Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders

West Midlands Rail Executive

A 30-year Rail Investment Strategy 2018-2047

December 2018 West Midlands Rail Executive is a movement for change, driving a revolution in rail services for West Midlanders Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

Contents

Foreword 1

West Midlands Rail Map 2

1. Executive Summary 3

2. Glossary 6

3. Rail for a Dynamic Region 7

3.1 West Midlands Rail Executive - Who we are 8

3.2 Rail – supporting a vibrant, growing region 8

3.3 An evidenced strategy for investment in the West Midlands Rail Network 2018-2047 9

4. How we have developed our Strategy 10

4.1 How we have developed our strategy 11

4.2 Inputs to our strategy 11

4.3 The timeline for our strategy 12

5. Our Key Investment Priorities 13

6. Delivering the Strategy 23

Appendix – Our Corridor Priorities 25 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018 Foreword by Councillor Roger Lawrence

Rail is vital to the West Midlands. West Midlands Rail Executive is pleased to outline our Rail Investment Strategy for delivering better rail services across the whole region over the next 30 years and will support the exciting regeneration and growth plans that exist across all our partner authorities, recognising the role rail can play in connecting people, communities, economies and businesses. In 2018 West Midlands rail services are more frequent, carrying more passengers and taking more journeys off the road than ever before. Trains and stations are busier and rail capacity used intensively. We will need to continuously evolve the network to meet the challenges of growth. Many substantial committed service, train and station improvements will be delivered by the West Midlands rail franchise between now and 2025. In this strategy we set out our ambitions and priorities for developing rail connectivity in the medium and long-term towards 2047, supported by clear economic evidence. We wish to build on the opportunities generated by High Speed 2 and Midlands Connect’s ‘Midlands Rail Hub’, support their full and timely delivery, and strike a mutually beneficial balance between expanding passenger services and rail-freight growth. Our focus in this investment strategy is upon on the rail connectivity required to support the needs of the region, testing the value of a wide range of train service options and choices to help us determine our overall strategic objectives. These options are not fixed, and will evolve as we develop the strategy in more detail, informing the infrastructure and rolling stock projects that will be needed to make them happen. As well as better train services we know that passengers want to see a wide range of improvements when using the network. We are developing our approach to these modern passenger expectations within our Single Network Vision*. We will drive a transformation in reliability, punctuality, ticketing, value-for-money fares, customer care, information, stations and on-train facilities. We will work closely with our partners to better integrate our rail network with buses, trams, cycle and pedestrian facilities. Taken together the Single Network Vision and this Rail Investment Strategy will be formed into a ‘Prospectus for Rail’, which we will publish in 2019, setting out our overall ambitions for the revolution in rail services West Midlanders need. We have consulted our partners and stakeholders on the key elements and direction of this 30 year investment strategy and we very much appreciate the time and effort that consultees put into developing their responses. We are pleased that our approach has received wide and strong support, even though we may not be able to reflect everybody’s priorities within this document. Roger Lawrence Chair - West Midlands Rail Executive December 2018 *http://www.westmidlandsrail.com/media/2851/single-network-vision-final-approved-version-170630.pdf

1 Crewe

Stoke-on-Trent

Staord

Burton-on-Trent Rugeley TV

Rugeley Town Penkridge Cannock Lich eld TV

Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018 Telford Walsall Central Sutton Tamworth Shrewsbury Darlaston Cold eld West Midlands Wolverhampton Tame Bridge Willenhall Parkway

Dudley Port Perry Barr Nuneaton Leicester Rail Map Sandwell & Dudley Snow Hill Smethwick Curzon Street GB New St Stechford Moor St Rowley University Regis Rugby Birmingham Interchange Parkway Cradley International Coventry Hazelwell Moseley Heath Stourbridge Town Tile Stourbridge Jn Rugby Kings Heath Solihull Hill Northampton Kings Norton Dorridge Whitlocks End Kenilworth Crewe Kidderminster Longbridge Warwick Warwick Leamington Bromsgrove Parkway Spa Droitwich Spa Stoke-on-Trent Worcester Foregate St Henley-in-Arden Worcester Worcestershire Shrub Hill Parkway Redditch Great Malvern Stratford-upon-Avon Parkway

Hereford Stratford-upon-Avon

Staord

Burton-on-Trent Rugeley TV

Rugeley Town Penkridge Cannock Lich eld TV Local Passenger Route Telford Route without local passenger service Walsall Central Sutton Tamworth HS2 Shrewsbury Darlaston Cold eld Wolverhampton Tame Bridge Willenhall Parkway Disused former freight route Former freight route being used for Metro Dudley Port Perry Barr Nuneaton Leicester Sandwell & Dudley Snow Hill People mover link Smethwick Curzon Street GB Station New St Stechford Moor St New station under active development and Rowley University Regis Rugby in funding programme Birmingham Interchange Parkway Cradley International Coventry Hazelwell Moseley Principal Freight terminal Heath Stourbridge Town Tile Stourbridge Jn Rugby Kings Heath Solihull Hill Northampton Kings Norton Dorridge Whitlocks End Kenilworth Kidderminster Longbridge Warwick Warwick Leamington Bromsgrove Parkway Spa Droitwich Spa Worcester Foregate St Henley-in-Arden Worcester Worcestershire Shrub Hill Parkway Redditch Great Malvern Stratford-upon-Avon Parkway

Hereford Stratford-upon-Avon

Figure 1 - West Midlands Rail Map 2

Local Passenger Route Route without local passenger service HS2 Disused former freight route Former freight route being used for Metro People mover link Station New station under active development and in funding programme Principal Freight terminal Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

1. Executive Summary

3 Z

DrivingWest a Revolution Midlands in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018 Rail Investment Strategy 2018-2047 1. Executive Summary - December 2018

West Midlands Rail Executive (WMRE) is a partnership of 16 local authorities leading a 1 2 Implement 3 Deliver WMR Support movement for change and driving a revolution in rail services for West Midlanders. 6-4-2 tph Franchise Midlands frequency With a population of 6.47 million, an economy worth £128 billion each year, 3.2 million Quick Wins Rail Hub  2032 jobs and a key UK international airport, the West Midlands is thriving, vital to Britain’s 2018 - 2047 prosperity, and growing. By 2032 there will be 900,000 more people and 450,000 new jobs. Further major growth is anticipated in the 2030s and 2040s. 4 Develop 5 6 7 Delivery of our ambitions for faster, more frequent, better-connecting and higher Consider Integrate capacity rail services will be essential to accommodate and build upon this scale of WMRE High Growth Support radical WMCA growth. By 2032 transformed West Midlands rail services will themselves add £325m HS2 change each year to the economy, rising to £540m by 2047, and a further 6,600 new jobs. Corridors freight up to 2032 2033 - 2047 strategy

Figure 2 - Seven Principal Components Our rail services make a major contribution today • ONE - West Midlands rail franchise and other • FOUR - Our high growth rail corridors: • SEVEN – Supporting rail-freight to the economy, businesses and communities franchises ‘quick wins’: 2018 to 2026 2018 to 2032 development and growth of the West Midlands with, for example, rail Delivery of the ambitions and commitments Developing rail services and connectivity in high- Supporting Transport for West Midlands becoming the leading means of peak travel into of the West Midlands rail franchise, which growth corridors seeing the greatest economic (TfWM) and other WMRE-partner freight Birmingham in 2017. However the region’s rail we co-manage with the Department for and population growth to 2032, including the strategies, maximising shared benefits for network has significant existing challenges, Transport. These include enhanced cross- Wolverhampton-Coventry, Cannock-Walsall- passenger and freight services of capacity is operating close to capacity, and needs Birmingham connectivity, better Sunday Birmingham, Tamworth-Nuneaton-Birmingham, released by High Speed 2. We will seek to transformative investment to be fit for current and and evening services, new Camp Hill, Birmingham South-Worcester-Hereford corridors integrate passenger service aspirations with future purpose. Leamington-Nuneaton and and Walsall- and the Snow Hill Lines. growing freight flows and employment at new Wolverhampton services, new stations, more freight interchanges, and gain shared benefit The new High Speed 2 rail line (HS2) will • FIVE - High Speed 2: 2026/7 and 2033 train and car park capacity, improved reliability from infrastructure investment. unlock capacity and connectivity on the existing Supporting delivery of both phases of High Speed and easier access to stations. network. Midlands Connect’s ‘Midlands Rail Hub’ 2 (HS2) in 2026/7 and 2033. We wish to maximise Our work with our industry partners begins today will enable more frequent services to operate • TWO - High frequency ‘6-4-2’ rail services the benefits generated by capacity released on to scope, develop, cost and fund the schemes we across the Midlands by 2032. Further development matching our growing, vibrant economy the existing rail network by HS2, and access via need to unlock this major value essential to the will be needed as the region’s dynamic growth Setting minimum frequency standards of 6, 4 or Interchange to international connectivity from future prosperity of the West Midlands. continues beyond completion of both of these 2 trains per hour (tph) at West Midlands stations, Birmingham Airport. major schemes. matched to the region’s evolving economy, • SIX - Radical change towards 2047 population and travel markets, with earlier, later West Midlands Rail Executive This Rail Investment Strategy sets out West Starting work now to identify radical and overnight services and 24 hour access to December 2018 Midlands Rail Executive’s ambitious plans to infrastructure change beyond High Speed 2 and Birmingham Airport. These will build on high expand our local rail services and stations in Midlands Rail Hub. We will consider further new frequency services such as those already in partnership with Midlands Connect, Transport rail services and connectivity needed to support place on the Snow Hill and Cross City lines. for West Midlands (TfWM) and the rail industry, ongoing economic growth, the impact of major and to maximise the benefit of High Speed 2 to • THREE - Midlands Rail Hub: 2026 to 2032 development proposals such UK Central Hub, and the region. Making the case now for the Midlands Rail Hub how to relieve strategic rail capacity constraints scheme, offering up to 10 extra train paths every on key routes such as the Wolverhampton- Our Strategy has 7 principal components, driven by hour across Birmingham and the West Midlands. Coventry Corridor. their value to the West Midlands economy. In partnership with Midlands Connect, TfWM and the rail industry we will drive delivery of this new connectivity and capacity between 2026 and 2032.

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West Midlands Rail Investment Strategy 2018-2047: Overview A New Era for West Midlands Rail Travel

New Services New & Better stations Camp Hill Stations to Camp Hill £59m NEW Willenhall Darlaston Leamington Nuneaton Birmingham Snow Hill GVA pa 2025 Franchise to 2025 Walsall Wolverhampton University Perry Barr

Phase 1 + 2a Released Capacity 1 Higher Frequency West Coast Main Line 6 4 2 Working towards standard £274m 2026/7 West East Midlands train frequencies each hour London Birmingham Higher local frequencies 2026 to 2047 GVA pa Crewe

Extra Trains Growth Corridors Coventry - Wolverhampton Up to 10 more Walsall £325m each hour Worcester Hereford 2032 through Birmingham GVA pa Midlands Rail Hub Tamworth Nuneaton

Phase 2B Released Capacity 2 Continuing Expansion Cross City Burton-on-Trent Maximised Network Coventry Leicester £488m 2033 with Midlands Rail Hub South West Birmingham Leeds Passenger & Freight GVA pa Manchester Thames Valley

Coming Next? Radical Change to Population & Jobs Birmingham Underground UK Central Hub Major new capacity £540m Spatial Change New Corridors 2047 30 Year Ambitions Life/work-style change New Metro and Rapid Transit Routes GVA pa

Figure 3 – West Midlands Rail Invesment Strategy 2018-2047

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2. Glossary

• WEST MIDLANDS RAIL EXECUTIVE The partnership of 16 West • WEST MIDLANDS TRAINS LIMITED West Midlands Trains Ltd is a joint Midlands Local Authorities co-managing the West Midlands Railway venture of Abellio (the international passenger transport subsidiary of franchise with the Department for Transport, and planning the strategic the Dutch national railway company), Japan East Railway Company, and future of the West Midlands rail network. Mitsui & Co Ltd that operates the West Midlands rail franchise.

• FULL MEMBER AUTHORITIES Birmingham, Coventry, Dudley, • MIDLANDS CONNECT The Partnership of 23 West and East Midlands Herefordshire, Northamptonshire, Sandwell, Shropshire, Solihull, local authorities, 9 Local Enterprise Partnerships, Department for Staffordshire, Telford and Wrekin, Walsall, Warwickshire, Transport, Highways England, Network Rail, High Speed 2, Birmingham Wolverhampton and Worcestershire. Airport, East Midlands Airport and Chambers of Commerce planning the strategic future of West and East Midlands regional rail connectivity. • AFFILIATE MEMBERS Cheshire East and Stoke-on-Trent. • MIDLANDS RAIL HUB A programme led by Midlands Connect of rail • WEST MIDLANDS FRANCHISE The West Midlands rail franchise covers MIDLANDS upgrades in and around central Birmingham to provide up to 10 additional services across the West Midlands, as well as trains from London Euston trains per hour in and out of the city by 2032 and boost rail links across to Crewe and from Liverpool to Birmingham. The franchise covering RAIL HUB the wider Midlands and to the East Midlands economic centres of Derby, local services within the West Midlands is specified and co-managed by Leicester and Nottingham. the Department for Transport and West Midlands Rail Executive, and is branded as ‘West Midlands Railway’. Regional services between London • DEPARTMENT FOR TRANSPORT (DfT) The Government department Euston, Birmingham, Crewe and Liverpool are branded as ‘London responsible for UK rail network development in England, franchise Northwestern Railway’. The franchise runs from 10th December 2017 procurement and co-management of the West Midlands Railway until March 2026, and is operated by West Midlands Trains Limited. franchise with the West Midlands Rail Executive

• WEST MIDLANDS COMBINED AUTHORITY (WMCA) A local • HIGH SPEED 2 (HS2) government partnership defined in statute consisting of the 7 West Midlands metropolitan district authorities and 10 non-constituent local • Phase 1 London Euston-Interchange and authorities, 3 Local Enterprise Partnerships and a number of observer Curzon Street opening 2026 organisations. WMCA has the statutory powers of both a Passenger Transport Executive and Integrated Transport Authority and as such is • Phase 2A West Midlands-Crewe opening 2027 the Local Transport Authority for the West Midlands metropolitan area. Leadership of the WMCA comes from the Mayor of the West Midlands • Phase 2B Crewe Manchester and West Midlands-Leeds and the leaders of the 7 constituent metropolitan district authorities. opening 2033.

• TRANSPORT FOR WEST MIDLANDS (TfWM) The transport arm of • GROSS VALUE ADDED (GVA) – the value of goods and services produced the West Midlands Combined Authority (WMCA) set up to co-ordinate GVA in an area, industry or sector of an economy. and deliver investment to improve transport infrastructure in the WMCA area and create a fully integrated, safe and secure network. It is also responsible for assessing and planning the WMCA’s future transport needs so the network can meet the demands of businesses and a growing population. As well as a key partner in rail development and delivery in the WMCA’s area, TfWM is also behind plans to expand a metropolitan rapid transit network - including new West Midlands Metro, Sprint (bus rapid transit), and Very Light Rail. TfWM’s broader transport investment in the WMCA area will be critical for rail access and interchange, and providing alternatives to short rail journeys in the future.

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3. Rail for a Dynamic Region

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West Midlands Rail Executive leads a With a population of 6.47 million, an economy 3.1 movement for change – driving a revolution 3.2 worth £128 billion every year, and 3.2 million West in rail services for West Midlanders. Rail – supporting jobs, the West Midlands is vital to the United a vibrant, Kingdom’s economy and prosperity. Midlands Rail As a working partnership of the 16 local growing, Executive authorities co-managing the West Midlands sustainable The region’s economy is set to grow by 14% by 2032, with 900,000 more Who We Are rail franchise with the Department for people and over 450,000 new jobs anticipated in committed Local Plans. Transport, West Midlands Rail Executive is region Population and employment growth is extensively distributed across the determined that the region’s transport network region as a whole, but with a significant focus on the West Coast Main Line corridor between Northamptonshire, Coventry, Birmingham, the Black will gain the major investment it needs. Country and Staffordshire.

After 2030 aspirational development proposals are under consideration by multiple third-party promoters. Examples include UK Central Hub in Solihull and a new West Midlands Freight Interchange in Staffordshire. Taken together these 2 uncommitted schemes would alone add a further 86,000 jobs to the region.

Post-2030 Local Plans are also likely to require substantial additional growth in housing and employment beyond such headline schemes.

Rail is already a major player in moving people around the West Midlands. For the first time in 2017 rail became the largest mode for peak travel into central Birmingham, with over 38% of people using the train in the morning peak. It has potential to play a much greater role in enhancing social inclusion and community development. It is key to logistics and distribution across the UK, with intermodal rail-freight growing by 9% in 2016-17. It is essential in supporting sustainable development and the quality of the West Midlands environment.

This increasing role for the rail network is set within the context of the challenges in managing congestion on the region’s highway network. 50% of road traffic is carried on 7% of the key route network, with an average weekday peak time road traffic speed of only 17.7 mph. By 2030, based on current travel habits, the West Midlands highway network will need to accommodate an additional 1.2million trips every weekday.

However the scale of committed and potential growth in housing and employment volume and distribution, as well as freight growth, will directly challenge the capability of the region’s rail infrastructure given its regional role and location at the heart of the UK rail network.

By 2033 the two phases of High Speed 2 (HS2) will have delivered major new UK-wide rail capacity, and released capacity on the existing West Midlands network. HS2 will further cement the region’s role at the heart of both the UK economy and its transport network. The West Midlands will be a yet greater place to live and work.

The capacity opportunity that HS2 offers is one the West Midlands must take. But as this Rail Investment Strategy illustrates, growth will quickly use this up.

Figure 4 – West Midlands Rail Executive Members

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3.3 This Rail Investment Strategy sets out the Key Facts rationale for ongoing transformation of West AVERAGE ANNUAL An evidenced Midlands rail services and connectivity to meet SALARY IN WMR REGION strategy for 12,250 £ £ the region’s forecast growth over the next 30 £27,134 investment in BUSINESSES EXPORT FROM THE years to 2047. TOTAL VALUE ADDED TO UK ECONOMY the WEST MIDLANDS The strategy evidences how better rail services and connectivity will serve £128 BILLION West Midlands and encourage growth in the region’s economy and sustain its environment MODAL SHARE and communities. Rail Network FOR RAIL £11 2018-2047 In recognising continuously improving rail connectivity as a means to these BILLION 391,000 objectives, the strategy tests the incremental value of a comprehensive range TOTAL VALUE OF NEW HOMES EXPORTS FROM PROPOSED IN THE WMR REGION BETWEEN NOW AND 2033 of more frequent, faster and new train services at a set of key points of change WEST MIDLANDS POPULATION between 2018 and 2047. This is expressed in terms of Gross Value Added (GVA) to HOUSE AN 900,000 the economy and new jobs. 6.47 BIRMINGHAM POTENTIAL FOR MILLION EXTRA PEOPLE It sets out and prioritises West Midlands Rail Executive’s (WMRE) ‘Aspirational Outputs’ for improved train services AM PEAK and for the infrastructure, stations and trains that will be required to make them happen. In turn these outputs have OVER 454,000 IF ALL IDENTIFIED DEVELOPMENT PEOPLE IN EMPLOYMENT ACCESSING RAIL been sense-checked against deliverability, the magnitude of change and likely cost required, political context and 38% NEW JOBS LAND IS TAKEN UP STATIONS IN volumes and concentrations of population and employment growth. THE WMR REGION

WORKING AGE POPULATION IN EMPLOYMENT 200,000 This strategy does not stand alone but forms 1 of 5 components of WMRE’s overarching strategy to transform our PEOPLE region’s rail services which will be published in 2019 as our integrated ‘Prospectus for Rail’ The other 4 are: - 75.42% 3.2 MILLION DAILY • The Single Network Vision - our ambitions for excellence in customer service and experience, and ease of access Figure 5 – The West Midlands – Key Facts for all to rail across all train services and operators in the WMRE area

• The West Midlands Stations Alliance - our innovative partnership with Network Rail and the wider rail industry to transform the quality of existing stations and deliver new ones

• The West Midlands Rail Programme - our active investment programme in stations and services

• Rail Franchising - our partnership with the Department for Transport (DfT) in managing the West Midlands rail franchise and supporting development of other franchises serving the West Midlands

Single Network Vision

West Midlands Rail Investment Strategy

Prospectus for Rail West West Midlands Rail Midlands 2019 Rail Franchising Stations Programme & Partnerships Alliance

Our Rail Investment Strategy takes direct account of key rail industry and stakeholder strategies, and incorporates tests of the economic value of their specific train service commitments and aspirations. These include Transport for West Midlands’ ‘Movement for Growth’ (Local Transport Plan) and freight strategy, other transport authorities’ Local Transport Plans and rail strategies, Network Rail’s Route Studies, Midlands Connect’s ‘Powering the Midlands Engine’ studies and plans, the Strategic Economic Plans of the region’s Local Enterprise Partnerships, and planning authorities’ Local Plans.

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4. How we have developed our strategy

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Railway services are a means to economic growth The tests we have undertaken have specifically 4.1 and environmental and social sustainability rather 4.2 taken account of the strategic and detailed rail How we have than an end in themselves. To enable us to evidence Inputs to our service aspirations of individual and combined and prioritise future investment in the West developed our strategy partner authorities, the rail industry and the Midlands rail network between now and 2047 region’s Local Enterprise Partnerships. strategy we have tested the economic value of a comprehensive range of options for more frequent, • Transport for West Midlands Local Transport Plan ‘Movement for Growth’ and ‘Delivery Plan for faster and new train services which can transform Transport’ (September 2017) connectivity for people and businesses across and to and from the region. TfWM’s statutory Local Transport Plan setting the overarching agenda for all transport modes across the TfWM area, with specific objectives to maximise regional access to High Speed 2 (HS2), Testing economic value of rail connectivity and services develop rail services along high growth corridors, and deliver to a 10 year investment plan. • Transport for West Midlands Congestion Management Plan (September 2018). Our tests measure the impact of enhanced train services upon ‘agglomeration’ between economies, namely the benefits of closer proximity of businesses and labour markets to each other, and presents these as new TfWM’s 10-point plan sets out its plans to introduce wide-ranging, coordinated measures to Gross Value Added (GVA) to the economy as well as new jobs. manage highways congestion.

The GVA and jobs values derived are relative to train services and connectivity as at 2018, or a ‘do-nothing’ • Transport Authority Local Transport Plans scenario. These are tested at 5 key points between 2018 and 2047, reflecting completion of the current West Midlands rail franchise, both phases of High Speed 2 (HS2) and Midlands Rail Hub (MRH). The statutory plans of the other constituent local authorities of the West Midlands Rail Executive, together with individual authorities’ rail and freight strategies and aspirations for train services, rail In representing the specific and particular value of rail connectivity these are additional to the forecast facilities, re-opened routes and new stations. growth in regional GVA and jobs generated by population and employment growth within planning authorities’ Local Plans. • West Midlands Combined Authority (WMCA) ‘Freight Strategy’ (December 2016)

WMCA’s ambitions to establish the West Midlands as a beacon of freight best practice, logistics West Midlands Rail Executive (WMRE) efficiency and reduced environmental impact, including best use of rail capacity released by HS2 Investment Strategy Modelling Process WMRE RAIL-SPECIFIC and rail corridor development for rail-freight growth. INCREMENTAL GVA and Jobs forecasts at • Network Rail Route Studies – West Midlands and Chiltern (August 2017); East Midlands (March 2025  2027  2032  2034  2047 2016); Western (August 2015); Freight Network Study (February 2017)

WMRE Train Service specications Network Rail’s ‘Indicative Train Service Specifications’ (ITSS), which look forward to 2043, together at with ‘choices for funders’. 2025  2027  2032  2034  2047 2018 HS2-1 MRH HS2-2 • Midlands Connect – ‘Powering the Midlands Engine’ (March 2017) and ‘Our Routes to Growth’ Train Service (July 2018) Base

WMRE Midland Connect’s faster regional service aspirations on its 6 ‘Intensive Growth Corridors’. RAIL GVA and JOBS Local Plan growth MODEL • Strategic Economic Plans Population and jobs The plans of the West Midlands Combined Authority and the 6 Local Enterprise Partnerships  2030 Local Plan Population and covering the WMRE area setting out their economic, population and employment growth ambitions. Employment forecasts at 2025  2027  2032  2034  2047 • Planning Authority Local Plans

The common data on committed housing and employment growth and spatial distribution to 2030 GVA and Jobs forecasts as supplied to central government by local planning authorities (within a database known WITHOUT as ‘Tempro’) RAILWAY SERVICE CHANGE Figure 6 - WMRE Investment Strategy Modelling Process

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In determining the timeline for our economic tests 4.3 before and after committed Local Plans running to The timeline for 2030 we have considered the major changes that will take place to rail services via the West Midlands our strategy rail franchise and other current and new franchises, High Speed 2 (HS2) Phase 1 (2026), Phase 2a (2027) and Phase 2b (2033), Midlands Rail Hub and West Midlands Rail Executive’s specific ambitions.

The economic value of new connectivity was thus calculated at 5 key points at which these key service changes are assumed to be complete: -

• 2025 - West Midlands franchise and other franchise commitments and aspirations.

• 2027 - HS2 Phase 1and 2a and re-use of capacity on the existing network.

• 2032 - Midland Rail Hub’s 10 new train paths per hour through Birmingham.

• 2034 - HS2 Phase 2b and further re-use of capacity on the existing network.

• 2047 - All other current West Midlands Rail Executive’s ambitions.

The train service test options are illustrated in summary for 2018 and 2034 at the Appendix and set out in detail against each of these 5 key points in the full Rail Investment Strategy technical report.

A local as well as strategic model

The model used to test the economic value of train services has 2 variants which are integrated and consistent with each other: -

• Local Model – Covering the West Midlands’ 16 authorities and station catchment areas at the highest level of detail – ‘Local Super Output Areas’ – capable of fully assessing the impact both of local service frequency and re-opened routes and new stations.

• Strategic Model – Extending to London, Reading, Plymouth, Cardiff, Cambridge, north-west and north-east England, Glasgow and Edinburgh, valuing strategic connectivity to and from 17 key West Midlands economic centres – capable of assessing the value of HS2 and released national and regional connectivity and capacity on the existing rail network.

This Rail Investment Strategy presents its key recommendations against the level of committed housing, population and employment development across West Midlands Rail’s 16 authorities to 2030. Potential growth after 2030, currently uncommitted, is addressed as a sensitivity test, and discussed in detail in the full Rail Investment Strategy technical report.

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5. Our Key Investment Priorities

Worcestershire Parkway - Under Construction (Opening 2019)

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35.00 Our rail connectivity option tests show 30.00 5. benefits to the economy as a whole over the 25.00 20.00 Our key life of this Rail Investment Strategy, bringing 15.00 investment together values for both local/regional 10.00 5.00 priorities services and High Speed 2, and informing our aspirational outputs for the key corridors 0.00 -5.00 within the West Midlands rail network. -10.00 -15.00 Benefits to the economy Wolverhampton Cannock and B’ham East B’ham South Snow Hill Trent Lich€eld to Coventry Walsall to Bham Tamworth - Worcester and Lines Valley to 2018-2032 Nuneaton Hereford Corridor B’ham Figure 8 – £m GVA p.a. 2032 by Corridor – Local Model Incremental Benefits [Total £86m] West Midlands Rail Executive’s ambitions for high frequency rail services, new connectivity across the region and Midlands Rail Hub, with committed population and employment growth to 2030, can add £151 million Gross Delivery at 2047 of the full package of train service connectivity we have tested, directly accounting for population Value Added (GVA) to the economy each year by 2032. and employment growth to 2030, indicates the highest economic value of local investment in services in priority order as shown below and at Figure 8: This is in addition to the £171 million p.a. of economic benefits provided by High Speed 2 (HS2) Phase 1 (London to the West Midlands) and Phase 2a (West Midlands to Crewe) and the resulting wider strategic availability • ONE - Wolverhampton-Coventry £63.2m GVA p.a. of capacity on the existing rail network, making a combined total rail investment impact of £323 million p.a., • TWO - Cannock-Walsall-Birmingham £28.9m GVA p.a. supporting the creation of 3,700 new jobs. • THREE - Birmingham East-Tamworth-Nuneaton £28.9m GVA p.a. 2033-2047 • FOUR - Birmingham South-Worcester-Hereford £20.9m GVA p.a. Delivery of Midlands Connect’s regional aspirations and full implementation of our ‘6-4-2’ trains per hour • FIVE – Snow Hill Lines £19.0m GVA p.a. aspirations after 2032 would increase the benefit further, to £195 million GVA to the economy each year by 2047. 70.00 Completion of Phase 2 of HS2 (West Midlands to Manchester, Sheffield and Leeds), coupled with use of further rail network capacity released by the new rail line, adds an additional £344 million p.a. and resulting combined 60.00 economic benefits of £540 million p.a. by 2047, supporting the creation of 6,600 new jobs. 50.00

ECONOMIC BENEFITS - WEST MIDLANDS RAIL NETWORK AND HIGH SPEED 2 - 2025-2047 40.00 Gross Value Added (GVA) - £ millions per annum 30.00

2025 2027 2032 2034 2047 20.00

WEST MIDLANDS 59.4 103.4 151.2 144.0 195.8 10.00 HIGH SPEED 2 0.0 170.8 171.8 344.3 344.3 0.00

-10.00 TOTAL 59.4 274.2 323.0 488.2 540.1 Wolverhampton Cannock and B’ham East B’ham South Snow Hill Trent Licheld to Coventry Walsall to Bham Tamworth - Worcester and Lines Valley to Nuneaton Hereford Corridor B’ham Figure 7 - Economic Benefits Figure 9 – £m GVA p.a. 2047 by Corridor – Local Model Incremental Benefits [Total £158m] Aspirational outputs – geographical corridors The reduction in GVA value of the Lichfield-Birmingham Corridor - totalling £4.65m GVA p.a. at 2047 - is relative, reflecting both the existing high service frequency operating today and the significant changes in catchment areas Delivery of new economic value at 2032 via the West Midlands franchise, local network capacity released for its stations that arise from our proposed enhanced and new services and stations on adjacent and parallel by High Speed 2 Phases 1 and 2A, and by Midlands Rail Hub, indicates the highest economic value of local Cannock-Walsall-Birmingham and Birmingham East-Tamworth-Nuneaton corridors. investment in services in priority order as shown below and at Figure 7. Overall the transformative approach of our proposed enhancements to the north, north-east and east of the West • ONE - Wolverhampton-Coventry £29.2m GVA p.a. Midlands conurbation brings significant net benefit in economic value of £53.2m GVA p.a. with demand and value distributed in a balanced way across these 3 corridors together. The improvements on adjacent corridors release • TWO - Cannock-Walsall-Birmingham £20.7m GVA p.a. on-train capacity on the intensively used Lichfield-Birmingham corridor which would otherwise become saturated, • THREE - Birmingham East-Tamworth-Nuneaton £20.6m GVA p.a. and initiatives to enhance service frequencies further and extend the Lichfield service to Burton-on-Trent themselves generate additional incremental GVA. • FOUR - Birmingham South-Worcester-Hereford £11.4m GVA p.a. This similarly but separately impacts routes such as the Birmingham East-Tamworth-Nuneaton Corridor itself where • FIVE – Snow Hill Lines £10.3m GVA p.a. after 2033, HS2 Phase 2 significantly changes catchment areas for stations for strategic travel.

14 Aspirational outputs – our key messages

1 2 Implement 3 Deliver WMR Support 6-4-2 tph Franchise Midlands frequency Quick Wins Rail Hub  2032 2018 - 2047

4 Develop 5 6 7 Consider WMRE High Integrate Growth Support radical WMCA Corridors HS2 change freight up to 2032 2033 - 2047 strategy

15 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

ONE: Quick wins in the West Midlands rail franchise and other franchises

The West Midlands rail franchise, co-managed by West Midlands Rail Executive and the Department for Transport, offers early and major economic benefits of £59m GVA p.a. by 2025, before HS2 Phases 1 and 2(a). West Midlands Rail Executive will work proactively and enthusiastically with West Midlands Trains and industry stakeholders to deliver the commitments and opportunities of this and other franchises by 2025, including (but not limited to):-

• WCML Cross-Birmingham Services: by linking services on the Stafford, Walsall and Rugeley corridors with those on the Coventry corridor, we will provide a step change in connectivity across the Midlands.

• A new Walsall-Wolverhampton Service: reinstating a service that formerly linked these two major centres of population, with new stations at Willenhall and Darlaston.

• New Services on the Camp Hill Corridor: serving our proposed new stations at Moseley, Kings Heath and Hazelwell.

• A Direct Leamington Spa-Coventry-Nuneaton service: providing new strategic links across Warwickshire.

• Better Chase Line And Shrewsbury Line service frequencies: providing two trains every hour to Rugeley and Shrewsbury in the off-peak on weekdays and Saturdays.

• Regenerating Stations: schemes to upgrade University and Birmingham Snow Hill stations, and enhance Perry Barr station to to support the Commonwealth Games.

• Transforming Sunday Services: providing weekday frequency services on Sundays on most routes.

• More Train Capacity: significant uplift in capacity for passengers and investment in new trains.

• Accessibility: developing innovative Station Travel Plans, improving car park capacity, cycle storage and facilities accessible to all across the region's stations.

WM Rail Franchise – Key Benefits to the West Midlands

New stations and Higher frequencies car park capacity to New direct on both the local and expand accessibility connectivity between regional networks to the railway different corridors

16 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

TWO: ‘6-4-2’ Trains per hour frequency 6-4-2 – Key Benefits to the West Midlands West Midlands Rail Executive has an ambition to develop the concept A level of service of a standard set of train service frequencies across the region that will A consistent, easy-to- A level of service that that allows people use level of service maximise the rail network’s contribution to commuting, business and adds significant GVA to to access jobs in across the the economy our key centres and leisure travel, and both support and encourage sustainable growth and WMRE area development across the West Midlands between now and 2047. growth areas

This builds upon development by the rail industry and West Midlands Rail Executive’s predecessors, of high frequency, regular-interval ‘clock-face’ service patterns on routes such as the Snow Hill and Cross-City Lines. Both Station within West Midlands urban area offer 3, 4 or 6 trains per hour patterns for route sections or groups of stations. Such service levels have contributed to Alsager 6 6-4-2 Concept map Crewe 4 2 with a turn-up-and-go 6 trains per hour rail becoming the biggest mode for peak travel into central Birmingham in 2017, with over 38% of people using (10 minute) frequency 2 Kidsgrove the train. 4 Stoke on Trent Principal station serving major town or In recognising the economic and environmental benefits of rail, and the ease of passenger-use which frequent, 2 Stone 4 park and ride site with at least a 4 trains per hour (15 minute) frequency regular interval train service timetables offer, an overarching purpose of our strategy is to progressively move Stafford 4 towards a minimum standard of 6, 4 or 2 trains per hour service from West Midlands stations, closely matched to the Local station with at least a 2 trains per economy, population, demand, geography and growth. . 2 hour (30 minute) frequency. 2 Rugeley Trent Valley This ‘6-4-2’ concept suggests aspirational minimum daytime train frequencies per hour in 3 broad categories: -: 4 Burton-on-Trent Rugeley Town 2 Lichfield l Penkridge 2 Hednesford 2 a Trent Valley • 6 trains per hour for stations within the West Midlands Urban Area with a turn-up-and-go 10 minute frequency Cannock 4 4

en t r Lichfield City es Landywood 4 C 2 on Shenstone on t 2 ga t d ll h t l Bloxwich

rd North

n g 2 • 4 trains per hour for principal stations serving major towns or park and ride sites with a 15 minute frequency a Blake Street 6 ook o i g s r n a r ke n f l f Bloxwich a 2 6 o sf r o d l b Butlers Lane e Sh i C C Bil b A Well i O T 6 Four Oaks • 2 trains per hour for local stations with a 30 minute frequency 4 4 2 4 2 2 2 2 2 Walsall 6 4 Tamworth Shrewsbury 6 Sutton Coldfield Darlaston 6 Wylde Green Polesworth In addition to this minimum daytime frequency concept, our aspirations include earlier, later, overnight and expanded Wolverhampton 6 6 6 6 6 Chester Road 2 ns Willenhall y 6 weekend services meeting the needs of the region’s evolving economy, geography and population, supporting the Coseley 6 6 Erdington Wilnecote 2 er Atherstone t ho r 6 6 6 2 t Tipton 6 r elle r 6 w Gravelly Hill Nuneaton

e Narborough growing night-time economy of our cities and towns, and providing 24 hour access to Birmingham Airport and the u a Coleshill Pky Leicester 6 a Dudley Port e w J Q T h H Aston 6 2 4 4 2 2 2 4 Sandwell & Dudley 6 international connectivity it provides to the West Midlands. 6 6 Duddeston 6 Water Orton Hinckley South Smethwick Galton Bridge 6 Wigston Birmingham Bermuda Park 2 6 6 6 Stechford We have tested the progressive implementation of this 6-4-2 concept over the 30 years of this strategy Langley Green 6 Smethwick Adderley Park 6 Lea Hall 2 Bedworth between 2018 and 2047. Full delivery of this specification would add up to £195 million of new GVA per annum Rowley Regis 6 Rolfe St 6 Five Ways University 6 Small Heath 6 Marston Green Old Hill 6 to the region’s economy. 6 6 Tyseley Birmingham Int Selly Oak Moseley 6 6 CradleyHeath 6 6 6 Acocks Green 2 Coventry Arena Spring Road 6 2 Hampton-i-A Lye Bournville 6 Olton Coventry Rugby 6 6 Kings Heath 6 Hall Green 6 The 6-4-2 concept represents an aspirational, long-term target for minimum off-peak daytime frequencies from a 6 Solihull 2 4 2 6 4 2 Long Buckby 6 6 Stourbridge Town Yardley Wood 6 ill Stourbridge Jn 6 ell

6 Widney Manor H w station to either central Birmingham or other appropriate major centre. The frequency can be provided by either Kings Norton Shirley nley 6 Hazelwell 6 e 4 Northampton a Hagley 2 Dorridge k s 6 C local, regional or long-distance services. In some instances the frequency is already met or exceeded, while at other Whitlocks End 6 Ti l Be r 2 Kenilworth stations it may never prove possible to generate a business case that can justify the aspirational frequency (for Blakedown 2 6 Northfield Wythall 2 2 Lapworth Earlswood 2 Hatton example if demand is exceptionally low or it can only be delivered with a major infrastructure intervention). Kidderminster 4 6 Longbridge The Lakes 2 Claverdon 2 2 4 4 4 Leamington Spa Where a station is served by a mix of services or routes then the frequency shown on the map represents the Hartlebury Wood End 2 Warwick Warwick 2 2 Barnt Green Danzey Bromsgrove 2 Parkway frequency into Birmingham. Droitwich Spa Henley-in-Arden 2 2 4 4 Alvechurch Bearley 2 Wootton Wawen Worcester Foregate St 2 4 4 4 Wilmcote 2 The map in Figure 10 illustrates what the 6-4-2 concept might mean for individual stations on the network. It is Malvern Link 2 Worcester Worcestershire 4 4 Stratford-upon-Avon Parkway Great Malvern 4 Redditch important to note that this does not represent any form of commitment, but is designed to show the principle of the Shrub Hill Parkway Colwall 2 4 concept. Where stations already exceed the proposed frequency (for example at Barnt Green, Hagley or Coventry) Ledbury 2 Stratford-upon-Avon there is no intention to seek to reduce train services. When planning the actual timetables to support this concept, Hereford 4 many factors will need to be considered, such as the actual capability of the infrastructure, and this could lead to different service frequencies being delivered in practice. Some of these factors are considered in more detail in NOTES the individual route plans. Connectivity to locations other than Birmingham city centre is also important and this Reinstatement of rail services at Barlaston and/or Wedgwood currently under review. map is not able to illustrate these effectively, although we seek to give more details in the individual route plans in If reinstated then would have 2 trains per hour aspirational frequency. the appendix. Figure 10 – Aspirational Daytime Train Frequencies Per Hour

17 WEST MIDLANDS RAIL EXECUTIVE - RAIL INVESTMENT STRATEGY 2018-2047

THREE: Strong support for Midlands Rail Hub

Midlands Connect, working alongside industry partners and Network Rail, is progressing feasibility work for the Midlands Rail Hub which aims to provide capacity for a further 10 trains per hour across central Birmingham, offering real potential for:

• Wholly new local services on the Birmingham East-Tamworth-Nuneaton Corridor, together with enhanced services to Nottingham, Leicester and Burton on Trent.

• Enhanced frequencies on the Snow Hill Lines

• Expansion of Camp Hill services, with enhanced Birmingham-Worcester-Hereford frequencies and new regional services on the Birmingham-Worcester-Bristol corridor

• Improved connectivity to the South West and South Wales

Schemes under consideration to support Midlands Rail Hub include:-

• The Bordesley Chords, facilitating new access to Birmingham Moor Street from the Birmingham South, Worcester and Hereford Corridor and the Camp Hill Lines as well as the Birmingham East Tamworth/Nuneaton Corridor

• Remodelling of the route between Kings Norton and Barnt Green

• Remodelling of the Water Orton section of the Birmingham East Tamworth/Nuneaton Corridor.

• West Midlands Rail Executive is already working with Midlands Connect and Network Rail to determine whether earlier delivery is possible of schemes such as re-instatement of Platform 4 at Birmingham Snow Hill

Whilst Midlands Rail Hub is uncommitted as at December 2018, West Midlands Rail Executive will work closely with Midlands Connect to scope and plan the scheme which offers more than £47m of new GVA p.a. by 2032.

We will continue our engagement with Midlands Connect, TfWM, Network Rail and the Department for Transport in making the case for Midland Rail Hub’s proposed additional train paths across Birmingham and West Midlands, and for their earliest delivery before the 2032 date assumed within this strategy.

Midlands Rail Hub – Key Benefits to the West Midlands

Higher frequencies Further capacity for Scope for new on both the local and travel into our cities, stations to be served regional networks including access to HS2

18 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

Crewe Alsager Kidsgrove Stoke on Trent Barlaston/Wedgwood* FOUR – Our high growth corridor priorities up to 2032 Stone Crewe Alsager Stafford We will develop rail services and connectivity in our corridors seeing Kidsgrove Stoke on Trent Barlaston/Wedgwood*Rugeley Trent Valley the greatest economic and population growth up to 2032, maximising Stone Burton-on-Trent Rugeley Town the benefits to be taken from capacity released from High Speed 2 Penkridge Stafford Hednesford Lichfield l a Cannock Trent Valley Lichfield City and provided via Midlands Rail Hub. en t r Landywood es

C Shenstone on Rugeley Trent Valley t on Bloxwich North ga t d ll h t l rd

n g Blake Street a o i g ook s n a r r ke n Bloxwich f l f Butlers Lane Burton-on-Trent a l b o d e The highest priority relates to the Wolverhampton-Coventry West Coast Main Line corridor, which connects o sf r Well i T A Sh i C C O Rugeley Town Bil b Walsall Four Oaks Penkridge Staffordshire, Stoke-on-Trent and the Black Country with Coventry, Warwickshire and Northamptonshire via Hednesford Lichfield Tamworth Shrewsbury l Sutton Coldfield a Trent Valley DarlastonCannock Wylde Green Birmingham and the Black Country. It forms a vital transport artery through our area and links many of our Wolverhampton Lichfield City Polesworth

en t r Landywood Chester Road

es Willenhall C ns y Shenstone on Coseley t constituent authorities. Even with HS2 being introduced, the corridor will play an increasingly vital role in on Bloxwich North Erdington Wilnecote Atherstone er ga t d ll h t l t ho r rd Tipton n g t r Blake Street a elle r o i g ook s

w Gravelly Hill n a Nuneaton r Narborough Leicester facilitating improved local, regional and long-distance travel. r ke n Bloxwich e Coleshill Pky u a f l f Dudley Port a Butlers Lane e w a

l b Aston o d e o sf r J Q T h H Well i T A Sh i C C O Bil b Sandwell & DudleyWalsall DuddeFostonur Oaks Water Orton Hinckley South Tamworth Smethwick Galton Bridge Sutton Coldfield Wigston Shrewsbury Bermuda Park Given the GVA and wider benefits associated with corridors in our region, looking to both understand and address Wylde Green Darlaston Polesworth Wolverhampton Langley Green Smethwick Stechford the known constraints of the current infrastructure, we will focus our efforts on the following corridors in this Rail Willenhall Chester Road

Rolns fe St y Bedworth CosRoeleywley Regis Birmingham ErdAddingetronleyWilPanrkecote Lea Hall Atherstone er t Investment Strategy:- Tipton ho r Marston Green t University r Small Heath Old Hill elle r w Five Ways Gravelly Hill Nuneaton Narborough Leicester

e Tyseley Coleshill Pky Dudley Port u a Birmingham Int a Selly Oak e w Aston J Q CradleyHeath T h H Acocks Green Coventry Arena Rugby Sandwell & Dudley Moseley Hampton-i-A South DudSdperinstgon Road Water Orton Hinckley Parkway SLmyeethwick Galton BouBridrngveille Olton Coventry Wigston • ONE – Wolverhampton-Coventry Kings Heath Hall Green Solihull Long Buckby Stourbridge Town Bermuda Park ill Yardley Wood Widney Manor ell Rugby Stourbridge Jn H nley Langley Green Smethwick Hazelwell w a • TWO – Cannock-Walsall-Birmingham e Northampton Shirley StechfDoorrrdidge k s Hagley Kings Norton C Rolfe St Whitlocks End Lea Hall BeTi l dworth Rowley Regis Birmingham Adderley Park Lapworth Be r Kenilworth • THREE – Birmingham East-Tamworth-Nuneaton Blakedown Northfield WySmtahlla llHeath Marston Green Old Hill University Five Ways EarlswTyoodseley BirmiHnatgtonham Int • FOUR – Birmingham South-Worcester-Hereford CrKadiddleyermHineastterh Selly Oak Longbridge Acocks Green Coventry Arena Rugby Moseley The Lakes Hampton-i-A Leamington Spa Spring Road Warwick Warwick Parkway HLayertlebury Bournville Barnt Green Wood End Olton Claverdon Coventry • FIVE – Snow Hill Lines Kings Heath Hall Green Solihull Parkway Long Buckby Stourbridge Town Bromsgrove Danzey

Droitwich Spa ill Yardley Wood Widney Manor ell Rugby Stourbridge Jn Alvechurch Henley-in-Arden H nley Hazelwell w a Bearley e Northampton Worcester Foregate St WooShirttleyon Wawen Dorridge k s Hagley Kings Norton C Whitlocks End Ti l These priorities do not exclude development of other corridors in the region. The Lichfield-Birmingham and Malvern Link Wilmcote Lapworth Be r Kenilworth Blakedown Worcester WorcNesotretrshfhiieldre Wythall Great Malvern Redditch Stratford-upon-Avon Parkway Stourbridge-Birmingham corridors, for example, are already effective examples of the benefits of high frequency Colwall Shrub Hill Parkway Earlswood Hatton Kidderminster train services. Our corridor priorities reflect application of our '6-4-2' principles as already successfully applied on Ledbury Longbridge The LakesStratford-upon-Avon Leamington Spa Warwick Warwick Hereford Hartlebury Barnt Green Wood End Claverdon such lines across the wider West Midlands network as a whole. Bromsgrove Danzey Parkway Droitwich Spa Alvechurch Henley-in-Arden Worcester Foregate St Wootton Wawen Bearley They also reflect the social inclusion, community development and sustainability principles intrinsic to the Malvern Link Wilmcote Worcester Worcestershire Great Malvern Redditch Stratford-upon-Avon Parkway region’s Local Plans and Strategic Economic Plans. Our corridors are illustrated in Figure 11 to the right and are Colwall Shrub Hill Parkway detailed priorities are shown in the appendix to this Rail Investment Strategy. Ledbury Stratford-upon-Avon Hereford

Wolverhampton to Coventry Corridor

Birmingham East Tamworth / Nuneaton Corridor

Snow Hill Lines Wolverhampton to Coventry Corridor Birmingham South Worcester and Hereford Corridor

BirminghamCannock East - Walsall Tamworth to Birmingham / Nuneaton Corridor Corridor

SnowLicheld Hill Lines to Birmingham Corridor

BirminghamTrent Valley South Corridor Worcester and Hereford Corridor

*CannockReinstatement - Walsall to of Birmingham rail services Corridorat Barlaston and/or Wedgwood currently under review Licheld to Birmingham Corridor Figure 11 - Rail Investment Strategy Corridors Trent Valley Corridor

* Reinstatement of rail services at Barlaston and/or Wedgwood currently under review 19 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

FIVE: Support for HS2 For the West Midlands there are several such potential opportunities, a number of which have been assessed within the sets of train service specifications developed and tested in this strategy. Illustrative examples include: -

HS2’s 2 phases in 2026/7 and 2033 are radically transformative for • Midlands Rail Hub – some of the 10 extra train paths each hour to be provided across Birmingham

the West Midlands, offering economic benefits of £344m GVA per • Coventry-Wolverhampton Corridor – diversion of the Reading-Newcastle Cross Country service from annum by 2047. HS2 not only provides wholly new capacity for travel the Solihull route to travel via Coventry and Birmingham International, together with higher frequency local services between Coventry and Birmingham, Birmingham International and Birmingham New Street, across across Britain, but facilitates many of the aspirations West Midlands Birmingham New Street, together with Birmingham-Wolverhampton-Shrewsbury/Stafford Rail Executive has for re-use of the released passenger capacity on our • West Coast Main Line (South) – more frequent fast services connecting the West Midlands, particularly existing regional and local rail network up to 2034, as well as partner Birmingham, Solihull/UK Central and Coventry to major growth locations such as Milton Keynes, and to the authorities' ambitions for growth in rail-freight. ‘Oxford-Cambridge Arc’ as this is opened up by delivery of East-West Rail • West Coast Main Line (Trent Valley) – higher frequency regional services to and from London from Trent HS2 Phase 1 to Birmingham is due for completion in 2026 and Phase 2a to Crewe in 2027 and Phase 2b to Valley stations with enhanced interchange at Rugeley, Lichfield, Tamworth and Nuneaton, together with new Manchester and Leeds in 2033, both offering HS2-compatible services beyond these locations. Trent Valley connectivity to Coventry

HS2 will change the way passengers make long-distance journeys across Britain. Many of those travelling today • Snow Hill Lines (South) – opportunities for higher frequency services at local stations between Dorridge between the West Midlands, the north of England and London on the West Coast, Midland and East Coast Main and Leamington Spa via diversion of the Reading-Newcastle Cross Country service Lines will, by 2033, will use HS2. These routes’ services to and from Euston, St. Pancras International and King’s Cross will also change. HS2 will create opportunities for new services providing more regional connectivity between the major towns and cities on these 3 main lines, more local services tailored to the developing needs of To ensure that the region benefits to the HS2 Confirmed Routes growing populations and employment locations, and well as more paths for freight services. maximum extent from HS2 it is important HS2 line (Phase One – Completed 2026) that the stations are fully integrated into HS2 line (Phase 2a – Completed 2027) HS2 line (Phase 2b – Completed 2033) the wider transport network. In central HS2 services on existing network Birmingham in particular it is critical that HS2 – Key Benefits to the West Midlands Phase 2 Strategic Interfaces good interchange exists between Curzon Glasgtow Crew Hub Edinburgh Street, Moor Street and New Street stations Northern Powerhouse Rail (NPR) and West Midlands Rail Executive will be Midlands Connect Carstairs South Yorkshire Parkway actively working with its partners to ensure T O SCA WT S E Released capacity Journey time that a “One Station” project is developed to Destinations served by HS2 £344m GVA allowing us to use make the interchange between these Lockerbie reductions to Based on future indicative train service specification. uplift by 2047 our network more central hub stations as seamless as possible. key centres E N I L N I A M Carlisle Newcastle

effectively Durham

West Midlands Rail Executive strongly Penrith Darlington support timely delivery of HS2. Both EAST COAST phases 1 and 2 are essential to growth Oxenholme M A

I N

and sustainability of our region’s LINE

communities, economy and environment. Lancaster We will prepare now for those further Leeds York Preston ‘quick wins’ that immediately follow Manchester Wigan Piccadilly South Manchester HS2 Phases 1 and 2a. Liverpool Yorkshire Airport Parkway Warrington Sheffield Macclesfield Chesterfield West Midlands Rail Executive will work Crewe Hub Stoke with HS2 Ltd to deliver the best outcomes East Midlands Hub East Midlands for the West Midlands, including Stafford Airport

maximising the number of long-distance Leicester calls at Interchange towards north east Birmingham and north England, and delivering fast Curzon Street Interchange Birmingham journey times between Curzon Street Airport and London Euston.

Old Oak Common

Heathrow London Airport Euston

© HS2 Ltd

20 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

SIX – Radical change towards 2047

The commitments and opportunities offered by the West Midlands rail franchise, other franchises, High Speed 2 (HS2) and the Midlands Hub will offer substantial new capability to grow rail services along with the West Midlands economy as far as 2034. Beyond 2034 the scale of economic and population growth will demand yet more significant growth of rail capacity.

Major population and employment growth at new development locations such as the prospective UK Central Hub in Solihull will further alter the shape of demand for travel in the region. There will be a need for new rail travel opportunities across Birmingham, around and across the region as a whole, in some cases avoiding Birmingham. Demand for travel will become more pressing along corridors such as the potential A46 Expressway between the West Midlands and South-West Midlands, Coventry and Leicester and to Birmingham Interchange and the UK Central Hub.

As well as progressing Midlands Rail Hub we need to start radical planning now for what the West Midlands rail network needs to do and look like after 2034. We need to assess the case for new capacity separately supporting reliable local and longer-distance services. We need to consider how Birmingham New Street, Moor Street and HS2’s Curzon Street Station can operate in the most effective, integrated ways.

We need to investigate challenging and prospectively high-cost options which could include: -

• Infrastructure schemes - major new capacity e.g. 4-tracking of Wolverhampton-Birmingham Birmingham International- Coventry Corridor (noted as choices for funders in Network Rail’s West Midlands and Chiltern Route Study)

• New tunnel options under central Birmingham - allowing local services to bypass capacity hotspots such as Proof House junction, linking in with Birmingham New Street, Moor Street and HS2 Curzon Street stations and enabling higher frequencies across the Metropolitan area

• Development of new rail corridors - e.g. Wolverhampton-Walsall-Lichfield; West Midlands Metro expansion; A46 Expressway South West-Worcestershire-Warwickshire Coventry-Leicester, working with our partners to consider the potential for expansion of both existing and closed rail routes

• Use of technology e.g. Digital Railway - e.g. Digital Railway initiatives and advanced Train Control/signalling Systems; electrification and bi-mode train technology

• Further development of the West Midlands Metro and other Rapid Transit options - particularly where expansion of heavy rail capacity may no longer be possible

Our view that such radical change will be necessary after completion of HS2 and Midlands Rail Hub from 2034 onwards does not preclude development of such concepts before then if we are act with foresight and be flexible and swift in responding to and driving sustainable growth in the West Midlands from today onwards.

Radical Change – Key Benefits to the West Midlands

Supports as yet Essential to Offers full £540m uncommitted but avoid suppressing GVA Uplift by 2047 aspirational growth economic growth 2030-2047

21 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

SEVEN – Supporting rail-freight development and growth

In delivering this Rail Investment Strategy’s passenger service ambitions we will work together with the West Midlands Combined Authority (WMCA) to integrate these with its 2016 Freight Strategy and with strategies of other partner authorities, which seek to maximise the economic benefits of freight to the region whilst minimising its impact on communities and the environment.

Such strategies share aspirations and demonstrate synergies between passenger and freight growth, including: -

• Use of capacity released by HS2 in 2026 and 2033 – to facilitate passenger and rail-freight growth on the existing National Rail network

• High Growth Corridors – priorities to transform passenger and freight capability of the West Coast Main Line, Northampton Loop, Coventry-Wolverhampton, Birmingham-Bescot-Walsall and Birmingham East-Tamworth/ Nuneaton corridors

• West Midlands Strategic Freight Corridor : Stourbridge-Wednesbury-Walsall – re-establishing passenger services, rail or Metro, whilst creating new cross-West Midlands freight capacity.

• Strategic and Intermodal Railfreight Terminals – supporting employment growth, new communities, and investment in rail corridors on which existing Railfreight terminals/facilities are situated, such as Freightliner Birmingham, Hams Hall, Bescot and DIRFT (Daventry International Railfreight Terminal), as well as prospective growth locations such as DIRFT III, the West Midlands Interchange, the Black Country Intermodal Terminal and WMCA’s Bescot Railfreight Gateway concept

• Integrated passenger and freight service timetable planning – detailed planning of both passenger and freight paths essential in practice for all strategic and individual passenger and freight service enhancements.

We will work closely with Network Rail, West Midlands Combined Authority and rail freight partners:-

• In planning development of the National Rail network to meet passenger and freight demand growth, and in carefully balancing and prioritising the requirements of both for the use of its capability and capacity

• In response to major inter-modal and container growth to and from Southampton and Felixstowe which is served by Midlands-based Railfreight-terminals or passes across the West Midlands regional and local rail networks.

• In supporting WMCA’s comprehensive assessment of identifying potential rail freight locations

We will seek to maximise the shared benefits for passenger and freight services of each of these opportunities and, in particular, the ways in which investment in individual corridors or schemes can bring value to both forms of traffic, facilitating enhancements where the case for a ‘passenger-only’ or ‘freight-only’ project may be more difficult to make.

Freight and Passenger Services – Key Benefits to the West Midlands

Best value of shared Shared passenger investment in capacity Freight supporting and freight benefits accommodating employment, new of capacity released passenger and communities and by HS2 freight growth passenger growth

22 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

6. Delivering the strategy

23 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

West Midlands Rail Executive will be determined 5. Cross Boundary matters Our strategy focuses upon the West Midlands, but within the wider context of the East and West Midlands 6. and proactive in driving implementation of this together, our region’s location at the heart of the National Rail network, and national initiatives such as HS2. Delivering 30-year strategy. Our delivery partners include Our economic model extends widely beyond the West Midlands. We will actively engage with partner bodies developing routes outside of our boundaries but relevant to us, such as Hereford-Shrewsbury the strategy local and national government, Midlands (Transport for Wales), Birmingham-Bristol (South-west authorities and LEPs), Birmingham-Thames Valley (England’s Economic Heartland), Hereford-Worcester-Oxford (North Cotswold Line Task Force) and Connect, Transport for West Midlands (TfWM), Transport for the North with which our region has multiple connections. We will work closely with the the rail industry, Local Enterprise Partnerships emerging Sub-National Transport Bodies that are developing in a similar pattern to Midlands Connect – and the private sector. Vital to success will be our (Aspirational Outputs 2,3,4,6 and 7) close engagement with local communities and 6. Evidence We will use the economic evidence developed for this Rail Investment Strategy to support the development passengers themselves. of strong business cases for our prioritised short and medium-term ambitions up to 2032, including Midlands Rail Hub. In looking towards 2047 we will initiate early high-level scoping work on longer term interventions Our ambitions for West Midlands rail services cover a 30-year period seeing major economic and population considered within this strategy, particularly those that may be required following delivery of Midlands Rail change in our region and transformative rail developments such as High Speed 2 (HS2). We are already getting Hub and HS2 Phase 2a at and after 2033 – (Aspirational Outputs 2, 4 and 6). on with delivering many of our aspirations for services before HS2, and maximising the advantage the region has in co-managing the West Midlands rail franchise with the Department for Transport (DfT) up to 2025. 7. Funding and project delivery West Midlands Rail Executive welcomes the government’s new ‘Rail Network Enhancements Pipeline’ and Our delivery plan confirms our ongoing commitment to these short-term developments, aligns with the ‘Market-Led Proposals’ processes (March 2018) and is committed to ongoing development of its capability programmes for HS2’s 2 phases and Midlands Connect’s ‘Midlands Rail Hub’. It looks towards further radical and track record as a ‘Third-Party’ in making rail schemes happen. We similarly welcome Network Rail’s change in the 2030s and towards 2047. It is consistent with the aspirational outputs set out in this Rail ‘Open for Business’ principles which are supporting Third Party investment and engagement. We will work Investment Strategy with the following 10 core components: - with Network Rail, the Department for Transport, Midlands Connect and TfWM to make the case for rail industry funding through these new processes. We will actively seek both public and private sector funding 1. West Midlands and other franchises: 2018-2025 opportunities in conjunction with our partner authorities – (All Aspirational Outputs) Our existing work with West Midlands Trains, and other franchises serving the region, will see delivery of franchise commitments including train service and passenger facility enhancements. We are developing 8. Today’s and tomorrow’s operational railway major station upgrades and new stations within our Stations Alliance with Network Rail. We welcome the Successful delivery of reliable, on-time, safe train services, all day and every day, is an expectation of our transformative outputs of Station Travel Plans, making stations more accessible for passengers, delivery passengers and key to ongoing growth in their use. We will work closely with the rail industry at every step of masterplans for Wolverhampton and Coventry stations, and further integration with the expanding of the evolution and delivery of this 30-year strategy to support innovation and best practice in performance West Midlands Metro and other Rapid Transit schemes. We are planning new services on the Camp Hill, delivery, recognising that our growth objectives will be asking more of the system and its people. We will Leamington-Nuneaton and Walsall-Wolverhampton routes with the rail industry, Midlands Connect and support Network Rail’s ongoing development of the ‘Digital Railway’ and schemes such as electrification, TfWM. Each of these will contribute towards our ‘6-4-2’ minimum train service frequency concept. Real recognising that these are the ‘means’ to meet capacity, capability and performance ‘ends’ rather than end in change is committed and happening - (Aspirational Outputs 1 and 2). themselves – (All Aspirational Outputs).

2. Future West Midlands and other franchises 9. Rolling stock for growth We will further strengthen the local and regional value of the West Midlands franchise via our partnership New trains form a key component of the West Midlands Rail franchise programme up to 2025, and parts of with the Department for Transport in future specification of the post-2025 franchise, as well as other the region are benefiting from other schemes such as InterCity Express. We recognise that the aspirations franchises relevant to the West Midlands. We wish to see rail franchise specifications recognise the set out in this strategy will require significant investment in both quality and quantity of new rolling stock, incremental aspirations this Rail Investment Strategy sets out, including our ambitions for our ‘6-4-2’ trains respectively meeting modern operational and environmental standards and providing more capacity as per hour concept and the focus upon our priority high-growth corridors – (Aspirational Outputs 2, 3 and 4). passenger volumes grow over the next 30 years. We will work closely with our partners in the Department for Transport and the rail industry to develop not only the strategy to meet these 2 objectives, but innovation 3. High Speed 2: 2026-2033 in funding and financing approaches – (All Aspirational Outputs). We are actively engaged now and onwards with High Speed 2 (HS2), Network Rail, Midlands Connect, TfWM and the Department for Transport in service planning for both phases of HS2 itself and for best 10. Communities, passengers and businesses passenger and freight use of the capacity it releases on the existing network in 2026 and 2033. This Sustainably meeting the evolving needs of communities, passengers and of businesses is at the heart of released capacity offers key opportunities to develop and implement our ‘6-4-2’ and high growth corridor West Midlands Rail Executive’s ambitions for rail connectivity, services and customer experience. In testing aspirations. Timely delivery of both phases of HS2 will be essential in enabling delivery of our ambitious rail the economic value of connectivity this Rail Investment Strategy and its delivery plan is directly linked to developments supporting the growth and sustainability of the West Midlands economy, communities and social inclusion, community development and sustainability principles intrinsic to the region’s Local Plans, environment - (Aspirational Outputs 2, 4, 5 and 7). the strength of the region’s economy and to the confidence and prosperity of its people and businesses. This delivery plan will be tested against the values set out in our 5 approaches to rail services. We will work with 4. Midlands Rail Hub Transport for West Midlands’ ‘Inclusive Growth Unit’ to maximise our rail services’ potential to serve all the We will continue our engagement with Midlands Connect, TfWM, Network Rail and the Department for region’s population. We will gather and continuously respond to the views and experience of our passengers Transport in making the case for Midland Rail Hub’s proposed additional train paths across Birmingham – (All Aspirational Outputs) and West Midlands, and for their earliest delivery before the 2032 date assumed within this strategy This will include partnership working to develop service and infrastructure specifications, together with project development, funding, programming and delivery plans, and alignment with our ‘6-4-2’ and high growth corridor aspirations – (Aspirational Outputs 2,3, 4 and 7).

24 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

Appendix - Our Corridor Priorities

25 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

Our overall approach to testing the value of continuously improving rail connectivity over the 30 years of this strategy is described at Sections 4.1, 4.2 and 4.3. This appendix illustrates our high-level options for train service development on a corridor-by-corridor basis.

The individual route pages firstly show the service structure for a typical off-peak hour as operating within the January 2018 timetable. This service pattern formed the base against which the five future year service scenarios (for 2025, 2027, 2032, 2034 and 2047) were tested for their economic uplift. The numbers in circles represent the number of stops per hour in a particular service that calls at a station.

Secondly the aspirational service pattern is illustrated for 2034, representing prospective services upon completion of both phases of High Speed 2 and Midlands Rail Hub. This service pattern, alongside those developed for the other four time periods, was used to test the economic benefits of changed services against the 2018 base.

The detailed service scenarios for 2025, 2027, 2032 and 2047 can be found at http://www.westmidlandsrail.com/ strategy/wmris/. It should be noted that the timing of major changes included within these scenarios is indicative only, and does not preclude these being advanced in practice.

The future year service patterns are similarly purely indicative and conceptual at this stage, developed to enable West Midlands Rail Executive to assess the key economic priorities this Rail Investment Strategy sets out. These will undoubtedly evolve over time and do not represent a commitment. They are an indication of the type of service pattern that could operate in the future subject to appropriate infrastructure being in place. It is recognised that some of these service patterns may change some existing linkages between stations and issues such as this would be considered in detail in future development work.

The service patterns assumed provision of a number of new stations on the network based on both schemes under current development, and aspirations from our constituent authorities. WMRE recognises that further new station aspirations will emerge over time, and that some of the stations tested for this strategy may not progress to delivery. Passenger rail re-openings tested within the service patterns up to 2047 include the Camp Hill, Walsall-Wolverhampton, Coventry-Leicester, Stourbridge-Brierley Hill, Kidderminster-Safari Park (Severn Valley), Lichfield-Burton and Sutton Park Lines. WMRE will work with our partner authorities as proposals for new stations and further new or re-opened routes are identified and developed, and will seek to bring forwards the delivery such projects in advance of the timescales indicated in the corridor plans wherever this is possible.

The infrastructure enhancements in the medium and long term outlined to support the service changes are also high level and indicative at this stage. Considerable further work will be needed to develop the actual interventions that would be needed to support the service plans and WMRE will work actively with rail industry partners to take these forward.

26 Crewe Alsager Kidsgrove Stoke on Trent Barlaston/Wedgwood* Stone

Stafford

Rugeley Trent Valley

Burton-on-Trent Rugeley Town Penkridge Hednesford Lichfield l a Cannock Trent Valley Lichfield City

en t r Landywood es

C Shenstone on t on Bloxwich North ga t d ll h t l rd

n g Blake Street a o i g ook s n a r r ke n Bloxwich f l f Butlers Lane a l b o d e o sf r Well i T Sh i A C C O Bil b Walsall Four Oaks Tamworth Shrewsbury Sutton Coldfield Darlaston Wylde Green Wolverhampton Polesworth Willenhall Chester Road ns Coseley y Erdington Wilnecote Atherstone er t Tipton ho r t r elle r

w Gravelly Hill Nuneaton Narborough Leicester

e Coleshill Pky Dudley Port u a a e w Aston J Q T h H Sandwell & Dudley Duddeston Water Orton Hinckley South Smethwick Galton Bridge Wigston Bermuda Park Langley Green Smethwick Stechford Rowley Regis Rolfe St Birmingham Adderley Park Lea Hall Bedworth Marston Green Old Hill University Small Heath Five Ways Tyseley Birmingham Int CradleyHeath Selly Oak Acocks Green Coventry Arena Rugby Moseley Hampton-i-A Lye Bournville Spring Road Olton Coventry Parkway Kings Heath Hall Green Solihull Long Buckby Stourbridge Town ill Yardley Wood Widney Manor ell Rugby Stourbridge Jn H nley Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018 Hazelwell w a e Northampton Shirley Dorridge k s Hagley Kings Norton C Whitlocks End Ti l Lapworth Be r Kenilworth Blakedown Northfield Wythall West Midlands Earlswood Hatton Kidderminster Longbridge The Lakes Leamington Spa Warwick Warwick Hartlebury Barnt Green Wood End Claverdon Bromsgrove Danzey Parkway Droitwich Spa Rail Map - Key Corridors Alvechurch Henley-in-Arden Worcester Foregate St Wootton Wawen Bearley Malvern Link Wilmcote Worcester Worcestershire Great Malvern Redditch Stratford-upon-Avon Parkway Colwall Shrub Hill Parkway Ledbury Stratford-upon-Avon Hereford

Crewe Alsager Kidsgrove Stoke on Trent Barlaston/Wedgwood* Stone Wolverhampton to Coventry Corridor

Stafford Birmingham East Tamworth / Nuneaton Corridor

Rugeley Trent Valley Snow Hill Lines

Burton-on-Trent Rugeley Town Birmingham South Worcester and Hereford Corridor Penkridge Hednesford Lichfield l a Cannock Trent Valley Cannock - Walsall to Birmingham Corridor Lichfield City

en t r Landywood es

C Shenstone on t on Bloxwich North ga t d ll h t l

rd Licheld to Birmingham Corridor

n g Blake Street a o i g ook s n a r r ke n Bloxwich f l f Butlers Lane a l b o d e o sf r Well i T Sh i A C C O Bil b Walsall Four Oaks Tamworth Trent Valley Corridor Shrewsbury Sutton Coldfield Darlaston Wylde Green Wolverhampton Polesworth Reinstatement of rail services at Barlaston Willenhall Chester Road * ns Coseley y Erdington Wilnecote Atherstone and/or Wedgwood currently under review er t Tipton ho r t r elle r

w Gravelly Hill Nuneaton Narborough Leicester

e Coleshill Pky Dudley Port u a a e w Aston Q J T h H Sandwell & Dudley Duddeston Water Orton Hinckley South Smethwick Galton Bridge Wigston Bermuda Park Langley Green Smethwick Stechford Rowley Regis Rolfe St Birmingham Adderley Park Lea Hall Bedworth Marston Green Old Hill University Small Heath Five Ways Tyseley Birmingham Int CradleyHeath Selly Oak Acocks Green Coventry Arena Rugby Moseley Hampton-i-A Lye Bournville Spring Road Olton Coventry Parkway Kings Heath Hall Green Solihull Long Buckby Stourbridge Town ill Yardley Wood Widney Manor ell Rugby Stourbridge Jn H nley Hazelwell w a e Northampton Shirley Dorridge k s Hagley Kings Norton C Whitlocks End Ti l Lapworth Be r Kenilworth Blakedown Northfield Wythall Earlswood Hatton Kidderminster Longbridge The Lakes Leamington Spa Warwick Warwick Hartlebury Barnt Green Wood End Claverdon Bromsgrove Danzey Parkway Droitwich Spa Alvechurch Henley-in-Arden Worcester Foregate St Wootton Wawen Bearley Malvern Link Wilmcote Worcester Worcestershire Great Malvern Redditch Stratford-upon-Avon Parkway Colwall Shrub Hill Parkway Ledbury Stratford-upon-Avon Hereford 27

Wolverhampton to Coventry Corridor

Birmingham East Tamworth / Nuneaton Corridor

Snow Hill Lines

Birmingham South Worcester and Hereford Corridor

Cannock - Walsall to Birmingham Corridor

Licheld to Birmingham Corridor

Trent Valley Corridor

* Reinstatement of rail services at Barlaston and/or Wedgwood currently under review Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018 Key Corridors

Birmingham East Birmingham South Wolverhampton to Cannock and Walsall to Lichfield to Birmingham TIME PERIOD Tamworth-Nuneaton Snow Hill Lines Worcester and Trent Valley Corridor Coventry Corridor Birmingham Corridor Corridor Corridor Hereford Corridor • Train lengthening • Train lengthening • Train lengthening • Introduction of local • New through services to • New cross-Birmingham • Train lengthening passenger services London and Birmingham and stations on Camp International links and through • Improved evening and • Train lengthening and Hill line • Train lengthening journeys to London Sunday services • Improved Sunday and new trains • Worcestershire Parkway evening services • Faster services between Up to 2025 • New Crewe-Stoke- • Consideration of new • Improved Sunday and new station Stafford before HS2 Birmingham service • Train lengthening connectivity options • New stations at evening services for Brierley Hill and • Improved Sunday and Willenhall and Darlaston and Crewe • Frequency increases: • Enhanced Short Term Strategy West Midlands evening services • Improved evening and • Coventry-Nuneaton • New Wolverhampton frequency to Safari Park Sunday services • Worcester to to Walsall /Birmingham Lichfield Trent Valley • Shrewsbury Line • Snow Hill Station Birmingham frequency service via Willenhall • Improved evening and regeneration uplift • Perry Barr regeneration Sunday services • University Station for supporting regeneration Commonwealth Games • Timetable improvements post HS2 • Additional Birmingham • Reading-Newcastle to Leicester local service to serve services • London/Oxford Coventry and • New Birmingham to 2026 to 2033 Birmingham to Worcester • Frequency HS2 Burton-on-Trent local • Frequency • New Euston – Coventry International (North Cotswold enhancements • New station at Alrewas Phase 1 and Phase 2 services enhancements to Line) frequency – Trent Valley service • New station and • Extension of services • New Euston – Coventry • Nottingham to Stratford, Dorridge, enhancements providing frequency Midlands Rail Hub services to Aldridge from Lichfield to Burton- – Trent Valley service Birmingham frequency Rowley Regis and uplift and new journey • Camp Hill line frequency on-Trent • Shrewsbury to increases and faster Whitlocks End services • Extension of Chase Line opportunities Indicative Medium- enhancements services to Stafford Term Strategy London service journeys improvements • New stations • Coventry to Leamington Castle Bromwich service enhancements and Fort Parkway • New station - Rugby Parkway • Hereford to Birmingham and London frequency • Higher frequency enhancements Wolverhampton • Sutton Park line new • New Birmingham to 2034 to 2047 • Redditch frequency to Birmingham stations and services Oxford via Solihull • Frequency Post HS2 enhancements • Further frequency • Further frequency International • Further new stations services enhancements including • New Worcester enhancements enhancements local service and frequency • Further frequency semi-fast services Aspirational suburban stations Long-term strategy • Coventry to Leicester enhancements enhancements direct service • New regional services on Birmingham to Bristol corridor

Figure 12 - Summary of our Corridor Priorities 28 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

Short-Term Strategy CORRIDOR GVA Figure 13 - Wolverhampton to Coventry Corridor (2018 - 2025) UPLIFT: £23.4m p.a Includes Shrewsbury / Stoke-on-Trent / Stafford to Rugby / Northampton, via Birmingham. Also includes West-East Corridor - Leamington Spa to Nuneaton / Leicester via Coventry Principal Service Changes Principal Infrastructure • Shrewsbury to Birmingham frequency increases Enhancements (May 19) • Rugeley to Walsall • Through services to London (May 19), with direct electrification (Dec 18) Local Stopping Service 2018 (Current) Manchester services from Rugeley, Walsall and Liverpool to to support electric train Semi-fast Service London, via Birmingham operation and through Kidsgrove services to London 1 Fast Service • Nuneaton to Leamington Spa new services Lich eld Trent Valley Rugeley Trent Valley (May 19) • Capacity works in the Alsager 1 1 2 Stoke -on -Trent Coventry area • Nuneaton to Coventry frequency increases 1 Stone Atherstone N Tamworth • Reinstatement of rail 1 u • New through service from London Euston and n e

1 a services at Barlaston and/

Scotland t

o Coventry to Trent Valley Stations (retaining 3 2 n or Wedgwood Liverpool 2 1 2 Staord fast trains per hour between Coventry and Crewe 1 1 1 1 1 1 London Euston) G a R

D Bermuda Park

S 1 H S S Penkridge l • Crewe to Birmingham (via Stoke-on-Trent) new o 2 t u a m m o a l Northampton f n d m n e e e C Marston Green d l D

t t e

B p Bedworth S o T

w alsall services (May 19) h h 1 u y r t 3 i t s w w i

o e d p P r d e e l n l i i t o g l l e c c Berkswell o e e

& r i e k k y t y n n t

T • Improved evening services (May 19) and Sunday

C

A Long i l a e r d n Coventry Arena Buckby 3

H 1 e 2 l services (May 21) 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 e n i l y l 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 3 1 1 3 3 2 2 3 2 3 3 London 1 1 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 uston 1 1 1 1 1 1 Indicative Medium-Term Strategy CORRIDOR GVA Aberystwyth 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Rugby B C A C S T Shrewsbury O W W e i l h o o a l b 1 e b l (2026 - 2034) UPLIFT: £42.7m p.a

o Coventry i 1 1 1 1 k d s f f r l r o l e f l i n s v o i Lea Hall S A g o B I n n r a a 1 n e o h d t d r i g g l l r d e r t l k t d m h a t e c o o e

t Birmingham r a h n i e n r n

n enilorth 1 m f l s e a o New Street g Principal Service Enhancements Principal Infrastructure p y t r h i d t

o P a o n m a n Enhancements r a

k • Re-cast of timetable on Coventry corridor post- l 1 Bournemouth / Phase 1 of HS2 • Capacity works 1 Reading • Diversion of CrossCountry Newcastle to Reading between Coventry and 1 Bristol Leamington Spa service via Birmingham International and Leamington Spa Coventry • New station: Aspirational (2034) Manchester • Coventry to Leamington Spa local service Rugby Parkway Kidsgrove frequency increases 1 1 1 1 2 Stoke-on-Trent • Wolverhampton to Birmingham International Lich eld Trent Valley Rugeley Trent Valley Alsager 1 1 local service frequency increases 1 1 Barlaston/Wedgwood 2 Leicester • All day Shrewsbury to London service provision Stone Atherstone N 1 1 1 Tamworth u

2 n e

a 1 Hinckley t Scotland 1 o CORRIDOR GVA n Long-Term Strategy Aspirations (post 2034) 2 2 1 2 2 2 UPLIFT: £63.2m p.a Liverpool Crewe Staord 2 2 2 2 2 2 Aspirational Service Enhancements Principal Infrastructure Bermuda Park 2 Northampton Penkridge 1 2 Enhancements Bedworth 2 2 • Wolverhampton to Birmingham International 1 local service frequency increases • Wolverhampton station Coventry Long capacity Coventry Arena 2 Buckby 2 • Leicester to Coventry new services 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 • Wolverhampton to Rugby • Wolverhampton to Birmingham via Tame Bridge 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 Parkway London Birmingham capacity 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 Parkway service frequency increases 2 2 2 2 2 Euston • Birmingham to Coventry 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 H Berkswell T

1 C Aberystwyth 1 1 1 1 1 1 i capacity a l 2 Rugby e a Shrewsbury W O T S B C A C m

n e i l H h o o a p l b 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 l e b l e i k s d i f t f r l l Marston Green y r o e f o B l I S S W S C T D S Lea Hall A i n l s B o i g

o • Nuneaton area capacity n n n r i n a a i d m m a t u o i p o h r d r t e r g o g l l

n d m d i d l s e t m k t e e 1 1 n c a t l

d Kenilworth o e o e r l v t t o i h

e t i n l n w h h n r A n e n e e n f y l a w w g e r r o s e

y • New stations: g

d P h t y h r l i i h i l c c o e d a

o

a P & a k k n m r n m a m t

G R D a Shrewsbury Parkway, r p

k l o a u t Bournemouthurnemouth / New Street o l l d f t 2 n e o l e

Hawkesbury, Coventry

n Reading S Reading y

1 t B r r e i d e 1 East, Coventry South t g e Leamington Spa

29 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

Figure 14 - Birmingham East - Tamworth / Nuneaton Corridor Includes Burton-on-Trent / Tamworth / Nuneaton to Birmingham

2018 (Current)

N Local Stopping Service o L Short-Term Strategy (2018 - 2025) CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: £0.4m p.a t o t n i B e n

g Semi-fast Service g

E e h a

Newcastle s a t t m o o Fast Service n n Principal Service Changes Principal Infrastructure Enhancements • Train lengthening as part of CrossCountry • None – but see below the major changes in the 1 1 2 New stations franchise medium term to introduce local services and Derby 2 2 denoted in italics stations

12 2 Burton - on - Trent Indicative Medium-Term Strategy (2026 - 2043) CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: £21.8m p.a

Tamworth 12 2

n Principal Service Enhancements Principal Infrastructure Enhancements o

12 Wilnecote t s g i r n • Burton-on-Trent to Birmingham new services • Birmingham area capacity improvements e y o

Birmingham New Street W t

t e s l h a e t k

e (currently known as Midlands Rail Hub) to c c u • Leicester to Birmingham frequency increases i

2 n n o e u i Narborough S L facilitate higher frequencies of service through 12 N 2 H • Nottingham to Birmingham frequency increases 12 2 W 2 2 1 1 2 Stansted Airport central Birmingham C a • Hourly calls for long-distance services at t o e 1 l

r • New stations: Castle Bromwich and Fort Parkway e O

s Burton-on-Trent and Tamworth h 1 Bermuda Park r i t l l o

P n 1 Bedworth a r k Bristol Cardi w 1 Coventry Arena a y Long-Term Strategy Aspirations (post 2034) CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: £28.9m p.a 1 Coventry

Aspirational Service Enhancements Principal Infrastructure Enhancements

N • Sutton Park Line new services • New stations: Streetly, Sutton Coldfield Town, L o o t t

n Walmley, Minworth, Kingsbury, Galley Common/ i

B e • Extension of Nuneaton to Coventry services n Aspirational (2034) g g

E e h Newcastle a Stockingford s to Birmingham a t t o o m n n

1 1 3

Derby 2 2

1 2 2 Burton - on - Trent Crewe 1 W Tamworth 1 2 2 i l n e

2 n c o o n t t s o e t g i r a e e y

Birmingham New Street / Moor Street W t

n e s l h u e t k c N c u

2 i n o e i L Narborough S 3 1 H 2 2 2 Stansted Airport 4 4 4 1 4 2 2 2 2 2 F C W C o a o 2 1 2 a r s l t t e t

e l s P Bermuda Park e 2 r h a

B i O r l r l k

o r P Bedworth w 2 t m a o a r n w y Bristol Cardi k Coventry Arena w i 2 c a h y 2 1 2 Coventry

London Euston

30 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

Figure 15 - Snow Hill Lines Includes Worcester / Kidderminster / Stourbridge Town to Leamington Spa / Stratford-upon-Avon, via Birmingham Snow Hill Stourbridge Town 2018 (Current) Short-Term Strategy CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: Warwick Parkway Leamington Spa London aryleone addington (2018 - 2025) £5.8m p.a Widney Manor Acocks Green Lapworth Warwick

Dorridge Principal Service Principal Infrastructure Solihull Hatton 6 Olton Changes Enhancements • Train lengthening • Snow Hill Platform 4

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 • Improved evening • Possible new stations 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 6 services (May 19) and infrastructure

1 1 1 2 2 1 4 2 2 2 2 6 2 6 2 6 6 6 6 6 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 and Sunday services to support any new Birmingam Moor Street Small Heath Tyseley Droitwich Spa Hartlebury Kidderminster Blakedown Hagley Stourbridge Junction Cradley Heath Old Hill Rowley Regis Langley Green Smethwick Galton Bridge The Hawthorns Jewellery Quarter Birmingham Snow Hill Worcester Lye (May 21) services to Brierley Hill 1 2 Claverdon Spring and West Midlands 3 • Investigation of case for Road 1 2 Bearley and feasibility of new Safari Park Hall Green 3 services to Brierley Hill

1 1 2 2 and West Midlands Yardley Wood 3 1 1 Safari Park 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 -upon-Avon Stratford Wilmcote Parkway -upon-Avon Stratford Henley-in-Arden Shirley Whitlocks End Wythall Earlswood The Lakes Wood End Danzey Wootton Wawen Indicative Medium-Term CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: Strategy (2026 - 2034) £12.3m p.a

Principal Service Principal Infrastructure Enhancements Enhancements

Aspirational (2034) Stourbridge Town

Safari Park • Birmingham to • Rowley Regis turnback Rowley Regis • Birmingham area

London aryleone addington frequency increases capacity (including Warwick Parkway Leamington Spa • Birmingham to Snow Hill and Moor Widney Manor 2 Acocks Green Dorridge, Whitlocks Street)

Brierley Hill Canal Street Lapworth Warwick 6 2 Dorridge End and Stratford- Solihull Hatton Olton Worcester upon-Avon frequency 2 Brierley Hill Town increases

2 2 2 1 2 2 2 6 Long-Term Strategy CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: 2 2 1 4 2 3 6 2 6 2 8 4 8 6 6 8 8 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 2 1 1 1 1 Droitwich Spa Small Heath Tyseley Hartlebury Kidderminster Blakedown Hagley Stourbridge Junction Lye Cradley Heath Old Hill Rowley Regis Langley Green Smethwick Galton Bridge The Hawthorns Jewellery Quarter

Birmingham Moor Street Aspirations (post 2034) £19.0m p.a Birmingham Snow Hill 1 1 1 1

1 1 Spring 2 2 Claverdon Aspirational Service Principal Infrastructure 4 Road 1 1 Enhancements Enhancements 2 2 Bearley Hall Green 4 • Local service • Birmingham to 1 1 frequency increases Leamington Spa Yardley Wood 4 1 1 • Birmingham to Oxford capacity improvements 4 4 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 Shirley Whitlocks End Earlswood The Lakes Wood End Danzey Henley-in-Arden Wootton Wawen Wilmcote Parkway -upon-Avon Stratford -upon-Avon Stratford

Wythall new semi-fast services, via Solihull Local Stopping Service • Safari Park frequency Semi-fast Service increases Fast Service

New stations denoted in italics

31 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

Figure 16 - Birmingham South Worcester and Hereford Corridor Includes Hereford / Worcester to Birmingham via University / Camp Hill and south west towards Ashchurch, Cheltenham Spa, Gloucester, Bristol and Cardiff

As at January 2018* *STRATEGY 2018 BASE CALCULATED London Paddington Short-Term Strategy (2018 / 2025) CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: £9.5m p.a BEFORE CROSS CITY SERVICES EXTENDED TO BROMSGROVE IN JULY 2018

3 Redditch Principal Service Changes Principal Infrastructure Enhancements Green • Train lengthening • Completion of Worcestershire Parkway station 3 Alvechurch Selly Oak

Bournville (2019) Kings Norton Northeld Longbridge Barnt • Introduction of passenger services via Licheld Trent Valley 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 3 Cheltenham Spa new Camp Hill stations • New stations: Hazelwell, Kings Heath and Bristol / Plymouth Manchester / Scotland 2 2 • Calls at Worcestershire Parkway for Moseley 1 1 1 Nottingham Cardi‚ regional services (2019) 1 1 1 • Improved evening services (May 19) and Sunday services (May 21) University Five Ways Bromsgrove 1 1 1 Indicative Medium-Term Strategy (2026 - 2034) CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: £12.6m p.a 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Birmingham New Street Principal Service Enhancements Principal Infrastructure Enhancements Colwall

Ledbury • London / Oxford to Worcester frequency increases, • Capacity works in the Worcester area Droitwich Worcester Hereford including extensions to Great Malvern and

Malvern Link • North Cotswold Line capacity Great Malvern Stourbridge (via Kidderminster) • Birmingham area capacity improvements • Camp Hill line frequency increases (currently known as Midlands Rail Hub) to Aspirational (2034) facilitate higher frequencies • New station at Balsall Heath

Balsall Heath Moseley Kings Heath Long-Term Strategy Aspirations (post 2034) CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: £20.9m p.a 1 1 1 1 London Paddington 12 2 2 2 Birmingham Moor Street Aspirational Service Enhancements Principal Infrastructure Enhancements • Hereford to Birmingham frequency increases • Capacity works between Hereford and Hazelwell 2 1 3 Redditch • Development of regular Hereford to London Great Malvern Green

3 Alvechurch service (currently limited services) • Capacity works on the approaches to Birmingham

2 2 2 2 2 Kings Norton Northeld Longbridge Barnt Bromsgrove Licheld Trent Valley • Camp Hill line frequency increases • New Worcester suburban stations 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 4 3 Cheltenham Spa Bristol / Plymouth • Bristol /Gloucester/Cheltenham / Ashchurch/ Manchester / Scotland 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 Cardi Worcester/Bromsgrove to West Midlands new Nottingham 1 1 1 Worcestershire regional services 2 Parkway Bromsgrove Selly Oak Bournville University Five Ways

1 1 1 2 1 1 1 Local Stopping Service 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Semi-fast Service Birmingham New Street Fast Service Kidderminster Colwall Ledbury

Hereford New stations denoted in italics Droitwich Worcester Stourbridge Junction Malvern Link Great Malvern

32 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

Figure 17 - Cannock - Walsall - Birmingham Corridor Includes Chase Line / Walsall to Birmingham, plus Wolverhampton to Walsall

As at January 2018* Rugeley Trent Valley Short-Term Strategy (2018 - 2025) CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: £13.4m p.a *STRATEGY 2018 BASE CALCULATED BEFORE WALSALL-RUGELEY SERVICES INCREASED TO 2 TRAINS PER HOUR IN MAY 2018 Principal Service Changes Principal Infrastructure Enhancements • Train lengthening • Rugeley – Walsall electrification and line speed • New through services to London ( May 19) improvements (Dec 18) 1 • Frequency doubling between Rugeley Trent Valley • Birmingham New Street re-signalling (Dec 21) and Birmingham (May 18) • New stations: Willenhall and Darlaston 1 Rugeley Town • Wolverhampton to Walsall new services • Perry Barr regeneration for supporting 1 Hednesford • Wolverhampton to Birmingham via Tame Bridge Commonwealth Games 1 Cannock Parkway new services

1 Landywood • Improved evening services ( May 19 and Sunday services (May 21) 1 Bloxwich North

1 Bloxwich Indicative Medium-Term Strategy (2026 - 2034) CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: £26.9m p.a Aspirational (2034) 2 2 Walsall Principal Service Enhancements Principal Infrastructure Enhancements Witton Perry Barr Hamstead • New services to Aldridge • New station Aldridge Staord Rugeley Trent Valley 2 2 2 2 2 • Extension of Chase Line services to Stafford • Capacity works at Wolverhampton 2 2 2 Rugeley Town 2 2 Aston Long-Term Strategy Aspirations (post 2034) CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: £28.9m p.a Hednesford 2 2 2 Duddeston Cannock 2 2 Aspirational Service Enhancements Principal Infrastructure Enhancements Bescot Stadium Landywood 2 2 2 • Wolverhampton to Walsall frequency increases • Capacity works at Walsall and the approaches

Tame Bridge Parkway New Street Birmingham to Birmingham Bloxwich North 2 2 Aldridge • Wolverhampton to Birmingham via Tame Bridge Parkway frequency increases Bloxwich 2 • Hednesford to Birmingham frequency increases 2 2 4 Walsall Tame Bridge Parkway Perry Barr Witton Hamstead Darlaston

2 4 4 4 4 4 2 4 4 Aston

Willenhall 2 2 Local Stopping Service 4 Duddeston

4 Semi-fast Service

2 Bescot Stadium Leamington Spa/ Fast Service Wolverhampton 2 4 Northampton/ London Euston Birmingham New Street New stations denoted in italics

33 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

Figure 18 - Lichfield - Birmingham Corridor Includes Burton-on-Trent / Lichfield to Birmingham via Sutton Coldfield

2018 (Left) and 2034 (Right) Short-Term Strategy (2018 - 2025) CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: £0.6m p.a

Principal Service Changes Principal Infrastructure Enhancements 2 Burton-on-Trent • Train lengthening • None 2 Alrewas • Higher frequencies to Birmingham from 2 Licheld Trent Valley Lichfield Trent Valley (May 19) 6 Licheld Trent Valley • Improved evening services (May 19) and 4 Lich eld City Sunday services (May 21) 6 Licheld City 2 Shenstone 2 Shenstone 4 Blake Street Indicative Medium-Term Strategy (2026 - 2034) CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: -£3.8m* p.a 6 Blake Street 4 Butlers Lane Principal Service Enhancements Principal Infrastructure Enhancements 6 Butlers Lane • Extension of services from Lichfield Trent Valley • New station: Alrewas 6 Four Oaks to Burton-on-Trent • Burton to Lichfield Trent Valley electrification 6 Four Oaks • Further train lengthening • Burton area capacity 6 Sutton Coldeld • Capacity works on the approaches to Birmingham 6 Sutton Coldeld 6 Wylde Green 6 Wylde Green 6 Chester Road Long-Term Strategy Aspirations (post 2034) CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: -£4.7m* p.a 6 Chester Road 6 Erdington Aspirational Service Enhancements Principal Infrastructure Enhancements Erdington 6 • New ‘semi-fast’ services introduced which would • None Gravelly Hill 6 serve larger stations 6 Gravelly Hill 6 Aston 6 Aston 2 Duddeston Duddeston 2 * See first paragraph, page 14, for an explanation of the negative GVA figures.

6 6 Birmingham New Street Birmingham New Street

Bromsgrove / Redditch Local Stopping ServiceBromsgrove / Redditch Semi-fast Service Fast Service New stations denoted in italics

34 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

Figure 19 - Trent Valley Corridor Includes Stoke-on-Trent / Stafford to Rugby / Northampton via Tamworth – (regional services only illustrated)

2018 (Top) and 2034 (Bottom) Short-Term Strategy CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: (2018 - 2025) -£1.0m* p.a

Principal Service Changes Principal Infrastructure • Faster journeys to Crewe Enhancements Kidsgrove through fast running • None between Crewe and Stafford 1 • Improved evening services (May 19) and Sunday Stoke-on-Trent 1 services (May 21) Alsager 1 Indicative Medium-Term CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: Stone 1 Stafford Rugeley TV Lich eld TV Tamworth Atherstone Nuneaton Rugby Strategy (2026 - 2034) £1.97m p.a Crewe London Euston 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Principal Service Changes Principal Infrastructure • Higher frequencies following Enhancements Kidsgrove re-cast of West Coast Main • Delivery of HS2 Phase 2A 1 Line timetable following • Upgrade of Nuneaton- completion of HS2 Phase 1 Coventry line 1 Stoke-on-Trent • Improved interchange to other corridors at Rugeley Alsager 1 1 Barlaston/Wedgwood Trent Valley, Lichfield Trent Valley and Tamworth given Stone 1 Stafford Rugeley TV Lich eld TV Tamworth Atherstone Nuneaton Rugby corresponding service improvements Crewe 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 London Euston • New through service from Coventry to Trent Valley stations

1 Long-Term Strategy CORRIDOR GVA UPLIFT: Local Stopping Service Coventry Aspirations (post 2034) £1.5m p.a Semi-fast Service Fast Service Aspirational Service Enhancements Principal Infrastructure • Further re-cast of timetable Enhancements following Phase 2B of HS2 may • None facilitate higher regional service frequencies at key stations in the Trent Valley

* See first paragraph, page 14, for an explanation of the negative GVA figures.

35 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

ALL PHOTOS ARE COPYRIGHTED TO WEST MIDLANDS EXECUTIVE EXCEPT PHOTOGRAPH ON PAGE 20 - HS2 LTD & PHOTOGRAPH ON PAGE 22 - ADRIAN HART/PLATFORM ART

36 Driving a Revolution in Rail Services for West Midlanders | December 2018

A NEW ERA FOR WEST MIDLANDS RAIL TRAVEL West Midlands Rail A 30-year Rail Investment Strategy 2018-2047