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FAR Presentation

Hayley R. Boesky May 14, 2021 Notice to Recipient Confidential

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Investor and corporate sentiment measures hit record highs, as consumers ramp up spending

Sentiment Scores during Earnings Calls Net Percent of Fund Managers Say Profits will Improve Hit Record High -5

Feb’02 Apr’21 80 Dec’09 -10 40 -15 0 Net Percent -20 -40

-80 -25 ’97 ‘00 ‘03 ’06 ‘09 ’12 ‘15 ’18 ‘21 ’04 ’06 ’08 ’10 ’12 ’14 ’16 ’18 ’20

Source: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey Source: FactSet, BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

BAC Aggregated Spending Data 70% Total Card Spending 7-day MA (ex-auto, ex-gas)

30%

-10% Percent Change Percent

-50% 2/1/2020 4/1/2020 6/1/2020 8/1/2020 10/1/2020 12/1/2020 2/1/2021 4/1/2021

1-yr %change 2-yr %change Source: BAC Internal Data, BofA Global Economics Research

1 Price Divergence or Changing Fundamentals?

FAIT, fiscal stimulus, and easy monetary policy have altered fundamentals

Central Bank Liquidity and Big Tech Total Government Spending as Percent of Market Cap GDP 30 Central Bank Liquidity 9.5 35

25 Market cap of Apple, Amazon, 7.5 30

Facebook, Google, Microsoft, Netflix, USD Trillions, 25 20 Tesla (RHS) 5.5 20 15 3.5

Percent of GDP 15

Trillions, USD 10 1.5 10 5 5 -0.5 0 ’09 ’11 ’13 ’17 ’19 ‘21 1929 1939 1949 1959 1969 1979 1989 1999 2009 2019

Source: BofA Global Investment Strategy, Bloomberg Source:

Pension Fund Asset Allocations $ Mil Negatively Yielding Debt Hits Record Levels 100% 20000000 80% 16000000 60% 12000000 40% 8000000 20% 4000000 0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 0 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Jan-20 Jan-21 Liquid Illiquid Source: Bloomberg Note: liquid assets= equity, fixed income, cash; illiquid assets = , real estate, other alternative investments Source: Pensions & Investments Research Center, aggregated by BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy 2 New Investors and Products

And new investors and products are changing market dynamics

Retail Trading Flow as % of Total US Market BofA Private Client ETF Holdings as % AUM 50% Volume 16%16% 15.2% DebtDebt ETFs ETF %% debtDebt holdings Holdings 14.7% Russell 2000 EquityEquity ETFs ETF % % equityEquity holdingsHoldings 40% 12%12%

30% 8%8%

20% 4%4%

0% 10% 0% Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20 Sep-20 Jan-21 '05’05'06 '07 ‘07'08 '09 ’09'10 '11 ‘11'12 '13 ’13'14 '15 ‘15'16 '17 '18’17 '19 '20 ’19 '21 '22 ‘21 Source: BofA Securities Source: FINRA, BofA Trading Desk

Mutual Fund, Closed Fund & ETF Ownership of SPAC Deals Hit Record Highs 350 25% US Corporate Bond Market (IG+HY) 300 20% 250

15% 200 150 10% Number of Deals 100 5% 50

0% 0 Holding % of corporate market bond corporate of % Holding 1986 1990 1993 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 2016 2020 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

Source: Federal Reserve Flow of Funds Source: Dealogic 3 What Could Cause Prices to Revert? Priced for Perfection

Optimism about reopening is already priced into markets, with little room for exogenous shocks

BofA Global Research FX and Rates Sentiment Survey What is the biggest risk to the risk-asset rally in 2021?

Higher rates / less dovish central

Worsening of global / US COVID situation

US fiscal policy disappointment

Vaccinelogistic issues

Other

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Answers in April 2021 Answers in March 2021

Source: BofA Global Research FX and Rates Sentiment Survey

Over 50% of market participants believe the largest risk to markets is higher rates / less dovish central banks

4 Markets to Watch Corporate Bonds

Despite massive increases in supply, bond spreads continue towards record tights and duration

Corporate Bond Ownership Continues to Increase US IG Corporate Bond Market Duration 14,000 bn ) 9.0 Continues to Extend 12,000 Foreigners Mutual fund/ETF 8.5 Life Insurance Pension Funds 10,000 8.0 ownership ($ ownership 8,000 7.5

bond bond 7.0 6,000 6.5 4,000 6.0

2,000 5.5 US corporate corporate US 5.0 0 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 1990Q1 1994Q1 1998Q1 2002Q1 2006Q1 2010Q1 2014Q1 2018Q1

Source: Federal Reserve Flow of Funds Source: ICE Data Indices, LLC, BofA Global Research

IG Spreads Near Record Tights Cumulative 10-Year Default Loss, Annualized 25 (bps) 400 IG Index spread of 94 (bps) 20 Spread target of 125 (bps) 19 350 20 2021 spread range of 90-130 (bps) 300 15 13 12 12 12 250 10 200 5 150

100 0 Single-A BBB IG 50 Dec-19 Mar-20 May-20 Aug-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Mar-21 1983-2019 1970-2019 Source: Bloomberg, ICE Data Indices, LLC, BofA Global Research Source: BofA Global Research, Moody’s 5 Housing

Housing prices are seeing record growth and will continue to rise due to limited supply

YoY House Price Growth Hits Record Levels While Monthly Housing Supply is at Record Lows 15 12 Feb: 12.2% 10 10

5 8

0 6

-5 4 Mar: 3.6 -10 2

-15 0 Ratio of Houses for Sale to Houses Sold Houses to Sale for Houses of Ratio 2000 2002 2005 2007 2010 2012 2015 2017 2020 1963 1968 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 2018

Source: FHFA House Price Index Source: US Census Bureau, HUD, retrieved from FRED

250 NAR Housing Affordability Index for Fixed Rate Mortgages (100+ = More Affordable) 200 Mar: 173

150

Avg = 129 100

50

0 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020

Source: National Association of Relators 6 Equities

Equities performance has been buoyed by strong earnings performance and low Treasury yields

Record High: S&P 500 EPS Beat vs. Consensus Estimate Record Flows: BofA Private Client Equity Holdings as % of AUM 25% at Start of Quarter Peak Mar 15: 64.3% 65% 62.5%

15% Peak Apr 07: 59% 56% 5% 53% Avg -5%

-15% 47%

-25% 41% 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020

Source: FactSet, BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy Source: BofA Securities

Record High: S&P 500 Quarterly Net Margins Elevated: S&P EPS vs. 12m Forward Expectations 13% ex-Financials

60%

40% 10% 20%

0%

7% -20% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021

Source: FactSet, BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy Source: BofA Global Research, Bloomberg 7