Conference Co­Chairs Alicia Bárcena Thomas Hertel Santiago Le vy Algazi

Conference Committee Carlos De Miguel José Durán Antoni Estevadeordal Renato Flores Gaspar Frontini Paolo Giordano Julio Guzmán Robert Koopman Steve Rose Alexander Sarris Dominique van der Mensbrugghe Raul O’Rya n Andrés Schuschny Rob Vos Terrie Walmsley Masakazu Watanuki Goal The goal of the annual conference on economic analysis is to promote the exchange of ideas among economists conducting quantitative analysis of global economic issues. Particular emphasis will be placed on applied general equilibrium methods, data, and application. Related theoretical and applied work is also welcome.

Background A global network of individuals and institutions conducting economy‐wide analysis of trade, resource, and environmental policy issues has emerged. Thousands of these researchers now use a common data base supplied by the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP). The project is coordinated by the Center for Global Trade Analysis in the Department of Agricultural Economics at Purdue University with the support of a consortium of national and international agencies. Participants are given the opportunity to present their work, interact with other professionals in the field, and learn about the most recent developments in global economic analysis.

Program Overview Each day will include a plenary session featuring distinguished speakers, each of who are intellectual leaders in their respective fields. Their presentations are designed to introduce participants to new topics as well as provide fresh insights into familiar ones. The content of these sessions reflect the overall themes of this conference:

• Trade for an inclusive world: Multilateral and Bilateral Agreements • Terms of trade shocks and food crisis • Climate Change, Energy and Environment • Poverty, Income Distribution and Development, towards the Millennium Development Goals • Geography of trade: Sub‐national assessments

The conference will also feature specially organized sessions, contributed paper sessions and round table discussion sessions. The contributed paper sessions were selected through a peer review process and grouped together to reflect the varied themes being addressed by members of the broader GTAP research community. The papers from the organized and contributed paper sessions have been provided on the conference CD and on the GTAP website.

The conference committee wishes you an enjoyable and productive conference! Distinguished Plenary Speakers

Alicia Bárcena is the Executive Secretary of the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC), United Nations. She had previously served as the Under‐Secretary‐ General for Management at United Nations Headquarters in New York, appointed by United Nations Secretary‐General Ban Ki‐moon. She had also served as Deputy Chef de Cabinet and then as Acting Chef de Cabinet to the former Secretary‐General, Mr. Kofi Annan. From 1 July 2003 until 28 February 2006, Alicia Bárcena held the post of Deputy Executive Secretary of ECLAC, where she had previously served as the Director of that institution's Environment and Human Settlements Division. During her tenure in that position, she focused on public policies for sustainable development, with particular reference to the linkages existing among environmental, economic and social issues. Alicia Bárcena was the Founding Director of the Earth Council in Costa Rica, a non‐ governmental organization in charge of follow‐up to the agreements reached at the United Nations Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED) held in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, in 1992. She had served the Government of Mexico as Director General of the National Institute of Fisheries and as Deputy Minister for Ecology during the term of President Miguel de la Madrid. In the academic arena, Ms. Bárcena has taught and conducted research in the fields of botany, ethnobotany and ecology, as well as designing programmes of study in the areas of ecology and botany for the Autonomous Metropolitan University of Mexico. She has published numerous articles on sustainable development, public policy, environmental issues, and global citizenship and public participation. Alicia Bárcena holds a Bachelor of Science degree in biology, has completed the course of study required for the degree of Master in Ecology at the National Autonomous University of Mexico, and holds a Master degree in Public Administration from Harvard University.

Alan V. Deardorff is Professor of Economics and Public Policy at the University of Michigan. He received his Ph.D. in economics from Cornell University in 1971 and has been on the faculty at the University of Michigan since 1970. He served as Chair of the Department of Economics from 1991 to 1995. He has also served as a consultant to many government agencies, including the Departments of State, Treasury, and Labor of the United States Government, and he is currently on the editorial boards of the Journal of International Economic Law, The World Economy, and North American Journal of Economics and Finance. He is co‐author, with Robert M. Stern, of The Michigan Model of World Production and Trade and Computational Analysis of Global Trading Arrangements. He has published numerous articles on various aspects of international trade theory and policy. His work on international trade theory has dealt primarily with the theory of comparative advantage and the Heckscher‐Ohlin and other models that explain the patterns and effects of international trade. His work on trade policy has included analyses of anti‐dumping laws, the safeguards clause of the GATT, and arguments for and against extending intellectual property protection to developing countries. In his work with Professor Stern, he has developed a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of production, trade, and employment in 34 major countries of the world. They have used this model for a variety of purposes, including analysis of the Tokyo and Uruguay Rounds of multilateral trade negotiations and possible outcomes of the current Doha Round. He, Professor Stern, and Drusilla K. Brown have also developed a series of four‐ and eight country CGE models that they have used to evaluate the sectoral employment implications of various regional trading arrangements in North America, the Western Hemisphere, Asia, and Europe.

Eugenio A. Diaz­Bonilla is the Executive Director for Argentina and Haiti, Inter‐American Development Bank. He has more than 30 years of professional experience as an economist, working with the public and private sector in different developing countries. He has been consultant and staff member with several international organizations: the World Bank, United Nations Development Program (UNDP), Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), Inter‐ American Institute for Cooperation in Agriculture (IICA), Organization of American States (OAS), and the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). He advised Ministers and senior public officials in different countries in Latin America and the Caribbean on macroeconomic and trade policies, poverty alleviation and food security programs, and project financing. He has just published (co‐edited with Soren Frandsen and Sherman Robinson) the book “WTO Negotiations and Agricultural Trade Liberalization: The effect of Developed Countries’ Policies on Developing Countries” printed by CABI (London).

Distinguished Plenary Speakers

Luis Miguel Galindo has been recently appointed at the Sustainable Development and Human Settlements Division of ECLAC as lead economist for the studies on the economics of climate change in South America. Before 2009, he was professor of economics at CIDE and at the Faculty of Economics at the Universidad Nacional Autónoma (UNAM) of México. Previously, he worked on economic forecasting in some financial consultancy firms and international organizations. He studied economics at the UNAM and obtained his Ph D at the University of Newcastle upon Tyne, UK. He has a long experience on climate change issues, gained as general coordinator of the Mexican study of the economics of climate change, ordered by the Ministries of Treasury and Environment, and working with the Nobel Prize Mario Molina and in some environmental institutions in Mexico. He has published more than 40 articles on monetary and environmental issues in journals such as Manchester School, Trimestre Económico, Journal of Energy Economics, and in books like Galindo, L.M., M. Molina et al. (2002), “Forces driving pollutant emissions in the MCMA” in Air quality in the México Megacity: an integrated assessment, M. Molina y L. Molina (eds.). Recently he has also edited a book, on the econometric models of the Central Banks in Central America. He teaches econometrics and monetary economics at postgraduate level at COLMEX, ITAM, CIDE and UNAM and at some Spanish universities.

Santiago Levy Algazi is a Mexican economist. He became the Vice President for Sector and Knowledge of the Inter‐American Development Bank on March 1, 2008. From August 2007 to February 2008, he served as General Manager and Chief Economist for the IDB Research Department. Previously, he was General Director at the Mexican Social Security Institute (IMSS) from December 2000 to October 2005. Under his tenure, he promoted changes to the Social Security Act to increase transparency and accountability in IMSS finances and create long‐term reserves. From 1994 to 2000, Levy served as the Deputy Minister at the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit of Mexico, becoming the main architect of the renowned social program Progresa‐Oportunidades that benefits the poor. He managed budgetary adjustments during the 1994‐95 economic crises and the 1998 fall in oil prices. Previous positions include President of the Federal Competition Commission and Director of the Economic Deregulation Program at the Ministry of Trade and Industrial Promotion. Levy holds a Ph.D. in economics from Boston University and a Masters in political economy from the same university. He was a post‐doctoral fellow at Cambridge University. Levy has advised several governments and international organizations and has held several teaching positions, including faculty positions at the Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo of Mexico and Boston University, where he was Associate Professor and Director of the Institute for Economic Development. He is the author of at least 75 articles, monographs and book chapters on such diverse subjects as poverty reduction, competitiveness, foreign exchange policy, export imbalances, pricing, microeconomics and energy. His paper Poverty in Mexico won the 1992 National Research Prize in Economics awarded by the Bank of Mexico.

Manuel Marfán has been Board Member of the Central Bank of Chile since December 2003. He graduated in economics from the University of Chile in 1977 and received a Ph.D. from Yale University in 1986 with his thesis on fiscal policy. Before joining the Bank, Mr. Marfán was regional advisor and director of the Economic Development Division of the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, ECLAC from 2000 to 2003. He was Finance Minister (1999‐2000), Finance Under‐Secretary and chairman of the Capital Market Committee (1994‐99). Previously he had been advisor to the Finance Ministry (1993‐94), macroeconomic policies coordinator, and executive secretary of the Ministers’ Economic Committee (1990‐91). During this time he was able to push forward tax reforms, banking and capital market reforms, modernization of the Finance Ministry services and actively participated in the design and coordination of macroeconomic policies in the decade 1990‐2000. Mr. Marfán was a researcher at the Corporation for Latin American Economic Research, CIEPLAN (1977‐78; 1983‐90 and 1992) and for the regional employment program for Latin America and the Caribbean‐ILO (1978‐81). He was also member of the group of external advisors to the President of the IDB (2001) and of the external review group of the IMF’s Fiscal Affairs Department (2000). He co‐ chaired the Hemispheric Committee on international economic and financial affairs, linked to the Free Trade Association of the Americas, FTAA (1995‐99). He has worked as a consultant on macroeconomic and fiscal policies for several countries in Latin America. Mr. Marfán has published articles in periodicals and books in Chile and abroad. He has been professor of macroeconomics and fiscal policy at the Catholic University of Chile, at the Latin American Institute for Economic and Social Development, ILADES‐Georgetown University, the Latin American Institute for Economic and Social Planning, ILPES. He is currently professor of macroeconomics at the University of Chile.

Distinguished Plenary Speakers

John Nash has been a member of the World Bank staff since 1986, working in Latin America and Caribbean agricultural operations (1986‐88); the International Trade Research Group in the Development Economics vice‐ presidency (1988‐1996); and Europe and Central Asia agricultural operations (1996‐December, 2001); and Advisor for Commodities and Trade in the Agriculture and Rural Development Department of the Environmentally and Socially Sustainable Development vice‐presidency (2002‐ Dec. 2006). Since January 2007, he has been Lead Economist of the Sustainable Development Department in the Latin America and Caribbean Regional Operations, dealing with issues of climate change, rural development, environment, social development, energy, infrastructure, urban development and water supply. John was previously with the US Federal Trade Commission (1983‐88), holding positions including Assistant Director for Trade Regulation Rules and economic advisor to the chairman. Prior to that, he was assistant professor of economics at Texas A&M University (1980‐83). John holds an MSc and PhD in economics, from the University of Chicago and a BS in economics from Texas A&M University. He has published on topics such as economic implications of climate change; WTO negotiations and the implications for developing countries; trade policy in Latin America, Africa, South Asia, and transition economies; agricultural policy adjustment; agricultural price policy; commodity price stabilization; and capital mobility.

José Antonio Ocampo is a Professor of Professional Practice in International and Public Affairs and Director of the Program in Economic and Political Development at the School of International and Public Affairs, Columbia University. He will teach courses in the Ph.D. program in Sustainable Development and is a member of Columbia's Committee on Global Thought. Prior to his appointment, Professor Ocampo served in a number of positions in the United Nations and the Government of Colombia, most notably as United Nations Under‐ Secretary General for Economic and Social Affairs; Executive Secretary of the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC); Minister of Finance and Public Credit, Chairman of the Board of Banco del República (Central Bank of Colombia); Director, National Planning Department (Minister of Planning); Minister of Agriculture and Rural Development, Chairman of the Board of Banco Cafetero (Coffee Bank) and Caja de Crèdito Agraria, Industrial y Minera (Agrarian Bank) and Executive Director, FEDESARROLLO. Dr. Ocampo received his B.A. in Economics and Sociology from the University of Notre Dame and his Ph.D. in Economics from Yale University, 1976. He was a Professor in the Advanced Programme on Rethinking Development Economics at Cambridge University, a Professor of Economics at Universidad de los Andes, a Professor of Economic History at the National University of Colombia, as well as a Visiting Fellow at Yale and Oxford. He is the author of numerous books and articles on macroeconomics policy and theory, economic development, international trade and economic history. His recent publications include Stability with Growth: Macroeconomics, Liberalization and Development, with Joseph E. Stiglitz, Shari Spiegel, Ricardo French‐Davis and Deepak Nayyar, (New York: Oxford University Press, 2006).

Conference Facility Map Participants arriving at the conference facility must provide a photo ID at the South Main Access Gate in order to obtain a security badge and the conference proceedings. After receiving these items, participants may enter the conference facility through the North Access for the duration of the event. The address for the conference venue follows:

United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean Avda. Dag Hammarskjöld 3477 Vitacura, Santiago, Chile

Session Overview: Wednesday, June 10 Full session details follow throughout the program.

Times Conference Rooms Raúl Prebisch Celso Furtado ILPES Main ILPES 1 ILPES 2 Executive Fernando Fajnzylber 14:00­15:30 Plenary Session 1 The International Financial Crisis: What about the Inclusive World?

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16:00­18:00 Session 1 Session 2 Session 3 Session 4 Session 5 Session 6 Round Table 1 FDI, Services, Firm Climate Change, International Inequality and Climate Change, Trade Matching CGE Results Heterogeneity and Energy and the Trade Poverty, Brazil Agriculture and Facilitation to Micro‐simulations Vertical Specialization Environment, Liberalization, Poverty European Union Africa Translation provided

Session Overview: Thursday, June 11 Full session details follow throughout the program.

Times Conference Rooms Raúl Prebisch Celso Furtado ILPES Main ILPES 1 ILPES 2 Executive Fernando Fajnzylber 08:30­10:00 Plenary Session 2 Trade and Trade‐offs: Modelers and Policy Makers, Synergies for Fruitful Negotiations

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10:30­12:30 Session 7 Session 8 Session 9 Session 10 Session 11 Session 12 Global Shocks and the The Economics of Health Issues Migration Estimation of Land Use Poor, The Americas Climate Change in Elasticities Latin America and the Caribbean

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14:00­15:30 Session 13 Session 14 Session 15 Session 16 Session 17 Session 18 Round Table 2 Recent Developments Long‐Term Trends Unilateral Trade China Tariff Issues Human Growth, Trade and in CGE Modelling of in Agri‐food Trade Liberalization, Capital, Poverty Reduction: FDI and the Challenges Bilateral FTAs Demographics Opportunities for a for the International and RTAs and and Labor Bright Future in the Trading System Domestic Tax Caribbean Reforms: Translation provided Implications for Welfare and Poverty

16:00­18:00 Session 19 Session 20 Session 21 Session 22 Session 23 Round Table 3 Dynamic Baselines Services Trade Financial Crisis Climate GTAP Data Base Paraguay and Liberalization Change Policy MERCOSUR: Agreements and Asymmetries

Translation provided Session Overview: Friday, June 12 Full session details follow throughout the program.

Times Conference Rooms Raúl Prebisch Celso Furtado ILPES Main ILPES 1 ILPES 2 Executive Fernando Fajnzylber 08:30­10:30 Session 24 Session 25 Session 26 Session 27 Session 28 Round Table 4 Calibration and Climate Change Commodity Biofuels EU Agriculture Capacity‐Building for Development of Price Boom, and Trade Trade Policy Analysis Models Africa and Asia Agreements Translation Provided

11:00­12:30 Session 29 Session 30 Session 31 Session 32 Session 33 Session 34 Customs Evasion and Agriculture, Food NTMs and Economic International Tariff Issues Smuggling Production and Trade Development, Technology Trade Facilitation Africa Spillovers Translation Provided

14:00­16:00 Session 35 Session 36 Session 37 Session 38 Session 39 Round Table 5 Agriculture and Wine Biofuels, Forestry Doha and The Preferential Trade and Poverty in and Poverty Multilateral Environment, Arrangements, Latin America and the Trade Baseline, Long South America, Caribbean: From Agreements Run Scenarios South‐Central Analysis to Policy and Growth Asia Options

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16:30­18:00 Plenary Session 3 From Crisis to Crisis: The Climate Change Challenge

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Wednesday, June 10 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 09:00 Conference Registration South Main Gate

10:00­12:00 Conference Seminar – Translation Services Provided Celso Furtado “GTAP 7 Data Base” Chair: Terrie Walmsley

‐ Incorporating the new OECD PSE classification into the GTAP V7 Data Base by Huang, Hsin

‐ Domestic Support and Agricultural factor shares in GTAP V7 Data Base by Narayanan, Badri

‐ Energy Data in GTAP v7 Data Base by Aguiar, Angel H. and Robert McDougall

‐ Services Trade Data in GTAP V7 Data Base by McDougall, Robert

12:00­13:30 Lunch ECLAC

14:00­15:30 Plenary Session 1 – Translation Services Provided Raúl Prebisch “The International Financial Crisis: What about the Inclusive World?” Chair: Thomas Hertel

‐ The economic crisis as a source of opportunities by Bárcena, Alicia

‐ Impacts of the International financial crisis in Latin America and the Caribbean by Levy Algazi, Santiago

‐ The international financial system: Proposal for a reform by Ocampo, Jose Antonio

15:30­16:00 Coffee Break ECLAC

Wednesday, June 10 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 16:00­18:00 Session 1 Raúl Prebisch “FDI, Services, Firm Heterogeneity and Vertical Specialization” Chai r: Pavel Ciaian

‐ Vertical Specialization in World Trade: An Analysis Using the GTAP 7 Database by Ludena, Carlos, José Elías Durán Lima and Andrea Pellandra

‐ Determinants of Competition in a Context of Services Trade Liberalization: Analysis of Market Power of Firms in African Telecommunications Industry by Calvin, Djiofack Zebaze

‐ Comparative Advantages, Transaction Costs and Factor Content of Agricultural Trade by Kancs, d'Artis, Pavel Ciaian and Jan Pokrivcak

16:00­18:00 Session 2 Celso Furtado “Climate Change, Energy and the Environment, European Union” Chair: Peter Dixon

‐ Russia and the World Energy Markets: Long‐term Scenarios by Paltsev, Sergey, John Reilly and Natalia Tourdyeva

‐ Economic Impact of Large‐Scale Deployment of Biomass Resources in the Netherlands by Banse, Martin, Andre Faaij, Ric Hoefnagels and Veronika Dornburg

‐ The Costs of the EU Energy Package for Finland‐ a CGE Assessment for Finland by Honkatukia, Juha

‐ The Impacts of the Trade and Factor Market Liberalization on the Carbon Abatement Policies in the Enlargement of European Union by Aydin, Levent

Wednesday, June 10 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 16:00­18:00 Session 3 ILPES Main “International Trade Liberalization, Africa” Chair: Will Masters

‐ Beyond Political Rhetoric – the Meaning of the Grand Eastern and Southern Africa FTA by Karingi, Stephen and Belay Fekadu

‐ SADC Integration and the EU’s Economic Partnership Agreements by McDonald, Scott

‐ Family Planning, Human Development and Growth in Uganda by Kinnunen, Jouko, Hans Lofgren and Dino Merotto

16:00­18:00 Session 4 ILPES 1 “Inequality and Poverty, Brazil” Chair: Charles Braymen

‐ Patterns and determinants of wage inequality in the Brazilian territory by Gori Maia, Alexandre and Herve Thery

‐ The Impacts of Income Transfer Programs on Income Distribution and Poverty in Brazil: An Integrated Microsimulation and Computable General Equilibrium Analysis by Cury, Samir, Allexandro Mori Coelho and Euclides Pedrozo

‐ Economic Loss to the Brazilian Regions Due to the Doha Round Failure by Pereira, Matheus Wemerson G., Erly Teixeira and Angelo Gurgel

‐ Regional inequality and growth: the role of interregional trade in the Brazilian economy by Magalhaes, Aline Souza and Edson Domingues

Wednesday, June 10 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 16:00­18:00 Session 5 ILPES 2 “Climate Change, Agriculture and Poverty” Chai r: Ronald Sands

‐ Agricultural Impact of Climate Change: A General Equilibrium Analysis with Special Reference to Southeast Asia by Zhai, Fan and Juzhong Zhuang

‐ Climate Volatility and Poverty Vulnerability in Tanzania by Ahmed, Syud Amer, Noah Diffenbaugh, Thomas Hertel, Navin Ramankutty, Ana R. Rios and Pedram Rowhani

‐ Economy‐Wide Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture in Sub‐Saharan Africa by Calzadilla, Alvaro, Tingju Zhu, Katrin Rehdanz, Richard Tol and Claudia Ringler

16:00­18:00 Session 6 Executive “Trade Facilitation” Chai r: Ken Kawasaki

‐ Assessing Socioeconomic Impacts of Transport Infrastructure Projects in the Greater Mekong Subre by Stone, Susan, Anna Strutt and Thomas Hertel

‐ General equilibrium impact evaluation of road sector investment programs in Ghana by Jensen, Henning Tarp

‐ A Cost‐Benefit Analysis of Trade Facilitation using an Applied General Equilibrium Model by Mirza, Tasneem

‐ Rethinking the Effect of Cutting Red Tape in Egypt: A Dynamic CGE Analysis by Zaki, Chahir

Wednesday, June 10 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 16:00­18:00 Round Table Discussion Session 1 – Translation Services Provided Fernando “Matching CGE Results to Micro­simulations” Fajnzylber Chai r: Renato G. Flores

‐ Matching CGE‐microsimulation with inadequate data bases. The case of Latin America by Beccaria, Luis

‐ Remarks on problems and potential biases in integrating CGE and microsimulation models by Ferreira­Filho, Joaquim Bento

‐ How methodological and conceptual issues matter the measurement of poverty? by Watanuki, Masakazu

18:00 Conference Cocktail ECLAC

Thursday, June 11 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 08:30 Conference Registration South Main Gate

08:30­10:00 Plenary Session 2 – Translation Services Provided Raúl Prebisch “Trade and Trade­offs: Modelers and Policy Makers, Synergies for Fruitful Negotiations” Chai r: Osvaldo Rosales

‐ Dangers and Opport unities for Developing Countries in the Current World Trading System by Deardorff, Alan

‐ Lost in Translation: Conversations between CGE Modelers, Policy Makers and Civil Society by Diaz­Bonilla, Eugenio

10:00­10:30 Coffee Break ECLAC

10:30­12:30 Session 7 Raúl Prebisch “Global Shocks and the Poor, The Americas” Chair: Joaquim Bento Ferreira‐Filho

‐ Is the Threat of Food Crisis Over?: Implications of Rising Food Prices on Central America by Watanuki, Masakazu and Paolo Giordano

‐ International Commodity Prices, Trade and Poverty in Uruguay by Estrades, Carmen and Maria Ines Terra

‐ Impact of the global crisis on the achievement of the MDGs in Latin America by Sanchez Cantillo, Marco V and Rob Vos

Thursday, June 11 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 10:30­12:30 Session 8 – Organized Session – Translation Services Provided Celso Furtado “The Economics of Climate Change in Latin America and the Caribbean” Organizer/Chair: Carlos De Miguel

‐ Climate Change and Energy Use in Long‐Run Growth in Brazil by Azzoni, Carlos, Eduardo Haddad and Fabio Kanczuk

‐ Climate Change and Reduction of CO2 Emissions: the role of Developing Countries in Carbon Trade Markets by Ludena, Carlos, Carlos De Miguel and Andres Schuschny

‐ Climate Change in Latin America: Impacts and Mitigation Policy Options by Medvedev, Denis and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe

‐ Energy shocks, fiscal policy and CO2 emissions in Chile by De Miguel, Carlos, Raul O'Ryan, Mauricio Pereira and Bruno Carriquiri

10:30­12:30 Session 9 ILPES Main “Health Issues” Chai r: Janine Pelikan

‐ An Economy‐wide Analysis of Impacts of Avian Flu Pandemic on Taiwan by Hsu, Shih­Hsun, Hsing‐Chun Lin, Ching‐Cheng Chang and Lee Duu Hwa

‐ Global CGE modelling of antibiotic resistance: An application of the GLOBE model by Keogh­Brown, Marcus, Scott McDonald, Richard Smith, Melisa Martinez‐Alvarez and Jo Coast

Thursday, June 11 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 10:30­12:30 Session 10 ILPES 1 “Migration” Chai r: Edgar Gomez Leiva

‐ The Economic Consequences of U.S. Border Closure in Response to a Security Threat: A Dynamic CGE Assessment by Dixon, Peter, James Giesecke, Maureen Rimmer and Adam Rose

‐ Measuring the impact of international migration and remittances for Latin America by Guzman, Julio

‐ Economic Analysis of U.S. Immigration Reforms by Aguiar, Angel H. and Terrie Walmsley

‐ Turkey and the EU: Economic Integration and Labour Migration by McDonald, Scott, Yontem Sonmez and Karen Thierfelder

10:30­12:30 Session 11 ILPES 2 “Estimation of Elasticities” Chair: Edson Domingues

‐ Armington elasticities. Estimates for Uruguayan manufacturing sectors by Flores, Manuel and Adriana Cassoni

‐ A Maximum Entropy Estimation of Armington Elasticities for Mexico by Núñez, Gaspar

‐ Methodological shortcomings in estimating Armington elasticities by Cassoni, Adriana and Manuel Flores

‐ Examining GTAP Parameters Using Bayesian Approach by Lugovoy, Oleg

Thursday, June 11 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 10:30­12:30 Session 12 Fernando “Land Use” Fajnzylber Chai r: Qianlai Zhuang

‐ The Relative Role of Land in Climate Policy by Golub, Alla, Thomas Hertel, Steven Rose, Brent Sohngen and Misak Avetisyan

‐ Survey of Land Representation in Economic and Biophysical Models by Sands, Ronald, Michael Brady and Man‐Keun Kim

‐ Global cropland conversion in a spatially‐explicit scenario on available land in an integrated modelling framework by Krause, Michael, Hermann Lotze‐Campen and Alexander Popp

‐ Modeling Recreational Demand for Land by Antoine, Blandine, Angelo Gurgel and John Reilly

12:30­14:00 Lunch ECLAC

14:00­15:30 Session 13 – Organized Session Raúl Prebisch “Recent Developments in CGE Modelling of FDI” Organizer/Chair: Gaspar Frontini

‐ Does Foreign Investment Shape Trade Policies? A CGE Assessment of the Doha Stalemate by Laborde, David and Csilla Lakatos

‐ Modeling cross‐border investment in CGE: some alternatives and mechanisms by Lakatos, Csilla and Terrie Walmsley

‐ The impact of globalization on FDI ‐ an empirical assessment for Central Eastern European Countries by Vechiu, Natalia and Oscar Kuikeu

Thursday, June 11 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 14:00­15:30 Session 14 – Organized Session – Translation Services Provided Celso Furtado “Long­Term Trends in Agri­food Trade and the Challenges for the International Trading System” Organizer: Alexander Sarris Chai r: Betina Dimaranan

‐ Climate Change and the Future of Global Agriculture by Medvedev, Denis, Dominique van der Mensbrugghe and John Beghin

‐ Evolving Structure of World Agricultural Trade and Requirements for New World Trade Rules by Sarris, Alexander

‐ The Political Economy of Agricultural Policy: Global Trends and Future Prospects by Masters, Will and Andres F. Garcia

14:00­15:30 Session 15 – Organized Session ILPES Main “Unilateral Trade Liberalization, Bilateral FTAs and RTAs and Domestic Tax Reforms: Implications for Welfare and Poverty” Organizer: Selim Raihan Chair: Julio Guzman

‐ Assessing the impact of the 2007 Tax Reform on poverty and inequality in Uruguay by Llambí, Cecilia, Silvia Laens and Marcelo Perera

‐ EU‐India FTA: Potential Implications for Low Income Economies by Raihan, Selim

‐ Trade policy, fiscal constraint and the long term impact of government expenditures by Decaluwe, Bernard and Helene Maisonnave

Thursday, June 11 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 14:00­15:30 Session 16 ILPES 1 “China” Chair: Shih‐Hsun Hsu

‐ A multi‐regional representation of China’s agricultural sectors in SinoTERM by Wittwer, Glyn and Mark Horridge

‐ Estimating rural labour surplus in China ‐A dynamic general equilibrium analysis by Yinhua, Mai and Xiujian Peng

‐ EU‐China: Win‐Win Trade Liberalization and Stimulus Scenarios by Evans, H. David and Willem van der Geest

14:00­15:30 Session 17 ILPES 2 “Tariff Issues” Chair: Angus Charteris

‐ The Art of Exceptions: Sensitive Products in the Doha Negotiations by Gouel, Christophe and Maria Priscila Ramos

‐ The Joint Impact of Specific Tariffs and Preferential Trade Agreements: Do Low Income Countries gain or lose? by Chowdhury, Sohini

‐ Correlated Order Three Gaussian Quadratures in Stochastic Simulation Modelling by Artavia, Marco, Harald Grethe, Thordis Möller and Georg Zimmermann

14:00­15:30 Session 18 Executive “Human Capital, Demographics and Labor” Chair: Andre Hofman

‐ Modelling Human Capital in WorldScan by Rojas­Romagosa, Hugo and Nico van Leeuwen

‐ Anticipating the Regional Effects of an Ageing Population: A Dynamic CGE Analysis for Finland by Honkatukia, Juha, Jouko Kinnunen and Kimmo Marttila

‐ The impact of NAFTA on population subgroups in U.S. labor markets: an economywide analysis by Rivera, Sandra A. and Ashley Winston Thursday, June 11 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 14:00­15:30 Round Table Discussion Session 2 Fernando “Growth, Trade and Poverty Reduction: Opportunities for a Bright Future Fajnzylber in the Caribbean” Chair: Maurizio Bussolo

‐ Trade Reform in the Caribbean: Challenges and Policy Responses in the context of Global Integration by Pinto Moreira, Emmanuel

‐ Joint DR‐Haiti Opportunities for Growth and Poverty Reduction by Bussolo, Maurizio

‐ Inequality of Opportunity: W hat It Is, How It Can Be Measured, and Why It Matters by Diaz­Bonilla, Carolina

15:30­16:00 Coffee Break ECLAC

16:00­18:00 Session 19 – Organized Session Raúl Prebisch “Dynamic Baselines” Organizer/Chair: Lionel Fontagne Disc ussant: Peter Dixon

‐ A Baseline for the GDyn Model by Walmsley, Terrie and Anna Strutt

‐ A Dynamic Baseline In the USITC USAGE Model ‐ Insights and Issues by Koopman, Bob and Ashley Winston

‐ Back to the Future: Dynamic Baselines in CGE Modeling by van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique

Thursday, June 11 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 16:00­18:00 Session 20 – Organized Session Celso Furtado “Services Trade Liberalization” Organizers: Marinos Tsigas and Tani Fukui Chair : Marinos Tsigas Discussants: Charles Braymen and Patrick Jomini

‐ Commitment to Reform and the Success of Service Trade Liberalization by Konan, Denise Eby and Ari Van Assche

‐ Modal Estimates of Services Barriers by Dihel, Nora and Ben Shepherd

‐ U.S. labor employment effects of liberalization in foreign insurance markets by Fukui, Tani and Marinos Tsigas

‐ Entry barriers and the extensive margin: Estimating trade restrictiveness from trade flows and lack thereof by Nordas, Hildegunn, Sebastien Miroudot and Rainer Lanz

16:00­18:00 Session 21 ILPES Main “Financ ial Crisis” Chair: Alberto Valdes

‐ The Global Financial Crisis, LDC Exports and Welfare: Analysis with a World Trade Model by Willenbockel, Dirk and Sherman Robinson

‐ Decoupling and Stagflation. A Global Perspective for the U.S. Slowdown by Medina, Juan Pablo and Pablo S. Garcia

‐ The effects of a credit crisis: simulations with the USAGE model by Rimmer, Maureen, Peter Dixon, Martin Johnson and Chris Rasmussen

‐ Should the Financial Sphere be Included in Empirical Macro‐CGE Models? The Case of Economic Liberalization in Argentina by Debowicz, Dario

Thursday, June 11 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 16:00­18:00 Session 22 ILPES 1 “Climate Change Policy” Chair: Syud Amer Ahmed

‐ Capital Malleability and the Macroeconomic Costs of Climate Policy by Lanzi, Elisa and Sue Wing Ian

‐ Evaluation of CO2 emissions based on the consumption‐based measurement under the CO2 reduction scenarios by Homma, Takashi

‐ Economic Effects of the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme on the Australian Tourism Industry: A Dynamic CGE Analysis by Hoque, Serajul

16:00­18:00 Session 23 ILPES 2 “GTAP Data Base” Chair: John Beghin

‐ Comparison of Different Updating Procedures and Identification of Temporal Patterns by Manrique, Casiano and Dolores Santos

‐ The impact of modulation; modeling first and second pillar CAP policies by van Meijl, Hans, Torbjörn Jansson, Martin Banse and Geert Woltjer

16:00­18:00 Round Table Discussion Session 3 – Translation Services Provided Fernando “Paraguay and MERCOSUR: Agreements and Asymmetries” Fajnzylber Chair: José Durán Lima Discussants: Manuel Caballero and Fernando Masi

‐ CGE Tools for Policy Makers: The Experience of Paraguay by Ruiz Diaz López, Francisco Carlos

‐ The Common External Tariff of MERCOSUR. Is it a tool for stimulating the competitiveness of its members? by Gómez Leiva, Edgar and Francisco Carlos Ruiz Diaz López

‐ MERCOSUR’s External Agenda: It is adjusted to the needs of Paraguay? ‐ A general equilibrium approach by Santander, Horacio

18:30 Conference Dinner ­ Transportation provided Camino Real / La Speaker: Manuel Marfan, Central Bank of Chile Enoteca Friday, June 12 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 08:30­10:30 Session 24 Raúl Prebisch “Calibration and Development of Models” Chai r: Jayatilleke Bandara

‐ Combined Minimum Relative Entropy and Maximum Likelihood estimation of dynamic economic models by Tourinho, Octavio

‐ The Armington‐Heckscher‐Ohlin model ‐ an intuitive exposition by Jomini, Patrick, Xiao‐guang Zhang and Michelle Osborne

08:30­10:30 Session 25 Celso Furtado “Climate Change” Chair: Andres Schuschny

‐ Tax Policy and Carbon Emissions in South Africa by Devarajan, Shantayanan, Delfin S. Go, Sherman Robinson and Karen Thierfelder

‐ The Economics of Adaptation to Climate Change ‐ A Bottom‐Up and Top‐ Down Integrated Assessment Framework by Cretegny, Laurent

‐ Development Strategy in the Context of Climate Change: The Case of Ethiopia by Arndt, Channing, Sherman Robinson and Dirk Willenbockel

08:30­10:30 Session 26 ILPES Main “Commodity Price Boom, Africa and Asia” Chai r: Antoine Bouët

‐ Impacts and Policy Responses to a commodity price boom. The case of Malawi by Ferrari, Emanuele, Piero Conforti and Alexander Sarris

‐ Higher Food and Fuel Prices: Impacts and Responses for Mozambique by Benfica, Rui, Channing Arndt, Nelson Maximiano, Antonio Nucifora and James Thurlow

‐ Can regional trade integration help mitigate food price volatility in South Asia? by Antoine Bouët and Erwin Corong

Thursday, June 11 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 08:30­10:30 Session 27 ILPES 1 “Biofuels” Chair: Angelo Gurgel

‐ The Geography of Bilateral Trade and the Indirect Land Use Effects of Biofuel Policy by Villoria, Nelson and Thomas Hertel

‐ Biofuels in the world markets: CGE assessment of environmental costs related to land use changes by Valin, Hugo, Betina Dimaranan and Antoine Bouët

‐ A Quantitative Assessment of the Determinants of the Net Energy Value for Various Biofuels by Bureau, Christophe, Anne‐Célia Disdier, Christine Gauroy and David Treguer

‐ Estimating Changes of Global Vegetation and Soil Carbon Storage due to Biofuel Production by Zhuang, Qianlai, Farzad Taheripour, Wally Tyner and Thomas Hertel

08:30­10:30 Session 28 ILPES 2 “EU Agriculture and Trade Agreements” Chair: Kristie Briggs

‐ Income Distribution Effects of EU Rural Development Policies: The Case of Farm Investment Support by Ciaian, Pavel and Tomáš Ratinger

‐ The long run‐effects of Poland’s accession to the eurozone. Simulation using POLDYN ‐ a dynamic computable general equilibrium model by Tomasz, Daras and Jan Hagemejer

‐ Central American ‐ European Union Association Agreement: Assessment using General and Partial Equilibrium by Durán Lima, José Elías, Carlos Ludena, Mariano Alvarez and Carlos De Miguel

Thursday, June 11 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 08:30­10:30 Round Table Discussion Session 4 – Translation Services Provided Fernando “Capacity­Building for Trade Policy Analysis” Fajnzylber Chair : Thomas Hertel

‐ Capacity‐Building for Trade Policy Analysis ‐ The ARTNeT approach by Mikic, Mia

‐ Capacity‐Building and the Promotion of Developing Country Researchers at PEP: The Current Situation and Thoughts for Future Efforts by Decaluwe, Bernard

‐ Courses and Capacity‐Building at GTAP: The Current Situation and Thoughts for Future Efforts by Walmsley, Terrie

10:30­11:00 Coffee Break ECLAC

11:00­12:30 Session 29 Raúl Prebisch “Customs Evasion and Smuggling” Chair: Masakazu Watanuki

‐ Determinants and pervasiveness of the evasion of custom duties by Jean, Sébastien and Maria Cristina Mitaritonna

‐ Gotcha! A Profile of Smuggling in International Trade by Berger, Helge and Volker Nitsch

11:00­12:30 Session 30 Celso Furtado “Agriculture, Food Production and Trade” Chair: Susan Stone

‐ Agricultural and trade policy reforms in Latin America: impacts on markets and welfare by Valenzuela, Ernesto and Kym Anderson

‐ Non‐Tariff Measures in Agri‐Food Trade: What Does the Data Tell Us? Evidence from a Cluster Analysis on OECD Imports by Disdier, Anne­Célia and Frank van Tongeren

‐ Modelling Value‐Added Tax in The Presence of Multiproduction and Differentiated Exemptions by Giesecke, James and Nhi Tran Thursday, June 11 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 11:00­12:30 Session 31 – Organized Session ILPES Main “NTMs and Trade Facilitation” Organizer: Michael Ferrantino Ch air : Philip Adams

‐ An Analysis of BSE Restrictions on Beef Imports From The United States And Canada by Tsigas, Marinos, John Giamalva, Nicholas Grossman and Joseph Kowalski

‐ An Empirical Assessment of Phytosanitary Regulations on US Fresh Fruit and Vegetable Imports by Karov, Vuko, Donna Roberts, Jason Grant and Everett Peterson

‐ Land Transport for Exports: The Effects of Cost, Time, and Uncertainty in Sub‐Saharan Africa by Christ, Nannette and Michael Ferrantino

11:00­12:30 Session 32 ILPES 1 “Economic Development, Africa” Chair: Badri Narayanan

‐ The Impact of Developed Countries' Cotton Subsidies on the Malian Economy: a CGE assessment by Traore, Fousseini

‐ Managing future oil revenues in Ghana: to spend or not to spend? by Breisinger, Clemens, Xinshen Diao, Rainer Schweickert and Manfred Wiebelt

11:00­12:30 Session 33 ILPES 2 “International Technology Spillovers” Chair: Federico Garcia

‐ ICT in CGE models – Modifying the Typical CGE Theoretical Structure by Szewczyk, Wojtek

‐ International Technology Spillovers. An intertemporal and spatial analysis with the ICES model by De Cian, Enrica and Ramiro Parrado

Thursday, June 11 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 11:00­12:30 Session 34 – Translation Services Provided Fernando “Tariff Issues” Fajnzylber Ch air : Erwin Corong

‐ Measuring the Benefits of Global Liberalization with a Consistent Tariff Aggregator by Laborde, David, Will Martin and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe

‐ Does intra‐sector tariff heterogeneity matter? by Corong, Erwin, Betina Dimaranan and David Laborde

12:30­14:00 Lunch ECLAC

14:00­16:00 Session 35 Raúl Prebisch “Agriculture and Wine” Chair: Sandra Rivera

‐ Heterogeneous Plants and Trade‐induced Resource Reallocation: The case of the Chilean food processing industry by Braymen, Charles

‐ Rice Production in Uruguay: Technical Change Options under a General Equilibrium Framework by Garcia, Federico, Bruno Lanfranco and Guy G. Hareau

14:00­16:00 Session 36 Celso Furtado “Biofuel s, Forestry and Poverty” Ch air : Audrey Lee

‐ Analyzing the Global Poverty Impacts of Biofuel Mandates by Hertel, Thomas

‐ Bioenergy development and Food Security: A Global CGE application to Peru and Tanzania by Elbehri, Aziz, Robert McDougall, Mark Horridge and Piero Conforti

‐ The World Increase in Ethanol Demand and Poverty in Brazil by Ferreira­Filho, Joaquim Bento and Mark Horridge

‐ Modeling Forest Sector Illegality in a Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Framework: The Case of Forest Concessions in Brazil by Banerjee, Onil and Janaki Alavalapati Thursday, June 11 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 14:00­16:00 Session 37 ILPES Main “Doha and Multilateral Trade Agreements” Ch air : Humberto Soto

‐ The Potential Cost of a Failed Doha Round by Bouët, Antoine and David Laborde

‐ Does Multilateral Trade Liberalization Matter for Poverty Reduction in Africa by Chemingui, Mohamed Abdelbasset and Mohamed Hedi Bchir

‐ Taking Stock of the Doha Round Progress vis‐à‐vis Developing country's Ambitions by Ben Hammouda, Hakim, Stephen Karingi, Nassim Oulmane and Mustapha Sadni Jallab

14:00­16:00 Session 38 ILPES 1 “The Env ironment, Baseline, Long­Run Scenarios and Growth” Chair: Anna Strutt

‐ Why Previous Estimates of the Cost of Climate Mitigation Might Be Too Low by Beckman, Jayson and Thomas Hertel

‐ Dynamic (GTAP) model and baseline for energy and environment issues by Niemi, Janne

‐ Border tax adjustments and the EU‐ETS ‐ A quantitative assessment by Manders, Ton and Paul J. J. Veenendaal

‐ The Impact of Trade and Economic Growth on the Environment: Revisiting the Cross‐Country Evidence by Ramcke, Linda and Awudu Abdulai

14:00­16:00 Session 39 ILPES 2 “Preferential Arrangements, South America, South­Central Asia” Chair: Mikio Kuwayama

‐ MERCOSUR: treatment of asymmetries and economic growth by Terra, Maria Ines

‐ Sri Lanka's Free Trade Agreements with its South Asian Neighbours: Economic Versus Strategic/Political Considerations by Bandara, Jayatilleke and Wusheng Yu

Thursday, June 11 Presenters should arrive 10 minutes early to their session with their presentation on a USB drive. Presenters are denoted in bold.

Time Event Location 14:00­16:00 Round Table Discussion Session 5 – Translation Services Provided Fernando “Trade and Poverty in Latin America and the Caribbean: From Analysis to Fajnzylber Policy Options” Chair : Ekaterina Krivonos

‐ Poverty, trade policy and complementary policies: the Bolivian case by Tellería, Roberto

‐ Trade and poverty in Latin America, the evidence by Guzmán, Julio

‐ General Equilibrium approach and trade and poverty linkages by Bianchi, Eduardo

‐ Agricultural Incentives, Growth and Poverty in Latin America and the Caribbean by Valdes, Alberto

‐ The ECLAC‐AECID project on trade and poverty: Status and expected results by La Fleur, Marcelo

16:00­16:30 Coffee Break ECLAC

16:30­18:00 Plenary Session 3 – Translation Services Provided Raúl Prebisch “From Crisis to Crisis: The Climate Change Challenge” Chai r: Joseluis Samaniego

‐ Low carbon, h igh gr owth: Latin American responses to climate change by Nash, John

‐ The economics of climate change in Mexico by Galindo, Luis Miguel

Conference Participants Contact information for participants may be accessed on the GTAP website.

Participant Organization Country Adams, Philip Monash University Australia Aguiar, Angel Purdue University United States Ahmed, Syud Amer The World Bank United States Alexander, Meghan Purdue University United States Alonso, Pablo Central Bank of Chile Chile Alvarez, Mariano ECLAC Chile Arévalo, Nathalia Ministerio de Hacienda Paraguay Artavia, Marco Humboldt University Berlin Germany Aydin, Levent General Directorate of Petroleum Affairs Turkey Bamio, Eva Liliana CERDI ‐ Université d'Auvergne Argentina Bandara, Jayatilleke Griffith University Australia Banerjee, Onil Mato Grosso Secretariat for the Environment/Tecnomapas Brazil Banse, Martin LEI Agricultural Economics Research Institute The Netherlands Barcena, Alicia ECLAC Chile Batta, Ginger Purdue University United States Beccaria, Luis ECLAC Chile Beckman, Jayson USDA/ERS United States Beghin, John Iowa State University United States Benfica, Rui The World Bank United States Bianchi, Eduardo LATN Argentina Bouët, Antoine International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) United States Braymen, Charles Kansas State University United States Briggs, Kristie Creighton University United States Bussolo, Maurizio The World Bank United States Caballero Gímenez, Manuel Vidal Ministry of Finance Paraguay Calvin, Djiofack Zebaze CERDI Cameroon Calvin, Katherine Joint Global Change Research Institute/PNNL United States Calzadilla, Alvaro Hamburg University Germany Cassoni, Adriana GEOPS Uruguay Cernat, Lucian DG Trade, European Commission Belgium Charteris, Angus New Zealand Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade New Zealand Chemingui, Mohamed Abdelbasset United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA) Ethiopia Chowdhury, Sohini Purdue University United States Ciaian, Pavel IPTS ‐ JRC European Commission Spain Corong, Erwin IFPRI United States Cretegny, Laurent Institute for Economic Modelling Switzerland Cuevas, José Ministerio de Hacienda Paraguay de Miguel, Carlos ECLAC Chile Deardorff, Alan University of Michigan United States Debowicz, Dario IDS United Kingdom Decaluwe, Bernard Université Laval Canada Decreux, Yvan CEPII France Diaz‐Bonilla, Carolina The World Bank United States Diaz‐Bonilla, Eugenio IDB United States Dihel, Nora The World Bank United States Dimaranan, Betina IFPRI ‐ MTID United States Disdier, Anne‐Célia INRA France Diukanova, Olga FEEM Ukraine Dixon, Peter Monash University Australia Domingues, Edson CEDEPLAR Brazil Conference Participants Contact information for participants may be accessed on the GTAP website.

Participant Organization Country Duran, Jose ECLAC Chile Elbehri, Aziz Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Italy Ertekin, Murat Undersecretariat For Foreign Trade Turkey Estrades, Carmen Department of Economics, UdelaR Uruguay Evans, H. David Sussex European Institute (SEI) United Kingdom Ferrantino, Michael US International Trade Commission (USITC) United States Ferrari, Emanuele FAO Italy Ferreira‐Filho, Joaquim Bento Escola Superior de Agricultura Luiz de Queiroz Brazil Flores, Manuel Universidad de la Republica Uruguay Flôres, Renato EPGE/FGV Brazil Fontagné, Lionel Paris School of Economics, Université Paris 1 / CEPII France Frontini, Gaspar European Commission Belgium Fukui, Tani USITC United States Galindo, Luis Miguel ECLAC Chile Garbaccio, Richard US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) United States Garcia, Alvaro Central Bank of Chile Chile Garcia, Benjamin Central Bank of Chile Chile Garcia, Federico Facultad de Agronomia‐UdelaR Uruguay Garcia, Pablo Central Bank of Chile Chile Giesecke, James Centre of Policy Studies Australia Giordano, Paolo Inter‐American Development Bank (IDB) United States GÖKTEN, Selin Undersecretariat of the Prime Ministry for Foreign Trade Turkey Golub, Alla Purdue University United States Gómez Leiva, Edgar Ministerio de Hacienda Paraguay Gori Maia, Alexandre University of Campinas Brazil Gurgel, Angelo FEA‐RP/Universidade de Sao Paulo Brazil Guzman, Hugo ECLAC Chile Guzman, Julio Interamerican Development Bank United States Haddad, Eduardo University of Sao Paulo Brazil Hagemejer, Jan National Bank of Poland and Warsaw University Poland Hertel, Thomas Purdue University United States Hertel‐Fernandez, Alexander Economic Policy Institute United States Hofman, Andre ECLAC Chile Homma, Takashi Research Institute of Innovative Technology for the Earth Japan Honkatukia, Juha Government Institute for Economic Research, VATT Finland Hoque, Serajul Monash University Australia Horridge, Mark Monash University Australia Hsu, Shih‐Hsun National Taiwan University Taiwan (ROC) Huang, Hsin OECD France Jean, Sébastien CEPII / INRA France Jensen, Hans Grinsted Institute of Food and Resource Economics (FOI) Denmark Jensen, Henning Tarp University of Copenhagen Denmark Jomini, Patrick Productivity Commission Australia Karingi, Stephen United Nations Economic Commission for Africa (UNECA) Ethiopia Karov, Vuko Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University United States Kawasaki, Ken Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI) Japan Keogh‐Brown, Marcus London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine United Kingdom Kinnunen, Jouko Government Institute for Economic Research/World Bank Finland Konan, Denise Eby University of Hawaii at Manoa United States Koopman, Bob US International Trade Commission (USITC) United States Conference Participants Contact information for participants may be accessed on the GTAP website.

Participant Organization Country Krause, Michael Potsdam‐Institute for Climate Impact Research Germany Krivonos, Ekaterina ECLAC Chile Kuwayama, Mikio ECLAC Chile Laborde, David IFPRI United States Lafleur, Marcelo ECLAC Chile Lakatos, Csilla Purdue University United States Lanzi, Elisa Fondazione ENI Enrico Mattei Italy Lee, Audrey US Department of Energy (DOE) United States Levy Algazi, Santiago IDB United States Llambí, Cecilia CINVE Uruguay Lucas, Paul Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL) The Netherlands Ludena, Carlos Inter‐American Development Bank, Research Department United States Lugovoy, Oleg Environmental Defense Fund United States Manders, Ton Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency The Netherlands Manrique, Casiano Fundación Universitaria de Las Palmas Spain Marfan, Manuel Central Bank of Chile Chile Martin, Will The World Bank United States Marttila, Kimmo Government Institute of Economic Research (VATT) Finland Masi, Fernando CADEP Paraguay Masters, Will Purdue University United States Matsson, Nanna Delegation of the European Commission to Chile Chile McDonald, Scott Oxford Brookes University United Kingdom McDougall, Robert Purdue University United States Medina, Juan Pablo Central Bank of Chile Chile Medvedev, Denis The World Bank United States Mikic, Mia UN Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific Thailand Mimouni, Mondher International Trade Centre Switzerland Mirza, Tasneem Purdue University United States Moeller, Thordis Humboldt University Berlin Germany Mori Coelho, Allexandro FECAP, UNICSUL and Fac. Oswaldo Cruz Brazil Narayanan, Badri Purdue University United States Nash, John The World Bank United States Niemi, Janne Government Institute for Economic Research, VATT Finland Nitsch, Volker TU Darmstadt Germany Nordas, Hildegunn OECD France Núñez, Gaspar Center for Investigations in Socio‐Economics (CISE) Mexico Ocampo, Jose Antonio Columbia University United States O'Ryan, Raul Universidad de Chile Chile Osborne, Stefan Department of Commerce United States Paltsev, Sergey MIT Joint Program on the Science & Policy of Global Change United States Pambudi, Djauhari STCRC Centre for Tourism Economics and Policy Research Australia Parrado, Ramiro Ca' Foscari University of Venice / FEEM Italy Pelikan, Janine Johann Heinrich von Thünen Institute (vTI) Germany Pellandra, Andrea ECLAC Chile Peng, Xiujian Centre of Policy Studies, Monash University Australia Pereira, Mauricio Universidad de Chile Chile Peterson, Everett Virginia Tech United States Piermartini, Roberta World Trade Organization (WTO) Switzerland Pincheira, Pablo Central Bank of Chile Chile Pinto Moreira, Emmanuel World Bank United States Conference Participants Contact information for participants may be accessed on the GTAP website.

Participant Organization Country Pokrivcak, Jan SPU Nitra Slovakia Raihan, Selim Department of Economics, University of Dhaka, Bangladesh Bangladesh Ramcke, Linda University of Kiel Germany Ramos, Maria Priscila INRA/INAPG and CEPII France Rimmer, Maureen Centre of Policy Studies Australia Riquelme, Victor Central Bank of Chile Chile Rivera, Sandra A. US International Trade Commission (USITC) United States Robinson, Sherman Department of Economics, University of Sussex United Kingdom Rojas‐Romagosa, Hugo Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB) The Netherlands Rosales, Osvaldo ECLAC Chile Ruiz Diaz López, Francisco Carlos Ministry of Finance Paraguay Sadni Jallab, Mustapha WTO Geneva Switzerland Samaniego, Joseluis ECLAC Chile Sanchez Cantillo, Marco V UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs United States Sands, Ronald USDA / Economic Research Service United States Santander, Horacio Ministerio de Hacienda Paraguay Sarris, Alexander Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Italy Schuschny, Andres ECLAC Chile Schweickert, Rainer Kiel Institute for the World Economy Germany Sevgi, Seda Undersecretariat of Foreign Trade in Turkey Turkey Sonmez, Yontem University of Central Lancashire United Kingdom Soto, Humberto ECLAC Chile Spinanger, Dean Kiel Institute for the World Economy Germany Stone, Susan Asian Development Bank Institute Japan Strutt, Anna University of Waikato New Zealand Szewczyk, Wojtek Macquarie University Australia Teixeira, Erly Universidade Federal de Viçosa Brazil Telleria, Roberto Grupo Nacional de Trabajo Participativo ‐ GNTP Bolivia Terra, Maria Ines Departement d'Economie ‐ F.C. Sociales Uruguay Thielen, Gerardo WTO Switzerland Thierfelder, Karen USNA‐ECONOMICS DEPT United States Tourinho, Octavio PPGCE/UERJ ‐ Universidade do Estado Rio de Janeiro Brazil Tran, Nhi Monash University Australia Traore, Fousseini CERDI‐Université d'Auvergne France Treguer, David INRA France Tsigas, Marinos US International Trade Commission (USITC) United States Urban, Kirsten Johann Heinrich von Thünen Institute (vTI) Germany Valdes, Alberto Research Associate Chile Valenzuela, Ernesto University of Adelaide Australia Valin, Hugo CEPII France van der Geest, Willem International Trade Centre Switzerland van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique The World Bank United States van Meijl, Hans Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI) The Netherlands Vasavada, Utpal Economic Research Service, US Department of Agriculture United States Vechiu, Natalia Université de Pau France Villoria, Nelson Purdue University United States Walmsley, Terrie Purdue University Australia Watanuki, Masakazu Inter‐American Development Bank (IDB) United States Willenbockel, Dirk Institute of Development Studies ‐ University of Sussex United Kingdom Winston, Ashley Monash University / US International Trade Commission Australia Conference Participants Contact information for participants may be accessed on the GTAP website.

Participant Organization Country Wittwer, Glyn Centre of Policy Studie s Australia Wong, Sara Escuela Superior Politécnica del Litoral (ESPOL) Ecuador Zaki, Chahir University of Paris 1 ‐ Paris School of Economics France Zhuang, Juzhong Asian Development Bank Philippines Zhuang, Qianlai Purdue University United States

Thirteenth Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis “Sustainable and Inclusive Trade for Growth and Development”

United Nations Confere nce Centre Bangkok, T hail and June 2010

This conference is being jointly organized by the Center for Global Trade Analysis, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific, Asia‐Pacific Research and Training Network on Trade, Poverty and Economic Policy Research Network and the South Asian Network on Economic Modeling.

Objective The objective of the Thirteenth Annual Conference is to promote the exchange of ideas among economists conducting quantitative analysis of sustainable development issues at national, sub‐regional, regional and global levels. Particular emphasis will be placed on applied general equilibrium methods, data and application. Related theoretical and applied work is also welcome. The conference will focus on renewable energy sources, environment, urbanization and trade; global and regional impacts of freer movements of people; trade, distribution and poverty and assessing options for efficient and sustainable trade liberalization.

Abstract / Organized Session Proposals Abstracts and organized session proposals will be accepted on the GTAP website from early November 2009 through January 15, 2010. All abstracts and proposals will go through a standard review process. The presenters of the accepted papers will be notified in early March 2010 and their final conference papers will be due by April 15, 2010.

Registration Registrations will be accepted from early March through April 30, 2010 with all payments due by May 7, 2010.

The submission forms for the abstracts, organized sessions and registration will be accessible from the conference homepage on the GTAP website, http://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/events/Conferences/2010/.

If you have any questions on this event, please do not hesitate to contact:

Meghan Alexander [email protected] Program Manager Center for Global Trade Analysis