Re-Examination of the Historical Range of the Greater Prairie Chicken Using Provenance Data and DNA Analysis of Museum Collections

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Re-Examination of the Historical Range of the Greater Prairie Chicken Using Provenance Data and DNA Analysis of Museum Collections Conservation Genetics (2006) Ó Springer 2006 DOI 10.1007/s10592-005-9110-9 Re-examination of the historical range of the greater prairie chicken using provenance data and DNA analysis of museum collections Jeremy D. Ross1, Allan D. Arndt2,4, Roger F. C. Smith2, Jeff A. Johnson3 & Juan L. Bouzat1,* 1Department of Biological Sciences, Bowling Green State University, Bowling Green, OH, 43403-0212, USA; 2Department of Zoology, Brandon University, Manitoba, R7A 6A9, Canada; 3Museum of Zoology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109, USA; 4University College of Fraser Valley, Abbotsford, BC, V2S 7M8, Canada (*Corresponding author: Phone: +419-372-9240; Fax: +419-372-2024; E-mail: [email protected]) Received 7 March 2005; accepted 17 December 2005 Key words: Tympanuchus cupido, range expansion, historical DNA analysis, mitochondrial DNA, mismatch distributions Abstract The extent to which a species has declined within its historical range is commonly used as an important criterion in categorizing the conservation status of wild populations. The greater prairie chicken (Tym- panuchus cupido) has been extirpated from much of the area it once inhabited. However, within a large part of this area the species is not considered to be native, warranting no recovery effort or special protection. Demographic analysis based on provenance data from 238 specimens from museum collections in addition to genetic analyses of 100 mtDNA sequences suggest this species was native to the northern prairies, extending from central Minnesota to Alberta, Canada. Provenance data from 1879 to 1935 indicate that T. cupido would have required colonization and establishment of populations on an average 11,905 km2 every year, with an estimated per capita growth rate of 8.9% per year. These rates seem unrealistic given the limited dispersal and high mortality rates reported for this species. A survey of mtDNA sequences from ‘‘original’’ and ‘‘expanded’’ ranges revealed no differences in levels of sequence diversity within ranges (p=0.018; SE=0.004) but significant levels of genetic differentiation (FST=0.034; P=0.013), which suggest that these populations have been relatively isolated for significant evolutionary time periods. DNA mis- match distributions fit a sudden expansion model consistent with a post-Pleistocene expansion of the species, which coincides with the expansion of prairies into the Canadian plains about 9000 years before present. This study demonstrates the value of museum collections as stores of ecological and genetic information fundamental for the conservation of natural populations, and suggests that the current status of the greater prairie chicken should be re-evaluated within all areas where this species may occur, but is now considered non-native. Introduction declined relative to historical levels is commonly used as an important criterion in categorizing the Effective conservation and restoration strategies status of a population as critically endangered, for declining populations require accurate infor- endangered or vulnerable (IUCN 2001). Knowl- mation about the historical distribution of species. edge of a species’ historical distribution may be In addition to actual or projected population size, gained through written accounts of species pres- the extent to which a species’ distribution has ence by early explorers and naturalists (e.g., Douglas 1829; Hind 1860; Coues 1874), long-term Minnesota, North Dakota and the central Cana- studies on the distribution and abundance of dian plains) this species is not considered to be natural populations (Collins 2001), evaluation of native and thus, no recovery effort or special the fossil record (Lieberman 2000), or through protection is warranted within these regions examination of provenance data from museum (Hjertaas et al. 1993). The non-native classifica- specimens (Shaffer et al. 1998). Yet, there are tion of T. cupido in Canada and north-central limitations to each approach. Historical accounts USA is based largely upon what we term the and fossil records may be fragmentary, prove- ‘‘following the plough’’ (FTP) hypothesis. Based nance data from museum collections are restricted mainly on anecdotal evidence from early natural- to areas surveyed by early collectors, and long- ists (Coues 1874; Cooke 1888; Roberts 1932), this term studies provide no information prior to hypothesis suggests that T. cupido expanded its human settlement. prehistoric range in response to habitat alteration Genetic analyses of both contemporary popu- by European settlers. Development of the west lations and museum (i.e., historic) specimens have during the late 1800s through early 1900s is proven useful in evaluating past demographic and thought to have provided favorable conditions for genetic processes. For example, such studies have a rapid range expansion of the greater prairie provided insight into historical human migrations chicken (Coues 1874). Originating from core pop- and trade routes (e.g., Rogers 1995; Arndt et al. ulations on the prairies of mid-western USA, the 2003), microevolution of natural populations species is believed to have colonized the north-central (Lambert et al. 2002; Pergams et al. 2003), post- US states (i.e., Minnesota and North Dakota) and, Pleistocene colonizations (e.g., Lessa et al. 2003; subsequently, the Canadian prairie provinces of Rowe et al. 2004), and the temporal loss of genetic Manitoba, Saskatchewan and Alberta (Figure 1). diversity in threatened species (e.g., Bouzat et al. Under the FTP hypothesis the total area within 1998; Bouzat 2001; Johnson et al. 2004). which T. cupido occurred at some point in the past In this study, we used provenance and genetic may, therefore, be divided into ‘‘original’’ and ‘‘ex- data from museum specimens to re-examine the panded’’ ranges, the latter believed to be inhabited historical range of the greater prairie chicken, only as the direct consequence of human activities, Tympanuchus cupido pinnatus. This species has specifically modern agricultural expansion across the been known to occur in grassland habitat from prairies (Figure 1). eastern Ontario west to central Alberta in Canada, The earliest suggestion that greater prairie and south to the Texas–Louisiana border of the chickens expanded their range following the USA (Johnsgard 1983). However, its current dis- plough can be traced back to Trippe (1871) and tribution is restricted to eleven US states. Abun- Coues (1874), the latter stating that this species dance estimates suggest that only four states had only reached Fort Randall (at the Nebras- contain populations larger than 5000 breeding ka–South Dakota border) by the early 1870’s. birds (Kansas – KS, Nebraska – NE, South Da- However, this claim contradicts John James kota – SD, and Colorado – CO) while populations Audubon’s earlier reports indicating the presence in the other seven states (North Dakota – ND, of T. cupido in the ‘‘Big Bend’’ region of the Minnesota – MN, Wisconsin – WI, Illinois – IL, Missouri River by the 1840’s (Audubon 1960). Missouri – MO, Iowa – IA, and Oklahoma – OK) Other 19th century reports from early naturalists are greatly reduced (Svedarsky et al. 1999a). also suggest that greater prairie chickens inhab- Limited abundance, restricted distribution and ited the Canadian prairies prior to agricultural declining trends of greater prairie chicken popu- development by European settlers. For example, lations in many of the US states have resulted in during August 1827 David Douglas noted greater listing this species as endangered (IL, MO, IA), prairie chickens on Manitoba prairies north of threatened (ND and WI), or of special concern the 49th parallel (Douglas 1829; see Houston (MN) (see Svedarsky et al. 1999a for a complete 2002 for possible revision of locale), William synopsis of T. cupido status in USA). Ross King (1866) indicated that the species was Clearly, the greater prairie chicken has been abundant in the Assiniboine river valley of extirpated from much of the area it once inhabited. Manitoba/Saskatchewan, and Henry Youle Hind However, within a large part of this area (e.g., (1860) reported multiple sightings of greater Figure 1. Historical (in gray) and current (in black) distribution range of the greater prairie chicken, Tympanuchus cupido. ‘‘Original’’ and ‘‘Expanded’’ ranges are defined based on the ‘‘following the plough’’ hypothesis (see text). Current distribution adapted from Svedarsky et al. (1999a). prairie chickens up to 52°N latitude in 1857. All and as such cast doubt on the idea that greater three authors’ descriptions of morphology or prairie chickens expanded their range following mating behaviors seem indicative of T. cupido, the plough. Such early historical accounts (Douglas 1829; edgements) were surveyed for T. cupido specimens. Hind 1860; King 1866), along with the availability We identified specimens collected throughout the of prairie habitat in North Dakota and Canada well putative ‘‘expanded’’ range, including specimens before European settlement, lend support to an from North Dakota and western Canada. In alternative hypothesis; i.e., that the greater prairie addition, we incorporated provenance data from chicken was native to the central plains of Canada, egg sets previously surveyed by Houston (2002). inhabiting tall and mixed-grass prairie ecosystems We also documented the presence of greater prai- long before agricultural development. Even with rie chickens in this area from publications by early conflicting accounts regarding the presence of naturalists
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