Omnibus Mar`21 Release 1
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National Political Update Verified Voter Omnibus Survey N=1,008 Registered Voters March 15 - March 21, 2021 X1 Biden Approval at 51%, Higher on COVID Response Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Joe Biden is handling…? Approval Change From Feb His Job 51% 6% 44% EVEN As President The Spread of 55% 11% 34% -3 the Coronavirus The U.S. Economy 48% 8% 44% EVEN Strongly / Somewhat Unsure Strongly / Somewhat Approve Disapprove 2 Congressional Ballot Shows Even Split Q. If the election for Congress were held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? NET (GOP - DEM) February 2021 30% 14% 12% 10% 34% EVEN March 2021 30% 12% 13% 13% 33% -3 Definitely the Probably the Unsure Probably the Definitely the Republican candidate Republican candidate Democratic candidate Democratic candidate 3 Biden at +9 Net Fav, Harris +7 Q. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the following individuals or groups which have been in the news lately? NET (Fav. - Unfav.) JoeJoe BidenBiden 52% 5% 43% +9 KamalaKamala HarrisHarris 49% 8% 1% 42% +7 DemocraticDem PartyParty 44% 9% 47% -3 DonaldDonald TrumpTrump 39% 6% 55% -16 NancyNancy PelosiPelosi 35% 12% 1% 51% -16 RepublicanRep PartyParty 34% 11% 55% -21 RonRon DeSantis Desantis 23% 23% 30% 23% EVEN AndrewAndrew Cuomo Cuomo 17% 14% 9% 60% -43 Very / Somewhat No Never Very / Somewhat Favorable Opinion Heard Of Unfavorable 4 Cuomo Has 3-1 Net Negative Image Nationally, Tied Among Dems Q. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of the following individuals or groups which have been in the news lately? -Andrew Cuomo NET (Fav. - Unfav.) Total 17% 14% 9% 60% -43 GOP 4% 11% 5% 79% -75 IND 10% 14% 4% 72% -62 DEM 34% 17% 13% 36% -2 Very / Somewhat No Never Very / Somewhat Favorable Opinion Heard Of Unfavorable 5 Recently, More Say Things In U.S. Are Headed In Right Direction Q. Would you say things in the United States are headed in the right direction, or is the country of on the wrong track? Right Track Wrong Track Unsure 70% 67% 66% 66% 61% 63% 62% 59% 59% 58% 54% 54% 52% 51% 38% 34% 34% 30% 28% 29% 30% 27% 27% 25% 22% 21% 22% 22% 17% 17% 14% 15% 14% 12% 11% 12% 11% 12% 12% 9% 8% 8% January April July October January March 2020 2020 2020 2020 2021 2021 6 Biden Agenda 7 Bipartisan Biden? Voters Don't Think So Q. Which of the following best describes the way that Joe Biden and Democrats in Congress have gone about passing their proposals? They’ve been acting in a bipartisan way, Unsure They’ve been acting in a partisan way, passing incorporating Republican ideas into their their proposals with only Democratic votes proposals Total 23% 22% 56% GOP 5% 18% 77% IND 21% 23% 56% DEM 37% 25% 38% 8 Stimulus Approval is 57-36, Mostly Along Party Lines Q. Do you support or oppose the recent $1.9 trillion government spending package that was passed by Congress and signed into law by President Biden? Strongly support Somewhat support Unsure Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose NET (Sup. - Opp.) Total 28% 29% 7% 14% 23% +21 2020 Vote Choice… Trump 6% 17% 6% 24% 47% -48 Biden 49% 39% 4% 6% 3% +79 9 Most Plan To Use Recent Stimulus For Groceries Or Savings/Investments Q. Do you expect to receive a COVID-19 relief payment, and if so, what do you plan to spend it on? Select all that apply. OVERALL HH. INCOME: <$75k >$75k Groceries 25% 31% 17% Savings or stock market investments 25% 22% 31% Paying down credit cards, student loans, or other debt 24% 28% 17% Utilities, phone bills, or internet service 22% 31% 13% Rent or mortgage payments 14% 19% 8% Home improvements or new furniture 12% 10% 15% Travel (flights, hotels, etc.) 9% 8% 9% Medical expenses 8% 10% 4% Clothing 8% 13% 2% Car payments 7% 9% 5% Restaurant meals 5% 7% 3% School expenses (tuition, school supplies, etc.) 4% 3% 6% Home electronics or entertainment (gaming console, TV, etc.) 4% 6% 1% Childcare 1% 2% 1% I do not expect to receive a COVID-19 relief payment 14% 9% 18% Something else (Please specify) 6% 5% 7% Unsure 8% 8% 6% 10 Inflation and Debt Top Stimulus Concerns Q. The following are criticisms that have been made of the recently-enacted government spending package. How concerned are you, if at all, that the following are a problem with the government spending package? EXTR./VERY The bill’s massive price tag could lead to increased inflation, driving down the value of a paycheck and driving up the cost 30% 23% 22% 11% 6%8% 52% of living for every American The bill adds $1.9 trillion to the national debt on top of the 32% 18% 22% 12% 8% 8% 50% $4 trillion in pandemic relief already provided Less than a quarter of the bill’s funding is for stimulus checks and a majority of its costs are unrelated to the 34% 15% 21% 11% 8% 11% 49% pandemic The bill provides billions in bailout money for states that are running budget surpluses or have not seen any financial 26% 21% 22% 10% 7% 14% 47% shortfall due to the pandemic Just 5% of the bill is funding for public health and just 1% is funding for vaccines 27% 17% 24% 11% 11% 11% 43% Just 5% of the bill’s funding for schools will be spent on reopening schools this year 23% 16% 25% 14% 11% 11% 40% Extremely Very Somewhat Not very Not at all Unsure 11 concerned concerned concerned concerned concerned HR 1’s Public Financing of Campaigns is Unpopular Q. Would you support or oppose a proposal to use government dollars to match donations to… [Each Respondent Was Randomly Shown One Version Of This Question] Strongly support Somewhat support Unsure Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose NET (Sup. - Opp.) …political campaigns? 7% 23% 13% 54% -57 …political campaigns that have already raised 5% 24% 20% 49% -63 millions of dollars? 12 Voters Are Hesitant About Doubling Minimum Wage Q. Which of these statements comes closest to your view, even if neither is exactly right? It’s time to raise the federal minimum wage to $15 an hour so that all workers are paid a basic living wage Doubling the federal Doubling the federal Doubling the federal minimum wage to $15 an hour minimum wage to $15 an hour minimum wage to $15 an hour could be too high for the cost- would only cause further would lead to the loss of over of-living in some states. New shock and uncertainty for 1 million jobs and widespread York is not West Virginia, and small businesses as they automation, leaving many we should give states the emerge from the economic workers worse of because flexibility to set the minimum devastation of the COVID-19 they don’t have a job at all wage that works for them pandemic Statement 1: 37% Statement 1: 35% Statement 1: 39% Statement 2: 52% Statement 2: 51% Statement 2: 48% Note: Not shown above - “Unsure” when asked what comes closest to their view. 13 The Republican Party 14 DeSantis Tops Non-Trump GOP Field In March Q. If Donald Trump does NOT seek the Republican nomination for President in 2024 and the Republican presidential primaries were being held today, for whom would you vote? [Asked of Republican+Lean Voters] CHANGE FROM FEBRUARY Ron DeSantisRon DeSantis+9% 17% The following candidates were Mike PenceMike Pence-5% 16% tested but received Ted Cruz -5% Ted Cruz 5% 1% or LESS vote Nikki NikkiHaley Haley-2% 4% share: TuckerTucker Carlson Carlson+3% 4% Mike PompeoMike Pompeo+3% 4% Tom Cotton Donald Trump, Jr -5% Tim Scott Donald Trump, Jr 3% Kristi Noem Mitt RomneyMitt Romney-1% 3% Larry Hogan MarcoMarco Rubio Rubio+1% 2% Ben Sasse Greg AbbottGreg Abbott+1% 2% Rick Scott Josh Hawley SomeoneSomeone else else-1% 1% Dave Portnoy UnsureUnsure+9% 35% 15 DeSantis’s Rise Fueled by Trump Republicans Q. If Donald Trump does NOT seek the Republican nomination for President in 2024 and the Republican presidential primaries were being held today, for whom would you vote? [Asked of Republican+Lean Voters] Trump-First Republicans Party-First Republicans The following Ron DeSantis 26% 10% candidates were Mike Pence 12% 22% tested but received Donald Trump, Jr 7% 1% 1% or LESS vote Ted Cruz 7% 3% share within both Mike Pompeo 5% 4% breaks: Tucker Carlson 4% 5% Nikki Haley 2% 6% Tim Scott Marco Rubio 1% 3% Kristi Noem Larry Hogan Tom Cotton 0% 2% Ben Sasse Greg Abbott 0% 2% Rick Scott Mitt Romney 0% 6% Josh Hawley Someone else 1% 0% Dave Portnoy Unsure 31% 32% 16 Trump Rising In GOP Primary Q. If the 2024 Republican presidential primaries were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? [Asked of Republican+Lean Voters] Donald Trump, A Diferent Republican Candidate, Unsure Definitely/Probably Definitely/Probably 60% 54% 48% 41% 32% 30% 14% 11% 11% January February March 2021 2021 2021 17 GOP+Lean Voters Bounce Back Toward Trump Q. Would you like to see Donald Trump run for President in 2024? Yes No Unsure REGISTERED VOTERS GOP+LEAN VOTERS 65% 59% 68% 55% 62% 61% 58% 45% 33% 30% 28% 37% 21% 30% 28% 22% 19% 13% 15% 13% 9% 11% 10% 9% December January February March December January February March 2020 2021 2021 2021 2020 2021 2021 2021 18 “Trump” and “Party” Republicans Are Evenly Split Q.