Near-Earth Asteroids Among the Scorpiids Meteoroid Complex (Research Note)
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A&A 598, A40 (2017) Astronomy DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361/201629659 & c ESO 2017 Astrophysics Separation and confirmation of showers? L. Neslušan1 and M. Hajduková, Jr.2 1 Astronomical Institute, Slovak Academy of Sciences, 05960 Tatranska Lomnica, Slovak Republic e-mail: [email protected] 2 Astronomical Institute, Slovak Academy of Sciences, Dubravska cesta 9, 84504 Bratislava, Slovak Republic e-mail: [email protected] Received 6 September 2016 / Accepted 30 October 2016 ABSTRACT Aims. Using IAU MDC photographic, IAU MDC CAMS video, SonotaCo video, and EDMOND video databases, we aim to separate all provable annual meteor showers from each of these databases. We intend to reveal the problems inherent in this procedure and answer the question whether the databases are complete and the methods of separation used are reliable. We aim to evaluate the statistical significance of each separated shower. In this respect, we intend to give a list of reliably separated showers rather than a list of the maximum possible number of showers. Methods. To separate the showers, we simultaneously used two methods. The use of two methods enables us to compare their results, and this can indicate the reliability of the methods. To evaluate the statistical significance, we suggest a new method based on the ideas of the break-point method. Results. We give a compilation of the showers from all four databases using both methods. Using the first (second) method, we separated 107 (133) showers, which are in at least one of the databases used. These relatively low numbers are a consequence of discarding any candidate shower with a poor statistical significance. -
Assessing Risk from Dangerous Meteoroids in Main Meteor Showers Andrey Murtazov
Proceedings of the IMC, Mistelbach, 2015 155 Assessing risk from dangerous meteoroids in main meteor showers Andrey Murtazov Astronomical observatory, Ryazan State University, Ryazan, Russia [email protected] The risk from dangerous meteoroids in main meteor showers is calculated. The showers were: Quadrantids–2014; Eta Aquariids–2013, Perseids–2014 and Geminids–2014. The computed results for the risks during the shower periods of activity and near the maximum are provided. 1 Introduction The activity periods of these showers (IMO) are: Quadrantids–2014; 1d; Eta Aquariids–2013; 10d, Bright meteors are of serious hazard for space vehicles. Perseids–2014; 14d and Geminids–2014; 4d. A lot of attention has been recently paid to meteor Our calculations have shown that the average collisions N investigations in the context of the different types of of dangerous meteoroids for these showers in their hazards caused by comparatively small meteoroids. activity periods are: Furthermore, the investigation of risk distribution related Quadrantids–2014: N = (2.6 ± 0.5)10-2 km-2; to collisions of meteoroids over 1 mm in diameter with Eta Aquariids–2013: N = (2.8)10-1 km-2; space vehicles is quite important for the long-term Perseids–2014: N = (8.4 ± 0.8)10-2 km-2; forecast regarding the development of space research and Geminids–2014: N = (4.8 ± 0.8)10-2 km-2. circumterrestrial ecology problems (Beech, et al., 1997; Wiegert, Vaubaillon, 2009). Consequently, the average value of collision risk was: Considered hazardous are the meteoroids that create -2 -1 Quadrantids–2014: R = 0.03 km day ; meteors brighter than magnitude 0. -
Meteor Shower Detection with Density-Based Clustering
Meteor Shower Detection with Density-Based Clustering Glenn Sugar1*, Althea Moorhead2, Peter Brown3, and William Cooke2 1Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305 2NASA Meteoroid Environment Office, Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, AL, 35812 3Department of Physics and Astronomy, The University of Western Ontario, London N6A3K7, Canada *Corresponding author, E-mail: [email protected] Abstract We present a new method to detect meteor showers using the Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise algorithm (DBSCAN; Ester et al. 1996). DBSCAN is a modern cluster detection algorithm that is well suited to the problem of extracting meteor showers from all-sky camera data because of its ability to efficiently extract clusters of different shapes and sizes from large datasets. We apply this shower detection algorithm on a dataset that contains 25,885 meteor trajectories and orbits obtained from the NASA All-Sky Fireball Network and the Southern Ontario Meteor Network (SOMN). Using a distance metric based on solar longitude, geocentric velocity, and Sun-centered ecliptic radiant, we find 25 strong cluster detections and 6 weak detections in the data, all of which are good matches to known showers. We include measurement errors in our analysis to quantify the reliability of cluster occurrence and the probability that each meteor belongs to a given cluster. We validate our method through false positive/negative analysis and with a comparison to an established shower detection algorithm. 1. Introduction A meteor shower and its stream is implicitly defined to be a group of meteoroids moving in similar orbits sharing a common parentage. -
7 X 11 Long.P65
Cambridge University Press 978-0-521-85349-1 - Meteor Showers and their Parent Comets Peter Jenniskens Index More information Index a – semimajor axis 58 twin shower 440 A – albedo 111, 586 fragmentation index 444 A1 – radial nongravitational force 15 meteoroid density 444 A2 – transverse, in plane, nongravitational force 15 potential parent bodies 448–453 A3 – transverse, out of plane, nongravitational a-Centaurids 347–348 force 15 1980 outburst 348 A2 – effect 239 a-Circinids (1977) 198 ablation 595 predictions 617 ablation coefficient 595 a-Lyncids (1971) 198 carbonaceous chondrite 521 predictions 617 cometary matter 521 a-Monocerotids 183 ordinary chondrite 521 1925 outburst 183 absolute magnitude 592 1935 outburst 183 accretion 86 1985 outburst 183 hierarchical 86 1995 peak rate 188 activity comets, decrease with distance from Sun 1995 activity profile 188 Halley-type comets 100 activity 186 Jupiter-family comets 100 w 186 activity curve meteor shower 236, 567 dust trail width 188 air density at meteor layer 43 lack of sodium 190 airborne astronomy 161 meteoroid density 190 1899 Leonids 161 orbital period 188 1933 Leonids 162 predictions 617 1946 Draconids 165 upper mass cut-off 188 1972 Draconids 167 a-Pyxidids (1979) 199 1976 Quadrantids 167 predictions 617 1998 Leonids 221–227 a-Scorpiids 511 1999 Leonids 233–236 a-Virginids 503 2000 Leonids 240 particle density 503 2001 Leonids 244 amorphous water ice 22 2002 Leonids 248 Andromedids 153–155, 380–384 airglow 45 1872 storm 380–384 albedo (A) 16, 586 1885 storm 380–384 comet 16 1899 -
Detecting the Yarkovsky Effect Among Near-Earth Asteroids From
Detecting the Yarkovsky effect among near-Earth asteroids from astrometric data Alessio Del Vignaa,b, Laura Faggiolid, Andrea Milania, Federica Spotoc, Davide Farnocchiae, Benoit Carryf aDipartimento di Matematica, Universit`adi Pisa, Largo Bruno Pontecorvo 5, Pisa, Italy bSpace Dynamics Services s.r.l., via Mario Giuntini, Navacchio di Cascina, Pisa, Italy cIMCCE, Observatoire de Paris, PSL Research University, CNRS, Sorbonne Universits, UPMC Univ. Paris 06, Univ. Lille, 77 av. Denfert-Rochereau F-75014 Paris, France dESA SSA-NEO Coordination Centre, Largo Galileo Galilei, 1, 00044 Frascati (RM), Italy eJet Propulsion Laboratory/California Institute of Technology, 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, 91109 CA, USA fUniversit´eCˆote d’Azur, Observatoire de la Cˆote d’Azur, CNRS, Laboratoire Lagrange, Boulevard de l’Observatoire, Nice, France Abstract We present an updated set of near-Earth asteroids with a Yarkovsky-related semi- major axis drift detected from the orbital fit to the astrometry. We find 87 reliable detections after filtering for the signal-to-noise ratio of the Yarkovsky drift esti- mate and making sure the estimate is compatible with the physical properties of the analyzed object. Furthermore, we find a list of 24 marginally significant detec- tions, for which future astrometry could result in a Yarkovsky detection. A further outcome of the filtering procedure is a list of detections that we consider spurious because unrealistic or not explicable with the Yarkovsky effect. Among the smallest asteroids of our sample, we determined four detections of solar radiation pressure, in addition to the Yarkovsky effect. As the data volume increases in the near fu- ture, our goal is to develop methods to generate very long lists of asteroids with reliably detected Yarkovsky effect, with limited amounts of case by case specific adjustments. -
Photometric Survey of 67 Near-Earth Objects S
A&A 615, A127 (2018) Astronomy https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/201732154 & c ESO 2018 Astrophysics Photometric survey of 67 near-Earth objects S. Ieva1, E. Dotto1, E. Mazzotta Epifani1, D. Perna1,2, A. Rossi3, M. A. Barucci2, A. Di Paola1, R. Speziali1, M. Micheli1,4, E. Perozzi5, M. Lazzarin6, and I. Bertini6 1 INAF – Osservatorio Astronomico di Roma, Via Frascati 33, 00078 Monte Porzio Catone, Rome, Italy e-mail: [email protected] 2 LESIA – Observatoire de Paris, PSL Research University, CNRS, Sorbonne Universités, UPMC Univ. Paris 06, Univ. Paris Diderot, Sorbonne Paris Cité, 5 place Jules Janssen, 92195 Meudon, France 3 IFAC – CNR, Via Madonna del Piano 10, 50019 Sesto Fiorentino, Firenze, Italy 4 ESA SSA-NEO Coordination Centre„ Largo Galileo Galilei 1, 00044 Frascati (RM), Italy 5 Agenzia Spaziale Italiana, Via del Politecnico 1, 00100 Rome, Italy 6 Department of Physics and Astronomy “Galileo Galilei”, University of Padova, Vicolo dell’Osservatorio 3, 35122 Padova, Italy Received 23 October 2017 / Accepted 29 March 2018 ABSTRACT Context. The near-Earth object (NEO) population is a window into the original conditions of the protosolar nebula, and has the potential to provide a key pathway for the delivery of water and organics to the early Earth. In addition to delivering the crucial ingredients for life, NEOs can pose a serious hazard to humanity since they can impact the Earth. To properly quantify the impact risk, physical properties of the NEO population need to be studied. Unfortunately, NEOs have a great variation in terms of mitigation- relevant quantities (size, albedo, composition, etc.) and less than 15% of them have been characterized to date. -
Neodys (And Astdys and Priority List) Data Provision
NEODyS (and AstDyS and Priority List) Data Provision Fabrizio Bernardi CEO of SpaceDyS What is NEODyS • NEODyS is a web based service and stands for Near Earth Objects Dynamic Site: h@p://newton.dm.unipi.it/neodys • NEODyS provides informaon on the IMPACT PROBABILITY of Near Earth Objects (NEOs), typically for an horizon of 100 years • The most important output is the Risk Page: h@p://newton.dm.unipi.it/neodys2/index.php?pc=4.0 where a list of NEOs (459 on Nov 17th) with some chances of hing the Earth within the next century is posted for the public • Only JPL@NASA provides a similar service with SENTRY • NEODyS team has a technological leadership in Europe (and world) NEODyS background • NEODyS was born in 1999 at the Dep. of Mathemacs of the University of Pisa (Italy), within the CelesDal Mechanics Group (CMG) lead by Prof. Andrea Milani • The main moDvaon was the absence of a rigorous and systemac method for compuDng on a daily basis the probability that an asteroid is hing the Earth • The 1997XF11 case was a PR disaster, just for the lack of a well established system to perform such computaons NEODyS daily acDviDes • Since 1999 NEODyS is processing astrometric data of Near Earth Objects (NEOs) provided by the Minor Planet Center, the official enDty supported by the Internaonal Astronomical Union (IAU) that manages all the asteroids observaons and the official catalog of asteroids • The data are sent to NEODyS either by email or via web, through the Minor Planet Electronic Circulars (MPECs) • MPECs: – DOU à Daily Orbit Update: new observaons -
Near-Earth Objects
Near-Earth Objects 12/06/96 shows an elongated object about seen here in a NEAR spacecraft image 4.5 kilometers in extent. Veverka et al. (2000), Science, 289, Ostro et al. (1999), Icarus, 137: pp. 122-139. pp. 2088-2097. THE NEAR EARTH OBJECT POPULATION Near-Earth objects are an important area of study because they are relatively primitive bodies left over from the early solar system formation process, they can be utilized as raw materials for building future structures and habitats within the inner solar system, and their rare, but potentially catastrophic, collisions with Earth make them potential hazards. A comprehensive search for near-Earth objects (NEOs) not only ensures that there will be no surprises from Earth threatening objects but there will be new discoveries. During future close Earth approaches, these objects can be studied via ground-based programs including radar "imaging" characterizations and Earth orbital satellite observations (e.g., Hubble Space Telescope). In addition, these NE0 discoveries will provide future mission targets that are among the most accessible in terms of spacecraft energy requirements. Indeed, many near-Earth asteroids present easier rendezvous and landing opportunities than Earth's own Moon. While the vast majority of the rocky asteroids reside between the orbits of Mars and Jupiter and almost all the icy comets are resident in the so-called Kuiper belt and Oort cloud in the outer solar system, a significant number of these bodies reside in the Earth's neighborhood. Near-Earth asteroids and near-Earth comets make up the population of so-called near-Earth objects (NEOs). -
4 IAA Plane Etary Defen Nse C Onfer Rencee
4th IAA Planetary Defense Conference Assessing Impact Risk & Managing Response 13‐17 April 2015 Frascati, Italy PROGRAM 2015 IAA Planetary Defense Conference: PROGRAM Assessing Impact Risk & Managing Response PDC 2015 DAY April 13, 2015 1 0800 REGISTRATION 0900 WELCOMING REMARKS 0915 IAA‐PDC‐15‐00‐01 KEYNOTE: 15.02.2013 Chelyabinsk. Are we ready for O. Atkov a recurrence? 0945 BREAK SESSION 1: INTERNATIONAL PROGRAMS & ACTIVITIES Session Chairs: Detlef Koschny, Lindley Johnson 1000 IAA‐PDC‐15‐01‐01 The Near‐Earth Object Segment Of ESA’s SSA G. Drolshagen Programme 1020 IAA‐PDC‐15‐01‐02 Astronomical Aspects Of Building A System For B. Shustov Detecting And Monitoring Hazardous Space Objects 1040 IAA‐PDC‐15‐01‐03 The Achievements Of The NEOShield Project And The A. Harris (DLR) Promise Of NEOShield‐2 1100 IAA‐PDC‐15‐01‐04 Recent Enhancements To The NEO Observations L. Johnson Program: Implications For Planetary Defense 1120 IAA‐PDC‐15‐01‐05 Asia‐Pacific Asteroid Observation Network M. Yoshikawa 1140 INJECT 1: HYPOTHETICAL THREAT 1200 LUNCH SESSION 2: DISCOVERY, TRACKING, CHARACTERIZATION Session Chairs: Alan Harris (US), Alan Harris (DLR), Line Drube 1315 IAA‐PDC‐15‐02‐01 PAN‐STARRS Search For Near Earth Objects R. Wainscoat 1330 IAA‐PDC‐15‐02‐02 Design Characteristics Of An Optimized Ground S. Larson Based NEO Survey Telescope 1345 IAA‐PDC‐15‐02‐03 ATLAS – Warning For Impending Impact J. Tonry 1400 IAA‐PDC‐15‐02‐04 Sentinel Mission For Planetary Defense H. Reitsema 1415 IAA‐PDC‐15‐02‐05 Building On The NEOWISE Legacy With NEOCAM, The A. -
Yarkovsky Effect Detection and Updated Impact Hazard Assessment
Yarkovsky effect detection and updated impact hazard assessment for Near-Earth Asteroid (410777) 2009 FD Alessio Del Vignaa,b, Javier Roac, Davide Farnocchiac, Marco Michelid,e, Dave Tholeni, Francesca Guerraa, Federica Spotof, Giovanni Battista Valsecchig,h aSpace Dynamics Services s.r.l., via Mario Giuntini, Navacchio di Cascina, Pisa, Italy bDipartimento di Matematica, Universit`adi Pisa, Largo Bruno Pontecorvo 5, Pisa, Italy cJet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, 91109 CA, USA dESA NEO Coordination Centre, Largo Galileo Galilei, 1, 00044 Frascati (RM), Italy eINAF - Osservatorio Astronomico di Roma, Via Frascati, 33, 00040 Monte Porzio Catone (RM), Italy fUniversit´eC^oted'Azur, Observatoire de la C^oted'Azur, CNRS, Laboratoire Lagrange, Boulevard de l'Observatoire, Nice, France gIAPS-INAF, via Fosso del Cavaliere 100, 00133 Roma, Italy hIFAC-CNR, via Madonna del Piano 10, 50019 Sesto Fiorentino, Italy iInstitute for Astronomy, University of Hawaii, 2680 Woodlawn Drive, Honolulu, HI 96822, USA Abstract Near-Earth Asteroid (410777) 2009 FD is a potentially hazardous asteroid with possible (though unlikely) impacts on Earth at the end of the 22nd century. The astrometry collected during the 2019 apparition provides information on the trajectory of (410777) by constraining the Yarkovsky effect, which is the main source of uncertainty for future predictions, and informing the impact hazard assessment. We included the Yarkovsky effect in the force model and estimated its magnitude from the fit to the (410777) optical and radar astrometric data. We performed the (410777) hazard assessment over 200 years by using two independent approaches: the NEODyS group adopted a generalisation of the Line Of Variations method in a 7-dimensional space, whereas the JPL team resorted to the Multilayer Clustered Sampling technique. -
N Why to Start with Emeteornews? N Bright Fireball Reports N Visual
e-Zine for meteor observers meteornews.org Vol. 1 / May 2016 Map of the radiants of the multi-station orbits belonging to the meteor showers from IUA MDC working list. Map is in the ecliptical coordinate system, the center is located at position LON=270°/LAT=0°. Ecliptical longitude of the Sun is subtracted from the ecliptical longitude of the orbits radiant. n Why to start with n Results of the EDMOND eMeteorNews? and SonotaCo databases n Bright fireball reports n Using R to analyze Your n Visual observing meteor data reports n AMOS in Chile 2016 – 1 eMeteorNews Contents Editorial Paul Roggemans .......................................................................................................................................... 1 Why to start with eMeteorNews ? Paul Roggemans .......................................................................................................................................... 2 Obituary: Teodor Pintér (1947-2016) Paul Roggemans .......................................................................................................................................... 4 Visual observing reports Paul Jones, Koen Miskotte .......................................................................................................................... 5 Fireball events March – April 2016 Compiled by Paul Roggemans .................................................................................................................. 13 St. Patrick’s Day fireball over United Kingdom Richard Kacerek ....................................................................................................................................... -
(99942) Apophis
Asteroid (99942) Apophis: new predictions of Earth encounters for this potentially hazardous asteroid David Bancelin, François Colas, William Thuillot, Daniel Hestroffer, Marcelo Assafin To cite this version: David Bancelin, François Colas, William Thuillot, Daniel Hestroffer, Marcelo Assafin. Asteroid (99942) Apophis: new predictions of Earth encounters for this potentially hazardous asteroid. Astron- omy and Astrophysics - A&A, EDP Sciences, 2012, 544, pp.id. A15. 10.1051/0004-6361/201117981. hal-00764893 HAL Id: hal-00764893 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00764893 Submitted on 13 Dec 2012 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. A&A 544, A15 (2012) Astronomy DOI: 10.1051/0004-6361/201117981 & c ESO 2012 Astrophysics Asteroid (99942) Apophis: new predictions of Earth encounters for this potentially hazardous asteroid⋆ D. Bancelin1,F.Colas1, W. Thuillot1, D. Hestroffer1, and M. Assafin2,1,⋆⋆ 1 IMCCE, Observatoire de Paris, UPMC, CNRS UMR8028, 77 Av. Denfert-Rochereau, 75014 Paris, France e-mail: [david.bancelin;thuillot;colas;hestro]@imcce.fr 2 Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Observatorio do Valongo, Ladeira Pedro Antonio 43, CEP 20.080 – 090 Rio De Janeiro RJ, Brazil e-mail: [email protected] Received 30 August 2011 / Accepted 13 June 2012 ABSTRACT Context.