Aftermath Of Jackson Hole More hawkish FOMC minutes than markets had anticipated rather nicely set up a less dovish and arguably fully neutral speech by Fed Chair Janet Yellen to open the Jackson Hole symposium (go here for comments following her speech).