Research and Compilation

Imran Shahid

Supervision

Mr. Kent Smith Windsor Executive Director Greater Saskatoon Chamber of Commerce 345 - 3rd Avenue South Saskatoon, SK. S7K 1M6 [email protected] Ph: (306) 244-2151

Executive Summary:

This research project is intended to provide: a set of statistical facts that are a platform to facilitate discussion, exploration and exploitation to enhance the development of agricultural sector in .

The selected agricultural industries are the known and interrelated industries in Saskatchewan, namely; Chicken, Turkey, Dairy, Egg, Cattle, Hog and Sheep.

The Project includes:

• The highlighting fact that: the huge area of useable land in Saskatchewan puts us at a comparative advantage, relative to other Canadian provinces. With capital accumulation and efficient utilization, this advantage can become strengthening for economic development and prosperity in our province.

• Economic factor analyses of Canadian provinces. The analyses include; Land returns, GDP, Employment, Population, Hours worked and Labour productivity.

• Industrial Analysis; Provides the province-wise current production levels and dollar value of the produce, compared with the available/useable land in each province.

The research also includes two agricultural policy approaches that may likely be applicable in Saskatchewan. These approaches are basic sketches and give an estimate of the opportunity cost of underutilizing our land resource in Saskatchewan. At the same time, the approaches also provide estimates of dollar values that the selected agricultural industries (when further developed), may add to the Saskatchewan GDP.

Most of the statistical information is achieved with the help of Statistics Canada and Saskatchewan Bureau of Statistics. The resources and references are cited either at the end of the pages or at the end of the project.

The Land Resource of Canadian Provinces:

Province Wise ~ Available Acres of Agricultural Land

70,000,000 64902408.8

60,000,000 52057757.91

50,000,000

40,000,000

30,000,000

Acres Land of 18783995.91 20,000,000 13507061.74

8443471.25 10,000,000 6392768.58 1005810.67 958878.96 646122.02 0 BC AB SK MB ON QC PEI NB NS

Province Wise - Available Acres of Agricultural Land PEI 646122.02 NS 1005810.67 NB 958878.96 NL QC 100268.24 8443471.25 BC ON 6392768.58 13507061.74

MB AB 18783995.91 52057757.91

SK 64902408.8

BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

Provincial Shares of Canadian Land Base For Agriculture

50% 47%

45%

40%

35%

30% 27%

% 25%

20%

15% 12% 9% 10%

4% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

Land Returns:

Per Acre and Total Farm Cash Receipts - 2005

$800 $10,000,000 $735.3 $9,000,000 $700 $668.6 $8,000,000 $600 $7,000,000

$500 $6,000,000

$400 $377.1 $5,000,000

$4,000,000 $300 Per CashAcre Receipts $199.2 $3,000,000 $200 $151.9 $2,000,000 $97.9 $100 $1,000,000

$0 $0 BC AB SK MB ON QC

Farm Receipts / Acre - 2005 Total Farm Cash Receipts - 2005

Population and Employment Trends: Total - Population Figures (2005)

4,279,462 4,500,000

4,000,000 3,306,359 3,500,000

3,000,000

2,500,000

2,000,000 Population

1,500,000 1,178,348 990,930

1,000,000

500,000

0 BC AB SK MB

Long Term - Comparative Population Growth Trends

800,000 Edmonton, 2006, 721,173 T 700,000 o t a 600,000 l

500,000 P o 400,000 p u l 300,000 a Saskatoon, 2006, t 206,500 I 200,000 o Kelowna, 2006, n 108,500 100,000

Red Deer, 2005, 79,082 0 1895 1900 1905 1910 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Edmonton Saskatoon Kelowna Red Deer

Short Term Employment Trent in Canada:

Province Wise - Percent Change in Employment: Jan 2006 - May 2006

4.0% 3.6% 3.4% 3.5%

3.0% 2.3% 2.5%

2.0% 1.7% 1.3% 1.4% 1.5% 0.8%

Percent Change 1.0%

0.5%

0.0% -0.1% -0.2% -0.5% -0.5%

-1.0% BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

Long Term Employment Trends: BC, AB, SK and MB 1981 - Jan 2006

2,500,000 BC 2,122,500

2,000,000 1,973,800

1,773,285 AB 1,632,500 1,780,200 1,500,000 1,568,780 1,299,565 1,379,705 1,289,435 1,308,795 1,166,480 1,000,000 1,155,650 Employed Employed People MB 555,100 574,100 476,350 500,740 521,490 523,215 500,000 SK 461,515 470,475 467,290 470,000 434,170 470,800

0 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 Jan-06

BC AB SK MB

Hours Worked and Labour Productivity in Canada

News and Statistical Update:

“Mining and oil and gas extraction industries saw a large 3.3% increase in hours worked at the national level.” … “Extremely strong gains were posted in Newfoundland and Labrador (+ 30.6%), Saskatchewan (+ 10.2%) and British Columbia (+ 10.0%).”…

“Economic output rose at a much faster pace than hours worked in both Manitoba and Saskatchewan, resulting in strong gains in Labour productivity.”…

“By comparison, Saskatchewan experienced a large average annual increase in productivity from 2000 to 2005 (+ 1.6%).”

(The Daily: May 9, 2006 )

Average Annual Growth in Hours Worked and Labour Productivity 2000-2005 (%) 3.0

2.6 2.6

2.5

2.1

2.0

1.6 1.5 % 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.8

0.6 0.6

0.5 0.2

0.0 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

Hours Worked Labour Productivity

Analysis of the following Agricultural Industries:

• Dairy

• Chicken

• Turkey

• Eggs

• Cattle

• Hog

• Sheep

Chicken & Turkey

News and Statistical update for Poultry:

“Poultry consumption, which has been climbing over time, advanced modestly in 2005 to 13.7 kilograms per person. Canadians ate 66% more poultry in 2005 compared to 1976. Chicken is by far the poultry of choice with each Canadian eating 11.4 kilograms in 2005.”

“The ongoing popularity of easy to prepare and ready to eat chicken products with time conscious consumers, along with the publicized health benefits of poultry has contributed to the increased use of chicken.”

(The Daily: June 1, 2006) Province Wise: - Production of Chicken in 2005 and ~ Total Available Agricultural Land (Acres)

600,000 70,000,000

$526,677 65,000,000 60,000,000 500,000 55,000,000 $427,070 50,000,000 400,000 45,000,000 40,000,000

300,000 $273,141 35,000,000 30,000,000 205,203 25,000,000 200,000 162,642 and of NumberBirds (thousands) $141,959 20,000,000

102,687 15,000,000 100,000 53,286 $ Values $66,708 $55,949 10,000,000 $49,251 $45,758 22,048 21,997 29,125 17,476 5,000,000 0 0 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS

Dollar Value - thousands Birds - thousands Provincial Acres

Province Wise Percentage (%) Change (Growth / Reduction) in Production of Chicken - Relative to (Base Year) 2001

30

25

20

15

10 8.8

3.8 3.7 5 2.4 1.7

0 Growth Rate - Growth- (%) Rate -0.4 -2.8 -5

-10 -9.7

-15

-20 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS

Year - 2002 Year - 2003 Year - 2004 Year - 2005

Province Wise: - Production of Turkey in 2005 and ~ Total Available Agricultural Land (Acres) 140,000 70,000,000 65,000,000 $121,748 120,000 60,000,000 55,000,000 100,000 50,000,000 45,000,000 80,000 40,000,000 35,000,000

60,000 $55,004 30,000,000 25,000,000

and (thousands) of Number Birds 40,000 $33,726 20,000,000

$24,033 15,000,000 $18,088 $ Values $ 20,000 10,000,000 $8,448 8,499 $4,504 $6,069 5,000,000 2,688 1,757 1,432 4,343 674 362 731 0 0 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS

Dollar Value - thousands Birds - thousands Provincial Acres

Province Wise Percentage (%) Change (Growth / Reduction) in Production of Turkey - Relative to (Base Year) 2001

27 24.9

22

17

12 8.6

7 2.6 2 0.0 Growth Rate Growth - %

-3 -4.4 -8 -6.9 -6.6

-13 -15.0 -18 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS

Year - 2002 Year - 2003 Year - 2004 Year - 2005

Milk & Cream

The dairy industry is the fourth largest sector of the Canadian agri-food economy after grains, red meats and horticulture. In 2003, dairy farming generated $4.5 billion in total farm cash receipts. During the same period, sales from Canadian dairy processors amounted to $10.4 billion in value, representing 14 per cent of sales in the Canadian food and beverage sector.

Key Findings:

• Driven by an increasing market demand by consumers seeking better-for-you (BFY) products such as yogurt, quality indulgent products such as high fat ice cream treats and specialty products such as ethnic cheeses, manufacturers see considerable opportunities to expand into niche markets and build consumer loyalty. • Small to mid-sized operations have the opportunity and ability to pursue niche markets through specialization, product and package innovation, and unique value-added items as these products are more Labour intensive, less likely to be mass produced and require shorter plant runs. This allows small to mid-sized operations to differentiate themselves from large corporate dairy processors.

(Alberta's Dairy Processing Industry Synopsis. Agriculture, Food and Rural Development. http://www1.agric.gov.ab.ca/$department/deptdocs.nsf/all/agp10924 Sep 19, 2006) Production of Milk & Cream in 2005 ~ Total Available Agricultural Land (Acres)

3,000,000 70,000,000 2,853,259 65,000,000 2,482,502 60,000,000 2,500,000 55,000,000 50,000,000 2,000,000 $1,847,225 45,000,000

$1,587,190 40,000,000 1,500,000 35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 and Kiloliters(thousands) 1,000,000 20,000,000 643,384 634,805 15,000,000 $ Values $ 500,000 $400,632 $398,675 302,648 217,264 10,000,000 $184,025 166,713 $132,366 129,94296,517 43,217 5,000,000 $82,747 $107,045 $61,600 $34,461 0 0 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

Dollar Value - Thousands Quantity - Kiloliters Provincial Acres

Province Wise Percentage (%) Change (Growth / Reduction) in the Production of Milk and Cream - Relative to (Base Year) 2001

30 28.1

25

20

15

10

4.4 4.5 Growth Rate Growth - % 4.1 5 3.1 2.6 1.1 0

-2.8 -5 -5.5 -5.3

-10 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

Year - 2002 Year - 2003 Year - 2004 Year - 2005

Eggs

Canada's Egg Industry:

Each year in Canada, more than 25 million hens lay over 6.8 billion eggs. About 5.3 billion of these are sold as table eggs, while the rest are processed into liquid, frozen or dried form.

The average Canadian flock size is 17,000 hens, but five farms in Canada have flocks larger than 100,000 hens. The average laying hen produces about 285 eggs per year.

In 2001, there were 1,146 registered commercial egg producers in Canada. Ontario produced 39 per cent of all eggs in Canada, while Quebec produced 19.2 per cent. The western provinces have a combined egg production of 33.3 per cent and the eastern provinces have a combined production of 8.5 per cent. In 2001, total farm cash receipts of eggs was $564 million.

(Canada's Egg Industry. Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada http://ats.agr.ca/supply/3300_e.htm Sep, 19.2006 ) Production of Eggs in 2005 and ~ Total Available Agricultural Land (Acres)

300,000 70,000,000 65,000,000 $260,415 60,000,000 250,000 228,889 55,000,000 50,000,000 200,000 45,000,000 40,000,000 150,000 $143,933 35,000,000 30,000,000 104,107 25,000,000 100,000 85,135 $80,728 20,000,000 $66,234 $68,861 54,840 15,000,000 45,769

$ Values$ andinQty-(Dozen) thousands 50,000 $31,135 $28,043 10,000,000 23,514 $22,716 18,160 $11,498 15,232 $3,534 5,000,000 2,937 8,199 0 0 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

Dollar Value - Thousands Quantity - Dozen Thousands Provincial Acres

Province Wise Percentage (%) Change (Growth / Reduction) in the Production of Eggs - Relative to (Base Year) 2001 25

16.7 17.4 14.6 15

7.5 5.0 5.6 5 1.9 0.9 0.0

-5

-15 Growth Rate Growth- % -19.2 -25

-35

-45 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

Year - 2002 Year - 2003 Year - 2004 Year - 2005

Cattle

News and Statistical update:

• Canada’s national cattle herd has plunged by 810,000 head – a near record decline for a single year. As of July 1, [2006] cattlemen reported 16.2 million head on their farms, down 4.7% from the record 17.1 million head on the same date last year. It was the first decline in the national herd in seven years.

• In the year up to July 1, 2006, total cattle exports amounted to 1,140,000 head, only 22% below the pre-BSE level. There were no exports during the two previous 12-month periods. In the year up to July 1, 2003, Canadian cattlemen exported 1,458,000 animals.

• Once the border was reopened to cattle, beef meat exports declined, partially offsetting the higher cattle exports. Part of the decline can be attributed to a three-week strike at Lakeside Packers in Alberta in late October and early November of 2005. Even so, the lower monthly exports have been sustained.

• Cattle numbers fell in all provinces, but the decline was more dramatic on the Prairies. The herd in Manitoba , Saskatchewan and Alberta , combined, plunged by 610,000 head, which accounted for three-quarters of the total decline up to July 1 this year. [However,] the Prairie Provinces accounted for the vast majority of the increase in cattle numbers during the three-year period leading up to the July 1, 2005 record.

(Cattle Statistics. 2006, Vol. 5 no. 2 . Catalogue no. 23-012-XIE. Statistics Canada) Cattle Inventories: 2005 & Aug 2006 and ~ Total Available Agricultural Land (Acres)

8000 70,000,000 65,000,000 7000 6700 60,000,000 6100 55,000,000 6000 50,000,000

5000 45,000,000 40,000,000

4000 3625 35,000,000 3200 30,000,000 3000 25,000,000 2300 2171 20,000,000 2000 1755 1605 1470 1430 15,000,000 NumberCattle - thousand head of 915 10,000,000 1000 745 5,000,000 92 109 85 90 106 84 9 9 0 0 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

2005 2006 Provincial Acres

Province Wise Percentage (%) Change (Growth / Reduction) in the Production of Cattle - Relative to (Base Year) 2001 30

25 23.1 22.1

20

15

10 8.3

Growth % Growth Rate - 5 4.0 1.4 0 -1.0 -2.2 -1.4 -2.3 -2.1 -5

-10 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Cattle Industry Saskatchewan and Western Canada:

Province Wise Percentage (%) Change in the Production of Cattle 2002 - Aug 2006: Relative to (Base Year) 2001

30

25 SK MB 20

15

10

Growth % Rate - 5

BC 0 AB 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 -5

-10 Years

BC AB SK MB

Cattle Inventories - as of: July 2005 & Aug 2006

6700 7000 6300

6000

5000

3625 4000 3450

3000

1755 1720 2000 Number of- Cattle thousand head

915 830 1000

0 BC AB SK MB

2005 2006

Hog Industry

News and Statistical update:

Hog inventories remained lower during the second quarter of 2006 consistent with soft prices. Farmers reported 14.5 million hogs as of July 1, 2006. This was 3.1% below the same date last year, and, on a quarterly basis, down marginally from the first quarter of 2006.

Exports of Canadian hogs, principally to the United States to be fed, were up 9.6% in the first half of 2006 from the same period the previous year. They were at historically strong levels. At the same time, domestic slaughter declined by 2.6%.

(Hog Statistics. 2006, Vol. 5 no. 3. Catalogue no. 23-010-XIE. Statistics Canada) Pig Inventories - For the 1st Quarters of: 2005 & 2006 and ~ Total Available Agricultural Land (Acres)

70,000,000 4,800 65,000,000 4,400 4,265 4,150 60,000,000 4,000 3,700 55,000,000 3,593 3,600 50,000,000 3,200 45,000,000 2,920 2,910 2,800 40,000,000 35,000,000 2,400 2,025 2,000 30,000,000 2,000 25,000,000 1,600 1,358 1,300 20,000,000 1,200

Number of Pigs - thousand head 15,000,000 800 10,000,000 400 5,000,000 173 166 116 102 130 124 104 101 3 2 0 0 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

1st quarter 2005 1st quarter 2006 Provincial Acres

Province Wise Percentage (%) Change (Growth / Reduction) in the Production of Hogs - Relative to (Base Year) 2001 40

30

21.9

20 17.5

10 3.8

0 -0.6 -1.0

GrowthRate - % -1.9

-10 -8.5

-20 -18.2 -19.3

-24.0 -30 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Sheep Industry

The sheep industry in Canada has matured considerably over the last number of years and has demonstrated its maturity in the recent months responding the BSE. The rebounding of lamb prices and the subsequent opportunity for produces to come to making a reasonable return for their efforts bode well for [sheep] industry.

Lamb has traditionally been considered a commodity. Its quality fluctuated according to the season, genetics and management regime used to produce the lamb. As consumer expectations of lamb have increased, their satisfaction with commodity lamb has decreased, markedly. Commodity lamb, marketed on price more than quality, and which has often been intermixed with mutton at the point of purchase, is no longer the focus of many producers. Furthermore, with changes occurring in the textile and fashion industry, lamb is becoming the main reason for farming sheep. Wool has largely become a by-product; and producing commodity lamb does not provide producers with an opportunity to capture premiums from the marketplace.

(From The Flock . Canadian Sheep Federation January 2006. Volume 3, Issue 1) Sheep and Ewes (added) Inventories - As of: July 2005 & January 2006 and ~ Total Available Agricultural Land ( Acres ) 400 70,000,000 364 356 65,000,000 350 340 331 60,000,000 55,000,000 300 50,000,000

250 45,000,000 224 40,000,000 200 200 35,000,000 30,000,000 150 136 25,000,000 109 20,000,000 100 92 73 73 71 15,000,000 Number of Animalsthousand - head

50 10,000,000 26 26 5,000,000 8 8 4 4 8 6 0 0 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

As of July 1, 2005 As of January 1, 2006 Provincial Acres

Province Wise Percentage (%) Change (Growth / Reduction) in Production of Sheep - Relative to 2001 (Base Year) 30 25.8 25

20 15.3 15

10 7.4 4.4 5 0.8 0 Growth % Growth Rate - -2.7 -5 -5.5 -10 -12.5 -15 -18.7 -18.2 -20 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Two Agricultural Policy Approaches involving the following industries:

• Dairy

• Chicken

• Turkey

• Eggs

• Cattle

• Hog

• Sheep

Approach - 1

Base Information:

• Canadian Land (Acres)  166,789,545

• Saskatchewan Land (Acres)  64,902,409

• Percentage Land in Saskatchewan  38.91%

• Multiplier Factor  1.59

Method:

1. Find proportion of SK useable land to the National useable land

2. Proportion as a target level for SK industries share in National output

3. Percentage of current and additional production

4. Affect on Saskatchewan Per Capita GDP

Summary:

• Saskatchewan GDP in 2005  42,490,000,000

• Predicted GDP Increase  8,612,378,725 or  20.27%

Base Information Sask Land Canadian Land % Land in Sask ~ GDP Predicted Multiplier Factor (Acres) (Acres) Sask 2005 GDP Increase 64,902,409 166,789,545 38.91% 42,490,000,000 8,612,378,725 1.59

Industrial Production Value ($) Potential Rise Relative Predicted Pure Growth in Sectors Current 1 Potential 2 In Sask GDP 3 Growth in SK GDP Saskatchewan GDP

National Saskatchewan Eggs 717,094,000 31,135,000 279,041,354 247,906,354 394,171,103 0.93%

Dairy 4,841,679,000 132,366,000 1,884,032,866 1,751,666,866 2,785,150,317 6.55%

Chicken 1,615,216,000 49,251,000 628,525,772 579,274,772 921,046,887 2.17%

Turkey 271,691,000 8,448,000 105,722,575 97,274,575 154,666,575 0.36%

Cattle 4 13,347,000,000 2,655,000,000 5,193,691,416 2,538,691,416 4,036,519,351 9.50%

Hogs 5 578,400,000 52,000,000 225,071,635 173,071,635 275,183,900 0.65%

Sheep 6 96,176,000 8,720,000 37,424,775 28,704,775 45,640,591 0.11% Total 21,467,256,000 2,936,920,000 8,353,510,393 5,416,590,393 8,612,378,725 20.27%

1 ‘ Statistics Canada’ - 2005 Figures 2 38.91% of the Current National Production Level 3 Potential Saskatchewan Production Level Subtract the Current Saskatchewan Production Level 4 Estimated, Average Price Per Head = $900 5 Estimated, Average Price Per Head = $40 6 Estimated, Average Price Per Head = $80 As a Result 1

Province Wise - GDP Per Capita (Expenditure Method), Year 2005

$70,000 66,279

$60,000

$50,000 42,742 42,866 41,733 39,490 $40,000 35,609 36,175 33,533 31,552 29,993 $30,000 Dollars Per Capita

$20,000

$10,000

$0 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

Per Capita GDP After Additional 20% GDP in Saskatchewan from the prroduction of; Poultry, Eggs, Dairy, Cattle, Hogs and Sheep

$70,000 66,279

$60,000 51,406

$50,000 42,866 41,733 39,490 $40,000 35,609 36,175 33,533 31,552 29,993 $30,000 DollarsPer Capita $20,000

$10,000

$0 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

1 Holding else constant, the approach assumes no population growth. This theoretical change would result in population growth, thus further adding to provincial GDP but it would also alter GDP per capita.

How many percent are we producing?

How much more can we produce?

Current (2005/2006) and Potential Productivity; primarily by means of better land allocation for the following industries in Saskatchewan

100%

90%

80% 48.9% 70% 76.9% 76.7% 60% 92.2% 92.0% 88.8% % 93.0% 50%

40%

30% 51.1% 20% 23.1% 23.3% 10% 11.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.0% 0% Dairy Chicken Turkey Eggs Hogs Sheep Cattle Industries Current Productivity Level Potential Productivity

Approach - 2

Base Information:

• Canadian Land (Acres)  166,789,545

• Saskatchewan Land (Acres)  64,902,409

• Percentage Land in Saskatchewan  38.91%

• Multiplier Factor  1.59

Method:

1. Shifting the National production of the following industries in Saskatchewan: Dairy; Chicken; Turkey; Eggs; Cattle; Hog; Sheep

2. Percentage of current and additional production

3. Affect on Saskatchewan Per Capita GDP

Summary:

• Saskatchewan GDP in 2005  42,490,000,000

• Predicted GDP Increase  34,132,941,810 or  80.33%

National Saskatchewan Industrial Multiplier Relative % Change to Sask Sectors Unit Count Production Value ($) Effect 8 GDP Kilo Dairy Litre 7,578,807,000 4,841,679,000 7,698,269,610 18.12%

Chicken Bird 626,253,000 1,615,216,000 2,568,193,440 6.04%

Turkey Bird 20,492,000 271,691,000 431,988,690 1.02%

Eggs Dozen 586,782,000 717,097,000 1,140,184,230 2.68%

Hogs 9 Head 14,460,000 578,400,000 919,656,000 2.16%

Sheep 10 Head 1,202,200 96,176,000 152,919,840 0.36%

Cattle 11 Head 14,830,000 13,347,000,000 21,221,730,000 49.95%

Total 21,467,259,000 34,132,941,810 80.33%

8 Multiplier Factor = 1.59 9 Estimated, Average Price Per Head = $40 10 Estimated, Average Price Per Head = $80 11 Estimated, Average Price Per Head = $900 As a Result 1

Province Wise - GDP Per Capita (Expenditure Method), Year 2005

$70,000 66,279

$60,000

$50,000 42,742 42,866 41,733 39,490 $40,000 35,609 36,175 33,533 31,552 29,993 $30,000 Dollars Per Capita

$20,000

$10,000

$0 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

Per Capita GDP: After Better Land Allocation and Shifting National Production of the following industries in Saskatchewan; Poultry, Eggs, Dairy, Cattle, Hog and Sheep

$80,000 77,078

$70,000 66,279

$60,000

$50,000 39,490 42,866 41,733

$40,000 35,609 36,175 33,533 31,552 29,993

Dollars Capita Per $30,000

$20,000

$10,000

$0 BC AB SK MB ON QC NB NS PEI NL

1 Holding else constant, the approach assumes no population growth. This theoretical change would result in population growth, thus further adding to provincial GDP but it would also alter GDP per capita.

How many percent are we producing?

How much more can we produce?

Current (2005/2006) and Potential Productivity primarily by means of better land allocation and allocation of National Production in Saskatchewan for the following industries.

100%

90%

80%

70% 80.1% 60% 90.9% 91.0% 95.7% % 97.0% 96.9% 50% 97.3%

40%

30%

20%

10% 19.89% 8.99% 9.07% 2.73% 3.05% 3.11% 4.34% 0% Dairy Chicken Turkey Eggs Hogs Sheep Cattle Industries

Current Productivity Level Potential Productivity

In Essence:

‘Saskatchewan can do so much better than its current economic standing’

References/Resources Searched and Used In the Project

General Resources:

Statistics Canada http://www.statcan.ca/start.html

Saskatchewan Bureau of Statistics http://www.stats.gov.sk.ca/

Available Acres of Agricultural Land Land Area http://www40.statcan.ca/l01/cst01/agrc25i.htm http://www.agr.gov.sk.ca/apps/censusMaps/CensusMap.asp

Employment Trends Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba.

SASKATCHEWAN PROVINCIAL ECONOMIC ACCOUNTS ECONOMIC INDICATORS

Summary of Key Economic Indicators – 1995 ~ 2005 http://www.stats.gov.sk.ca/pea/peaspring06.pdf

Saskatchewan Provincial Economic Accounts - Tables http://www.stats.gov.sk.ca/database/pea_search.php

Saskatchewan Fact Sheet 2005 http://www.stats.gov.sk.ca/docs/factsheet05.pdf

Current Minimum Wage Levels Across Canada http://www.labour.gov.sk.ca/standards/minwage.htm

Saskatchewan Provincial Budget (2006 – 2007) Performance Plan ~ Saskatchewan Labour http://www.labour.gov.sk.ca/annual%20reports/LabourPP2006-2007.pdf http://www.gov.sk.ca/finance/budget/budget01/Charts%20and%20Graphs.pdf

Alberta Finance: Current Economic Indicators, By Province June 16, 2006

Statistics Canada: http://www40.statcan.ca/l01/cst01/labr67a.htm

Provincial Hours Worked and Labour Productivity Percentage – 2005

The Daily: May 9, 2006 Saskatchewan Real-GDP and GDP from 2001 to 2005 Compared with other Provinces.

GDP Tables by subject: National income and expenditure accounts http://www40.statcan.ca/l01/ind01/l3_3764_3769.htm?hili_gdps02

Real gross domestic product, expenditure-based, by province and territory http://www40.statcan.ca/l01/cst01/econ50.htm

Gross domestic product, expenditure-based, by province and territory http://www40.statcan.ca/l01/cst01/econ15.htm Population Comparison; Saskatoon, Edmonton, Kelowna and Red Deer. http://www.city.red-deer.ab.ca/Connecting+with+Your+City/Statistics+and+Demographics/Population+Information/History.htm http://www.edmonton.ca/infraplan/demographic/Edmonton%20Population%20Historical.pdf http://www.city.saskatoon.sk.ca/org/city_planning/resources/populace_newsletter/Populace_Spring_2006.pdf http://www.citypopulation.de/Canada.html http://www.city.kelowna.bc.ca/CityPage/Docs/PDFs/Development%20Services/2001%20Census%20info.pdf http://www.city.kelowna.bc.ca/CityPage/Docs/PDFs/Development%20Services/Kelowna%20Community%20Facts.pdf http://www.city.kelowna.bc.ca/CityPage/Docs/PDFs/Development%20Services/Kelowna%20Community%20Facts.pdf

Kelowna City (Population Stats) http://www.city.kelowna.bc.ca/CityPage/Docs/PDFs/Development%20Services/1996%20Census%20info.pdf

The Alberta Library Online (‘Ask a Question!’) http://www.talonline.ca/askaquestion/publiclibraries/

Email: Gary Stephen – Long Range Planner – City of Kelowna dated: June 20, 2006

Comparative Utilization of Available Land for Poultry, Eggs, Dairy, Hogs and Cattle Farming in Saskatchewan and other Provinces.

Poultry Production http://www40.statcan.ca/l01/cst01/prim55a.htm

Milk and Cream Production http://www40.statcan.ca/l01/cst01/prim54a.htm

Cattle http://www40.statcan.ca/l01/cst01/prim50a.htm

Pigs http://www40.statcan.ca/l01/cst01/prim51a.htm

Sheep http://www40.statcan.ca/l01/cst01/prim52a.htm

The Agricultural Producers Association of Saskatchewan Inc. (APAS) http://www.apas.ca/index.php

Prairie Agricultural Machinery Institute http://www.pami.ca/

Multiplier factor: http://www.cbc.ca/canada/saskatchewan/story/2005/11/30/farmers-election051130.html http://www.gov.sk.ca/finance/budget/budget01/Charts%20and%20Graphs.pdf http://www.canola-ouncil.org/manual/GMO/gmo4.htm

Saskatchewan Chamber http://www.saskchamber.com/documents/19Action_Saskatchewan_Report_Version__2.doc?PHPSESSID=570612f22664371bbe7908a3c94e7faf http://www.sasktrends.ca/

The Daily: June 1, 2006

Other Resources: Community Futures Partners of Saskatchewan http://www.communityfutures.ca/provincial/sk/index.html

Saskatchewan Government – Industries & Resources http://www.ir.gov.sk.ca/ http://www.stats.gov.sk.ca/pea/peaspring06.pdf http://www.ir.gov.sk.ca/Default.aspx?DN=2972,2970,2936,Documents

Designing http://www.veganpeace.com/animal_cruelty/Pictures/Turkeys.jpg http://dnr.wi.gov/org/caer/ce/eek/nature/state/images/cows.jpg http://images.google.ca/images?q=canada+flag&hl=en http://images.google.ca/images?svnum=10&hl=en&lr=&q=saskatchewan+flag http://images.google.ca/images?svnum=10&hl=en&sa=X&oi=spell&resnum=0&ct=result&cd=1&q=saskatoon+chamber+of+commerce&spell=1

Saskatchewan – Economic Development Links

• Aboriginal Services and Programs in Saskatchewan (Asksask) • Aginfonet.com • Business Development Bank of Canada • Canada-Saskatchewan Business Service Centre (CSBSC) • Canadian Innovation Centre • Canadian Information Productivity Awards • Centre for Business Development - Regina • Crown Investments Corporation of Saskatchewan (CIC) • CUCORP Financial Services • Government of Saskatchewan • Institute for Computational Discovery • Investment Saskatchewan • National Research Council Canada • Prairie Farm Rehabilitation Administration (PFRA) • Prairie Implement Manufacturers Association (PIMA) • Prince Albert Chamber of Commerce • Regina Chamber of Commerce • Saskatchewan Agriculture and Food • Saskatchewan Association of Rural Municipalities (SARM) • Saskatchewan Chamber of Commerce • Saskatchewan Economic Developers Association (SEDA) • Saskatchewan Finance • Saskatchewan Government Relations • Saskatchewan Health • Saskatchewan Learning • Saskatchewan Motion Picture Association • Saskatchewan Northern Affairs • Saskatchewan Research Council • Saskatchewan Regional Economic and Co-operative Development • Saskatchewan Trade and Export Partnership (STEP) • Saskatchewan Urban Municipalities Association (SUMA) • SaskCulture Inc. • SaskEnergy Inc. • SaskPower • SaskTel • Strategis • Tourism Saskatchewan • TransGas • University of Regina • University of Saskatchewan • Virtual Saskatchewan • Western Economic Diversification Canada • Women Entrepreneurs of Saskatchewan