Appendix B.13
Future Year VISSIM Models Report (Excerpt)
HURONTARIO-MAIN LRT PROJECT Preliminary Design/TPAP
Future Year VISSIM Models Report (Excerpt) June 2014 508956‐2216‐4SER‐0001
Future Year VISSIM Models Report (Excerpt)
508956‐2216‐4SER‐0001‐0 April 2014
Hurontario / Main St LRT
Future Year VISSIM Models Report
April 2014
Prepared for: Prepared by: City of Mississauga and City of Brampton Steer Davies Gleave 1500 330 Bay St Toronto, ON, M5H 2S8 Canada
+1 (647) 260 4861 www.steerdaviesgleave.com
Future Year VISSIM Models
CONTENTS
1 INTRODUCTION ...... 1
2 OVERALL MODELLING PROCESS ...... 3
Modelling Suite ...... 3 VISSIM Model Overview ...... 3
3 FUTURE YEAR NETWORK BUILD ...... 6 Network Changes for BAU Scenario ...... 6
Network Changes for LRT Scenario ...... 6 Transit Changes for BAU and LRT Scenarios ...... 10
LRT operating pattern ...... 13
Traffic Signals for BAU Scenario ...... 13 Traffic Signals for LRT Scenario...... 15
Pedestrian Demand ...... 18
4 FUTURE YEAR DEMAND ...... 21 Overview of VISSIM demand ...... 21 Subareas 2 and 4 (South and North Corridor) ...... 22
Port Credit, Brampton and Downtown Mississauga ...... 25
Matrix Totals...... 26
5 VISSIM ASSIGNMENT ...... 29
6 BUSINESS AS USUAL AND LRT MODEL OUTPUT ...... 31 General ...... 31
Link Flows ...... 31 Levels of Service (Link) ...... 31
Node Level of Service ...... 32
Queue Lengths ...... 33 Network Performance Statistics ...... 33
General Traffic Travel Times...... 34 LRT Travel Times ...... 40
7 FOCUS AREA MTO AND ETR RAMP TERMINAL INTERSECTIONS ...... 43 QEW ...... 43
Highway 403 ...... 50
Contents Future Year VISSIM Models
Highway 401 ...... 58 Highway 407 ...... 65
8 FOCUS AREA – PORT CREDIT ...... 72 Introduction ...... 72
Hurontario Street/Park Street ...... 72
Summary of Port Credit Network Operation ...... 73
9 FOCUS AREA – SOUTH CORRIDOR ...... 74 Introduction ...... 74 Signal Operation ...... 74
Turning Movement Bans ...... 75 Traffic Volumes ...... 76
Operation of Key Intersections ...... 77
Hurontario Street/Mineola Road ...... 77 Hurontario/Queensway ...... 78
Hurontario Street/Dundas Street ...... 79 Hurontario Street/Hillcrest Avenue/Kirwin Avenue ...... 81
Hurontario Street/Central Avenue ...... 82
Summary of South Corridor Network Operation ...... 83
10 FOCUS AREA – DOWNTOWN MISSISSAUGA ...... 84 Introduction ...... 84 Signal Operation ...... 84
Turning Movement Bans ...... 85 Traffic Volumes ...... 86
Operation of Key Intersections and Sections ...... 86 Hurontario Street ...... 86
Mavis Road ...... 89
Confederation Parkway ...... 92 Burnhamthorpe Road ...... 95
Rathburn Road ...... 96 Duke of York Boulevard ...... 98
Living Arts Drive ...... 99 Square One Drive ...... 100
Contents Future Year VISSIM Models
City Centre Drive ...... 100 Centre View Drive ...... 101
Overall Summary ...... 102
11 FOCUS AREA – NORTH CORRIDOR ...... 103 Introduction ...... 103
Signal Operation ...... 103 Turning Movement Bans ...... 104
Traffic Volumes ...... 105 Operation of Key Intersections...... 107
Hurontario Street/Eglinton Avenue ...... 107 Hurontario Street/Matheson Boulevard ...... 108
Hurontario Street/Britannia Road ...... 109
Hurontario Street/Derry Road ...... 110 Main Street/Steeles Avenue ...... 111
Brampton Heritage section ...... 112 Summary of North Corridor Network Operation ...... 113
12 FOCUS AREA – DOWNTOWN BRAMPTON ...... 115 Introduction ...... 115
Signal Operation ...... 115
Turning Movement Bans ...... 116 Traffic Volumes ...... 116
Operation of Key Intersections and Sections ...... 116 Main Street ...... 116
Queen Street ...... 119 George Street ...... 122
Chapel Street and Union Street ...... 123
Nelson Street West ...... 123 Overall Summary ...... 124
13 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS ...... 127
Contents Future Year VISSIM Models
FIGURES
Figure 2.1 Methodology Summary for the VISSIM Base Model ...... 4
Figure 2.2 VISSIM Sub model Networks ...... 5
Figure 3.1 Mississauga BRT Overview ...... 12 Figure 3.2 North Corridor Generic Phase Arrangement ...... 16
Figure 3.3 Brampton GO Downtown Mississauga Brampton GO Load Profile ... 20 Figure 3.4 Port Credit Downtown Mississauga Port Credit Load Profile ...... 20
Figure 4.1 Summary of process to generate 2031 VISSIM Matrices ...... 23 Figure 4.2 SATURN Model for South Corridor ...... 24
Figure 6.1 Travel Time comparison – AM Peak Northbound...... 35
Figure 6.2 Travel Time Comparison – AM Peak Southbound ...... 36 Figure 6.3 Travel Time Comparison PM Peak Northbound ...... 37
Figure 6.4 Travel Time Comparison – PM Peak Southbound ...... 38 Figure 7.1 Proposed Layout of QEW Ramp Terminal Intersections (DW3.1) ...... 44
Figure 7.2 QEW Ramp Terminal Demand (v/h) – 0800 0900 AM Peak ...... 46 Figure 7.3 QEW Ramp Terminal Demand (v/h) – 1700 1800 PM Peak ...... 47
Figure 7.4 Proposed Layout of Hwy403 Ramp Terminal Intersections (DW3.1) .... 50
Figure 7.5 Hwy403 Ramp Terminal Demand (v/h) – 0800 0900 AM Peak ...... 54 Figure 7.6 Hwy403 Ramp Terminal Demand (v/h) – 1700 1800 PM Peak...... 55
Figure 7.7 Proposed Layout of Hwy401 Ramp Terminal Intersections (DW3.1) .... 59
Figure 7.8 Hwy401 Ramp Terminal Demand (v/h) – 0800 0900 AM Peak ...... 61
Figure 7.9 Hwy401 Ramp Terminal Demand (v/h) – 1700 1800 PM Peak...... 62 Figure 7.10 Proposed Layout of Hwy407 Ramp Terminal Intersections (DW3.1) ... 65
Figure 7.11 Hwy407 Ramp Terminal Demand (v/h) – 0800 0900 AM Peak ...... 68
Figure 7.12 Hwy407 Ramp Terminal Demand (v/h) – 1700 1800 PM Peak...... 69
TABLES
Table 3.1 BAU Road Network Modifications ...... 7
Table 3.2 VISSIM Network changes for LRT on Hurontario St/ Main St (Number of Through Lanes) ...... 9
Contents Future Year VISSIM Models
Table 3.4 City of Mississauga “MiWay” Local Transit Services ...... 11 Table 3.5 GO services ...... 12
Table 4.1 2011 VISSIM Base vs 2031 VISSIM BAU Peak Hour Matrix Totals ...... 26 Table 4.2 2011 VISSIM BAU vs 2031 VISSIM LRT Peak Hour Matrix Totals ...... 27
Table 4.3 Downtown Mississauga Matrix Summary ...... 28
Table 6.1 Base, BAU and LRT Model Output Link Levels of Service ...... 32 Table 6.2 Base, BAU and LRT Model Scenarios Node Levels of Service ...... 33
Table 6.3 AM Peak Network Performance Statistics – 0800 0900 ...... 34 Table 6.4 PM Peak Network Performance Statistics – 1700 1800 ...... 34
Table 6.5 Journey Time Statistics – Base and BAU (in minutes) ...... 39 Table 6.6 Journey Time Statistics – BAU AND LRT (in minutes) ...... 39
Table 6.7 Port Credit Loop – LRT Run Times (in minutes) ...... 40
Table 6.8 Brampton Loop – LRT Run Times (in minutes) ...... 41 Table 7.1 QEW Phase Allocation ...... 45
Table 7.2 QEW Ramp Terminal Levels of Service ...... 48 Table 7.3 QEW Ramp Queue Lengths – AM Peak (08:00 09:00) ...... 49
Table 7.4 QEW Ramp Queue Lengths – PM Peak (17:00 18:00) ...... 49
Table 7.5 Highway 403 Phase Allocation ...... 53
Table 7.6 Highway 403 Ramp Terminal Levels of Service ...... 56
Table 7.7 Highway 403 Ramp Queue Lengths – AM Peak (08:00 09:00) ...... 56 Table 7.8 Highway 403 Ramp Queue Lengths – PM Peak (17:00 18:00) ...... 57
Table 7.9 Highway 401 Phase Allocation ...... 60 Table 7.10 Highway 401 Ramp Terminal Levels of Service ...... 63
Table 7.11 Highway 401 Ramp Queue Lengths – AM Peak (08:00 09:00) ...... 64 Table 7.12 Highway 401 Ramp Queue Lengths – PM Peak (17:00 18:00) ...... 64
Table 7.13 Highway 407 Phase Allocation ...... 67
Table 7.14 Highway 407 Ramp Terminal Levels of Service ...... 70 Table 7.15 Highway 407 Ramp Queue Lengths – AM Peak (08:00 09:00) ...... 71
Table 7.16 Highway 407 Ramp Queue Lengths – PM Peak (17:00 18:00) ...... 71 Table 8.1 Summary of Hurontario/Park Intersection Operation ...... 72
Table 9.1 Proposed Cycle Time Changes in Future Scenarios ...... 75
Contents Future Year VISSIM Models
Table 9.2 Traffic Volumes Within the South Corridor ...... 76 Table 9.3 Summary of Hurontario/Mineola Intersection Operation ...... 78
Table 9.4 Summary of Hurontario/Queensway Intersection Operation ...... 79 Table 9.5 Summary of Hurontario/Dundas Intersection Operation ...... 80
Table 9.6 Summary of Hurontario/Hillcrest Intersection Operation ...... 81
Table 9.7 Summary of Hurontario/Central Intersection Operation ...... 82 Table 10.1 Proposed Cycle Time Changes in Future Scenarios ...... 85
Table 10.2 Traffic Volumes on Hurontario Street (veh/h) ...... 87 Table 10.3 Summary of Hurontario/Burnhamthorpe Intersection Operation ...... 87
Table 10.4 Summary of Hurontario/Sherwoodtowne Intersection Operation ...... 88 Table 10.5 Traffic Volumes on Mavis Road (veh/h) ...... 89
Table 10.6 Summary of Mavis/Burnhamthorpe Intersection Operation ...... 90
Table 10.7 Summary of Mavis/Rathburn Intersection Operation ...... 91 Table 10.8 Summary of Mavis/Hwy403 South Ramp Terminal Intersection Operation ...... 91
Table 10.9 Traffic Volumes on Confederation Parkway (veh/h) ...... 92 Table 10.10 Summary of Confederation/Burnhamthorpe Intersection Operation ... 93
Table 10.11 Summary of Confederation/Rathburn Intersection Operation ...... 94 Table 10.12 Traffic Volumes on Burnhamthorpe Road (veh/h) ...... 95
Table 10.13 Traffic Volumes on Rathburn Road (veh/h) ...... 97 Table 10.14 Summary of City Centre Drive/Rathburn Intersection Operation ...... 98
Table 10.15 Traffic Volumes on Duke of York Boulevard (veh/h) ...... 98
Table 10.16 Traffic Volumes on Living Arts Drive (veh/h) ...... 99 Table 10.17 Traffic Volumes on Square One Drive (veh/h) ...... 100
Table 10.18 Traffic Volumes on City Centre Drive (veh/h) ...... 101 Table 10.19 Traffic Volumes on Centre View Drive (veh/h) ...... 101
Table 11.1 Proposed Cycle Time Changes in Future Scenarios ...... 104 Table 11.2 Traffic Volumes Within The North Corridor ...... 106
Table 11.3 Summary of Hurontario/Eglinton Intersection Operation ...... 107
Table 11.4 Summary of Hurontario/Matheson Intersection Operation ...... 108 Table 11.5 Summary of Hurontario/Britannia Intersection Operation ...... 110
Table 11.6 Summary of Hurontario/Derry Intersection Operation ...... 110
Contents Future Year VISSIM Models
Table 11.7 Summary of Main/Steeles Intersection Operation ...... 111 Table 11.8 Summary of Main/Clarence Intersection Operation ...... 113
Table 12.1 Traffic Volumes on Main Street within Downtown Brampton (veh/h) 117 Table 12.2 Traffic Volumes on Main Street External Links (veh/h) ...... 117
Table 12.3 Summary of Main/Wellington Intersection Operation ...... 118
Table 12.4 Summary of Main/Nelson/Theatre Intersection Operation ...... 119 Table 12.5 Traffic Volumes on Queen Street (veh/h) ...... 120
Table 12.6 Summary of Queen/George Intersection Operation ...... 120 Table 12.7 Summary of Queen/Main Intersection Operation ...... 121
Table 12.8 Summary of Queen/Theatre/Chapel Intersection Operation ...... 121 Table 12.9 Traffic Volumes on George Street (veh/h) ...... 122
Table 12.10 Traffic Volumes on Chapel Street and Union Street (veh/h) ...... 123
Table 12.11 Traffic Volumes on Nelson Street West (veh/h) ...... 124
APPENDICES
A SIGNAL OPERATION SUMMARY FOR LRT SCENARIO
B TRAFFIC FLOW OUTPUT FROM VISSIM MODELS C LEVEL OF SERVICE OUTPUT FROM VISSIM MODELS
D AVERAGE QUEUE LENGTH OUTPUT FROM VISSIM MODEL
E MAXIMUM QUEUE LENGTH OUTPUT FROM VISSIM MODELS
Contents
Future Year VISSIM Models
1 Introduction
1.1 The SNC Lavalin led team has been appointed by the City of Mississauga and City of Brampton to undertake the Preliminary Design and Feasibility Study for Hurontario Street/Main Street Light Rapid Transit (HMLRT). 1.2 The HMLRT scheme would provide a direct, efficient and quick transit link between the centres of Brampton, Mississauga and Port Credit. The alignment is proposed to run directly along Main Street and Hurontario Street, with a “downtown loop” within the centre of Mississauga, to provide greater penetration into the major office, retail and residential destinations within this area of the network.
1.3 One of the components of the study involves the development of traffic and forecasting tools to determine the ridership impacts and traffic effects of the rapid transit line.
1.4 This report deals with the development of the VISSIM future year models for the weekday AM and PM peak periods, in order to assess the operation of the network under the proposals for the Hurontario Street/Main Street LRT system. A separate reporting stream concentrates on the forecasting work undertaken using the Higher Order Transit (HOT) model.
1.5 This report deals with the creation of the future year VISSIM models of the network which includes both the BAU (Business As Usual) and with LRT scenario.
1.6 Following this introductory Chapter, the remainder of this report contains twelve further chapters:
I Chapter 2: Overall Modelling Approach I Chapter 3: BAU and LRT model network build; I Chapter 4: Future Year demand; I Chapter 5: VISSIM Assignment; I Chapter 6: Business as Usual and LRT Model Output; I Chapter 7: Focus Area MTO and ETR Ramp Terminal Intersections; I Chapter 8: Focus Area – Downtown Brampton; I Chapter 9: Focus Area – North Corridor; I Chapter 10: Focus Area – Downtown Mississauga; I Chapter 11: Focus Area – South Corridor; I Chapter 12: Focus Area – Port Credit; I Chapter 13: Summary and Conclusions.
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Future Year VISSIM Models
2 Overall Modelling Process
Modelling Suite
2.1 The modelling element of the Hurontario/Main LRT project is undertaken using a suite of three transport modelling and traffic engineering software, plus a number of spreadsheets, macros and other processes to import and export the relevant data between each software package.
2.2 The principal model platforms are:
I HOT (High Order Transit) Strategic Model (using EMME platform) – is used to undertake modelling of transit ridership and traffic flows across the HMLRT corridor and wider network. It provides cordoned base and future demand matrices for use in VISSIM corridor models. This element of work is reported in a separate report, although the process of developing demand for use in the VISSIM models is set out in this report. I VISSIM Micro Simulation Model – used to assess direct impacts on the LRT alignments including signal operation, through and turning lane requirements, and LRT run times. I SYNCHRO Intersection Analysis – used to assess individual offline intersection operation (i.e. assessment of intersection operation over the wider area, not on the HMLRT corridor). This element of work is set out in a separate report.
VISSIM Model Overview
2.3 VISSIM models have been developed for three main scenarios:
I 2011 Base – represents the “existing situation” I 2031 BAU – “Business As Usual”, without LRT I 2031 LRT – BAU plus the addition of the LRT scheme 2.4 Models cover the following time periods:
I 0700 0900 AM Peak period (peak hour is 0800 0900) I 1600 1800 PM Peak period (peak hour is 1700 1800) 2.5 As detailed in the next section, the VISSIM modeling has been undertaken on and around the Hurontario Street/Main Street corridor only. Figure 2.1 provides an overview of the modelling methodology for the creation of the VISSIM Base model. The created and subsequent validation of the Base VISSIM model is reported in a separate report, “Base VISSIM Model Report – Final Report – April 2013”.
2.6 For the purposes of building the Base, BAU and LRT VISSIM models, and assigning future year demand, the network was split into five sub networks as shown in Figure 2.2. These subareas essentially span the same areas as in the Base models, but are
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updated to contain network changes for the BAU and LRT scenarios accordingly. The five sub areas are:
I Brampton downtown – area bounded by Church Street, George Street, Wellington Street and Chapel Street/Union Street I North Corridor – Hurontario Street/Main Street corridor from Wellington Street to Elia Avenue I Mississauga downtown – Hurontario Street/Main Street corridor from Elia Avenue to John Street, and area bounded by Centre View Drive, Mavis Road, Burnhamthorpe Road and Hurontario Street I South Corridor Hurontario Street/Main Street corridor from Fairview Road to Park Street I Port Credit area bounded by Slavebank Road, Lakeshore Road, Hurontario Street and Park Street
FIGURE 2.1 METHODOLOGY SUMMARY FOR THE VISSIM BASE MODEL
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FIGURE 2.2 VISSIM SUB MODEL NETWORKS
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3 Future Year Network Build
Network Changes for BAU Scenario
3.1 The network changes for the 2031 BAU VISSIM model were discussed and agreed with the cities of Mississauga and Brampton.
3.2 Table 3.1 shows the road network changes introduced into the BAU VISSIM Models, compared to the 2011 Base Models. Also shown in Table 3.1 are the changes in zone structure that complement these network modifications. 3.3 Note that other network changes outside of the VISSIM network coverage were included within the wider area HOT model for the BAU scenario, and therefore the impacts of these network changes have been incorporated into the demand derivation process for the corridor itself.
Network Changes for LRT Scenario
3.4 The LRT alignment along the whole HMLRT corridor is shown in the external document “Design Workbook 3.1”.
3.5 The key changes within DW3.1 compared to earlier versions are:
I LRT alignment terminates at the Port Credit GO station at the southern end, and not at Elizabeth Street I LRT alignment through the Brampton Heritage area is shared running with traffic in the offside lane in both directions
3.6 The main principles of the project, in terms of LRT operation are shown in Table 3.2, and have been coded within the VISSIM LRT scenario model. Note that all of the network modifications made in the BAU scenario models (see Table 3.1) have also been applied to the LRT scenario models, albeit incorporating some changes due to the addition of the LRT alignment.
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TABLE 3.1 BAU ROAD NETWORK MODIFICATIONS
VISSIM Location Network Change Zone Change Node
1005 Hurontario Street / High New signalised intersection – this intersection was None Street signalised shortly after the creation and validation of the 2011 Base VISSIM model
1010 Hurontario Street / Park Extra dedicated SBLT and NBLT lane – the North and None Street South legs were altered shortly after the creation and validation of the 2011 Base VISSIM model
1035 Hurontario Street / John New signalised intersection – this intersection was None Street signalised shortly after the creation and validation of the 2011 Base VISSIM model
1350/1360 Hurontario Street / Additional lane added to bridge in both directions, plus None Highway 401 ramp changes to ramp alignments – this project was under terminals construction at the time of the creation and validation of the 2011 Base VISSIM model
1350 Hurontario Street / Extension of EB Off ramp to Whittle Rd – this is a Destination zone added for Highway 401 EB off ramp proposed project Whittle Road
1360 Hurontario Street / New West leg – this is a proposed project Origin and Destination zone Highway 401 (north added for West leg intersection)
1460 Hurontario Street / New East leg (extension of Edwards Boulevard) – this is Origin and Destination zone Highway 407 (south a proposed project added for Edwards Boulevard intersection)
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VISSIM Location Network Change Zone Change Node
1505 Shopper’s World Transit New signalised intersection and revised location of None Exchange Shoppers World transit interchange – the transit terminal was moved shortly after the creation and validation of the 2011 Base VISSIM model
1581 George Street / City of New car park structure added on west side of George Origin and Destination zone Brampton Parking Street added for new parking structure Structure
1640 Confederation Parkway / New West leg – this is a proposed development project Origin and Destination zone Prince of Wales Drive added for new development site
1660 Confederation Parkway / New West leg – this is a proposed development project Origin and Destination zone Princess Royal Drive added for new development site
1750 Confederation Parkway / New West leg – this is a proposed development project Origin and Destination zone City Centre Drive added for new development site