Pittsburgh Quarterly | Spring 2011 45 00 Pghqtrly Layout 1 2/16/11 12:47 AM Page 46
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00_PghQtrly_Layout 1 2/17/11 9:50 PM Page 41 PITTSBURGH TODAY & TOMORROW The facts and the future of our region 00_PghQtrly_Layout 1 2/16/11 12:47 AM Page 42 In January 1983, unemployment in metropolitan Pittsburgh reached 17.1 percent as deep recession and structural change rocked the region. Steel strikes raged, and famous mills went cold. In time, an unwelcome realiza- tion settled in: Pittsburgh would never be the city it had been. As the Bruce Springsteen lyrics went, “Foreman says these jobs are going, boys, and they ain’t com- ing back—to your hometown.” The economic cataclysm sent untold thousands of young people from Pittsburgh to seek work elsewhere. It created the now legendary Pittsburgh diaspora and left a demo- graphic hole that made Pittsburgh one of the nation’s oldest regions. It also set in motion years of soul-searching, major reports commissioned on Pittsburgh’s future, and, ultimately, a resolve in quarters across the city to remake Pittsburgh. It’s not a stretch to argue that 1980 marked the end of the 30-year, post-World War II expansion period in Pittsburgh and the beginning of another 30-year phase. These last 30 years have been an era of seeking a viable future and then swimming through open sea to reach its shores. From necessity, we began to think and cooperate as a A new era begins for Pittsburgh region, along the lines of Ben Franklin’s famous quote: “If we don't all hang together, then surely, we shall all hang separately." Finally, in the last several years, a new city-state of Pittsburgh has emerged. It has a diversified economy built on brain power. And this new regional economy has stood as a rock of stability as “the Great Recession” has battered the nation. We’re still strong in manufacturing, but we’re a leader in energy, finance, healthcare and education as well. We’re home to world-class sports teams and a vibrant arts scene; we’ve hosted the G-20 summit and World Environment Day, and our 11 quality of life continues to win acclaim in national and international PITTSBURGH rankings. TODAY & TOMORROW We have by no means perfected the region, but after 30 years, we are poised to consider our regional future, not with a measure of fear, but from a position of strength. Today, the Regional Indicators at pittsburghtoday.org publishes “Pittsburgh Today & Tomorrow,” with an eye on the facts of our cur- rent situation and on our region’s future. In the pages ahead, readers can assess where we stand compared with 14 other benchmark regions in 10 categories: Arts, Demographics, Economy, Education, Environment, Government, Health, Housing, Public Safety and Transportation. The Regional Indicators considers Greater Pittsburgh to be a 22-county region, including eastern Ohio and northern West Virginia. And as part of this report, we have enlisted the help of leaders across this region; we asked them to describe a problem we need to solve or an opportunity we need to seize in order to build a strong future. The history of Pittsburgh is a story of human accomplishment, beginning the day George Washington envisioned coal in the hills and a fort at the Point. Today we face the beginning of a new phase in the story of Pittsburgh. What should our goals be for Joe Renckly the next 30 years? What kind of new leadership will we need in order to achieve them? We hope that this report provides valuable information for forging a new strategic vision for our region’s future. ; this page: Douglas Heuck, Director the regional indicators pittsburghtoday.org John Altdorfer cover photo: cover 42 pittsburghquarterly.com 00_PghQtrly_Layout 1 2/16/11 12:47 AM Page 44 PITTSBURGH TODAY & TOMORROW DEMOGRAPHICS Rick Armstrong TODAY A UNIQUE PORTRAIT n terms of demo- Pittsburgh remains an anomaly in graphics, the Pittsburgh region’s profile is per- population, race and poverty haps the most unusual of all of the 15 benchmark regions. For some time, it has been at the % of population, age 65 and over | 2007–09 extremes in a variety of measures: population trends, age, racial diversity and poverty. 1) pittsburgh 17.2% For the past three decades, Greater Pittsburgh 2) cleveland 14.7% has been nearly alone among major U.S. regions in 14) charlotte 9.8% experiencing population decline. The steel industry’s collapse in I 15) denver 9.8% the late 1970s and throughout the 1980s forced mainly young % 01020 workers to seek their fortune elsewhere. They took their families and future generations of Western Pennsylvanians with them, leaving a demographic hole that made Pittsburgh one of the pittsburgh by age group | 2007–09 nation’s oldest regions. That trend of population decline, however, finally may be changing. For the first time in decades, domestic migration into age 0-17 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ the Pittsburgh region was positive in 2009, according to the U.S. % 20.4% 8.8% 11.8% 13.1% 16.0% 12.6% 17.2% Census Bureau’s annual population estimates. The region saw a net gain of 1,144 people that year. In other words, more people source: American Community Survey conducted by the U.S. Census 44 pittsburghquarterly.com 00_PghQtrly_Layout 1 2/16/11 12:47 AM Page 45 moved into the region from other The reces- domestic migration estimates | 2009 places in the U.S. than left for sion is likely one other parts of the country. The last reason for the time this occurred was in 1991, -20,000 -10,000 0 +10,000 +20,000 change, Briem when the Census recorded a small denver +19,831 says. “It has now domestic migration gain for charlotte +19,211 been over four metro Pittsburgh of fewer than indianapolis +7,034 years that the boston 1,000 people. +6,813 local unemploy- DEMOGRAPHICS kansas city +3,929 During the recession-plagued richmond +2,751 ment rate has year of 2009, only six benchmark pittsburgh +1,144 remained below, regions had higher domestic -384 cincinnati usually well below, the migration than Pittsburgh. And -2,336 milwaukee national rate. Relative eight—Cincinnati, Milwaukee, -2,503 minn.-st. paul economic performance Minneapolis-St. Paul, Baltimore, -3,687 baltimore measures like that are st. louis St. Louis, Philadelphia, Cleveland, -4,532 important to understand- -7,577 philadelphia and Detroit—saw negative domes- ing migration flows with- -10,191 cleveland tic migration. -45,488 detroit in the U.S. In good times It won’t be apparent until the or bad, workers will move 2010 Census numbers are source: U.S. Census Bureau between the regions that released later this year whether are the worst off and this is a one-time phenomenon or the start of a trend for Greater those faring better. We’ve been one of the places faring better.” Pittsburgh. However, local demographers believe a trend is in the The Pittsburgh region still had an overall population loss of making. “Our forecasts of the regional population have been pro- 434 from 2008 to 2009, due to the fact that our natural population jecting this turnaround in the migration trends for some time,” change was negative—more people died than were born. In this, says Chris Briem, regional economist at Pitt’s University Center Pittsburgh was alone among the benchmark regions in losing pop- for Social and Urban Research. “It is not a large flow of folks mov- ulation. ing here, and it is not likely we are going to experience the rates of Looking at both the 1990 and 2000 Censuses, it’s clear why population growth that some other fast-growing regions have expe- Greater Pittsburgh had more deaths than births. The region had rienced since World War II.” >> Key needs for the future PITTSBURGHTOMORROW We need to have great concern about col- The Greater Pittsburgh region has been lege graduation rates (through associate blessed with a comprehensive transporta- Public-private partnerships have great degree). The U.S. is now only No. 12 in the tion system. The arms of our transporta- power in our region. One example is the world among advanced economies, in tion network work together and provide partnership formed in 2010 after the sharp contrast to as recently as exceptional mobility options for people United Nations chose Pittsburgh as the 1995. The economy of the and goods. Today, the future of this North American host city for World future will require many regional asset is threatened by Environment Day. The city and more than more with at least bac- reduced investment at the local, 100 organizations in the region came calaureate degrees. state and federal levels. Failure together around the theme, “Water This region is not a to resolve this would increase Matters!” It spurred awareness and top performer even travel times, worsen “ride dialogue about the water stewardship in this weak national quality,” increase personal and so necessary to our region’s sustainable context. We need to business transportation costs, progress. The region should continue improve education at and hinder the region’s ability to such public-private models. The sum of all levels in the region expand its economic base. our assets can make a real difference. and the country. Stephen G. Bland, CEO Greg Babe, President and CEO Esther Barazzone, President port authority bayer corporation chatham university of allegheny county pittsburgh quarterly | spring 2011 45 00_PghQtrly_Layout 1 2/16/11 12:47 AM Page 46 PITTSBURGH TODAY & TOMORROW >> RACE the highest percentage of elderly residents among the 15 benchmark regions.