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The Impacts of Climate Change in Hong Kong and the Pearl River Delta Christine Loh (Civic Exchange)

1. Consider likely impacts on HK-Macao-Pearl River Delta: - higher temperatures - erratic rainfall, more intense storms - rising sea levels - ecological - infrastructure damage - public health

2. Public Health: Dengue Fever Temperature increase Increase of Epidemic potential 1°C 1.2% 2°C 2.6% 3°C 4.1%

Malaria Temperature increase Increase of Epidemic potential 1°C 6.7% 2°C 13.0% 3°C 18.7% Source: LAM Ka-se (Associate Professor, Civil & Structural Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, ICCC Presentation, 2007 May)

3. Local, national and international policy measures: - technology and innovation-CCS - market mechanisms, tax & emissions trading - energy supply and efficiency - adaptation - global & regional regimes

4. Kyoto Protocol (1997-2005) - regulates-6 GHGs. 2

- sets reduction targets – Annex 1 countries only 3

- provides 3 flexible mechanisms: a) Emissions Trading (ET)-Phase I 2005-2007; Phase II 2008-2012 b) Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)-2000 c) Joint Implementation (JI)-2008 - Hong Kong  No target - Beginning to work on national assessment

5. Technology and innovation: - public / private R & D spending - deployment assistance - global co-operation - key technologies: a) clean coal / CCS b) renewable energy (solar, wind, hydrogen) - Hong Kong’s plan?

6. Energy supply and efficiency: - renewable energy targets - mandatory standards / labelling - voluntary agreements with industry - public transport - Hong Kong - 25% APEC energy efficiency target - new schemes of control - 1-2% renewable energy target

7. Adaptation: - Lack of global / regional co-operation - Individual countries working on research / action plans - Hong Kong: some HKO research, no plan

8. Hong Kong Policy Challenges and Opportunities: - Energy supply and efficiency – SoC - Market mechanisms, tax and emissions trading - Transport—Land, air and sea + Airport and port operations - Industry, buildings and waste management - Join regional and global dialogues and regimes 4

- Restoration and adaptation

9. Climate change is a social, societal, environmental, economic, business, political and international relations issue… BUT Do Hong Kong people care?