“Predatory” Journals: an Evidence- Based Approach to Characterizing Them and Considering Where Research Ought to Be Published
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!"#$%&'(#)*+,(-#.&/01+&.+$23%$.4$5 6&0$%+&""#(&47+'(+47&#&4'$#383.9+ '7$:+&.%+4(.03%$#3.9+;7$#$+ #$0$/+(-97'+'(+6$+"-6/307$%+ !"#$%%"&%'"(%))#& #$%&'&"&()*'++%,"+-"+$%"./'0%1&'+2"-3"4++565"'/"751+'58" 3(83'88*%/+"-3"+$%"1%9('1%*%/+&"3-1"+$%",%:1%%"-3" ;-<+-15+%"=>$;?"'/"@7',%*'-8-:2 A<$--8"-3"@7',%*'-8-:2"5/,">()8'<"B%58+$" C5<(8+2"-3"D%,'<'/%" ./'0%1&'+2"-3"4++565" !"Larissa Shamseer, Ottawa, Canada, 2021 Table of Contents PREFACE vii Contributions of authors vii Statement of originality vii Statement of financial support vii Approvals vii Copyright viii Disclosures viii Acknowledgements ..ix Thesis Abstract .x Chapter 1: Thesis Background & Objectives 1 A publishing façade 1 Beall’s List 2 The predatory spectrum 3 What prompted predatory publishing and why has it sustained? 5 Digitalization of legitimate publishing provided fertile ground for predatory publishing 6 Financial support for APCs 6 The academic incentive 7 Why should we care about predatory publishing? 9 Deceptive journal practices confuse authors 10 The scientific community has limited knowledge about scholarly publishing 10 Legitimate open access publishing may be conflated with predatory publishing 11 Predatory journals are an indictment of legitimate publishing 12 Predatory journals may benefit from structural inequities in legitimate publishing 13 Predatory publishing is a threat to scientific integrity 16 Thesis Objectives 18 Structure of the thesis 18 Positionality Statement 19 References 21 Appendix 1 35 Harm from predatory journals vs other scholarly communications? 35 Chapter 2: Potential predatory and legitimate biomedical journals: can you tell the difference? A cross sectional comparison 37 ii Abstract 39 Background 40 Objectives 41 Methods 41 Design 41 Journal identification and selection 41 Data extraction process 42 Data extraction items 42 Data analysis 42 Results 43 Homepage and general characteristics 43 Metrics and indexing 44 Editors and editorial process 44 Publication ethics and policies 45 Publication model, fees, and copyright 45 Discussion 46 Non-biomedical scope of interest 46 Spelling and grammar 46 Fuzzy, distorted, or potentially unauthorized image 47 Language directed at authors 47 Manuscript submission and editorial process/policies 47 Very low APC and inappropriate copyright 47 In context of other research 49 Limitations 49 Conclusions 49 Future research 50 Availability of data and materials 51 Tables and Figures 52 References 66 Appendix 1: Author Contributions 68 Appendix 2: Clarifications to published text 70 Appendix 3: Examples of characteristics in predatory and legitimate journals 72 Appendix 4: Published Article 73 Appendix 5: Copyright permission 88 Chapter 3: Do predatory journals publish biomedical research? 90 What is published in predatory journals? 91 References 92 iii Chapter 4: Assessing the scientific content of predatory journals 94 Assessing the scientific content of predatory journals 95 Abstract 96 Background 97 Methods 98 Research Team 98 Team Training 98 Journal Sampling Strategy 98 Single publisher journals 98 Multiple Journal Publishers 99 Identifying Articles for Inclusion 99 Extraction of Epidemiological Characteristics 100 Completeness of Reporting Assessment 100 Data Management 101 De-duplication 101 Data Analysis 102 Differences Between Protocol and Study 103 Results 104 Assessment of Completeness of Reporting 104 Discussion 105 Limitations 106 Implications 107 Availability of Data and Materials 108 Acknowledgments 108 Author Information 108 Tables and Figures 109 References 119 Appendix 1: Author Contributions 121 Contributor Role Taxonomy (CRediT) 121 Appendix 2: Supplementary Tables and Calculations 123 Appendix 3: Published Article 147 Appendix 4: Copyright permission 151 Chapter 5: Potential predatory waste 153 Predatory waste 153 Motivations for publishing in predatory journals 155 The role of funders 156 References 159 Chapter 6: Top health research funders’ guidance on selecting journals iv for funded research 163 Abstract 165 Background 166 Funders & Open Access 166 Methods 168 Data source 168 Sampling 169 Data extraction 169 Data analysis 170 Protocol deviations 170 Results 170 Open access and journal selection 171 Other journal characteristics mentioned by funders 172 Adherence to policies/recommendations 172 Discussion 173 Comparison to other research 173 Strengths and limitations 174 Implications and recommendations for funders 175 Explicit funder policies on publication expectations 175 Facilitating and monitoring adherence to funder policies 176 Areas of future research 177 Conclusion 177 Data Availability 177 Acknowledgements 178 Author Contributions 178 Competing Interests 178 Grant Information 178 Tables and Figures 179 References 206 Appendix 1: Author Contributions 211 Appendix 2: Published Article 213 Appendix 3: Copyright permission 237 Chapter 7: Thesis Discussion 241 Summary of research aims 241 Summary of research findings 241 Strengths of this research 243 Limitations of this research 244 Contributions to epidemiology 246 v Interpretation of findings 246 Not all journal processes are “trivial” 247 Are some journal processes “trivial”? 248 The value of science 248 Why have funders said little about predatory publishing? 250 Implications and recommendations for practice 252 1. The transparency of journal practices needs improvement 252 2. We should stop using Beall’s List 253 3. We should seriously reconsider use of the term “predatory journal” 254 4. Academic rewards should focus less on where research is published and more on what is published. 256 5. Rewarding preprint contributions may reduce predatory publishing 257 Recommendations for future research 260 Examine the trustworthiness of research published in predatory journals 260 Examine the nature of research effects reported in predatory journals 261 Explore inequities researchers face when selecting journals 262 Thesis Conclusion 263 References 265 vi PREFACE Contributions of authors I attest that I, Larissa Shamseer, am the primary author (first or co-first) of the three published research articles contained within this thesis. For each of these chapters, the contributions of all myself and all co-authors are described in Appendix 1 using the Contributor Roles Taxonomy (CRediT https://www.casrai.org/credit.html). Statement of originality I declare that the research presented in this thesis represents original scientific work carried out in fulfillment of my PhD program in the School of Epidemiology and Public Health at the University of Ottawa. I received input and guidance from my PhD supervisor, my co-supervisor, my committee members, coauthors, and acknowledged collaborators throughout this thesis. I confirm that I co-conceived of and co-executed all studies, as described in the “Contributions of Authors” section. Statement of financial support During the first four years of my studies (May 2013 – April 2017) I was supported in-part by an admissions scholarship from the University of Ottawa. In 2014, I received a Destination 2020 Award from the Faculty of Medicine at the University of Ottawa. In 2014, I was also awarded a one year student research stipend from Knowledge Translation Canada to support my research including training activities and purchase of software to facilitate my PhD. The research carried out in Chapters 2 and 4 were carried out, in part, as part of my employment with the Ottawa Hospital Research Institute. Throughout my studies I have also been fortunate enough to attend, participate, and sometimes speak at conferences, symposia, meetings relevant to my studies. These activities were supported by the grants listed above and by my primary thesis supervisor, Dr. David Moher. Approvals No approvals were required to conduct the research described in this thesis. vii Copyright The copyright of published research in this thesis is retained by the authors and permits re-use and reproduction here. Publisher copyright permission statements are included as Appendices in the relevant chapters (2 and 4). Disclosures My spouse runs a scholarly peer review management company and as a result receives income from various academic and scientific societies and scholarly publishing houses. From 2015 onwards I was an Associate Editor (unpaid) for BMC Systematic Reviews. viii ACKNOWLEDEMENTS I would like to convey my gratitude to those who supported me during my doctoral studies. First and foremost is my primary PhD supervisor, Dr. David Moher. Since starting work with Dr. Moher at the Ottawa Hospital, as a research coordinator and later as a senior research associate, he has always encouraged me to perform beyond my comfort zone in research. He has also worked to foster my integration into his networks of colleagues by providing me with countless opportunities (and funding) to display my research abilities. His support over the past 10 years has fuelled substantial academic, professional, and personal growth in me and has shaped the direction of my future career. I will be forever grateful for his support, mentorship, and confidence in my abilities. I am also fortunate to have had one of the most brilliant and forward-thinking minds in research, Dr. Jeremy Grimshaw, as my co-supervisor. Over the 10 years that I have known Dr. Grimshaw he has proven to be one of the most effective mentors, teachers, and problem solvers in my academic career. I am appreciative of the time he has spent listening to me and providing guidance on research, academia, and life. I am also inspired by and thankful for his gracious