Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2050

Md. Nazrul Hoque, Ph.D. Hobby Center for Public Policy University of Houston 306 McElhinney Hall Houston, TX 77204-5021 Email: [email protected]

Clyde McNeil, MBA C.T. Bauer College of Business University of Houston Houston, TX 77201-5021

Jim Granato, Ph.D. Director Hobby Center for Public Policy University of Houston 306 McElhinney Hall Houston, TX 77204-5021 Email: [email protected]

Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2050

Texas is one of the fastest growing states in the United States. The population of

Texas will increase from 25.1 million in 2010 to 31.2, 40.5 or 54.4 million in 2050 depending on the projection scenario (Figure 1 and Table 1). These projections were prepared by the personnel of the University of Houston Hobby Center for Public Policy and the Texas State Data Center. Population projections were completed using a cohort-component projection technique. The basic characteristics of this technique are the use of separate cohorts - persons with one or more common characteristics - and the separate projection of each of the major components of population change - fertility, mortality, and migration for each cohort. The scenarios shown make the same assumptions about birth and death rates, but assume different net migration rates based on alternations of 2000 to 2010 age, sex, and race/ethnicity specific patterns of net migration. The 0.0 scenario assumes net migration is equal to zero (meaning there is no migration or in and out migration are equal) and growth occurred only as a result of natural increase (the difference between the number of births and number of deaths).

The 0.5 scenario assumes rates of net migration equal to one-half of the 2000-2010 trend and the 1.00 scenario assumes a continuation of 2000-2010 patterns of the net migration.

Projections are shown for the total population and for each of four racial/ethnic groups: Non-Hispanic White (Anglo), Non-Hispanic Black or African American, Hispanic of all races and Non-Hispanic Others (mainly Asian and Others). These consist of the following census categories: Non-Hispanic White alone, Non-Hispanic Black or African

American alone, Hispanics of all races, and persons in all other non-Hispanic racial groups referred to as the Other population group. The Other population group also includes all persons listing two or more races.

The data in Table 1 suggest that the Texas population will continue to grow and will be increasingly diverse. From 2010 to 2050, under the 0.0 migration scenario, the Texas population would increase from 25,145,561 to 31,246,355 in 2050. This growth represents an annualized rate of growth of 0.6 percent for the total projection period of

2010 through 2050. Under the 0.5 migration scenario, the Texas population would increase to 40,502,749 million in 2050 with an annualized growth rate of 1.5 percent.

Under the 1.0 migration scenario, the Texas population would increase to 54,369,297

million in 2050 with an annualized growth rate of 2.9 percent.

What is equally evident from the data in Table 1 is that the projected growth will involve substantial levels of net in-migration. Under the 0.50 scenario, net migration would be 9,256,394, and under the 1.0 scenario, net migration would be 23,122,942.

Although it is impossible to discern what proportion of the projected net migration would involve in-migration from other states versus immigration from other nations, under the

1.0 scenario, a substantial proportion of the total growth would be due to in-migrants and immigrants, and their descendants. What this suggests is that the future growth of the

Texas population is likely to be impacted by events that occur outside the state rather than relying on natural increase of current residents. The 0.0 scenario shows that Texas would increase its population by more than 0.6 percent per year even if its only growth were through natural increase. In other words, even if Texas experienced no net in-migration or immigration, its population would grow as rapidly as that projected for the nation. Under a wide array of circumstances, the Texas population is likely to continue to grow in the coming decades.

Continuing Growth in Minority Populations, 2010-2050

The data in Tables 2 and 3 and also in Figures 2 and 3 show that the pattern of rapid growth in minority populations in recent decades is likely to continue, but the ethnic differentials in rates of growth are most represented by Table 2. For example, from 2010 to 2050 under the 0.0 scenario, the Anglo population is projected to decline by 6.8 percent, but the Black population increases by 12.4 percent, the Hispanic population by

64.4 percent, and the Other population by 30.9 percent. Under the 0.5 scenario, the

Anglo population is projected to decline by only 1.2 percent while the Black population would increase by 40.8 percent, the Hispanic population would increase by 127.4 percent, and the Other population by 161.0 percent. Under the 1.0 scenario, the Anglo population is projected to grow by only 4.9 percent, the Black population would increase by 76.6 percent, the Hispanic population by 215.6 percent, and the Other population by

432.5 percent.

As a result of such differentials in growth, the proportion of the population that is

minority increases rapidly. Under the 1.00 scenario the proportion of Anglo population

decreases from 45.3 percent in 2010 to 22.0 percent in 2050. Black population decreases from 11.5 percent in 2010 to 9.4 percent in 2050. On the other hand, the proportion of

the population that is Hispanic increases from 37.6 percent in 2010 to 54.9 percent by

2050. Other population increases from 5.6 percent in 2010 to 13.7 percent by 2050.

Examined in terms of the total impact of each ethnic group on the net change in the population of Texas under the 0.0 scenario, more than 100 percent of the growth would be due to minority population growth. The reason is because the Anglo population will have below replacement fertility level. Under the 1.0 scenario, 98.1 percent of the net growth in the population of Texas from 2010 to 2050 would be due to minority population growth (see Table 3). The Anglo population would account only for 1.9 percent of the growth, the Black population for 7.6 percent, the Hispanic population for 69.8 percent, and the Other population for 20.7 percent of the total net population change in the population of Texas from 2010 through 2050. Texas’s population growth will be increasingly dependent on minority population growth with Hispanics playing a

particularly important role in the growth of minority populations in the state.

An Aging Population, 2010-2050

The Texas population is relatively young with a median age of 33.6 years in 2010, the second youngest population of any state in the United States (only Utah had a younger population). The projections of the age distribution of the future Texas population are shown in Tables 4 and 5. As the data in these tables suggest, the Texas population will age substantially over 40 years. The population 65 years of age or older was only 10.3 percent of the total population in 2010 (compared to 13.0 percent in the nation as a whole) but would increase to 19.5 or 17.4 percent by 2050 depending on the migration scenario of 0.5 and 1.0, respectively. Similarly, median age would increase from 33.6 in 2010 to 39.3 or 38.5 in 2050, depending on the migration scenario of 0.5 or

1.0. Under the 1.00 scenario, the median age for Anglos would increase from 41.3 in

2010 to 46.8 by 2050, the median age for Blacks would increase from 32.1 to 42.7 by

2050, the median age for Hispanics would increase from 27.0 to 34.8 by 2050, and for

Others it would increase from 31.2 to 39.0 by 2050.

Two aspects of the aging process are important to note. First, the aging process is more accentuated in the first part of the projection period than during the second part of the period. Under the 1.0 scenario, the proportion of the population that is 65 years of age or older shows rapid increase from 2010 to 2030 and level by 2040. The proportion of population that is 65 years of age and over increases from 10.3 percent in 2010 to 13.1 percent in 2020 and 16.0 percent in 2030. By 2040, however, the percent of the population that is elderly increases only to 16.9 percent and by 2050 it is 17.4 percent.

The reason that the elderly population increases more rapidly after 2010 is because of the

impact of the baby-boom generation. This group includes those persons born in the

years 1946 through 1964 was approximately one-third of the Texas population in 2010.

Since their numbers are so large, changes in their ages disproportionately impact the overall age structure of the population. This group begins to enter elderly ages in 2011.

At present, it might be more appropriate to refer to the Texas population as a middle-age population rather than an elderly population.

A second important feature of the aging process in the Texas population is that it varies widely by ethnicity. In 2010, 15.4 percent of Anglos were 65 years of age or older but only 7.6 percent of Blacks, 5.6 percent of Hispanics and 6.5 percent of the Others population were in elderly ages. Although all ethnic populations show increased aging over the projection period, by 2050 (under the 1.0 scenario), the proportion of the Anglo population that is 65 years of age or older increases to 28.0 percent while the Black and

Hispanic populations show 19.9 and 13.3 percent respectively in the elderly ages by

2050. The Other population will increase from 6.5 percent in 2010 to 14.9 percent in

2050.

The comparison of population pyramids for 2010 and 2050 shows that Texas’s population is projected to continue to age due to low fertility and higher life expectancy.

The proportion of children (under age 15) is expected to decline from 22.8 percent in 2010 to 18.8 percent in 2050. The proportion of population 65 years of age and older is expected to increase from 10.3 percent in 2010 to 17.4 in 2050. The proportion of the working age population is expected to decline from 66.9 percent in 2010 to 63.8 percent in 2050. As a result, the dependency ratio will increase from 49.6 in 2010 to 56.7 in 2050.

The aged dependency ratio will increase from 15.5 in 2010 to 27.2 in 2050, which means in 2010 there were 6.5 working age people for each person of 65 years of age and above while in 2050 there would be less than 4 persons.

Overall, then, the projected population patterns for Texas suggest that it will likely continue to show relatively high rates of growth. This growth, together with the existing characteristics of the population, will increase the ethnic diversity of the population and cause it to become an increasingly older population with the demands on services associated with increased age and diversity.

Patterns and Trends for Metropolitan Statistical Areas in Texas, 2010-2050

In this section, we briefly examine the trends in population growth, ethnicity and age projected to occur in the 25 Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) in Texas.

Because of the large number of areas involved, only summary data are presented in this

section. In addition, because of the large number of individual MSAs, the discussion

emphasizes patterns among MSAs for the total projection period from 2010 to 2050, but

data for intermediate periods are shown in the tables. In most cases, trends between

2010 and 2050 are incremental so that one can assume that the direction of the trend

from 2010 to 2050 applies to intermediate periods as well.

The data in Tables 6 and 7 shows that the Metropolitan Statistical Areas are

expected to generally maintain their relative order by population size except San

Antonio-New Braunfels. Under the 1.0 scenario, Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington would remain the largest MSA with a projected population of 16,367,293 million, followed by the

Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land MSA with a projected population of 14,221,267 million. In 2050, Austin-Round Rock would be the third largest MSA with a population of

5,176,940 million. San Antonio-New Braunfels would be the fourth largest MSA in 2050 with a population of 4,294,232 million. These four MSAs contained 64.5 percent of the state's population in 2010 and are projected (under the 1.0 scenario) to account for almost 74 percent of the total population of Texas by 2050.

Under the 1.00 scenario, Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington MSA would increase its population from 6,426,214 in 2010 to 16,367,293 in 2050. Houston-The

Woodlands-Sugar Land MSA would increase its population from 5,920,416 in 2010 to

14,221,267 in 2050. During the projection period, under the 1.00 scenario, Dallas-Fort

Worth-Arlington MSA would gain the most population of 9,941,079, followed by

Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land MSA with a gain of 8,300,079, and Austin-Round

Rock with a gain of 3,460,651 persons.

In terms of percent population change, under the 1.00 scenario, Austin-Round

Rock would gain the most, with an increase of 201.6 percent during the projection period of 2010-2050, followed by Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington MSA with an increase of 154.7 percent, Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land with an increase of 140.2 percent,

McAllen-Edinburg-Mission with an increase of 129.7 percent, and the Killeen-Temple

MSA with an increase of 112.9 percent. The Laredo MSA is projected to increase its population by nearly 111.7 percent from 2010 to 2050. The Texarkana MSA would gain the least population during the projected period (5.9 percent).

Overall the data in Table 6 suggest that growth will continue to be concentrated among

the state's largest metropolitan areas and in areas along the Texas-Mexico border with

reduced rates of growth occurring in the more rural parts of the state. In fact, the four

largest MSAs contained 64.5 percent of the population of Texas in 2010 and are

projected to contain (under the 1.0 scenario) 73.7 percent of the population in 2050.

Data in Tables 7, 8 and 9 also suggests that for nearly all MSAs, as for the state as a whole, the growth of minority populations is projected to be pervasive. In virtually all

areas, minority growth exceeds that for the Anglo population. In most MSAs, the Anglo

decline will be offset by minority increases. Similarly, the proportion of the total

population that is minority would increase rapidly. Under the 1.00 scenario, the minority

population will increase in the Abilene MSA from 31.7 percent in 2010 to 55.7 percent in

2050, Amarillo from 35.4 percent in 2010 to 69.6 percent in 2050, the Austin-Round Rock

MSA from 45.3 in 2010 to 69.0 percent in 2050, Beaumont-Port Arthur from 40.7 percent in 2010 to 67.1 in 2050, the Brownsville-Harlingen MSA from 89.3 percent to 96.6 in 2050,

Bryan-College Station from 40.1 percent in 2010 to 64.8 in 2050, Corpus Christi from 63.6 percent in 2010 to 82.8 percent in 2050, the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington MSA from 49.5 percent in 2010 to 78.4 percent in 2050, El Paso from 86.9 percent in 2010 to 95.4 percent in 2050, the Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land MSA from 60.4 to 83.8 in

2050, the Killeen-Temple MSA from 45.9 to 67.7 percent in 2050, the Laredo MSA from

96.6 percent in 2010 to 98.5 in 2050, the Longview MSA from 34.0 percent in 2010 to 68.1 percent in 2050, Lubbock from 43.1 percent in 2010 to 65.8 percent in 2050, the

McAllen-Edinburg-Mission MSA from 92.2 percent in 2010 to 96.1 percent in 2050,

Midland from 46.8 percent in 2010 to 76.5 percent in 2050, the Odessa MSA from 58.9 percent in 2010 to 86.0 percent in 2050, the San Angelo MSA from 41.9 percent in 2010

to 63.1 percent in 2050, the San Antonio-New Braunfels MSA from 64.0 percent in 2010

to 78.0 percent in 2050, the Sherman-Denison MSA from 21.3 percent in 2010 to 56.4 in

2050, Texarkana from 33.7 percent in 2010 to 54.8 percent in 2050, the Tyler MSA from

37.8 percent in 2010 to 69.8 percent in 2050, the Victoria MSA from 51.3 percent in 2010

to 72.8 percent in 2050, the Waco MSA from 41.6 percent in 2010 to 69.7 percent in 2050,

and Wichita Falls from 28.6 percent in 2010 to 53.6 percent in 2050.

In 2010, 16 of 25 MSAs had 50 percent or more of Anglo population, but under the projected population none of the MSAs would have 50 percent or more of the Anglo population in 2050. Finally, the pervasiveness of minority population growth is evident in the data in Table 8 which indicate that the number of Anglos would show an absolute decline in 19 of 25 MSAs of the state from 2010 to 2050 and there would not be a single

region in which Anglo population growth would account for a majority of that MSA’s

population growth.

Patterns and Trends for Council of Government Regions in Texas, 2010-2050

In this section, we briefly examine the trends in population growth, ethnicity and

age projected to occur in the 24 Council of Government (COG) Regions in Texas.

Because of the large number of areas involved, only summary data are presented in this section. In addition, because of the large number of individual COG Regions, the

discussion emphasizes patterns among COGs for the total projection period from 2010 to

2050, but data for intermediate periods are shown in the tables by race/ethnicity. In most

cases, trends between 2010 and 2050 are incremental so one can assume that the

direction of the trend from 2010 to 2050 applies to intermediate periods as well.

The data in Table 10 show that the Council of Government Regions is expected to generally maintain their relative order by population size. In 2050, as in 2010, the North

Central Texas COG containing Dallas and Fort Worth would be the largest region of the state, followed by the Houston-Galveston COG. In 2010, the Capital Area Planning

Council (which includes the City of Austin) was the fourth largest Council of Government

Region, however, by 2050 it would be the third largest COG. In 2010, the Alamo Area

COG (which includes San Antonio) was the third largest Council of Government Region,

and by 2050 it would be the fourth largest Region. These four Council of Government

Regions contained 66.4 percent of the state's population in 2010 and are projected (under

the 1.0 scenario) to account for 75.0 percent of the total population of Texas by 2050.

However, due to quite different rates of overall growth, the relative population sizes of the areas would change dramatically such that the North Central Region would become substantially larger than the Houston-Galveston Region by 2050. If the projected patterns prevail (under the 1.0 scenario), the North Central Texas Region would have a population of more than 16.5 million in 2050 compared to 14.4 million in the

Houston-Galveston area. Similarly, although the population of the Alamo Area COG was more than 60 percent larger than that for the Capital Area Planning Region in 2010, by 2050, the Capital Area is projected (under the 1.0 scenario) to have a larger population than the Alamo Area, 5.4 and 4.5 million, respectively. Under the 1.00 scenario, the

North Central Texas COG would gain the most population with 10.0 million, followed by the Houston-Galveston COG with a gain of 8.3 million, the Capital Area with a gain of 3.5 million, the Alamo Area with a gain of 2.2 million, and the Lower Rio Grande Valley with a gain of 1.4 million.

In terms of percent population change, the Capital Area would increase its population by 192.8 percent, followed by North Central Texas by 152.9 percent,

Houston-Galveston by 136.8 percent, Lower Rio Grande Valley by 112.9 percent, Central

Texas by 103.4 percent, Alamo Area 97.8 percent, South Texas by 93.3 percent. Concho

Valley is expected to increase its population by only 11.3 percent from 2010 to 2050.

Overall the data in Tables 10 and 11 suggest that growth will continue to be concentrated among the state's largest metropolitan centers and in areas along the

Texas-Mexico border with reduced rates of growth occurring in the more rural parts of the state. In fact, if one examines the proportion of the state's population accounted for by the eight largest regions in 2010 and those eight projected to decrease or increase less

than 10 percent from 2010 to 2050, the concentration of the state’s population is evident.

The eight largest regions contained 75.6 percent of the population of Texas in 2010 and are projected to contain (under the 1.0 scenario) 84.1 percent of the population in 2050.

On the other hand, those eight areas with the slowest population growth from 2010 to

2050 contained 12.4 percent of the state's population in 2010 but would have only 6.1 percent in 2050. The future distribution of the Texas population thus promises to present significant and diverse challenges for service provision. Substantial increases in services will be required in large metropolitan centers and along the Texas-Mexico border while even fewer people will be spread over large areas to be served in other regions.

As a result of the expected patterns of population distribution in Texas, both problems of creating sufficient services in time to meet the needs of rapidly growing areas and those of providing adequate access to services in sparsely settled areas are likely to remain realities of service provision in Texas.

Data in Tables 9 through 12 show that in nearly all COGs, as for the state as a whole, the growth of minority populations is projected to be pervasive. In virtually all areas, minority growth exceeds that for the Anglo population. Similarly, the proportion of the total population that is minority would increase rapidly. In 2010, only the Alamo Area

(37.2 percent), Coastal Bend (34.0 percent), Houston-Galveston (39.9 percent), Lower

Rio Grande (8.8 percent), Middle Rio Grande (15.1 percent), Permian Basin (46.5 percent), Rio Grande (13.8 percent), and South Texas (3.6 percent) COGs were less than

50 percent Anglo population. In sum, in 2010 there were only 8 of 24 Council of

Government Region with Anglo population less than 50 percent while by 2050 (under the

1.0 scenario), all of the state's 24 COG Regions would have less than 50 percent Anglos

population. Finally, the pervasiveness of minority population growth is evident in the data in Table 12 which indicate that the number of Anglos would show an absolute decline in 19 of 24 regions of the state from 2010 to 2050 (under the 1.0 scenario) and there would not be a single region in which Anglo population growth would account for a majority of that region's population growth.

The final pattern noted for the state that is also evident for COGs is that of the aging of the population (see Tables 11). Although there is clear evidence of differences in median ages among regions (as regions with larger minority populations generally have lower median ages), the pervasiveness of the aging trend is apparent. In all regions the median age of the population in 2050 is older than in 2010 (under the 1.0 scenario). Larger proportions of elderly persons will be a reality impacting service needs in virtually every region of the state in the 21st century.

Patterns and Trends in Counties in Texas, 2010-2050

In this section, we briefly examine the patterns and trends of population change in

Texas counties. Under the 1.00 scenario, during the projected period Harris County will gain the most population (3,435,368) and retain its status as the most populous county in

Texas. Collin County will gain the second most with an increase of 3,019,499 persons, followed by Denton County with an increase of 2,368,983 persons, Fort Bend County with an increase of 2,153,178 persons, and Tarrant County with 1,688,000. Under the same scenario, Newton County will lose the most (2,872), followed by Coke County (958), and

Hutchinson County (883), Jackson County (709), and Fisher County (679).

In terms of percent population change, under the 1.00 scenario, Hays County will

gain the most with an increase of 424.5 percent, followed by Collin County increasing by

386.0 percent, Fort Bend County increases by 367.8 percent, Williamson County

increases by 367.7 percent, and Denton County will increase by 357.5 percent. Loving

County may lose the most with a decline of 51.2 percent, followed by Coke County with a

decline of 28.9 percent, Motley County with a decline of 24.1 percent, and Newton County with a decline of 19.9 percent. In sum, 36 of 254 counties may lose population during the

projections period under the 1.00 scenario.

Summary and Implications

In this section we describe the basic demographic changes projected to impact

Texas and regions throughout Texas through 2050. The results show several important

patterns including the following:

1. The Texas population is likely to increase substantially under a wide variety of

circumstances. Thus, under the 1.0 scenario that assumes 2000-2010 patterns of net

in-migration, the population of the state would reach 54,369,273 million by 2050, an increase of more than 116 percent from 2010. Even under the assumption that growth occurs only as a result of natural increase (that net migration is zero), the population of the state would increase by nearly 4.8 million from 2010 to 2050, an increase of 24.3 percent.

2. A large proportion of the increase under the 1.0 scenario is projected to be due to in-migrants to Texas from other states in the United States and from immigrants to

Texas from other nations. More than 79 percent of the net growth in the state's population is projected to be due to in-migrants and immigrants and their descendants.

3. The Texas population will become increasingly ethnically diverse. Whereas the Anglo population (under the 1.0 scenario) is projected to increase by 4.9 percent from

2010 to 2050, the Black population would increase by 76.6 percent, the Hispanic population by 215.6 percent, and the Other population by 432.5 percent. By 2050, the proportion of the population that is Anglo would be only 22 percent while the Hispanic population would account for 54.9 percent, the Black population for 9.4 percent, and the

Other population for 13.7 percent of the total population of Texas. Of the total net

change in the population of Texas from 2010 to 2050, 98.1 percent is projected to be due

to growth in the minority population of the state. Under the 1.0 scenario, Hispanic population expected to surpass the Anglo population by 2017. In 2017, the proportion of the Hispanic population would be 41.0 percent compared with the Anglo proportion of

40.9 percent.

4. The population will also become older than it is at present. By 2050, 17.4 percent of the population, compared to 10.3 percent in 2010, would be 65 years of age or older under the 1.0 scenario. Most of the aging of the population in proportional terms will occur during the periods of 2010 to 2030 when the baby boomers (those born between 1946 and 1964) begin to enter elderly ages. Thus, between 2010 and 2030, the population 65 years of age and older shows the most rapid proportional growth of any age group, increasing from 10.3 percent in 2010 to 13.1 in 2020, and 16.0 percent of the population by 2030.

5. The Texas population in the early part of the next century will likely be characterized by growth, diversity and maturity. The demands likely to be placed on state services can be expected to reflect these characteristics.

6. Patterns of regional population change show rapid population growth in the state's large urban centers with growth in the North Central Region, Houston-Galveston, the Capital Area, and the Alamo Area COGs potentially leading to very large urban concentrations (all with more than 2 million persons) in these regions by 2050. In addition, rapid growth is projected to occur in regions along the Texas-Mexico border.

Slow growth will occur in the Panhandle, South East Texas and West Texas. Overall, the patterns of regional growth examined here suggest a further concentration of the

Texas population.

7. Changes in ethnic and age characteristics projected for the state are generally pervasive across regions of the state. In 2010, there were 16 of Council of Government

Regions with more than 50 percent of their population identified as Anglo. By 2050, none of the 24 regions would have more than 50 percent of the population identified as Anglo and all 24 regions would increase their minority proportions. Similarly, all 24 regions show an aging of their population bases over the projection period.

Overall, then, the data in this report show Texas to be a state with a population which is likely to experience substantial growth in the coming decades and one which will likely become increasingly diverse and mature. The results show that such growth will not be as evident in the state's rural areas as in its larger metropolitan areas and in regions along the Texas-Mexico border. However, the patterns of increasing diversity are likely to occur in virtually all parts of the state. Although all projections are subject to error and must be used with caution, it appears that the Texas population is one that will likely grow and require substantial additional services as well as an increasing diversity of services in the coming decades.

Acknowledgement:

The author would like to acknowledge the help of Dr. Jeffrey A. Jordan for producing the

Figures 5 through 7. The author would also like to acknowledge the help of Lisa Espinoza for formatting all the tables and Beverly Pecotte for editorial assistance.

References:

Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program

2014 Projections of the Population of Texas and Counties in Texas by Age,

Sex and Race/Ethnicity for 2010-2050. Texas State Data Center, University

of Texas at San Antonio.

Table 1: Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 for Texas Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration ______Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total ______Year Number % Number % Number % Number % Number ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 11,397,345 45.3 2,886,825 11.5 9,460,921 37.6 1,400,470 5.6 25,145,561 2020 11,536,110 42.4 3,094,463 11.4 11,044,873 40.5 1,563,164 5.7 27,238,610 2030 11,422,646 39.4 3,226,030 11.1 12,657,347 43.7 1,688,187 5.8 28,994,210 2040 11,070,270 36.5 3,268,073 10.8 14,178,639 46.8 1,788,322 5.9 30,305,304 2050 10,619,646 33.9 3,244,154 10.4 15,549,474 49.8 1,833,081 5.9 31,246,355

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 11,397,345 45.3 2,886,825 11.5 9,460,921 37.6 1,400,470 5.6 25,145,561 2020 11,723,184 40.7 3,274,738 11.4 11,963,951 41.5 1,851,409 6.4 28,813,282 2030 11,792,588 36.0 3,616,745 11.1 14,900,906 45.6 2,369,978 7.3 32,680,217 2040 11,593,202 31.7 3,876,830 10.6 18,095,574 49.5 2,984,989 8.2 36,550,595 2050 11,265,371 27.9 4,065,757 10.0 21,516,362 53.1 3,655,259 9.0 40,502,749

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 11,397,345 45.3 2,886,825 11.5 9,460,921 37.6 1,400,470 5.6 25,145,561 2020 11,914,045 39.0 3,466,308 11.3 12,968,026 42.5 2,193,599 7.2 30,541,978 2030 12,176,401 32.8 4,055,033 10.9 17,575,656 47.3 3,347,994 9.0 37,155,084 2040 12,143,626 27.1 4,599,532 10.2 23,156,968 51.5 5,055,770 11.2 44,955,896 2050 11,954,615 22.0 5,097,826 9.4 29,859,012 54.9 7,457,844 13.7 54,369,297 ______

Table 2: Percent Change for Selected Time Periods for Projected Population by Race/Ethnicity for Texas Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration ______

Time Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010-2020 1.2 7.2 16.7 11.6 8.3 2020-2030 -1.0 4.3 14.6 8.0 6.4 2030-2040 -3.1 1.3 12.0 5.9 4.5 2040-2050 -4.1 0.7 9.7 2.5 3.1 2010-2050 -6.8 12.4 64.4 30.9 24.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010-2020 2.9 13.4 26.5 32.2 14.6 2020-2030 0.6 10.4 24.5 28.0 13.4 2030-2040 -1.7 7.2 21.4 26.0 11.8 2040-2050 -2.8 4.9 18.9 22.5 10.8 2010-2050 -1.2 40.8 127.4 161.0 61.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010-2020 4.5 20.1 37.1 56.6 21.5 2020-2030 2.2 17.0 35.5 52.6 21.7 2030-2040 -0.3 13.4 31.8 51.0 21.0 2040-2050 -1.6 10.8 28.9 47.5 20.9 2010-2050 4.9 76.6 215.6 432.5 116.2 ______

Table 3: Percent of Net Change in Texas Population from 2010-2050 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration ______

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -777,699 -12.8 Black 357,329 5.9 Hispanic 6,088,553 99.8 Other 432,611 7.1 Total 6,100,794 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -131,974 -0.9 Black 1,178,932 7.7 Hispanic 12,055,441 78.5 Other 2,254,789 14.7 Total 15,357,188 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo 557,270 1.9 Black 2,211,001 7.6 Hispanic 20,398,091 69.8 Other 6,057,374 20.7 Total 29,223,736 100.0 ______

Table 4: Population by Age Group and Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Population by Age Group and by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 for Texas Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity Specific Net Migration ______Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total Age ______Group Number % Number % Number % Number % Number % ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario) 2010

00-14 1,913,245 16.8 664,360 23.0 2,807,175 29.7 353,810 25.3 5,738,590 22.8 15-64 7,724,035 67.8 2,004,091 69.4 6,120,825 64.7 956,134 68.2 16,805,085 66.9 65+ 1,760,065 15.4 218,374 7.6 532,921 5.6 90,526 6.5 2,601,886 10.3

2020

00-14 1,891,604 16.4 641,060 20.7 2,933,251 26.6 325,710 20.8 5,791,625 21.3 15-64 7,282,754 63.1 2,108,948 68.2 7,214,560 65.3 1,052,192 67.3 17,658,454 64.8 65+ 2,361,752 20.5 344,455 11.1 897,062 8.1 185,262 11.9 3,788,531 13.9

2030

00-14 1,801,344 15.8 615,070 19.1 3,139,115 24.8 285,342 16.9 5,840,871 20.1 15-64 6,691,302 58.5 2,099,874 65.1 8,063,560 63.7 1,099,000 65.1 17,953,736 62.0 65+ 2,930,000 25.7 511,086 15.8 1,454,672 11.5 303,845 18.0 5,199,603 17.9

2040

00-14 1,672,071 15.1 576,901 17.7 3,358,137 23.7 291,359 16.3 5,898,468 19.5 15-64 6,425,962 58.1 2,095,881 64.1 8,753,061 61.7 1,065,536 59.6 18,340,440 60.5 65+ 2,972,237 26.8 595,291 18.2 2,067,441 14.6 431,427 24.1 6,066,396 20.0

2050

00-14 1,607,421 15.1 543,891 16.8 3,495,873 22.5 275,777 15.0 5,922,962 19.0 15-64 6,118,931 57.7 2,062,551 63.5 9,454,738 60.8 1,031,400 56.3 18,667,620 59.7 65+ 2,893,294 27.2 637,712 19.7 2,598,863 16.7 525,904 28.7 6,655,773 21.3

Table 4: Continued ______Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total Age ______Group Number % Number % Number % Number % Number % ______

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010

2020

00-14 1,917,330 16.4 666,351 20.3 3,103,152 25.9 396,006 21.4 6,082,839 21.1 15-64 7,398,516 63.1 2,246,260 68.6 7,926,632 66.3 1,260,183 68.1 18,831,591 65.4 65+ 2,407,338 20.5 362,127 11.1 934,167 7.8 195,220 10.5 3,898,852 13.5

2030

00-14 1,843,762 15.6 675,679 18.7 3,638,908 24.4 424,674 17.9 6,583,023 20.1 15-64 6,901,785 58.6 2,371,444 65.6 9,673,408 64.9 1,601,846 67.6 20,548,483 62.9 65+ 3,047,041 25.8 569,622 15.7 1,588,590 10.7 343,458 14.5 5,548,711 17.0

2040

00-14 1,732,313 14.9 669,041 17.3 4,199,136 23.2 527,173 17.7 7,127,663 19.5 15-64 6,719,000 58.0 2,503,342 64.5 11,512,326 63.6 1,919,327 64.3 22,653,995 62.0 65+ 3,141,889 27.1 704,447 18.2 2,384,112 13.2 538,489 18.0 6,768,937 18.5

2050

00-14 1,685,809 15.0 661,676 16.3 4,701,715 21.9 612,643 16.8 7,661,843 18.9 15-64 6,471,394 57.4 2,599,631 63.9 13,604,329 63.2 2,283,167 62.4 24,958,521 61.6 65+ 3,108,168 27.6 804,450 19.8 3,210,318 14.9 759,449 20.8 7,882,385 19.5

Table 4: Continued ______Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total Age ______Group Number % Number % Number % Number % Number % ______

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario) 2010

2020

00-14 1,943,494 16.3 692,866 20.0 3,283,884 25.3 479,860 21.9 6,400,104 21.0 15-64 7,516,333 63.1 2,392,624 69.0 8,710,920 67.2 1,507,914 68.7 20,127,791 65.9 65+ 2,454,218 20.6 380,818 11.0 973,222 7.5 205,825 9.4 4,014,083 13.1

2030

00-14 1,887,375 15.5 742,329 18.3 4,216,233 24.0 627,406 18.7 7,473,343 20.1 15-64 7,119,240 58.5 2,677,579 66.0 11,623,660 66.1 2,331,791 69.7 23,752,270 63.9 65+ 3,169,786 26.0 635,125 15.7 1,735,763 9.9 388,797 11.6 5,929,471 16.0

2040

00-14 1,794,798 14.8 775,958 16.9 5,253,688 22.7 944,637 18.7 8,769,081 19.5 15-64 7,026,004 57.8 2,989,632 65.0 15,152,142 65.4 3,435,652 67.9 28,603,430 63.6 65+ 3,322,824 27.4 833,942 18.1 2,751,138 11.9 675,481 13.4 7,583,385 16.9

2050

00-14 1,768,144 14.8 805,218 15.8 6,320,815 21.2 1,342,001 18.0 10,236,178 18.8 15-64 6,845,066 57.2 3,276,166 64.3 19,567,650 65.5 5,001,372 67.1 34,690,254 63.8 65+ 3,341,405 28.0 1,016,442 19.9 3,970,547 13.3 1,114,471 14.9 9,442,865 17.4 ______

Table 5: Median Age in 2010 and Projected Median Age from 2020 to 2050 by Race/Ethnicity for Texas Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration ______

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other Total ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 41.3 32.1 27.0 31.2 33.6 2020 43.2 34.9 29.5 36.1 36.0 2030 44.9 37.7 31.8 40.1 37.8 2040 45.9 40.0 33.8 43.0 39.1 2050 46.0 41.6 35.2 46.3 40.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 41.3 32.1 27.0 31.2 33.6 2020 43.3 35.1 29.3 34.8 35.6 2030 45.1 37.9 31.4 37.2 37.0 2040 46.2 40.3 33.6 39.1 38.2 2050 46.4 42.2 34.9 41.7 39.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 41.3 32.1 27.0 31.2 33.6 2020 43.4 35.3 29.0 33.7 35.1 2030 45.4 38.1 31.2 35.2 36.2 2040 46.6 40.6 33.5 36.6 37.4 2050 46.8 42.7 34.8 39.0 38.5 ______

Table6: Total Population and Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Population and Percent Population Change 2010-2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Metropolitan Statistical Areas in Texas - Ranked by Total Population Size in 2010 ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change Metropolitan Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- Statistical Area 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 6,426,214 6,957,648 7,379,698 7,664,893 7,796,401 8.3 6.1 3.9 1.7 21.3 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land 5,920,416 6,433,891 6,834,855 7,108,254 7,244,050 8.7 6.2 4.0 1.9 22.4 San Antonio-New Braunfels 2,142,508 2,313,475 2,450,959 2,538,919 2,594,968 8.0 5.9 3.6 2.2 21.1 Austin-Round Rock 1,716,289 1,877,175 1,985,268 2,062,870 2,109,573 9.4 5.8 3.9 2.3 22.9 El Paso 804,123 892,932 976,981 1,045,601 1,105,730 11.0 9.4 7.0 5.8 37.5 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 774,769 890,857 1,015,658 1,136,305 1,255,303 15.0 14.0 11.9 10.5 62.0 Corpus Christi 428,185 456,331 480,606 496,505 509,515 6.6 5.3 3.3 2.6 19.0 Brownsville-Harlingen 406,220 464,304 528,434 592,589 662,685 14.3 13.8 12.1 11.8 63.1 Killeen-Temple 405,300 450,696 486,290 519,834 546,533 11.2 7.9 6.9 5.1 34.8 Beaumont-Port Arthur 403,190 421,656 435,716 442,858 446,711 4.6 3.3 1.6 0.9 10.8 Lubbock 290,805 312,063 331,685 347,881 362,933 7.3 6.3 4.9 4.3 24.8 Waco 252,772 266,848 280,061 289,405 297,211 5.6 5.0 3.3 2.7 17.6 Amarillo 251,933 268,579 283,195 294,210 301,472 6.6 5.4 3.9 2.5 19.7 Laredo 250,304 293,121 338,098 381,800 425,655 17.1 15.3 12.9 11.5 70.1 College Station-Bryan 228,660 249,325 270,140 288,619 309,861 9.0 8.3 6.8 7.4 35.5 Longview 214,369 224,761 232,304 236,711 239,274 4.8 3.4 1.9 1.1 11.6 Tyler 209,714 220,574 227,673 231,380 233,182 5.2 3.2 1.6 0.8 11.2 Abilene 165,252 175,288 181,945 186,101 189,192 6.1 3.8 2.3 1.7 14.5 Wichita Falls 151,306 157,032 162,916 167,070 169,945 3.8 3.7 2.5 1.7 12.3 Midland 141,671 154,161 164,551 172,583 178,734 8.8 6.7 4.9 3.6 26.2 Odessa 137,130 153,315 167,301 180,950 193,477 11.8 9.1 8.2 6.9 41.1 Sherman-Denison 120,877 124,234 125,852 125,110 123,168 2.8 1.3 -0.6 -1.6 1.9 San Angelo 111,823 117,555 123,004 127,718 132,112 5.1 4.6 3.8 3.4 18.1 Victoria 94,003 101,405 108,051 113,241 118,544 7.9 6.6 4.8 4.7 26.1 Texarkana 92,565 95,735 98,20629 98,772 98,626 3.4 2.6 0.6 -0.1 6.5

Table6: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change Metropolitan Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- Statistical Area 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 6,426,214 7,404,982 8,485,436 9,643,009 10,838,399 15.2 14.6 13.6 12.4 68.7 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land 5,920,416 6,897,952 7,924,671 8,964,115 10,004,950 16.5 14.9 13.1 11.6 69.0 San Antonio-New Braunfels 2,142,508 2,471,484 2,802,711 3,103,481 3,387,802 15.4 13.4 10.7 9.2 58.1 Austin-Round Rock 1,716,289 2,077,981 2,441,548 2,829,932 3,255,574 21.1 17.5 15.9 15.0 89.7 El Paso 804,123 926,532 1,053,889 1,168,178 1,277,950 15.2 13.7 10.8 9.4 58.9 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 774,769 948,305 1,145,413 1,345,740 1,553,142 22.4 20.8 17.5 15.4 100.5 Corpus Christi 428,185 465,145 500,143 524,797 545,602 8.6 7.5 4.9 4.0 27.4 Brownsville-Harlingen 406,220 479,754 560,637 641,946 728,518 18.1 16.9 14.5 13.5 79.3 Killeen-Temple 405,300 477,518 547,096 621,249 696,115 17.8 14.6 13.6 12.1 71.8 Beaumont-Port Arthur 403,190 427,759 452,948 475,501 498,736 6.1 5.9 5.0 4.9 23.7 Lubbock 290,805 320,076 351,288 380,643 410,896 10.1 9.8 8.4 7.9 41.3 Waco 252,772 271,168 291,572 308,660 325,432 7.3 7.5 5.9 5.4 28.7 Amarillo 251,933 278,000 306,787 335,200 363,218 10.3 10.4 9.3 8.4 44.2 Laredo 250,304 305,881 367,576 429,823 494,081 22.2 20.2 16.9 14.9 97.4 College Station-Bryan 228,660 263,661 302,430 341,087 387,785 15.3 14.7 12.8 13.7 69.6 Longview 214,369 234,459 256,095 278,405 302,763 9.4 9.2 8.7 8.7 41.2 Tyler 209,714 231,653 254,486 276,544 299,745 10.5 9.9 8.7 8.4 42.9 Abilene 165,252 175,677 183,516 188,921 192,719 6.3 4.5 2.9 2.0 16.6 Wichita Falls 151,306 156,518 162,762 167,401 170,667 3.4 4.0 2.9 2.0 12.8 Midland 141,671 159,634 178,392 196,130 213,872 12.7 11.8 9.9 9.0 51.0 Odessa 137,130 157,045 177,335 198,503 220,012 14.5 12.9 11.9 10.8 60.4 Sherman-Denison 120,877 128,734 136,387 142,117 147,280 6.5 5.9 4.2 3.6 21.8 San Angelo 111,823 117,615 123,685 128,473 132,422 5.2 5.2 3.9 3.1 18.4 Victoria 94,003 101,497 108,521 114,028 119,409 8.0 6.9 5.1 4.7 27.0 Texarkana 92,565 95,768 98,803 100,006 100,503 3.5 3.2 1.2 0.5 8.6 30

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington 6,426,214 7,920,671 9,970,678 12,728,992 16,367,293 23.3 25.9 27.7 28.6 154.7 Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land 5,920,416 7,413,214 9,278,789 11,519,566 14,221,267 25.2 25.2 24.1 23.5 140.2 San Antonio-New Braunfels 2,142,508 2,635,183 3,182,644 3,735,981 4,294,232 23.0 20.8 17.4 14.9 100.4 Austin-Round Rock 1,716,289 2,306,857 3,035,547 3,960,317 5,176,940 34.4 31.6 30.5 30.7 201.6 El Paso 804,123 956,347 1,117,352 1,256,169 1,374,133 18.9 16.8 12.4 9.4 70.9 McAllen-Edinburg-Mission 774,769 1,005,539 1,271,656 1,531,900 1,779,370 29.8 26.5 20.5 16.2 129.7 Corpus Christi 428,185 470,995 511,462 535,772 549,777 10.0 8.6 4.8 2.6 28.4 Brownsville-Harlingen 406,220 493,571 584,883 668,322 741,902 21.5 18.5 14.3 11.0 82.6 Killeen-Temple 405,300 504,546 609,745 729,596 862,962 24.5 20.9 19.7 18.3 112.9 Beaumont-Port Arthur 403,190 432,734 469,376 511,586 563,180 7.3 8.5 9.0 10.1 39.7 Lubbock 290,805 327,424 368,058 407,438 447,819 12.6 12.4 10.7 9.9 54.0 Waco 252,772 274,757 301,130 324,043 346,550 8.7 9.6 7.6 6.9 37.1 Amarillo 251,933 287,313 332,477 386,410 450,905 14.0 15.7 16.2 16.7 79.0 Laredo 250,304 317,733 392,768 464,297 529,784 26.9 23.6 18.2 14.1 111.7 College Station-Bryan 228,660 278,843 337,071 398,066 472,029 21.9 20.9 18.1 18.6 106.4 Longview 214,369 245,142 284,782 334,759 397,916 14.4 16.2 17.5 18.9 85.6 Tyler 209,714 243,064 283,362 329,198 382,835 15.9 16.6 16.2 16.3 82.6 Abilene 165,252 175,333 182,823 188,637 192,599 6.1 4.3 3.2 2.1 16.5 Wichita Falls 151,306 154,865 159,416 162,286 163,597 2.4 2.9 1.8 0.8 8.1 Midland 141,671 164,862 191,558 219,061 247,378 16.4 16.2 14.4 12.9 74.6 Odessa 137,130 159,521 184,384 210,246 234,964 16.3 15.6 14.0 11.8 71.3 Sherman-Denison 120,877 133,647 148,507 163,197 180,032 10.6 11.1 9.9 10.3 48.9 San Angelo 111,823 116,707 121,421 123,650 123,502 4.4 4.0 1.8 -0.1 10.4 Victoria 94,003 101,363 107,571 111,865 114,873 7.8 6.1 4.0 2.7 22.2 Texarkana 92,565 95,118 97,31431 97,949 98,030 2.8 2.3 0.7 0.1 5.9 ______

Table 7: Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected Percent of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Abilene Metropolitan Statistical Area ______

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 68.3 7.0 21.2 3.5 2020 65.9 7.2 23.1 3.8 2030 63.5 7.3 25.1 4.1 2040 61.2 7.5 27.0 4.3 2050 59.7 7.5 28.5 4.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 68.3 7.0 21.2 3.5 2020 64.6 7.1 24.1 4.2 2030 60.4 7.2 27.4 5.0 2040 56.5 7.2 30.5 5.8 2050 52.9 7.1 33.4 6.6

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 68.3 7.0 21.2 3.5 2020 62.7 7.1 25.5 4.7 2030 56.3 7.1 30.3 6.3 2040 50.2 6.8 34.9 8.1 2050 44.3 6.4 39.0 10.3

Table 7: (continued) Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2000 and Projected Percent of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2010 to 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Amarillo Metropolitan Statistical Area ______

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 64.6 5.8 25.1 4.5 2020 61.3 5.9 28.0 4.8 2030 57.9 5.9 31.1 5.1 2040 54.5 5.9 34.2 5.4 2050 51.5 5.8 37.1 5.6

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 64.6 5.8 25.1 4.5 2020 59.2 5.8 29.6 5.4 2030 53.1 5.8 34.6 6.5 2040 47.2 5.7 39.5 7.6 2050 41.4 5.5 44.3 8.8

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 64.6 5.8 25.1 4.5 2020 56.7 5.9 31.4 6.0 2030 47.8 5.8 38.5 7.9 2040 38.7 5.5 45.6 10.2 2050 30.4 5.1 51.9 12.6

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 54.7 7.0 31.4 6.9 2020 52.0 6.9 34.0 7.1 2030 49.0 6.7 37.1 7.2 2040 45.7 6.5 40.4 7.4 2050 42.7 6.2 43.6 7.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 54.7 7.0 31.4 6.9 2020 50.8 6.7 34.7 7.8 2030 46.2 6.4 38.8 8.6 2040 41.4 6.0 43.1 9.5 2050 37.1 5.6 47.1 10.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 54.7 7.0 31.4 6.9 2020 49.7 6.5 35.4 8.4 2030 43.5 6.0 40.5 10.0 2040 36.8 5.5 45.9 11.8 2050 31.0 4.9 50.7 13.4

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 59.3 24.2 12.5 4.0 2020 57.3 24.4 14.0 4.3 2030 55.1 24.5 15.7 4.7 2040 53.0 24.5 17.5 5.0 2050 51.1 24.5 19.2 5.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 59.3 24.2 12.5 4.0 2020 55.5 24.1 15.7 4.7 2030 51.4 23.7 19.5 5.4 2040 47.0 22.8 23.9 6.3 2050 42.6 21.6 28.7 7.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 59.3 24.2 12.5 4.0 2020 53.4 23.8 17.6 5.2 2030 46.9 22.3 24.2 6.6 2040 39.9 19.8 32.0 8.3 2050 32.9 16.8 40.2 10.1

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 10.7 0.3 88.1 0.9 2020 8.2 0.3 90.6 0.9 2030 6.3 0.3 92.5 0.9 2040 5.0 0.2 94.0 0.8 2050 3.9 0.2 95.1 0.8

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 10.7 0.3 88.1 0.9 2020 8.3 0.3 90.4 1.0 2030 6.3 0.3 92.3 1.1 2040 4.8 0.2 93.8 1.2 2050 3.6 0.2 94.9 1.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 10.7 0.3 88.1 0.9 2020 8.2 0.3 90.3 1.2 2030 6.3 0.3 91.9 1.5 2040 4.7 0.2 93.2 1.9 2050 3.4 0.2 94.0 2.4

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario

2010 59.9 11.5 22.5 6.1 2020 56.2 11.6 25.8 6.4 2030 53.6 11.4 28.6 6.4 2040 50.8 11.2 31.7 6.3 2050 48.5 10.8 34.5 6.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 59.9 11.5 22.5 6.1 2020 54.9 11.4 26.8 6.9 2030 50.6 11.1 30.8 7.5 2040 46.1 10.6 35.4 7.9 2050 42.2 9.9 39.7 8.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 59.9 11.5 22.5 6.1 2020 53.2 11.4 27.9 7.5 2030 47.1 10.8 33.3 8.8 2040 40.6 10.1 39.4 9.9 2050 35.2 8.8 44.9 11.1

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 36.4 3.1 57.7 2.8 2020 33.6 3.0 60.4 3.0 2030 31.0 2.9 63.1 3.0 2040 28.4 2.8 65.7 3.1 2050 26.5 2.7 67.8 3.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 36.4 3.1 57.7 2.8 2020 32.3 3.0 61.5 3.2 2030 28.5 2.8 65.1 3.6 2040 24.8 2.7 68.4 4.1 2050 21.8 2.5 71.2 4.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario

2010 36.4 3.1 57.7 2.8 2020 30.8 3.0 62.6 3.6 2030 25.6 2.8 67.1 4.5 2040 21.1 2.5 70.7 5.7 2050 17.2 2.3 73.3 7.2

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 50.5 14.7 27.4 7.4 2020 47.7 14.6 30.0 7.7 2030 44.9 14.4 32.9 7.8 2040 41.9 14.1 36.0 8.0 2050 39.1 13.8 39.1 8.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 50.5 14.7 27.4 7.4 2020 45.1 14.9 31.4 8.6 2030 39.7 14.7 35.8 9.8 2040 34.5 14.3 40.1 11.1 2050 29.8 13.6 44.3 12.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 50.5 14.7 27.4 7.4 2020 42.6 15.0 32.8 9.6 2030 34.7 14.8 38.6 11.9 2040 27.7 13.9 43.7 14.7 2050 21.6 12.7 48.0 17.7

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 13.1 2.6 82.2 2.1 2020 11.8 2.5 83.6 2.1 2030 10.6 2.4 84.9 2.1 2040 9.7 2.3 85.9 2.1 2050 8.9 2.2 86.8 2.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 13.1 2.6 82.2 2.1 2020 10.9 2.4 84.4 2.3 2030 9.0 2.3 86.2 2.5 2040 7.6 2.1 87.6 2.7 2050 6.4 2.0 88.6 3.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 13.1 2.6 82.2 2.1 2020 9.9 2.4 85.2 2.5 2030 7.6 2.1 87.4 2.9 2040 5.9 1.9 88.7 3.5 2050 4.6 1.7 89.4 4.3

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 39.6 16.8 35.4 8.2 2020 37.0 16.5 38.2 8.3 2030 34.4 16.1 41.2 8.3 2040 31.8 15.6 44.3 8.3 2050 29.6 15.0 47.3 8.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 39.6 16.8 35.4 8.2 2020 34.7 16.4 39.6 9.3 2030 30.1 15.7 43.9 10.3 2040 26.0 14.8 48.0 11.2 2050 22.2 13.8 51.9 12.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario

2010 39.6 16.8 35.4 8.2 2020 32.7 16.1 40.9 10.3 2030 26.3 15.0 46.2 12.5 2040 20.7 13.6 50.9 14.8 2050 16.2 12.2 54.6 17.0

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 54.1 18.6 20.3 7.0 2020 51.9 18.9 21.8 7.4 2030 49.6 19.1 23.5 7.8 2040 47.7 19.0 25.2 8.1 2050 46.3 18.8 26.6 8.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario

2010 54.1 18.6 20.3 7.0 2020 50.5 18.5 22.9 8.1 2030 46.4 18.3 26.0 9.3 2040 42.7 17.6 29.0 10.7 2050 39.2 16.7 32.0 12.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 54.1 18.6 20.3 7.0 2020 49.0 18.0 24.1 8.9 2030 43.1 17.1 28.6 11.2 2040 37.4 15.5 32.9 14.2 2050 32.3 13.6 36.5 17.6

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 3.4 0.2 95.7 0.7 2020 3.0 0.2 96.1 0.7 2030 2.7 0.2 96.4 0.7 2040 2.5 0.2 96.7 0.6 2050 2.2 0.2 97.0 0.6

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 3.4 0.2 95.7 0.7 2020 2.9 0.2 96.2 0.7 2030 2.5 0.2 96.6 0.7 2040 2.2 0.2 97.0 0.6 2050 2.0 0.1 97.4 0.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 3.4 0.2 95.7 0.7 2020 2.8 0.2 96.2 0.8 2030 2.2 0.2 96.7 0.9 2040 1.9 0.1 97.0 1.0 2050 1.5 0.1 97.2 1.2

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 66.0 17.2 14.1 2.7 2020 63.6 17.2 16.3 2.9 2030 60.8 17.2 18.7 3.3 2040 58.1 16.9 21.4 3.6 2050 55.7 16.7 23.8 3.8

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 66.0 17.2 14.1 2.7 2020 61.6 16.8 18.4 3.2 2030 56.2 16.2 23.6 4.0 2040 50.5 15.1 29.6 4.8 2050 44.7 13.9 35.7 5.7

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 66.0 17.2 14.1 2.7 2020 59.0 16.6 20.7 3.7 2030 50.3 15.3 29.2 5.2 2040 40.9 13.2 38.6 7.3 2050 31.9 10.8 47.9 9.4

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 56.9 7.0 32.6 3.5 2020 53.6 7.1 35.6 3.7 2030 50.4 7.2 38.6 3.8 2040 47.5 7.2 41.4 3.9 2050 45.1 7.2 43.8 3.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 56.9 7.0 32.6 3.5 2020 52.2 7.0 36.6 4.2 2030 47.5 7.0 40.6 4.9 2040 43.2 6.9 44.2 5.7 2050 39.4 6.7 47.4 6.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 56.9 7.0 32.6 3.5 2020 50.7 6.9 37.6 4.8 2030 44.5 6.8 42.3 6.4 2040 39.0 6.3 46.2 8.5 2050 34.2 5.7 49.0 11.1

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 7.8 0.4 90.6 1.2 2020 5.8 0.3 92.7 1.2 2030 4.4 0.3 94.2 1.1 2040 3.5 0.3 95.2 1.0 2050 2.8 0.3 96.0 0.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario

2010 7.8 0.4 90.6 1.2 2020 6.3 0.3 92.1 1.3 2030 4.9 0.3 93.4 1.4 2040 3.9 0.3 94.3 1.5 2050 3.2 0.3 95.0 1.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 7.8 0.4 90.6 1.2 2020 6.8 0.3 91.4 1.5 2030 5.8 0.3 92.2 1.7 2040 4.7 0.3 92.9 2.1 2050 3.9 0.3 93.2 2.6

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 53.2 6.2 37.9 2.7 2020 49.6 6.0 41.5 2.9 2030 45.9 6.0 45.0 3.1 2040 42.5 5.9 48.4 3.2 2050 39.5 5.7 51.5 3.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 53.2 6.2 37.9 2.7 2020 47.4 5.9 43.5 3.2 2030 41.5 5.7 49.0 3.8 2040 36.1 5.3 54.2 4.4 2050 31.1 5.0 58.8 5.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 53.2 6.2 37.9 2.7 2020 44.8 5.9 45.6 3.7 2030 36.9 5.4 52.9 4.8 2040 29.7 4.8 59.3 6.2 2050 23.5 4.1 64.3 8.1

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 41.1 4.1 52.7 2.1 2020 37.3 4.0 56.6 2.1 2030 33.4 3.8 60.7 2.1 2040 29.8 3.7 64.4 2.1 2050 26.5 3.6 67.9 2.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 41.1 4.1 52.7 2.1 2020 35.2 3.9 58.7 2.2 2030 29.4 3.7 64.5 2.4 2040 24.4 3.6 69.6 2.4 2050 20.0 3.4 74.1 2.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario

2010 41.1 4.1 52.7 2.1 2020 32.5 3.9 61.1 2.5 2030 25.0 3.5 68.6 2.9 2040 18.9 3.2 74.5 3.4 2050 14.0 2.9 79.3 3.8

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 58.1 3.6 35.5 2.8 2020 54.9 3.6 38.5 3.0 2030 51.8 3.4 41.7 3.1 2040 49.0 3.3 44.5 3.2 2050 46.9 3.2 46.7 3.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 58.1 3.6 35.5 2.8 2020 53.8 3.6 39.4 3.2 2030 49.7 3.3 43.4 3.6 2040 45.8 3.2 47.0 4.0 2050 42.4 3.0 50.2 4.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 58.1 3.6 35.5 2.8 2020 52.3 3.6 40.5 3.6 2030 46.7 3.3 45.5 4.5 2040 41.4 3.1 49.8 5.7 2050 36.9 2.8 53.3 7.0

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 36.0 6.1 54.1 3.8 2020 33.6 6.0 56.4 4.0 2030 31.1 5.9 58.9 4.1 2040 28.8 5.8 61.2 4.2 2050 26.7 5.7 63.3 4.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 36.0 6.1 54.1 3.8 2020 32.7 6.0 56.8 4.5 2030 29.5 5.9 59.4 5.2 2040 26.4 5.8 61.8 6.0 2050 23.9 5.6 63.6 6.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 36.0 6.1 54.1 3.8 2020 32.0 6.1 56.9 5.0 2030 28.2 5.9 59.3 6.6 2040 24.8 5.7 60.8 8.7 2050 22.0 5.4 61.1 11.5

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 78.7 5.7 11.3 4.3 2020 76.3 5.9 13.3 4.5 2030 73.8 6.1 15.3 4.8 2040 71.2 6.2 17.6 5.0 2050 69.0 6.3 19.7 5.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 78.7 5.7 11.3 4.3 2020 74.5 5.7 14.8 5.0 2030 69.4 5.6 19.1 5.9 2040 63.6 5.4 24.2 6.8 2050 57.5 5.1 29.8 7.6

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario

2010 78.7 5.7 11.3 4.3 2020 72.3 5.5 16.6 5.6 2030 63.9 5.2 23.7 7.2 2040 54.0 4.7 32.2 9.1 2050 43.6 4.0 41.4 11.0

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 66.3 24.0 6.5 3.2 2020 64.6 24.9 7.2 3.3 2030 62.8 25.7 7.9 3.6 2040 61.2 26.3 8.6 3.9 2050 59.9 27.0 9.1 4.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 66.3 24.0 6.5 3.2 2020 63.3 25.3 7.7 3.7 2030 60.1 26.2 9.1 4.6 2040 56.8 26.8 10.7 5.7 2050 53.5 27.3 12.4 6.8

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 66.3 24.0 6.5 3.2 2020 61.6 25.6 8.3 4.5 2030 56.5 26.5 10.4 6.6 2040 50.9 26.4 13.0 9.7 2050 45.2 25.5 15.7 13.6

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 62.2 17.7 17.2 2.9 2020 58.9 18.2 19.7 3.2 2030 55.5 18.4 22.6 3.5 2040 52.2 18.4 25.6 3.8 2050 49.3 18.4 28.3 4.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 62.2 17.7 17.2 2.9 2020 56.9 17.9 21.6 3.6 2030 51.2 17.4 26.8 4.6 2040 45.3 16.8 32.3 5.6 2050 39.7 15.9 37.8 6.6

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 62.2 17.7 17.2 2.9 2020 54.8 17.5 23.5 4.2 2030 46.6 16.2 31.3 5.9 2040 38.1 14.5 39.2 8.2 2050 30.2 12.5 46.6 10.7

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 48.7 5.9 43.2 2.2 2020 45.7 5.9 45.9 2.5 2030 42.6 6.0 48.6 2.8 2040 39.8 6.0 51.1 3.1 2050 37.5 6.1 53.0 3.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 48.7 5.9 43.2 2.2 2020 44.5 5.9 47.0 2.6 2030 40.1 5.9 50.8 3.2 2040 36.0 5.9 54.1 4.0 2050 32.2 6.0 56.8 5.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 48.7 5.9 43.2 2.2 2020 43.0 6.0 48.1 2.9 2030 37.4 6.0 52.5 4.1 2040 32.0 6.0 56.0 6.0 2050 27.2 5.9 58.2 8.7

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 58.4 15.2 23.4 3.0 2020 55.3 15.3 26.3 3.1 2030 52.5 15.0 29.2 3.3 2040 49.9 14.6 32.0 3.5 2050 47.7 14.2 34.6 3.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 58.4 15.2 23.4 3.0 2020 53.3 15.3 27.9 3.5 2030 48.4 14.9 32.7 4.0 2040 43.5 14.3 37.6 4.6 2050 38.9 13.5 42.5 5.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 58.4 15.2 23.4 3.0 2020 51.3 15.2 29.7 3.8 2030 43.9 14.6 36.7 4.8 2040 36.9 13.4 43.7 6.0 2050 30.3 11.9 50.5 7.3

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 71.4 8.9 15.2 4.5 2020 69.2 9.0 17.0 4.8 2030 66.7 9.2 19.0 5.1 2040 64.5 9.3 20.8 5.4 2050 62.5 9.4 22.6 5.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 71.4 8.9 15.2 4.5 2020 67.6 9.0 18.2 5.2 2030 63.5 9.1 21.5 5.9 2040 59.2 9.1 25.0 6.7 2050 55.1 9.0 28.5 7.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 71.4 8.9 15.2 4.5 2020 65.7 9.1 19.6 5.6 2030 59.3 9.1 24.8 6.8 2040 52.9 8.7 30.3 8.1 2050 46.4 8.2 36.0 9.4 ______

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 71.4 8.9 15.2 4.5 2020 69.2 9.0 17.0 4.8 2030 66.7 9.2 19.0 5.1 2040 64.5 9.3 20.8 5.4 2050 62.5 9.4 22.6 5.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 71.4 8.9 15.2 4.5 2020 67.6 9.0 18.2 5.2 2030 63.5 9.1 21.5 5.9 2040 59.2 9.1 25.0 6.7 2050 55.1 9.0 28.5 7.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 71.4 8.9 15.2 4.5 2020 65.7 9.1 19.6 5.6 2030 59.3 9.1 24.8 6.8 2040 52.9 8.7 30.3 8.1 2050 46.4 8.2 36.0 9.4 ______

Table 8: Median Age by Race/Ethnicity for 2000 and Projected for 2010 to 2040 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Abilene Metropolitan Statistical Area ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 34.6 40.2 29.0 25.6 25.4 2020 35.5 39.2 32.2 29.5 31.6 2030 39.0 41.7 35.8 32.1 37.3 2040 40.0 43.4 37.1 34.9 41.4 2050 40.9 42.5 38.6 37.8 45.8

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 34.6 40.2 29.0 25.6 25.4 2020 35.2 39.7 32.0 29.1 30.2 2030 38.3 41.8 35.5 31.6 33.5 2040 39.0 43.5 36.8 34.5 36.3 2050 40.0 42.3 38.1 37.3 40.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 34.6 40.2 29.0 25.6 25.4 2020 34.8 40.3 31.8 28.8 29.3 2030 37.3 42.0 35.4 31.1 31.7 2040 37.8 43.1 36.6 34.3 33.9 2050 38.9 41.0 37.4 37.6 37.3

Table 8 (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity for 2000 and Projected for 2010 to 2040 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Amarillo Metropolitan Statistical Area ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 34.4 40.6 30.4 24.5 27.9 2020 36.4 41.7 33.3 27.4 32.6 2030 38.1 43.6 36.6 29.8 36.2 2040 39.2 44.5 38.8 32.4 39.4 2050 40.5 45.0 41.0 34.0 43.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 34.4 40.6 30.4 24.5 27.9 2020 35.9 42.1 33.0 27.1 30.5 2030 37.1 44.2 36.1 29.5 32.6 2040 37.9 45.1 38.1 32.3 34.7 2050 39.0 45.3 40.4 33.9 37.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 34.4 40.6 30.4 24.5 27.9 2020 35.5 42.6 33.2 26.8 29.2 2030 35.8 44.7 36.1 29.2 30.5 2040 36.1 45.3 38.0 31.8 31.8 2050 36.7 45.1 39.5 33.3 33.1

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 32.6 37.8 32.1 26.1 29.2 2020 36.2 41.4 35.4 28.7 33.2 2030 38.9 45.6 38.1 30.5 37.0 2040 39.7 47.5 40.7 32.6 40.0 2050 40.7 47.2 42.2 34.2 44.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 32.6 37.8 32.1 26.1 29.2 2020 35.8 40.6 35.5 28.3 32.9 2030 37.9 44.8 38.1 30.1 35.7 2040 38.7 47.2 40.7 32.5 38.1 2050 39.8 47.0 42.5 34.0 41.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 32.6 37.8 32.1 26.1 29.2 2020 35.3 39.9 35.5 28.0 32.8 2030 36.9 44.0 38.0 29.8 35.0 2040 37.7 46.7 40.5 32.5 36.9 2050 38.8 46.6 42.4 34.1 39.7

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 37.0 42.2 33.3 26.5 29.8 2020 37.8 42.5 34.4 29.2 33.3 2030 39.1 43.3 36.3 31.2 36.8 2040 40.2 44.2 37.8 33.0 39.4 2050 40.7 44.1 39.0 34.4 41.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 37.0 42.2 33.3 26.5 29.8 2020 37.5 43.0 34.7 28.5 31.7 2030 38.2 43.7 36.4 30.0 33.8 2040 38.5 44.5 37.7 31.6 34.9 2050 38.5 44.0 38.5 32.4 36.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 37.0 42.2 33.3 26.5 29.8 2020 37.1 43.5 35.3 27.9 30.2 2030 36.8 44.1 36.9 29.2 31.5 2040 36.2 44.1 38.0 30.7 32.1 2050 35.6 43.1 38.2 31.2 32.7

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 30.6 54.6 33.7 28.3 36.9 2020 30.3 55.8 39.4 28.7 41.2 2030 31.5 52.9 44.0 30.3 43.3 2040 32.1 50.6 48.4 30.9 45.8 2050 32.4 51.3 50.0 31.6 48.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 30.6 54.6 33.7 28.3 36.9 2020 30.6 57.4 39.3 28.8 39.5 2030 31.8 56.9 44.5 30.5 40.3 2040 32.7 53.6 48.7 31.4 42.5 2050 32.8 52.7 49.9 32.0 44.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 30.6 54.6 33.7 28.3 36.9 2020 31.0 59.3 38.6 28.9 38.9 2030 32.2 61.2 41.9 30.7 38.9 2040 33.3 57.9 45.2 32.0 40.6 2050 33.4 54.6 44.5 32.5 41.9

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 25.8 27.2 28.1 22.8 25.1 2020 28.0 29.2 30.5 23.7 29.1 2030 27.8 28.3 33.5 24.3 30.7 2040 28.5 28.2 35.4 25.9 33.6 2050 30.3 29.8 37.5 27.4 37.7

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 25.8 27.2 28.1 22.8 25.1 2020 28.3 29.6 30.7 24.1 29.4 2030 28.8 29.6 34.2 25.2 32.5 2040 29.6 29.6 36.5 26.9 34.7 2050 31.7 31.7 38.8 28.9 38.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 25.8 27.2 28.1 22.8 25.1 2020 28.5 29.8 31.4 24.7 29.6 2030 29.5 30.4 35.3 26.3 34.6 2040 30.4 30.2 38.2 27.7 36.1 2050 32.3 32.3 40.6 29.7 38.2

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 36.0 45.8 35.2 30.7 33.7 2020 37.3 46.4 37.4 32.8 37.7 2030 38.4 46.5 39.8 34.6 41.7 2040 39.4 46.6 41.9 36.4 45.5 2050 39.7 45.0 42.7 37.5 48.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 36.0 45.8 35.2 30.7 33.7 2020 37.0 47.3 37.4 32.6 36.0 2030 37.9 47.3 39.8 34.6 38.2 2040 39.2 47.3 42.1 36.7 40.0 2050 39.5 45.3 42.8 37.8 41.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 36.0 45.8 35.2 30.7 33.7 2020 36.8 48.4 38.0 32.4 34.7 2030 37.5 48.6 40.9 34.5 36.1 2040 39.0 48.2 43.5 37.0 36.8 2050 39.2 45.8 44.0 38.1 37.2

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 33.6 40.4 31.8 25.3 31.1 2020 36.7 43.2 35.0 28.4 36.2 2030 38.8 45.5 37.5 30.9 40.2 2040 40.3 46.7 39.9 33.5 43.0 2050 41.8 47.5 41.7 35.2 46.7

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 33.6 40.4 31.8 25.3 31.1 2020 35.9 43.1 35.4 28.0 34.5 2030 37.2 45.3 38.0 30.3 36.2 2040 38.6 46.5 40.7 32.9 38.2 2050 40.1 47.5 43.0 34.3 41.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 33.6 40.4 31.8 25.3 31.1 2020 35.1 42.9 35.7 27.7 33.1 2030 35.7 45.1 38.2 29.8 33.6 2040 37.0 46.2 41.2 32.6 35.2 2050 38.5 47.5 44.0 33.7 37.9

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 31.3 41.5 31.7 29.9 30.3 2020 32.8 41.9 34.0 31.5 34.9 2030 35.1 43.6 36.3 34.1 39.3 2040 36.8 44.1 37.6 36.0 41.0 2050 37.6 42.9 37.9 36.9 43.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 31.3 41.5 31.7 29.9 30.3 2020 32.3 41.6 33.9 31.1 33.6 2030 34.4 42.8 36.1 33.6 36.0 2040 36.1 42.9 37.3 35.6 36.3 2050 36.7 41.4 37.5 36.3 38.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 31.3 41.5 31.7 29.9 30.3 2020 31.7 41.0 34.0 30.7 32.5 2030 33.8 41.6 36.2 33.2 33.9 2040 35.5 40.4 37.2 35.3 33.5 2050 35.8 38.6 37.0 35.7 34.8

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 33.2 41.4 32.0 26.6 33.5 2020 36.5 44.2 35.3 30.0 38.6 2030 38.9 46.4 38.4 32.5 43.5 2040 40.5 47.5 41.1 34.7 46.6 2050 41.9 48.0 43.0 36.6 49.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 33.2 41.4 32.0 26.6 33.5 2020 35.9 43.9 35.4 29.8 37.3 2030 37.9 46.3 38.4 32.3 40.8 2040 39.4 47.5 40.9 34.7 42.9 2050 40.8 48.1 42.9 36.4 45.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 33.2 41.4 32.0 26.6 33.5 2020 35.3 43.6 35.5 29.7 36.3 2030 37.1 46.1 38.3 32.2 39.0 2040 38.6 47.6 40.7 34.9 40.8 2050 40.2 48.2 42.5 36.7 42.8

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 30.0 34.5 28.5 24.5 25.5 2020 33.1 36.4 31.8 27.1 29.5 2030 35.3 39.9 34.4 29.2 32.5 2040 36.1 39.4 36.0 31.9 35.7 2050 38.0 39.9 37.4 34.0 40.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 30.0 34.5 28.5 24.5 25.5 2020 32.4 36.0 31.7 26.5 28.3 2030 34.2 39.7 34.5 28.3 30.3 2040 34.8 39.3 36.2 30.8 32.7 2050 36.3 39.4 37.4 32.2 35.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 30.0 34.5 28.5 24.5 25.5 2020 31.8 35.4 31.6 26.1 27.4 2030 33.0 39.2 34.7 27.6 28.7 2040 33.2 38.4 36.5 29.7 30.8 2050 34.0 38.0 37.1 30.6 32.3

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 27.8 35.4 31.1 27.4 33.1 2020 28.9 38.2 36.7 28.6 38.5 2030 30.9 41.6 38.3 30.5 45.7 2040 32.3 43.4 38.9 31.9 51.7 2050 33.1 44.4 40.7 32.7 55.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 27.8 35.4 31.1 27.4 33.1 2020 28.9 37.6 36.8 28.6 37.1 2030 30.9 40.3 38.4 30.6 43.3 2040 32.6 40.9 39.5 32.3 47.3 2050 33.3 41.6 40.6 33.0 48.7

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 27.8 35.4 31.1 27.4 33.1 2020 28.8 36.8 37.3 28.5 35.8 2030 31.0 38.9 38.7 30.8 39.3 2040 32.9 38.0 40.8 32.7 40.3 2050 33.5 38.5 39.4 33.4 40.6

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 37.1 42.5 34.5 23.5 25.6 2020 38.2 42.7 36.4 27.4 30.6 2030 40.1 43.8 38.7 29.6 34.8 2040 41.3 45.6 40.9 32.4 38.3 2050 42.0 45.5 42.1 34.1 42.8

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 37.1 42.5 34.5 23.5 25.6 2020 38.1 43.8 36.7 27.2 28.0 2030 39.4 45.2 39.0 29.2 30.2 2040 39.8 47.0 41.3 32.0 32.9 2050 40.3 47.2 42.5 33.2 34.8

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 37.1 42.5 34.5 23.5 25.6 2020 37.9 44.8 37.3 27.2 26.1 2030 38.3 46.8 39.8 29.3 28.1 2040 38.0 48.3 42.8 31.8 30.8 2050 37.8 48.4 44.1 32.6 31.2

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 30.6 35.6 28.3 25.6 26.3 2020 33.0 37.1 30.8 28.2 31.3 2030 34.8 39.7 32.8 30.0 34.7 2040 35.4 39.5 34.5 32.0 37.9 2050 36.4 39.0 36.0 33.4 41.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 30.6 35.6 28.3 25.6 26.3 2020 32.0 36.0 30.6 27.7 30.9 2030 33.1 37.8 32.8 29.4 33.6 2040 33.7 36.6 34.5 31.2 36.1 2050 34.5 36.4 35.9 32.3 38.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 30.6 35.6 28.3 25.6 26.3 2020 31.0 34.6 30.3 27.2 30.6 2030 31.7 35.1 32.5 28.9 33.4 2040 32.1 33.2 34.0 30.4 35.2 2050 32.8 33.3 35.0 31.2 37.1

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 28.3 55.4 31.1 26.7 34.5 2020 29.4 53.8 35.1 28.3 38.8 2030 31.3 50.6 38.1 30.4 41.3 2040 33.0 50.3 39.8 32.2 44.4 2050 33.9 52.7 40.9 33.2 48.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 28.3 55.4 31.1 26.7 34.5 2020 29.7 56.6 35.1 28.4 37.1 2030 31.7 55.3 37.5 30.7 37.9 2040 33.9 53.9 38.8 33.0 40.6 2050 34.8 55.8 39.5 34.0 43.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 28.3 55.4 31.1 26.7 34.5 2020 29.9 60.3 34.9 28.5 35.8 2030 32.3 62.9 37.7 31.1 35.8 2040 34.8 60.4 39.7 33.7 38.3 2050 35.7 60.4 40.3 34.7 40.8

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 33.5 42.2 32.0 25.6 29.9 2020 35.7 42.4 34.1 28.7 34.8 2030 38.0 45.0 37.5 31.1 38.3 2040 39.1 46.5 39.1 33.3 39.9 2050 39.9 46.3 41.1 35.1 42.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 33.5 42.2 32.0 25.6 29.9 2020 35.4 42.2 34.2 28.8 32.6 2030 37.3 44.9 37.9 31.4 34.1 2040 38.3 46.7 39.7 33.8 34.7 2050 39.1 46.5 41.7 35.6 35.7

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 33.5 42.2 32.0 25.6 29.9 2020 35.1 42.1 35.1 29.0 31.4 2030 36.7 44.8 39.2 31.7 32.2 2040 37.7 46.6 42.0 34.3 32.8 2050 38.2 46.4 43.9 35.9 33.4

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 31.4 42.0 31.3 25.7 30.9 2020 33.6 42.2 33.4 28.3 36.0 2030 35.8 44.9 36.2 29.8 40.7 2040 36.1 47.9 37.6 31.3 43.5 2050 37.0 47.6 39.4 32.7 47.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 31.4 42.0 31.3 25.7 30.9 2020 33.3 42.7 33.0 28.5 34.1 2030 35.1 45.3 34.8 30.3 37.7 2040 35.7 48.1 35.8 32.0 39.8 2050 36.4 47.7 36.7 33.4 43.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 31.4 42.0 31.3 25.7 30.9 2020 33.0 43.3 32.6 28.6 33.2 2030 34.6 45.7 34.4 30.7 35.4 2040 35.4 48.2 35.2 32.7 38.0 2050 36.1 47.7 35.5 34.0 41.3

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 34.4 41.3 28.8 27.0 27.7 2020 35.8 40.9 33.7 29.0 32.8 2030 36.3 41.8 37.0 30.4 38.4 2040 36.2 40.5 37.6 32.4 41.3 2050 36.9 39.2 39.1 33.7 45.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 34.4 41.3 28.8 27.0 27.7 2020 35.5 41.2 33.5 28.7 31.1 2030 35.4 41.3 36.4 30.2 34.6 2040 35.4 39.9 36.7 32.3 36.2 2050 36.1 38.4 37.9 33.7 39.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 34.4 41.3 28.8 27.0 27.7 2020 35.1 41.7 33.1 28.5 30.0 2030 34.6 40.7 36.1 30.1 32.2 2040 34.5 38.8 35.7 32.2 33.6 2050 34.8 36.7 36.6 33.3 36.1

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 34.1 42.7 33.4 29.4 30.4 2020 36.1 44.4 35.1 32.1 34.5 2030 38.2 45.8 37.5 34.6 38.3 2040 39.7 46.9 38.9 36.8 41.3 2050 40.7 46.8 38.5 38.5 43.8

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 34.1 42.7 33.4 29.4 30.4 2020 35.9 44.5 35.3 31.9 32.8 2030 37.7 46.0 37.7 34.3 35.0 2040 39.2 47.1 39.3 36.6 36.4 2050 40.2 47.0 39.1 38.2 38.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 34.1 42.7 33.4 29.4 30.4 2020 35.7 44.6 35.5 31.8 31.5 2030 37.3 46.5 37.9 34.0 33.1 2040 38.8 48.0 39.8 36.5 34.3 2050 39.7 48.2 39.9 38.0 35.5

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 39.5 43.6 33.2 23.1 26.6 2020 40.1 44.5 34.6 27.7 32.8 2030 41.2 44.2 37.8 30.6 39.4 2040 43.4 46.3 40.2 33.6 45.3 2050 44.7 47.0 42.3 36.1 51.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 39.5 43.6 33.2 23.1 26.6 2020 40.2 45.9 34.6 27.0 30.8 2030 40.6 46.3 37.8 29.3 36.2 2040 41.9 47.7 40.1 31.9 40.4 2050 42.4 47.9 42.0 33.2 44.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 39.5 43.6 33.2 23.1 26.6 2020 40.2 47.4 34.6 26.5 29.6 2030 39.4 48.8 38.2 28.6 33.8 2040 39.5 48.9 41.0 30.9 37.7 2050 39.2 48.4 43.1 31.0 41.9

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 37.9 42.1 32.7 27.4 26.8 2020 38.6 42.8 33.6 29.9 31.7 2030 39.2 42.6 35.5 31.8 35.2 2040 40.6 43.5 37.3 33.8 39.8 2050 41.5 43.7 38.0 35.8 45.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 37.9 42.1 32.7 27.4 26.8 2020 38.3 42.9 33.5 28.7 29.8 2030 38.4 42.4 35.5 29.7 33.0 2040 39.4 43.2 37.2 31.2 37.2 2050 40.0 43.0 37.7 31.9 42.7

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 37.9 42.1 32.7 27.4 26.8 2020 37.9 43.2 33.4 27.8 28.9 2030 37.5 42.3 35.3 28.1 32.1 2040 37.9 42.8 36.7 29.3 36.5 2050 38.2 42.1 36.9 28.9 41.5

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 35.6 42.3 31.8 23.0 25.9 2020 36.6 42.6 33.2 26.8 31.1 2030 39.6 44.1 37.7 29.6 35.5 2040 41.4 47.2 39.5 32.8 39.6 2050 42.8 48.4 40.6 34.7 44.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 35.6 42.3 31.8 23.0 25.9 2020 36.2 43.5 32.7 26.8 29.5 2030 38.5 44.8 36.9 29.6 32.5 2040 39.5 47.8 38.2 32.7 35.8 2050 40.5 48.6 39.0 34.2 39.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 35.6 42.3 31.8 23.0 25.9 2020 35.6 44.4 32.1 26.8 28.5 2030 37.0 45.5 36.0 29.6 31.1 2040 37.6 47.7 36.7 32.7 34.5 2050 38.1 48.1 37.0 33.8 36.9

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 37.1 45.9 35.5 28.7 29.7 2020 36.5 44.9 33.6 30.4 29.1 2030 36.3 43.1 33.3 32.0 30.4 2040 36.7 42.4 34.4 33.9 30.9 2050 36.7 40.2 34.2 35.0 30.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 37.1 45.9 35.5 28.7 29.7 2020 36.5 45.6 33.5 30.2 27.6 2030 36.1 44.4 33.3 31.8 28.0 2040 36.4 43.5 34.6 33.6 27.0 2050 36.2 41.4 34.3 34.8 26.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 37.1 45.9 35.5 28.7 29.7 2020 36.7 46.8 33.5 30.3 25.7 2030 36.1 46.3 33.5 31.9 25.7 2040 36.2 45.6 34.6 33.6 25.0 2050 35.8 43.9 34.3 34.7 25.7

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 33.2 40.1 31.2 24.1 22.6 2020 34.6 40.4 33.3 27.6 28.3 2030 36.5 40.9 37.2 30.0 32.5 2040 37.5 40.9 39.9 32.6 37.2 2050 38.3 39.8 42.0 34.4 42.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 33.2 40.1 31.2 24.1 22.6 2020 34.0 41.2 33.5 27.0 27.4 2030 35.4 41.3 37.4 29.1 30.6 2040 36.1 41.2 40.2 31.3 34.4 2050 36.6 39.6 42.2 32.4 38.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 33.2 40.1 31.2 24.1 22.6 2020 33.3 42.0 33.8 26.4 27.0 2030 34.1 41.7 37.8 28.3 29.6 2040 34.4 41.1 40.7 30.1 32.6 2050 34.2 38.5 42.6 30.7 35.3

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 35.2 40.0 29.7 24.8 26.5 2020 36.0 40.2 31.8 27.7 31.0 2030 37.2 40.6 33.5 29.9 34.7 2040 37.8 40.7 34.3 32.6 37.8 2050 38.4 40.1 35.6 34.3 42.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 35.2 40.0 29.7 24.8 26.5 2020 35.7 40.7 31.7 27.2 29.5 2030 36.5 40.8 33.3 29.3 31.7 2040 36.7 40.9 34.1 31.7 34.3 2050 37.2 39.9 35.2 33.1 37.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 35.2 40.0 29.7 24.8 26.5 2020 35.4 41.2 32.1 26.7 29.0 2030 35.6 40.9 34.5 28.6 30.5 2040 35.4 40.6 35.5 30.7 32.4 2050 35.3 38.9 36.3 31.6 34.4 ______

Table 9: Percent of Net Change from 2010-2050 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity- Specific Net Migration for Abilene Metropolitan Statistical Area ______

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo 126 0.5 Black 2,678 11.2 Hispanic 18,781 78.5 Other 2,355 9.8 Total 23,940 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -10,605 -38.6 Black 2,111 7.7 Hispanic 29,196 106.3 Other 6,765 24.6 Total 27,467 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -27,554 -100.7 Black 806 2.9 Hispanic 40,026 146.4 Other 14,069 51.4 Total 27,347 100.0

Table 9 (continued) Percent of Net Change from 2010-2050 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity- Specific Net Migration for Amarillo Metropolitan Statistical Area ______

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -7,312 -14.8 Black 2,950 6.0 Hispanic 48,417 97.7 Other 5,484 11.1 Total 49,539 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -11,890 -10.6 Black 5,258 4.7 Hispanic 97,402 87.5 Other 20,515 18.4 Total 111,285 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -25,154 -12.7 Black 8,262 4.2 Hispanic 170,468 85.7 Other 45,396 22.8 Total 198,972 100.0

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -37,645 -9.6 Black 11,086 2.8 Hispanic 381,001 96.9 Other 38,842 9.9 Total 393,284 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo 269,466 17.6 Black 60,781 3.9 Hispanic 996,189 64.7 Other 212,849 13.8 Total 1,539,285 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo 668,660 19.3 Black 132,216 3.8 Hispanic 2,086,264 60.3 Other 573,511 16.6 Total 3,460,651 100.0

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -11,394 -26.1 Black 12,074 27.7 Hispanic 35,396 81.3 Other 7,445 17.1 Total 43,521 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -27,135 -28.4 Black 10,218 10.7 Hispanic 92,925 97.3 Other 19,538 20.4 Total 95,546 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -53,945 -33.7 Black -2,976 -1.9 Hispanic 176,153 110.1 Other 40,758 25.5 Total 159,990 100.0

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -17,359 -6.8 Black 216 0.1 Hispanic 272,397 106.2 Other 1,211 0.5 Total 256,465 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -16,718 -5.2 Black 206 0.1 Hispanic 333,362 103.4 Other 5,448 1.7 Total 322,298 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -18,187 -5.4 Black 453 0.1 Hispanic 339,362 101.1 Other 14,054 4.2 Total 335,682 100.0

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo 13,822 16.9 Black 6,944 8.6 Hispanic 55,259 68.1 Other 5,176 6.4 Total 81,201 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo 26,751 16.8 Black 12,058 7.6 Hispanic 102,539 64.4 Other 17,777 11.2 Total 159,125 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo 29,497 12.1 Black 15,308 6.3 Hispanic 160,260 65.9 Other 38,304 15.7 Total 243,369 100.0

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -20,433 -25.2 Black 223 0.3 Hispanic 98,126 120.7 Other 3,414 4.2 Total 81,330 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -36,611 -31.2 Black 445 0.4 Hispanic 141,117 120.2 Other 12,466 10.6 Total 117,417 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -60,532 -49.8 Black -864 -0.7 Hispanic 155,741 128.1 Other 27,247 22.4 Total 121,592 100.0

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -195,064 -14.2 Black 132,867 9.7 Hispanic 1,287,037 93.9 Other 145,347 10.6 Total 1,370,187 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -16,416 -0.4 Black 537,142 12.2 Hispanic 3,039,355 68.9 Other 852,104 19.3 Total 4,412,185 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo 279,373 2.8 Black 1,142,440 11.5 Hispanic 6,102,478 61.4 Other 2,416,788 24.3 Total 9,941,079 100.0

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -8,375 -2.8 Black 4,137 1.4 Hispanic 299,301 99.2 Other 6,544 2.2 Total 301,607 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -23,961 -5.0 Black 4,813 1.0 Hispanic 471,918 99.6 Other 21,057 4.4 Total 473,827 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -43,077 -7.5 Black 2,503 0.4 Hispanic 568,252 99.7 Other 42,332 7.4 Total 570,010 100.0

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -199,041 -15.0 Black 88,564 6.7 Hispanic 1,331,665 100.6 Other 102,446 7.7 Total 1,323,634 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -115,429 -2.9 Black 383,352 9.4 Hispanic 3,094,213 75.8 Other 722,398 17.7 Total 4,084,534 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -27,063 -0.2 Black 734,371 8.8 Hispanic 5,664,744 68.2 Other 1,928,799 23.2 Total 8,300,851 100.0

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo 34,074 24.2 Black 27,175 19.2 Hispanic 63,013 44.6 Other 16,971 12.0 Total 141,233 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo 54,724 18.7 Black 40,628 14.0 Hispanic 140,035 48.2 Other 55,428 19.1 Total 290,815 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo 60,052 13.1 Black 41,747 9.1 Hispanic 232,852 50.9 Other 123,011 26.9 Total 457,662 100.0

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo 1,208 0.7 Black 290 0.2 Hispanic 173,314 98.8 Other 539 0.3 Total 175,351 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo 1,191 0.5 Black 241 0.1 Hispanic 241,449 99.0 Other 896 0.4 Total 243,777 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -190 -0.1 Black 160 0.1 Hispanic 275,130 98.4 Other 4,380 1.6 Total 279,480 100.0

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -8,026 -32.2 Black 3,071 12.3 Hispanic 26,590 106.8 Other 3,270 13.1 Total 24,905 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -6,233 -7.0 Black 5,336 6.0 Hispanic 77,817 88.0 Other 11,474 13.0 Total 88,394 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -14,358 -7.8 Black 6,070 3.3 Hispanic 160,208 87.3 Other 31,627 17.2 Total 183,547 100.0

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -1,966 -2.8 Black 5,909 8.2 Hispanic 64,232 89.1 Other 3,953 5.5 Total 72,128 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -3,432 -2.8 Black 7,380 6.1 Hispanic 99,841 83.1 Other 16,302 13.6 Total 120,091 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -12,293 -7.8 Black 5,479 3.5 Hispanic 124,392 79.2 Other 39,436 25.1 Total 157,014 100.0

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -26,122 -5.4 Black 606 0.1 Hispanic 503,463 104.8 Other 2,587 0.5 Total 480,534 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -10,538 -1.3 Black 1,108 0.1 Hispanic 772,996 99.3 Other 14,807 1.9 Total 778,373 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo 8,597 0.9 Black 2,245 0.2 Hispanic 956,736 95.2 Other 37,023 3.7 Total 1,004,601 100.0

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -4,955 -13.4 Black 1,459 3.9 Hispanic 38,417 103.7 Other 2,142 5.8 Total 37,063 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -8,881 -12.3 Black 1,855 2.6 Hispanic 72,070 99.8 Other 7,157 9.9 Total 72,201 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -17,396 -16.5 Black 1,440 1.4 Hispanic 105,384 99.7 Other 16,279 15.4 Total 105,707 100.0

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -4,935 -8.8 Black 1,353 2.4 Hispanic 58,979 104.7 Other 950 1.7 Total 56,347 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -12,327 -14.9 Black 1,879 2.3 Hispanic 90,804 109.6 Other 2,526 3.0 Total 82,882 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -23,313 -23.8 Black 1,115 1.1 Hispanic 113,892 116.4 Other 6,140 6.3 Total 97,834 100.0

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -3,038 -15.1 Black 214 1.1 Hispanic 22,006 108.5 Other 1,107 5.5 Total 20,289 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -8,803 -42.7 Black -58 -0.3 Hispanic 26,797 130.1 Other 2,663 12.9 Total 20,599 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -19,408 -166.2 Black -542 -4.6 Hispanic 26,108 223.5 Other 5,521 47.3 Total 11,679 1 00.0

100

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -81,325 -18.0 Black 18,799 4.2 Hispanic 483,342 106.8 Other 31,644 7.0 Total 452,460 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo 33,942 2.7 Black 61,138 4.9 Hispanic 997,392 80.1 Other 152,822 12.3 Total 1,245,294 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo 172,296 8.0 Black 100,456 4.7 Hispanic 1,465,005 68.1 Other 413,967 19.2 Total 2,151,724 100.0

101

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -10,116 -441.6 Black 822 35.9 Hispanic 10,578 461.7 Other 1,007 44.0 Total 2,291 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -10,416 -39.4 Black 513 1.9 Hispanic 30,203 114.4 Other 6,103 23.1 Total 26,403 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -16,684 -28.3 Black 281 0.5 Hispanic 60,914 103.0 Other 14,644 24.8 Total 59,155 100.0

102

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -2,244 -37.0 Black 4,355 71.9 Hispanic 2,912 48.0 Other 1,038 17.1 Total 6,061 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -7,522 -94.7 Black 5,168 65.1 Hispanic 6,354 80.0 Other 3,938 49.6 Total 7,938 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -17,087 -312.7 Black 2,814 51.5 Hispanic 9,340 170.9 Other 10,398 190.3 Total 5,465 100.0

103

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -15,167 -64.6 Black 5,617 23.9 Hispanic 29,967 127.7 Other 3,051 13.0 Total 23,468 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -11,250 -12.5 Black 10,547 11.7 Hispanic 77,211 85.8 Other 13,523 15.0 Total 90,031 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -15,022 -8.7 Black 10,704 6.2 Hispanic 142,477 82.3 Other 34,962 20.2 Total 173,121 100.0

104

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -1,461 -6.0 Black 1,739 7.1 Hispanic 22,254 90.7 Other 2,009 8.2 Total 24,541 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -7,387 -29.1 Black 1,605 6.3 Hispanic 27,253 107.3 Other 3,935 15.5 Total 25,406 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -14,642 -70.2 Black 1,300 6.2 Hispanic 26,228 125.7 Other 7,984 38.3 Total 20,870 100.0

105

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -5,735 -12.9 Black 3,737 8.4 Hispanic 43,569 98.0 Other 2,868 6.5 Total 44,439 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -21,352 -29.4 Black 5,720 7.9 Hispanic 79,271 109.1 Other 9,021 12.4 Total 72,660 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -42,936 -45.8 Black 2,983 3.2 Hispanic 115,911 123.6 Other 17,820 19.0 Total 93,778 100.0

106

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -1,954 -10.5 Black 2,629 14.1 Hispanic 15,326 82.2 Other 2,638 14.2 Total 18,639 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -14,151 -73.1 Black 2,003 10.3 Hispanic 25,644 132.5 Other 5,865 30.3 Total 19,361 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -32,155 -261.5 Black -68 -0.6 Hispanic 35,883 291.9 Other 8,631 70.2 Total 12,291 100.0 ______

107

Table 10: Total Population and Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Population and Percent Population Change 2010-2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Council of Government Regions in Texas - Ranked by Total Population Size in 2010 ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change Council of Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- Government Region 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

North Central Texas 6,539,950 7,078,266 7,507,196 7,797,896 7,935,383 8.2 6.1 3.9 1.8 21.3 Houston-Galveston 6,087,133 6,609,165 7,018,314 7,297,940 7,440,144 8.6 6.2 4.0 1.9 22.2 Alamo Area 2,249,718 2,420,546 2,558,514 2,646,681 2,704,140 7.6 5.7 3.4 2.2 20.2 Capital Area 1,830,003 1,990,364 2,098,589 2,174,611 2,220,862 8.8 5.4 3.6 2.1 21.4 Lower Rio Grande Valley 1,203,123 1,379,945 1,571,478 1,758,905 1,951,002 14.7 13.9 11.9 10.9 62.2 East Texas 829,749 861,370 883,590 893,533 901,205 3.8 2.6 1.1 0.9 8.6 Rio Grande 825,913 916,503 1,002,213 1,072,421 1,134,759 11.0 9.4 7.0 5.8 37.4 Coastal Bend 571,280 611,764 647,922 675,230 700,708 7.1 5.9 4.2 3.8 22.7 Central Texas 449,641 495,988 533,081 567,906 596,381 10.3 7.5 6.5 5.0 32.6 Panhandle 427,927 459,948 491,421 517,885 540,372 7.5 6.8 5.4 4.3 26.3 Permian Basin 417,679 458,358 494,236 526,205 554,032 9.7 7.8 6.5 5.3 32.6 South Plains 411,659 444,473 475,908 503,117 529,163 8.0 7.1 5.7 5.2 28.5 South East Texas 388,745 406,787 420,661 427,989 431,938 4.6 3.4 1.7 0.9 11.1 Deep East Texas 378,477 392,749 405,459 414,721 425,594 3.8 3.2 2.3 2.6 12.4 Heart of Texas 349,273 366,438 382,348 393,165 403,263 4.9 4.3 2.8 2.6 15.5 South Texas 330,590 388,425 449,572 510,665 575,273 17.5 15.7 13.6 12.7 74.0 West Central Texas 327,390 342,621 354,150 361,005 367,328 4.7 3.4 1.9 1.8 12.2 Brazos Valley 319,447 342,950 366,058 385,532 408,260 7.4 6.7 5.3 5.9 27.8 Ark-Tex 281,947 292,790 301,405 305,946 309,685 3.8 2.9 1.5 1.2 9.8 Nortex 222,860 230,830 239,102 244,753 249,408 3.6 3.6 2.4 1.9 11.9 Texoma 193,229 198,889 202,668 202,729 201,528 2.9 1.9 0.0 -0.6 4.3 Golden Crescent 188,626 199,870 210,861 219,289 228,096 6.0 5.5 4.0 4.0 20.9 Middle Rio Grande 167,010 187,820 210,478 232,556 257,700 12.5 12.1 10.5 10.8 54.3 Concho Valley 154,192 161,751 168,986 108174,624 180,131 4.9 4.5 3.3 3.2 16.8 ______

Table 10: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change Council of Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- Government Region 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

North Central Texas 6,539,950 7,529,519 8,621,461 9,789,186 10,995,559 15.1 14.5 13.5 12.3 68.1 Houston-Galveston 6,087,133 7,075,093 8,111,578 9,157,981 10,205,569 16.2 14.6 12.9 11.4 67.7 Alamo Area 2,249,718 2,586,176 2,924,534 3,230,136 3,519,081 15.0 13.1 10.4 8.9 56.4 Capital Area 1,830,003 2,200,953 2,573,614 2,967,407 3,398,682 20.3 16.9 15.3 14.5 85.7 Lower Rio Grande Valley 1,203,123 1,453,822 1,735,641 2,021,145 2,319,393 20.8 19.4 16.4 14.8 92.8 East Texas 829,749 897,131 965,057 1,026,765 1,095,762 8.1 7.6 6.4 6.7 32.1 Rio Grande 825,913 950,385 1,079,420 1,194,976 1,306,261 15.1 13.6 10.7 9.3 58.2 Coastal Bend 571,280 620,189 665,829 699,139 728,111 8.6 7.4 5.0 4.1 27.5 Central Texas 449,641 523,489 595,042 670,395 746,827 16.4 13.7 12.7 11.4 66.1 Panhandle 427,927 471,251 519,668 567,127 615,669 10.1 10.3 9.1 8.6 43.9 Permian Basin 417,679 469,448 522,173 573,520 624,145 12.4 11.2 9.8 8.8 49.4 South Plains 411,659 451,636 493,274 531,410 569,812 9.7 9.2 7.7 7.2 38.4 South East Texas 388,745 413,151 438,434 461,529 485,214 6.3 6.1 5.3 5.1 24.8 Deep East Texas 378,477 404,527 428,835 446,855 465,082 6.9 6.0 4.2 4.1 22.9 Heart of Texas 349,273 374,621 401,244 422,345 443,249 7.3 7.1 5.3 4.9 26.9 South Texas 330,590 399,830 474,870 549,811 627,363 20.9 18.8 15.8 14.1 89.8 West Central Texas 327,390 344,797 358,886 367,057 373,596 5.3 4.1 2.3 1.8 14.1 Brazos Valley 319,447 362,015 407,910 451,812 504,274 13.3 12.7 10.8 11.6 57.9 Ark-Tex 281,947 296,490 310,231 320,342 330,826 5.2 4.6 3.3 3.3 17.3 Nortex 222,860 231,365 240,982 247,548 252,827 3.8 4.2 2.7 2.1 13.4 Texoma 193,229 205,755 217,964 226,554 234,278 6.5 5.9 3.9 3.4 21.2 Golden Crescent 188,626 201,744 215,032 225,329 235,724 7.0 6.6 4.8 4.6 25.0 Middle Rio Grande 167,010 187,729 208,598 227,365 246,699 12.4 11.1 9.0 8.5 47.7 Concho Valley 154,192 162,166 169,940 174,861 178,746 5.2 4.8 2.9 2.2 15.9 ______109

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

North Central Texas 6,539,950 8,049,465 10,115,541 12,888,231 16,541,609 23.1 25.7 27.4 28.3 152.9 Houston-Galveston 6,087,133 7,591,647 9,466,708 11,712,202 14,416,642 24.7 24.7 23.7 23.1 136.8 Alamo Area 2,249,718 2,759,232 3,323,204 3,886,655 4,450,313 22.6 20.4 17.0 14.5 97.8 Capital Area 1,830,003 2,441,264 3,190,612 4,129,875 5,358,126 33.4 30.7 29.4 29.7 192.8 Lower Rio Grande Valley 1,203,123 1,525,927 1,888,065 2,236,009 2,560,965 26.8 23.7 18.4 14.5 112.9 East Texas 829,749 936,323 1,059,245 1,192,453 1,355,704 12.8 13.1 12.6 13.7 63.4 Rio Grande 825,913 980,456 1,142,673 1,281,526 1,398,989 18.7 16.5 12.2 9.2 69.4 Coastal Bend 571,280 624,454 671,447 697,181 707,916 9.3 7.5 3.8 1.5 23.9 Central Texas 449,641 551,856 659,690 780,639 914,416 22.7 19.5 18.3 17.1 103.4 Panhandle 427,927 484,478 554,343 633,691 726,044 13.2 14.4 14.3 14.6 69.7 Permian Basin 417,679 479,978 547,298 613,899 676,892 14.9 14.0 12.2 10.3 62.1 South Plains 411,659 457,807 506,423 550,335 591,983 11.2 10.6 8.7 7.6 43.8 South East Texas 388,745 418,420 455,653 498,941 551,607 7.6 8.9 9.5 10.6 41.9 Deep East Texas 378,477 418,106 455,430 482,461 504,915 10.5 8.9 5.9 4.7 33.4 Heart of Texas 349,273 382,710 419,015 447,898 474,365 9.6 9.5 6.9 5.9 35.8 South Texas 330,590 409,389 493,464 570,742 638,866 23.8 0.5 15.7 11.9 93.3 West Central Texas 327,390 347,819 363,456 371,954 375,854 6.2 4.5 2.3 1.0 14.8 Brazos Valley 319,447 382,528 453,474 524,839 609,323 19.7 18.5 15.7 16.1 90.7 Ark-Tex 281,947 301,626 321,195 338,929 359,693 7.0 6.5 5.5 6.1 27.6 Nortex 222,860 231,941 241,920 248,400 252,635 4.1 4.3 2.7 1.7 13.4 Texoma 193,229 213,118 234,926 254,726 276,147 10.3 10.2 8.4 8.4 42.9 Golden Crescent 188,626 204,094 218,376 228,685 236,514 8.2 7.0 4.7 3.4 25.4 Middle Rio Grande 167,010 186,755 203,184 213,427 218,192 11.8 8.8 5.0 2.2 30.6 Concho Valley 154,192 162,585 169,742 172,198 171,587 5.4 4.4 1.4 0.4 11.3 ______110

111

Table 11 Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Alamo Area Council of Governments ______

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 37.2 5.9 53.2 3.7 2020 34.5 5.9 55.7 3.9 2030 31.9 5.8 58.3 4.0 2040 29.4 5.7 60.7 4.2 2050 27.4 5.6 62.8 4.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 37.2 5.9 53.2 3.7 2020 33.8 5.9 56.0 4.3 2030 30.4 5.8 58.8 5.0 2040 27.3 5.7 61.2 5.8 2050 24.6 5.5 63.2 6.7

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 37.2 5.9 53.2 3.7 2020 33.1 5.9 56.1 4.9 2030 29.2 5.8 58.6 6.4 2040 25.8 5.5 60.2 8.5 2050 22.9 5.2 60.7 11.2

112

Table 11 (continued) Percent of Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projections of the Population by Race/Ethnicity from 2020 to 2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Ark-Tex Council of Governments ______

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 69.6 16.2 11.3 2.9 2020 67.0 16.6 13.2 3.2 2030 64.2 16.8 15.4 3.6 2040 61.6 16.8 17.6 4.0 2050 59.4 16.7 19.5 4.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 69.6 16.2 11.3 2.9 2020 65.9 16.6 14.1 3.4 2030 62.0 16.6 17.4 4.0 2040 57.6 16.3 21.2 4.9 2050 53.1 15.8 25.1 6.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 69.6 16.2 11.3 2.9 2020 64.4 16.5 15.2 3.9 2030 58.4 16.2 20.1 5.3 2040 51.4 15.1 25.9 7.6 2050 43.9 13.6 31.9 10.6

113

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 61.5 12.7 20.9 4.9 2020 57.8 12.8 24.1 5.3 2030 55.0 12.6 27.0 5.4 2040 52.1 12.3 30.1 5.5 2050 50.0 11.8 32.8 5.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 61.5 12.7 20.9 4.9 2020 56.9 12.5 25.0 5.6 2030 52.7 12.0 29.1 6.2 2040 48.1 11.5 33.8 6.6 2050 44.0 10.7 38.4 6.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 61.5 12.7 20.9 4.9 2020 55.4 12.3 26.2 6.1 2030 49.4 11.6 31.8 7.2 2040 42.9 10.7 38.1 8.3 2050 37.1 9.3 44.1 9.5

114

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 56.1 6.8 30.5 6.6 2020 53.2 6.7 33.3 6.8 2030 49.9 6.6 36.5 7.0 2040 46.6 6.4 39.8 7.2 2050 43.5 6.1 43.1 7.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 56.1 6.8 30.5 6.6 2020 52.1 6.5 34.0 7.4 2030 47.5 6.2 38.1 8.2 2040 42.5 5.9 42.5 9.1 2050 37.9 5.5 46.7 9.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 56.1 6.8 30.5 6.6 2020 50.9 6.4 34.7 8.0 2030 44.7 5.9 39.8 9.6 2040 37.8 5.4 45.4 11.4 2050 31.9 4.8 50.3 13.0

115

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 55.7 17.4 20.4 6.5 2020 53.3 17.7 22.1 6.9 2030 50.7 18.0 24.0 7.3 2040 48.7 17.9 25.8 7.6 2050 47.1 17.7 27.4 7.8

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 55.7 17.4 20.4 6.5 2020 52.1 17.4 23.0 7.5 2030 47.8 17.3 26.2 8.7 2040 43.9 16.7 29.3 10.1 2050 40.4 15.9 32.3 11.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 55.7 17.4 20.4 6.5 2020 50.5 17.0 24.2 8.3 2030 44.6 16.2 28.7 10.5 2040 38.7 14.9 33.0 13.4 2050 33.5 13.1 36.7 16.7

116

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 34.0 3.2 60.3 2.5 2020 31.3 3.1 63.0 2.6 2030 28.7 2.9 65.7 2.7 2040 26.2 2.8 68.3 2.7 2050 24.1 2.7 70.5 2.7

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 34.0 3.2 60.3 2.5 2020 30.3 3.0 63.8 2.9 2030 26.8 2.9 67.1 3.2 2040 23.6 2.7 70.2 3.5 2050 20.8 2.6 72.8 3.8

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 34.0 3.2 60.3 2.5 2020 29.3 3.0 64.6 3.1 2030 24.8 2.8 68.5 3.9 2040 20.9 2.6 71.6 4.9 2050 17.6 2.4 73.9 6.1

117

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 58.2 2.8 36.6 2.4 2020 54.8 2.8 39.9 2.5 2030 51.4 2.7 43.3 2.6 2040 48.5 2.6 46.3 2.6 2050 46.1 2.5 48.8 2.6

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 58.2 2.8 36.6 2.4 2020 54.1 2.8 40.5 2.6 2030 49.8 2.7 44.6 2.9 2040 46.0 2.5 48.3 3.2 2050 42.6 2.4 51.5 3.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 58.2 2.8 36.6 2.4 2020 52.9 2.8 41.4 2.9 2030 47.7 2.6 46.2 3.5 2040 42.7 2.4 50.6 4.3 2050 38.1 2.2 54.4 5.3

118

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 69.2 15.4 13.1 2.3 2020 66.5 15.7 15.2 2.6 2030 63.7 15.8 17.5 3.0 2040 61.0 15.8 19.9 3.3 2050 58.9 15.6 21.9 3.6

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 69.2 15.4 13.1 2.3 2020 66.0 15.5 15.8 2.7 2030 62.4 15.4 19.1 3.1 2040 58.4 15.2 22.8 3.6 2050 54.6 14.8 26.4 4.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 69.2 15.4 13.1 2.3 2020 65.3 15.3 16.6 2.8 2030 60.5 14.8 21.1 3.6 2040 54.7 14.0 26.4 4.9 2050 48.6 12.9 31.9 6.6

119

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 68.5 15.0 14.0 2.5 2020 65.7 15.2 16.3 2.8 2030 62.7 15.2 19.0 3.1 2040 59.6 15.0 21.9 3.5 2050 57.1 14.7 24.5 3.7

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 68.5 15.0 14.0 2.5 2020 64.3 14.9 17.8 3.0 2030 59.4 14.4 22.6 3.6 2040 53.9 13.7 28.0 4.4 2050 48.2 12.8 33.8 5.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 68.5 15.0 14.0 2.5 2020 62.6 14.6 19.4 3.4 2030 55.1 13.6 26.7 4.6 2040 46.6 12.0 35.0 6.4 2050 37.7 10.2 43.6 8.5

120

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 52.8 6.0 39.0 2.2 2020 48.9 6.1 42.5 2.5 2030 45.3 6.1 45.8 2.8 2040 42.0 5.9 49.0 3.1 2050 39.3 5.7 51.7 3.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 52.8 6.0 39.0 2.2 2020 48.0 6.0 43.5 2.5 2030 43.2 5.9 47.9 3.0 2040 38.7 5.6 52.3 3.4 2050 34.6 5.3 56.1 4.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 52.8 6.0 39.0 2.2 2020 46.6 6.1 44.5 2.8 2030 40.6 5.9 49.9 3.6 2040 34.6 5.5 54.9 5.0 2050 29.5 5.0 58.8 6.7

121

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 61.9 13.7 21.7 2.7 2020 58.6 13.9 24.7 2.8 2030 55.6 13.7 27.7 3.0 2040 52.7 13.4 30.7 3.2 2050 50.4 13.0 33.3 3.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 61.9 13.7 21.7 2.7 2020 57.4 13.8 25.8 3.0 2030 52.7 13.4 30.4 3.5 2040 47.9 12.9 35.2 4.0 2050 43.4 12.2 40.0 4.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 61.9 13.7 21.7 2.7 2020 55.7 13.7 27.3 3.3 2030 49.2 13.0 33.7 4.1 2040 42.4 12.1 40.4 5.1 2050 35.8 10.8 47.1 6.3

122

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 39.9 16.8 35.2 8.1 2020 37.3 16.5 38.0 8.2 2030 34.7 16.1 41.0 8.2 2040 32.2 15.6 44.1 8.1 2050 29.8 15.0 47.2 8.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 39.9 16.8 35.2 8.1 2020 35.1 16.4 39.4 9.1 2030 30.5 15.7 43.7 10.1 2040 26.2 14.8 47.9 11.1 2050 22.6 13.8 51.7 11.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 39.9 16.8 35.2 8.1 2020 33.1 16.1 40.7 10.1 2030 26.7 15.0 46.0 12.3 2040 21.0 13.7 50.7 14.6 2050 16.5 12.2 54.4 16.9

123

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 8.8 0.4 89.7 1.1 2020 6.7 0.3 91.9 1.1 2030 5.1 0.3 93.6 1.0 2040 3.9 0.3 94.8 1.0 2050 3.1 0.3 95.7 0.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 8.8 0.4 89.7 1.1 2020 7.0 0.3 91.5 1.2 2030 5.4 0.3 93.0 1.3 2040 4.2 0.3 94.1 1.4 2050 3.5 0.2 94.9 1.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 8.8 0.4 89.7 1.1 2020 7.3 0.3 91.0 1.4 2030 5.9 0.3 92.1 1.7 2040 4.6 0.3 93.0 2.1 2050 3.8 0.3 93.4 2.5

124

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 15.1 0.6 83.1 1.2 2020 13.3 0.6 84.9 1.2 2030 11.5 0.6 86.7 1.2 2040 10.1 0.5 88.2 1.2 2050 8.9 0.5 89.5 1.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 15.1 0.6 83.1 1.2 2020 13.2 0.6 85.0 1.2 2030 11.3 0.6 86.9 1.2 2040 9.8 0.5 88.5 1.2 2050 8.5 0.5 89.9 1.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 15.1 0.6 83.1 1.2 2020 13.1 0.6 85.0 1.3 2030 11.1 0.6 86.8 1.5 2040 9.6 0.5 88.2 1.7 2050 8.4 0.4 89.3 1.9

125

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 73.8 7.0 15.5 3.7 2020 71.2 7.1 17.7 4.0 2030 68.5 7.2 20.0 4.3 2040 65.9 7.3 22.3 4.5 2050 63.7 7.3 24.3 4.7

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 73.8 7.0 15.5 3.7 2020 70.1 7.1 18.6 4.2 2030 65.9 7.1 22.2 4.8 2040 61.8 7.0 25.9 5.3 2050 57.6 6.9 29.7 5.8

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 73.8 7.0 15.5 3.7 2020 68.5 7.0 20.0 4.5 2030 62.4 6.9 25.4 5.3 2040 55.8 6.6 31.4 6.2 2050 49.2 6.1 37.5 7.2

126

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 50.9 14.5 27.3 7.3 2020 48.0 14.5 29.9 7.6 2030 45.2 14.3 32.8 7.7 2040 42.2 14.0 35.9 7.9 2050 39.5 13.6 39.0 7.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 50.9 14.5 27.3 7.3 2020 45.5 14.7 31.3 8.5 2030 40.1 14.6 35.7 9.6 2040 34.8 14.2 40.1 10.9 2050 30.2 13.5 44.2 12.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 50.9 14.5 27.3 7.3 2020 42.9 14.9 32.7 9.5 2030 35.1 14.6 38.5 11.8 2040 27.9 13.8 43.7 14.6 2050 21.8 12.6 48.0 17.6

127

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 60.8 4.5 31.0 3.7 2020 57.0 4.5 34.5 4.0 2030 53.2 4.5 38.0 4.3 2040 49.6 4.4 41.4 4.6 2050 46.6 4.3 44.4 4.7

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 60.8 4.5 31.0 3.7 2020 55.3 4.5 35.8 4.4 2030 49.5 4.5 40.8 5.2 2040 44.0 4.3 45.6 6.1 2050 38.8 4.1 50.1 7.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 60.8 4.5 31.0 3.7 2020 53.1 4.5 37.5 4.9 2030 45.0 4.4 44.2 6.4 2040 36.8 4.2 50.6 8.4 2050 29.4 3.8 56.2 10.6

128

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 46.5 4.7 46.6 2.2 2020 43.0 4.6 50.1 2.3 2030 39.6 4.4 53.6 2.4 2040 36.3 4.3 56.9 2.5 2050 33.4 4.1 60.1 2.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 46.5 4.7 46.6 2.2 2020 41.5 4.5 51.5 2.5 2030 36.7 4.3 56.3 2.7 2040 32.3 4.1 60.6 3.0 2050 28.4 3.8 64.6 3.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 46.5 4.7 46.6 2.2 2020 39.8 4.5 53.0 2.7 2030 33.7 4.2 58.8 3.3 2040 28.3 3.8 63.7 4.2 2050 24.0 3.3 67.5 5.2

129

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 13.8 2.5 81.6 2.1 2020 12.4 2.4 83.1 2.1 2030 11.0 2.4 84.5 2.1 2040 10.1 2.3 85.5 2.1 2050 9.2 2.2 86.5 2.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 13.8 2.5 81.6 2.1 2020 11.5 2.4 83.8 2.3 2030 9.6 2.2 85.7 2.5 2040 8.0 2.1 87.2 2.7 2050 6.8 2.0 88.3 2.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 13.8 2.5 81.6 2.1 2020 10.6 2.3 84.6 2.5 2030 8.1 2.1 86.9 2.9 2040 6.3 1.9 88.3 3.5 2050 4.9 1.7 89.1 4.3

130

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 58.8 24.3 12.9 4.0 2020 56.7 24.5 14.4 4.4 2030 54.6 24.6 16.1 4.7 2040 52.4 24.7 17.9 5.0 2050 50.4 24.6 19.7 5.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 58.8 24.3 12.9 4.0 2020 54.9 24.3 16.1 4.7 2030 50.8 23.7 20.0 5.5 2040 46.4 22.8 24.5 6.3 2050 41.8 21.6 29.4 7.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 58.8 24.3 12.9 4.0 2020 53.0 23.8 18.0 5.2 2030 46.2 22.3 24.8 6.7 2040 39.2 19.8 32.6 8.4 2050 32.1 16.7 41.0 10.2

131

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 53.0 6.1 38.0 2.9 2020 49.4 6.1 41.5 3.0 2030 45.8 6.1 45.0 3.1 2040 42.5 6.1 48.2 3.2 2050 39.8 6.0 51.0 3.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 53.0 6.1 38.0 2.9 2020 48.3 6.1 42.2 3.4 2030 43.6 6.1 46.3 4.0 2040 39.6 6.0 49.9 4.5 2050 36.0 5.7 53.2 5.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 53.0 6.1 38.0 2.9 2020 47.2 6.1 42.9 3.8 2030 41.5 5.9 47.5 5.1 2040 36.4 5.6 51.2 6.8 2050 32.1 5.1 53.9 8.9

132

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 3.6 0.2 95.6 0.6 2020 3.2 0.2 96.0 0.6 2030 2.8 0.2 96.4 0.6 2040 2.5 0.2 96.8 0.5 2050 2.2 0.1 97.2 0.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 3.6 0.2 95.6 0.6 2020 3.1 0.2 96.1 0.6 2030 2.7 0.2 96.5 0.6 2040 2.5 0.1 96.9 0.5 2050 2.1 0.1 97.3 0.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 3.6 0.2 95.6 0.6 2020 3.1 0.2 96.0 0.7 2030 2.7 0.1 96.4 0.8 2040 2.3 0.1 96.7 0.9 2050 2.0 0.1 96.9 1.0

133

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 79.0 5.3 11.9 3.8 2020 76.8 5.4 13.8 4.0 2030 74.1 5.6 16.0 4.3 2040 71.5 5.6 18.3 4.6 2050 69.3 5.6 20.4 4.7

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 79.0 5.3 11.9 3.8 2020 75.3 5.2 15.1 4.4 2030 70.7 5.1 19.2 5.0 2040 65.4 4.9 24.0 5.7 2050 59.8 4.6 29.3 6.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 79.0 5.3 11.9 3.8 2020 73.4 5.1 16.7 4.8 2030 65.9 4.8 23.2 6.1 2040 57.0 4.3 30.9 7.8 2050 47.2 3.7 39.5 9.6

134

Year Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 69.4 5.1 22.8 2.7 2020 66.5 5.3 25.3 2.9 2030 63.4 5.5 28.0 3.1 2040 60.8 5.5 30.5 3.2 2050 58.7 5.5 32.5 3.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 69.4 5.1 22.8 2.7 2020 65.5 5.3 26.1 3.1 2030 61.5 5.3 29.7 3.5 2040 57.5 5.3 33.2 4.0 2050 53.8 5.2 36.6 4.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010

2010 69.4 5.1 22.8 2.7 2020 64.3 5.2 27.2 3.3 2030 58.5 5.2 32.1 4.2 2040 52.7 5.0 36.9 5.4 2050 47.1 4.6 41.5 6.8 ______135

Table 12: Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Alamo Area Council of Governments ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 34.5 43.6 33.3 29.4 30.5 2020 36.4 45.0 35.1 32.1 34.6 2030 38.3 45.9 37.5 34.5 38.5 2040 39.8 46.9 38.9 36.7 41.4 2050 40.7 46.7 38.5 38.4 43.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 34.5 43.6 33.3 29.4 30.5 2020 36.2 45.3 35.3 31.9 32.9 2030 37.9 46.5 37.7 34.2 35.1 2040 39.3 47.5 39.2 36.6 36.5 2050 40.2 47.4 39.1 38.1 38.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 34.5 43.6 33.3 29.4 30.5 2020 36.0 45.7 35.5 31.7 31.6 2030 37.6 47.5 37.9 34.0 33.3 2040 39.1 48.8 39.8 36.5 34.3 2050 39.9 48.9 39.9 37.9 35.6

136

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Ark-Tex Council of Governments ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 39.0 43.8 34.6 23.5 27.0 2020 39.3 44.3 35.3 26.9 30.4 2030 39.6 43.6 37.1 29.7 33.2 2040 40.9 44.5 39.4 32.3 36.3 2050 41.6 44.8 40.6 33.7 40.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 39.0 43.8 34.6 23.5 27.0 2020 39.3 45.1 35.5 26.1 28.4 2030 38.9 44.4 37.3 28.1 30.3 2040 39.6 44.9 39.6 30.4 32.7 2050 39.5 44.7 40.5 30.8 33.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 39.0 43.8 34.6 23.5 27.0 2020 39.4 46.1 36.2 25.3 26.3 2030 38.1 45.9 38.0 26.8 27.4 2040 37.5 45.6 40.5 28.4 30.4 2050 36.5 44.8 41.1 28.2 30.5

137

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Brazos Valley Council of Governments ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 29.0 32.9 30.1 23.3 25.3 2020 30.6 33.7 31.9 24.8 29.3 2030 31.4 34.2 35.2 25.8 31.4 2040 31.4 32.8 36.9 27.3 34.1 2050 32.7 33.3 38.8 28.8 37.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 29.0 32.9 30.1 23.3 25.3 2020 30.7 34.5 32.1 25.0 29.5 2030 32.0 36.0 35.6 26.3 32.7 2040 32.3 35.3 37.7 27.8 34.8 2050 33.5 35.3 39.7 29.5 38.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 29.0 32.9 30.1 23.3 25.3 2020 30.7 35.0 32.6 25.2 29.6 2030 32.4 37.1 36.5 26.8 34.0 2040 32.7 36.7 39.1 28.2 35.1 2050 33.6 36.1 41.2 29.8 37.4

138

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Capital Area Council of Governments ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 33.1 38.7 32.2 26.0 29.2 2020 36.6 42.0 35.5 28.7 33.2 2030 39.1 45.8 38.2 30.5 36.9 2040 39.9 47.5 40.9 32.6 40.0 2050 40.8 47.2 42.4 34.2 44.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 33.1 38.7 32.2 26.0 29.2 2020 36.2 41.3 35.6 28.3 32.9 2030 38.2 45.3 38.2 30.2 35.7 2040 39.0 47.6 40.9 32.5 38.0 2050 39.9 47.4 42.7 34.0 41.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 33.1 38.7 32.2 26.0 29.2 2020 35.8 40.7 35.6 28.0 32.8 2030 37.3 44.7 38.1 29.8 34.9 2040 38.0 47.5 40.6 32.5 36.8 2050 39.0 47.3 42.5 34.0 39.6

139

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Central Texas Council of Governments ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 30.8 36.2 28.7 24.6 25.6 2020 33.6 37.3 31.9 27.1 29.5 2030 35.6 40.3 34.5 29.2 32.6 2040 36.4 40.0 36.2 31.8 35.8 2050 38.1 40.2 37.5 33.7 40.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 30.8 36.2 28.7 24.6 25.6 2020 32.9 37.0 31.8 26.6 28.4 2030 34.6 40.1 34.6 28.4 30.3 2040 35.1 40.0 36.3 30.8 32.7 2050 36.4 39.8 37.5 32.2 35.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 30.8 36.2 28.7 24.6 25.6 2020 32.3 36.5 31.7 26.2 27.5 2030 33.5 39.8 34.7 27.7 28.8 2040 33.5 39.3 36.7 29.7 30.8 2050 34.2 38.5 37.2 30.7 32.3

140

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Coastal Bend Council of Governments ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 35.8 45.7 34.7 30.9 32.8 2020 36.6 46.2 36.5 32.4 36.7 2030 37.5 46.2 38.9 33.9 41.0 2040 38.3 46.4 40.4 35.3 44.8 2050 38.4 44.9 40.8 36.1 46.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 35.8 45.7 34.7 30.9 32.8 2020 36.4 47.0 36.5 32.2 35.3 2030 37.2 46.9 38.9 33.9 37.9 2040 38.1 46.8 40.5 35.5 39.6 2050 38.2 44.8 40.7 36.3 40.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 35.8 45.7 34.7 30.9 32.8 2020 36.4 48.0 36.8 32.1 34.2 2030 37.0 48.0 39.5 34.0 35.8 2040 38.2 47.5 41.3 36.1 36.3 2050 38.1 45.0 41.1 36.8 37.1

141

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Concho Valley Council of Governments ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 36.9 44.2 29.3 28.5 29.3 2020 37.6 43.8 34.4 30.4 34.1 2030 37.7 43.9 38.1 31.9 39.3 2040 37.8 42.3 39.3 33.5 43.3 2050 38.1 41.3 41.1 34.6 46.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 36.9 44.2 29.3 28.5 29.3 2020 37.5 44.5 34.2 30.2 32.3 2030 37.2 44.1 37.6 31.7 36.3 2040 37.2 42.0 38.5 33.5 38.1 2050 37.3 40.4 39.8 34.5 40.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 36.9 44.2 29.3 28.5 29.3 2020 37.4 45.5 33.9 30.0 30.9 2030 36.7 44.5 37.2 31.6 33.5 2040 36.6 41.8 37.9 33.6 34.7 2050 36.6 39.5 38.4 34.5 37.1

142

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Deep East Texas Council of Governments ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 39.1 44.6 33.8 24.3 27.1 2020 38.8 44.1 34.7 27.1 29.5 2030 38.5 42.3 36.6 29.3 32.0 2040 38.9 42.3 37.7 31.6 34.3 2050 38.8 41.5 38.8 32.6 36.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 39.1 44.6 33.8 24.3 27.1 2020 39.6 46.1 34.8 27.1 27.6 2030 39.2 45.2 36.6 29.4 28.2 2040 39.4 44.8 37.8 31.9 30.0 2050 39.2 43.7 38.6 33.1 29.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 39.1 44.6 33.8 24.3 27.1 2020 40.7 48.3 35.7 27.0 25.5 2030 40.4 49.4 37.9 29.5 25.4 2040 40.1 48.3 39.2 32.5 26.7 2050 39.3 46.9 39.4 33.8 26.7

143

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for East Texas Council of Governments ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 38.6 44.1 35.0 23.7 27.2 2020 39.1 44.4 36.0 27.2 31.0 2030 40.2 44.3 39.0 29.6 34.4 2040 41.4 45.6 41.2 32.1 37.6 2050 42.1 46.0 42.5 33.3 41.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 38.6 44.1 35.0 23.7 27.2 2020 39.2 45.7 36.1 26.7 28.7 2030 39.7 46.2 39.0 28.7 30.8 2040 40.2 47.3 41.2 31.0 33.2 2050 40.2 47.5 42.3 31.6 34.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 38.6 44.1 35.0 23.7 27.2 2020 39.4 47.2 36.6 26.3 26.9 2030 39.0 48.7 39.3 28.3 28.6 2040 38.5 49.0 41.7 30.4 31.1 2050 37.6 48.9 42.3 30.5 31.9

144

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Golden Crescent Regional Planning Commission ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 38.9 47.5 37.6 28.6 31.1 2020 38.3 47.4 37.3 30.5 31.2 2030 37.7 45.2 37.7 32.0 33.2 2040 38.2 44.4 39.4 33.8 34.4 2050 38.2 43.2 40.8 34.8 34.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 38.9 47.5 37.6 28.6 31.1 2020 38.3 48.3 37.4 30.2 29.9 2030 37.5 46.7 37.9 31.7 30.9 2040 37.8 45.5 39.5 33.5 30.9 2050 37.6 44.1 40.4 34.5 29.8

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 38.9 47.5 37.6 28.6 31.1 2020 38.5 49.5 37.8 30.2 27.6 2030 37.6 49.0 38.4 31.7 28.0 2040 37.6 47.5 39.9 33.5 28.0 2050 37.1 46.2 40.9 34.4 27.2

145

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Heart of Texas Council of Governments ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 35.5 42.5 32.4 24.2 23.2 2020 36.3 42.5 34.3 27.7 28.9 2030 37.6 42.1 37.8 30.2 32.8 2040 38.5 42.2 40.5 32.7 37.1 2050 39.0 41.3 42.5 34.3 41.5

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 35.5 42.5 32.4 24.2 23.2 2020 36.1 43.8 34.5 27.1 27.8 2030 37.0 43.7 38.0 29.2 31.0 2040 37.7 43.8 40.8 31.3 34.6 2050 37.8 42.5 42.7 32.3 38.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 35.5 42.5 32.4 24.2 23.2 2020 36.0 45.4 34.9 26.5 27.1 2030 36.3 46.2 38.5 28.4 29.5 2040 36.5 45.7 41.5 30.2 32.5 2050 35.9 43.8 43.2 30.7 35.1

146

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Houston-Galveston Area Council ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 33.2 41.5 32.1 26.6 33.5 2020 36.5 44.1 35.3 30.0 38.5 2030 38.9 46.3 38.4 32.4 43.4 2040 40.4 47.3 41.0 34.7 46.5 2050 41.8 47.8 42.9 36.5 49.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 33.2 41.5 32.1 26.6 33.5 2020 35.9 43.9 35.4 29.8 37.2 2030 37.9 46.3 38.4 32.2 40.7 2040 39.4 47.5 40.9 34.6 42.8 2050 40.8 48.0 42.8 36.3 45.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 33.2 41.5 32.1 26.6 33.5 2020 35.4 43.7 35.5 29.7 36.2 2030 37.1 46.1 38.3 32.2 38.9 2040 38.6 47.5 40.7 34.8 40.7 2050 40.1 48.1 42.5 36.6 42.6

147

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Lower Rio Grande Valley Development Council ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 29.1 54.9 31.4 27.3 35.0 2020 29.8 54.6 36.2 28.5 39.3 2030 31.4 51.4 40.2 30.4 41.8 2040 32.7 50.3 42.4 31.8 44.8 2050 33.4 52.0 43.7 32.7 48.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 29.1 54.9 31.4 27.3 35.0 2020 30.0 56.8 36.2 28.6 37.8 2030 31.8 55.7 40.0 30.7 38.6 2040 33.5 53.6 41.7 32.5 41.1 2050 34.2 54.6 42.2 33.4 43.8

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 29.1 54.9 31.4 27.3 35.0 2020 30.3 59.7 35.9 28.7 36.8 2030 32.3 62.0 39.7 31.0 36.7 2040 34.4 59.4 41.6 33.3 38.9 2050 35.0 58.7 41.4 34.1 41.2

148

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Middle Rio Grande Development Council ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 32.8 47.6 29.0 30.4 28.8 2020 32.4 47.7 35.0 30.2 34.0 2030 33.1 46.5 41.1 31.5 38.7 2040 33.3 46.9 46.7 31.7 42.2 2050 33.1 45.0 49.0 31.8 46.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 32.8 47.6 29.0 30.4 28.8 2020 32.7 48.3 35.1 30.4 33.8 2030 33.4 46.8 41.1 31.8 37.9 2040 33.6 45.9 46.6 32.2 39.7 2050 33.3 42.7 49.7 32.4 44.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 32.8 47.6 29.0 30.4 28.8 2020 33.2 49.5 35.1 30.9 32.3 2030 34.1 47.8 41.0 32.6 33.2 2040 34.5 45.7 46.9 33.4 35.2 2050 34.2 41.4 48.4 33.5 38.6

149

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Nortex Regional Planning Commission ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 37.4 42.3 30.3 24.7 27.4 2020 37.5 42.2 32.7 27.8 31.5 2030 38.3 41.7 34.6 30.0 35.3 2040 38.8 42.0 36.0 32.5 38.1 2050 39.3 41.4 37.2 34.1 42.2

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 37.4 42.3 30.3 24.7 27.4 2020 37.5 43.0 32.5 27.3 30.0 2030 38.0 42.5 34.6 29.3 32.4 2040 38.2 42.7 35.8 31.7 34.7 2050 38.3 41.8 36.8 33.0 37.8

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 37.4 42.3 30.3 24.7 27.4 2020 37.6 44.0 32.8 26.8 29.4 2030 37.5 43.8 35.6 28.5 30.8 2040 37.2 43.6 37.1 30.7 32.7 2050 36.7 41.9 37.6 31.6 34.7

150

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for North Central Texas Council of Governments ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 33.6 40.4 31.8 25.3 31.1 2020 36.7 43.2 34.9 28.3 36.2 2030 38.8 45.4 37.5 30.8 40.1 2040 40.3 46.6 39.9 33.5 43.0 2050 41.7 47.3 41.7 35.2 46.7

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 33.6 40.4 31.8 25.3 31.1 2020 35.9 43.1 35.3 27.9 34.5 2030 37.2 45.3 38.0 30.2 36.2 2040 38.6 46.4 40.7 32.8 38.2 2050 40.1 47.4 43.0 34.2 41.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 33.6 40.4 31.8 25.3 31.1 2020 35.1 42.9 35.6 27.6 33.1 2030 35.7 45.1 38.2 29.8 33.5 2040 37.0 46.1 41.2 32.5 35.2 2050 38.4 47.4 44.0 33.7 37.9

151

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Panhandle Regional Planning Commission ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 34.7 42.3 31.3 24.9 27.9 2020 36.2 42.8 34.1 27.7 32.2 2030 37.3 43.6 37.1 30.0 35.5 2040 38.3 44.1 39.4 32.5 38.3 2050 39.3 44.2 41.3 33.7 41.6

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 34.7 42.3 31.3 24.9 27.9 2020 35.8 43.3 33.9 27.4 30.4 2030 36.4 44.2 36.8 29.6 32.4 2040 37.0 44.4 38.8 32.0 34.1 2050 37.7 44.2 40.7 33.2 36.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 34.7 42.3 31.3 24.9 27.9 2020 35.4 43.9 34.0 27.1 28.9 2030 35.3 44.9 36.8 29.1 29.7 2040 35.4 44.7 38.7 31.5 31.0 2050 35.6 43.9 39.8 32.5 31.6

152

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Permian Basin Regional Planning Commission ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 33.3 42.2 32.8 27.0 30.6 2020 35.0 42.3 34.7 29.3 35.1 2030 36.9 44.3 37.8 31.1 38.7 2040 37.5 46.0 39.6 32.7 41.1 2050 38.3 45.7 41.4 34.0 44.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 33.3 42.2 32.8 27.0 30.6 2020 34.7 42.3 34.6 29.3 33.4 2030 36.2 44.0 37.6 31.2 35.7 2040 36.8 45.2 39.3 33.0 36.9 2050 37.5 44.4 41.0 34.3 38.9

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 33.3 42.2 32.8 27.0 30.6 2020 34.4 42.2 34.8 29.3 31.9 2030 35.6 43.6 38.0 31.5 32.7 2040 36.2 43.8 40.2 33.5 34.0 2050 36.7 42.0 41.8 34.8 35.6

153

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Rio Grande Council of Governments ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 31.6 42.2 31.6 30.0 30.4 2020 32.9 42.5 34.0 31.5 34.8 2030 35.1 43.9 36.3 34.1 39.2 2040 36.7 44.2 37.6 35.9 41.0 2050 37.5 42.8 37.9 36.7 43.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 31.6 42.2 31.6 30.0 30.4 2020 32.4 42.4 33.9 31.1 33.6 2030 34.5 43.4 36.1 33.6 36.0 2040 36.1 43.3 37.3 35.6 36.4 2050 36.6 41.5 37.6 36.2 38.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 31.6 42.2 31.6 30.0 30.4 2020 31.9 42.1 34.0 30.7 32.5 2030 33.9 42.5 36.3 33.2 33.9 2040 35.6 41.4 37.2 35.3 33.6 2050 35.8 39.2 37.0 35.7 34.8

154

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for South East Texas Regional Planning Commission ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 36.9 42.1 33.2 26.6 29.8 2020 37.6 42.4 34.2 29.3 33.4 2030 39.0 43.2 36.2 31.2 36.9 2040 40.1 44.1 37.6 33.0 39.6 2050 40.6 43.9 38.9 34.4 42.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 36.9 42.1 33.2 26.6 29.8 2020 37.4 42.9 34.5 28.5 31.8 2030 38.0 43.7 36.3 30.0 33.9 2040 38.3 44.4 37.5 31.6 35.0 2050 38.4 44.0 38.4 32.4 36.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 36.9 42.1 33.2 26.6 29.8 2020 36.9 43.4 35.1 27.9 30.3 2030 36.7 44.1 36.8 29.2 31.6 2040 36.1 44.1 37.8 30.7 32.2 2050 35.5 43.1 38.1 31.2 32.8

155

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for South Plains Association of Governments ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 31.5 38.6 28.7 25.9 26.6 2020 33.4 38.9 31.4 28.4 31.5 2030 35.1 40.8 34.4 30.1 35.0 2040 35.8 41.4 36.0 31.9 38.0 2050 36.5 40.8 37.8 33.1 41.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 31.5 38.6 28.7 25.9 26.6 2020 32.6 38.1 31.2 28.0 31.0 2030 33.8 39.4 34.3 29.7 33.8 2040 34.3 38.9 36.0 31.4 36.1 2050 35.0 38.0 37.4 32.4 38.6

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 31.5 38.6 28.7 25.9 26.6 2020 31.8 37.1 30.9 27.7 30.7 2030 32.5 37.3 33.9 29.4 33.4 2040 32.9 35.6 35.5 30.9 35.1 2050 33.5 34.8 36.4 31.7 37.0

156

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for South Texas Development Council ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 28.1 36.4 31.3 27.8 33.4 2020 29.0 39.0 37.2 28.6 38.7 2030 30.6 42.2 38.6 30.2 45.8 2040 31.5 44.7 40.2 31.0 51.6 2050 32.2 46.8 42.5 31.8 55.3

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 28.1 36.4 31.3 27.8 33.4 2020 29.0 38.7 37.3 28.7 37.4 2030 31.0 41.5 38.7 30.6 43.6 2040 32.4 43.8 41.3 32.0 47.5 2050 33.0 45.6 42.5 32.7 49.1

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 28.1 36.4 31.3 27.8 33.4 2020 29.2 38.4 37.6 28.8 36.1 2030 31.4 41.2 39.5 31.0 39.5 2040 33.2 43.4 42.3 32.8 40.7 2050 33.8 45.7 42.3 33.5 41.0

157

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Texoma Council of Governments ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 39.7 44.0 33.6 23.5 27.5 2020 40.0 44.4 35.1 27.5 32.8 2030 40.7 43.6 37.9 30.4 38.6 2040 42.4 45.2 40.3 33.2 43.3 2050 43.4 45.5 42.3 35.2 48.6

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 39.7 44.0 33.6 23.5 27.5 2020 40.5 46.1 35.0 26.7 31.0 2030 40.5 46.1 37.8 29.1 35.6 2040 41.6 47.1 40.3 31.7 39.2 2050 41.9 47.0 41.9 32.8 43.4

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 39.7 44.0 33.6 23.5 27.5 2020 40.9 47.9 35.1 26.2 29.2 2030 39.9 49.3 38.2 28.4 32.2 2040 39.8 49.0 40.8 30.8 35.2 2050 39.2 48.2 42.8 31.0 39.8

158

Table 12: (continued) Median Age by Race/Ethnicity Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for West Central Texas Council of Governments ______

Year Total Anglo Black Hispanic Other ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

2010 37.7 43.7 29.8 26.3 26.6 2020 37.6 42.6 32.4 29.4 32.3 2030 39.4 42.8 36.7 32.0 37.8 2040 40.5 44.4 38.5 34.5 41.4 2050 41.2 43.8 40.1 36.5 46.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

2010 37.7 43.7 29.8 26.3 26.6 2020 37.6 43.7 32.3 29.0 30.9 2030 39.0 43.6 36.6 31.3 34.5 2040 39.8 44.9 38.4 33.8 37.2 2050 40.2 43.9 39.5 35.6 41.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

2010 37.7 43.7 29.8 26.3 26.6 2020 37.7 45.0 32.1 28.6 29.7 2030 38.6 45.2 36.5 30.6 31.9 2040 38.8 45.7 38.2 33.1 34.3 2050 39.0 43.9 38.9 34.9 37.8 ______

159

160

Table 13: Percent of Net Change from 2010-2050 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity- Specific Net Migration for Alamo Area Council of Governments ______

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -99,109 -21.8 Black 18,754 4.1 Hispanic 502,572 110.6 Other 32,205 7.1 Total 454,422 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo 27,560 2.2 Black 60,976 4.8 Hispanic 1,027,456 80.9 Other 153,371 12.1 Total 1,269,363 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo 178,773 8.2 Black 100,108 4.5 Hispanic 1,505,146 68.4 Other 416,568 18.9 Total 2,200,595 100.0

161

Table 13 (continued) Percent of Net Change from 2010-2050 Due to Each Race/Ethnicity Group Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity- Specific Net Migration for Ark-Tex Council of Governments ______

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -12,343 -44.5 Black 6,271 22.6 Hispanic 28,428 102.5 Other 5,382 19.4 Total 27,738 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -20,553 -42.1 Black 6,734 13.8 Hispanic 50,985 104.3 Other 11,713 24.0 Total 48,879 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -38,163 -49.1 Black 3,266 4.2 Hispanic 82,627 106.3 Other 30,016 38.6 Total 77,746 100.0

162

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo 7,358 8.3 Black 7,762 8.7 Hispanic 67,235 75.7 Other 6,458 7.3 Total 88,813 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo 25,537 13.7 Black 13,444 7.3 Hispanic 126,886 68.7 Other 18,960 10.3 Total 184,827 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo 29,996 10.3 Black 16,241 5.6 Hispanic 201,676 69.6 Other 41,963 14.5 Total 289,876 100.0

163

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -58,314 -14.9 Black 11,241 2.9 Hispanic 397,616 101.7 Other 40,316 10.3 Total 390,859 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo 265,807 16.9 Black 60,841 3.9 Hispanic 1,027,642 65.5 Other 214,389 13.7 Total 1,568,679 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo 679,319 19.2 Black 132,947 3.8 Hispanic 2,138,252 60.6 Other 577,605 16.4 Total 3,528,123 100.0

164

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo 30,232 20.6 Black 27,408 18.7 Hispanic 71,718 48.9 Other 17,382 11.8 Total 146,740 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo 51,102 17.2 Black 40,767 13.7 Hispanic 149,506 50.3 Other 55,811 18.8 Total 297,186 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo 55,661 11.9 Black 41,846 9.0 Hispanic 243,864 52.5 Other 123,404 26.6 Total 464,775 100.0

165

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -24,468 -19.0 Black 598 0.5 Hispanic 148,948 115.1 Other 4,350 3.4 Total 129,428 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -42,443 -27.1 Black 593 0.4 Hispanic 185,139 118.1 Other 13,542 8.6 Total 156,831 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -69,736 -51.1 Black -1,293 -0.9 Hispanic 178,629 130.7 Other 29,036 21.3 Total 136,636 100.0

166

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -6,814 -26.3 Black 187 0.7 Hispanic 31,456 121.3 Other 1,110 4.3 Total 25,939 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -13,636 -55.5 Black -98 -0.4 Hispanic 35,664 145.2 Other 2,624 10.7 Total 24,554 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -24,215 -139.2 Black -623 -3.6 Hispanic 36,802 211.6 Other 5,431 31.2 Total 17,395 100.0

167

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -11,074 -23.5 Black 8,320 17.7 Hispanic 43,456 92.2 Other 6,415 13.6 Total 47,117 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -7,473 -8.7 Black 10,539 12.2 Hispanic 73,083 84.4 Other 10,456 12.1 Total 86,605 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -16,694 -13.1 Black 7,015 5.5 Hispanic 111,448 88.1 Other 24,669 19.5 Total 126,438 100.0

168

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -54,082 -75.7 Black 7,829 11.0 Hispanic 104,984 146.9 Other 12,725 17.8 Total 71,456 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -40,125 -15.0 Black 15,468 5.8 Hispanic 254,655 95.7 Other 36,015 13.5 Total 266,013 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -57,229 -10.9 Black 13,347 2.5 Hispanic 475,206 90.4 Other 94,631 18.0 Total 525,955 100.0

169

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -9,784 -24.8 Black 1,670 4.2 Hispanic 44,349 112.4 Other 3,235 8.2 Total 39,470 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -17,901 -38.0 Black 1,177 2.5 Hispanic 58,668 124.6 Other 5,154 10.9 Total 47,098 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -29,995 -62.7 Black 575 1.2 Hispanic 65,590 137.0 Other 11,718 24.5 Total 47,888 100.0

170

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -12,818 -23.7 Black 4,267 7.9 Hispanic 58,540 108.4 Other 4,001 7.4 Total 53,990 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -23,942 -25.5 Black 6,030 6.4 Hispanic 101,765 108.3 Other 10,123 10.8 Total 93,976 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -46,349 -37.1 Black 3,194 2.6 Hispanic 147,715 118.1 Other 20,532 16.4 Total 125,092 100.0

171

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -209,990 -15.6 Black 91,680 6.8 Hispanic 1,365,897 101.0 Other 105,424 7.8 Total 1,353,011 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -129,387 -3.2 Black 385,680 9.4 Hispanic 3,133,629 76.1 Other 728,514 17.7 Total 4,118,436 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -49,693 -0.6 Black 733,577 8.8 Hispanic 5,703,069 68.5 Other 1,942,556 23.3 Total 8,329,509 100.0

172

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -43,974 -5.9 Black 798 0.1 Hispanic 787,196 105.3 Other 3,859 0.5 Total 747,879 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -27,749 -2.5 Black 1,274 0.1 Hispanic 1,122,440 100.6 Other 20,305 1.8 Total 1,116,270 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -9,770 -0.8 Black 2,643 0.2 Hispanic 1,313,718 96.8 Other 51,251 3.8 Total 1,357,842 100.0

173

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -2,399 -2.7 Black 241 0.3 Hispanic 91,894 101.3 Other 954 1.1 Total 90,690 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -4,295 -5.4 Black 167 0.2 Hispanic 82,921 104.1 Other 896 1.1 Total 79,689 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -7,080 -13.9 Black 15 0.0 Hispanic 56,020 109.5 Other 2,227 4.4 Total 51,182 100.0

174

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -5,462 -20.6 Black 2,679 10.1 Hispanic 25,927 97.7 Other 3,404 12.8 Total 26,548 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -19,085 -63.7 Black 1,945 6.5 Hispanic 40,536 135.3 Other 6,571 21.9 Total 29,967 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -39,966 -134.2 Black -198 -0.7 Hispanic 60,049 201.7 Other 9,890 33.2 Total 29,775 100.0

175

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -196,290 -14.1 Black 133,845 9.6 Hispanic 1,311,257 94.0 Other 146,621 10.5 Total 1,395,433 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -16,506 -0.4 Black 537,782 12.1 Hispanic 3,079,987 69.1 Other 854,346 19.2 Total 4,455,609 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo 274,812 2.8 Black 1,141,769 11.4 Hispanic 6,160,131 61.6 Other 2,424,947 24.2 Total 10,001,659 100.0

176

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -7,830 -7.0 Black 3,694 3.3 Hispanic 107,149 95.3 Other 9,432 8.4 Total 112,445 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -20,895 -11.2 Black 5,819 3.1 Hispanic 175,681 93.6 Other 27,137 14.5 Total 187,742 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -45,993 -15.4 Black 8,093 2.7 Hispanic 275,108 92.3 Other 60,909 20.4 Total 298,117 100.0

177

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -8,859 -6.5 Black 2,919 2.1 Hispanic 137,970 101.2 Other 4,323 3.2 Total 136,353 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -16,650 -8.0 Black 3,719 1.8 Hispanic 208,566 101.0 Other 10,831 5.2 Total 206,466 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -31,699 -12.3 Black 2,512 1.0 Hispanic 262,234 101.2 Other 26,166 10.1 Total 259,213 100.0

178

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -9,444 -3.0 Black 4,145 1.3 Hispanic 307,369 99.5 Other 6,776 2.2 Total 308,846 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -25,053 -5.2 Black 4,818 1.0 Hispanic 479,316 99.8 Other 21,267 4.4 Total 480,348 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -43,807 -7.6 Black 2,502 0.4 Hispanic 571,874 99.8 Other 42,507 7.4 Total 573,076 100.0

179

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -10,713 -24.8 Black 11,860 27.5 Hispanic 34,946 80.9 Other 7,100 16.4 Total 43,193 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -25,402 -26.3 Black 10,169 10.5 Hispanic 92,496 95.9 Other 19,206 19.9 Total 96,469 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -50,708 -31.1 Black -2,688 -1.7 Hispanic 175,846 108.0 Other 40,412 24.8 Total 162,862 100.0

180

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -7,707 -6.6 Black 6,609 5.6 Hispanic 113,601 96.7 Other 5,001 4.3 Total 117,504 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -13,319 -8.4 Black 7,796 4.9 Hispanic 146,412 92.6 Other 17,264 10.9 Total 158,153 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -28,148 -15.6 Black 5,269 2.9 Hispanic 162,667 90.2 Other 40,536 22.5 Total 180,324 100.0

181

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo 886 0.4 Black 287 0.1 Hispanic 242,912 99.3 Other 598 0.2 Total 244,683 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo 1,245 0.4 Black 236 0.1 Hispanic 294,361 99.2 Other 931 0.3 Total 296,773 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo 648 0.3 Black 151 0.0 Hispanic 303,104 98.3 Other 4,373 1.4 Total 308,276 100.0

182

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -13,133 -158.2 Black 1,014 12.2 Hispanic 18,277 220.2 Other 2,141 25.8 Total 8,299 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -12,764 -31.1 Black 567 1.4 Hispanic 45,708 111.3 Other 7,538 18.4 Total 41,049 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -22,577 -27.2 Black 124 0.1 Hispanic 86,172 103.9 Other 19,199 23.2 Total 82,918 100.0

183

Race/Ethnicity Number Percent ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anglo -11,568 -28.9 Black 3,251 8.1 Hispanic 44,856 112.3 Other 3,399 8.5 Total 39,938 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anglo -26,047 -56.3 Black 2,489 5.4 Hispanic 61,939 134.0 Other 7,825 16.9 Total 46,206 100.0

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anglo -50,117 -103.4 Black 609 1.3 Hispanic 81,144 167.4 Other 16,828 34.7 Total 48,464 100.0 ______184

185

Table 14: Total Population and Population by Race/Ethnicity in 2010 and Projected Population and Percent Population Change 2010-2050 Under Alternative Assumptions of Age, Sex and Race/Ethnicity-Specific Net Migration for Counties in Texas – Alphabetical Listing ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Assuming Zero Net Migration (0.0 Scenario)

Anderson 58,458 60,186 61,244 61,342 61,012 3.0 1.8 0.2 -0.5 4.4 Andrews 14,786 16,450 17,973 19,378 20,682 11.3 9.3 7.8 6.7 39.9 Angelina 86,771 91,979 96,610 100,020 102,725 6.0 5.0 3.5 2.7 18.4 Aransas 23,158 22,926 22,325 21,732 21,648 -1.0 -2.6 -2.7 -0.4 -6.5 Archer 9,054 9,060 9,202 9,015 8,679 0.1 1.6 -2.0 -3.7 -4.1 Armstrong 1,901 1,924 1,886 1,802 1,713 1.2 -2.0 -4.5 -4.9 -9.9 Atascosa 44,911 48,394 51,994 54,440 56,773 7.8 7.4 4.7 4.3 26.4 Austin 28,417 29,718 30,831 31,363 32,018 4.6 3.7 1.7 2.1 12.7 Bailey 7,165 7,908 8,705 9,429 10,074 10.4 10.1 8.3 6.8 40.6 Bandera 20,485 20,107 19,566 18,394 17,434 -1.8 -2.7 -6.0 -5.2 -14.9 Bastrop 74,171 77,713 81,327 82,528 82,786 4.8 4.7 1.5 0.3 11.6 Baylor 3,726 3,644 3,562 3,468 3,356 -2.2 -2.3 -2.6 -3.2 -9.9 Bee 31,861 33,577 35,187 36,191 36,851 5.4 4.8 2.9 1.8 15.7 Bell 310,235 348,738 377,619 405,601 428,845 12.4 8.3 7.4 5.7 38.2 Bexar 1,714,773 1,870,689 1,992,798 2,078,166 2,136,918 9.1 6.5 4.3 2.8 24.6 Blanco 10,497 10,480 10,533 10,235 10,022 -0.2 0.5 -2.8 -2.1 -4.5 Borden 641 668 692 668 630 4.2 3.6 -3.5 -5.7 -1.7 Bosque 18,212 18,316 18,535 18,443 18,655 0.6 1.2 -0.5 1.1 2.4 Bowie 92,565 95,735 98,206 98,772 98,626 3.4 2.6 0.6 -0.1 6.5 Brazoria 313,166 337,724 358,541 374,615 383,428 7.8 6.2 4.5 2.4 22.4 Brazos 194,851 214,735 234,965 253,555 274,958 10.2 9.4 7.9 8.4 41.1 Brewster 9,232 9,808 10,405 11,094 12,068 6.2 6.1 6.6 8.8 30.7 Briscoe 1,637 1,724 1,768 1,793 1,839 5.3 2.6 1.4 2.6 12.3 186

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Brooks 7,223 7,837 8,458 9,135 9,848 8.5 7.9 8.0 7.8 36.3 Brown 38,106 39,167 39,626 39,250 38,850 2.8 1.2 -0.9 -1.0 2.0 Burleson 17,187 17,437 17,623 17,375 17,082 1.5 1.1 -1.4 -1.7 -0.6 Burnet 42,750 43,529 44,299 44,408 44,902 1.8 1.8 0.2 1.1 5.0 Caldwell 38,066 40,260 42,011 42,586 42,544 5.8 4.3 1.4 -0.1 11.8 Calhoun 21,381 22,648 23,795 24,592 25,175 5.9 5.1 3.3 2.4 17.7 Callahan 13,544 13,680 13,988 13,885 13,742 1.0 2.3 -0.7 -1.0 1.5 Cameron 406,220 464,304 528,434 592,589 662,685 14.3 13.8 12.1 11.8 63.1 Camp 12,401 13,059 13,734 14,211 14,696 5.3 5.2 3.5 3.4 18.5 Carson 6,182 6,235 6,408 6,444 6,400 0.9 2.8 0.6 -0.7 3.5 Cass 30,464 30,531 30,473 30,007 29,609 0.2 -0.2 -1.5 -1.3 -2.8 Castro 8,062 8,889 9,732 10,446 11,159 10.3 9.5 7.3 6.8 38.4 Chambers 35,096 37,277 39,346 39,836 39,446 6.2 5.6 1.2 -1.0 12.4 Cherokee 50,845 53,662 56,407 58,604 60,948 5.5 5.1 3.9 4.0 19.9 Childress 7,041 7,317 7,655 8,042 8,460 3.9 4.6 5.1 5.2 20.2 Clay 10,752 10,805 10,833 10,613 10,343 0.5 0.3 -2.0 -2.5 -3.8 Cochran 3,127 3,538 3,914 4,183 4,427 13.1 10.6 6.9 5.8 41.6 Coke 3,320 3,209 3,182 3,105 3,045 -3.3 -0.8 -2.4 -1.9 -8.3 Coleman 8,895 8,900 8,968 8,969 9,063 0.1 0.8 0.0 1.0 1.9 Collin 782,341 828,675 865,233 884,212 865,919 5.9 4.4 2.2 -2.1 10.7 Collingsworth 3,057 3,263 3,500 3,724 3,920 6.7 7.3 6.4 5.3 28.2 Colorado 20,874 21,339 21,878 22,218 22,864 2.2 2.5 1.6 2.9 9.5 Comal 108,472 110,894 113,146 112,556 111,647 2.2 2.0 -0.5 -0.8 2.9 Comanche 13,974 14,316 14,790 15,198 15,778 2.4 3.3 2.8 3.8 12.9 Concho 4,087 4,213 4,309 4,386 4,447 3.1 2.3 1.8 1.4 8.8 Cooke 38,437 40,175 41,797 42,601 43,366 4.5 4.0 1.9 1.8 12.8 Coryell 75,388 81,351 87,176 92,342 95,405 7.9 7.2 5.9 3.3 26.6 187

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Cottle 1,505 1,587 1,616 1,650 1,678 5.4 1.8 2.1 1.7 11.5 Crane 4,375 4,966 5,522 5,884 6,182 13.5 11.2 6.6 5.1 41.3 Crockett 3,719 4,192 4,549 4,769 5,053 12.7 8.5 4.8 6.0 35.9 Crosby 6,059 6,473 6,880 7,166 7,445 6.8 6.3 4.2 3.9 22.9 Culberson 2,398 2,757 3,080 3,311 3,569 15.0 11.7 7.5 7.8 48.8 Dallam 6,703 7,740 8,644 9,531 10,370 15.5 11.7 10.3 8.8 54.7 Dallas 2,368,139 2,606,067 2,792,044 2,938,026 3,049,758 10.0 7.1 5.2 3.8 28.8 Dawson 13,833 14,704 15,512 16,430 17,330 6.3 5.5 5.9 5.5 25.3 Deaf Smith 19,372 21,906 24,918 28,004 31,343 13.1 13.7 12.4 11.9 61.8 Delta 5,231 5,306 5,347 5,342 5,316 1.4 0.8 -0.1 -0.5 1.6 Denton 662,614 720,105 763,485 791,841 796,412 8.7 6.0 3.7 0.6 20.2 De Witt 20,097 20,550 21,051 21,345 21,760 2.3 2.4 1.4 1.9 8.3 Dickens 2,444 2,495 2,524 2,511 2,477 2.1 1.2 -0.5 -1.4 1.4 Dimmit 9,996 11,027 12,206 13,222 14,421 10.3 10.7 8.3 9.1 44.3 Donley 3,677 3,765 3,786 3,700 3,687 2.4 0.6 -2.3 -0.4 0.3 Duval 11,782 12,708 13,550 14,351 15,189 7.9 6.6 5.9 5.8 28.9 Eastland 18,583 19,019 19,258 19,260 19,388 2.3 1.3 0.0 0.7 4.3 Ector 137,130 153,315 167,301 180,950 193,477 11.8 9.1 8.2 6.9 41.1 Edwards 2,002 2,162 2,202 2,228 2,285 8.0 1.9 1.2 2.6 14.1 Ellis 149,610 159,859 169,689 174,273 175,957 6.9 6.1 2.7 1.0 17.6 El Paso 800,647 889,003 972,618 1,041,020 1,100,897 11.0 9.4 7.0 5.8 37.5 Erath 37,890 40,486 43,511 46,112 49,136 6.9 7.5 6.0 6.6 29.7 Falls 17,866 18,388 18,581 18,563 18,507 2.9 1.0 -0.1 -0.3 3.6 Fannin 33,915 34,480 35,019 35,018 34,994 1.7 1.6 -0.0 -0.1 3.2 Fayette 24,554 24,174 24,104 23,565 23,169 -1.5 -0.3 -2.2 -1.7 -5.6 Fisher 3,974 4,025 4,099 4,118 4,150 1.3 1.8 0.5 0.8 4.4 Floyd 6,446 6,876 7,393 7,785 8,192 6.7 7.5 5.3 5.2 27.1 188

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Foard 1,336 1,405 1,448 1,416 1,413 5.2 3.1 -2.2 -0.2 5.8 Fort Bend 585,375 620,488 653,326 667,200 656,122 6.0 5.3 2.1 -1.7 12.1 Franklin 10,605 10,748 10,874 10,849 10,777 1.3 1.2 -0.2 -0.7 1.6 Freestone 19,816 20,442 21,073 21,473 22,102 3.2 3.1 1.9 2.9 11.5 Frio 17,217 18,646 20,068 21,316 22,604 8.3 7.6 6.2 6.0 31.3 Gaines 17,526 20,064 22,858 25,644 28,208 14.5 13.9 12.2 10.0 60.9 Galveston 291,309 307,372 318,459 321,886 320,135 5.5 3.6 1.1 -0.5 9.9 Garza 6,461 6,941 7,361 7,782 8,175 7.4 6.1 5.7 5.1 26.5 Gillespie 24,837 23,907 23,525 23,178 23,496 -3.7 -1.6 -1.5 1.4 -5.4 Glasscock 1,226 1,354 1,464 1,505 1,530 10.4 8.1 2.8 1.7 24.8 Goliad 7,210 7,252 7,271 7,050 6,847 0.6 0.3 -3.0 -2.9 -5.0 Gonzales 19,807 21,350 23,077 24,687 26,541 7.8 8.1 7.0 7.5 34.0 Gray 22,535 24,085 25,817 27,640 29,650 6.9 7.2 7.1 7.3 31.6 Grayson 120,877 124,234 125,852 125,110 123,168 2.8 1.3 -0.6 -1.6 1.9 Gregg 121,730 129,243 134,510 138,490 141,308 6.2 4.1 3.0 2.0 16.1 Grimes 26,604 27,928 29,050 29,642 30,318 5.0 4.0 2.0 2.3 14.0 Guadalupe 131,533 137,706 143,384 144,899 143,186 4.7 4.1 1.1 -1.2 8.9 Hale 36,273 40,356 44,781 49,255 54,005 11.3 11.0 10.0 9.6 48.9 Hall 3,353 3,405 3,569 3,679 3,757 1.6 4.8 3.1 2.1 12.0 Hamilton 8,517 8,344 8,300 8,315 8,396 -2.0 -0.5 0.2 1.0 -1.4 Hansford 5,613 6,128 6,735 7,239 7,715 9.2 9.9 7.5 6.6 37.4 Hardeman 4,139 4,251 4,391 4,490 4,581 2.7 3.3 2.3 2.0 10.7 Hardin 54,635 56,845 58,334 58,436 57,740 4.0 2.6 0.2 -1.2 5.7 Harris 4,092,459 4,489,883 4,790,725 5,011,544 5,144,422 9.7 6.7 4.6 2.7 25.7 Harrison 65,631 68,752 71,399 72,722 73,674 4.8 3.9 1.9 1.3 12.3 Hartley 6,062 6,274 6,640 6,874 7,060 3.5 5.8 3.5 2.7 16.5 Haskell 5,899 5,880 5,943 5,950 5,972 -0.3 1.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 189

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Hays 157,107 183,040 202,195 218,271 235,986 16.5 10.5 8.0 8.1 50.2 Hemphill 3,807 4,139 4,513 4,862 5,180 8.7 9.0 7.7 6.5 36.1 Henderson 78,532 80,156 80,912 81,109 82,173 2.1 0.9 0.2 1.3 4.6 Hidalgo 774,769 890,857 1,015,658 1,136,305 1,255,303 15.0 14.0 11.9 10.5 62.0 Hill 35,089 36,333 37,362 37,891 38,637 3.5 2.8 1.4 2.0 10.1 Hockley 22,935 25,064 26,821 28,171 29,245 9.3 7.0 5.0 3.8 27.5 Hood 51,182 50,806 50,119 49,000 48,223 -0.7 -1.4 -2.2 -1.6 -5.8 Hopkins 35,161 36,969 38,552 39,614 40,653 5.1 4.3 2.8 2.6 15.6 Houston 23,732 23,709 23,642 23,668 23,804 -0.1 -0.3 0.1 0.6 0.3 Howard 35,012 36,604 37,991 38,926 39,277 4.5 3.8 2.5 0.9 12.2 Hudspeth 3,476 3,929 4,363 4,581 4,833 13.0 11.0 5.0 5.5 39.0 Hunt 86,129 90,670 95,009 97,933 100,748 5.3 4.8 3.1 2.9 17.0 Hutchinson 22,150 23,379 24,698 25,546 26,231 5.5 5.6 3.4 2.7 18.4 Irion 1,599 1,738 1,854 1,884 1,921 8.7 6.7 1.6 2.0 20.1 Jack 9,044 9,339 9,643 9,790 9,958 3.3 3.3 1.5 1.7 10.1 Jackson 14,075 14,901 15,755 16,420 17,098 5.9 5.7 4.2 4.1 21.5 Jasper 35,710 36,806 37,817 38,511 39,073 3.1 2.7 1.8 1.5 9.4 Jeff Davis 2,342 2,453 2,461 2,416 2,474 4.7 0.3 -1.8 2.4 5.6 Jefferson 252,273 264,860 275,032 281,893 287,222 5.0 3.8 2.5 1.9 13.9 Jim Hogg 5,300 5,859 6,432 6,994 7,601 10.5 9.8 8.7 8.7 43.4 Jim Wells 40,838 45,962 51,024 56,375 62,653 12.5 11.0 10.5 11.1 53.4 Johnson 150,934 160,685 169,289 173,814 176,390 6.5 5.4 2.7 1.5 16.9 Jones 20,202 20,662 20,995 21,016 20,982 2.3 1.6 0.1 -0.2 3.9 Karnes 14,824 15,203 15,519 15,765 15,854 2.6 2.1 1.6 0.6 6.9 Kaufman 103,350 110,241 117,098 121,108 122,944 6.7 6.2 3.4 1.5 19.0 Kendall 33,410 33,619 34,317 33,973 33,307 0.6 2.1 -1.0 -2.0 -0.3 Kenedy 416 453 477 476 465 8.9 5.3 -0.2 -2.3 11.8 190

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Kent 808 819 865 843 825 1.4 5.6 -2.5 -2.1 2.1 Kerr 49,625 48,544 47,648 46,701 46,410 -2.2 -1.8 -2.0 -0.6 -6.5 Kimble 4,607 4,549 4,547 4,448 4,454 -1.3 -0.0 -2.2 0.1 -3.3 King 286 300 316 313 286 4.9 5.3 -0.9 -8.6 0.0 Kinney 3,598 3,686 3,749 3,782 3,874 2.4 1.7 0.9 2.4 7.7 Kleberg 32,061 35,447 38,711 42,082 45,605 10.6 9.2 8.7 8.4 42.2 Knox 3,719 3,884 4,145 4,410 4,680 4.4 6.7 6.4 6.1 25.8 Lamar 49,793 51,527 52,728 53,121 53,336 3.5 2.3 0.7 0.4 7.1 Lamb 13,977 15,086 16,448 17,819 19,311 7.9 9.0 8.3 8.4 38.2 Lampasas 19,677 20,607 21,495 21,891 22,283 4.7 4.3 1.8 1.8 13.2 La Salle 6,886 7,596 8,166 8,660 9,186 10.3 7.5 6.0 6.1 33.4 Lavaca 19,263 19,016 19,132 19,004 18,978 -1.3 0.6 -0.7 -0.1 -1.5 Lee 16,612 17,191 17,966 18,236 18,357 3.5 4.5 1.5 0.7 10.5 Leon 16,801 17,082 17,350 17,505 17,962 1.7 1.6 0.9 2.6 6.9 Liberty 75,643 81,082 85,284 87,919 89,830 7.2 5.2 3.1 2.2 18.8 Limestone 23,384 24,499 25,317 25,953 26,658 4.8 3.3 2.5 2.7 14.0 Lipscomb 3,302 3,548 3,817 4,011 4,167 7.5 7.6 5.1 3.9 26.2 Live Oak 11,531 11,696 11,788 11,754 11,861 1.4 0.8 -0.3 0.9 2.9 Llano 19,301 17,815 16,419 15,297 14,839 -7.7 -7.8 -6.8 -3.0 -23.1 Loving 82 83 79 67 50 1.2 -4.8 -15.2 -25.4 -39.0 Lubbock 278,831 299,140 317,791 333,269 347,502 7.3 6.2 4.9 4.3 24.6 Lynn 5,915 6,450 7,014 7,446 7,986 9.0 8.7 6.2 7.3 35.0 McCulloch 8,283 8,502 8,758 8,909 9,184 2.6 3.0 1.7 3.1 10.9 McLennan 234,906 248,460 261,480 270,842 278,704 5.8 5.2 3.6 2.9 18.6 McMullen 707 771 795 802 808 9.1 3.1 0.9 0.7 14.3 Madison 13,664 14,282 14,826 15,278 15,833 4.5 3.8 3.0 3.6 15.9 Marion 10,546 10,394 9,926 9,463 9,198 -1.4 -4.5 -4.7 -2.8 -12.8 191

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Martin 4,799 5,457 6,068 6,520 7,021 13.7 11.2 7.4 7.7 46.3 Mason 4,012 3,875 3,851 3,762 3,716 -3.4 -0.6 -2.3 -1.2 -7.4 Matagorda 36,702 39,023 41,089 42,690 44,325 6.3 5.3 3.9 3.8 20.8 Maverick 54,258 62,775 72,335 81,691 92,230 15.7 15.2 12.9 12.9 70.0 Medina 46,006 48,032 50,296 51,366 51,937 4.4 4.7 2.1 1.1 12.9 Menard 2,242 2,235 2,181 2,104 2,049 -0.3 -2.4 -3.5 -2.6 -8.6 Midland 136,872 148,704 158,483 166,063 171,713 8.6 6.6 4.8 3.4 25.5 Milam 24,757 25,936 27,285 28,408 29,928 4.8 5.2 4.1 5.4 20.9 Mills 4,936 4,871 4,952 4,993 5,060 -1.3 1.7 0.8 1.3 2.5 Mitchell 9,403 9,775 10,141 10,410 10,713 4.0 3.7 2.7 2.9 13.9 Montague 19,719 20,049 20,402 20,548 20,862 1.7 1.8 0.7 1.5 5.8 Montgomery 455,746 483,418 507,853 520,288 522,040 6.1 5.1 2.4 0.3 14.5 Moore 21,904 24,899 27,902 30,974 33,987 13.7 12.1 11.0 9.7 55.2 Morris 12,934 13,313 13,452 13,632 13,910 2.9 1.0 1.3 2.0 7.5 Motley 1,210 1,228 1,227 1,180 1,152 1.5 -0.1 -3.8 -2.4 -4.8 Nacogdoches 64,524 69,817 76,033 82,163 89,389 8.2 8.9 8.1 8.8 38.5 Navarro 47,735 50,682 53,423 55,682 57,978 6.2 5.4 4.2 4.1 21.5 Newton 14,445 14,869 15,055 14,869 14,773 2.9 1.3 -1.2 -0.6 2.3 Nolan 15,216 16,024 16,836 17,484 18,108 5.3 5.1 3.8 3.6 19.0 Nueces 340,223 362,278 380,659 391,397 398,122 6.5 5.1 2.8 1.7 17.0 Ochiltree 10,223 11,475 12,958 14,321 15,649 12.2 12.9 10.5 9.3 53.1 Oldham 2,052 2,228 2,424 2,468 2,499 8.6 8.8 1.8 1.3 21.8 Orange 81,837 85,082 87,295 87,660 86,976 4.0 2.6 0.4 -0.8 6.3 Palo Pinto 28,111 29,450 30,564 31,209 31,868 4.8 3.8 2.1 2.1 13.4 Panola 23,796 24,426 24,832 24,862 24,766 2.6 1.7 0.1 -0.4 4.1 Parker 116,927 120,942 124,304 123,482 120,569 3.4 2.8 -0.7 -2.4 3.1 Parmer 10,269 11,271 12,263 13,071 13,706 9.8 8.8 6.6 4.9 33.5 192

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Pecos 15,507 16,990 18,369 19,705 21,066 9.6 8.1 7.3 6.9 35.8 Polk 45,413 46,183 46,433 46,363 46,758 1.7 0.5 -0.2 0.9 3.0 Potter 121,073 132,628 143,147 153,071 161,513 9.5 7.9 6.9 5.5 33.4 Presidio 7,818 8,553 9,286 9,999 10,918 9.4 8.6 7.7 9.2 39.7 Rains 10,914 10,943 10,912 10,647 10,549 0.3 -0.3 -2.4 -0.9 -3.3 Randall 120,725 125,564 129,330 130,425 129,347 4.0 3.0 0.8 -0.8 7.1 Reagan 3,367 3,860 4,337 4,679 5,024 14.6 12.4 7.9 7.4 49.2 Real 3,309 3,312 3,284 3,208 3,231 0.1 -0.8 -2.3 0.7 -2.4 Red River 12,860 12,975 12,835 12,622 12,594 0.9 -1.1 -1.7 -0.2 -2.1 Reeves 13,783 14,750 15,704 16,638 17,565 7.0 6.5 5.9 5.6 27.4 Refugio 7,383 7,753 8,121 8,361 8,721 5.0 4.7 3.0 4.3 18.1 Roberts 929 1,025 1,088 1,096 1,089 10.3 6.1 0.7 -0.6 17.2 Robertson 16,622 17,153 17,552 17,689 17,821 3.2 2.3 0.8 0.7 7.2 Rockwall 78,337 81,678 85,577 87,041 84,970 4.3 4.8 1.7 -2.4 8.5 Runnels 10,501 10,807 11,179 11,400 11,764 2.9 3.4 2.0 3.2 12.0 Rusk 53,330 55,266 56,848 57,424 57,618 3.6 2.9 1.0 0.3 8.0 Sabine 10,834 10,514 10,172 9,768 9,632 -3.0 -3.3 -4.0 -1.4 -11.1 San Augustine 8,865 8,872 8,747 8,605 8,632 0.1 -1.4 -1.6 0.3 -2.6 San Jacinto 26,384 26,880 26,975 26,513 26,093 1.9 0.4 -1.7 -1.6 -1.1 San Patricio 64,804 71,127 77,622 83,376 89,745 9.8 9.1 7.4 7.6 38.5 San Saba 6,131 6,141 6,254 6,356 6,464 0.2 1.8 1.6 1.7 5.4 Schleicher 3,461 3,784 4,068 4,291 4,415 9.3 7.5 5.5 2.9 27.6 Scurry 16,921 18,113 19,234 20,193 21,136 7.0 6.2 5.0 4.7 24.9 Shackelford 3,378 3,548 3,676 3,725 3,802 5.0 3.6 1.3 2.1 12.6 Shelby 25,448 26,891 28,140 29,293 30,350 5.7 4.6 4.1 3.6 19.3 Sherman 3,034 3,296 3,620 3,858 4,008 8.6 9.8 6.6 3.9 32.1 Smith 209,714 220,574 227,673 231,380 233,182 5.2 3.2 1.6 0.8 11.2 193

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Somervell 8,490 8,791 9,201 9,317 9,360 3.5 4.7 1.3 0.5 10.2 Starr 60,968 72,663 85,414 99,039 115,415 19.2 17.5 16.0 16.5 89.3 Stephens 9,630 9,892 10,238 10,552 10,847 2.7 3.5 3.1 2.8 12.6 Sterling 1,143 1,233 1,297 1,353 1,352 7.9 5.2 4.3 -0.1 18.3 Stonewall 1,490 1,504 1,538 1,511 1,470 0.9 2.3 -1.8 -2.7 -1.3 Sutton 4,128 4,544 4,903 5,100 5,280 10.1 7.9 4.0 3.5 27.9 Swisher 7,854 8,247 8,781 9,244 9,699 5.0 6.5 5.3 4.9 23.5 Tarrant 1,809,034 1,956,598 2,073,248 2,148,314 2,178,210 8.2 6.0 3.6 1.4 20.4 Taylor 131,506 140,946 146,962 151,200 154,468 7.2 4.3 2.9 2.2 17.5 Terrell 984 1,046 1,080 1,097 1,088 6.3 3.3 1.6 -0.8 10.6 Terry 12,651 13,768 14,839 16,031 17,265 8.8 7.8 8.0 7.7 36.5 Throckmorton 1,641 1,660 1,669 1,631 1,590 1.2 0.5 -2.3 -2.5 -3.1 Titus 32,334 35,686 38,938 41,987 44,864 10.4 9.1 7.8 6.9 38.8 Tom Green 110,224 115,817 121,150 125,834 130,191 5.1 4.6 3.9 3.5 18.1 Travis 1,024,266 1,125,881 1,187,826 1,232,915 1,263,296 9.9 5.5 3.8 2.5 23.3 Trinity 14,585 14,469 14,194 13,725 13,464 -0.8 -1.9 -3.3 -1.9 -7.7 Tyler 21,766 21,760 21,641 21,223 20,901 -0.0 -0.5 -1.9 -1.5 -4.0 Upshur 39,309 40,252 40,946 40,797 40,348 2.4 1.7 -0.4 -1.1 2.6 Upton 3,355 3,679 3,997 4,200 4,343 9.7 8.6 5.1 3.4 29.4 Uvalde 26,405 28,709 31,579 34,177 37,193 8.7 10.0 8.2 8.8 40.9 Val Verde 48,879 55,181 61,690 68,461 76,081 12.9 11.8 11.0 11.1 55.7 Van Zandt 52,579 53,344 54,149 53,700 53,353 1.5 1.5 -0.8 -0.6 1.5 Victoria 86,793 94,153 100,780 106,191 111,697 8.5 7.0 5.4 5.2 28.7 Walker 67,861 71,462 74,652 77,040 79,546 5.3 4.5 3.2 3.3 17.2 Waller 43,205 46,929 50,490 53,603 56,609 8.6 7.6 6.2 5.6 31.0 Ward 10,658 11,580 12,478 13,287 14,040 8.7 7.8 6.5 5.7 31.7 Washington 33,718 34,333 34,692 34,488 34,286 1.8 1.0 -0.6 -0.6 1.7 194

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Webb 250,304 293,121 338,098 381,800 425,655 17.1 15.3 12.9 11.5 70.1 Wharton 41,280 43,450 45,840 47,738 49,359 5.3 5.5 4.1 3.4 19.6 Wheeler 5,410 5,594 5,822 6,020 6,224 3.4 4.1 3.4 3.4 15.0 Wichita 131,500 137,167 142,881 147,442 150,923 4.3 4.2 3.2 2.4 14.8 Wilbarger 13,535 14,504 15,398 16,126 16,881 7.2 6.2 4.7 4.7 24.7 Willacy 22,134 24,784 27,386 30,011 33,014 12.0 10.5 9.6 10.0 49.2 Williamson 422,679 450,281 471,909 486,570 484,961 6.5 4.8 3.1 -0.3 14.7 Wilson 42,918 44,034 45,458 45,125 43,766 2.6 3.2 -0.7 -3.0 2.0 Winkler 7,110 7,944 8,665 9,243 9,830 11.7 9.1 6.7 6.4 38.3 Wise 59,127 62,531 65,402 66,532 66,941 5.8 4.6 1.7 0.6 13.2 Wood 41,964 41,113 40,098 38,782 38,380 -2.0 -2.5 -3.3 -1.0 -8.5 Yoakum 7,879 8,850 9,894 10,777 11,621 12.3 11.8 8.9 7.8 47.5 Young 18,550 19,019 19,726 20,195 20,734 2.5 3.7 2.4 2.7 11.8 Zapata 14,018 16,782 19,628 22,832 26,602 19.7 17.0 16.3 16.5 89.8 Zavala 11,677 13,372 15,267 17,127 19,199 14.5 14.2 12.2 12.1 64.4

195

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Assuming Net Migration Equal to One-Half of 2000-2010 (0.5 Scenario)

Anderson 58,458 61,202 63,373 64,222 64,243 4.7 3.5 1.3 0.0 9.9 Andrews 14,786 16,987 19,224 21,482 23,676 14.9 13.2 11.7 10.2 60.1 Angelina 86,771 93,295 99,831 105,199 110,080 7.5 7.0 5.4 4.6 26.9 Aransas 23,158 24,550 25,123 25,096 25,204 6.0 2.3 -0.1 0.4 8.8 Archer 9,054 9,431 9,910 10,069 9,931 4.2 5.1 1.6 -1.4 9.7 Armstrong 1,901 1,911 1,838 1,714 1,570 0.5 -3.8 -6.7 -8.4 -17.4 Atascosa 44,911 52,224 59,951 66,787 73,182 16.3 14.8 11.4 9.6 62.9 Austin 28,417 32,774 37,706 42,974 49,168 15.3 15.0 14.0 14.4 73.0 Bailey 7,165 8,088 9,060 10,058 11,085 12.9 12.0 11.0 10.2 54.7 Bandera 20,485 22,439 23,862 24,143 24,073 9.5 6.3 1.2 -0.3 17.5 Bastrop 74,171 88,279 106,301 125,914 148,450 19.0 20.4 18.5 17.9 100.1 Baylor 3,726 3,609 3,500 3,342 3,144 -3.1 -3.0 -4.5 -5.9 -15.6 Bee 31,861 33,629 35,119 35,743 35,856 5.5 4.4 1.8 0.3 12.5 Bell 310,235 371,281 429,284 492,019 557,163 19.7 15.6 14.6 13.2 79.6 Bexar 1,714,773 1,967,590 2,216,912 2,442,098 2,656,573 14.7 12.7 10.2 8.8 54.9 Blanco 10,497 11,527 12,494 12,778 12,913 9.8 8.4 2.3 1.1 23.0 Borden 641 663 681 645 589 3.4 2.7 -5.3 -8.7 -8.1 Bosque 18,212 19,382 20,466 20,993 21,533 6.4 5.6 2.6 2.6 18.2 Bowie 92,565 95,768 98,803 100,006 100,503 3.5 3.2 1.2 0.5 8.6 Brazoria 313,166 372,259 438,727 512,195 588,988 18.9 17.9 16.7 15.0 88.1 Brazos 194,851 226,878 262,701 299,137 343,698 16.4 15.8 13.9 14.9 76.4 Brewster 9,232 9,982 10,637 11,165 11,794 8.1 6.6 5.0 5.6 27.8 Briscoe 1,637 1,709 1,720 1,717 1,716 4.4 0.6 -0.2 -0.1 4.8 Brooks 7,223 7,802 8,288 8,775 9,256 8.0 6.2 5.9 5.5 28.1 Brown 38,106 39,935 41,050 41,184 41,034 4.8 2.8 0.3 -0.4 7.7 196

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Burleson 17,187 18,502 19,770 20,508 21,086 7.7 6.9 3.7 2.8 22.7 Burnet 42,750 47,748 52,700 56,473 60,532 11.7 10.4 7.2 7.2 41.6 Caldwell 38,066 44,401 51,327 57,444 63,211 16.6 15.6 11.9 10.0 66.1 Calhoun 21,381 23,935 26,659 29,203 31,666 11.9 11.4 9.5 8.4 48.1 Callahan 13,544 14,060 14,822 15,196 15,440 3.8 5.4 2.5 1.6 14.0 Cameron 406,220 479,754 560,637 641,946 728,518 18.1 16.9 14.5 13.5 79.3 Camp 12,401 13,499 14,678 15,611 16,663 8.9 8.7 6.4 6.7 34.4 Carson 6,182 6,319 6,550 6,699 6,737 2.2 3.7 2.3 0.6 9.0 Cass 30,464 31,323 31,861 31,678 31,326 2.8 1.7 -0.6 -1.1 2.8 Castro 8,062 8,880 9,618 10,129 10,605 10.1 8.3 5.3 4.7 31.5 Chambers 35,096 41,934 49,836 58,010 66,757 19.5 18.8 16.4 15.1 90.2 Cherokee 50,845 55,557 60,764 65,857 71,816 9.3 9.4 8.4 9.0 41.2 Childress 7,041 7,330 7,665 7,919 8,179 4.1 4.6 3.3 3.3 16.2 Clay 10,752 11,276 11,803 12,041 12,111 4.9 4.7 2.0 0.6 12.6 Cochran 3,127 3,503 3,829 3,994 4,135 12.0 9.3 4.3 3.5 32.2 Coke 3,320 3,163 3,075 2,912 2,791 -4.7 -2.8 -5.3 -4.2 -15.9 Coleman 8,895 8,945 9,089 9,063 9,137 0.6 1.6 -0.3 0.8 2.7 Collin 782,341 975,957 1,211,461 1,496,177 1,794,493 24.7 24.1 23.5 19.9 129.4 Collingsworth 3,057 3,249 3,422 3,561 3,674 6.3 5.3 4.1 3.2 20.2 Colorado 20,874 21,903 22,887 23,535 24,497 4.9 4.5 2.8 4.1 17.4 Comal 108,472 128,974 150,591 169,835 188,057 18.9 16.8 12.8 10.7 73.4 Comanche 13,974 14,583 15,226 15,640 16,176 4.4 4.4 2.7 3.4 15.8 Concho 4,087 4,242 4,309 4,322 4,264 3.8 1.6 0.3 -1.3 4.3 Cooke 38,437 40,951 43,398 44,979 46,484 6.5 6.0 3.6 3.3 20.9 Coryell 75,388 84,400 93,638 103,118 110,876 12.0 10.9 10.1 7.5 47.1 Cottle 1,505 1,579 1,590 1,592 1,564 4.9 0.7 0.1 -1.8 3.9 Crane 4,375 5,028 5,712 6,204 6,699 14.9 13.6 8.6 8.0 53.1 197

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Crockett 3,719 4,143 4,447 4,561 4,666 11.4 7.3 2.6 2.3 25.5 Crosby 6,059 6,774 7,623 8,485 9,547 11.8 12.5 11.3 12.5 57.6 Culberson 2,398 2,740 3,042 3,181 3,353 14.3 11.0 4.6 5.4 39.8 Dallam 6,703 7,725 8,652 9,593 10,561 15.2 12.0 10.9 10.1 57.6 Dallas 2,368,139 2,621,131 2,859,701 3,086,679 3,311,187 10.7 9.1 7.9 7.3 39.8 Dawson 13,833 14,663 15,458 16,237 16,951 6.0 5.4 5.0 4.4 22.5 Deaf Smith 19,372 22,308 25,853 29,506 33,421 15.2 15.9 14.1 13.3 72.5 Delta 5,231 5,359 5,497 5,532 5,487 2.4 2.6 0.6 -0.8 4.9 Denton 662,614 822,601 1,014,812 1,242,750 1,495,119 24.1 23.4 22.5 20.3 125.6 De Witt 20,097 20,574 21,154 21,453 21,931 2.4 2.8 1.4 2.2 9.1 Dickens 2,444 2,477 2,452 2,397 2,285 1.4 -1.0 -2.2 -4.7 -6.5 Dimmit 9,996 10,982 11,966 12,674 13,347 9.9 9.0 5.9 5.3 33.5 Donley 3,677 3,767 3,754 3,641 3,599 2.4 -0.3 -3.0 -1.2 -2.1 Duval 11,782 12,733 13,529 14,186 14,757 8.1 6.3 4.9 4.0 25.3 Eastland 18,583 19,325 19,802 19,830 19,810 4.0 2.5 0.1 -0.1 6.6 Ector 137,130 157,045 177,335 198,503 220,012 14.5 12.9 11.9 10.8 60.4 Edwards 2,002 2,164 2,171 2,163 2,110 8.1 0.3 -0.4 -2.5 5.4 Ellis 149,610 179,078 213,832 249,455 286,483 19.7 19.4 16.7 14.8 91.5 El Paso 800,647 922,609 1,049,546 1,163,720 1,273,360 15.2 13.8 10.9 9.4 59.0 Erath 37,890 40,917 44,495 47,464 50,665 8.0 8.7 6.7 6.7 33.7 Falls 17,866 18,667 19,008 18,953 18,648 4.5 1.8 -0.3 -1.6 4.4 Fannin 33,915 36,070 38,179 39,458 40,514 6.4 5.8 3.4 2.7 19.5 Fayette 24,554 26,197 28,041 29,103 30,110 6.7 7.0 3.8 3.5 22.6 Fisher 3,974 3,991 3,974 3,904 3,789 0.4 -0.4 -1.8 -2.9 -4.7 Floyd 6,446 6,806 7,193 7,381 7,581 5.6 5.7 2.6 2.7 17.6 Foard 1,336 1,392 1,402 1,358 1,306 4.2 0.7 -3.1 -3.8 -2.2 Fort Bend 585,375 742,705 928,474 1,143,079 1,368,744 26.9 25.0 23.1 19.7 133.8 198

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Franklin 10,605 11,076 11,514 11,778 12,018 4.4 4.0 2.3 2.0 13.3 Freestone 19,816 21,118 22,302 23,114 23,944 6.6 5.6 3.6 3.6 20.8 Frio 17,217 19,188 21,229 22,998 24,813 11.4 10.6 8.3 7.9 44.1 Gaines 17,526 20,805 24,602 28,832 33,144 18.7 18.3 17.2 15.0 89.1 Galveston 291,309 321,519 350,673 374,837 396,723 10.4 9.1 6.9 5.8 36.2 Garza 6,461 6,944 7,317 7,623 7,833 7.5 5.4 4.2 2.8 21.2 Gillespie 24,837 26,702 28,672 30,223 31,954 7.5 7.4 5.4 5.7 28.7 Glasscock 1,226 1,351 1,431 1,450 1,424 10.2 5.9 1.3 -1.8 16.2 Goliad 7,210 7,595 8,056 8,293 8,541 5.3 6.1 2.9 3.0 18.5 Gonzales 19,807 21,771 23,979 25,891 28,090 9.9 10.1 8.0 8.5 41.8 Gray 22,535 24,507 27,110 30,259 34,315 8.8 10.6 11.6 13.4 52.3 Grayson 120,877 128,734 136,387 142,117 147,280 6.5 5.9 4.2 3.6 21.8 Gregg 121,730 132,907 144,994 158,334 173,213 9.2 9.1 9.2 9.4 42.3 Grimes 26,604 29,320 31,885 33,839 35,969 10.2 8.7 6.1 6.3 35.2 Guadalupe 131,533 158,712 189,140 220,138 249,990 20.7 19.2 16.4 13.6 90.1 Hale 36,273 39,596 42,963 45,912 48,700 9.2 8.5 6.9 6.1 34.3 Hall 3,353 3,392 3,479 3,506 3,461 1.2 2.6 0.8 -1.3 3.2 Hamilton 8,517 8,528 8,616 8,593 8,503 0.1 1.0 -0.3 -1.0 -0.2 Hansford 5,613 6,146 6,825 7,398 7,911 9.5 11.0 8.4 6.9 40.9 Hardeman 4,139 4,248 4,357 4,404 4,472 2.6 2.6 1.1 1.5 8.0 Hardin 54,635 59,349 63,687 66,742 68,888 8.6 7.3 4.8 3.2 26.1 Harris 4,092,459 4,683,874 5,262,009 5,799,833 6,304,828 14.5 12.3 10.2 8.7 54.1 Harrison 65,631 70,528 76,023 81,190 88,192 7.5 7.8 6.8 8.6 34.4 Hartley 6,062 6,256 6,605 6,717 6,780 3.2 5.6 1.7 0.9 11.8 Haskell 5,899 5,879 5,959 5,949 5,993 -0.3 1.4 -0.2 0.7 1.6 Hays 157,107 211,934 273,247 346,625 438,425 34.9 28.9 26.9 26.5 179.1 Hemphill 3,807 4,190 4,582 4,922 5,300 10.1 9.4 7.4 7.7 39.2 199

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Henderson 78,532 82,139 85,307 88,118 92,682 4.6 3.9 3.3 5.2 18.0 Hidalgo 774,769 948,305 1,145,413 1,345,740 1,553,142 22.4 20.8 17.5 15.4 100.5 Hill 35,089 37,816 40,266 41,786 43,308 7.8 6.5 3.8 3.6 23.4 Hockley 22,935 24,968 26,580 27,614 28,205 8.9 6.5 3.9 2.1 23.0 Hood 51,182 55,668 59,479 61,791 63,908 8.8 6.8 3.9 3.4 24.9 Hopkins 35,161 37,501 40,053 42,564 45,890 6.7 6.8 6.3 7.8 30.5 Houston 23,732 24,312 24,668 24,701 24,560 2.4 1.5 0.1 -0.6 3.5 Howard 35,012 37,034 38,805 39,868 40,183 5.8 4.8 2.7 0.8 14.8 Hudspeth 3,476 3,923 4,343 4,458 4,590 12.9 10.7 2.6 3.0 32.0 Hunt 86,129 96,046 107,574 119,853 134,056 11.5 12.0 11.4 11.9 55.6 Hutchinson 22,150 22,998 23,783 23,968 23,871 3.8 3.4 0.8 -0.4 7.8 Irion 1,599 1,731 1,804 1,816 1,790 8.3 4.2 0.7 -1.4 11.9 Jack 9,044 9,353 9,693 9,742 9,765 3.4 3.6 0.5 0.2 8.0 Jackson 14,075 14,663 15,200 15,441 15,649 4.2 3.7 1.6 1.3 11.2 Jasper 35,710 36,967 37,919 38,274 38,194 3.5 2.6 0.9 -0.2 7.0 Jeff Davis 2,342 2,455 2,421 2,337 2,336 4.8 -1.4 -3.5 -0.0 -0.3 Jefferson 252,273 267,188 283,813 300,728 319,868 5.9 6.2 6.0 6.4 26.8 Jim Hogg 5,300 5,826 6,288 6,697 7,114 9.9 7.9 6.5 6.2 34.2 Jim Wells 40,838 45,436 49,604 53,465 57,519 11.3 9.2 7.8 7.6 40.8 Johnson 150,934 173,103 198,761 225,251 254,140 14.7 14.8 13.3 12.8 68.4 Jones 20,202 21,570 22,958 23,868 24,631 6.8 6.4 4.0 3.2 21.9 Karnes 14,824 15,575 16,095 16,294 16,202 5.1 3.3 1.2 -0.6 9.3 Kaufman 103,350 128,122 158,947 194,001 233,532 24.0 24.1 22.1 20.4 126.0 Kendall 33,410 38,847 44,741 50,357 55,395 16.3 15.2 12.6 10.0 65.8 Kenedy 416 452 477 474 458 8.7 5.5 -0.6 -3.4 10.1 Kent 808 814 843 795 755 0.7 3.6 -5.7 -5.0 -6.6 Kerr 49,625 52,458 55,039 56,355 57,544 5.7 4.9 2.4 2.1 16. 200

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Kimble 4,607 4,686 4,723 4,551 4,337 1.7 0.8 -3.6 -4.7 -5.9 King 286 300 315 306 271 4.9 5.0 -2.9 -11.4 -5.2 Kinney 3,598 3,718 3,756 3,740 3,771 3.3 1.0 -0.4 0.8 4.8 Kleberg 32,061 35,597 39,018 42,231 45,268 11.0 9.6 8.2 7.2 41.2 Knox 3,719 3,854 4,038 4,176 4,328 3.6 4.8 3.4 3.6 16.4 Lamar 49,793 52,249 54,505 56,265 58,118 4.9 4.3 3.2 3.3 16.7 Lamb 13,977 14,879 15,949 16,935 17,912 6.5 7.2 6.2 5.8 28.2 Lampasas 19,677 21,837 24,174 26,112 28,076 11.0 10.7 8.0 7.5 42.7 La Salle 6,886 7,853 8,658 9,410 10,323 14.0 10.3 8.7 9.7 49.9 Lavaca 19,263 19,304 19,519 19,313 18,979 0.2 1.1 -1.1 -1.7 -1.5 Lee 16,612 18,032 19,562 20,467 21,070 8.5 8.5 4.6 2.9 26.8 Leon 16,801 18,221 19,651 20,716 22,089 8.5 7.8 5.4 6.6 31.5 Liberty 75,643 85,828 96,315 106,191 116,253 13.5 12.2 10.3 9.5 53.7 Limestone 23,384 25,137 26,638 27,792 29,032 7.5 6.0 4.3 4.5 24.2 Lipscomb 3,302 3,583 3,855 4,035 4,169 8.5 7.6 4.7 3.3 26.3 Live Oak 11,531 11,736 11,745 11,531 11,345 1.8 0.1 -1.8 -1.6 -1.6 Llano 19,301 19,468 19,269 18,654 18,483 0.9 -1.0 -3.2 -0.9 -4.2 Loving 82 81 77 63 45 -1.2 -4.9 -18.2 -28.6 -45.1 Lubbock 278,831 306,938 336,835 365,090 393,999 10.1 9.7 8.4 7.9 41.3 Lynn 5,915 6,364 6,830 7,068 7,350 7.6 7.3 3.5 4.0 24.3 McCulloch 8,283 8,625 8,964 8,949 8,981 4.1 3.9 -0.2 0.4 8.4 McLennan 234,906 252,501 272,564 289,707 306,784 7.5 7.9 6.3 5.9 30.6 McMullen 707 769 788 785 766 8.8 2.5 -0.4 -2.4 8.3 Madison 13,664 14,761 15,799 16,666 17,627 8.0 7.0 5.5 5.8 29.0 Marion 10,546 10,770 10,463 9,831 9,187 2.1 -2.9 -6.0 -6.6 -12.9 Martin 4,799 5,421 6,032 6,396 6,779 13.0 11.3 6.0 6.0 41.3 Mason 4,012 4,032 4,026 3,876 3,760 0.5 -0.1 -3.7 -3.0 -6. 201

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Matagorda 36,702 39,448 41,823 43,482 44,774 7.5 6.0 4.0 3.0 22.0 Maverick 54,258 63,293 72,834 81,836 91,056 16.7 15.1 12.4 11.3 67.8 Medina 46,006 52,466 59,429 65,348 70,471 14.0 13.3 10.0 7.8 53.2 Menard 2,242 2,255 2,161 2,057 1,941 0.6 -4.2 -4.8 -5.6 -13.4 Midland 136,872 154,213 172,360 189,734 207,093 12.7 11.8 10.1 9.1 51.3 Milam 24,757 26,296 27,889 28,912 30,308 6.2 6.1 3.7 4.8 22.4 Mills 4,936 4,967 5,154 5,352 5,584 0.6 3.8 3.8 4.3 13.1 Mitchell 9,403 9,787 10,120 10,335 10,478 4.1 3.4 2.1 1.4 11.4 Montague 19,719 20,658 21,529 21,920 22,306 4.8 4.2 1.8 1.8 13.1 Montgomery 455,746 564,926 698,439 852,925 1,026,627 24.0 23.6 22.1 20.4 125.3 Moore 21,904 25,317 28,925 32,982 37,420 15.6 14.3 14.0 13.5 70.8 Morris 12,934 13,435 13,692 13,895 14,250 3.9 1.9 1.5 2.6 10.2 Motley 1,210 1,222 1,193 1,115 1,046 1.0 -2.4 -6.5 -6.2 -13.6 Nacogdoches 64,524 71,702 80,093 88,150 97,224 11.1 11.7 10.1 10.3 50.7 Navarro 47,735 52,991 58,575 64,251 70,606 11.0 10.5 9.7 9.9 47.9 Newton 14,445 14,608 14,514 13,972 13,522 1.1 -0.6 -3.7 -3.2 -6.4 Nolan 15,216 16,046 16,856 17,226 17,571 5.5 5.0 2.2 2.0 15.5 Nueces 340,223 370,473 399,947 421,032 438,408 8.9 8.0 5.3 4.1 28.9 Ochiltree 10,223 12,016 14,345 16,903 19,813 17.5 19.4 17.8 17.2 93.8 Oldham 2,052 2,235 2,401 2,399 2,397 8.9 7.4 -0.1 -0.1 16.8 Orange 81,837 86,614 90,934 94,059 96,458 5.8 5.0 3.4 2.6 17.9 Palo Pinto 28,111 30,629 32,955 34,462 35,889 9.0 7.6 4.6 4.1 27.7 Panola 23,796 25,109 26,330 27,097 27,870 5.5 4.9 2.9 2.9 17.1 Parker 116,927 138,373 163,780 191,733 223,325 18.3 18.4 17.1 16.5 91.0 Parmer 10,269 11,795 13,528 15,244 16,953 14.9 14.7 12.7 11.2 65.1 Pecos 15,507 17,051 18,450 19,702 20,878 10.0 8.2 6.8 6.0 34.6 Polk 45,413 48,894 51,675 53,629 55,686 7.7 5.7 3.8 3.8 22.6 202

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Potter 121,073 134,041 147,734 161,602 175,083 10.7 10.2 9.4 8.3 44.6 Presidio 7,818 8,676 9,431 10,115 10,828 11.0 8.7 7.3 7.0 38.5 Rains 10,914 11,870 12,568 12,765 12,858 8.8 5.9 1.6 0.7 17.8 Randall 120,725 133,494 148,264 162,786 177,431 10.6 11.1 9.8 9.0 47.0 Reagan 3,367 3,850 4,294 4,566 4,824 14.3 11.5 6.3 5.7 43.3 Real 3,309 3,308 3,238 3,085 3,000 -0.0 -2.1 -4.7 -2.8 -9.3 Red River 12,860 13,113 12,943 12,514 12,064 2.0 -1.3 -3.3 -3.6 -6.2 Reeves 13,783 14,880 15,956 17,010 18,054 8.0 7.2 6.6 6.1 31.0 Refugio 7,383 7,659 7,906 7,937 8,050 3.7 3.2 0.4 1.4 9.0 Roberts 929 1,011 1,049 1,037 995 8.8 3.8 -1.1 -4.1 7.1 Robertson 16,622 18,281 19,959 21,442 23,001 10.0 9.2 7.4 7.3 38.4 Rockwall 78,337 97,466 120,573 146,334 171,220 24.4 23.7 21.4 17.0 118.6 Runnels 10,501 10,804 11,109 11,140 11,246 2.9 2.8 0.3 1.0 7.1 Rusk 53,330 59,141 65,601 71,817 78,542 10.9 10.9 9.5 9.4 47.3 Sabine 10,834 11,271 11,400 10,980 10,609 4.0 1.1 -3.7 -3.4 -2.1 San Augustine 8,865 9,005 8,877 8,560 8,278 1.6 -1.4 -3.6 -3.3 -6.6 San Jacinto 26,384 29,335 32,141 34,520 37,195 11.2 9.6 7.4 7.7 41.0 San Patricio 64,804 70,122 75,073 78,669 81,990 8.2 7.1 4.8 4.2 26.5 San Saba 6,131 6,180 6,287 6,289 6,317 0.8 1.7 0.0 0.4 3.0 Schleicher 3,461 3,801 4,086 4,266 4,358 9.8 7.5 4.4 2.2 25.9 Scurry 16,921 18,434 20,057 21,598 23,305 8.9 8.8 7.7 7.9 37.7 Shackelford 3,378 3,557 3,709 3,727 3,790 5.3 4.3 0.5 1.7 12.2 Shelby 25,448 27,749 30,052 32,152 34,172 9.0 8.3 7.0 6.3 34.3 Sherman 3,034 3,305 3,598 3,794 3,981 8.9 8.9 5.4 4.9 31.2 Smith 209,714 231,653 254,486 276,544 299,745 10.5 9.9 8.7 8.4 42.9 Somervell 8,490 9,477 10,670 11,589 12,359 11.6 12.6 8.6 6.6 45.6 Starr 60,968 71,198 81,023 89,949 98,953 16.8 13.8 11.0 10.0 62.3 203

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Stephens 9,630 10,022 10,441 10,584 10,651 4.1 4.2 1.4 0.6 10.6 Sterling 1,143 1,225 1,274 1,285 1,264 7.2 4.0 0.9 -1.6 10.6 Stonewall 1,490 1,497 1,494 1,442 1,357 0.5 -0.2 -3.5 -5.9 -8.9 Sutton 4,128 4,529 4,896 5,043 5,138 9.7 8.1 3.0 1.9 24.5 Swisher 7,854 8,155 8,584 8,847 9,051 3.8 5.3 3.1 2.3 15.2 Tarrant 1,809,034 2,039,890 2,287,581 2,528,520 2,758,129 12.8 12.1 10.5 9.1 52.5 Taylor 131,506 140,047 145,736 149,857 152,648 6.5 4.1 2.8 1.9 16.1 Terrell 984 1,048 1,073 1,075 1,045 6.5 2.4 0.2 -2.8 6.2 Terry 12,651 13,586 14,398 15,207 15,982 7.4 6.0 5.6 5.1 26.3 Throckmorton 1,641 1,647 1,603 1,543 1,457 0.4 -2.7 -3.7 -5.6 -11.2 Titus 32,334 36,666 41,363 46,110 51,170 13.4 12.8 11.5 11.0 58.3 Tom Green 110,224 115,884 121,881 126,657 130,632 5.1 5.2 3.9 3.1 18.5 Travis 1,024,266 1,198,485 1,342,829 1,474,822 1,612,674 17.0 12.0 9.8 9.3 57.4 Trinity 14,585 15,328 15,603 15,239 14,790 5.1 1.8 -2.3 -2.9 1.4 Tyler 21,766 22,061 22,062 21,479 20,772 1.4 0.0 -2.6 -3.3 -4.6 Upshur 39,309 42,411 45,500 48,254 51,008 7.9 7.3 6.1 5.7 29.8 Upton 3,355 3,701 4,022 4,200 4,410 10.3 8.7 4.4 5.0 31.4 Uvalde 26,405 28,703 31,267 33,323 35,545 8.7 8.9 6.6 6.7 34.6 Val Verde 48,879 54,457 59,790 64,750 69,644 11.4 9.8 8.3 7.6 42.5 Van Zandt 52,579 55,778 58,720 60,374 61,957 6.1 5.3 2.8 2.6 17.8 Victoria 86,793 93,902 100,465 105,735 110,868 8.2 7.0 5.2 4.9 27.7 Walker 67,861 72,239 76,209 79,290 82,655 6.5 5.5 4.0 4.2 21.8 Waller 43,205 52,133 62,492 74,071 86,862 20.7 19.9 18.5 17.3 101.0 Ward 10,658 11,438 12,098 12,591 12,954 7.3 5.8 4.1 2.9 21.5 Washington 33,718 36,052 38,145 39,504 40,804 6.9 5.8 3.6 3.3 21.0 Webb 250,304 305,881 367,576 429,823 494,081 22.2 20.2 16.9 14.9 97.4 Wharton 41,280 43,551 45,988 47,559 48,693 5.5 5.6 3.4 2.4 18. 204

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Wheeler 5,410 5,612 5,929 6,249 6,676 3.7 5.6 5.4 6.8 23.4 Wichita 131,500 135,811 141,049 145,291 148,625 3.3 3.9 3.0 2.3 13.0 Wilbarger 13,535 14,600 15,580 16,352 17,326 7.9 6.7 5.0 6.0 28.0 Willacy 22,134 25,763 29,591 33,459 37,733 16.4 14.9 13.1 12.8 70.5 Williamson 422,679 534,882 667,844 825,127 992,814 26.5 24.9 23.6 20.3 134.9 Wilson 42,918 50,232 58,085 64,775 70,061 17.0 15.6 11.5 8.2 63.2 Winkler 7,110 8,039 8,857 9,528 10,209 13.1 10.2 7.6 7.1 43.6 Wise 59,127 68,070 78,265 88,876 100,448 15.1 15.0 13.6 13.0 69.9 Wood 41,964 44,567 46,250 46,751 47,786 6.2 3.8 1.1 2.2 13.9 Yoakum 7,879 9,191 10,737 12,225 13,881 16.7 16.8 13.9 13.5 76.2 Young 18,550 19,408 20,569 21,437 22,277 4.6 6.0 4.2 3.9 20.1 Zapata 14,018 16,925 19,983 23,342 27,215 20.7 18.1 16.8 16.6 94.1 Zavala 11,677 13,251 14,918 16,384 17,903 13.5 12.6 9.8 9.3 53.3

205

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Assuming Net Migration Equal to 2000-2010 (1.0 Scenario)

Anderson 58,458 62,245 65,595 66,941 66,754 6.5 5.4 2.1 -0.3 14.2 Andrews 14,786 17,487 20,222 22,753 24,794 18.3 15.6 12.5 9.0 67.7 Angelina 86,771 94,245 101,812 107,469 112,170 8.6 8.0 5.6 4.4 29.3 Aransas 23,158 26,041 27,558 27,296 26,276 12.4 5.8 -1.0 -3.7 13.5 Archer 9,054 9,847 10,642 11,312 11,775 8.8 8.1 6.3 4.1 30.1 Armstrong 1,901 1,970 1,964 1,852 1,733 3.6 -0.3 -5.7 -6.4 -8.8 Atascosa 44,911 55,946 67,524 77,771 86,122 24.6 20.7 15.2 10.7 91.8 Austin 28,417 36,542 46,640 59,582 76,037 28.6 27.6 27.7 27.6 167.6 Bailey 7,165 8,426 9,885 11,338 12,711 17.6 17.3 14.7 12.1 77.4 Bandera 20,485 25,100 29,059 31,255 31,965 22.5 15.8 7.6 2.3 56.0 Bastrop 74,171 100,746 140,463 195,452 272,723 35.8 39.4 39.1 39.5 267.7 Baylor 3,726 3,715 3,722 3,614 3,522 -0.3 0.2 -2.9 -2.5 -5.5 Bee 31,861 33,428 34,292 33,716 32,001 4.9 2.6 -1.7 -5.1 0.4 Bell 310,235 394,509 483,841 586,329 703,159 27.2 22.6 21.2 19.9 126.7 Bexar 1,714,773 2,062,088 2,439,700 2,809,942 3,179,649 20.3 18.3 15.2 13.2 85.4 Blanco 10,497 13,018 15,460 16,937 17,697 24.0 18.8 9.6 4.5 68.6 Borden 641 698 692 629 527 8.9 -0.9 -9.1 -16.2 -17.8 Bosque 18,212 20,522 22,632 23,757 24,395 12.7 10.3 5.0 2.7 34.0 Bowie 92,565 95,118 97,314 97,949 98,030 2.8 2.3 0.7 0.1 5.9 Brazoria 313,166 410,571 540,453 711,049 924,456 31.1 31.6 31.6 30.0 195.2 Brazos 194,851 239,527 292,333 348,817 419,114 22.9 22.0 19.3 20.2 115.1 Brewster 9,232 10,226 10,854 10,952 10,739 10.8 6.1 0.9 -1.9 16.3 Briscoe 1,637 1,672 1,628 1,519 1,436 2.1 -2.6 -6.7 -5.5 -12.3 Brooks 7,223 7,619 7,803 7,695 7,329 5.5 2.4 -1.4 -4.8 1.5 Brown 38,106 40,617 42,131 42,188 41,595 6.6 3.7 0.1 -1.4 9.2 206

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Burleson 17,187 19,763 22,160 23,843 24,931 15.0 12.1 7.6 4.6 45.1 Burnet 42,750 52,456 62,876 71,614 79,985 22.7 19.9 13.9 11.7 87.1 Caldwell 38,066 49,202 63,015 77,373 92,180 29.3 28.1 22.8 19.1 142.2 Calhoun 21,381 25,263 29,570 33,816 37,899 18.2 17.0 14.4 12.1 77.3 Callahan 13,544 14,768 16,383 17,961 19,667 9.0 10.9 9.6 9.5 45.2 Cameron 406,220 493,571 584,883 668,322 741,902 21.5 18.5 14.3 11.0 82.6 Camp 12,401 14,442 16,551 18,428 20,569 16.5 14.6 11.3 11.6 65.9 Carson 6,182 6,526 6,924 7,213 7,370 5.6 6.1 4.2 2.2 19.2 Cass 30,464 32,050 33,012 33,060 32,834 5.2 3.0 0.1 -0.7 7.8 Castro 8,062 8,901 9,453 9,656 9,612 10.4 6.2 2.1 -0.5 19.2 Chambers 35,096 47,621 64,504 88,058 119,555 35.7 35.5 36.5 35.8 240.7 Cherokee 50,845 57,663 65,537 73,442 83,259 13.4 13.7 12.1 13.4 63.8 Childress 7,041 7,460 7,916 8,240 8,409 6.0 6.1 4.1 2.1 19.4 Clay 10,752 11,655 12,278 12,480 12,503 8.4 5.3 1.6 0.2 16.3 Cochran 3,127 3,458 3,644 3,619 3,527 10.6 5.4 -0.7 -2.5 12.8 Coke 3,320 3,095 2,925 2,610 2,361 -6.8 -5.5 -10.8 -9.5 -28.9 Coleman 8,895 9,274 9,586 9,613 9,555 4.3 3.4 0.3 -0.6 7.4 Collin 782,341 1,150,398 1,712,183 2,575,965 3,801,840 47.0 48.8 50.4 47.6 386.0 Collingsworth 3,057 3,243 3,420 3,626 3,908 6.1 5.5 6.0 7.8 27.8 Colorado 20,874 22,688 24,152 24,964 25,492 8.7 6.5 3.4 2.1 22.1 Comal 108,472 150,366 199,936 252,268 305,977 38.6 33.0 26.2 21.3 182.1 Comanche 13,974 14,855 15,632 15,966 16,052 6.3 5.2 2.1 0.5 14.9 Concho 4,087 4,299 4,376 4,381 4,277 5.2 1.8 0.1 -2.4 4.6 Cooke 38,437 41,744 44,816 47,022 48,881 8.6 7.4 4.9 4.0 27.2 Coryell 75,388 86,638 98,517 111,930 124,214 14.9 13.7 13.6 11.0 64.8 Cottle 1,505 1,578 1,570 1,534 1,478 4.9 -0.5 -2.3 -3.7 -1.8 Crane 4,375 5,349 6,385 7,283 8,147 22.3 19.4 14.1 11.9 86.2 207

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Crockett 3,719 4,082 4,203 4,126 4,002 9.8 3.0 -1.8 -3.0 7.6 Crosby 6,059 7,247 8,645 10,023 11,305 19.6 19.3 15.9 12.8 86.6 Culberson 2,398 2,722 2,901 2,890 2,867 13.5 6.6 -0.4 -0.8 19.6 Dallam 6,703 8,054 9,333 10,583 11,719 20.2 15.9 13.4 10.7 74.8 Dallas 2,368,139 2,639,966 2,939,645 3,235,511 3,528,964 11.5 11.4 10.1 9.1 49.0 Dawson 13,833 14,756 15,491 15,961 16,047 6.7 5.0 3.0 0.5 16.0 Deaf Smith 19,372 22,599 26,213 29,432 32,166 16.7 16.0 12.3 9.3 66.0 Delta 5,231 5,805 6,274 6,496 6,692 11.0 8.1 3.5 3.0 27.9 Denton 662,614 943,020 1,377,090 2,047,293 3,031,597 42.3 46.0 48.7 48.1 357.5 De Witt 20,097 20,937 21,702 22,240 22,847 4.2 3.7 2.5 2.7 13.7 Dickens 2,444 2,482 2,449 2,261 2,085 1.6 -1.3 -7.7 -7.8 -14.7 Dimmit 9,996 10,870 11,501 11,638 11,349 8.7 5.8 1.2 -2.5 13.5 Donley 3,677 3,873 3,963 3,877 3,819 5.3 2.3 -2.2 -1.5 3.9 Duval 11,782 12,596 12,999 12,949 12,419 6.9 3.2 -0.4 -4.1 5.4 Eastland 18,583 19,857 20,686 20,757 20,461 6.9 4.2 0.3 -1.4 10.1 Ector 137,130 159,521 184,384 210,246 234,964 16.3 15.6 14.0 11.8 71.3 Edwards 2,002 2,174 2,126 2,063 1,966 8.6 -2.2 -3.0 -4.7 -1.8 Ellis 149,610 200,285 267,038 349,418 448,922 33.9 33.3 30.8 28.5 200.1 El Paso 800,647 952,366 1,113,070 1,251,834 1,369,890 18.9 16.9 12.5 9.4 71.1 Erath 37,890 41,649 45,787 48,976 52,086 9.9 9.9 7.0 6.4 37.5 Falls 17,866 19,236 20,121 20,213 19,673 7.7 4.6 0.5 -2.7 10.1 Fannin 33,915 37,727 41,603 44,507 47,234 11.2 10.3 7.0 6.1 39.3 Fayette 24,554 28,422 32,538 35,293 37,438 15.8 14.5 8.5 6.1 52.5 Fisher 3,974 3,913 3,793 3,550 3,295 -1.5 -3.1 -6.4 -7.2 -17.1 Floyd 6,446 6,688 6,852 6,747 6,502 3.8 2.5 -1.5 -3.6 0.9 Foard 1,336 1,365 1,330 1,244 1,110 2.2 -2.6 -6.5 -10.8 -16.9 Fort Bend 585,375 888,595 1,314,652 1,920,868 2,738,553 51.8 47.9 46.1 42.6 367.8 208

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Franklin 10,605 11,838 13,018 14,076 15,175 11.6 10.0 8.1 7.8 43.1 Freestone 19,816 21,997 23,991 25,375 26,369 11.0 9.1 5.8 3.9 33.1 Frio 17,217 20,080 23,016 25,150 26,701 16.6 14.6 9.3 6.2 55.1 Gaines 17,526 21,681 26,509 32,175 38,054 23.7 22.3 21.4 18.3 117.1 Galveston 291,309 335,006 382,798 431,323 484,451 15.0 14.3 12.7 12.3 66.3 Garza 6,461 6,969 7,321 7,554 7,566 7.9 5.1 3.2 0.2 17.1 Gillespie 24,837 29,929 35,003 38,754 41,558 20.5 17.0 10.7 7.2 67.3 Glasscock 1,226 1,351 1,383 1,340 1,237 10.2 2.4 -3.1 -7.7 0.9 Goliad 7,210 8,518 9,781 10,741 11,354 18.1 14.8 9.8 5.7 57.5 Gonzales 19,807 22,345 24,879 26,835 28,324 12.8 11.3 7.9 5.5 43.0 Gray 22,535 24,928 28,608 33,790 40,897 10.6 14.8 18.1 21.0 81.5 Grayson 120,877 133,647 148,507 163,197 180,032 10.6 11.1 9.9 10.3 48.9 Gregg 121,730 136,671 157,592 185,923 223,052 12.3 15.3 18.0 20.0 83.2 Grimes 26,604 30,863 35,188 38,715 42,163 16.0 14.0 10.0 8.9 58.5 Guadalupe 131,533 182,526 246,038 321,869 407,388 38.8 34.8 30.8 26.6 209.7 Hale 36,273 38,415 40,103 40,601 39,930 5.9 4.4 1.2 -1.7 10.1 Hall 3,353 3,320 3,303 3,151 2,963 -1.0 -0.5 -4.6 -6.0 -11.6 Hamilton 8,517 8,802 9,061 8,981 8,668 3.3 2.9 -0.9 -3.5 1.8 Hansford 5,613 6,513 7,629 8,670 9,598 16.0 17.1 13.6 10.7 71.0 Hardeman 4,139 4,456 4,765 5,041 5,407 7.7 6.9 5.8 7.3 30.6 Hardin 54,635 62,163 69,832 76,886 83,322 13.8 12.3 10.1 8.4 52.5 Harris 4,092,459 4,885,616 5,777,639 6,660,246 7,527,827 19.4 18.3 15.3 13.0 83.9 Harrison 65,631 72,253 80,962 92,038 109,867 10.1 12.1 13.7 19.4 67.4 Hartley 6,062 6,321 6,665 6,734 6,653 4.3 5.4 1.0 -1.2 9.7 Haskell 5,899 6,072 6,336 6,354 6,290 2.9 4.3 0.3 -1.0 6.6 Hays 157,107 246,119 372,120 556,982 824,070 56.7 51.2 49.7 48.0 424.5 Hemphill 3,807 4,389 5,002 5,655 6,351 15.3 14.0 13.1 12.3 66.8 209

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Henderson 78,532 84,178 89,810 95,277 103,301 7.2 6.7 6.1 8.4 31.5 Hidalgo 774,769 1,005,539 1,271,656 1,531,900 1,779,370 29.8 26.5 20.5 16.2 129.7 Hill 35,089 39,349 42,943 44,967 46,180 12.1 9.1 4.7 2.7 31.6 Hockley 22,935 24,916 26,091 26,475 25,950 8.6 4.7 1.5 -2.0 13.1 Hood 51,182 61,274 71,175 78,328 84,406 19.7 16.2 10.0 7.8 64.9 Hopkins 35,161 38,504 42,634 47,610 54,993 9.5 10.7 11.7 15.5 56.4 Houston 23,732 25,147 26,086 26,250 26,056 6.0 3.7 0.6 -0.7 9.8 Howard 35,012 37,715 39,926 41,296 41,709 7.7 5.9 3.4 1.0 19.1 Hudspeth 3,476 3,981 4,282 4,335 4,243 14.5 7.6 1.2 -2.1 22.1 Hunt 86,129 101,894 122,641 149,788 186,827 18.3 20.4 22.1 24.7 116.9 Hutchinson 22,150 22,540 22,727 22,135 21,267 1.8 0.8 -2.6 -3.9 -4.0 Irion 1,599 1,712 1,746 1,646 1,539 7.1 2.0 -5.7 -6.5 -3.8 Jack 9,044 9,689 10,353 10,787 11,041 7.1 6.9 4.2 2.4 22.1 Jackson 14,075 14,356 14,398 14,011 13,366 2.0 0.3 -2.7 -4.6 -5.0 Jasper 35,710 37,167 38,021 37,949 37,207 4.1 2.3 -0.2 -2.0 4.2 Jeff Davis 2,342 2,478 2,411 2,180 2,081 5.8 -2.7 -9.6 -4.5 -11.1 Jefferson 252,273 268,231 291,737 322,226 362,564 6.3 8.8 10.5 12.5 43.7 Jim Hogg 5,300 5,735 6,023 6,128 6,090 8.2 5.0 1.7 -0.6 14.9 Jim Wells 40,838 44,487 46,867 47,853 47,533 8.9 5.3 2.1 -0.7 16.4 Johnson 150,934 186,847 235,730 299,530 383,739 23.8 26.2 27.1 28.1 154.2 Jones 20,202 22,286 24,446 26,599 28,660 10.3 9.7 8.8 7.7 41.9 Karnes 14,824 16,265 17,611 18,214 17,816 9.7 8.3 3.4 -2.2 20.2 Kaufman 103,350 149,063 215,415 308,894 438,487 44.2 44.5 43.4 42.0 324.3 Kendall 33,410 44,958 58,229 73,221 88,689 34.6 29.5 25.7 21.1 165.5 Kenedy 416 462 494 484 438 11.1 6.9 -2.0 -9.5 5.3 Kent 808 809 795 734 677 0.1 -1.7 -7.7 -7.8 -16.2 Kerr 49,625 57,004 64,156 67,829 69,353 14.9 12.5 5.7 2.2 39.8 210

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Kimble 4,607 5,052 5,318 5,198 4,969 9.7 5.3 -2.3 -4.4 7.9 King 286 299 306 277 241 4.5 2.3 -9.5 -13.0 -15.7 Kinney 3,598 3,816 3,896 3,896 3,828 6.1 2.1 0.0 -1.7 6.4 Kleberg 32,061 35,499 38,202 40,018 40,555 10.7 7.6 4.8 1.3 26.5 Knox 3,719 3,762 3,844 3,800 3,695 1.2 2.2 -1.1 -2.8 -0.6 Lamar 49,793 53,136 56,747 60,460 64,970 6.7 6.8 6.5 7.5 30.5 Lamb 13,977 14,620 15,232 15,440 15,304 4.6 4.2 1.4 -0.9 9.5 Lampasas 19,677 23,399 27,387 31,337 35,589 18.9 17.0 14.4 13.6 80.9 La Salle 6,886 8,210 9,420 10,455 11,537 19.2 14.7 11.0 10.3 67.5 Lavaca 19,263 19,830 20,256 19,918 19,205 2.9 2.1 -1.7 -3.6 -0.3 Lee 16,612 19,104 21,494 22,927 23,515 15.0 12.5 6.7 2.6 41.6 Leon 16,801 19,495 22,103 24,086 26,297 16.0 13.4 9.0 9.2 56.5 Liberty 75,643 90,780 108,512 128,582 151,846 20.0 19.5 18.5 18.1 100.7 Limestone 23,384 26,085 28,319 29,756 30,871 11.6 8.6 5.1 3.7 32.0 Lipscomb 3,302 3,797 4,374 4,930 5,507 15.0 15.2 12.7 11.7 66.8 Live Oak 11,531 11,854 11,803 11,473 10,984 2.8 -0.4 -2.8 -4.3 -4.7 Llano 19,301 21,407 22,697 22,787 22,551 10.9 6.0 0.4 -1.0 16.8 Loving 82 81 76 58 40 -1.2 -6.2 -23.7 -31.0 -51.2 Lubbock 278,831 313,938 352,940 390,972 430,186 12.6 12.4 10.8 10.0 54.3 Lynn 5,915 6,239 6,473 6,443 6,328 5.5 3.8 -0.5 -1.8 7.0 McCulloch 8,283 9,040 9,610 9,827 9,854 9.1 6.3 2.3 0.3 19.0 McLennan 234,906 255,521 281,009 303,830 326,877 8.8 10.0 8.1 7.6 39.2 McMullen 707 771 774 727 653 9.1 0.4 -6.1 -10.2 -7.6 Madison 13,664 15,654 17,585 19,495 21,611 14.6 12.3 10.9 10.9 58.2 Marion 10,546 11,384 11,531 10,991 10,105 7.9 1.3 -4.7 -8.1 -4.2 Martin 4,799 5,606 6,382 6,949 7,454 16.8 13.8 8.9 7.3 55.3 Mason 4,012 4,211 4,329 4,199 4,007 5.0 2.8 -3.0 -4.6 -0.1 211

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Matagorda 36,702 39,696 41,864 42,445 41,834 8.2 5.5 1.4 -1.4 14.0 Maverick 54,258 63,502 72,149 78,836 83,377 17.0 13.6 9.3 5.8 53.7 Medina 46,006 56,907 68,762 79,797 89,087 23.7 20.8 16.0 11.6 93.6 Menard 2,242 2,406 2,467 2,374 2,317 7.3 2.5 -3.8 -2.4 3.3 Midland 136,872 159,256 185,176 212,112 239,924 16.4 16.3 14.5 13.1 75.3 Milam 24,757 26,786 28,410 29,133 29,495 8.2 6.1 2.5 1.2 19.1 Mills 4,936 5,240 5,662 6,043 6,437 6.2 8.1 6.7 6.5 30.4 Mitchell 9,403 10,050 10,581 10,914 11,113 6.9 5.3 3.1 1.8 18.2 Montague 19,719 21,462 22,985 23,779 24,244 8.8 7.1 3.5 2.0 22.9 Montgomery 455,746 660,481 965,553 1,415,763 2,061,972 44.9 46.2 46.6 45.6 352.4 Moore 21,904 25,817 30,308 35,643 42,278 17.9 17.4 17.6 18.6 93.0 Morris 12,934 13,917 14,677 15,691 17,117 7.6 5.5 6.9 9.1 32.3 Motley 1,210 1,196 1,114 1,023 918 -1.2 -6.9 -8.2 -10.3 -24.1 Nacogdoches 64,524 73,458 83,503 92,853 101,881 13.8 13.7 11.2 9.7 57.9 Navarro 47,735 55,437 64,176 73,444 84,173 16.1 15.8 14.4 14.6 76.3 Newton 14,445 14,314 13,723 12,645 11,573 -0.9 -4.1 -7.9 -8.5 -19.9 Nolan 15,216 16,176 16,833 16,876 16,548 6.3 4.1 0.3 -1.9 8.8 Nueces 340,223 376,623 413,594 438,565 455,730 10.7 9.8 6.0 3.9 34.0 Ochiltree 10,223 12,755 16,203 20,295 24,935 24.8 27.0 25.3 22.9 143.9 Oldham 2,052 2,233 2,404 2,357 2,309 8.8 7.7 -2.0 -2.0 12.5 Orange 81,837 88,026 94,084 99,829 105,721 7.6 6.9 6.1 5.9 29.2 Palo Pinto 28,111 31,708 34,900 36,819 38,057 12.8 10.1 5.5 3.4 35.4 Panola 23,796 25,965 28,047 29,646 31,224 9.1 8.0 5.7 5.3 31.2 Parker 116,927 159,119 220,119 311,672 453,381 36.1 38.3 41.6 45.5 287.7 Parmer 10,269 12,385 14,861 17,477 20,012 20.6 20.0 17.6 14.5 94.9 Pecos 15,507 17,026 18,197 18,721 18,593 9.8 6.9 2.9 -0.7 19.9 Polk 45,413 51,908 58,037 62,845 66,807 14.3 11.8 8.3 6.3 47.1 212

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Potter 121,073 134,475 150,155 166,994 184,439 11.1 11.7 11.2 10.4 52.3 Presidio 7,818 8,683 9,155 9,335 9,169 11.1 5.4 2.0 -1.8 17.3 Rains 10,914 13,134 15,142 16,358 17,101 20.3 15.3 8.0 4.5 56.7 Randall 120,725 142,109 171,030 207,994 255,054 17.7 20.4 21.6 22.6 111.3 Reagan 3,367 3,908 4,404 4,688 4,882 16.1 12.7 6.4 4.1 45.0 Real 3,309 3,439 3,387 3,207 3,044 3.9 -1.5 -5.3 -5.1 -8.0 Red River 12,860 13,468 13,497 13,105 12,569 4.7 0.2 -2.9 -4.1 -2.3 Reeves 13,783 14,934 16,004 16,667 16,875 8.4 7.2 4.1 1.2 22.4 Refugio 7,383 7,514 7,525 7,221 6,880 1.8 0.1 -4.0 -4.7 -6.8 Roberts 929 994 987 946 865 7.0 -0.7 -4.2 -8.6 -6.9 Robertson 16,622 19,553 22,578 25,406 27,984 17.6 15.5 12.5 10.1 68.4 Rockwall 78,337 115,985 168,455 240,581 333,656 48.1 45.2 42.8 38.7 325.9 Runnels 10,501 11,010 11,344 11,307 11,071 4.8 3.0 -0.3 -2.1 5.4 Rusk 53,330 63,351 75,713 90,123 107,817 18.8 19.5 19.0 19.6 102.2 Sabine 10,834 12,186 12,997 12,501 11,344 12.5 6.7 -3.8 -9.3 4.7 San Augustine 8,865 9,340 9,317 8,802 8,233 5.4 -0.2 -5.5 -6.5 -7.1 San Jacinto 26,384 32,428 39,026 45,924 53,703 22.9 20.3 17.7 16.9 103.5 San Patricio 64,804 68,331 70,310 69,911 67,771 5.4 2.9 -0.6 -3.1 4.6 San Saba 6,131 6,482 6,812 6,886 6,854 5.7 5.1 1.1 -0.5 11.8 Schleicher 3,461 3,920 4,341 4,604 4,813 13.3 10.7 6.1 4.5 39.1 Scurry 16,921 18,906 20,986 22,884 24,680 11.7 11.0 9.0 7.8 45.9 Shackelford 3,378 3,734 4,026 4,062 3,974 10.5 7.8 0.9 -2.2 17.6 Shelby 25,448 28,649 31,841 34,398 36,487 12.6 11.1 8.0 6.1 43.4 Sherman 3,034 3,440 3,953 4,527 5,085 13.4 14.9 14.5 12.3 67.6 Smith 209,714 243,064 283,362 329,198 382,835 15.9 16.6 16.2 16.3 82.6 Somervell 8,490 10,480 12,796 15,098 17,540 23.4 22.1 18.0 16.2 106.6 Starr 60,968 68,878 74,657 77,464 77,616 13.0 8.4 3.8 0.2 27.3 213

Table 14: Continued ______%Change %Change %Change %Change %Change County Total Total Total Total Total 2010- 2020- 2030- 2040- 2010- name 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2020 2030 2040 2050 2050 ______

Stephens 9,630 10,297 10,978 11,380 11,598 6.9 6.6 3.7 1.9 20.4 Sterling 1,143 1,214 1,229 1,177 1,055 6.2 1.2 -4.2 -10.4 -7.7 Stonewall 1,490 1,515 1,494 1,440 1,266 1.7 -1.4 -3.6 -12.1 -15.0 Sutton 4,128 4,651 5,119 5,364 5,548 12.7 10.1 4.8 3.4 34.4 Swisher 7,854 8,230 8,597 8,587 8,410 4.8 4.5 -0.1 -2.1 7.1 Tarrant 1,809,034 2,127,850 2,532,853 2,993,599 3,497,034 17.6 19.0 18.2 16.8 93.3 Taylor 131,506 138,279 141,994 144,077 144,272 5.2 2.7 1.5 0.1 9.7 Terrell 984 1,047 1,057 1,000 875 6.4 1.0 -5.4 -12.5 -11.1 Terry 12,651 13,323 13,678 13,741 13,424 5.3 2.7 0.5 -2.3 6.1 Throckmorton 1,641 1,639 1,588 1,492 1,385 -0.1 -3.1 -6.0 -7.2 -15.6 Titus 32,334 37,790 44,022 50,482 57,313 16.9 16.5 14.7 13.5 77.3 Tom Green 110,224 114,995 119,675 122,004 121,963 4.3 4.1 1.9 -0.0 10.7 Travis 1,024,266 1,277,007 1,519,407 1,749,761 2,011,009 24.7 19.0 15.2 14.9 96.3 Trinity 14,585 16,618 18,060 18,356 18,078 13.9 8.7 1.6 -1.5 23.9 Tyler 21,766 22,646 23,007 22,469 21,376 4.0 1.6 -2.3 -4.9 -1.8 Upshur 39,309 45,120 51,477 58,713 67,047 14.8 14.1 14.1 14.2 70.6 Upton 3,355 3,886 4,476 4,954 5,503 15.8 15.2 10.7 11.1 64.0 Uvalde 26,405 28,593 30,341 30,996 30,803 8.3 6.1 2.2 -0.6 16.7 Val Verde 48,879 53,256 56,400 57,859 57,736 9.0 5.9 2.6 -0.2 18.1 Van Zandt 52,579 58,259 63,838 68,084 72,513 10.8 9.6 6.7 6.5 37.9 Victoria 86,793 92,845 97,790 101,124 103,519 7.0 5.3 3.4 2.4 19.3 Walker 67,861 72,778 76,782 79,859 83,588 7.2 5.5 4.0 4.7 23.2 Waller 43,205 58,002 78,038 104,095 136,570 34.2 34.5 33.4 31.2 216.1 Ward 10,658 11,213 11,522 11,471 11,167 5.2 2.8 -0.4 -2.7 4.8 Washington 33,718 37,673 41,527 44,477 47,223 11.7 10.2 7.1 6.2 40.1 Webb 250,304 317,733 392,768 464,297 529,784 26.9 23.6 18.2 14.1 111.7 Wharton 41,280 43,271 45,121 45,368 44,461 4.8 4.3 0.5 -2.0 7.7 214

Wheeler 5,410 5,934 6,723 7,808 9,249 9.7 13.3 16.1 18.5 71.0 Wichita 131,500 133,363 136,496 138,494 139,319 1.4 2.3 1.5 0.6 5.9 Wilbarger 13,535 14,897 16,186 17,182 18,076 10.1 8.7 6.2 5.2 33.6 Willacy 22,134 26,817 31,526 35,787 39,693 21.2 17.6 13.5 10.9 79.3 Williamson 422,679 633,783 940,542 1,380,749 1,976,958 49.9 48.4 46.8 43.2 367.7 Wilson 42,918 57,292 73,396 89,858 105,355 33.5 28.1 22.4 17.2 145.5 Winkler 7,110 8,371 9,416 10,284 10,982 17.7 12.5 9.2 6.8 54.5 Wise 59,127 74,490 95,538 123,315 160,900 26.0 28.3 29.1 30.5 172.1 Wood 41,964 48,594 54,088 57,291 60,260 15.8 11.3 5.9 5.2 43.6 Yoakum 7,879 9,591 11,690 13,821 16,006 21.7 21.9 18.2 15.8 103.1 Young 18,550 19,914 21,593 22,933 24,160 7.4 8.4 6.2 5.4 30.2 Zapata 14,018 17,043 20,016 22,853 25,376 21.6 17.4 14.2 11.0 81.0 Zavala 11,677 12,895 13,964 14,477 14,552 10.4 8.3 3.7 0.5 24.6 ______

215