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Demonstration for Fuel-Cell Bus Commercialization in China (Phase II) Final-Term Review Report

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FTR Report Demonstration for Fuel-Cell Bus Commercialization in China (Phase II) (Project ID: PIMS 2933) Final-Term Review Report December 5 - 26, 2011 Submitted by: Mr. Marcial T. Ocampo International Consultant and Team Leader & Mr. Tian Guangyu, Ph.D. National Consultant and Team Member Submitted to United Nations Development Programme, China December 25, 2011 (rev 3) UNDP-People’s Republic of China Evaluation of FCB Phase II Acronyms AFC Alkaline Fuel Cell APR Annual Project Report BP British Petroleum BSTC Beijing Science and Technology Commission CDR Combined Delivery Report (financial report) CDIAC Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (US DOE) CICETE China International Center for Economic and Technical Exchanges cm2 square centimeter (area) CNG Compressed Natural Gas CO Carbon Monoxide CTA Chief Technical Advisor CUTE Clean Urban Transport for Europe CUTPP China Urban Transport Partnership Program DMFC Direct Methanol Fuel Cell DOE Department of Energy (US) ECTOS Ecological City Transport System (Reykjavik, Iceland) EA Executing Agency (MoST) EOP end-of-project EU European Union EV Electric Vehicle DC Daimler Chrysler Company Limited, Germany FCB Fuel Cell Bus FCV Fuel Cell Vehicle ______________________________________________________________________ Final Evaluation Mission 2 December 2011 UNDP-People’s Republic of China Evaluation of FCB Phase II FCEV Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle FCHV Fuel Cell Hybrid Vehicle FTR Final-Term Review GDP Gross Domestic Product GEF Global Environment Facility GHG Greenhouse Gas GoC Government of China HEV Hydrogen Electric Vehicles HRS Hydrogen Refueling Stations H2 Hydrogen IPHE International Partnership for the Hydrogen Economy kg kilogram (1,000 grams) km kilometer (1,000 meters) kW kilowatt (1,000 watts) LNG Liquefied Natural Gas m meter (1 meter = 100 centimeters) M Million (population) MCFC Molten Carbonate Fuel Cell MEP Ministry of Environmental Protection mg milligram MNES Ministry of Non-Conventional Energy Sources (India) MOEF Ministry of Environment and Forests (India) MoST Ministry of Science and Technology MoC Ministry of Commerce MoF Ministry of Finance ______________________________________________________________________ Final Evaluation Mission 3 December 2011 UNDP-People’s Republic of China Evaluation of FCB Phase II Mtoe Million tons of oil equivalent (1 ton = 1,000 kg) MTR Mid-Term Review MW Megawatt (1 MW = 1,000 kW) NABI North American Bus Industries NDRC National Development Reform Commission NEPC National Environmental Protection Center NFCBTI National Fuel Cell Bus Technology Initiative Nm3 normal cubic meter (volume) NOx Nitrogen Oxides (NO, NO2) NPC National Project Coordinator NPD National Project Director NRDR National Development and Reform Commission NREL National Renewable Energy Laboratory (US) NRW North-Rhine-Westphalia O2 Oxygen PAFC Phosphoric Acid Fuel Cell PEM Polymer Electrolyte Membrane (also PEMFC) PEMFC Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cell (also PEM fuel cell) PIF Project Information Form PIR Project Implementation Report PMO Project Management Office ProDoc Project Document QOR Quarterly Operation Report RCB Regional Central Bureau RTA Regional Technical Adviser ______________________________________________________________________ Final Evaluation Mission 4 December 2011 UNDP-People’s Republic of China Evaluation of FCB Phase II SAIC Shanghai Automobile Industry Corporation SCTC Shanghai Science and Technology Commission SEPA State Environmental Protection Agency SOFC Solid Oxide Fuel Cell SO2 Sulfur Dioxide STEP Sustainable Transport Energy (Perth, Australia) ToR Terms of Reference TPR Tripartite review UHC Unburnt Hydro Carbon UNDAF United Nations Development Assistance Framework UNDP United Nations Development Programme UNDP CO UNDP Country Office UNFCCC United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change US United States (of America) W Watt (1 Watt = 1 Joule/second) ______________________________________________________________________ Final Evaluation Mission 5 December 2011 UNDP-People’s Republic of China Evaluation of FCB Phase II Table of Contents Executive Summary ................................................................................................................ 9 1.0 Introduction........................................................................................................ 2828 1.1 Brief Description of the Project..................................................................................2828 1.2 Purpose of the Evaluation .........................................................................................2929 1.3 Key Issues Addressed and Scope of the Evaluation................................................3030 1.4 Methodology of the Final-Term Review (FTR)..........................................................3030 1.5 Specific Tasks for the FTR........................................................................................3131 1.6 Limitation of the FTR.................................................................................................3232 2.0 Project and Its Development Context................................................................ 3333 2.1 Project Start and Key Dates......................................................................................3636 2.2 Roles and Responsibilities ........................................................................................3636 2.3 Problems that the Project Seeks to Address ............................................................3737 2.4 Immediate and Development Objectives of the Project............................................3838 2.5 Main Stakeholders and Institutional Arrangements ..................................................3838 2.6 Results Expected and Actual Accomplishments.......................................................4040 3.0 Findings and Conclusions ................................................................................. 4646 3.1 Assessment of progress towards Development Objective .......................................4646 3.2 Assessment of Outcomes .........................................................................................4747 3.3 Project Formulation Review ......................................................................................4848 3.3.1 Conceptualization / Project Design and Work Plan..............................................4848 3.3.2 Project Performance / Timeliness, Quality and Cost-Effectiveness .....................5050 3.3.3 Project Impact .......................................................................................................5050 3.3.4 Government Policies and Relevance....................................................................5252 3.3.5 Current FCB Projects of Other Countries .............................................................5555 ______________________________________________________________________ Final Evaluation Mission 6 December 2011 UNDP-People’s Republic of China Evaluation of FCB Phase II 3.3.6 Others (Good Practices, Lessons Learnt and Recommendations)......................6464 3.4 Project Implementation Review.................................................................................6565 3.4.1 Component Level ..................................................................................................6565 3.4.2 Project Level..........................................................................................................6565 3.5 Conclusions...............................................................................................................6767 4.0 Recommendations............................................................................................. 7272 4.1 Status of MTR Recommendations for Phase II ........................................................7272 4.2 Status of MTR Recommendations for Phase III .......................................................7272 4.3 Recommendations for Phase II.................................................................................7373 4.4 Recommendations for Phase III................................................................................7474 4.5 Components of Phase III – Expanded Demonstration..............................................7575 5.0 Best Practices and Lessons Learned................................................................ 7676 5.1 Best Practices............................................................................................................7676 5.2 Lessons Learned.......................................................................................................7676 6.0 Annex A1 - FTR Schedule of Meetings and Site Visits..................................... 7878 7.0 Annex A2 - List of Exhibitions, Conferences, Workshops and Seminars ......... 7979 8.0 Annex B - List of Persons and Their Affiliations................................................ 8181 9.0 Annex C - List of Documents Reviewed and Status of Sub-Contracts............. 8282 10.0 Annex D - Modifications in the Implementing Plans.......................................... 8585 11.0 Annex E - Project Budget and Co-Financing .................................................... 8686 12.0 Annex F - Budget Utilization and Financial Performance ................................. 8888 13.0 Annex G - GEF Budget Allocation and Co-Financed Inputs............................. 8989 14.0 Annex H - Progress in Achieving Project Impacts ............................................ 9090 15.0 Annex I - Actual
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