TRUMP LEADS in EARLY 2024 NH GOP NOMINATION RACE but OVERALL REMAINS UNPOPULAR in NH By: Sean P

Home , Josh Hawley, Kristi Noem, Mike Pompeo, Nikki Haley, Tom Cotton, Vermin Supreme

July 21, 2021

TRUMP LEADS IN EARLY 2024 NH GOP NOMINATION RACE BUT OVERALL REMAINS UNPOPULAR IN NH By: Sean P. McKinley, M.A. [email protected] Zachary S. Azem, M.A. 603-862-2226 Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. cola.unh.edu/unh-survey-center DURHAM, NH - Nearly half of likely 2024 Republican primary voters in New Hampshire currently support former President Donald Trump for the 2024 presiden al nomina on and a majority say Trump was one of the best presidents in history. However, Trump's favorability among Granite Staters overall has fallen and most don't want him to run again. Florida Governor Ron DeSan s has the second highest support for 2024.

These ﬁndings are based on the latest Granite State Poll*, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. One thousand seven hundred and ninety-four (1,794) Granite State Panel members completed the survey online between July 15 and July 19, 2021. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2.3 percent. Included in the sample were 770 likely 2024 Republican Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 3.5 percent). Data were weighted by respondent sex, age, educa on, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community Survey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau, as well as party registra on levels provided by the NH Secretary of State and 2020 elec on results in NH. Granite State Panel members are recruited from randomly-selected landline and cell phone numbers across New Hampshire and surveys are sent periodically to panel members.

2024 New Hampshire Republican Presiden al Primary

Since the 2020 elec on, Republicans have been posi oning themselves for the GOP nomina on in 2024. The New Hampshire Primary has historically been one of the most important events in determining who the next nominee will be. When asked an open-ended ques on about whom they will vote for in the 2024 primary, former President Donald Trump is named by nearly half (49%) of likely Republican voters, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSan s (18%), Kentucky Senator Rand Paul (5%), former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley (3%), former Vice President Mike Pence (1%), Massachuse s Governor Charlie Baker (1%), Utah Senator Mi Romney (1%), Ohio Representa ve Jim Jordan (1%), and Wyoming Representa ve Liz Cheney (1%). Fi een percent of likely Republican primary voters could not name a candidate. “While Trump is currently the ﬁrst choice of New Hampshire Republicans, it is important to remember that this is based largely on name recogni on” said Andrew Smith, Director of the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. “Past party nominees are almost always the early front runner in nomina on contests, but as other candidates begin to actually campaign, support for the candidate who lost the last elec on drops.”

Preferred Candidate - Republican 2024 Presiden al Nomina on - Open-Ended - July 2021

Colin Powell Vermin Supreme Jon Huntsman

Joe Biden Liz Cheney Brian Kemp Ben Sasse Admiral William McRaven Geoﬀ Duncan Dan Crenshaw Anyone but Donald Trump Jim JordanJohn Kasich Condoleeza Rice Don't know

Tom Cotton Justin Amash Mitt Romney Adam Kinzinger Mike Pence Chris Sununu Marco Rubio Kamala Harris Rand Paul Tim Scott Donald Trump Ted Cruz Ron Paul Charlie Baker Josh Hawley Kristi Noem Ted Nugent John McCain Nikki Haley Amy Klobuchar Mike Pompeo Depends Ron DeSantis

* We ask that this copyrighted informa on be referred to as the Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. When provided a list of Republicans who are thought to be considering running for the 2024 Republican nomina on, 47% of likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters say they will vote for Trump, 19% support DeSan s, 6% support Haley, 5% support Pence, 2% support South Dakota Governor Kris Noem, 2% support Texas Senator Ted Cruz, and less than 1% each support Missouri Senator Josh Hawley, Arkansas Senator Tom Co on, or Former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. Another 9% support another candidate while 10% are unsure.

Preferred Candidate - Republican 2024 Presiden al Nomina on - July 2021

Donald Trump 47%

Ron DeSantis 19%

Nikki Haley 6%

Mike Pence 5%

Kristi Noem 2%

Ted Cruz 2%

Josh Hawley 0%

Tom Cotton 0%

Mike Pompeo 0%

Other 9%

Don't know 10%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

When asked for their second choice, 39% of likely Republican primary voters support DeSan s, 7% support Trump, 6% each support Pence or Cruz, 5% support Noem, 4% each support Pompeo, Co on, or Haley, and less than 1% would support Hawley. Three percent would support another candidate, 2% say they don't have a second choice, and 18% don't know or are unsure.

Among those who say their ﬁrst choice would be Trump, half (50%) say their second choice would be DeSan s, while 11% say their second choice is Pence and 8% say their second choice is Cruz.

Second Choice - Republican 2024 Presiden al Nomina on - July 2021

Ron DeSantis 39%

Donald Trump 7%

Mike Pence 6%

Ted Cruz 6%

Kristi Noem 5%

Mike Pompeo 4%

Tom Cotton 4%

Nikki Haley 4%

Josh Hawley 0%

Other 3%

No second choice 2%

Don't know 18%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% While Trump is popular among many New Hampshire Republicans, only one-third (33%) of all Granite Staters say they want him to run for President in 2024, two-thirds (66%) don't want him to run in 2024, and 2% are unsure. Sixty-nine percent of Republicans want Trump to run again in 2024, a new high, but only 18% of Independents and 1% of Democrats feel this way.

Would Like to See Trump Run for President Again in 2024

100%

80%

69% 69% 70% 66% 66% 60%

40%

31% 33%

25% 28% 27% 20%

5% 3% 3% 3% 0% 2% Jan 2021 Feb 2021 Mar 2021 Apr 2021 May 2021 Jun 2021 Jul 2021

Deﬁnitely or probably Deﬁnitely not or probably not Don't know/Not sure

When asked to compare Trump to previous presidents, 53% say he was one of the worst presidents in history and 3% say he was below average. Only 24% of Granite Staters say that he was one of the best presidents in American history and 15% say he was above average, while 6% say he was average. More than half of Republicans (53%) believe Trump was one of the best presidents in history but a slim majority of Independents (54%) and nearly all Democrats (98%) say he was one of the worst presidents.

Trump Compared to Other Presidents - July 2021

One of the best Presidents 24%

Above average 15%

Average 6%

Below average 3%

One of the worst 53% Presidents

Don't know/Not sure 0%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Trump con nues to be seen unfavorably in New Hampshire. Only 33% have a favorable opinion of Trump, 59% have an unfavorable opinion of him, 8% neutral, and less than 1% are unsure. Trump's net favorability ra ng, the percentage who have a favorable opinion minus the percentage with an unfavorable opinion, is -26, its lowest point since October 2017. Trump is popular among Republicans (+51 net favorability ra ng), but is unpopular among Independents (-42) and very unpopular among Democrats (-99). Among likely Republican primary voters, Trump's net favorability ra ng is +46.

Favorability - Donald Trump (R)

100%

80% 75%

59% 60%

40% 33%

20% 21%

4% 0% 0% 80%% Mar 2016 Nov 2016 Jul 2017 Mar 2018 Nov 2018 Jul 2019 Mar 2020 Nov 2020 Jul 2021

Favorable Unfavorable Neutral Don't know enough about to say Other poten al 2024 Republican presiden al candidates are also largely unpopular in New Hampshire overall. DeSan s (-11 net favorability ra ng), Noem (-14), Haley (-15), and Co on (-17) are somewhat unpopular in the state, while Hawley (-27), Pompeo (-32), Cruz (-38), and Pence (-47) are even less popular.

Among likely Republican primary voters however, DeSan s (+64) is popular, while Co on (+23), Noem (+22), Haley (+21), and Cruz (+18) are somewhat popular. Hawley (+11) and Pompeo (+9) are less popular among Republican primary voters, while they are divided in their opinion on Pence (+0).

Other Possible Candidates Favorability

Ron DeSantis 33% 7% 44% 16%

Ted Cruz 23% 15% 60%

Mike Pence 17% 18% 64%

Nikki Haley 16% 18% 31% 34%

Tom Cotton 16% 12% 32% 40%

Kristi Noem 16% 10% 29% 45%

Mike Pompeo 12% 17% 45% 27%

Josh Hawley 10% 13% 37% 40%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Favorable Unfavorable Neutral Don't know enough about to say Granite State Poll Methodology

These findings are based on the latest Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. One thousand seven hundred and ninety-four (1,794) Granite State Panel members completed the survey online between July 15 and July 19, 2021. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 2.3 percent. Included in the sample were 770 likely 2024 Republican Primary voters (margin of sampling error +/- 3.5 percent). These MSE's have not been adjusted for design effect. The response rate for the July 2021 Granite State Poll is 28%. The design effect for the survey is 2.9%.

Data were weighted by respondent sex, age, educa on, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community Survey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau, as well as party registra on levels provided by the NH Secretary of State and to 2020 elec on results in New Hampshire.

The Granite State Panel is part of an eﬀort by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center to inves gate new ways of gathering and understanding the opinion of New Hampshire residents. Approximately 6,250 New Hampshire adults were recruited from randomly selected landline and cell phone numbers to par cipate in the panel. Panelists are then asked to par cipate in online surveys sponsored by the UNH Survey Center.

The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in cross-tabula on tables as some respondents choose not to answer some ques ons. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to 100%.

For more informa on about the methodology used in the Granite State Panel, contact Dr. Andrew Smith at (603) 862-2226 or by email at [email protected].

July 2021 Granite State Poll Demographics

% N Gender of Men 49% 861 Respondent Women 51% 893 Age of 18 to 34 27% 475 Respondent 35 to 49 21% 376 50 to 64 32% 566 65 and older 21% 369 Level of High school or less 36% 642 Education Tech school/Some college 31% 551 College graduate 21% 370 Postgraduate work 13% 224 Region of Central/Lakes 17% 310 State Connecticut Valley 17% 309 Manchester Area 17% 308 Mass Border 26% 471 North Country 6% 111 Seacoast 16% 280 Party ID Democrat 42% 730 Independent 16% 276 Republican 43% 748 Ideology Liberal 28% 470 Moderate 40% 682 Conservative 32% 548 Voting Registered Democrat 28% 492 Registration Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 42% 736 Registered Republican 29% 513 2020 Voted for Trump 46% 784 Presidential Voted for Biden 53% 911 Vote Voted for other 2020 candidate 2% 27 Preferred Candidate - Republican 2024 Presiden al Nomina on

If the primary for President were held today, who would you support for the Republican nomina on? Don't Tom Ron Nikki Josh Kristi Mike Mike Donald Ted Cruz Other know/ N Cotton DeSantis Haley Hawley Noem Pence Pompeo Trump Not sure July 2021 0% 2% 19% 6% 0% 2% 5% 0% 47% 9% 10% 726

Second Choice - Republican 2024 Presiden al Nomina on

If that candidate were not running, who would you support for the Republican nomina on?

Tom Cotton Ted Cruz Ron DeSantis Nikki Haley Josh Hawley Kristi Noem

July 2021 4% 6% 39% 4% 0% 5%

Don't know/Not Mike Pence Mike Pompeo Donald Trump Other No second choice N sure

July 2021 6% 4% 7% 3% 2% 18% 699

Would Like to See Trump Run for President Again in 2024

Would you like to see Donald Trump run for President again in 2024?

Deﬁnitely Probably Probably not Deﬁnitely not Don't know/Not sure N

January 2021 18% 7% 13% 57% 5% 2,024 February 2021 22% 6% 11% 58% 3% 1,861 March 2021 24% 7% 8% 58% 3% 1,744 April 2021 17% 10% 10% 59% 3% 1,931 July 2021 26% 7% 9% 57% 2% 1,791

Trump Compared to Other Presidents

In your opinion, which of the following best describes President Trump's performance compared to other Presidents? One of the best One of the worst Don't know/Not Above average Average Below average N Presidents Presidents sure July 2021 24% 15% 6% 3% 53% 0% 1,791 Favorability - Donald Trump (R)

Below are a list of na onal public ﬁgures who could poten ally run for President in 2024. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each of them or if you don't know enough about them to say - Former President (President, Businessman) Donald Trump Don't know enough about to Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N say April 2016 21% 4% 75% 0% 553 July 2016 30% 5% 64% 1% 529 October 2016 26% 4% 69% 1% 767 February 2017 42% 6% 49% 2% 503 May 2017 43% 7% 47% 3% 515 October 2017 34% 5% 60% 1% 571 February 2018 34% 5% 59% 2% 517 April 2018 47% 2% 50% 1% 208 August 2018 40% 5% 54% 1% 499 October 2018 42% 7% 50% 1% 637 February 2019 40% 5% 53% 2% 604 April 2019 41% 7% 52% 0% 546 August 2019 40% 5% 52% 2% 493 February 2020 43% 5% 51% 1% 611 May 2020 39% 8% 53% 0% 839 June 2020 36% 5% 58% 1% 994 July 2020 38% 3% 59% 1% 1,876 August 2020 39% 4% 57% 0% 1,876 September 2020 42% 3% 55% 0% 1,019 October 2020 42% 2% 55% 1% 917 November 2020 39% 6% 55% 0% 1,899 December 2020 39% 8% 53% 0% 775 January 2021 32% 12% 55% 0% 2,017 February 2021 36% 8% 56% 0% 1,856 March 2021 37% 8% 55% 0% 1,744 April 2021 33% 11% 56% 0% 1,936 May 2021 35% 9% 55% 0% 1,820 June 2021 32% 14% 55% 0% 1,601 July 2021 33% 8% 59% 0% 1,791

Favorability - Mike Pence (R)

Don't know enough about to Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N say

July 2021 33% 7% 44% 16% 1,791

Favorability - Nikki Haley (R)

Don't know enough about to Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N say

July 2021 16% 18% 31% 34% 1,788

Favorability - Josh Hawley (R)

Don't know enough about to Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N say

July 2021 10% 13% 37% 40% 1,779

Favorability - Kris Noem (R)

Don't know enough about to Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N say

July 2021 16% 10% 29% 45% 1,777 Favorability - Ted Cruz (R)

Don't know enough about to Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N say

April 2016 21% 5% 72% 2% 552 July 2021 23% 15% 60% 2% 1,791

Favorability - Mike Pompeo (R)

Don't know enough about to Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N say

July 2021 12% 17% 45% 27% 1,792

Favorability - Tom Co on (R)

Don't know enough about to Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N say

July 2021 16% 12% 32% 40% 1,783 Preferred Candidate - Republican 2024 Presiden al Nomina on

Tom Cotton Ted Cruz Ron DeSantis Nikki Haley Josh Hawley Kristi Noem

STATEWIDE July 2021 0% 2% 19% 6% 0% 2%

Voting Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 1% 1% 25% 9% 1% 6% Registration Registered Republican 0% 2% 15% 4% 0% 0% Party ID Democrat 16% 7% Independent 14% 3% 3% 1% Republican 0% 2% 20% 6% 0% 2% Ideology Liberal 2% 9% 16% Moderate 0% 1% 21% 11% 0% 1% Conservative 0% 2% 19% 3% 0% 2% Media Usage Boston Globe reader 1% 30% NHPR listener 0% 0% 9% 9% 1% 1% Union Leader reader 7% 16% 3% 0% WMUR viewer 0% 1% 17% 7% 0% 3% Fox News viewer 1% 0% 23% 6% 0% 3% Conservative radio listener 0% 0% 19% 6% 0% 1% Local newspapers reader 0% 14% 17% 0% 0% Age of 18 to 34 10% 11% 10% 3% Respondent 35 to 49 0% 11% 3% 0% 1% 50 to 64 0% 0% 23% 6% 4% 65 and older 1% 2% 27% 4% 0% 1% Gender of Men 1% 3% 18% 9% 1% 3% Respondent Women 19% 1% 0% Level of High school or less 16% 4% 2% Education Tech school/Some college 1% 7% 22% 7% 1% College graduate 0% 25% 7% 2% 1% Postgraduate work 1% 0% 15% 14% 1% 2% Region of Central/Lakes 1% 13% 7% 2% 1% State Connecticut Valley 15% 8% 5% Manchester Area 1% 15% 1% 1% Mass Border 2% 0% 36% 8% 0% 1% North Country 12% 5% 0% Seacoast 10% 17% 2% 1% 2020 Voted for Trump 0% 2% 22% 4% 2% Presidential Voted for Biden 1% 18% 4% 3% Vote Voted for other 2020 candidate 13% 2% 7% 4% Preferred Candidate - Republican 2024 Presiden al Nomina on

Don't know/Not Mike Pence Mike Pompeo Donald Trump Other N sure STATEWIDE July 2021 5% 0% 47% 9% 10% 726

Voting Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 9% 0% 18% 23% 8% 227 Registration Registered Republican 3% 0% 60% 3% 11% 491 Party ID Democrat 4% 62% 11% 11 Independent 0% 6% 51% 23% 85 Republican 6% 0% 53% 3% 8% 618 Ideology Liberal 0% 1% 10% 62% 16 Moderate 7% 0% 16% 26% 16% 203 Conservative 5% 0% 62% 2% 4% 484 Media Usage Boston Globe reader 1% 50% 11% 8% 29 NHPR listener 4% 0% 56% 6% 14% 298 Union Leader reader 14% 0% 28% 12% 20% 82 WMUR viewer 9% 0% 43% 8% 12% 436 Fox News viewer 9% 0% 45% 2% 11% 371 Conservative radio listener 2% 50% 13% 9% 335 Local newspapers reader 4% 42% 7% 16% 95 Age of 18 to 34 2% 40% 11% 13% 97 Respondent 35 to 49 1% 61% 17% 5% 206 50 to 64 5% 42% 6% 14% 287 65 and older 14% 1% 40% 4% 5% 135 Gender of Men 6% 0% 35% 16% 8% 392 Respondent Women 5% 0% 61% 2% 12% 329 Level of High school or less 7% 55% 11% 5% 375 Education Tech school/Some college 0% 0% 45% 4% 13% 176 College graduate 7% 31% 14% 12% 116 Postgraduate work 4% 1% 32% 8% 22% 60 Region of Central/Lakes 12% 57% 2% 5% 126 State Connecticut Valley 1% 40% 19% 12% 174 Manchester Area 9% 58% 6% 10% 134 Mass Border 4% 27% 15% 7% 141 North Country 5% 65% 1% 11% 49 Seacoast 1% 1% 48% 3% 17% 97 2020 Voted for Trump 6% 0% 53% 7% 4% 624 Presidential Voted for Biden 3% 0% 24% 47% 74 Vote Voted for other 2020 candidate 0% 68% 5% 8 Second Choice - Republican 2024 Presiden al Nomina on

Ron Tom Cotton Ted Cruz Nikki Haley Josh Hawley Kristi Noem Mike Pence DeSantis STATEWIDE July 2021 4% 6% 39% 4% 0% 5% 6%

Voting Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 6% 8% 33% 6% 8% 4% Registration Registered Republican 3% 5% 42% 3% 1% 3% 8% Party ID Democrat 11% 6% 1% Independent 1% 4% 2% 0% 17% 1% Republican 5% 6% 44% 4% 0% 4% 6% Ideology Liberal 3% 1% 1% Moderate 7% 1% 42% 5% 1% 7% 4% Conservative 3% 8% 38% 4% 0% 5% 6% Media Usage Boston Globe reader 78% 1% 3% 1% NHPR listener 3% 5% 39% 5% 0% 3% 3% Union Leader reader 1% 1% 56% 2% 6% 4% WMUR viewer 2% 6% 40% 6% 0% 6% 9% Fox News viewer 4% 6% 48% 6% 1% 5% 6% Conservative radio listener 3% 9% 49% 4% 1% 4% 2% Local newspapers reader 1% 1% 50% 13% 7% 13% Age of 18 to 34 3% 5% 62% 10% 3% Respondent 35 to 49 3% 1% 25% 5% 1% 6% 7% 50 to 64 7% 10% 35% 5% 1% 4% 8% 65 and older 1% 5% 44% 6% 3% 5% Gender of Men 5% 9% 44% 4% 0% 3% 5% Respondent Women 3% 2% 31% 4% 0% 8% 8% Level of High school or less 4% 6% 43% 2% 1% 7% Education Tech school/Some college 6% 10% 35% 9% 1% 6% 4% College graduate 6% 2% 31% 5% 1% 17% 7% Postgraduate work 1% 3% 31% 6% 14% 5% Region of Central/Lakes 1% 8% 63% 6% 0% 2% 4% State Connecticut Valley 7% 27% 2% 7% 1% Manchester Area 12% 6% 58% 1% 8% 3% Mass Border 10% 6% 21% 7% 1% 9% 3% North Country 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% Seacoast 0% 1% 33% 3% 1% 1% 29% 2020 Voted for Trump 4% 7% 40% 4% 0% 6% 6% Presidential Voted for Biden 2% 17% 5% 2% 3% Vote Voted for other 2020 candidate 2% 18% 1% Second Choice - Republican 2024 Presiden al Nomina on

No second Don't know/Not Mike Pompeo Donald Trump Other N choice sure STATEWIDE July 2021 4% 7% 3% 2% 18% 699

Voting Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 1% 8% 7% 3% 16% 250 Registration Registered Republican 6% 7% 1% 1% 20% 441 Party ID Democrat 26% 24% 31% 10 Independent 0% 1% 19% 9% 46% 68 Republican 5% 8% 1% 1% 15% 610 Ideology Liberal 56% 13% 26% 6 Moderate 1% 2% 7% 5% 18% 212 Conservative 6% 10% 1% 0% 19% 468 Media Usage Boston Globe reader 9% 2% 6% 26 NHPR listener 1% 2% 6% 2% 30% 256 Union Leader reader 3% 3% 17% 1% 6% 66 WMUR viewer 2% 11% 5% 3% 11% 388 Fox News viewer 7% 12% 2% 0% 3% 332 Conservative radio listener 4% 9% 2% 0% 13% 305 Local newspapers reader 4% 1% 6% 2% 2% 79 Age of 18 to 34 1% 1% 8% 0% 7% 125 Respondent 35 to 49 0% 4% 3% 2% 43% 196 50 to 64 0% 14% 2% 2% 11% 247 65 and older 21% 5% 2% 3% 4% 131 Gender of Men 3% 5% 5% 2% 13% 403 Respondent Women 6% 10% 1% 1% 25% 290 Level of High school or less 6% 7% 1% 24% 396 Education Tech school/Some college 3% 7% 3% 2% 13% 155 College graduate 3% 7% 14% 2% 6% 101 Postgraduate work 2% 11% 11% 8% 9% 47 Region of Central/Lakes 0% 10% 2% 0% 1% 161 State Connecticut Valley 0% 2% 2% 1% 51% 155 Manchester Area 1% 1% 3% 3% 4% 122 Mass Border 15% 11% 7% 2% 6% 132 North Country 20% 6% 4% 3% 53% 44 Seacoast 15% 2% 3% 12% 80 2020 Voted for Trump 5% 8% 1% 0% 19% 638 Presidential Voted for Biden 4% 38% 20% 10% 41 Vote Voted for other 2020 candidate 0% 26% 52% 0% 8 Would Like to See Trump Run for President Again in 2024

Don't know/Not Deﬁnitely Probably Probably not Deﬁnitely not N sure STATEWIDE July 2021 26% 7% 9% 57% 2% 1,791

Voting Registered Democrat 3% 0% 2% 95% 0% 490 Registration Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 17% 9% 16% 56% 1% 735 Registered Republican 60% 11% 6% 20% 3% 513 Party ID Democrat 1% 0% 7% 92% 0% 730 Independent 13% 5% 20% 60% 2% 276 Republican 54% 15% 7% 21% 3% 748 Ideology Liberal 2% 2% 96% 0% 470 Moderate 14% 2% 16% 66% 1% 682 Conservative 60% 20% 7% 10% 3% 548 Media Usage Boston Globe reader 11% 2% 0% 86% 0% 108 NHPR listener 21% 2% 3% 72% 1% 960 Union Leader reader 17% 5% 4% 72% 2% 218 WMUR viewer 21% 7% 5% 65% 2% 1,189 Fox News viewer 40% 21% 8% 27% 3% 544 Conservative radio listener 50% 11% 14% 21% 4% 442 Local newspapers reader 16% 3% 4% 77% 1% 288 Age of 18 to 34 18% 3% 15% 64% 0% 475 Respondent 35 to 49 39% 4% 12% 43% 2% 375 50 to 64 29% 10% 6% 53% 2% 565 65 and older 18% 11% 4% 65% 2% 369 Gender of Men 26% 7% 15% 50% 2% 860 Respondent Women 25% 7% 3% 64% 1% 892 Level of High school or less 42% 9% 14% 34% 1% 642 Education Tech school/Some college 21% 7% 3% 68% 2% 550 College graduate 13% 5% 13% 67% 2% 369 Postgraduate work 9% 6% 3% 78% 2% 224 Region of Central/Lakes 40% 9% 4% 43% 3% 309 State Connecticut Valley 27% 9% 17% 45% 2% 309 Manchester Area 29% 2% 3% 63% 2% 306 Mass Border 14% 10% 16% 60% 1% 470 North Country 37% 3% 2% 56% 2% 111 Seacoast 19% 6% 3% 72% 1% 280 2020 Voted for Trump 55% 16% 13% 12% 3% 784 Presidential Voted for Biden 1% 0% 5% 94% 0% 911 Vote Voted for other 2020 candidate 0% 5% 9% 86% 27 Trump Compared to Other Presidents

One of the One of the Don't Above Below best Average worst know/Not N average average Presidents Presidents sure STATEWIDE July 2021 24% 15% 6% 3% 53% 0% 1,791

Voting Registered Democrat 1% 2% 1% 0% 96% 490 Registration Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 17% 18% 8% 3% 54% 0% 735 Registered Republican 58% 21% 6% 4% 11% 513 Party ID Democrat 0% 0% 1% 1% 98% 730 Independent 9% 22% 10% 5% 54% 276 Republican 53% 28% 8% 4% 8% 0% 748 Ideology Liberal 0% 2% 2% 1% 96% 470 Moderate 14% 16% 6% 3% 61% 0% 682 Conservative 61% 26% 6% 4% 4% 548 Media Usage Boston Globe reader 10% 3% 0% 0% 86% 108 NHPR listener 17% 10% 2% 2% 69% 0% 959 Union Leader reader 13% 8% 11% 3% 65% 218 WMUR viewer 19% 14% 6% 3% 58% 0% 1,189 Fox News viewer 43% 25% 10% 3% 18% 544 Conservative radio listener 44% 34% 6% 1% 14% 0% 442 Local newspapers reader 14% 4% 5% 4% 73% 0% 288 Age of 18 to 34 16% 10% 4% 4% 65% 475 Respondent 35 to 49 28% 24% 6% 3% 39% 375 50 to 64 28% 18% 7% 2% 46% 565 65 and older 24% 9% 5% 2% 60% 0% 368 Gender of Men 20% 23% 9% 4% 44% 0% 860 Respondent Women 28% 7% 2% 1% 61% 0% 892 Level of High school or less 39% 23% 6% 32% 642 Education Tech school/Some college 19% 11% 4% 5% 61% 0% 550 College graduate 14% 11% 8% 3% 63% 368 Postgraduate work 9% 10% 3% 3% 75% 0% 224 Region of Central/Lakes 33% 22% 1% 2% 42% 309 State Connecticut Valley 28% 32% 5% 2% 33% 0% 309 Manchester Area 24% 7% 11% 4% 53% 306 Mass Border 18% 8% 7% 1% 66% 470 North Country 32% 12% 1% 11% 44% 111 Seacoast 16% 10% 5% 1% 67% 0% 280 2020 Voted for Trump 54% 31% 10% 3% 2% 0% 784 Presidential Voted for Biden 0% 0% 1% 1% 98% 911 Vote Voted for other 2020 candidate 4% 3% 14% 14% 64% 27 Favorability - Donald Trump (R)

Don't know enough Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N about to say

STATEWIDE July 2021 33% 8% 59% 0% 1,791

Voting Registered Democrat 2% 1% 96% 0% 490 Registration Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 25% 13% 62% 0% 735 Registered Republican 75% 6% 18% 0% 512 Party ID Democrat 0% 0% 99% 0% 730 Independent 18% 22% 60% 0% 276 Republican 70% 10% 20% 0% 747 Ideology Liberal 2% 1% 97% 0% 470 Moderate 16% 11% 73% 0% 681 Conservative 82% 10% 8% 0% 548 Media Usage Boston Globe reader 13% 0% 87% 108 NHPR listener 23% 3% 74% 0% 958 Union Leader reader 18% 7% 76% 218 WMUR viewer 27% 7% 66% 0% 1,188 Fox News viewer 60% 11% 29% 0% 543 Conservative radio listener 62% 17% 21% 0% 441 Local newspapers reader 18% 4% 78% 0% 288 Age of 18 to 34 23% 4% 72% 475 Respondent 35 to 49 44% 13% 43% 0% 374 50 to 64 36% 9% 55% 0% 566 65 and older 29% 5% 65% 0% 368 Gender of Men 32% 13% 55% 0% 860 Respondent Women 33% 3% 64% 0% 892 Level of High school or less 50% 9% 41% 642 Education Tech school/Some college 27% 8% 65% 0% 551 College graduate 23% 7% 70% 0% 368 Postgraduate work 16% 5% 79% 0% 224 Region of Central/Lakes 50% 6% 44% 0% 310 State Connecticut Valley 33% 22% 46% 309 Manchester Area 32% 3% 64% 308 Mass Border 23% 6% 70% 0% 470 North Country 42% 2% 55% 110 Seacoast 26% 4% 70% 0% 279 2020 Voted for Trump 73% 16% 10% 0% 783 Presidential Voted for Biden 0% 0% 100% 0% 911 Vote Voted for other 2020 candidate 5% 11% 84% 27 Favorability - Mike Pence (R)

Don't know enough Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N about to say

STATEWIDE July 2021 17% 18% 64% 0% 1,792

Voting Registered Democrat 2% 3% 95% 0% 491 Registration Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 11% 22% 66% 0% 735 Registered Republican 41% 29% 30% 0% 512 Party ID Democrat 0% 4% 95% 0% 730 Independent 6% 28% 66% 0% 276 Republican 39% 28% 33% 0% 746 Ideology Liberal 2% 1% 97% 0% 470 Moderate 7% 22% 71% 0% 681 Conservative 44% 28% 28% 0% 548 Media Usage Boston Globe reader 13% 6% 81% 0% 108 NHPR listener 14% 14% 72% 0% 958 Union Leader reader 12% 15% 72% 1% 217 WMUR viewer 16% 21% 63% 0% 1,188 Fox News viewer 37% 32% 30% 0% 543 Conservative radio listener 29% 35% 35% 0% 441 Local newspapers reader 12% 16% 72% 0% 288 Age of 18 to 34 9% 7% 84% 0% 475 Respondent 35 to 49 22% 24% 54% 375 50 to 64 20% 25% 55% 0% 566 65 and older 19% 18% 62% 1% 368 Gender of Men 15% 24% 61% 0% 860 Respondent Women 19% 14% 66% 0% 892 Level of High school or less 25% 22% 52% 642 Education Tech school/Some college 13% 19% 67% 0% 551 College graduate 15% 12% 72% 1% 369 Postgraduate work 8% 16% 75% 0% 223 Region of Central/Lakes 21% 13% 65% 0% 310 State Connecticut Valley 31% 25% 44% 0% 309 Manchester Area 12% 21% 67% 0% 308 Mass Border 14% 10% 76% 0% 470 North Country 9% 40% 50% 1% 111 Seacoast 11% 21% 68% 0% 279 2020 Voted for Trump 37% 33% 30% 0% 783 Presidential Voted for Biden 2% 5% 93% 0% 911 Vote Voted for other 2020 candidate 8% 16% 76% 0% 27 Favorability - Ron DeSan s (R)

Don't know enough Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N about to say

STATEWIDE July 2021 33% 7% 44% 16% 1,791

Voting Registered Democrat 3% 1% 85% 11% 491 Registration Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 31% 11% 44% 15% 734 Registered Republican 63% 8% 7% 22% 513 Party ID Democrat 0% 1% 82% 17% 729 Independent 25% 20% 49% 7% 275 Republican 69% 9% 5% 17% 747 Ideology Liberal 3% 1% 80% 16% 470 Moderate 27% 10% 52% 11% 680 Conservative 69% 6% 4% 20% 548 Media Usage Boston Globe reader 13% 1% 83% 2% 108 NHPR listener 19% 5% 59% 17% 958 Union Leader reader 26% 4% 53% 17% 218 WMUR viewer 30% 6% 50% 13% 1,187 Fox News viewer 65% 14% 13% 9% 543 Conservative radio listener 72% 13% 10% 6% 441 Local newspapers reader 19% 2% 68% 12% 288 Age of 18 to 34 28% 4% 46% 23% 475 Respondent 35 to 49 31% 11% 37% 21% 375 50 to 64 39% 10% 38% 13% 565 65 and older 34% 4% 57% 5% 368 Gender of Men 43% 9% 36% 12% 860 Respondent Women 23% 5% 52% 19% 891 Level of High school or less 45% 12% 21% 23% 642 Education Tech school/Some college 28% 5% 52% 15% 551 College graduate 31% 4% 57% 9% 369 Postgraduate work 19% 3% 70% 8% 222 Region of Central/Lakes 47% 8% 38% 7% 310 State Connecticut Valley 36% 18% 26% 20% 309 Manchester Area 33% 6% 44% 18% 307 Mass Border 29% 3% 54% 15% 471 North Country 25% 3% 42% 31% 111 Seacoast 27% 3% 55% 15% 279 2020 Voted for Trump 71% 12% 1% 16% 783 Presidential Voted for Biden 0% 3% 82% 15% 910 Vote Voted for other 2020 candidate 15% 7% 74% 4% 27 Favorability - Nikki Haley (R)

Don't know enough Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N about to say

STATEWIDE July 2021 16% 18% 31% 34% 1,788

Voting Registered Democrat 6% 8% 65% 21% 490 Registration Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 14% 22% 27% 38% 733 Registered Republican 31% 24% 7% 38% 511 Party ID Democrat 3% 12% 58% 27% 729 Independent 10% 19% 31% 40% 275 Republican 32% 23% 5% 40% 745 Ideology Liberal 5% 10% 57% 28% 469 Moderate 10% 19% 34% 36% 679 Conservative 35% 24% 7% 34% 547 Media Usage Boston Globe reader 21% 9% 63% 6% 108 NHPR listener 13% 16% 40% 31% 957 Union Leader reader 17% 21% 42% 21% 217 WMUR viewer 18% 22% 35% 25% 1,186 Fox News viewer 39% 31% 11% 19% 541 Conservative radio listener 33% 29% 10% 28% 441 Local newspapers reader 17% 24% 43% 16% 288 Age of 18 to 34 11% 10% 28% 51% 475 Respondent 35 to 49 9% 19% 27% 45% 374 50 to 64 22% 23% 29% 26% 565 65 and older 22% 21% 42% 15% 366 Gender of Men 18% 19% 28% 34% 857 Respondent Women 14% 18% 34% 34% 891 Level of High school or less 17% 17% 15% 51% 642 Education Tech school/Some college 19% 22% 37% 22% 549 College graduate 12% 15% 41% 32% 367 Postgraduate work 13% 18% 49% 19% 223 Region of Central/Lakes 16% 20% 27% 37% 309 State Connecticut Valley 19% 14% 13% 53% 309 Manchester Area 15% 26% 31% 27% 307 Mass Border 19% 14% 36% 31% 470 North Country 5% 21% 44% 30% 109 Seacoast 14% 20% 43% 23% 279 2020 Voted for Trump 32% 23% 6% 39% 781 Presidential Voted for Biden 3% 13% 54% 29% 909 Vote Voted for other 2020 candidate 8% 36% 43% 13% 27 Favorability - Josh Hawley (R)

Don't know enough Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N about to say

STATEWIDE July 2021 10% 13% 37% 40% 1,779

Voting Registered Democrat 1% 1% 75% 23% 489 Registration Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 8% 12% 34% 46% 732 Registered Republican 23% 22% 6% 48% 505 Party ID Democrat 0% 1% 70% 29% 725 Independent 8% 10% 34% 48% 276 Republican 20% 27% 6% 47% 739 Ideology Liberal 1% 1% 68% 30% 467 Moderate 3% 16% 43% 38% 674 Conservative 25% 22% 6% 47% 546 Media Usage Boston Globe reader 10% 0% 78% 12% 108 NHPR listener 7% 8% 49% 35% 957 Union Leader reader 2% 14% 53% 31% 216 WMUR viewer 8% 16% 43% 33% 1,183 Fox News viewer 25% 30% 14% 31% 539 Conservative radio listener 25% 25% 10% 40% 437 Local newspapers reader 11% 6% 58% 25% 287 Age of 18 to 34 7% 6% 39% 47% 469 Respondent 35 to 49 11% 7% 34% 48% 374 50 to 64 9% 23% 32% 36% 564 65 and older 15% 13% 43% 29% 365 Gender of Men 11% 15% 32% 42% 856 Respondent Women 8% 11% 43% 38% 884 Level of High school or less 11% 20% 16% 53% 642 Education Tech school/Some college 11% 12% 46% 31% 547 College graduate 9% 6% 47% 38% 360 Postgraduate work 5% 8% 57% 30% 223 Region of Central/Lakes 14% 10% 33% 43% 309 State Connecticut Valley 9% 16% 22% 53% 309 Manchester Area 3% 18% 40% 38% 305 Mass Border 11% 11% 40% 38% 466 North Country 8% 12% 37% 43% 110 Seacoast 12% 11% 50% 27% 275 2020 Voted for Trump 21% 24% 3% 51% 775 Presidential Voted for Biden 0% 1% 67% 31% 906 Vote Voted for other 2020 candidate 4% 45% 36% 15% 27 Favorability - Kris Noem (R)

Don't know enough Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N about to say

STATEWIDE July 2021 16% 10% 29% 45% 1,777

Voting Registered Democrat 1% 3% 58% 38% 490 Registration Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 13% 12% 27% 48% 734 Registered Republican 32% 12% 7% 49% 498 Party ID Democrat 0% 3% 53% 44% 729 Independent 12% 12% 30% 46% 276 Republican 33% 16% 5% 46% 732 Ideology Liberal 0% 3% 53% 44% 469 Moderate 10% 13% 33% 44% 681 Conservative 38% 12% 6% 45% 534 Media Usage Boston Globe reader 11% 3% 60% 26% 108 NHPR listener 9% 7% 41% 43% 944 Union Leader reader 7% 16% 43% 34% 218 WMUR viewer 17% 12% 34% 37% 1,175 Fox News viewer 37% 22% 11% 31% 529 Conservative radio listener 35% 16% 9% 40% 427 Local newspapers reader 16% 6% 50% 29% 288 Age of 18 to 34 10% 4% 32% 54% 475 Respondent 35 to 49 16% 5% 22% 57% 375 50 to 64 17% 16% 27% 39% 553 65 and older 22% 11% 36% 31% 366 Gender of Men 17% 11% 27% 44% 860 Respondent Women 14% 8% 32% 46% 878 Level of High school or less 17% 13% 14% 57% 629 Education Tech school/Some college 18% 9% 36% 38% 549 College graduate 15% 9% 37% 39% 368 Postgraduate work 11% 6% 44% 39% 223 Region of Central/Lakes 15% 9% 28% 48% 309 State Connecticut Valley 18% 11% 14% 57% 307 Manchester Area 10% 16% 29% 45% 295 Mass Border 19% 6% 36% 39% 470 North Country 19% 7% 34% 40% 111 Seacoast 14% 9% 36% 41% 279 2020 Voted for Trump 33% 17% 4% 46% 769 Presidential Voted for Biden 0% 3% 52% 44% 910 Vote Voted for other 2020 candidate 9% 16% 19% 57% 27 Favorability - Ted Cruz (R)

Don't know enough Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N about to say

STATEWIDE July 2021 23% 15% 60% 2% 1,791

Voting Registered Democrat 1% 3% 96% 0% 490 Registration Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 21% 16% 61% 1% 735 Registered Republican 45% 23% 27% 5% 512 Party ID Democrat 0% 1% 98% 1% 729 Independent 8% 31% 60% 1% 276 Republican 50% 24% 22% 4% 746 Ideology Liberal 0% 3% 96% 1% 470 Moderate 10% 22% 67% 1% 681 Conservative 58% 18% 20% 4% 548 Media Usage Boston Globe reader 13% 0% 86% 0% 108 NHPR listener 11% 8% 77% 3% 958 Union Leader reader 13% 17% 69% 1% 218 WMUR viewer 20% 13% 64% 2% 1,188 Fox News viewer 48% 22% 29% 0% 543 Conservative radio listener 49% 30% 20% 1% 441 Local newspapers reader 12% 7% 80% 1% 288 Age of 18 to 34 19% 11% 69% 0% 475 Respondent 35 to 49 18% 22% 59% 1% 374 50 to 64 27% 16% 53% 4% 566 65 and older 26% 11% 62% 1% 368 Gender of Men 26% 22% 52% 1% 860 Respondent Women 19% 9% 69% 3% 892 Level of High school or less 32% 21% 45% 3% 642 Education Tech school/Some college 22% 12% 65% 2% 551 College graduate 14% 15% 69% 2% 367 Postgraduate work 12% 8% 80% 0% 224 Region of Central/Lakes 42% 16% 42% 0% 309 State Connecticut Valley 14% 28% 57% 1% 309 Manchester Area 22% 19% 58% 1% 308 Mass Border 18% 11% 70% 1% 471 North Country 13% 9% 55% 22% 110 Seacoast 22% 4% 74% 1% 279 2020 Voted for Trump 50% 30% 16% 3% 782 Presidential Voted for Biden 0% 1% 98% 1% 911 Vote Voted for other 2020 candidate 12% 7% 81% 0% 27 Favorability - Mike Pompeo (R)

Don't know enough Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N about to say

STATEWIDE July 2021 12% 17% 45% 27% 1,792

Voting Registered Democrat 0% 6% 79% 14% 491 Registration Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 8% 15% 47% 31% 735 Registered Republican 30% 27% 10% 33% 513 Party ID Democrat 0% 3% 76% 21% 730 Independent 5% 22% 49% 24% 276 Republican 27% 28% 11% 34% 747 Ideology Liberal 0% 4% 74% 22% 470 Moderate 5% 16% 52% 27% 681 Conservative 33% 26% 9% 32% 548 Media Usage Boston Globe reader 11% 3% 83% 3% 108 NHPR listener 9% 11% 59% 21% 959 Union Leader reader 8% 16% 52% 24% 218 WMUR viewer 13% 18% 52% 16% 1,189 Fox News viewer 32% 31% 21% 16% 544 Conservative radio listener 34% 24% 17% 24% 441 Local newspapers reader 13% 11% 65% 11% 288 Age of 18 to 34 3% 17% 42% 38% 475 Respondent 35 to 49 13% 11% 40% 35% 375 50 to 64 13% 22% 42% 22% 566 65 and older 21% 14% 55% 10% 368 Gender of Men 11% 19% 42% 28% 860 Respondent Women 13% 15% 47% 25% 892 Level of High school or less 15% 17% 26% 43% 642 Education Tech school/Some college 13% 18% 50% 19% 551 College graduate 9% 16% 58% 18% 368 Postgraduate work 8% 14% 62% 15% 224 Region of Central/Lakes 15% 13% 39% 33% 309 State Connecticut Valley 7% 24% 31% 38% 309 Manchester Area 11% 19% 45% 24% 308 Mass Border 14% 15% 51% 19% 471 North Country 6% 16% 48% 30% 111 Seacoast 13% 13% 52% 22% 279 2020 Voted for Trump 26% 28% 9% 37% 783 Presidential Voted for Biden 0% 5% 75% 19% 911 Vote Voted for other 2020 candidate 5% 17% 71% 7% 27 Favorability - Tom Co on (R)

Don't know enough Favorable Neutral Unfavorable N about to say

STATEWIDE July 2021 16% 12% 32% 40% 1,783

Voting Registered Democrat 1% 2% 60% 37% 486 Registration Registered Undeclared/Not Reg. 9% 15% 35% 42% 734 Registered Republican 38% 16% 5% 41% 510 Party ID Democrat 0% 2% 60% 37% 724 Independent 7% 10% 38% 45% 276 Republican 35% 22% 3% 40% 744 Ideology Liberal 0% 2% 60% 37% 466 Moderate 9% 12% 39% 40% 678 Conservative 39% 17% 3% 41% 546 Media Usage Boston Globe reader 10% 3% 65% 21% 103 NHPR listener 10% 9% 44% 38% 952 Union Leader reader 13% 7% 44% 36% 216 WMUR viewer 17% 13% 38% 33% 1,179 Fox News viewer 37% 27% 10% 27% 541 Conservative radio listener 39% 18% 8% 34% 439 Local newspapers reader 16% 5% 54% 25% 286 Age of 18 to 34 11% 5% 35% 49% 471 Respondent 35 to 49 12% 7% 26% 54% 374 50 to 64 18% 21% 30% 31% 566 65 and older 22% 11% 38% 29% 364 Gender of Men 17% 15% 33% 35% 857 Respondent Women 15% 8% 32% 45% 886 Level of High school or less 19% 15% 16% 49% 642 Education Tech school/Some college 18% 10% 38% 35% 548 College graduate 10% 9% 41% 40% 362 Postgraduate work 12% 8% 52% 28% 223 Region of Central/Lakes 16% 10% 28% 46% 309 State Connecticut Valley 13% 16% 19% 52% 309 Manchester Area 15% 16% 35% 34% 306 Mass Border 17% 9% 36% 38% 465 North Country 12% 13% 36% 39% 110 Seacoast 19% 7% 43% 31% 278 2020 Voted for Trump 33% 21% 2% 44% 779 Presidential Voted for Biden 0% 4% 59% 37% 905 Vote Voted for other 2020 candidate 8% 14% 66% 11% 27