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Economic Regeneration in Legacy and their Metropolitan Regions

Hunter Morrison and Mark Salling Levin College of Urban Affairs State University Legacy Cities and Their Metropolitan Regions

Experts have recognized that there is a symbiotic relationship between legacy cities and their regions, but it is particularly complex in places where urban/suburban economic imbalance exist and vehicles for fostering regionalism are unclear and ineffective. Mallach and Brachman, Regenerating America’s Legacy Cities , 2013 American Assembly: Legacy Cities The Northeast Region and its legacy cities. Population Change, 2000-2010 America 2050: Megaregions

Emerging U.S. Mega-regions Credit: University of ! Northern Rockies

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RPA analysis of U.S. Census and BEA data Jean Gottman, 1961 Underperforming Regions and their Legacy Cities 18 Northeast Megaregion Legacy Cities and their States State No. Legacy Cities 2 Hartford, New Haven District of Columbia 1 Washington Delaware 1 Wilmington 2 Fall River, New Bedford Maryland 1 3 Camden, Newark, Trenton 2 Albany, Schenectady Pennsylvania 3 Philadelphia, Reading, Scranton 1 Providence Virginia 2 Norfolk, Richmond

31 Great Lakes Megaregion Legacy Cities and their States State No. Legacy Cities 2 Gary, Hammond 5 , Flint, Pontiac, Saginaw, Warren 1 St. Louis New York 5 Buffalo, Falls, Rochester, Syracuse, Utica Ohio 7 Akron, Canton, Cleveland, . Dayton, Springfield, Youngstown Pennsylvania 2 Erie, 1 2 Charleston, Huntington

VIBRANT NEO 2040 addresses the shared future of a 12-county region with four metropolitan areas.

• Built on Broad Engagement of people and organizations Ashtabula through meetings, polls, and social media. Geauga Cuyahoga • Used Scenario Planning and Lorain Trumbull Fiscal Impact Analysis to study alternative futures. Portage Summit Medina • Developed a Regional Vision Mahoning and Framework for Action that

local communities can use to Wayne Stark become more vibrant, resilient, and sustainable

Made possible by Partnership for Sustainable Communities Initiative Grant from HUD in collaboration with USDOT & USEPA and in-kind support from the Consortium ‘s 33 members Current trends put our legacy cities and their metros at risk

• Development without demographic growth leads to a widespread supply/demand mismatch.

• Outward expansion requires building new infrastructure.

• Inward abandonment weakens the region’s housing markets and leaves existing infrastructure behind.

• Result: Chronic fiscal stress at all levels of local government/ Outward Migration and Inward Abandonment

• Weakens local tax bases • Increases infrastructure costs • Increases household transportation costs • Provides fewer options—other than a car. Current trends will result in declining fiscal health across the region

-0.3%

Public Support for Established Communities

Workshop Map Activity

Trend Scenario Do Things Differently Development Impact Development Impact Trend Scenario Fiscal Impact

Do Things Differently Fiscal Impact Overarching Recommendation

Focus the region on livabilty by

• Investing in our existing cities, suburbs, and town centers, • Providing more housing and transportation choices, and • Connecting people and opportunity Quality Connected Places

• Strengthen our Established Communities • Increase our Housing and Transportation Choices • Protect our Natural Resources • Promote Collaboration and Efficiency Vibrant NEO 2040 A Regional Vision and Policy Framework

Validation

The Award for Best Comprehensive Plan from the American Planning Association (2015) VibantNEO2040

www.vibrantneo.org