DOCSLIB.ORG

Florida Presidential Primary Survey March 2016 Methodology

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text

Load more

Florida Presidential Primary Survey March 2016 Methodology Sample 450 Republican Florida likely presidential primary voters Dates of Interviews March 2nd - March 5th Languages of Interviews English, Spanish Margin of Error +/- 4.6 Percentage Points Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 2 ELECTORAL MOTIVATION Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track? 93% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 5% 20% 2% 10% 0% Wrong Track Right Direction Don't know/No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 4 Which one of the following issues will be the MOST important in deciding your vote for President in November 2016? 45% 43% 40% 35% 30% 27% 25% 20% 15% 8% 10% 7% 6% 3% 2% 5% 2% 1% 1% 0% Jobs and the Terrorism Foreign Policy Healthcare Immigration Education Global Climate Same Sex Other Don't economy Change Marriage know/No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 5 CANDIDATE FAVORABILITY RATINGS Ted Cruz Very/Somewhat favorable opinion 21% 36% 57% Somewhat/Very unfavorable opinion 18% 17% 35% Do not recognize 2% 6% No answer 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 7 Donald Trump Very/Somewhat favorable opinion 27% 30% 57% Somewhat/Very unfavorable opinion 15% 24% 39% 4% No answer 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 8 Marco Rubio Very/Somewhat favorable opinion 28% 34% 62% 18% Somewhat/Very unfavorable opinion 13% 31% Do not recognize 1% 6% No answer 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 9 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY If the 2016 Republican presidential primary in Florida were held today and the candidates were Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio and Donald Trump, whom would you support? 38% 40% 35% 31% 30% 25% 19% 20% 15% 10% 7% 4% 5% 1% 0% Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz John Kasich Other Don't know/No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 11 If the 2016 Republican presidential primary in Florida were held today and the candidates were Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio and Donald Trump, whom would you support? BY GENDER Male Female Donald Trump 42% 35% Marco Rubio 29% 33% Ted Cruz 21% 18% John Kasich 4% 6% Don’t know/No answer 4% 8% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 12 Which candidate would be your 2nd choice? 30% 30% 24% 25% 20% 17% 15% 14% 15% 10% 5% 0% Ted Cruz Marco Rubio Donald Trump John Kasich Don't know/No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 13 Who do you think has a better chance of getting elected president in November 2016? 60% 60% 50% 40% 30% 17% 20% 15% 5% 10% 3% 0% Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 14 Who do you think has a better chance of getting elected president in November 2016? BY EDUCATION Male Female Donald Trump 61% 59% Marco Rubio 19% 15% Ted Cruz 13% 16% Don’t know 3% 7% No answer 4% 3% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 15 If he does not win the Florida Presidential Primary on March 15th, do you believe that Marco Rubio should or should not suspend his campaign for President? 2% 6% Should suspend 33% 59% Should not suspend Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 16 PERSONAL TRAITS Who do you think is more honest and trustworthy? 34% 35% 30% 30% 25% 21% 20% 15% 8% 10% 7% 5% 0% Marco Rubio Donald Trump Ted Cruz Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 18 Who do you think has a better personality and temperament to serve as president? 39% 40% 35% 30% 26% 25% 25% 20% 15% 7% 10% 3% 5% 0% Marco Rubio Donald Trump Ted Cruz Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 19 Who do you think would do more to bring needed change to Washington? 60% 55% 50% 40% 30% 21% 18% 20% 5% 10% 1% 0% Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 20 Who do you think is closer to you on the issues? 39% 40% 32% 35% 30% 25% 21% 20% 15% 10% 4% 4% 5% 0% Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 21 Who do you think is closer to you on the issues? BY EDUCATION High School Some College College Graduate Donald Trump 27% 52% 36% Marco Rubio 35% 24% 35% Ted Cruz 27% 15% 23% Don’t know 5% 3% 5% No answer 6% 6% 1% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 22 Who do you trust most to handle the economy? 56% 60% 50% 40% 30% 22% 16% 20% 10% 3% 3% 0% Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 23 Who do you trust more to handle immigration issues? 45% 45% 40% 35% 29% 30% 25% 21% 20% 15% 10% 4% 5% 1% 0% Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 24 Who do you trust more to handle immigration issues? BY EDUCATION High School Some College College Graduate Donald Trump 38% 54% 43% Marco Rubio 31% 24% 30% Ted Cruz 27% 16% 22% Don’t know 3% 4% 3% No answer 1% 2% 2% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 25 Who do you trust more to handle the threat of terrorism? 45% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 25% 21% 20% 15% 10% 6% 3% 5% 0% Donald Trump Marco Rubio Donald Trump Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 26 Who do you trust more to handle the threat of terrorism? BY EDUCATION High School Some College College Graduate Donald Trump 34% 50% 47% Marco Rubio 32% 26% 21% Ted Cruz 23% 15% 24% Don’t know 10% 4% 6% No answer 1% 5% 2% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 27 Who do you trust more to handle healthcare? 40% 36% 35% 29% 30% 23% 25% 20% 15% 7% 10% 5% 5% 0% Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 28 Who do you trust more to handle healthcare? BY EDUCATION High School Some College College Graduate Donald Trump 29% 44% 35% Marco Rubio 29% 27% 30% Ted Cruz 27% 16% 25% Don’t know 10% 6% 6% No answer 5% 7% 4% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 29 REPUBLICAN U.S. SENATE PRIMARY If the Republican primary for the US Senate seat from Florida were held today and the candidates were Carlos Beruff, Ron DeSantis, David Jolly, Carlos Lopez-Cantera and Todd Wilcox, for whom would you vote? 80% 74% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 6% 6% 5% 7% 10% 2% 0% 0% Carlos Lopez- Ron DeSantis David Jolly Todd Wilcox Carlos Beruff Don't know No answer Cantera Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 31 POLICY SUPPORT With regard to the current opening on the Supreme Court, after President Obama nominates someone do you believe the U.S. Senate should vote on President Obama’s nominee to fill the position or should the Senate delay action on the vacancy until after the next president takes office? 72% 80% 70% 60% 50% Republicans 40% 26% 30% 20% 2% 10% 0% Vote Delay Don't know Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 33 Donald Trump has proposed banning Muslims who are not U.S. citizens from entering the United States for the time being. He says this would improve security against terrorism. Others say security would not be improved, and it’s wrong to bar people from the United States because of their religion. What’s your opinion—would you support a ban on Muslims entering the United States or to you this would be the wrong thing to do? Strongly/Somewhat support 39% 18% 57% Somewhat/Strongly wrong thing to do 18% 17% 35% 5% Do not recognize 3% No answer 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 34 Do you approve or disapproved of President Obama’s plan to visit Cuba this month? He’d be the first sitting President to do so in 88 years. 59% 60% 50% 33% 40% Approve Disapprove 30% Don't know 20% 7% No answer 10% 1% 0% Approve Disapprove Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 35 Overall, do you support or oppose ending the so-called “wet foot, dry foot” policy, which allows Cuban refugees to stay in the U.S. if they reach U.S. soil? Strongly/Somewhat support 28% 23% 51% Somewhat/Strongly oppose 15% 25% 40% Don't know 7% 2% No answer 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 36 The United States territory of Puerto Rico has announced that it is close to defaulting on $72 billion worth of debt.
Recommended publications
  • SSCI Senators to DHS Mayorkas Re

    SSCI Senators to DHS Mayorkas Re

    MARK R. WARNER, VIRGINIA, CHAIRMAN MARCO RUBIO, FLORIDA, VICE CHAIRMAN DIANNE FEINSTEIN, CALIFORNIA RICHARD BURR, NORTH CAROLINA RON WYDEN, OREGON JAMES E. RISCH, IDAHO MARTIN HEINRICH, NEW MEXICO SUSAN M. COLLINS, MAINE ANGUS S. KING, JR., MAINE ROY BLUNT, MISSOURI MICHAEL F. BENNET, COLORADO TOM COTTON, ARKANSAS ROBERT P. CASEY, JR., PENNSYLVANIA JOHN CORNYN, TEXAS United States Senate KIRSTEN GILLIBRAND, NEW YORK BEN SASSE, NEBRASKA SELECT COMMITTEE ON INTELLIGENCE CHARLES SCHUMER, NEW YORK, EX OFFICIO MITCH MCCONNELL, KENTUCKY, EX OFFICIO WASHINGTON, DC 20510–6475 JACK REED, RHODE ISLAND, EX OFFICIO JAMES M. INHOFE, OKLAHOMA, EX OFFICIO MICHAEL CASEY, STAFF DIRECTOR BRIAN W. WALSH, MINORITY STAFF DIRECTOR KELSEY S. BAILEY, CHIEF CLERK March 16, 2021 The Honorable Alejandro Mayorkas Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security Washington, D.C. 20528 Dear Secretary Mayorkas: We write to draw your attention to the “Report on DHS Administrative Review into I&A Open Source Collection and Dissemination Activities During Civil Unrest; Portland, Oregon, June through July 2020,” produced on January 6, 2021, by the Office of the General Counsel of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security. The report raises serious concerns about the Department’s Office of Intelligence and Analysis (I&A) which require a response from Department leadership. The report details a series of problems related to the legality of I&A operations, I&A’s relationships with other federal as well as state and local authorities, the allocation of resources and personnel, management and the internal climate at I&A, and accountability. We request that the Department provide the Congress an explanation of how it will address each of these issues, the extent to which the Department accepts and intends to implement the recommendations included in the report, and any additional reforms the Department may support.
  • Key Committees 2021

    Key Committees 2021

    Key Committees 2021 Senate Committee on Appropriations Visit: appropriations.senate.gov Majority Members Minority Members Patrick J. Leahy, VT, Chairman Richard C. Shelby, AL, Ranking Member* Patty Murray, WA* Mitch McConnell, KY Dianne Feinstein, CA Susan M. Collins, ME Richard J. Durbin, IL* Lisa Murkowski, AK Jack Reed, RI* Lindsey Graham, SC* Jon Tester, MT Roy Blunt, MO* Jeanne Shaheen, NH* Jerry Moran, KS* Jeff Merkley, OR* John Hoeven, ND Christopher Coons, DE John Boozman, AR Brian Schatz, HI* Shelley Moore Capito, WV* Tammy Baldwin, WI* John Kennedy, LA* Christopher Murphy, CT* Cindy Hyde-Smith, MS* Joe Manchin, WV* Mike Braun, IN Chris Van Hollen, MD Bill Hagerty, TN Martin Heinrich, NM Marco Rubio, FL* * Indicates member of Labor, Health and Human Services, Education, and Related Agencies Subcommittee, which funds IMLS - Final committee membership rosters may still be being set “Key Committees 2021” - continued: Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Visit: help.senate.gov Majority Members Minority Members Patty Murray, WA, Chairman Richard Burr, NC, Ranking Member Bernie Sanders, VT Rand Paul, KY Robert P. Casey, Jr PA Susan Collins, ME Tammy Baldwin, WI Bill Cassidy, M.D. LA Christopher Murphy, CT Lisa Murkowski, AK Tim Kaine, VA Mike Braun, IN Margaret Wood Hassan, NH Roger Marshall, KS Tina Smith, MN Tim Scott, SC Jacky Rosen, NV Mitt Romney, UT Ben Ray Lujan, NM Tommy Tuberville, AL John Hickenlooper, CO Jerry Moran, KS “Key Committees 2021” - continued: Senate Committee on Finance Visit: finance.senate.gov Majority Members Minority Members Ron Wyden, OR, Chairman Mike Crapo, ID, Ranking Member Debbie Stabenow, MI Chuck Grassley, IA Maria Cantwell, WA John Cornyn, TX Robert Menendez, NJ John Thune, SD Thomas R.
  • CALENDAR of BUSINESS Wednesday, January 6, 2021

    CALENDAR of BUSINESS Wednesday, January 6, 2021

    SENATE OF THE UNITED STATES ONE HUNDRED SEVENTEENTH CONGRESS CONVENED JANUARY 3, 2021 FIRST SESSION ! " DAYS OF SESSION 2 SECOND SESSION ! " CALENDAR OF BUSINESS Wednesday, January 6, 2021 SENATE CONVENES AT 12:30 P.M. PREPARED UNDER THE DIRECTION OF JULIE E. ADAMS, SECRETARY OF THE SENATE By JOHN J. MERLINO, LEGISLATIVE CLERK www.SenateCalendar.gov 19–015 2 UNANIMOUS CONSENT AGREEMENTS 3 SSS2021 SSS JANUARY JULY Sun M Tu W Th F Sat Sun M Tu W Th F Sat 1 2 1 2 3 3 4 5 —–6 7 8 9 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 31 FEBRUARY AUGUST 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 28 29 30 31 MARCH SEPTEMBER 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 2 3 4 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 28 29 30 31 26 27 28 29 30 APRIL OCTOBER 1 2 3 1 2 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 25 26 27 28 29 30 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 MAY NOVEMBER 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 28 29 30 30 31 JUNE DECEMBER 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 27 28 29 30 26 27 28 29 30 31 JANUARY Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Days Senate met during First Session, One Hundred Seventeenth Congress, are marked (—–).
  • Fact Sheet: Senator Marco Rubio’S Republican Address to the Nation

    Fact Sheet: Senator Marco Rubio’S Republican Address to the Nation

    FACT SHEET: SENATOR MARCO RUBIO’S REPUBLICAN ADDRESS TO THE NATION Rubio: “Economic growth is the best way to help the middle class. … I hope the President will abandon his obsession with raising taxes and instead work with us to achieve real growth in our economy.” RUBIO: LIMITED GOVERNMENT & FREE ENTERPRISE – NOT BIG GOVERNMENT – WILL STRENGTHEN AMERICA’S MIDDLE CLASS Rubio: “Presidents in both parties – from John F. Kennedy to Ronald Reagan – have known that our free enterprise economy is the source of our middle class prosperity. Enacted After His Death, Kennedy’s Tax Relief Cut The Top Marginal Rate To 70% From 91%. The Economy Grew 5.5%, Unemployment Dropped To 3.8% & The Annual Deficit Shrank From $7 Billion To $1 Billion. Rubio: “This idea – that our problems were caused by a government that was too small – it’s just not true. In fact, a major cause of our recent downturn was a housing crisis created by reckless government policies.” Forbes: “There is very little doubt that the underlying cause of the current credit crisis was a housing bubble. But the collapse of the bubble would not have led to a worldwide recession and credit crisis if almost 40% of all U.S. mortgages--25 million loans--were not of the low quality known as subprime or Alt-A. These loans were made to borrowers with blemished credit, or involved low or no down payments, negative amortization and limited documentation of income. The loans’ unprecedentedly high rates of default are what is driving down housing prices and weakening the financial system.
  • How to Be an Effective DM Advocate for a Cure

    How to Be an Effective DM Advocate for a Cure

    How To Be An Effective DM Advocate for A Cure Webinar February 25, 2016 Goals for the Webinar ►What Are We Trying To Accomplish? ► Increase DM Research Funding ► Department of Defense Congressionally Directed Research Programs ► National Institutes of Health ►How Are We Going To Accomplish This? ► Review Relevant Congressional Committees & Key Players ► Review Legislative Action Plan ► Discuss Advocacy Tools 2 Department of Defense Congressionally Directed Medical Research Programs (CDMRP) ► Established By Congress In 1992 By Breast Cancer Advocates ► Invests In High Impact, High Risk, High Gain Research ► Has Grown From $25 Million to Over $1 Billion Annually ► Has Funded 43 Diseases, Conditions & Areas of Research ► Including Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy, Epilepsy, ALS, Autism ► Has Awarded 13,261 Grants From 1992-2014 Totaling $9.7 Billion ► Need To Recruit House and Senate Sponsor For DM Research Request ► House Bill Includes Disease Specific Line Item Funding ► Senate Bill Includes Pool of Funding & Disease Line Item Funding ► GOAL: Include DM In Compromise Defense Bill CDMRP Disease Funding Pool In Early Fall 3 National Institutes of Health DM Research Funding ► DM Research Funding Has Been Flat - $9 M (FY11-16) ► Other Disease Research Comparables ► Duchene/Becker Muscular Dystrophy $32 M (FY11) - $33 (FY16) ► DM 3.0 Federal Research Goal (33 Million In 3-5 Years) ► Strategies: ► Educate Congress About DM, Personal and Economic Impact ► Recruit Congressional Advocates ► Leverage Congressional Support to Increase NIH Focus on DM
  • Lobbying Contribution Report

    Lobbying Contribution Report

    8/1/2016 LD­203 Contribution Report LOBBYING CONTRIBUTION REPORT Clerk of the House of Representatives • Legislative Resource Center • 135 Cannon Building • Washington, DC 20515 Secretary of the Senate • Office of Public Records • 232 Hart Building • Washington, DC 20510 1. FILER TYPE AND NAME 2. IDENTIFICATION NUMBERS Type: House Registrant ID: Organization Lobbyist 35195 Organization Name: Senate Registrant ID: Honeywell International 57453 3. REPORTING PERIOD 4. CONTACT INFORMATION Year: Contact Name: 2016 Ms.Stacey Bernards Mid­Year (January 1 ­ June 30) Email: Year­End (July 1 ­ December 31) [email protected] Amendment Phone: 2026622629 Address: 101 CONSTITUTION AVENUE, NW WASHINGTON, DC 20001 USA 5. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE NAMES Honeywell International Political Action Committee 6. CONTRIBUTIONS No Contributions #1. Contribution Type: Contributor Name: Amount: Date: FECA Honeywell International Political Action Committee $1,500.00 01/14/2016 Payee: Honoree: Friends of Sam Johnson Sam Johnson #2. Contribution Type: Contributor Name: Amount: Date: FECA Honeywell International Political Action Committee $2,500.00 01/14/2016 Payee: Honoree: Kay Granger Campaign Fund Kay Granger #3. Contribution Type: Contributor Name: Amount: Date: FECA Honeywell International Political Action Committee $2,000.00 01/14/2016 Payee: Honoree: Paul Cook for Congress Paul Cook https://lda.congress.gov/LC/protected/LCWork/2016/MM/57453DOM.xml?1470093694684 1/75 8/1/2016 LD­203 Contribution Report #4. Contribution Type: Contributor Name: Amount: Date: FECA Honeywell International Political Action Committee $1,000.00 01/14/2016 Payee: Honoree: DelBene for Congress Suzan DelBene #5. Contribution Type: Contributor Name: Amount: Date: FECA Honeywell International Political Action Committee $1,000.00 01/14/2016 Payee: Honoree: John Carter for Congress John Carter #6.
  • Trump the Ultimate INGOP Wildcard

    Trump the Ultimate INGOP Wildcard

    V21, N25 Friday, March 4, 2016 Trump the ultimate INGOP wildcard could go wrong A few Hoosier with that?), prepar- ing to nominate a Republicans express billionaire dema- alarm, but party is gogue who has insulted everyone mostly mute from the Holy See to disabled citizens. By BRIAN A. HOWEY The only entities BLOOMINGTON – We have not feeling the entered the era of Trumpian Indi- Teflon howitzers ana. It is one filled with mystery and are Jesus Christ, vacuum. It is one that is releasing Mohammed and demons. With Donald Trump well God, and they positioned for may be next. For the Republican Democrats rejoic- presidential ing at the idea that nomination, Hillary Clinton will fueled by about Andrean HS students holding a Donald Trump cutout chanted “build a “cream” Trump, as 35% of the wall” at Latino Bishop Noll students last weekend. (NWI Times Photo) suggested by the Republican wobbly prognosti- electorate in about 15 states, Americans and Hoosiers are cators Karl Rove and Bill Kristol, the sobering dynamic is facing an unprecedented November election with the likely that the U.S. may be one terror assault away from a Presi- nominees possessing historically high negatives. dent Trump, whose candidacy rocketed past the punditry Any historic templates are now obsolete. following the Paris and San Bernardino attacks. ISIS seeks On the Republican side, the Trump phenomenon is Continued on page 4 being propelled by the uneducated and uninformed (what Lt. Gov. Holcomb ascends By BRIAN A. HOWEY INDIANAPOLIS – Sooooo, have you been to the Berry Bowl? Eric Holcomb responded, “Yes.” The Wigwam? TigArena? Northside Gym? Holcomb, then a U.S.
  • 2015 Voting Record

    2015 Voting Record

    2015 VOTING RECORD 2016 INTRODUCTION The American Federation of Government Employees, AFL-CIO, is the nation’s largest federal employee union, representing more than 670,000 federal and D.C. government workers nationwide and overseas. Workers in virtually every function of government depend upon AFGE for legislative advocacy, legal representation, technical expertise, and informational services. AFGE is proud to represent federal and D.C. government workers because they are the vital threads of the fabric of American life. Government workers inspect the food we eat and the places we work. They protect citizens from the illicit flow of drugs, maintain the safety of our nation’s borders, and keep the national defense systems prepared for any danger. They care for our nation’s veterans and serve as a vital link to Social Security recipients. AFGE takes seriously its responsibility to protect the rights of the working and middle class Americans who make up the federal and D.C. workforces. The union believes the best way to improve government’s effectiveness and efficiency is to treat federal and D.C. workers as valuable resources rather than easy targets. Federal labor unions, including AFGE, are not currently afforded the same full-scope collective bargaining rights as unions representing private sector workers. For this reason, AFGE relies on a comprehensive legislative and political action program to deal with issues that affect the federal and D.C. workforces. When Congress tackles government employee pay and benefit issues or debates funding of vital government programs, AFGE is on the scene representing its members. The 2015 Voting Record shows where House and Senate lawmakers stood on the issues that were most important to federal and D.C.
  • Marc Short Chief of Staff, Vice President Pence

    Marc Short Chief of Staff, Vice President Pence

    MARC SHORT CHIEF OF STAFF, VICE PRESIDENT PENCE u Life in Brief Quick Summary Hometown: Virginia Beach, VA Lifelong conservative GOP operative who rose through party ranks to become a trusted Mike Current Residence: Arlington, VA Pence confidante. Utilizes expansive network of Koch allies, White House staff, and congressional Education ties to push Administration priorities • BA, Washington & Lee, 1992 • MBA, University of Virginia, 2004 • Polished and pragmatic tactician who plays a behind-the-scenes role advising Vice President Family: Pence and other senior leaders • Married to Kristen Short, who has • Early conservative political views shaped By his worked for Young America’s Foundation, father, Dick Short, a wealthy GOP donor well- Freedom Alliance, and the Charles G. connected to Virginia GOP circles Koch Foundation • Extensive experience with Freedom Partners and • Three school-aged children the Koch Brothers exposed him to large network of GOP donors and influencers Work History • Earned reputation as smart strategist on the Hill • Chief of Staff to the Vice President of the working closely with then-Rep. Mike Pence United States, 2019-Present • Provided GOP estaBlishment credentials and • Senior Fellow at UVA Miller Center of congressional experience to Trump White House PuBlic Affairs, 2018-19 to advance Administration’s early agenda, • Contributor for CNN, 2018-19 including on 2017 tax cuts and Neil Gorsuch’s • Partner at Guidepost Strategies, 2018-19 confirmation to the Supreme Court • White House Director of Legislative •
  • The Evolution of the Digital Political Advertising Network

    The Evolution of the Digital Political Advertising Network

    PLATFORMS AND OUTSIDERS IN PARTY NETWORKS: THE EVOLUTION OF THE DIGITAL POLITICAL ADVERTISING NETWORK Bridget Barrett A thesis submitted to the faculty at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts at the Hussman School of Journalism and Media. Chapel Hill 2020 Approved by: Daniel Kreiss Adam Saffer Adam Sheingate © 2020 Bridget Barrett ALL RIGHTS RESERVED ii ABSTRACT Bridget Barrett: Platforms and Outsiders in Party Networks: The Evolution of the Digital Political Advertising Network (Under the direction of Daniel Kreiss) Scholars seldom examine the companies that campaigns hire to run digital advertising. This thesis presents the first network analysis of relationships between federal political committees (n = 2,077) and the companies they hired for electoral digital political advertising services (n = 1,034) across 13 years (2003–2016) and three election cycles (2008, 2012, and 2016). The network expanded from 333 nodes in 2008 to 2,202 nodes in 2016. In 2012 and 2016, Facebook and Google had the highest normalized betweenness centrality (.34 and .27 in 2012 and .55 and .24 in 2016 respectively). Given their positions in the network, Facebook and Google should be considered consequential members of party networks. Of advertising agencies hired in the 2016 electoral cycle, 23% had no declared political specialization and were hired disproportionately by non-incumbents. The thesis argues their motivations may not be as well-aligned with party goals as those of established political professionals. iii TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES .................................................................................................................... V POLITICAL CONSULTING AND PARTY NETWORKS ...............................................................................
  • How the Fundraising Treadmill Diminishes Effective Governance

    How the Fundraising Treadmill Diminishes Effective Governance

    TORRES-SPELLISCY 2018 TIME SUCK: HOW THE FUNDRAISING TREADMILL DIMINISHES EFFECTIVE GOVERNANCE Ciara Torres-Spelliscy* I. INTRODUCTION .............................................................................. 272 II. THE CURRENT SHORTSIGHTED JURISPRUDENCE ON CANDIDATE TIME ....................................................................................... 278 III. FEDERAL ELECTED OFFICIALS ARE WATCHING THEIR DAYS TICK AWAY AS THEY FUNDRAISE .................................................. 281 A. Pre-Citizens United Fundraising ...................................... 282 B. Post-Citizens United Fundraising ..................................... 285 IV. WHAT DOES THE DATA ABOUT FUNDRAISERS REVEAL? .......... 291 V. NO ONE CAN MULTI-TASK INCLUDING ELECTED OFFICIALS ..... 293 VI. WHAT HAPPENS WHEN INCUMBENT CANDIDATES RUN OUT OF TIME: POLICY AND FUNDRAISING GET OUTSOURCED .......... 296 A. Reforms in Light of the Problem of Dwindling Candidate Time ................................................................................ 306 VII. CONCLUSION ............................................................................. 309 *Associate Professor of Law and Leroy Highbaugh Research Chair at Stetson University College of Law and a Fellow at the Brennan Center for Justice at NYU School of Law; AB Harvard; JD Columbia. The author thanks Stetson College of Law for its scholarship grant which allowed this piece to be written, and research assistants Joy Branham, Michael Davids, Kyle Gretel, Ashley Justice, and Felicia Kitzmiller, and
  • How Jeb Bush's Allies Tried — and Failed — to Stop Marco Rubio

    How Jeb Bush's Allies Tried — and Failed — to Stop Marco Rubio

    News Buzz Life Quizzes Videos More Get Our App! Clay Rodery for BuzzFeed News Whisper Campaigns and “Zipper Problems”: How Jeb Bush’s Allies Tried — and Failed — to Stop Marco Rubio An adaption from the forthcoming book, The Wilderness: Deep Inside the Republican Party’s Combative, Contentious, Chaotic Quest to Take Back the White House. McKay Coppins BuzzFeed News Reporter posted on Nov. 29, 2015, at 8:47 p.m. On the night of the 2010 midterm elections, a portly, silver­haired Jeb Bush stood on a stage in the courtyard of Miami’s luxe Biltmore Hotel, appearing to choke back tears. The beloved former governor of Florida was there to introduce the young conservative insurgent who had just pulled off a remarkable underdog victory in the U.S. Senate race. “Bushes get emotional, so I’m gonna try my hardest,” Jeb told the ecstatic crowd of Republicans. “My wife told me, ‘Don’t cry, don’t cry.’ But Marco Rubio makes me cry for joy!” At the time, it looked like the culmination of a sturdy alliance and deep friendship — the proud mentor presenting his protege. Five years later, however, the two men are locked in a fight for the Republican presidential nomination, and recent headlines suggest the relationship has soured. According to the New York Times, Bush’s super PAC has threatened to spend $20 million in a blitz of negative ads intended “to damage … Rubio’s reputation and halt his sudden ascent in the polls.” And last month, an internal document leaked detailing the Bush campaign’s efforts to cast Rubio as “a risky bet” for donors.