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2020 Election Recap

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2020 Election Recap 2020 MARTY SEIFERT, Election LOBBYIST Recap 2020: A historic election year •Historic election turnout nationally – almost 152 million voters (for Biden and Trump alone) •A pandemic election means more absentee votes, longer counting •Margins in many swing states looked extremely close until all ballots were counted Size of lead by county Updated 11/17/20 US Senate and US House Updated 11/17/20 Where did Biden win? 2012 2016 2020 Obama-Romney Clinton-Trump Biden-Trump Minnesota is #1 for voter turnout Spike in Voter Turnout in Greater MN Greater Minnesota Vote Share Is Declining Metro Turnout Hennepin County Turnout District DFL Percent GOP Percent 5A - Bemidji John Persell 46.5% Matt Bliss 53.5% 19A - St. Peter Jeff Brand 49.8% Susan Akland 50.2% 27B - Austin Jean Poppe 48.4% Patricia Mueller 51.6% 54A - South St. Paul Anne Claflin 48.5% Keith Franke 51.5% 55A - Shakopee Brad Tabke 45.1% Erik Mortensen 47.5% House DFL Narrows to 3 Seat Majority House DFL Leadership Melissa Hortman (DFL) Ryan Winkler (DFL) Speaker of the House Majority Leader House GOP Leadership Kurt Daudt (GOP) Minority Leader District DFL Percent GOP Percent 14 - St. Cloud Aric Putnam 46.4% Jerry Relph 45.6% 27 - Austin Dan Sparks 44.3% Gene Dornink 49.1% 44 - Plymouth Ann Johnson Stewart 58.8% Greg Pulles 41.2% 56 - Burnsville Lindsey Port 53.1% Dan Hall 46.9% 58 - Lakeville Matt Little 44.8% Zach Duckworth 55.2% Flipped Senate Seats Minnesota Senate Independent Caucus Tom Bakk David Tomassoni State Senator President of the Senate SD27 Percent of Vote Dornink (GOP) 48.9% Sparks (DFL)* 44.4% Becvar (LMN) 6.7% *incumbent Marijuana party candidates have an impact Senate GOP Leadership Paul Gazelka (GOP) Majority Leader Senate DFL Leadership Susan Kent (DFL) Minority Leader Ø Minnesota remains the only state with a divided legislature Ø Budget solutions will be a series of awkward compromises Ø Drain the reserve Ø Some cuts and changes to programs to lower overall cost Ø Likely significant reliance on accounting tools Implications such as “school shift” Ø Modest increases of revenue but really on the for margins Governing Ø Potential of Federal stimulus Ø Narrow majorities require focus on bread-and-butter issues/solutions Ø DFL will still likely look to advance racial justice/equity issues Ø GOP likely to still focus on public safety issues in Mpls/St. Paul ØThe process begins when proposed redistricting plans are drafted and introduced as bills which go through the traditional legislative process ØThe Minnesota Legislative Coordinating Commission assists the Legislature in redistricting Redistricting ØIf the Legislature is not able to adopt a plan by in Minnesota the statutory deadline, it is referred to the courts ØThe statutory deadline is 25 weeks before the primary election (Feb. 15, 2022) ØThe plans must be decided early enough to give time to prepare for the state elections in November 2022 State population reported to President, Legislative and Congressional redistricting Congressional seats reapportions must be complete 31 Dec. 2020 15 Feb. 2022 Jan.–Mar. 2021 Data files delivered and redistricting begins Redistricting Process Source: MN Compass, MN State Demographer Pop increase Pop Increase Pop Increase between 1992 between 2002 between 2012 Region and 2002 and 2012 and 2020 Metro 13.37% 7.28% 10.40% Greater MN 8.39% 7.21% 2.09% Total 21.76% 14.49% 12.49% Apportioning Seats by Population Senate 2020 Senate 2012 Projected Senate Apportion Apportion Greater MN 31 29.53 Metro 36 37.47 Redistricting House 2020 in 2022 House 2012 Projected House Apportion Apportion Greater MN 62 59.06 Metro 72 74.94 Ø Aggregate mapping, including funding Ø Continued discussion with Minnesota Department of Transportation regarding education Issues for Ø Monitor, discuss and fix any issues around truck the weight enforcement Aggregate & Ø Monitor environmental regulations such as “Buy Ready Mix Green” and requirements related to business Association regulations (ARM) of Ø Pandemic allowances Minnesota Ø Possible move for additional Capital Investment bill Ø Transportation package Ø Other issues as directed by the Board .
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