Population Association of New Zealand

2011 CONFERENCE PROGRAMME POPULATION ASSOCIATION OF NEW ZEALAND New Zealand’s Demographic Futures: Where to from here? School of Engineering, The University of Auckland 28 and 29 November Te Roopu Whaka Waihanga Iwi O Aotearoa 2011

Monday 28 November

8.30 – 9.00 Coffee, Tea and Registration Venue: Engineering School Foyer, Symonds St

9.00 -11.00 Morning programme : Welcomes and Plenary Sessions Venue: Engineering School Lecture Theatre 401-439

9.00 – 9.30 Alison Reid Vince Galvin President, PANZ Deputy Government Statistician, Social and Population Statistics

9.30 – 11.00 Professor Wei Li Professor Natalie Jackson School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning, Arizona State Director, National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis, University of University Waikato Counting Everyone in the Country: US Census and International Vice President, PANZ Comparisons The Demographic Forces shaping New Zealand’s Future

11.00 – Morning Tea 11.30 11.30 - 1.00 Concurrent Sessions 1a: Maori population 1b: Regional spotlight 1: 1c: Population ageing and the 1d: Migration and migrants Venue: Room 403-401 Auckland economy Venue: Room 403-404 Chair: Peter Himona Venue: Room 403-402 Venue: Room 403-403 Chair: Ward Friesen Chair: Kim Dunstan Chair: Arvind Zodkegar Desi Small-Rodriguez and Martin Matthew Roskruge. Immigrant Wall. Drivers of Maori wellbeing: An Charles Crothers and Ali Gale. Mansoor Khawaja and Bill integration and social capital investigation of the New Zealand Changing patterns of residential Boddington. Is working later our future? formation General Social Survey differentiation in Auckland Older New Zealanders in the labour force Anne Henderson. Immigrants and Natalie Jackson. Maori and the Alison Reid. Auckland’s Susan St John and Claire Dale. electoral enrolment: do the numbers potential collateral demographic demographic futures Spreading the costs of an ageing add up?

2011 PANZ Conference programme Last updated 21 November 2011 dividend Christoph Brodnik. Perceptions population Yaghoob Foroutan. Demographic of sustainability in Auckland's consequences of migration and Wendy Henwood, Remana residential housing market Alison O'Connell. Policy on NZS age of social change: cross-cultural Henwood, Hine Tohu, Irihapeti eligibility: What longevity data is needed? comparisons Morgan and Helen Moewaka Jamie Newell. A comparison of Barnes and Kiri Rihari. "Working the spatial distribution of Peggy Koopman Boyden and Patrick Todd Nachowitz. The Indian for the river will lift the health of the population and jobs within the Barrett. Options for responding to the diaspora in New Zealand: Changing people": Maori environmental Auckland, Melbourne and projected shortfall of carers in an ageing populations and community community action and community Christchurch labour market society. demographics, preliminary results. health and wellbeing catchments Tahu Kukutai and Jenine Cooper. Theorising the global Maori diaspora

1.00 - 2.00 Lunch 2.00 - 3.30 Concurrent sessions 2a. Population methods and 2b: General demography 1 2c. Demography and health Special Session 1: measures Venue: Room 403-402 Venue: Room 403-403 Demography and the public Venue: Room 403-401 Chair: Anne Henderson Chair: Alison Reid sector Chair: Mansoor Khawaja Rosemary Goodyear. The high Ward Friesen: Measuring health and Venue: Room 403-404 Chair: Len Cook Kim Dunstan. Are official costs of housing: investigating wellbeing in the Pacific demographic projections meeting changes in rental affordability over Evelyn Marsters. Health and mobility: 2- 2.45: Patrick Corr. the needs of users? Quantifying time, using experimental measures the transnational story of one family and Demographers in the public sector: uncertainty using stochastic based on census data their experiences with tuberculosis roles, skills and qualifications projections Bill Boddington and Robert Janet Amey. Diabetic retention in the Discussion to follow David Sykes. Victoria's small area Didham. Inter-ethnic partnering: national "Get Checked" programme: The population projections using An analysis of new parents case in Midlands Health Network. improved lot-level data Robert Didham and Bill 2.45 – 3.30: Pop'in 5 Sandra Baxendine. The reporting of Mathew Parackal, Sherly Boddington. Far from WEIRD: mental health outcomes in New Zealand Parackal and John Harraway. Maori and Pacific fertility defies A showcase of graduate students Micro-level stratification: A sampling expectations current research method to eliminate post survey Jamie Newell. Rural New Zealand weighting transformed – major change in age Andrew Hancock. Approaches in composition 1981 to 2006 activity classifications for time use surveys

3-30- 4.00 Afternoon tea 4.00 -5.15 Plenary Panel and Discussion Panellists confirmed to date: New Zealand’s Demographic Futures: Challenges and Opportunities

2011 PANZ Conference programme Last updated 21 November 2011 Venue: Lecture theatre 401-439 Richard Bedford, Professor of Population Geography, NIDEA Chair: Vince Galvin Judy McGregor, EEO Commissioner Tahu Kukutai, Senior Research Fellow, NIDEA 10 minute presentations from a selected panel, followed by general Erling Rasmussen, Professor of Work and Employment, Auckland University of discussion. Technology

5.15 Pre-dinner drinks Sponsored by National Institute of Demographic and Economic Analysis (NIDEA) 6.30 Conference Dinner After Dinner speaker Venue: Fale Pasifika, University of Oscar Kightley Auckland

Tuesday 29 November

8.30 – 9.00 Coffee, Tea and Registration Venue: Engineering School Foyer , Symonds St

9.00 – 11.00 Morning Programme Venue: Engineering School Lecture Theatre 401-439

9.00 – 9.30 PANZ Presidential Speech and Statistics New Zealand Jacoby Prize awards Plenary Session 9.30 – 11.00 Jeremy Gardiner Ross Barker Chief Executive, Te Runanga o Ngati Awa past Queensland and National President of the Australian Population Association Ko Ngati Awa te Toki: Planning for a Post-Treaty settlement future Assistant Government Statistician, Demography and Planning. Queensland Treasury Australia’s Demographic Futures

11.00 – Morning Tea 11.30 11.30 - 1.00 Concurrent Sessions 3a: General Demography 2 3b: Regional Spotlight 2: 3c: Population and the Pacific Venue: Room 403-401 Canterbury Venue: Room 403-403 Chair: Peggy Koopman-Boyden Venue: Room 403-402 Chair: Anne Henderson Chair: James Newell Ian Pool, Shefali Pawar and Ben Richard Bedford, Robert Didham Amey. Maori Gross National David Johnston, Sarah Beaven and and Graeme Hugo. The Pacific in New Income, 1880s to 1945

2011 PANZ Conference programme Last updated 21 November 2011 Diane Ormsby, J Haywood, P Thomas Wilson. Where have all the Zealand's demographic future Lester and B Dixon. Ambient students gone? Student movements temperature and birth sex ratios in following the 2010 and 2011 Canterbury Geoffrey Hayes. Population Policies in New Zealand: Is there a relationship? earthquakes the Pacific Islands: Recent History and Prospects for the Future Adele Quinn and Kim Dunstan. Deborah Potter and Kirsten Nissen. Use of alternative data sources in Exploring the usefulness of cell phone data Tahu Kukutai and Victor Thompson. estimating sub-national populations to inform emergency management Ethnic counting in the Pacific, 1965 to 2010 Rosemary Goodyear. "A challenge Peter Lafferty. International to decency": An historical overview migration to/from Christchurch after the Michael Berry. Census taking in the of crowding in New Zealand since earthquakes Pacific - a case study of Tokelau 1921 Wei Li. The aftermath of Katrina: disaster and rebuilding.

1.00 - 2.00 Lunch 2.00 – 3.00 Special Session 2: Future Population Statistics in New Zealand Hosted by Statistics New Zealand Venue: Engineering School Lecture Theatre 401-439 Sue Riddle Introduction and update

Andrea Blackburn, Deborah Potter and Robert Didham Future population statistics: meeting our current and future official information needs Introduction of the draft Population Statistics Domain Plan

Christine Bycroft and Susan Riddle Future censuses in New Zealand

3.00 - 3.30 Afternoon tea 3.30 - 4.15 Plenary Panel and Discussion Panellists confirmed to date: Venue: Engineering School Lecture Theatre 401-439 Chair: Sue Riddle Len Cook Ronji Tanielu, Social Policy and Parliamentary Unit, Salvation Army Topic ‘Counting Populations’ Patrick Corr, Director of Demography, Australian Bureau of Statistics James Newell, Director, MERA 10 minute presentations from a selected panel, followed by general discussion.

4.15 - 4.30 Wrap up and conference conclusion

2011 PANZ Conference programme Last updated 21 November 2011 2011 PANZ Conference programme Last updated 21 November 2011