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Florida Presidential Primary Survey March 2016 Methodology

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Florida Presidential Primary Survey March 2016 Methodology Florida Presidential Primary Survey March 2016 Methodology Sample 450 Republican Florida likely presidential primary voters Dates of Interviews March 2nd - March 5th Languages of Interviews English, Spanish Margin of Error +/- 4.6 Percentage Points Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 2 ELECTORAL MOTIVATION Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track? 93% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 5% 20% 2% 10% 0% Wrong Track Right Direction Don't know/No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 4 Which one of the following issues will be the MOST important in deciding your vote for President in November 2016? 45% 43% 40% 35% 30% 27% 25% 20% 15% 8% 10% 7% 6% 3% 2% 5% 2% 1% 1% 0% Jobs and the Terrorism Foreign Policy Healthcare Immigration Education Global Climate Same Sex Other Don't economy Change Marriage know/No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 5 CANDIDATE FAVORABILITY RATINGS Ted Cruz Very/Somewhat favorable opinion 21% 36% 57% Somewhat/Very unfavorable opinion 18% 17% 35% Do not recognize 2% 6% No answer 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 7 Donald Trump Very/Somewhat favorable opinion 27% 30% 57% Somewhat/Very unfavorable opinion 15% 24% 39% 4% No answer 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 8 Marco Rubio Very/Somewhat favorable opinion 28% 34% 62% 18% Somewhat/Very unfavorable opinion 13% 31% Do not recognize 1% 6% No answer 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 9 REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY If the 2016 Republican presidential primary in Florida were held today and the candidates were Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio and Donald Trump, whom would you support? 38% 40% 35% 31% 30% 25% 19% 20% 15% 10% 7% 4% 5% 1% 0% Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz John Kasich Other Don't know/No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 11 If the 2016 Republican presidential primary in Florida were held today and the candidates were Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio and Donald Trump, whom would you support? BY GENDER Male Female Donald Trump 42% 35% Marco Rubio 29% 33% Ted Cruz 21% 18% John Kasich 4% 6% Don’t know/No answer 4% 8% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 12 Which candidate would be your 2nd choice? 30% 30% 24% 25% 20% 17% 15% 14% 15% 10% 5% 0% Ted Cruz Marco Rubio Donald Trump John Kasich Don't know/No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 13 Who do you think has a better chance of getting elected president in November 2016? 60% 60% 50% 40% 30% 17% 20% 15% 5% 10% 3% 0% Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 14 Who do you think has a better chance of getting elected president in November 2016? BY EDUCATION Male Female Donald Trump 61% 59% Marco Rubio 19% 15% Ted Cruz 13% 16% Don’t know 3% 7% No answer 4% 3% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 15 If he does not win the Florida Presidential Primary on March 15th, do you believe that Marco Rubio should or should not suspend his campaign for President? 2% 6% Should suspend 33% 59% Should not suspend Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 16 PERSONAL TRAITS Who do you think is more honest and trustworthy? 34% 35% 30% 30% 25% 21% 20% 15% 8% 10% 7% 5% 0% Marco Rubio Donald Trump Ted Cruz Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 18 Who do you think has a better personality and temperament to serve as president? 39% 40% 35% 30% 26% 25% 25% 20% 15% 7% 10% 3% 5% 0% Marco Rubio Donald Trump Ted Cruz Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 19 Who do you think would do more to bring needed change to Washington? 60% 55% 50% 40% 30% 21% 18% 20% 5% 10% 1% 0% Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 20 Who do you think is closer to you on the issues? 39% 40% 32% 35% 30% 25% 21% 20% 15% 10% 4% 4% 5% 0% Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 21 Who do you think is closer to you on the issues? BY EDUCATION High School Some College College Graduate Donald Trump 27% 52% 36% Marco Rubio 35% 24% 35% Ted Cruz 27% 15% 23% Don’t know 5% 3% 5% No answer 6% 6% 1% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 22 Who do you trust most to handle the economy? 56% 60% 50% 40% 30% 22% 16% 20% 10% 3% 3% 0% Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 23 Who do you trust more to handle immigration issues? 45% 45% 40% 35% 29% 30% 25% 21% 20% 15% 10% 4% 5% 1% 0% Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 24 Who do you trust more to handle immigration issues? BY EDUCATION High School Some College College Graduate Donald Trump 38% 54% 43% Marco Rubio 31% 24% 30% Ted Cruz 27% 16% 22% Don’t know 3% 4% 3% No answer 1% 2% 2% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 25 Who do you trust more to handle the threat of terrorism? 45% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 25% 21% 20% 15% 10% 6% 3% 5% 0% Donald Trump Marco Rubio Donald Trump Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 26 Who do you trust more to handle the threat of terrorism? BY EDUCATION High School Some College College Graduate Donald Trump 34% 50% 47% Marco Rubio 32% 26% 21% Ted Cruz 23% 15% 24% Don’t know 10% 4% 6% No answer 1% 5% 2% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 27 Who do you trust more to handle healthcare? 40% 36% 35% 29% 30% 23% 25% 20% 15% 7% 10% 5% 5% 0% Donald Trump Marco Rubio Ted Cruz Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 28 Who do you trust more to handle healthcare? BY EDUCATION High School Some College College Graduate Donald Trump 29% 44% 35% Marco Rubio 29% 27% 30% Ted Cruz 27% 16% 25% Don’t know 10% 6% 6% No answer 5% 7% 4% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 29 REPUBLICAN U.S. SENATE PRIMARY If the Republican primary for the US Senate seat from Florida were held today and the candidates were Carlos Beruff, Ron DeSantis, David Jolly, Carlos Lopez-Cantera and Todd Wilcox, for whom would you vote? 80% 74% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 6% 6% 5% 7% 10% 2% 0% 0% Carlos Lopez- Ron DeSantis David Jolly Todd Wilcox Carlos Beruff Don't know No answer Cantera Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 31 POLICY SUPPORT With regard to the current opening on the Supreme Court, after President Obama nominates someone do you believe the U.S. Senate should vote on President Obama’s nominee to fill the position or should the Senate delay action on the vacancy until after the next president takes office? 72% 80% 70% 60% 50% Republicans 40% 26% 30% 20% 2% 10% 0% Vote Delay Don't know Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 33 Donald Trump has proposed banning Muslims who are not U.S. citizens from entering the United States for the time being. He says this would improve security against terrorism. Others say security would not be improved, and it’s wrong to bar people from the United States because of their religion. What’s your opinion—would you support a ban on Muslims entering the United States or to you this would be the wrong thing to do? Strongly/Somewhat support 39% 18% 57% Somewhat/Strongly wrong thing to do 18% 17% 35% 5% Do not recognize 3% No answer 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 34 Do you approve or disapproved of President Obama’s plan to visit Cuba this month? He’d be the first sitting President to do so in 88 years. 59% 60% 50% 33% 40% Approve Disapprove 30% Don't know 20% 7% No answer 10% 1% 0% Approve Disapprove Don't know No answer Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 35 Overall, do you support or oppose ending the so-called “wet foot, dry foot” policy, which allows Cuban refugees to stay in the U.S. if they reach U.S. soil? Strongly/Somewhat support 28% 23% 51% Somewhat/Strongly oppose 15% 25% 40% Don't know 7% 2% No answer 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Survey of Florida Presidential Primary Voters March 2016 36 The United States territory of Puerto Rico has announced that it is close to defaulting on $72 billion worth of debt.
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