Reviews and Perspectives of High Impact Atmospheric
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Employing the WSR-88D for Waterspout Forecasting
Employing the WSR-88D for Waterspout Forecasting Scott M. Spratt LT (jg) Barry K. Choy, NOAA Corps National Weather Service Melbourne, Florida 1. Introduction Waterspouts and weak coastal tornadoes or "landspouts" (hereafter referred to collectively as "spouts") account for much of Florida's severe weather during the "wet season" (Schmocker et al. 1990). The Melbourne NEXRAD Weather Service Office (NWSO) County Warning Area (CWA) includes 160 miles of coastline along the east central Florida peninsula. Within this area, spouts are most frequent from June through September (Fig. 1). In the past, warnings were issued for spouts only after reports of visual sightings were received. This delay was likely due to the seemingly benign atmospheric conditions in which spouts develop, combined with a lack of pronounced severe weather signatures on conventional radars. However, recent research utilizing the NWSO MLB WSR- 88D may now help forecasters warn for spouts prior to receiving visual reports. A preliminary forecast strategy was developed based on post analyses of archived WSR- 88D products and regional upper-air data from reported spout days (Choy and Spratt 1994). This strategy has proved useful by providing additional lead time for spout events. This paper will identify specific atmospheric conditions which have been observed to precede spout generations along the east central Florida coast. A unique WSR-88D Routine Product Set (RPS) list will be shown which can be implemented once these conditions become satisfied. Finally, case studies of two recent events will be illustrated to help familiarize WSR-88D users with the environmental conditions and radar signatures often evident prior to and during spout events. -
CIRA ANNUAL REPORT FY 2014/2015 (Reporting Period July 1, 2014 – March 31, 2015)
CIRA ANNUAL REPORT FY 2014/2015 (Reporting Period July 1, 2014 – March 31, 2015) COOPERATIVE INSTITUTE FOR RESEARCH IN THE ATMOSPHERE DIRECTOR’S MESSAGE The Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA) at Colorado State University (CSU) is one of a number of cooperative institutes (CIs) that support NOAA’s mission. Although this mission continues to evolve, there continue to be strong reasons for partnering between NOAA and the fundamental research being done in the University environment and the students it entrains into NOAA’s mission. Strengthening these ties in satellite remote sensing and regional/global weather and climate prediction, as well as application development, education/training, data assimilation, and data distribution technology make CIRA a valuable asset to NOAA. As the Director of CIRA, I have tried to do everything possible to strengthen CIRA’s ties not only among CSU’s Department of Atmospheric Science, the College of Engineering, and the University, but also the ties among the different groups within CIRA that now covers researchers in Fort Collins and College Park associated with NESDIS, researchers in Boulder working closely with OAR and researchers in Kansas City working with the National Weather Service. With a renewed emphasis on interactions and joint initiatives, we are expanding our collaboration to bring more satellite data to bear upon model evaluations such as we are doing with the High Impact Weather Prediction Project or our new Data Assimilation that are bringing the satellite knowledge gained at the Fort Collins facility to bear on CIRA’s Boulder and College Park groups. With this, we hope to fulfill the promise of being the conduit for developing ground breaking research to address socially-relevant problems that face NOAA and our society today as well as to help train a new workforce that has a broader perspective needed to continue developing decision support tools guided by scientific advances. -
Central Region Technical Attachment 95-08 Examination of an Apparent
CRH SSD APRIL 1995 CENTRAL REGION TECHNICAL ATTACHMENT 95-08 EXAMINATION OF AN APPARENT LANDSPOUT IN THE EASTERN BLACK HILLS OF WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA David L. Hintz1 and Matthew J. Bunkers National Weather Service Office Rapid City, South Dakota 1. Abstract On June 29, 1994, an apparent landspout occurred in the Black Hills of South Dakota. This landspout exhibited most of the features characteristic of traditional landspouts documented in eastern Colorado. The landspout lasted 3 to 8 minutes, had a width of less than 20 m and a path of 1 to 3 km, produced estimated wind speeds of Fl intensity (33 to 50 m s1), and emanated from a towering cumulus (TCU) cloud located along a quasi-stationary convergencq/cyclonic shear zone. No radar echo was observed with this event; however, a supercell thunderstorm was located 80-100 km to the east. National Weather Service meteorologists surveyed the “very localized” damage area and ruled out the possibility of the landspout being related to microburst, gustnado, or dust devil activity, as winds away from the landspout were less than 3 m s1. The landspout apparently “detached” from the parent TCU and damaged a farm which resulted in $1,000 dollars in expenses. 2. Introduction During the late 1980’s and early 1990’s researchers documented a phe nomenon with subtle differences from traditional tornadoes and waterspouts, herein referred to as the landspout (Seargent 1994; Brady and Szoke 1988, 1989; Bluestein 1985). The term “landspout” was actually coined by Bluestein (I985)(in the formal literature) when he observed this type of vortex along an Oklahoma squall line. -
A WSR-88D Approach to Waterspout Forecasting
A WSR-88D Approach to Waterspout Forecasting LT(jg) Barry K. Choy, NOAA Corps and Scott M. Spratt National Weather Service Office Melbourne, FL Abstract The WSR-88D is being installed at National Weather Service (NWS) forecast and warning offices and many military installations across the county. The added capabilities of the WSR-88D over conventional radar provides the forecaster a multitude of products which allow a more complete interrogation of small scale weather features. In Florida, waterspouts and weak tornadoes account for much of the state's severe weather. They have been observed to form under certain synoptic conditions, most often during the summer and fall. Along the east-central Florida coast, waterspouts and weak tornadoes are most frequent in a relatively small area near Cape Canaveral. Observing and identifying small scale boundary interactions and the intensification of convective cells in this region using WSR-88D products from the Melbourne NWS office has proven useful in forecasting these situations. This paper will begin by providing a brief overview of the waterspout formation process. It also offers a forecast strategy developed for the east central Florida coast using specific WSR-88D products to recognize precursor signatures to waterspout and weak tornado formation. Once a high potential for waterspout formation exists, a special statement can be issued to heighten public awareness. An example of such a statement is provided. While the techniques introduced here were designed for the east-central Florida coast, they may be applicable at other coastal offices equipped with the WSR-88D. 1. Introduction The east-central Florida coast is affected by several waterspouts and tornadoes each year. -
The European Forecaster September 2018 (Full Version Pdf)
The European Forecaster Newsletter of the WGCEF N° 23 September 2018 C ontents 3 Introduction Minutes of the 23rd Annual Meeting of the Working Group on Co-operation 4 Between European Forecasters (WGCEF) Sting Jets and other processes leading to high wind gusts: 10 wind-storms “Zeus” and “Joachim” compared 16 Forecasting Freezing Rain in the UK – March 1st and 2nd 2018 24 The Extreme Wildfire, 17-19 July 2017 in Split 30 Changing the Way we Warn for Weather Storm naming: the First Season of Naming by the South-west Group: 33 Spain-Portugal-France 38 Can we forecast the sudden dust storms impacting Israel's southernmost city? 45 The 31st Nordic Meteorological Meeting 46 Representatives of the WGCEF Cover: Ana was the first storm named by the Southwest Group (Spain, Portugal, France) during winter 2017-2018. It affected three countries with great impacts. Printed by Meteo France Editors Stephanie Jameson and Will Lang, Met Office Layout Kirsi Hindstrom- Basic Weather Services Published by Météo-France Crédit Météo-France COM/CGN/PPN - Trappes I ntroduction Dear Readers and Colleagues, It’s a great pleasure to introduce the 23rd edition of our newsletter ‘The European Forecaster’. The publica- tion is only possible due to the great work and generosity of Meteo-France, thus we want to express our warmest gratitude to Mr. Bernard Roulet and his colleagues. We kindly thank all the authors for submitting articles, particularly as they all work in operational forecasting roles and thus have only limited time for writing an article. Many thanks go to Mrs. -
Identifying 2010 Xynthia Storm Signature in GNSS-R-Based Tide Records
Article Identifying 2010 Xynthia Storm Signature in GNSS-R-Based Tide Records Phuong Lan Vu 1,*, Minh Cuong Ha 1,2, Frédéric Frappart 3, José Darrozes 1, Guillaume Ramillien 1, Grégory Dufrechou 1, Pascal Gegout 1, Denis Morichon 4, and Philippe Bonneton 5 1 GET-GRGS, UMR 5563, CNRS/IRD/UPS, Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées, 14 Avenue Edouard Belin, 31400 Toulouse, France; [email protected] (M.C.H.); [email protected] (J.D.); [email protected] (G.R.); [email protected] (G.D.); [email protected] (P.G.) 2 Institute for Development of Advanced Technical and Technology (IDAT), Vietnam Union of Science and Technology Association (VUSTA), Hanoi, Vietnam 3 LEGOS-GRGS, UMR 5566, CNES/CNRS/IRD/UPS, Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées, 14 Avenue Edouard Belin, 31400 Toulouse, France; [email protected] 4 Université de Pau et des Pays de l'Adour, Laboratoire de Sciences Appliquées au Génie Civil et au Génie Côtier JE2519, Allée du parc Montaury, 64600 Anglet, France ; [email protected] 5 Université Bordeaux 1, CNRS, UMR 5805 EPOC, Allée Geoffroy Saint-Hilaire – CS 50023, F-33615 Pessac, France ; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +33-7-8232-1136 Received: 29 January 2019; Accepted: 27 March 2019; Published: 1 April 2019 Abstract: In this study, three months of records (January–March 2010) that were acquired by a geodetic Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) station from the permanent network of RGP (Réseau GNSS Permanent), which was deployed by the French Geographic Institute (IGNF), located in Socoa, in the south of the Bay of Biscay, were used to determine the tide components and identify the signature of storms on the signal to noise ratio (SNR) during winter 2010. -
Chapter 3 Mesoscale Processes and Severe Convective Weather
CHAPTER 3 JOHNSON AND MAPES Chapter 3 Mesoscale Processes and Severe Convective Weather RICHARD H. JOHNSON Department of Atmospheric Science. Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado BRIAN E. MAPES CIRESICDC, University of Colorado, Boulder, Colorado REVIEW PANEL: David B. Parsons (Chair), K. Emanuel, J. M. Fritsch, M. Weisman, D.-L. Zhang 3.1. Introduction tion, mesoscale phenomena occur on horizontal scales between ten and several hundred kilometers. This Severe convective weather events-tornadoes, hail range generally encompasses motions for which both storms, high winds, flash floods-are inherently mesoscale ageostrophic advections and Coriolis effects are im phenomena. While the large-scale flow establishes envi portant (Emanuel 1986). In general, we apply such a ronmental conditions favorable for severe weather, pro definition here; however, strict application is difficult cesses on the mesoscale initiate such storms, affect their since so many mesoscale phenomena are "multiscale." evolution, and influence their environment. A rich variety For example, a -100-km-Iong gust front can be less of mesocale processes are involved in severe weather, than -1 km across. The triggering of a storm by the ranging from environmental preconditioning to storm initi collision of gust fronts can actually occur on a ation to feedback of convection on the environment. In the -lOO-m scale (the microscale). Nevertheless, we will space available, it is not possible to treat all of these treat this overall process (and others similar to it) as processes in detail. Rather, we will introduce s~veral mesoscale since gust fronts are generally regarded as general classifications of mesoscale processes relatmg to mesoscale phenomena. -
Assessing the Impact of Lightning Data Assimilation in the Wrf Model
sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2019/10.29.16.19-TDI ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF LIGHTNING DATA ASSIMILATION IN THE WRF MODEL Vanderlei Rocha de Vargas Junior Doctorate Thesis of the Graduate Course in Space Geophysics/Atmospheric Sciences, guided by Drs. Osmar Pinto Junior, and Dirceu Luis Herdies, approved in October 09, 2019. URL of the original document: <http://urlib.net/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/3UAML3H> INPE São José dos Campos 2019 PUBLISHED BY: Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais - INPE Gabinete do Diretor (GBDIR) Serviço de Informação e Documentação (SESID) CEP 12.227-010 São José dos Campos - SP - Brasil Tel.:(012) 3208-6923/7348 E-mail: [email protected] BOARD OF PUBLISHING AND PRESERVATION OF INPE INTELLECTUAL PRODUCTION - CEPPII (PORTARIA No 176/2018/SEI-INPE): Chairperson: Dra. Marley Cavalcante de Lima Moscati - Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos Climáticos (CGCPT) Members: Dra. Carina Barros Mello - Coordenação de Laboratórios Associados (COCTE) Dr. Alisson Dal Lago - Coordenação-Geral de Ciências Espaciais e Atmosféricas (CGCEA) Dr. Evandro Albiach Branco - Centro de Ciência do Sistema Terrestre (COCST) Dr. Evandro Marconi Rocco - Coordenação-Geral de Engenharia e Tecnologia Espacial (CGETE) Dr. Hermann Johann Heinrich Kux - Coordenação-Geral de Observação da Terra (CGOBT) Dra. Ieda Del Arco Sanches - Conselho de Pós-Graduação - (CPG) Silvia Castro Marcelino - Serviço de Informação e Documentação (SESID) DIGITAL LIBRARY: Dr. Gerald Jean Francis Banon Clayton Martins Pereira - Serviço de Informação e Documentação (SESID) DOCUMENT REVIEW: Simone Angélica Del Ducca Barbedo - Serviço de Informação e Documentação (SESID) André Luis Dias Fernandes - Serviço de Informação e Documentação (SESID) ELECTRONIC EDITING: Ivone Martins - Serviço de Informação e Documentação (SESID) Cauê Silva Fróes - Serviço de Informação e Documentação (SESID) sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2019/10.29.16.19-TDI ASSESSING THE IMPACT OF LIGHTNING DATA ASSIMILATION IN THE WRF MODEL Vanderlei Rocha de Vargas Junior Doctorate Thesis of the Graduate Course in Space Geophysics/Atmospheric Sciences, guided by Drs. -
Weather - Tornadoes
Ducksters Reading- Tornadoes Weather - Tornadoes Tornadoes are one of the most violent and powerful types of weather. They consist of a very fast rotating column of air that usually forms a funnel shape. They can be very dangerous as their high speed winds can break apart buildings, knock down trees, and even toss cars into the air. How do tornadoes form? When we talk about tornadoes, we are usually talking about large tornadoes that occur during thunderstorms. These types of tornadoes form from very tall thunderstorm clouds called cumulonimbus clouds. However, it takes more than just a thunderstorm to cause a tornado. Other conditions must occur for a tornado to form. The typical steps for the formation of a tornado are as follows: 1. A large thunderstorm occurs in a cumulonimbus cloud 2. A change in wind direction and wind speed at high altitudes causes the air to swirl horizontally 3. Rising air from the ground pushes up on the swirling air and tips it over 4. The funnel of swirling air begins to suck up more warm air from the ground 5. The funnel grows longer and stretches toward the ground 6. When the funnel touches the ground it becomes a tornado Characteristics of a Tornado Shape - Tornadoes typically look like a narrow funnel reaching from the clouds down to the ground. Sometimes giant tornadoes can look more like a wedge. Size - Tornadoes can vary widely in size. A typical tornado in the United States is around 500 feet across, but some may be as narrow as just a few feet across or nearly two miles wide. -
Hurricanes and Tropical Storms Location and Extent of All • Severe Thunderstorms Natural Hazards That Can Affect the Jurisdiction
HAZARD I DENTIFICATION The United States and its communities are vulnerable to a wide array of natural hazards that threaten life and property. These hazards include, in no particular order: • Drought 44 CFR Requirement • Extreme Temperatures Part 201.6(c)(2)(i): The risk • Flood assessment shall include a description of the type, • Hurricanes and Tropical Storms location and extent of all • Severe Thunderstorms natural hazards that can affect the jurisdiction. The plan • Tornadoes shall include information on • Wildfire previous occurrences of hazard events and on the • Winter Storms probability of future hazard • Erosion events. • Earthquakes • Sinkholes • Landslides • Dam/Levee Failure Some of these hazards are interrelated (i.e., hurricanes can cause flooding and tornadoes), and some consist of hazardous elements that are not listed separately (i.e., severe thunderstorms can cause lightning; hurricanes can cause coastal erosion). It should also be noted that some hazards, such as severe winter storms, may impact a large area yet cause little damage, while other hazards, such as a tornado, may impact a small area yet cause extensive damage. This section of the Plan provides a general description for each of the hazards listed above along with their hazardous elements, written from a national perspective. Section 4: Page 2 H AZARD I DENTIFICATION N ORTHERN V IRGINIA R EGIONAL H AZARD M ITIGATION P LAN Drought Drought is a natural climatic condition caused by an extended period of limited rainfall beyond that which occurs naturally in a broad geographic area. High temperatures, high winds, and low humidity can worsen drought conditions, and can make areas more susceptible to wildfire. -
High-Impact Weather Prediction Project (HIWPP)
HIWPP Project Plan High-Impact Weather Prediction Project (HIWPP) Project Plan for Public Law 113-2, the FY2013 Disaster Assistance Supplemental Tim Schneider, HIWPP Project Manager OAR ESRL/Global Systems Division Executive Oversight Board John Cortinas, Chair Robert Atlas, Director John Murphy, Director OAR Atlantic Oceanographic and NWS, Office of Science and Technology Meteorological Laboratory V. Ramaswamy, Director John Cortinas, Director OAR Geophysical Fluid Dynamics OAR Office of Weather and Air Quality Laboratory Simon Chang, Superintendent Hendrik Tolman, Acting Director Naval Research Laboratory, Marine NWS Environmental Modeling Center Meteorology Division Robert Webb, Director Kevin Kelleher, Director OAR ESRL/Physical Sciences Division OAR ESRL/Global Systems Division Alexander MacDonald, Director OAR ESRL & OAR Chief Scientist Collaborating Groups: AOML, CICS-P, CIMAS, CIRA, CIRES, ESRL, GFDL, NCAR, NCEP, NRL Project period: 14 February 2014 – 30 September 2016 October 2014 (Ver. 3.0) 1 HIWPP Project Plan Plan Contributors Stan Benjamin* Jin Lee* OAR ESRL/Global Systems Division OAR ESRL/Global Systems Division Jason Chasse S-J Lin* On detail to: OAR Office of Weather OAR Geophysical Fluid Dynamics and Air Quality Laboratory Dave DeWitt Melinda Peng* NWS NCEP/Environmental Modeling Naval Research Lab., Marine Center Meteorology Division Jim Doyle* Bill Skamarock* Naval Research Lab., Marine National Center for Atmospheric Meteorology Division Research Mark Govett* Jebb Stewart* OAR ESRL/Global Systems Division OAR ESRL/Global Systems Division Georg Grell* Steve Weygandt* OAR ESRL/Global Systems Division OAR ESRL/Global Systems Division Tom Hamill* Jeff Whitaker* OAR ESRL/Physical Sciences Division OAR ESRL/Physical Sciences Division Jin Huang* Yuejian Zhu* NWS NCEP/Climate Test Bed NWS NCEP/Environmental Modeling Center Zavisa Janjic* NWS NCEP/Environmental Modeling S. -
Tornadoes and Waterspouts in Catalonia (1950–2009)
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 1875–1883, 2011 www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/1875/2011/ Natural Hazards doi:10.5194/nhess-11-1875-2011 and Earth © Author(s) 2011. CC Attribution 3.0 License. System Sciences Tornadoes and waterspouts in Catalonia (1950–2009) M. Gaya`1, M.-C. Llasat2, and J. Arus´ 3 1Agencia Estatal de Meteorolog´ıa, Delegacio´ Territorial a les Illes Balears, Palma, Spain 2Department of Astronomy and Meteorology, University of Barcelona, Spain 3Agencia Estatal de Meteorolog´ıa, Delegacio´ Territorial a Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain Received: 28 September 2010 – Revised: 8 May 2011 – Accepted: 12 June 2011 – Published: 8 July 2011 Abstract. This paper presents a preliminary climatology of be caused by the interest of its population in unusual phe- tornadoes and waterspouts in Catalonia (NE Iberian Penin- nomena, such as tornadoes. Indeed, this Spanish Mediter- sula). A database spanning 60 yr (1950–2009) has been de- ranean region is frequently affected by heavy rains and flood- veloped on the basis of information collected from various ing, strong winds and sea storms and forest fires (Pinol˜ et al., sources such as weather reports, insurance companies, news- 1998; Camuffo et al., 2000; Llasat, 2009). However, in spite papers and damage surveys. This database has been sub- of tornadoes and waterspouts being less frequent and the area jected to a rigorous validation process, and the climatology affected much smaller, the relative impact in the media (mea- describes its main features: timing, spatial pattern, and trends sured by the number of news items and the ratio between in the tornado and waterspout distribution.