Thursday, Oct. 10, 2002 ! Volume 9, Number 11 Page 1 of 9 Hartke trying to get The momentum, money Howey !"#$%$$&%'()%*%'+$%#(,"'%(-"*$'".%'#/ By MARK SCHOEFF Jr. in Washington and BRIAN A. HOWEY in Indianapolis For the past two months, controversy has swirled in Political CD 8 over comments that GOP Rep. made to a group of breast cancer survivors. As the campaign between Hostettler and Democratic challenger Bryan Report Hartke enters its final weeks, the question hovering over the race is whether Hartke can take advantage of the Hostettler The Howey Political Report is published by NewsLink missteps to beat the incumbent. Inc. Founded in 1994, The Howey Political Report is Hostettler offended a group of 11 women, some from an independent, non-partisan newsletter analyzing the his district, who visited his Washington office to lobby for political process in . breast cancer funding by linking the disease to abortion. Brian A. Howey, publisher After the Evansville Courier & Press reported about Mark Schoeff Jr., Washington writer the incident, he refused to talk to the newspaper. In a subse- Jack E. Howey, editor quent campaign publication, he wrote that he had been set up by the women. The Howey Political Report Office: 317-254-1533 Both campaigns maintain that the imbrogliio redounds PO Box 40265 Fax: 317-968-0487 Indianapolis, IN 46240-0265 Mobile: 317-506-0883 in their favor. "It's a constant barrage of outrage about comments [email protected] www.howeypolitics.com he's made to those women," said Hartke. "I've been trying to tell people that's what the real John Hostettler is like." Washington office: 202-775-3242; But the Hostettler campaign says that Hostettler's tiff Business Office: 317-254-0535. with the Courier has energized his base. "Voters appreciate Subscriptions: $250 annually via e-mail or Congressman Hostettler's representation," said , fax; $450 annually including the HPR Daily deputy campaign manager for Hostettler. "They believe he is Wire. Call 317-254-1533 or 254-0535. a man of integrity and they don't believe what they read © 2002, The Howey Political Report. All rights in the Evansville newspaper. After the newspaper continued reserved. Photocopying, Internet forwarding, faxing or to write article after article and editorial after editorial, at reproducing in any form, in whole or in part, is a viola- some point they went way too far with their attacks on the tion of federal law and is strictly prohibited without congressman. The whole situation awakened our consent of the publisher. volunteers and our network." Hostettler's political success

“The good news is we’ve raised $300,000 for Ticker: King denounces Jennings p. 2 Democrats in the state. The bad news is the War: Hard decisions for Carson p. 4 money is going to the Colts.” Legislature: It’s Bauer & Garton p. 5 Horse Race: Moses cites Wyss p. 8 - Indianapolis Mayor Bart Peterson at a Columnists: Novak, Patterson p. 8 recent Democratic fundraiser Thursday, Oct. 10, 2002 Page 2 of 9

FBI SENDS OUT NEW TERROR ADVISORY: The FBI is warning state and local authorities that recent taped statements by al- Qaida leaders may signal that another attack on the United States has been approved (Associated Press). The agency said Wednesday, however, that the nationwide alert level remains code yellow — "significant risk" — because officials do not have any specific information detail- ing where and when an has depended upon his skill in turning out to 36 percent with 19 percent undecided attack might occur. Yellow his core supporters. in a survey of 402 likely voters. But is the third-highest of five Washington analysts question Hostettler maintains a decisive money threat levels. whether Hartke can overcome Hostettler. advantage. The June 30 Federal Election LUGAR DROPS RESIS- Amy Walter, House editor of the Cook Commission fundraising report showed TANCE TO RESOLU- Political Report, said that in previous Hostettler with $218,432 cash on hand TION: Republican resis- years when and Paul Perry compared to Hartke's $14,453. The tance to a congressional were the CD 8 Democratic candidates, Hostettler campaign said that it expected resolution authorizing mili- the Democrats were always looking for to have about $230,000 cash on hand in tary action against Iraq the silver bullet that would fell Hostettler, the Sept. 30 FEC filing. Hostettler has faded as House Majority who has squeaked by in each election been on the radio for three to four weeks Leader Richard K. Armey since he won the "Bloody Eighth" seat in in the eight counties that have been added (Tex.) endorsed it and Sen. Richard G. Lugar (R-Ind.) 1994. "If this were against Rieken or to the district. He will launch television indicated he is no longer Perry, it definitely would have been ads soon. helping to lead an effort to momentum shifting. They never had that Although Hostettler is on the air, he change it (Helen Dewar, one issue that could bring it home for vot- has refused to debate Hartke one-on-one. Washington Post). Lugar ers." This week he declined a joint appearance believes "progress has Stuart Rothenberg, editor of the on WGAB-1180 AM. Hartke been made and this is prob- Rothenberg Political Report, also doubts says he benefits from Hostettler's reti- ably as far as it can go, given the support there is that Hartke can win. "Hostettler is weak, cence. "He has shown he doesn't want for the resolution" as cur- but the Democrat is weak," he said. to represent people," he said. "He doesn't rently drafted, said Lugar "Right now it would be a long shot for the want to talk about issues. This election is spokesman Andy Fisher, Democrat to win. The DCCC (Democratic about people. I will answer the phone. I referring to changes made Congressional Campaign Committee) has will talk to the media. I'll talk to voters." last week in negotiations not pushed this race, but some Republi- Hartke's campaign denies that it is with House leaders of both cans are nervous." being shunned by Washington. "We have parties. The fate of the Lugar-Biden proposal was A poll released last week by Garin- people in from the DCCC right now help- Hart-Yang Research Group gave Hartke ing us," said Hartke campaign manager Continued on page 3 hope. It shows Hostettler ahead 45 percent Paul Bitz on Tuesday. "They wouldn't be Page 3 of 9 Thursday, Oct. 10, 2002 here if they didn't think we could win." The latest wrinkle is Hostettler’s A DCCC aide in Washington said decision to vote against the Iraq resolution Hartke, nephew of former Sen. Vance today. "Don't fire unless fired upon," Hartke, will sneak up on Hostettler. Hostettler said on the House floor this "Hostettler makes himself more vulnera- week. "It is a notion that is at least as old ble with each passing day," said Kim as St. Augustine's Just War thesis." Rubey. "We've always been watching this It is another example of Hostettler unclear in the wake of race closely. Hartke has been running a as part of a tiny minority either in his Lugar's decision. An aide to strong stealth campaign and will surprise party or in the entire House on conspicu- Biden said the senator is a lot of people." ous votes (i.e. the Traficante expulsion, exploring what provisions The National Republican the vote against for speak- of the proposal might be offered for a vote with some Congressional Committee is equally con- er, etc.) fident about Hostettler's prospects. "The chance of passage and con- In this gun-loving, Bush-devoted sulting with colleagues on fact of the matter is Mr. Hartke hasn't district, Hostettler’s vote today could draw what to do. raised the money he needs to be competi- pause among some of his most faithful. tive," said NRCC spokesman Ed Patru. GARY MAYOR TELLS ABC "Perry outspent Hostettler by nearly two Sodrel draws closer in the 9th NEWS TO BUG OFF: Mayor to one in that race. Mr. Hartke has far Scott King called an ABC The other southern Indiana race that less support in terms of financial contribu- News documentary on the has yet to capture national attention is also tions and in terms of grass-roots organiza- city “garbage.” In a letter to close enough to be considered competi- tion." Democrats had hoped that Indiana producers of the Peter tive. A Wilson Research Strategies Poll House Speaker John Gregg would chal- Jennings show “In Search showed U.S. Rep. leading of America” that aired Sept. lenge Hostettler. Republican challenger 39.7 7, King said the hour-long Anthony Long, chairman of the CD percent to 33.6 percent, with 24.7 percent program smacked of a “lack 8 Democratic Party, said the same of journalistic ethics” and dynamic is working for Hartke that pro- undecided. The similarities are that Hill, like led to a show that portrayed pelled Hostettler in to his first win in Gary “as (ABC officials) pre- 1994. "John Hostettler came to office in a Hostettler, hardly has a firm grip on the determined it to be, not how ground-swell from the bottom up. Bryan seat, coming from behind to eke out his it is” (Post-Tribune). King Hartke's grassroots campaign is starting to first win in 1998 and then winning a clos- indicated that he sought to be energized. Women are just really mad er-than-expected race against anti-abortion file a lawsuit against ABC over (the Hostettler comments).." activist Michael Bailey in 2000. The big because Jennings said “crime is as high as ever” in But Hostettler seems to be waging a difference is that while Hostettler has a Gary, when actually it has bid to reach out to cancer and women's huge money advantage over Hartke, Sodrel will have far more resources, hav- dropped substantially since groups. He attended an American Cancer King took office. But he did- ing run a significant amount of TV. Society event in Washington on Sept. n’t because Indiana law 19 and his wife addressed a Business and Sodrel's campaign director Jeff does not permit a city to Professional Women meeting Tuesday in Canada pointed to two numbers encourag- prosecute an action for libel Terre Haute. One of his television com- ing the challenger. In the southern coun- even in cases involving mercials may focus on his votes to ties of Clark, Floyd, Harrison, Scott, and reckless disregard for the increase funding for breast cancer Washington, Sodrel is ahead. Sodrel is truth. “Your company hurt research. It's unclear how redistricting will also leading with voters who are familiar this city and a lot of people in and around the communi- affect the race. It has become majority with both candidates and know something of their issues. Canada said, "We are very ty simply to have it fit into a Democratic with the addition of Terre predetermined storyline,” pleased with the poll results, especially Haute. But President Bush carried the King said. “I had respect for district in 2000. Bitz said there are 62,000 the results from the south central parts of Peter Jennings. I no longer hard Republican votes in the Bloody 8th the district, where this race is won or lost. do. Only once before in my compared to 110,000 hard Democratic These results show the sophomore incum- seven years as mayor have I votes. "If they get out and vote their party, bent is not only vulnerable, but is losing told anyone that they are Bryan should win," said Long. his Democrat base." " continued on page 4 Thursday, Oct. 10, 2002 Page 4 of 9 Anguished decisions by Indiana Members

By BRIAN A. HOWEY the last in the delegation to make a deci- INDIANAPOLIS - You could see sion. She was pressed by WIBC talk show and feel the anguish Indiana members of host Greg Garrison about where she stood not welcome in Gary, but I Congress have been dealing with over the on Monday. “In terms of the resolution, say that to you and your possible war with Iraq. As today’s U.S. there’s nothing specific that I can look up. associates. The other time House vote neared, they began taking We’ve let him go for more than a decade was to the KKK.” sides, often with information most of the and all of a sudden we have an urgency rest of us don’t have. on this vote right before an election. HOUSE REPUBLICANS "Pre-emptive strike does not reflect What’s going to stop Saddam from using SEEK TO EXPAND restraint and does not allow for the ade- those weapons against our American sol- HOOSIER RX: Republicans quate pursuit of peaceful means for diers? I think we need to let the weapons vying for control of the inspectors work.” Indiana House pledged resolving conflict,” U.S. Rep. Mark efforts Tuesday to make Souder said. A classified White House Garrison asked, “If the resolution more seniors eligible for briefing with about 20 other lawmakers, supports what the president wants to do, state prescription drug ben- Souder said, "took most of my agony will you support a concept of a pre-emp- efits, and help people save away" (Sylvia Smith, Fort Wayne Journal tive strike? “Carson responded, “My vote more for retirement (Mike Gazette). "There were chilling things in is not by secret ballot. Everyone will Smith, Associated Press). the classified briefing, It absolutely con- know what I’ll do. I support the concept Their proposals would vinced me. Not that this isn't extremely of letting the inspectors go in. I’m not expand the number of low- difficult, but this is absolutely a question going to Iraq, you’re not going to Iraq.” income seniors eligible under the HoosierRx pro- of if we don't act, there's going to be a On Saturday, Carson gave the gram from an estimated loss of life." Democratic response to President Bush’s 30,000 to 100,000. The pro- U.S. Rep. said in an weekly radio address and tried to refocus gram allows some residents op-ed article for the Lafayette Journal & the debate on the economy. “I feel as age 65 and older to shave Courier, “From meetings and briefings though some in Washington have not 50 percent off their medica- with White House officials, the secretary shared my determination to focus on the tion costs up to yearly limits of defense, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of home front by strengthening our weaken- of $500, $750 or $1,000. "We Staff, the chiefs of the reserve compo- ing economy and helping all Americans think they have paid a lot nents, State Department officials and the get through these economically challeng- into the state of Indiana over their lives, not only in CIA, I have been sufficiently convinced ing times," said Carson. taxes but in building this without hesitation that Saddam's threat is It was a theme that played out in state, and the least we can clear and present.” the 6th CD on Wednesday. On the House do is make sure they have Despite President Bush’s Monday floor, U.S. Rep. was talking prescription drugs they night address in which he made a power- war. "The United States does not seek to need at an affordable price," ful but circumstantial case against Saddam start a war," Pence said. "We seek to fin- said Rep. Mike Murphy, R- as a latter-day Stalin, Buyer was trying to ish one." Indianapolis. "Even in good call for more openness. “Over the past 10 On the homefront, Democratic times this would be tough challenger Melina Fox was saying, to do," said House Ways days, I have encouraged the secretary of and Means Chairman B. defense to declassify more intelligence so "Eastern Indiana is crashing and burning, Patrick Bauer, D-South that the public may be better inform-ed,” We need Congress to focus on the econo- Bend. "In tough times, they Buyer said. my as much as it focuses on terrorism" are really airing something U.S. Rep. , spoke of (Rick Yencer, Muncie Star Press). During that gives false hope to peo- feeling the weight of his decision. “In a Star Press interview, Pence acknowl- ple." these instances, you are asking, in a very edged the campaign would likely shift real fashion, young Americans to give back to the economy once the war resolu- STATE TO PROBE ALLEN their lives for this country,” Visclosky told tion was adopted. If that occurs, it could COUNTY AUDITOR: The state Board of Accounts will the States News Service. tighten up races in the 2nd, 6th, 7th, 8th U.S. Rep. was one of and 9th CDs. " continued on page 5 Page 5 of 9 Thursday, Oct. 10, 2002 Legislative leadership appears resolved By BRIAN A. HOWEY water on tax restructuring,” the source INDIANAPOLIS - By nightfall on said. Nov. 6, the day after the election, Bob On the Senate side, State Sen. Garton and Pat Bauer are expected to be Murry Clark, R-Indianapolis, has not offi- investigate claims of ghost on top of their respective caucuses. cially ended his challenge to Senate employment by Allen The critical question when it comes President Pro Tempore Robert D. Garton, County Assessor Mike to Rep. Bauer is whether House but virtually every Statehouse observer Ternet after the Indiana Democrats will retain control of the lower we've talked to believes Garton will pre- State Police turned down chamber, or if there's a 50/50 tie, will vail. Clark sent Garton a letter last month the case earlier this week. there be a Democratic Secretary of State asking for reforms in the way business is Allen County Prosecutor John Fernandez to cast the deciding vote conducted in the Senate. "He told mem- Robert W. Gevers II decided Wednesday to ask for the for speaker next January. bers of the caucus he would change and state board's help in the A number of reliable and informed open things up," Clark said late last ghost employment inquiry, sources tell HPR that Bauer has essential- month. "But he hasn't responded." said Robyn Niedzwiecki, a ly secured upward of 30 votes in the Senate observers believe that spokeswoman for Gevers Democratic caucus that would position Clark and Sen. Luke Kenley, R- (Fort Wayne Journal him to be either speaker or House minori- Noblesville, who pondered a challenge to Gazette). The state Board of ty leader. Going into the fall, many Garton a couple of years ago, made the Accounts hasn't yet been observers believed Bauer had between 20 same mistake. Both got commitments contacted but will take the and 25 votes lined up, with Rep. Win from most reform-minded senators first case when the request is Moses the primary challenger. Other con- before wooing others who might have had made, Deputy State Examiner Mike Fiwek said. tenders included Reps. Chet Dobis and an open mind but were not within the "That's why we're here," he Jonathon Weinzapfel, with compromise challengers' prime constituencies. In both said. candidate speculation centering around cases, Garton got wind of the insurrection Reps. Ed Mahern, Markt Lytle and Paul and was able to tamp it down with a mix- RFK JR. CALLS BUSH Robertson. ture of retribution and ... sweetness. RECKLESS: The Bush Sources tell HPR that Bauer was One observer told HPR he wit- administration currently able to convince two key House con- nessed two recalcitrant senators headed to poses the largest threat to stituencies, the Black Caucus and the Garton’s Ivy Tech office recently. “They the environment and is labor Democrats, to come on board. The were going to kiss the ring,” he said. allowing polluting compa- deal with both would have Bauer The most curious aspect of Clark’s nies to operate without penalties, environmentalist installing Indianapolis Rep. William challenge to Garton was that while the Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said Crawford as the new chairman of the Indianapolis Star has editorially called for Wednesday (Fort Wayne House Ways and Means Committee and new legislative leadership, not one word Journal Gazette). Kennedy Rep. Russ Stilwell of Boonville and a was written about the Clark challenge. spoke to a capacity crowd United Mine Workers official, as the The big power question now is at -Purdue majority floor leader. whether Republicans can pick up two University Fort Wayne as Critical to that was the successful additional seats to give them a quorum- part of the Omnibus Lecture wooing of Rep. Craig Fry of Mishawaka proof majority. Brad Hiller of the Series. The speech was into the Bauer camp. Though they hail Republican campaign committee, believes broadcast on televisions from St. Joseph County, there has been a his party has an excellent chance of pick- throughout the Walb Student Union for those rivalry between Bauer and Fry that has ing up the Mark Blade seat in the Terre without tickets. Kennedy sometimes bordered on the acrimonious. Haute area where Republican Jerry called Congress "foolhardy" One influential Democrat told HPR McMullen is running a vigorous campaign and the White House "reck- he believed that when push came to shove against Tim Skinner (who upset Blade in less" in a speech that after the elections, the signals from Gov. the primary), and Rose Antich's seat in warned of the looming dan- Frank O’Bannon and Lt. Gov. Joe Kernan Northwest Indiana where Republican gers to the Earth. "We will would have given Bauer the needed Shane Stillman is waging a credible cam- thrust. “Pat and Joe Kernan carried the paign. " continued on page 6 Thursday, Oct. 10, 2002 Page 6 of 9 Indiana 2002 Racing Form Trend Line: An ABC News/Money magazine poll of 1,024 adults, conducted in the month ending Oct. 6 (+/- 3%), shows: the Consumer Comfort Index lost five points to -20 on its scale of +100 to -100. It's fallen this far in a week only 18 times in 875 continuous weeks of have effectively no environ- polling, including a six-point drop last April that inaugurated this year's downward spiral; 27% mental legislation. They are rated the national economy as excellent or good; 73% rated it as not good or poor. The stock piece by piece dismantling indexes hit fresh multi-year lows on Wednesday, the environmental protec- slammed by a gaggle of Wall Street analyst down- tions," an animated grades and ongoing worries about profit growth Kennedy said of the White ahead of the official start of the third-quarter House. "There's nobody reporting season (CBS/MW). "You're seeing a lot that's ever been worse (than of emotional selling," said Peter Boockvar, equity strategist at Miller, Tabak & Co. While the Bush)." strategist feels stocks are dramatically oversold over the short term, he acknowledged that they could stay that way for some time. "Unfortunately this market is psychologically sick.” HPR PROSECUTOR LAWLER Political Watch: Scores of middle class voters are going to be getting their third quarter 401(k) DIES: William F. Lawler Jr., statements late this month. As political analyst Stuart Rothenberg noted, “There is no evidence who was Madison County's of a partisan surge yet, but Democratic stragegists can take heart that surges often occur very prosecutor for 28 years, late in an electin cycle, sometimes as late as the last weekend.” Rothenberg projections have the died Monday after a year- Republicans with 223 seats in the House, 208 for the Democrats and four tossups - Indiana , long battle with Lou Illinois, Maine and New Mexico . “If the Democrats win all four of these tossups, the House’s Gehrig's disease numbers would be exactly as they are today,” Rothenberg observed. (Associated Press). He was 76. Lawler, a Democrat, was first elected in 1962, and he Indiana Statewide Races held the prosecutor's post Republican: Deputy Secretary of State until losing a bid for re-elec- Secretary of State 2002: tion in 1978. He regained Democrat: Bloomington Mayor John Fernandez. Libertarian: Rebecca Sink-Burris. 1994 the office in 1982 and Results: Gilroy (R) 902,100, Jeffers (D) 542,539, Dillon (L) 32,483, Knight (A) 13,948. 1998 remained prosecutor until Results: Gilroy 828,557, Little (D) 652,565, Dillon (L) 51,775. 2002 Forecast: Jobs for losing his campaign for an Southwestern Indiana PAC endorsed Fernandez. Fernandez charged that Gilroy and Rokita are eighth term in 1994. He was dragging their feet in the investigation into the IPALCO/AES merger. Fernandez noted that on the father of Anderson Oct. 3 both Standard & Poor's and Fitch Ratings credit agencies downgraded the company's Mayor J. Mark Lawler. ''Dad credit rating, resulting in even deeper loss of stock value. "This announcement is ominous news enjoyed being an attorney for IPALCO employees, retirees and investors," Fernandez said. "The situation is growing more and ultimately prosecutor,'' and more grave by the moment, and the people who are supposed to serve as Hoosier investors' Mark Lawler said. ''When he top watch dog are dragging their feet in the investigation." Where does this race stand? Not sure. was prosecutor he would be There hasn’t been any meaningful independent polling. We believe this is going to be a test of gone from early in the party GOTV. Status: Tossup. morning until late at night. I was most involved with him during political campaigns, Indiana Congressional Races and that is what drew me in Congressional District 2: Republican: . Democrat: Jill Long that direction.'' Thompson. Geography: South Bend, Michigan City, Mishawaka, Elkhart, Kokomo, Plymouth, Logansport; LaPorte, St. Joseph, Starke, Marshall, Pulaski, Fulton, Cass, Carroll and parts of ISTA SAYS PAY A BILLION Howard, Porter, Elkhart and White counties. Media Market: South Bend-Elkhart, Indianapolis, OR REDUCE STANDARDS: Lafayette, Chicago. Websites: www.jilllongthompson.com; www.chocolaforcongress.com 2000 The state's largest teachers Result: Roemer (D) 107,076, Chocola (R) 98,367. 2002 Outlook: Long Thompson and Chocola organization is calling for disagreed Monday night in Logansport over whether Congress should pass laws to restrict abor- lawmakers to put up $1 bil- tion, defining their views on that issue more clearly (Jack Colwell, South Bend Tribune). lion to pay for state and fed- Chocola believes "life begins at conception" and "taking life any moment before natural death eral education standards, or is the wrong thing to do." He added: "As a member of Congress, I would support laws that postpone punishments for would reflect that belief." Long Thompson said she is a United Methodist and shares her Page 7 of 9 Thursday, Oct. 10, 2002

church's belief that decisions on abortion should be made in consultation with "family and doc- tors and, most especially, clergy." She added: "I believe very strongly that this is a private mat- ter to be decided by individuals and churches and not by the ." In the portion of the debate where the candidates questioned each other, Chocola noted that Long Thompson served in the Clinton administration as an undersecretary of agriculture and asked if she thought President Clinton should have been impeached. "At the time, I thought I probably he would," she said. But looking back, she questions whether all the millions spent on the not meeting the guidelines impeachment process was worth it. Chocola recalled that Long Thompson continued to work (Shannon Lohrmann, for the Clinton administration in a post to which she was appointed after losing a re-election Lafayette Journal & Courier). bid for Congress in Indiana's 4th District. Long Thompson replied that she wasn't working for With standards being imple- Clinton but "for the people of this country. It was the people who paid my salary." Democrats mented this year and believe Long Thompson will fare well in the next round of polling. Chocola told HPR, “I’ve schools facing conse- been watching the finger poll. We driver a Hummer and we get a lot of reaction. We’ve seen a quences as soon as 2006, lot of Vs and ones and even some other fingers up. I like what I’m seeing now.” Status: the Indiana State Teachers Tossup. Association released an Congressional District 3: Republican: U.S. Rep. . Democrat: Jay independent study Tuesday Rigdon. Geography: Fort Wayne, Goshen; Kosciusko, Whitley, LaGrange, Steuben, DeKalb showing the amount of and parts of Elkhart and Allen counties. Media Market: South Bend-Elkhart, Fort Wayne. money necessary to prepare Websites: www.jayrigdon.com; www.house.gov/souder/ 2000 results: Souder (R) 131,051, students for what have been Foster (D) 74,492. 2002 Forecast: Rigdon accused Souder of insulting Mennonites by refus- called some of the highest ing to debate at Goshen College, a Mennonite institution (Sylvia Smith, Fort Wayne Journal standards in the nation. If Gazette). Souder claims the charge is ridiculous because he was raised in the Apostolic the state cannot guarantee Church, which like the Mennonite Church is Anabaptist. Souder now attends a United the funding, it should adjust Brethren in Christ church. Mennonites strongly oppose a war with Iraq, which Souder sup- the timeline to avoid punish- ports, and Souder said Goshen College would not be a neutral debate site. Shirley Showalter, ing students or schools Goshen College president, said she is disappointed the debate will not take place there, but she before giving them the nec- isn’t insulted. Primary Status: Safe Souder. essary resources, said ISTA Congressional District 6: Republican: U.S. Rep. Mike Pence. Democrat: deputy executive director Melina Ann Fox. Geography: Anderson, Muncie, Richmond; Wells, Adams, Blackford, Jay, Dan Clark. "We either lower Madison, Delaware, Randolph, Henry, Wayne, Rush, Fayette, Union, Decatur, Franklin, and the standards dramatically, parts of Bartholomew, Shelby, Johnson and Allen counties. Media Market: Indianapolis, Fort or we make the investment Wayne, Dayton, Cincinnati. Websites: www.foxforcongress.com; mikepence.house.gov/ 2000 in children of color, children results: Pence (R) 106,023, Rock (D) 80,885, Frazier (I) 19,070. 2002 Forecast: Roll Call of poverty and special edu- puts this in the “Safe” category for Pence. We believe he has the momentum here, but we’re cation children in order for going to wait and see what the reaction is to 401(k) third quarter statements that come out them to achieve high stan- before we make such a shift. Similar to the CEO corporate earnings deadline in August, a dose dards," he said. "If we make of real bad economic news could tighten a number of races, including this one. Pence and Fox the choice to maintain the will debate at 7 p.m. Oct. 28 in the Anderson City Auditorium. Status: Leans Pence. high standards and rigorous accountability, there is no Congressional District 7: Republican: Brose McVey. Democrat: U.S. Rep. way possible for those chil- Julia Carson. Libertarian: Andy Horning. Geography: Indianapolis. Media Market: dren to achieve those stan- Indianapolis. Websites: www.juliacarson.org; www.broseforcongress.org 2000 Results: dards without that invest- Carson (D) 91,300, Scott (R) 61,818, Ali (L) 2,513. 2002 Forecast: The New York Times lists ment." That could take from this race as one Republican strategists see as ripe for upset. A Public Opinion Strategies poll $1 billion to $1.5 billion released by McVey’s campaign showed Carson with a 43-38 point lead. Carson called for based on a study by John greater stress on domestic issues at a time when much of the nation's attention is focused on Myers, lead researcher for foreign affairs when she gave the Democratic response to President Bush’s national radio Augenblick & Myers Inc. address last Saturday (Associated Press). That opportunity tells Horse Race that national Most of the costs come from Democrats realize the McVey threat and are working to bolster Carson. "Recently, I feel as additional teacher and staff though some in Washington have not shared my determination to focus on the home front by salaries. Indiana now strengthening our weakening economy and helping all Americans get through these economi- employees 55,000 teachers. cally challenging times," said Carson. "Our economy is in trouble. Our nation's workers con- tinue to face an unstable job market by layoffs, business bankruptcies, plant closings.” The McCLOSKEY TO STEP more the emphasis shifts to the economy, the better for Carson. That’s why McVey used his continued on page 8 Thursday, Oct. 10, 2002 Page 8 of 9

second TV ad to try and shift the economic burden on to Carson. McVey criticized Carson for her record on small business. The National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) and the Small Business Survival Committee (SBSC) each released their scorecard for members of the 107th Congress and Rep. Carson received scores of 8 and 7 percent, respectively. "During the past two years, key economic indicators like job loss, personal bankruptcy, personal income and DOWN AFTER ELECTION: home foreclosures have all gotten worse and put our city and state in some of the worst shape in Heading into the November the country," McVey said. "Our 7th district needs someone in Congress who will fight for job elections, the leadership of growth and small business, not tax and regulate it out of business," Status: Tossup/Leans D. the Monroe County Congressional District 8: Republican: U.S. Rep. John Hostettler. Democrat: Democratic Party remains Bryan Hartke. Geography: Evansville, Terre Haute, Greencastle; Posey, Vanderburgh, Warrick, intact despite the illness of Gibson, Pike, Martin, Daviess, Knox, Sullivan, Greene, Owen, Clay, Vigo, Vermillion, Parke, chairman Frank McCloskey. Putnam, Warren and part of Fountain counties. Websites: www.bryanhartke.com; McCloskey, who has blad- www.house.gov/hostettler/ Media Market: Evansville, Terre Haute, Indianapolis. Lafayette. der cancer and is undergo- 1994 results: Hostettler (R) 93,529, McCloskey (D) 84,857. 1996 Results: Hostettler (R) ing treatment, continues to 109,582, Weinzapfel (D) 106,134, Hager (L) 3,799. 1998 Results: Hostettler (R) 92,227, give advice to local candi- Riecken (D) 81,381, Hager (L) 3,395. 2000 Results: Hostetler 116,860, Perry 100,461. 2002 dates, attend candidate Outlook: Polls showing Hartke just outside the margin of error, a “no” vote on the Iraq resolu- meetings and attend party tion in this gun-loving, Saddam-loathing district along with a dose of bad economic news could functions (Brian Werth, make this race a late bloomer. Status: Leans Hostettler. Bloomington Herald-Times). Congressional District 9: Republican: Mike Sodrel. Democrat: U.S. Rep. But the 63-year-old former Baron Hill. . Media Market: Evansville, Indianapolis, Louisville, Dayton, Cincinnati. Bloomington mayor and six- Websites: www.house.gov/baronhill/, www.mikesodrel.com 1994 results: Hamilton 91,459 term U.S. congressman will (D), Leising (R) 84,315. 1996 Results: Hamilton (D) 128,885, Leising (R) 97,747, Feeney (L) step down as his party's 2,315. 1998 Results: Hill (D) 92,477, Leising (R) 87,278, Feeney (L) 2,397. 2000 Results: Hill leader shortly after the elec- 125,978, Bailey (R) 101,790, Chambers (L) 4,634. 2002 Forecast: Hill leads by 6.1 percent - tion. "I'm starting to get into 39.7 percent to 33.6 percent, with 24.7% undecided in a Wilson Research Strategies Poll con- it," McCloskey said last ducted for Sodrel. Hill began his first TV ads on Monday, articulating his support for Social week after a workout at the Security. This race seems relatively close in a district where Bush topped Gore 58-40 percent YMCA. "I expect a decent and Lugar 64 percent in 2000. If GOP candidates can develop a tail wind behind Bush, keep turnout and a solid number your eye on this one. Status: Leans Hill of Democrats to win their races. But after the election, I'm stepping down. I've got Indiana House Races a lot on my plate." House District 75: Republican: Vanderburgh County Clerk Marsha Abell. BETHLEHEM MERGER Democrat: Rep. Dennis Avery. Geography: Evansville, Vanderburgh and Gibson counties. TALKS OFF: The weight of 1998 Results: Avery 11,714, Spurling (L) 1,250. 2000 Results: Avery 14,850. 2002 Forecast: Bethlehem Steel Corp.'s $5 JPAC endorsed Abell, saying that her voice on the new terraine I-69 route will be an important billion current and future addition to the Indiana legislature. Status: LEANS D. legacy costs appear to have House District 81: Republican: Matt Kelty. Democrat: Rep. Winfield Moses Jr. squashed merger talks Geography: Fort Wayne, Allen County. 2000 Results: Moses 8,573, Conley (R) 4,794. 2002 between the company and Forecast: Kelty has made an issue of the fact that Moses owns a house in Indianapolis and European steelmaking giant lives there rather than in Fort Wayne. Now the issue has spilled over to embroil State Sen. Arcelor (Times of Northwest Thomas Wyss, Fort Wayne Republican running for re-election in District 15. (Fort Wayne Indiana). Reuters reported Journal Gazette). Moses maintains it is economically sound to own a home in Indianapolis Sunday that Arcelor CEO instead of living in hotels while on legislative business. And he mentioned that Wyss also owns Guy Dolle told the Financial a home in Indianapolis. Wyss said he has a Fort Wayne house and a winter home in Indianapolis Times Germany edition, so his wife can be closer to their daughter. Kelty said there Is a difference between Wyss and "There are no more talks Moses because Wyss owns homes in both cities while Moses has just an apartment in Fort with Bethlehem chief (CEO Wayne. Status: Leans D. Robert "Steve") Miller." Brian A. Howey "

POLL SHOWS SUPPORT FOR NEW TERRAINE I-69 ROUTE: Forty-nine percent of the 600 people respond- Page 9 of 9 Thursday, Oc. 10, 2002

Robert Novak, Chicago Sun-Times - about who has the power to declare war. President Bush does not; only Congress U.S. Sen. had been han- ing to a telephone poll com- does. In fact, this is one of the bedrock dled roughly by the White House, a treat- missioned by the Bloomington ment to which the dignified Republican principles of our form of government. We Herald-Times said they favored veteran was not accustomed. So, he was live in a democratic republic, not a dicta- a new route for the highway not expecting a telephone call Wednesday torship. Congress cannot arbitrarily hand that would link Indianapolis morning from George W. Bush. Even over this sacred authority at the behest of and Evansville, while 35 per- more unexpected was the president's tone the president. Why are you blindly fol- cent said they preferred using Interstate 70 and U.S. 41. and what he said. During a 20-minute lowing the lead of Sen. Joseph Lieberman, D-Conn., on this? Lieberman is a potential conversation, Bush was collegial--aban- presidential candidate whose pro-Israel FEDERAL HIGHWAY OFFICIAL doning the confrontational posture taken views no doubt contribute to his position EYES KOKOMO BYPASS: The earlier in the week toward Lugar and federal highway administrator favoring an attack on Iraq. I am urging all other critics of his Iraq policy. He private- traveled the "Kokomo Bypass" of my friends to contact you and let you ly told the senator Wednesday exactly on Tuesday afternoon. She know how they feel about your willing- what he told spokesman Ari Fleischer to feels our stoplight-inflicted ness to abdicate your duty to uphold the tell the world: He has not decided whether pain (Jack Colwell, South Bend Constitution. " to use military force against Saddam Tribune). Administrator Mary E. Peters, who rode along U.S. 31 Hussein's regime. Bush signaled he want- Amos Brown, Indianapolis Recorder from Indianapolis to come here ed to work with Lugar to get a mutually to campaign for Republican - All year, I’ve written that Republican acceptable war resolution. Indeed, the res- congressional nominee Chris olution now sure to move through the McVey is the most serious candidate Chocola, agreed with the view Senate this week bears little resemblance Carson has yet faced. Mainly because his in these parts that the route to the blank check for war demanded by conservative views aren’t widely known. needs improvement. Actually, the White House two weeks earlier. As a In interviews, McVey doesn’t come across as a one-time resident of result, Lugar appears to have dropped as a Republican Neanderthal like Dick Logansport, Peters already was familiar with how the plans to draft a more restrictive resolution. Armey, John Ashcroft or Tom Schneider. An Indianapolis Star/WTHR/Channel 13 Kokomo Bypass became, as Other senators convinced the White poll released Tuesday shows the race a she put it, "part of the town." House that this tough-guy approach would virtual tie with Carson at 42 percent, So, why doesn't the highway only split Repub-licans and guarantee a administrator go back to McVey 38 percent, Undecided 14 percent noisome debate. The amended resolution Washington and order a new and Libertarian Andrew Horning at 5 per- and the president's telephone call to Lugar highway? It's not as simple as cent. With the poll’s margin of error at 5 followed. Lugar has since told friends he that, of course. Peters doesn't percent, the results are a tie. The major has no desire to be a ''dog in the manger'' do that. The Bush administra- problem with this poll is that Market tion does submit budget and probably will not offer his own reso- Shares Corp., who conducted it, seriously requests. Congress must lution. " undersampled African Americans by 20 approve appropriations. And percent. Even though this poll is flawed then the states really decide James Patterson, Indianapolis Star and skewed, make no mistake, Brose just where to allocate their fed- - Dear Sen. Bayh, I voted for you in the McVey is making inroads in this race. His eral highway money. In her plea for support for Chocola, last election, so please hear me out. From latest TV ad doesn’t openly savage Car- Peters noted that he is seeking the reports I hear, you are poised to make son, though it does show Carson’s face in a seat on the House the biggest mistake of your political the typical, unflattering way candidates Transportation Committee. career. Before you do, stop! Some people portray their opponents. Instead of openly That could put him in a posi- have said that you will one day decide to attacking Carson, which would anger and tion to have a say greater than run for president. If that's true, then it's energize Black voters, McVey talks about an average freshman in important you know with absolute certain- economic issues. " Congress on Indiana trans- ty what it says in the U.S. Constitution portation needs. "