Tuesday, August 29, 2000 ! Volume 7, Number 5 Page 1 of 9 A disastrous week The for David McIntosh Howey !"#$%"&'()'*++$,*+-'(.'*&/'#*0%"1#*22 By BRIAN A. HOWEY The Howey Political Report - No matter how the Republicans Political tried to put a positive spin on it, last week was a disastrous one for gubernatorial nominee David McIntosh. First came his decision to endorse one-class high Report school basketball, which earned him TV coverage on Aug. 21, and about a dozen newspaper editorials and columns telling him he was “out of bounds” (Indianapolis Star) and The Howey Political Report is published by NewsLink tossing up “airballs” (Anderson Herald-Bulletin). More omi- Inc. Founded in 1994, The Howey Political Report is an independent, non-partisan newsletter analyzing the nously, the normally friendly and sympathetic Star editorial- political process in . ists noted, “But even if he does lose the race, McIntosh can serve an important role in shaping the debate....” Brian A. Howey, publisher Then Gov. Frank O’Bannon extended his gasoline tax Mark Schoeff Jr., Washington writer suspension through the Labor Day holiday and Indiana Jack E. Howey, editor Democrats released a Garin-Hart-Yang Poll showing the The Howey Political Report Office: 317-254-1533 governor was leading 53 to 30 percent. PO Box 40265 Fax: 317-466-0993 McIntosh’s week ended when the campaign of Gov. Indianapolis, IN 46240-0265 Mobile: 317-506-0883 O’Bannon ripped a page right out of the 1996 playbook: [email protected] they called the Republican on what they considered erro- www.howeypolitics.com neous information on a TV ad about property taxes. It was reminiscent of ’s 38-tax increase assault Washington office: 202-775-3242; Business Office: 317-254-0535. against O’Bannon in early September 1996, one the heavily favored Republican had to withdraw and one that many Subscriptions: $250 annually via e-mail or believe sent him on a tailspin he was never to halt. fax. Call 317-254-1533. The William Statom TV ad in which the Muncie man © 2000, The Howey Political Report. All rights insisted his property taxes had “doubled” on his “house” just reserved. Photocopying, Internet forwarding, faxing or didn’t add up. WISH-TV reported that Statom's tax bill went reproducing in any form, in whole or in part, is a viola- up from $804 in 1991 to $1,101 last year. The Indianapolis tion of federal law and is strictly prohibited without consent of the publisher. Star reported Statom's tax bill went up from $773.26 in 1992 Continued on page 2

“The window of history is still open...." Ticker Tape: Bush-Gore deadlocked p. 2 Perhaps: Andy in TVLand p. 4 - U.S. Sen. Richard Lugar, to WTHR-TV, on the Columnists: Brown, Colwell p. 6 destruction of half the Soviet nuclear arsenal, Horse Race: Carsonites on a roll; after he was nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize. Chamber bails on Shean p. 7 In Our 7th Year of Covering the Golden Age of Hoosier Politics Tuesday, Aug. 29, 2000 Page 2 of 9

CNN POLL DEADLOCKED: A CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll had the presidential race virtually deadlocked, with Bush leading Gore, 46 to 45 percent. The poll was conducted Aug. 24-27 and consisted of 1,019 adults, 664 described as likely vot- ers. The sample error was +/- 4.1 percent. Green Party nominee came in at 3 percent and of the Reform Party had 1 percent. was $2,769. It dropped to $2,556 the next GORE STILL LEADS IN McIntosh, from page 1 year, and was $2,563 this year. During NEWSWEEK POLL: Demo- crat had a 46 to 42 to $1,101.38, an increase of 42 percent. O'Bannon's term, McIntosh's property percent lead over Republi- The sequence had Republican Party taxes dropped 7.5 percent.” can George W. Bush in the pros shaking their heads in disbelief. Smith reported, “Waggoner said she latest Newsweek Poll “How could they not have checked out the couldn't comment specifically about the released over the weekend. math on the man in that ad,” one incredu- tax bills because she had not seen them.” Senior editor Howard lous House Republican asked HPR. The All of this occurred just as the Fineman wrote, "As Labor McIntosh campaign only made things Republicans were making a case that Day approaches, Bush is in McIntosh had positioned himself to make an unaccustomed, uncom- worse when lamely defended the ad and a credible homestretch challenge by Labor fortable new place: the fight kept it on rotation after telling WTHR-TV of his life. For now at least, that it would be pulled. Day. Even the release of the McLaughlin Gore has managed to “In his mind, they have doubled. poll showing him trailing O’Bannon by emerge from the shadow of Conceptually, the ad is correct,” McIntosh 8.7 percent was more of a staggering , to sell himself campaign manager Kelli Waggoner told event that a finesse point - it was delayed as the champion of govern- the Indianapolis Star. She told Terry almost a week after the survey’s Lugar ment aid for the middle Burns of the Times of Northwest Indiana, and Bush numbers were publicized. class and to impress insid- “I think we talked about property tax bills ers with his relentless and strategic savvy. Bush, by going up. In (Statom’s) mind, he believes Hostage to rhetoric contrast, seemed unsure of they have doubled.” The pain McIntosh’s campaign is his message and his game Even more embarrassing, Mike inflicting on itself is eerily similar to the plan and shaky on details of Smith of the Associated Press reported way Stephen Goldsmith’s campaign sloga- his own sweeping propos- that McIntosh’s own property taxes have neering eventually doomed the effort. In als. The numbers portend a not doubled. Smith wrote for AP, “Ac- 1996, Goldsmith had preached “smaller down-to-the-wire cording to the Delaware County treasur- government is better.” race, perhaps the closest er's office, the bill for 1994 taxes payable But the mayor had spent $1.2 bil- since 1960." in 1995 was $3,321. It went down slightly lion more in his first four years as mayor BUSH TO VISIT INDIANAPO- the next year, and then dropped to $2,730 of Indianapolis than Bill Hudnut had in for 1997. For taxes payable in 1998, the his final four years. The city’s long-term Continued on page 3 first due under O'Bannon's watch, the bill debt load had increased by $170 million. Page 3 of 9 Tuesday, Aug. 29, 2000

Goldsmith found himself trying to shoe- whole truth. If you have a candidate who horn his statistics into a slogan that didn’t only tells half the truth, then you would fit and that Hoosier voters didn’t buy. have a governor who also tells half a lie “In Indianapolis, we have demon- and that’s reason enough not to hire the strated that smaller government and low son of a bitch.” taxes can create growth and opportunity,” LIS ON SEPT. 6: Republican said Goldsmith in September 1996. “The Missed opportunity presidential nominee same prescription - cutting property taxes, The missed opportunity for George W. Bush will appear reducing regulation, and shrinking the size Republicans is had they not been held at a Republican National Committee of government - can help prepare our state hostage by the “property taxes have dou- for the 21st Century.” Presidential Trust fund-rais- bled” sloganeering, the message William On Sept. 12, 1996, O’Bannon coun- ing event on Sept. 6 at the Statom and the McIntosh campaign were tered with a TV commercial that made Westin Hotel in downtown trying to deliver might have been a com- Indianapolis. The fund-rais- this claim: “The truth is, it’s under Gold- pelling message for the Indiana voter and er will be a $1,000-a-person smith as mayor that taxes and fees have a winning issue had a real person with one event. gone up. He increased spending a billion real house where property taxes really had dollars ... and forced the city deeper in doubled been located and used. RECORD GRAIN FORE- debt.” CAST: Carryover stocks The last HPR/TeleResearch Poll released The O’Bannon campaign readily from 1999 combined with on June 19 showed that property tax pulled out tax bills in that 1996 sequence, record yields this year have reform was rated the top issue by likely with campaign manager Tom New using made grain storage a criti- statewide voters (30 percent, compared to his own to show - this time - that his city cal issue for farmers plan- taxes had increased from $431.91 in 1994 29.5 percent for improving public educa- ning for the upcoming har- tion). Instead, the McIntosh message was vest. Lt. Governor Joe to $455.03 in 1995. The idea that the Kernan explained how the O’Bannon camp might actually produce garbled, the opportunity squandered, and the candidate’s credibility tainted. state was helping to ease real tax bills (with more pending on other farmers' minds. He an- McIntosh and LG nominee Murray conspicuous Republicans) apparently did- nounced the temporary and n’t dawn on the McIntosh campaign. Clark tried to carry on as if nothing seri- emergency grain storage McIntosh came up with his “guar- ous had happened. McIntosh told the options that are available to anteed 25-percent property tax cut” in South Bend Tribune over the weekend that elevators under the Indiana April of this year, months before he was he would “absolutely not” pull the TV ad. Grain Buyers and Ware- able to substantiate the workings of such a Clark told the Tribune that the cam- house Licensing Agency (IGBWLA). "We've been plan. He had laid the premise for that tax paign’s mistake was referring to Statom’s monitoring crop conditions cut earlier in the year, declaring that prop- taxes on “my house.” “They called poor old Will a liar,” all summer," said Kernan, erty taxes had doubled, something that who serves as Indiana's former Republican chairman Al Hubbard Clark said, and brushed off the O’Bannon commissioner of agricul- had been saying in his faxed letters to assault as an “effort to distract voters.” ture. "The U.S. Department supporters and opinion leaders in the last The bottom line is that in a week of Agriculture's August part of 1999. It was an assertion the late when the incumbent governor awarded Crop Report confirmed pre- Harrison Ullmann contested in his final $3.3 million in school safety grants to 196 dictions for record yields published story (April 20 edition of districts in 84 counties; announced that nationally and here in NUVO Newsweekly). Ullmann reported Klipsch Audio Technologies was keeping Indiana. This means eleva- tors will require that in 1989, “Hoosier schools and local 55 jobs in Indianapolis and adding 132 storage options to meet more; extended the gas tax suspension; governments levied $2.9 billion in proper- producers' needs in just a ty taxes. By 1998, the levy was up to $4.4 and announced brownfield grants in 10 few short weeks." U.S. corn billion. That’s not double.” cities, the challenger has to run a perfect production is forecast at Ullmann wrote somewhat propheti- strategy. And that didn’t even come close 10.4 billion bushels, up 10 cally, “It’s not enough to have a candidate to happening for David McIntosh last percent from last year. The who tells half the truth about taxes week. " nation's produc- because we need a governor who tells the continued on page 4 Tuesday, Aug. 29, 2000 Page 4 of 9

Libertarians get Andy We live in a political world where tion is forecast at a record exposure in TVLand is absolutely essen- high 2.99 billion bushels, up into Hoosier TVLand tial in order to have a major impact in an 13 percent from 1999. USDA election. To do that, you have to have forecasts average Indiana INDIANAPOLIS - For the past two corn yields of 155 bushels decades the Libertarian Party has operated money - a lot of money. Gov. Frank per acre, a record for the on the fringes of Hoosier politics. O’Bannon and Republican gubernatorial state. The previous high Its 1996 Libertarian gubernatorial nominee David McIntosh could raise and was 147 bushels set in nominee Steve Dillon polled 35,261 votes spend close to $20 million by Election 1992. The lowest yields in compared to 1,075,342 for Frank Day, not that much more than what Norm Indiana are expected to O’Bannon and 997,505 for Republican Coleman and Skip Humphrey spent in the average around 139 to Stephen Goldsmith. ‘98 Minnesota gubernatorial race. 140 bushels per acre. Earlier this month, Horning raised Soybean yields are expect- But a funny thing happened on the $10,000 in one night. He took the other ed to reach 46 bushels per- way to the 2000 election. In an event that acre, just one bushel off of flabbergasted the American political com- $5,000 that he had and began a limited the record 47 bushels per- munity and Garrison Keilor, a former pro TV ad campaign. It is literally the playing acre set in 1994. The lowest wrestler named Jesse “The Body” Ventura the proverbial “chicken and the egg: soybean yields for Indiana won the Minnesota governorship in 1998, which came first.” should still reach 40 spending a mere $500,000 and waging a The Libertarian dilemma has long bushels per acre. populist campaign largely via the Internet. been, we can’t get our message out if we don’t have money. But we don’t have DEDELOW HAS A PLAN: During the Libertarian’s 1999 con- money because we can’t get our message Hammond Mayor Duane vention, they invited Ventura’s campaign Dedelow Jr. has a plan to manager in for a talk. They also had this out. raise money even if proper- columnist in for a speech and my message ty taxes take a hit (Robin was this: You’ve spent 20 years as a More news coverage Biesen, Times of Northwest fringe party. It’s time for you to either An amazing thing happened this Indiana). He says the state's grow up, mature into a party that can poll past week after Horning began running in property tax climate leaves more than 5 percent of the vote, or you’re no choice but to become TVLand. There was a story on the front destined to be relegated to the dustbin of the first industrialized city page of the Indianapolis Star’s City/State in the region to attempt a electoral politics. section and then another extensive story fee-based revenue plan inside Sunday’s City/State section. And instead of relying solely on Sam, Cokie & Andy another in the Fort Wayne News-Sentinel. property tax income. Ham- On Aug. 20, as I was watching Sam Horning has begun to get his exposure. mond has a tax rate hover- and Cokie on ABC’s This Week here in When Gov. O’Bannon extended the gaso- ing around $28 per $100 of Indianapolis, up popped 2000 Libertarian line tax suspension, WTHR-TV in Ind- assessed valuation, the ianapolis actually had Horning on live to highest in the state. gubernatorial nominee Andrew Horning in Dedelow's plan was a 30-second TV ad, talking against a black respond to O’Bannon live, while developed by a group of 15 backdrop about education. In the coming McIntosh was nowhere to be found. business, civic and labor weeks, there will be similar TV ads run- He also knows what kind of reality leaders working throughout ning in the Fort Wayne, Louisville, he is facing. When he ran for mayor of the summer. Evansville and South Bend media mar- Indianapolis in 1999, Horning raised and kets, along with a sprinkling of exposure spent about $26,000 and finished with INDY FACES DOWNGRADE: on cable systems across the state. 7,772 votes out of nearly 200,000 votes Moody's Investors Service It is further evidence that Horning cast. “Last year, most of that money has issued a "negative out- look" on the City of Indiana- is taking the Libertarians into new territo- dropped in during the final weeks of the ry - TVLand. campaign,” Horning said. “If we would continued on page 5 Page 5 of 9 Tuesday, Aug. 29, 2000 have had that kind of money earlier, we gun bullets. And a funny thing about would have done better. For us to talk laws: They never go away, no matter how about winning, we’d have to move our much trouble and money they cost us.” total another decimal point over.” And the Horning solution? “All In a world where Horning might non-constitutional laws and agencies must have $250,000 or, like The Body/The have a sunset, that is, an expiration date. polis's AAA credit rating. Mind, $500,000, he would then get If the laws or agencies serve a useful pur- The rating is in jeopardy enough additional free press to move into pose, they will be restored. If not, they die due to looming budget that 33 to 35 percent range, which is what so that the rest of us might live in harmo- shortfalls, most of which Ventura did to pull off one of the biggest ny with laws that we understand and Mayor inherit- ed from his predecessor, upsets of the century. respect.” Stephen Goldsmith.Moody's “The news media decides the even- The 42-year-old Libertarian has has predicted the city's tual winner by telling us the odds,” questions. He wonders what David police and fire pension Horning observed of a world where far McIntosh will do to get his guaranteed 25- shortfalls could grow to $25 too often the first question a political percent property tax cut should he win in million in 2002 and $40 mil- reporter asks of a candidate is, “How November. “In 1973, Gov. Bowen gave us lion in 2003. HPR's Brian much money have you raised?” the temporary property tax cut, but he had Howey in a number of 1998 Said Horning, “Until we get that to give collective bargaining to the and 1999 articles for NUVO Newsweekly, wrote exten- free media, it really doesn’t matter how Indiana State Teachers Association,” sively about the potential much money we raise, if the media does- Horning said. “No one knows what police and fire pension n’t take notice. But a half million would McIntosh is going to give away to get his deficits, other deficits in the do it.” tax cut.” IndyParks system, as As for Gov. O’Bannon, Horning well as the diversion of You are witnessing history believes that Indiana is fat on the “happy state highway maintenance What you are witnessing this very times” and is ill-prepared for the funds into Goldsmith's Building Better Neighbor- second is another example of the news inevitable economic downturn (folks in hoods program. The deficit 1928, like now, thought it wasn’t going to media taking notice. issue was largely ignored This columnist noticed Horning happen again). He calls it “constructive by the Indianapolis Star and over the Fourth of July weekend when he destruction.” His entire division was laid other media outlets during wondered why the State of Indiana makes off at Kodak as American businesses and the 1999 mayoral campaign. its citizens lie when they buy fireworks. industry downsized and pruned. Since coming to office, That’s when law-abiding folks have to fill “It was very painful and I was per- Peterson has announced a out a “license” that says they will take sonally hit. But many of these companies $31 million deficit in the them out of state. Heck, the State of bounced back better than before,” said 2001 budget. Horning, who talks extensively of his Indiana made a liar out of me. COUNTY DIVISION NOT ideas at www.horning2000.org. This columnist has noticed Horning LIKELY: Proponents of split- talking about the phasing out of property “Government programs can work if ting Lake County into taxes. “Those parts of government which they’re nimble and strength is added two counties concede the currently depend on them for funding, where needed. Right now, Indiana govern- plan appears unworkable should, over time, obtain alternate funding ment is too expensive and too inefficient. since Hammond Mayor through user fees, privatization, direct vol- The last thing we need in an economic Duane Dedelow Jr. said he untary contributions and, if necessary, downturn is a big Frankenstein govern- would never support split- ting the urban north from consumptive taxes.” ment.” the rest of the county Horning will be invited to debate And this columnist took notice (Robin Biesen, Times of when Horning volunteered the notion that Gov. O’Bannon and McIntosh - the first Northwest Indiana). Timothy our legislators - most of whom enjoy coming on Sept. 22. He has a lot of ques- Raykovich, chief aide to Politburo status with safely drawn seats tions and a lot of answers. East Chicago Mayor Robert protected from the electorate - are not He doesn’t have a lot of money, so Pastrick, said the proposal lazy. “This isn’t true at all,” Horning he’ll be advertising on a Discovery insists. “They spit out laws like machine Channel near you. " continued on page 6 Tuesday, Aug. 29, 2000 Page 6 of 9

Ben Smith, Fort Wayne Journal Gaz- ethnicity that approaches reverse racism ette - So Tony Hinkle comes to Earth last and anti-Semitism. And it didn’t help now appears to be economi- week, and he lays a hand on David McIn- when Minister Louis Farrakhan again put cally unfeasible, but "is still tosh's shoulder. (No, of course, he didn't, his foot in his mouth, libeling Lieberman under study." Dedelow's not really. But as long as McIntosh can with inaccurate assumptions about Lieber- opposition removed about indulge in flights of fancy as regards bas- man’s loyalty to America. Statements that 40 percent of the population by any objective standard were anti- and area and 20 percent of ketball in Indiana, so can I). Anyway, old Semitic. His choice of Lieberman has the taxable property from Tony lays a hand on McIntosh's shoulder, the proposed new county. leans close to his ear, and whispers this: unleashed the malevolent forces of racism "Are you nuts?" McIntosh's eyes grow and hate. Our African-American commu- EXPENSIVE CLEANUP: wide. "Yeah, you didn't think I saw you nity shouldn’t hold Lieberman’s faith Decontamination and demo- down here last week, didja? Standing in against him. Lieberman’s record on the lition of the Continental front of my Fieldhouse. Talking about battlefield of civil rights sets a new stan- Steel plant in Kokomo was dard. He and Gore are deserving of our places like Kendallville and Vigo. Weep- estimated to cost $8.7 mil- African-American community’s unhesitat- ing great big crocodile tears for the de- lion. It already has cost $30 ing support. " million and the final tab is mise of Hoosier Hysteria - born 1911, expected to be $85 million died 1997 - so you could vacuum up that (Marc B. Geller, Kokomo all-important geezer-codger I-saw-Oscar- Jack Colwell, South Bend Tribune - Tribune). Rep. Steve Buyer play vote. "Fine strategy there, Dave. And Congressman Tim Roemer has said it fre- of the 5th CD met last when was the last time you saw a high quently, said it firmly: "I've never voted Tuesday with fellow school basketball game in Indiana? for a tax increase." Nobody doubted him. Republican Rep. Mike Oxley Hmmm?" Now McIntosh's eyes are round Not past congressional opponents. Not the of Ohio to tour the site and news media. Not organizations in Wash- discuss the need to reform as moons. " ington, both partisan and nonpartisan, that the federal Environmental rate congressional voting records. Protection Agency's super- Amos Brown, Indianapolis Recorder fund program. Oxley chairs Nobody. Until now. Republican challenger the House Finance and - Even though Vice President Al Gore did Chris Chocola is running TV commercials Hazardous Materials sub- a great job delivering passion and energy that say this of the Democratic congress- committee, which oversees in his acceptance speech, some African man from South Bend: "When Clinton the superfund program. Americans remain leery about Gore’s and Gore needed him on key votes, he choice of Sen. Joseph Lieberman as was there -- to raise taxes -- to take over NEW POWER PLANT Gore’s running mate. Sen. Lieberman not the health care system -- to stay in office." ANNOUNCED: Kentucky- only talked the talk about fighting for civil Roemer was miffed. What rankled him based EnviroPower said it and , but he walked the walk will build a waste coal-fired was the suggestion that he provided some merchant power generating as a civil rights worker, helping Blacks vote President Clinton and Vice President plant about 3 miles east of gain their vote in Mississippi in the mid- Al Gore needed "to raise taxes." After all, Sullivan (Terre Haute 1960s. Yes, Sen. Lieberman waffled on Roemer pointed out, his break with Tribune Star). A similar plant affirmative action. But, I remember a guy Clinton, when the president desperately is being built by the compa- named Bill Clinton did too. It was his needed every vote to pass a deficit-reduc- ny about 15 miles south of administration that revised Federal affir- tion plan in 1993 -- which included major Petersburg in Pike County. mative action policy to the infamous tax increases as well as spending cuts -- The new plant will have two "mend it, but don’t end it". Even though was well documented. Ann DeLaney gave 250-megawatt generating Sen. Lieberman has a powerful, positive Roemer a public paddling back then, say- units. The company expects to begin construction on the record on behalf of minority rights, some ing the White House was so mad that $600 million plant next African-Americans are criticizing Lieber- chances of federal appointees from the 3rd man, invoking old stereotypes about his Congressional District were doomed. " Page 7 of 9 Tuesday, Aug. 29, 2000 Indiana 2000 Racing Form GOVERNOR, congressional races Governor: Republican: U.S. Rep. David McIntosh. Democrat: Gov. Frank O’Bannon. Libertarian: Andrew Horning. 1996 Results: O’Bannon 1,107,342, Goldsmith 997,505, Dillon 35,261. 2000 Forecast: Here are some additional things you need to know in year and complete it in the gauging the Indiana governor’s race. There doesn’t appear to be any more bombshell exposes spring of 2004. in the works about the O’Bannon administration, according to our Republican, Democratic and news media souces. The Indianapolis Star’s Kevin Corcoran is supposedly working on some ONE RAIL LINE OR TWO? followups to his June FSSA investigation, but the word on the street now is that there is noth- South Lake County residents ing particularly explosive. Republican sources got together in in Marion County tell Horse Race that Demo- Merrillville last week to talk crats are registering scores of voters - much about a commuter rail sys- more than the Republicans. The reason? The tem linking the region to Army of is out to take over the Chicago (Robin Biesen, county judiciary. Thus, there is rampant registration in order to win more than a dozen judge- Times of Northwest Ind- ships on the ballot. Obviously this could have an impact on the governor’s race. Six months iana). The consensus seem- ago, after the White River fish kill, the thought of O’Bannon carrying the state’s largest county ed to be that what they want like he did in 1996 seemed slim. But our sources say that the Carsonites are far more motivat- are two rail lines, one ed than they were in 1999 in the Peterson/Gilroy race. On the Republican side, there is an through Valparaiso and effort being organized by the Republican State Committee to form a united front with the another through Lowell far- Lugar campaign, the statewides, House and Senate races as far as advertisting goes. This coali- ther south. About 100 tion has already been at work on GOTV efforts. How would Dick Lugar’s Nobel coattails play persons attended the meet- on behalf of McIntosh? Lugar headed up a united front in ‘94, but even that was dwarfed by ing. the nationalized GOP tsunami. Our suspicions are that his coattails will be limited as many voters make distinctions between federal and state offices and vote accordingly. The dynamic TIM FRANKLIN TAKES A that is shaping up is that Hoosiers will be in a ticket-splitting mode ...BIG TIME. We still BREATH: Tim Franklin believe GWBush will carry the state (gauged by the fact that Chairman Robin Winston still moved from the Chicago hasn’t bet us a St. Elmo’s steak dinner), Lugar will win by a landslide, and O’Bannon is look- Tribune in January to ing strong at this point. U.S. Rep. Steve Buyer told the Logansport Pharos-Tribune that 5th become editor of the Ind- CD voters will be looking to “cleanse” themselves of Clinton fatigue with Bush and Lugar, although not necessarily the governor’s race. “I would say the ouch there is David McIntosh,” ianapolis Star. Then Gannett Buyer said. “That’s just my political gut.” Our Labor Day outlook: O’Bannon is in far better Co. bought the Star in June position than anyone would have imagined. General Status: Leans O’Bannon. and Franklin wondered about his future (Mason King, U.S. Sen. Richard Lugar. Democrat: David L. Johnson. U.S. Senate: Republican: Indianapolis Business 1988 results: Lugar (R) 1,430,525, Wickes (D) 668,778. 1994 results: Lugar (R) 1,039,625, Journal). Now he can take a Jontz (D) 470,799, Bourland (L) 17,343, Barton (A) 15,801. 2000 Forecast: Lugar’s nomina- deep breath. Gannett, known tion for a Nobel Peace Prize essentially sews this race up. It is perhaps an unprecendented for pinching pennies and obstacle for a congressional challenger. Lugar and former Sen. were nominated for putting its own people in one of the most prestigious awards in the world for their legislation that has eliminated about executive positions in new 5,000 former Soviet nuclear warheads following the end of the . It may be the first acquisitions., has asked him time in history where a former adversary has been invited into an unconquered country and to remain as editor and con- allowed to dismantle its arsenal. Lugar was emotional about the news, telling WTHR-TV’s tinue to transform the way Kevin Rader, “I was speechless.” Lugar said he didn’t realize “people were paying attention” the paper gathers and pre- because stories 8 or 9 years long “are not topical.” Lugar said that 5,014 Soviet warheads have sents news. been disassembled, or only half. “The window of history is still open.” Status: Safe Lugar. Congressional District 2: Republican: . Democrat: Robert Rock Jr. LUGAR ANNOUNCES CHIP Independent: Bill Frazier. Geography: Muncie, Anderson, Richmond, Shelbyville, Columbus PILOT PROJECT: U.S. Sen. and East Central Indiana. 1994 Results: McIntosh 93,592, Hogsett 78,241. 1996 Results: Richard Lugar announced McIntosh 122,288, Carmichael (D) 83,478, Zimmerman (L) 4,662. 1998 Results: McIntosh that Indiana has been select- (R) 99,584, Boles (D) 62,426, Federle (L) 2,236. 2000 Forecast: A mid-July poll by Chris ed to participate in pilot pro- Wilson of Wilson Research Strategies shows Pence up by 20 percent. “Interestingly it showed gram as part of the Lugar- that Bill Frazier was taking almost as many Democrat votes as he is taking GOP votes,” Pence continued on page 8 Tuesday, Aug. 29, 2000 Page 8 of 9

told HPR. Status: LIKELY PENCE. Congressional District 5: Republican: U.S. Rep. Steve Buyer. Democrat: Greg Goodnight. Libertarian: Scott Benson. Geography: Kokomo, Marion, Peru, Monticello, Lowell, Northern Indiana. 1994 results: Buyer 108,575, Beatty 43,619, Alfred (L) 3,328. 1996 Results: Buyer 133,604, Clark (D) 67,125, Lehman (L) 5,255. 1998 Results: Buyer (R) 101,567, Steele 58,504 (D), Waters (L) 2,317. 2000 Forecast: Buyer and Greg Goodnight, Carson Access to Children’s his Democratic opponent, agree that prescription drug coverage, Social Security, Medicare, Health Insurance Program crime and education are the primary issues voters in the district are talking about, but they dis- Act. “Indiana’s participation agree about what will happen Election Day (Dave Kitchell, Logansport Pharos-Tribune). in the pilot program will Goodnight believes his Howard County base is strong, but Buyer says he's going to win the help Hoosier Healthwise, county. Buyer said Goodnight played his cards too early and concentrated on the center of the the successful Indiana CHIP district and "he doesn't have to care about the rest. That's a political mistake." Status: Likely program, identify and, there- Buyer. fore, insure more eligible Congressional District 8: Republican: U.S. Rep. John Hostettler. Democrat: Dr. children,” Lugar said. Paul Perry. Geography: Evansville, Blooming-ton, Vincennes and SW Indiana. 1994 results: Hostettler (R) 93,529, McCloskey (D) 84,857. 1996 Results: Hostettler (R) 109,582, Weinzapfel ANDREW CHIDES BUSH: (D) 106,134, Hager (L) 3,799. 1998 Results: Hostettler (R) 92,227, Riecken (D) 81,381, Hager Democratic National (L) 3,395. 2000 Forecast: Hostettler has been challenged to debates in each of the 8 CD's 13 Chairman Joe Andrew chid- counties by Democrat Paul Perry (Tim Starks, Evansville Courier & Press). A group of busi- ed George W. Bush about nesses and insurance companies sponsored a print ad in last Wednesday's editions of the Evans- his “non-existent” perscrip- ville Courier-Press and Terre Haute Tribune-Star designed to bolster Hostettler on health care. tion drug plan. “They are up In a half-page ad, the Health Benefits Coalition praised Hostettler for his vote against a patients' with another ad touting a bill of rights that it said would hurt employers by allowing unlimited lawsuits. The ad is a "thank prescription drug plan that you" to Hostettler for voting against the Kennedy-Dingell-Norwood legislation. "We know that even Bush’s own running they're in tough re-election races, and we wanted to put something out that would thank the con- mate admits doesn’t exist,” gressmen and tell voters what they supported," said a coalition spokesman. The ad, which is run- Andrew said in an Aug. 28 ning in six districts, is funded by coalition membership, which is approximately 50 percent busi- statement. “Just like my 5- ness and 50 percent insurance providers. "The big insurance companies love Congressman year-old son has imaginary Hostettler," said Carter Wells, Perry's campaign manager. "He hasn't supported a patients' bill friends, it seems like Bush of rights. They know Dr. Perry is talking about this issue, so they're coming to support their and the Republicans have friend." Jim Banks, Hostettler's campaign spokesman, said that the 8th CD would be a target for an imaginary prescription issue ads because of its competitive nature. He said Hostettler's congressional office is challeng- drug plan.” The Bush cam- ing an AFL-CIO television ad on HMO reform, charging that the spot inaccurately describes paign has told CNN that it accountability provisions in a recent bill. The labor ad is up now in the district. Status: Tossup. will release its prescription drug plan next week. INDIANA HOUSE races House District 19: Republican: Ron Johnson. Democrat: Rep. Bob Kuzman. BAYH, O’BANNON EYE Geography: Crown Point, south Lake County. 1994 results: Conlon (R) 8,850, McCall (D) METH: Gov. Frank 5,280. 1996 Results: Kuzman (D) 12,236, Sparks (R) 10,453. 1998 Results: Kuzman 9,130, O’Bannon and U.S. Sen. Gasparovic (R) 6,917. 2000 Forecast: A real race is brewing here. Johnson beginning to get teamed up on a local news coverage. Republicans like the idea that GWBush is going to be blitzing Chicago TV Monday press conference with ads. As one GOPer said, “This will be the first time since 1992 that we have had a national as they visited an Indiana Republican message on Chicago TV. Could make a big difference in a close Republican district. State Police demonstration Status: Leans D. of its Clandestine Labora- House District 24: Republican: Rep. Rick McClain. Democrat: Bob Sabatini. tory Response Team. The Geography: Logansport, Cass, Carroll, Miami counties. 1994 results: McClain10,421, Frantz team was set up to battle a (D) 7,686. 1996 Results: McClain 15,538. 1998 Results: McClain 10,281, Fincher (D) 7,345. growing methamphetamine 2000 Forecast: McClain raised $30,000 at a Logansport fundraiser. Status: Tossup. threat to Indiana communi- ties. “While we have had House District 60: Republican: John Shean. Democrat: State Rep. Peggy Welch. success in fighting meth - Geography: Bloomington, Bloomfield, Lawrence. Greene and Monroe Counties. 1994 results: we destroyed 128 labes last Bales 11,825, Anderson 5,210. 1996 Results: Bales 15,743, Germann (L) 1,931. 1998 Results: year and about 200 so far Welch 10,172, Ellington 8,987. 2000 Forecast: Indiana Chamber, which sank more than this year - much more $50,000 into the Jeff Ellington campaign in 1998, is taking a pass on this race for now, largely needs to be done,” because they don’t want to support Shean, a trial lawyer. That’s a huge break for Welch and a O’Bannon said. " significant blow in Republican attempts to regain the House with this seat, which was beyond Democratic touch when Jerry Bales held it. Status: LEANS WELCH." Tuesday, Aug. 29, 2000 Page 9 of 9

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