1 an INTRODUCTION to COLLATERALISED DEBT OBLIGATIONS Moorad Choudhry and Aaron Nematnejad
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The TIPS-Treasury Bond Puzzle
The TIPS-Treasury Bond Puzzle Matthias Fleckenstein, Francis A. Longstaff and Hanno Lustig The Journal of Finance, October 2014 Presented By: Rafael A. Porsani The TIPS-Treasury Bond Puzzle 1 / 55 Introduction The TIPS-Treasury Bond Puzzle 2 / 55 Introduction (1) Treasury bond and the Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) markets: two of the largest and most actively traded fixed-income markets in the world. Find that there is persistent mispricing on a massive scale across them. Treasury bonds are consistently overpriced relative to TIPS. Price of a Treasury bond can exceed that of an inflation-swapped TIPS issue exactly matching the cash flows of the Treasury bond by more than $20 per $100 notional amount. One of the largest examples of arbitrage ever documented. The TIPS-Treasury Bond Puzzle 3 / 55 Introduction (2) Use TIPS plus inflation swaps to create synthetic Treasury bond. Price differences between the synthetic Treasury bond and the nominal Treasury bond: arbitrage opportunities. Average size of the mispricing: 54.5 basis points, but can exceed 200 basis points for some pairs. I The average size of this mispricing is orders of magnitude larger than transaction costs. The TIPS-Treasury Bond Puzzle 4 / 55 Introduction (3) What drives the mispricing? Slow-moving capital may help explain why mispricing persists. Is TIPS-Treasury mispricing related to changes in capital available to hedge funds? Answer: Yes. Mispricing gets smaller as more capital gets to the hedge fund sector. The TIPS-Treasury Bond Puzzle 5 / 55 Introduction (4) Also find that: Correlation in arbitrage strategies: size of TIPS-Treasury arbitrage is correlated with arbitrage mispricing in other markets. -
Lecture 5 an Introduction to European Put Options. Moneyness
Lecture: 5 Course: M339D/M389D - Intro to Financial Math Page: 1 of 5 University of Texas at Austin Lecture 5 An introduction to European put options. Moneyness. 5.1. Put options. A put option gives the owner the right { but not the obligation { to sell the underlying asset at a predetermined price during a predetermined time period. The seller of a put option is obligated to buy if asked. The mechanics of the European put option are the following: at time−0: (1) the contract is agreed upon between the buyer and the writer of the option, (2) the logistics of the contract are worked out (these include the underlying asset, the expiration date T and the strike price K), (3) the buyer of the option pays a premium to the writer; at time−T : the buyer of the option can choose whether he/she will sell the underlying asset for the strike price K. 5.1.1. The European put option payoff. We already went through a similar procedure with European call options, so we will just briefly repeat the mental exercise and figure out the European-put-buyer's profit. If the strike price K exceeds the final asset price S(T ), i.e., if S(T ) < K, this means that the put-option holder is able to sell the asset for a higher price than he/she would be able to in the market. In fact, in our perfectly liquid markets, he/she would be able to purchase the asset for S(T ) and immediately sell it to the put writer for the strike price K. -
Futures and Options Workbook
EEXAMININGXAMINING FUTURES AND OPTIONS TABLE OF 130 Grain Exchange Building 400 South 4th Street Minneapolis, MN 55415 www.mgex.com [email protected] 800.827.4746 612.321.7101 Fax: 612.339.1155 Acknowledgements We express our appreciation to those who generously gave their time and effort in reviewing this publication. MGEX members and member firm personnel DePaul University Professor Jin Choi Southern Illinois University Associate Professor Dwight R. Sanders National Futures Association (Glossary of Terms) INTRODUCTION: THE POWER OF CHOICE 2 SECTION I: HISTORY History of MGEX 3 SECTION II: THE FUTURES MARKET Futures Contracts 4 The Participants 4 Exchange Services 5 TEST Sections I & II 6 Answers Sections I & II 7 SECTION III: HEDGING AND THE BASIS The Basis 8 Short Hedge Example 9 Long Hedge Example 9 TEST Section III 10 Answers Section III 12 SECTION IV: THE POWER OF OPTIONS Definitions 13 Options and Futures Comparison Diagram 14 Option Prices 15 Intrinsic Value 15 Time Value 15 Time Value Cap Diagram 15 Options Classifications 16 Options Exercise 16 F CONTENTS Deltas 16 Examples 16 TEST Section IV 18 Answers Section IV 20 SECTION V: OPTIONS STRATEGIES Option Use and Price 21 Hedging with Options 22 TEST Section V 23 Answers Section V 24 CONCLUSION 25 GLOSSARY 26 THE POWER OF CHOICE How do commercial buyers and sellers of volatile commodities protect themselves from the ever-changing and unpredictable nature of today’s business climate? They use a practice called hedging. This time-tested practice has become a stan- dard in many industries. Hedging can be defined as taking offsetting positions in related markets. -
Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle
Credit-Market Sentiment and the Business Cycle David L´opez-Salido∗ Jeremy C. Stein† Egon Zakrajˇsek‡ First draft: April 2015 This draft: December 2016 Abstract Using U.S. data from 1929 to 2015, we show that elevated credit-market sentiment in year t−2 is associated with a decline in economic activity in years t and t + 1. Underlying this result is the existence of predictable mean reversion in credit-market conditions. When credit risk is aggressively priced, spreads subsequently widen. The timing of this widening is, in turn, closely tied to the onset of a contraction in economic activity. Exploring the mechanism, we find that buoyant credit-market sentiment in year t−2 also forecasts a change in the composition of exter- nal finance: Net debt issuance falls in year t, while net equity issuance increases, consistent with the reversal in credit-market conditions leading to an inward shift in credit supply. Unlike much of the current literature on the role of financial frictions in macroeconomics, this paper suggests that investor sentiment in credit markets can be an important driver of economic fluctuations. JEL Classification: E32, E44, G12 Keywords: credit-market sentiment; financial stability; business cycles We are grateful to Olivier Blanchard, Claudia Buch, Bill English, Robin Greenwood, Sam Hanson, Oscar` Jord`a, Larry Katz, Arvind Krishnamurthy, H´el`ene Rey, Andrei Shleifer, the referees, and seminar participants at numerous institutions for helpful comments. Miguel Acosta, Ibraheem Catovic, Gregory Cohen, George Gu, Shaily Patel, and Rebecca Zhang provided outstanding research assistance. The views expressed in this paper are solely the responsibility of the authors and should not be interpreted as reflecting the views of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or of anyone else associated with the Federal Reserve System. -
Complaint: Goldman, Sachs & Co. and Fabrice Tourre
UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT SOUTHERN DISTRICT OF NEW YORK SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMPLAINT COMMISSION, [Securities Fraud] Plaintiff, 10-CV-___________ ( ) v. ECF CASE GOLDMAN SACHS & CO. and Jury Trial Demanded FABRICE TOURRE, Defendants. Plaintiff, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission ("Commission"), alleges as follows against the defendants named above: OVERVIEW 1. The Commission brings this securities fraud action against Goldman, Sachs & Co. (“GS&Co”) and a GS&Co employee, Fabrice Tourre (“Tourre”), for making materially misleading statements and omissions in connection with a synthetic collateralized debt obligation (“CDO”) GS&Co structured and marketed to investors. This synthetic CDO, ABACUS 2007- AC1, was tied to the performance of subprime residential mortgage-backed securities (“RMBS”) and was structured and marketed by GS&Co in early 2007 when the United States housing market and related securities were beginning to show signs of distress. Synthetic CDOs like ABACUS 2007-AC1 contributed to the recent financial crisis by magnifying losses associated with the downturn in the United States housing market. 2. GS&Co marketing materials for ABACUS 2007-AC1 – including the term sheet, flip book and offering memorandum for the CDO – all represented that the reference portfolio of RMBS underlying the CDO was selected by ACA Management LLC (“ACA”), a third-party with experience analyzing credit risk in RMBS. Undisclosed in the marketing materials and unbeknownst to investors, a large hedge fund, Paulson & Co. Inc. (“Paulson”), with economic interests directly adverse to investors in the ABACUS 2007-AC1 CDO, played a significant role in the portfolio selection process. After participating in the selection of the reference portfolio, Paulson effectively shorted the RMBS portfolio it helped select by entering into credit default swaps (“CDS”) with GS&Co to buy protection on specific layers of the ABACUS 2007-AC1 capital structure. -
Module 6 Option Strategies.Pdf
zerodha.com/varsity TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Orientation 1 1.1 Setting the context 1 1.2 What should you know? 3 2 Bull Call Spread 6 2.1 Background 6 2.2 Strategy notes 8 2.3 Strike selection 14 3 Bull Put spread 22 3.1 Why Bull Put Spread? 22 3.2 Strategy notes 23 3.3 Other strike combinations 28 4 Call ratio back spread 32 4.1 Background 32 4.2 Strategy notes 33 4.3 Strategy generalization 38 4.4 Welcome back the Greeks 39 5 Bear call ladder 46 5.1 Background 46 5.2 Strategy notes 46 5.3 Strategy generalization 52 5.4 Effect of Greeks 54 6 Synthetic long & arbitrage 57 6.1 Background 57 zerodha.com/varsity 6.2 Strategy notes 58 6.3 The Fish market Arbitrage 62 6.4 The options arbitrage 65 7 Bear put spread 70 7.1 Spreads versus naked positions 70 7.2 Strategy notes 71 7.3 Strategy critical levels 75 7.4 Quick notes on Delta 76 7.5 Strike selection and effect of volatility 78 8 Bear call spread 83 8.1 Choosing Calls over Puts 83 8.2 Strategy notes 84 8.3 Strategy generalization 88 8.4 Strike selection and impact of volatility 88 9 Put ratio back spread 94 9.1 Background 94 9.2 Strategy notes 95 9.3 Strategy generalization 99 9.4 Delta, strike selection, and effect of volatility 100 10 The long straddle 104 10.1 The directional dilemma 104 10.2 Long straddle 105 10.3 Volatility matters 109 10.4 What can go wrong with the straddle? 111 zerodha.com/varsity 11 The short straddle 113 11.1 Context 113 11.2 The short straddle 114 11.3 Case study 116 11.4 The Greeks 119 12 The long & short straddle 121 12.1 Background 121 12.2 Strategy notes 122 12..3 Delta and Vega 128 12.4 Short strangle 129 13 Max pain & PCR ratio 130 13.1 My experience with option theory 130 13.2 Max pain theory 130 13.3 Max pain calculation 132 13.4 A few modifications 137 13.5 The put call ratio 138 13.6 Final thoughts 140 zerodha.com/varsity CHAPTER 1 Orientation 1.1 – Setting the context Before we start this module on Option Strategy, I would like to share with you a Behavioral Finance article I read couple of years ago. -
307439 Ferdig Master Thesis
Master's Thesis Using Derivatives And Structured Products To Enhance Investment Performance In A Low-Yielding Environment - COPENHAGEN BUSINESS SCHOOL - MSc Finance And Investments Maria Gjelsvik Berg P˚al-AndreasIversen Supervisor: Søren Plesner Date Of Submission: 28.04.2017 Characters (Ink. Space): 189.349 Pages: 114 ABSTRACT This paper provides an investigation of retail investors' possibility to enhance their investment performance in a low-yielding environment by using derivatives. The current low-yielding financial market makes safe investments in traditional vehicles, such as money market funds and safe bonds, close to zero- or even negative-yielding. Some retail investors are therefore in need of alternative investment vehicles that can enhance their performance. By conducting Monte Carlo simulations and difference in mean testing, we test for enhancement in performance for investors using option strategies, relative to investors investing in the S&P 500 index. This paper contributes to previous papers by emphasizing the downside risk and asymmetry in return distributions to a larger extent. We find several option strategies to outperform the benchmark, implying that performance enhancement is achievable by trading derivatives. The result is however strongly dependent on the investors' ability to choose the right option strategy, both in terms of correctly anticipated market movements and the net premium received or paid to enter the strategy. 1 Contents Chapter 1 - Introduction4 Problem Statement................................6 Methodology...................................7 Limitations....................................7 Literature Review.................................8 Structure..................................... 12 Chapter 2 - Theory 14 Low-Yielding Environment............................ 14 How Are People Affected By A Low-Yield Environment?........ 16 Low-Yield Environment's Impact On The Stock Market........ -
Mortgage-Backed Securities & Collateralized Mortgage Obligations
Mortgage-backed Securities & Collateralized Mortgage Obligations: Prudent CRA INVESTMENT Opportunities by Andrew Kelman,Director, National Business Development M Securities Sales and Trading Group, Freddie Mac Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) have Here is how MBSs work. Lenders because of their stronger guarantees, become a popular vehicle for finan- originate mortgages and provide better liquidity and more favorable cial institutions looking for investment groups of similar mortgage loans to capital treatment. Accordingly, this opportunities in their communities. organizations like Freddie Mac and article will focus on agency MBSs. CRA officers and bank investment of- Fannie Mae, which then securitize The agency MBS issuer or servicer ficers appreciate the return and safety them. Originators use the cash they collects monthly payments from that MBSs provide and they are widely receive to provide additional mort- homeowners and “passes through” the available compared to other qualified gages in their communities. The re- principal and interest to investors. investments. sulting MBSs carry a guarantee of Thus, these pools are known as mort- Mortgage securities play a crucial timely payment of principal and inter- gage pass-throughs or participation role in housing finance in the U.S., est to the investor and are further certificates (PCs). Most MBSs are making financing available to home backed by the mortgaged properties backed by 30-year fixed-rate mort- buyers at lower costs and ensuring that themselves. Ginnie Mae securities are gages, but they can also be backed by funds are available throughout the backed by the full faith and credit of shorter-term fixed-rate mortgages or country. The MBS market is enormous the U.S. -
Ice Crude Oil
ICE CRUDE OIL Intercontinental Exchange® (ICE®) became a center for global petroleum risk management and trading with its acquisition of the International Petroleum Exchange® (IPE®) in June 2001, which is today known as ICE Futures Europe®. IPE was established in 1980 in response to the immense volatility that resulted from the oil price shocks of the 1970s. As IPE’s short-term physical markets evolved and the need to hedge emerged, the exchange offered its first contract, Gas Oil futures. In June 1988, the exchange successfully launched the Brent Crude futures contract. Today, ICE’s FSA-regulated energy futures exchange conducts nearly half the world’s trade in crude oil futures. Along with the benchmark Brent crude oil, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil and gasoil futures contracts, ICE Futures Europe also offers a full range of futures and options contracts on emissions, U.K. natural gas, U.K power and coal. THE BRENT CRUDE MARKET Brent has served as a leading global benchmark for Atlantic Oseberg-Ekofisk family of North Sea crude oils, each of which Basin crude oils in general, and low-sulfur (“sweet”) crude has a separate delivery point. Many of the crude oils traded oils in particular, since the commercialization of the U.K. and as a basis to Brent actually are traded as a basis to Dated Norwegian sectors of the North Sea in the 1970s. These crude Brent, a cargo loading within the next 10-21 days (23 days on oils include most grades produced from Nigeria and Angola, a Friday). In a circular turn, the active cash swap market for as well as U.S. -
The Behaviour of Small Investors in the Hong Kong Derivatives Markets
Tai-Yuen Hon / Journal of Risk and Financial Management 5(2012) 59-77 The Behaviour of Small Investors in the Hong Kong Derivatives Markets: A factor analysis Tai-Yuen Hona a Department of Economics and Finance, Hong Kong Shue Yan University ABSTRACT This paper investigates the behaviour of small investors in Hong Kong’s derivatives markets. The study period covers the global economic crisis of 2011- 2012, and we focus on small investors’ behaviour during and after the crisis. We attempt to identify and analyse the key factors that capture their behaviour in derivatives markets in Hong Kong. The data were collected from 524 respondents via a questionnaire survey. Exploratory factor analysis was employed to analyse the data, and some interesting findings were obtained. Our study enhances our understanding of behavioural finance in the setting of an Asian financial centre, namely Hong Kong. KEYWORDS: Behavioural finance, factor analysis, small investors, derivatives markets. 1. INTRODUCTION The global economic crisis has generated tremendous impacts on financial markets and affected many small investors throughout the world. In particular, these investors feared that some European countries, including the PIIGS countries (i.e., Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, and Spain), would encounter great difficulty in meeting their financial obligations and repaying their sovereign debts, and some even believed that these countries would default on their debts either partially or completely. In response to the crisis, they are likely to change their investment behaviour. Corresponding author: Tai-Yuen Hon, Department of Economics and Finance, Hong Kong Shue Yan University, Braemar Hill, North Point, Hong Kong. Tel: (852) 25707110; Fax: (852) 2806 8044 59 Tai-Yuen Hon / Journal of Risk and Financial Management 5(2012) 59-77 Hong Kong is a small open economy. -
11 Option Payoffs and Option Strategies
11 Option Payoffs and Option Strategies Answers to Questions and Problems 1. Consider a call option with an exercise price of $80 and a cost of $5. Graph the profits and losses at expira- tion for various stock prices. 73 74 CHAPTER 11 OPTION PAYOFFS AND OPTION STRATEGIES 2. Consider a put option with an exercise price of $80 and a cost of $4. Graph the profits and losses at expiration for various stock prices. ANSWERS TO QUESTIONS AND PROBLEMS 75 3. For the call and put in questions 1 and 2, graph the profits and losses at expiration for a straddle comprising these two options. If the stock price is $80 at expiration, what will be the profit or loss? At what stock price (or prices) will the straddle have a zero profit? With a stock price at $80 at expiration, neither the call nor the put can be exercised. Both expire worthless, giving a total loss of $9. The straddle breaks even (has a zero profit) if the stock price is either $71 or $89. 4. A call option has an exercise price of $70 and is at expiration. The option costs $4, and the underlying stock trades for $75. Assuming a perfect market, how would you respond if the call is an American option? State exactly how you might transact. How does your answer differ if the option is European? With these prices, an arbitrage opportunity exists because the call price does not equal the maximum of zero or the stock price minus the exercise price. To exploit this mispricing, a trader should buy the call and exercise it for a total out-of-pocket cost of $74. -
YOUR QUICK START GUIDE to OPTIONS SUCCESS.Pages
YOUR QUICK START GUIDE TO OPTIONS SUCCESS Don Fishback IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE INFORMATION Fishback Management and Research, Inc. (FMR), its principles and employees reserve the right to, and indeed do, trade stocks, mutual funds, op?ons and futures for their own accounts. FMR, its principals and employees will not knowingly trade in advance of the general dissemina?on of trading ideas and recommenda?ons. There is, however, a possibility that when trading for these proprietary accounts, orders may be entered, which are opposite or otherwise different from the trades and posi?ons described herein. This may occur as a result of the use of different trading systems, trading with a different degree of leverage, or tes?ng of new trading systems, among other reasons. The results of any such trading are confiden?al and are not available for inspec?on. This publica?on, in whole or in part, may not be reproduced, retransmiDed, disseminated, sold, distributed, published, broadcast or circulated to anyone without the express prior wriDen permission of FMR except by bona fide news organiza?ons quo?ng brief passages for purposes of review. Due to the number of sources from which the informa?on contained in this newsleDer is obtained, and the inherent risks of distribu?on, there may be omissions or inaccuracies in such informa?on and services. FMR, its employees and contributors take every reasonable step to insure the integrity of the data. However, FMR, its owners and employees and contributors cannot and do not warrant the accuracy, completeness, currentness or fitness for a par?cular purpose of the informa?on contained in this newsleDer.